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Tang X, Chen Y, Huang S, Jiang J, Luo B, Ren W, Zhou X, Shi X, Zhang W, Shi L, Zhong X, Lü M. Acute Pancreatitis in Pregnancy: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis and Dynamic Nomogram for Risk Assessment. Dig Dis Sci 2024; 69:2235-2246. [PMID: 38602621 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-024-08415-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2023] [Accepted: 03/27/2024] [Indexed: 04/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis is easily confused with abdominal pain symptoms, and it could lead to serious complications for pregnant women and fetus, the mortality was as high as 3.3% and 11.6-18.7%, respectively. However, there is still lack of sensitive laboratory markers for early diagnosis of APIP and authoritative guidelines to guide treatment. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to explore the risk factors of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy, establish, and evaluate the dynamic prediction model of risk factors in acute pancreatitis in pregnancy patients. STUDY DESIGN Clinical data of APIP patients and non-pregnant acute pancreases patients who underwent regular antenatal check-ups during the same period were collected. The dataset after propensity matching was randomly divided into training set and verification set at a ratio of 7:3. The model was constructed using Logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, R language and other methods. The training set model was used to construct the diagnostic nomogram model and the validation set was used to validate the model. Finally, the accuracy and clinical practicability of the model were evaluated. RESULTS A total of 111 APIP were included. In all APIP patients, hyperlipidemic pancreatitis was the most important reason. The levels of serum amylase, creatinine, albumin, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and apolipoprotein A1 were significantly different between the two groups. The propensity matching method was used to match pregnant pancreatitis patients and pregnant non-pancreatic patients 1:1 according to age and gestational age, and the matching tolerance was 0.02. The multivariate logistic regression analysis of training set showed that diabetes, triglyceride, Body Mass Index, white blood cell, and C-reactive protein were identified and entered the dynamic nomogram. The area under the ROC curve of the training set was 0.942 and in validation set was 0.842. The calibration curve showed good predictive in training set, and the calibration performance in the validation set was acceptable. The calibration curve showed the consistency between the nomogram model and the actual probability. CONCLUSION The dynamic nomogram model we constructed to predict the risk factors of acute pancreatitis in pregnancy has high accuracy, discrimination, and clinical practicability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaowei Tang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Yuan Chen
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Shu Huang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Lianshui County People' Hospital, Huaian, China
- Department of Gastroenterology, Lianshui People' Hospital of Kangda College Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Huaian, China
| | - Jiao Jiang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Bei Luo
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Wensen Ren
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Xueqin Zhou
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Xiaomin Shi
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Lei Shi
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Xiaolin Zhong
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Muhan Lü
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Street Taiping No.25, Region Jiangyang, Luzhou, 646099, Sichuan, China.
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China.
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Inhibition of the p38 MAPK pathway attenuates renal injury in pregnant rats with acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Immunol Res 2021; 69:295-306. [PMID: 33988814 DOI: 10.1007/s12026-021-09195-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2020] [Accepted: 04/20/2021] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
The p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway is an important intracellular signalling pathway that leads to increased expression of pro-inflammatory mediators. Our previous studies have shown that the p38 MAPK pathway was changed in the acute renal injury (ARI) in acute pancreatitis in late pregnancy (APIP), whereas the role of p38 MAPK in APIP-induced ARI has been poorly understood. The present study was undertaken to investigate the participation of the p38 MAPK signalling pathway and the protective effect of SB203580, an inhibitor of p38 MAPK in ARI in APIP. Twenty-four late-gestation SD rats were randomly assigned to four groups: the normal group (N), sham-operated group (SO), acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) group, and p38 MAPK inhibitor (SB203580) treatment group (T). The results showed that serum amylase, lipase, urea, and creatinine levels of p38 inhibitor of T groups were markedly lower than the ANP groups. Additionally, the expression of phosphorylated p38 and myeloperoxidase (MPO), tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α), interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, nuclear factor kappa-B (NF-κB), caspase-3, and terminal deoxynucleotidyl TUNEL-positive cells was markedly lower in the T group than in the ANP group. Our results suggest that SB203580 can inhibit renal injury by inhibiting the P38 MAPK signalling pathway and blocking the inflammatory responses in APIP.
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Shi X, Hu Y, Pu N, Zhang G, Zhang J, Zhou J, Ye B, Li G, Ke L, Liu Y, Yang Q, Tong Z, Li W. Risk Factors for Fetal Death and Maternal AP Severity in Acute Pancreatitis in Pregnancy. Front Pediatr 2021; 9:769400. [PMID: 34926347 PMCID: PMC8674812 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2021.769400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2021] [Accepted: 11/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy is a rare but highly life-threatening gestational and perinatal disease. Objective: This study aimed to identify the risk factors for fetal death and acute pancreatitis severity. Methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled patients with acute pancreatitis in pregnancy in our center from January 1, 2012, to August 1, 2020, and classified them according to two clinical endpoints, fetal outcome and disease severity. The groups were examined and compared according to gestational week, etiology, gravidity and parity, complications in pre- and post-delivery, and medical history. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the independent risk factors for fetal death and acute pancreatitis severity. Results: Of the 90 enrolled patients, 28 (31.1%) had fetal death and 43 (47.8%) had severe acute pancreatitis. Logistic regression analysis showed that pre-delivery acute respiratory distress syndrome (OR, 5.8; 95% CI, 1.5-22.4; p = 0.010) and gestational week (OR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.8-1.0; p = 0.011) were risk factors for fetal death. Gestation week (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3; p = 0.003) and fetal intrauterine death (OR, 5.9; 95% CI, 1.8-19.4; p = 0.003) were risk factors for severe acute pancreatitis. Conclusions: Pre-delivery acute respiratory distress syndrome and gestational week were independent risk factors for fetal death. Fetal intrauterine death and gestational week were independent risk factors for severe acute pancreatitis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaolei Shi
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Yuepeng Hu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Na Pu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Guofu Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jingzhu Zhang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jing Zhou
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Bo Ye
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Gang Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Lu Ke
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Yuxiu Liu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Qi Yang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Zhihui Tong
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Weiqin Li
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
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SB203580 attenuates acute lung injury and inflammation in rats with acute pancreatitis in pregnancy. Inflammopharmacology 2018; 27:99-107. [PMID: 30094758 DOI: 10.1007/s10787-018-0522-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/18/2018] [Accepted: 08/02/2018] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) can lead to multiple maternal and fetal organ injury and mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) signaling pathway may be involved in it; however, whether APIP can result in acute lung injury and P38MAPK signaling pathway is involved in the pathogenesis has not been elucidated. The present study was undertaken to investigate the participation of P38MAPK signaling pathway and the protective effect of SB203580, an inhibitor of P38MAPK on acute lung injury induced by APIP. Twenty-four late-gestation SD rats were randomly assigned to four groups: Sham operation (SO) group, SB302580 (SB) group, APIP group, and SB + APIP group. All the rats were killed 6 h after modeling. The severity of pancreatitis was evaluated by serum amylase (AMY) and lipase (LIPA) and histopathological changes. Histological assessment of the lung and inflammatory cell infiltration was performed by H&E and immunofluorescence assay. The lung wet/dry (W/D) weight ratio was determined, and the levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin (IL)-1β, and IL-6 were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Western blot analysis was used to detect the protein expression of phosphorylated and total P38, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, and intercellular adhesion molecules 1 (ICAM-1) in lung tissues. Obvious pathological changes existed in pancreas and lung after the induction of APIP, and their pathological scores were significantly higher than that of control group. The results showed that the phosphorylation of P38MAPK was elevated in the lung of APIP rats. Compared with APIP group, the intervention of SB203580 alleviated the pathological injury of the pancreas and lungs, decreased serum AMY and LIPA, attenuated the secretion of TNF-α, IL-1β, and IL-6 in lung, reduced the inflammatory cells' infiltration and lung W/D ratio and inhibited the activation of P38MAPK signaling pathway. These results suggest that APIP can lead to acute lung injury and inflammation and SB203580 can inhibit the lung injury by inhibiting the P38MAPK signaling pathway and blocking the inflammatory responses.
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