A 2-year follow-up MRI study for the evaluation of an age estimation method based on knee bone development

Forensic age estimation using Vieth classification in adolescents of northern China based on the knee MRI

To investigate the applicability of the Vieth classification and characteristics of ossification age in knee joint in adolescents of northern China. A retrospective study was conducted on a total of 1517 MRI images of knee joints from patients aged 10 to 20 years in the northern China. Vieth classification was used to assess the ossification age of distal femur and proximal tibia. Descriptive analysis was performed to obtain the maximum, minimum, median, and upper and lower quartiles of age at each stage, stack bar graph were used to show the age distribution at each stage. Mann-Whitney U test was utilized to analyze the differences in the stage of the proximal tibia and distal femur. Good intra-observer and inter-observer consistency (к = 0.89 and 0.88) was obtained. Regarding the distal femoral epiphysis, 100% of male participants in stage 3, 4(and 5) and 6 were over 12, 14 and 16 years old, respectively; 100% of female participants in stage 4, 5 and 6 were over 12, 14 and 16 years old. While for proximal tibial epiphysis, 100% of male participants in stage 4 and 5 were over 12 and 14 years old; 100% of female participants in stage 4 and 5 were over 12 years old. Ossification age of the proximal tibia mature earlier than distal femur (P < 0.001). Vieth classification can be used to infer the age of 12, 14 and 16 years in adolescents of northern China, providing a valuable reference for forensic age estimation.

Forensic age estimation by MRI of the knee - comparison of two classifications for ossification stages in a German population

AIM AND OBJECTIVES

In forensic age estimation e.g. for judicial proceedings surpassed age thresholds can be legally relevant. To examine age related differences in skeletal development the recommendations by the Study Group on Forensic Age Diagnostics (AGFAD) are based on ionizing radiation (among others orthopantomograms, plain x-rays of the hand). Vieth et al. and Ottow et al. proposed MRI-classifications for the epiphyseal-diaphyseal fusion of the knee joint to define different age groups in healthy volunteers. The aim of the present study was to directly compare these two classifications in a large German patient population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

MRI of the knee joint of 900 patients (405 female, 495 male) from 10 to 28 years of age were retrospectively analyzed. Acquired T1-weighted turbo spin-echo sequence (TSE) and T2-weighted sequence with fat suppression by turbo inversion recovery magnitude (TIRM) were analyzed for the two classifications. The different bony fusion stages of the two classifications were determined and the corresponding chronological ages assigned. Differences between the sexes were analyzed. Intra- and inter-observer agreements were determined using Cohen's kappa.

RESULTS

With the classification of Ottow et al. it was possible to determine completion of the 18th and 21st year of life in both sexes. With the classification of Vieth et al. completion of the 18th year of life for female patients and the 14th and 21st year of life in both sexes could be determined. The intra- and inter-observer agreement levels were very good (κ > 0.82).

CONCLUSION

In the large German patient cohort of this study it was possible to determine the 18th year of life with for both sexes with the classification of Ottow et al. and for female patients with the classification of Vieth et al. It was also possible to determine the 21st year of life for all bones with the classification of Ottow et al. and for the distal femur with the classification of Vieth et al.

Magnetic resonance imaging of knees: a novel approach to predict recombinant human growth hormone therapy response in short-stature children in late puberty

BACKGROUND

There is no appropriate tool to predict recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) response before therapy initiation in short-stature children in late puberty. The current study aimed to explore the associations between magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) stages of the knee growth plates and rhGH response in short-stature children in late puberty.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, short-stature children in late puberty were treated with rhGH and followed up for 6 months. We proposed a novel knee MRI staging system according to the growth plate states of distal femurs or proximal tibias and divided the participants into three groups: unclosed growth plate group, marginally closed growth plate group, and nearly closed growth plate group. The primary outcomes were height gain and growth velocity (GV), which were assessed three months later.

RESULTS

Fifty participants were enrolled, including 23 boys and 27 girls. GV and height gain after 6 months of rhGH therapy decreased successively in the three groups with an increased degree of growth plate fusion, especially when grouped by proximal tibias (GV1-3 mon from 9.38 to 6.08 to 4.56 cm/year, GV4-6 mon from 6.75 to 4.92 to 3.25 cm/year, and height gain from 4.03 to 2.75 to 1.95 cm, all P < 0.001). Moreover, the MRI stages of growth plates independently served as a significant variable for GV and height gain after therapy, especially when grouped by proximal tibias (all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The MRI staging method is expected to be an effective tool for predicting rhGH response before therapy initiation in short-stature children in late puberty.

Forensic age estimation of the knee by post-mortem DR, CT, and MR imaging: a comparative study

It is believed by many that reference data for age estimation purposes must be imaging-modality specific. A study from our department has however proven otherwise. We therefore found it interesting to investigate this further by looking at the level of agreement between different imaging modalities. The aim of this study was to investigate the level of agreement between the three radiological modalities, computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and digital radiography (DR), in assessing the ossification of the epiphyses of the knee. A total of 34 deceased individuals of 10-25 years of age, brought in for a medicolegal autopsy at our department, were scanned by CT, MRI, and DR. The ossification stages of the three bones of the right knee, distal femoral, proximal tibial, and proximal fibular epiphysis were assessed using the established combined staging method by Schmeling et al. and Kellinghaus et al. Analysis of the results by Cohen's weighted kappa showed a good agreement between CT and DR (K = 0.61-0.70), and MRI and DR (K = 0.68-0.79) but only moderate agreement between CT and MRI (K = 0.55-0.57). This leads us to conclude that different radiological images cannot be used interchangeably for age estimation purposes, so reference material needs to be imaging-modality specific. However, to make a more general conclusion research on a larger population is needed.

Magnetic resonance imaging of the knee for chronological age estimation-a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Radiographs of the hand and teeth are frequently used for medical age assessment, as skeletal and dental maturation correlates with chronological age. These methods have been criticized for their lack of precision, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the knee has been proposed as a more accurate method. The aim of this systematic review is to explore the scientific and statistical evidence for medical age estimation based on skeletal maturation as assessed by MRI of the knee.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systematic review was conducted that included studies published before April 2021 on living individuals between 8 and 30 years old, with presumptively healthy knees for whom the ossification stages had been evaluated using MRI. The correlation between "mature knee" and chronological age and the risk of misclassifying a child as an adult and vice versa was calculated.

RESULTS

We found a considerable heterogeneity in the published studies -in terms of study population, MRI protocols, and grading systems used. There is a wide variation in the correlation between maturation stage and chronological age.

CONCLUSION

Data from published literature is deemed too heterogenous to support the use of MRI of the knee for chronological age determination. Further, it is not possible to assess the sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, or positive predictive value for the ability of MRI to determine whether a person is over or under 18 years old.

KEY POINTS

• There is an insufficient scientific basis for the use of magnetic resonance imaging of the knee in age determination by skeleton. • It is not possible to assess the predictive value of MRI of the knee to determine whether a person is over or under 18 years of age.

Forensic age prediction and age classification for critical age thresholds via 3.0T magnetic resonance imaging of the knee in the Chinese Han population

OBJECTIVES

To assess the performance of knee MRI for forensic age prediction and classification for 12-, 14-, 16-, and 18-year thresholds.

METHODS

The ossification stages of distal femoral epiphyses and proximal tibial epiphyses were assessed using an integrated staging system by Schmeling et al. and Kellinghaus et al. for knee 3.0T MRI with T1-weighted turbo spin-echo (T1-TSE) in sagittal orientation among 852 Chinese Han individuals (483 males and 369 females) aged 7-30 years. Regression models for age prediction were constructed and their performances were evaluated based on mean absolute deviation (MAD) values. In addition, the performances of age classification were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.

RESULTS

The intra- and inter-observer agreement levels were very good (κ > 0.80). The complete fusion of those two types of epiphyses took place before 18.0 years in our study participants. The minimum MAD values were 2.51 years (distal femur) and 2.69 years (proximal tibia) in males, and 2.75 years (distal femur) and 2.87 years (proximal tibia) in females. The specificity values of constructed prediction models were all above 90% for the 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, compared to the 74.8-84.6% for the 18-year threshold. Better performances of age prediction and classification were observed in males by distal femoral epiphyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Ossification stages via 3.0T MRI of the knee with T1-TSE sequence using an integrated staging system could be a reliable noninvasive method for age prediction or for age classification for 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, especially in males by distal femoral epiphyses. However, assessments based on the full bony fusion of the distal femoral epiphysis and proximal tibial epiphysis seemed not reliable for age classification for the 18-year threshold in the Chinese Han population.

A probability model for assessing age relative to the 18-year old threshold based on magnetic resonance imaging of the knee combined with radiography of third molars in the lower jaw

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to generate a statistical model based on magnetic resonance imaging of the knee and radiography of third molars in the lower jaw, for assessing age relative to the 18-year old threshold.

METHODS

In total, 58 studies correlating knee or tooth development to age were assessed, 5 studies for knee and 7 studies for tooth were included in the statistical model. The relation between the development of the anatomical site, based on a binary system, and age were estimated using logistic regression. Separate meta-populations for knee and tooth were generated from the individual based data for men and women. A weighted estimate of probabilities was made by combining the probability densities for knee and tooth. Margin of errors for males and females in different age groups and knee and tooth maturity were calculated within the larger framework of transition analysis using a logit model as a base. Evidentiary values for combinations of knee and tooth maturity were evaluated with likelihood ratios.

RESULTS

For males, the sensitivity for the method was calculated to 0.78 (probability of correctly classifying adults), the specificity 0.90 (probability of correctly classifying minors), the negative predictive value 0.80 (proportion identified minors are minors) and the positive predictive value 0.89 (proportion identified adults are adults) indicating a model better at identifying minors than adults. The point at which half the female population has reached closed knee lies before the 18-year threshold, adding the knee as an indicator lowers specificity and increases sensitivity. The sensitivity when using tooth as an indicator for females is 0.24 and specificity 0.97, signifying few minors misclassified as adults but also a low probability of identifying adults. The negative predictive value for women when using tooth as the sole indicator is 0.56 and positive predictive value 0.88. Probabilities were calculated for males and females assuming a uniform age distribution between 15 and 21years. The calculated margin of error of minors classified as adults in a population between 15 and 21 years with the model was 11% for males and 12% for females. Further, the evidentiary value as well as margin of error vary for different combinations of knee and tooth maturity.

CONCLUSION

The statistical model based on the combination of MRI knee and radiography of mandibular third molars is a valid method to assess age relative to the 18-year old threshold when applied on males and of limited value in females.

Forensic age estimation based on magnetic resonance imaging of the proximal humeral epiphysis in Chinese living individuals

Forensic age estimation in living individuals is mainly based on radiological features, but direct radiography and computed tomography lead to a rise in ethical concerns due to radiation exposure. Thus, the contribution of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to age estimation of living individuals is a subject of ongoing research. In the current study, MRIs of shoulder were retrospectively collected from a modern Chinese Han population and data from 835 individuals (599 males and 236 females) in the age group 12 to 30 years were obtained. A staging technique based on (Schmidt et al. Int J Legal Med 121(4):321-324, 2007) and (Kellinghaus et al. Int J Legal Med 124(4):321-325, 2010) was used and all images were evaluated with T1-wieghted turbo spin echo (T1-TSE) sequence and T2-weighed fat suppression (T2-FS) sequence. One-sided images were assessed because data from both sides were considered coincidental, as no significant differences were found (P > 0.05). Two MRI sequences were evaluated separately and subsequently compared. Regression models and supportive vector classification (SVC) models were established accordingly. The intraobserver and interobserver agreement levels were good. Compared with T1-TSE sequence, the R² values of T2-FS sequence were generally higher, while the mean absolute deviation (MAD) values were slightly lower. For T2-FS sequence, the MAD value was 1.49 years in males and 2.19 years in females. With two MRI sequences incorporated, the SVC model obtained with 85.7% correctly classified minors and 96.2% correctly classified adults in males, while 83.3% and 98.0% respectively in females. In conclusion, T2-FS sequence may slightly outperform the T1-TSE sequence in shoulder MRI analysis for age estimation, while shoulder MRIs could be a reliable prediction indicator for the 18-year threshold and two MRI sequences incorporated are encouraged.

Automated age estimation of young individuals based on 3D knee MRI using deep learning

Age estimation is a crucial element of forensic medicine to assess the chronological age of living individuals without or lacking valid legal documentation. Methods used in practice are labor-intensive, subjective, and frequently comprise radiation exposure. Recently, also non-invasive methods using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have evaluated and confirmed a correlation between growth plate ossification in long bones and the chronological age of young subjects. However, automated and user-independent approaches are required to perform reliable assessments on large datasets. The aim of this study was to develop a fully automated and computer-based method for age estimation based on 3D knee MRIs using machine learning. The proposed solution is based on three parts: image-preprocessing, bone segmentation, and age estimation. A total of 185 coronal and 404 sagittal MR volumes from Caucasian male subjects in the age range of 13 and 21 years were available. The best result of the fivefold cross-validation was a mean absolute error of 0.67 ± 0.49 years in age regression and an accuracy of 90.9%, a sensitivity of 88.6%, and a specificity of 94.2% in classification (18-year age limit) using a combination of convolutional neural networks and tree-based machine learning algorithms. The potential of deep learning for age estimation is reflected in the results and can be further improved if it is trained on even larger and more diverse datasets.

Magnetic resonance imaging for forensic age estimation in living children and young adults: a systematic review

The use of MRI in forensic age estimation has been explored extensively during the last decade. The authors of this paper synthesized the available MRI data for forensic age estimation in living children and young adults to provide a comprehensive overview that can guide age estimation practice and future research. To do so, the authors searched MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science, along with cited and citing articles and study registers. Two authors independently selected articles, conducted data extraction, and assessed risk of bias. They considered study populations including living subjects up to 30 years old. Fifty-five studies were included in qualitative analysis and 33 in quantitative analysis. Most studies had biases including use of relatively small European (Caucasian) populations, varying MR approaches and varying staging techniques. Therefore, it was not appropriate to pool the age distribution data. The authors found that reproducibility of staging was remarkably lower in clavicles than in any other anatomical structure. Age estimation performance was in line with the gold standard, radiography, with mean absolute errors ranging from 0.85 years to 2.0 years. The proportion of correctly classified minors ranged from 65% to 91%. Multifactorial age estimation performed better than that based on a single anatomical site. The authors found that more multifactorial age estimation studies are necessary, together with studies testing whether the MRI data can safely be pooled. The current review results can guide future studies, help medical professionals to decide on the preferred approach for specific cases, and help judicial professionals to interpret the evidential value of age estimation results.

The relevance of body mass index in forensic age assessment of living individuals: an age-adjusted linear regression analysis using multivariable fractional polynomials

In forensic age assessment of living individuals, developmental stages of skeletal maturation and tooth mineralization are examined and compared with a reference population. It is of interest which factors can affect the development of these features. We investigated the effect of body mass index (BMI) on the developmental stages of the medial epiphysis of the clavicle, the distal epiphysis of the radius, the distal epiphysis of the femur, the proximal epiphysis of the tibia, and the left lower third molar in a total of 581 volunteers, 294 females and 287 males aged 12–24 years, using 3 T MRI. BMI values in the cohort ranged from 13.71 kg/m² in a 12-year-old female to 35.15 kg/m² in an 18-year-old female. The effect of BMI on the development of the characteristics was investigated using linear regression models with multivariable fractional polynomials. In the univariable analysis, BMI was associated with all feature systems (beta between 0.10 and 0.44; p < 0.001). When accounting for the physiological increase of BMI with increasing age, the effect of BMI was lower and in the majority of the models no longer clinically relevant. Betas decreased to values between 0.00 and 0.05. When adding feature variables to a model already including age, r² values increased only minimally. For an overall bone ossification score combining all characteristics, the adjusted ß was 0.11 (p = 0.021) and 0.08 (p = 0.23) for females and males, respectively. Low ß and r² values (0.00 (adjusted)–0.16 (crude)) were present in both models for third molar development already in the unadjusted analyses. In conclusion, our study found no to little effect of BMI on osseous development in young adults. Teeth development in both sexes was completely independent of BMI. Therefore, dental methods should be part of every age assessment.

Application of knee MRI in forensic age estimation: A retrospective cohort

INTRODUCTION

Forensic age estimation is performed via clinical examination and utilizing various imaging modalities. Currently, radiography and CT are used. In this study we aim to evaluate if magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be used to determine stages of fusion in the epiphysis of the tibia and femur, and if these stages are significantly different regarding the mean age of subjects classified in each one.

METHODS

A total of 193 subjects were included in the study. Knee MR imaging was performed on all of the patients, and the patients were categorized based on imaging findings of the tibial and femoral epiphysis. Tukey multiple comparison test and analysis of variance were used to assess if the difference in the mean age of the groups were significantly different.

RESULTS

Analysis of variance revealed that the mean of the five groups, both in tibia and femur imaging were significantly different. Analysis of variance showed that in most of the cases, the groups mean age significantly differed from the other groups. Tukey multiple comparison tests showed that although the differences between stages I-III could not be regarded as significant, MR imaging was suitable in distinguishing stages IV-V from stages I-III.

CONCLUSION

MR imaging of the knee may be a suitable imaging modality to assess an individual's age, does not involve ionizing radiation, and that with imaging a single anatomical location, at least two epiphyses could be used to determine the age.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Utilization of knee MRI by clinicians as a safe and practical age estimation method.

Multi-factorial age estimation: A Bayesian approach combining dental and skeletal magnetic resonance imaging

PURPOSE

To study age estimation performance of combined magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data of all four third molars, the left wrist and both clavicles in a reference population of females and males. To study the value of adding anthropometric and sexual maturation data.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Three Tesla MRI of the three anatomical sites was prospectively conducted from March 2012 to May 2017 in 14- to 26-year-old healthy Caucasian volunteers (160 females, 138 males). Development was assessed by allocating stages, anthropometric measurements were taken, and self-reported sexual maturation data were collected. All data was incorporated in a continuation-ratio model to estimate age, applying Bayes' rule to calculate point and interval predictions. Two performance aspects were studied: (1) accuracy and uncertainty of the point prediction, and (2) diagnostic ability to discern minors from adults (≥18 years).

RESULTS

Combining information from different anatomical sites decreased the mean absolute error (MAE) compared to incorporating only one site (P<0.0001). By contrast, adding anthropometric and sexual maturation data did not further improve MAE (P=0.11). In females, combining all three anatomical sites rendered a MAE equal to 1.41 years, a mean width of the 95% prediction intervals of 5.91 years, 93% correctly classified adults and 91% correctly classified minors. In males, the corresponding results were 1.36 years, 5.49 years, 94%, and 90%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

All aspects of age estimation improve when multi-factorial MRI data of the three anatomical sites are incorporated. Anthropometric and sexual maturation data do not seem to add relevant information.

Automated segmentation of the knee for age assessment in 3D MR images using convolutional neural networks

Age assessment is used to estimate the chronological age of an individual who lacks legal documentation. Recent studies indicate that the ossification degree of the growth plates in the knee joint correlates with chronological age of adolescents and young adults. To verify this hypothesis, a high number of datasets need to be analysed. An approach which enables an automated detection and analysis of the bone structures may be necessary to handle large datasets. The purpose of this study was to develop a fully automatic 2D knee segmentation based on 3D MR images using convolutional neural networks. A total of 76 datasets were available and divided into a training set (74%), a validation set (13%) and a test set (13%). Multiple preprocessing steps were applied to correct image intensity values and to reduce the image size. Image augmentation was employed to virtually increase the dataset size for training. The proposed architecture for the segmentation task resembles the encoder-decoder model type used for the U-Net. The trained network achieved a dice similarity coefficient score of 98% compared to the manual segmentations and an intersection over union of 96%. The precision and recall of the model were balanced, and the error was only 1.2%. No overfitting was observed during training. As a proof of concept, the predicted segmentations were used for the age estimation of 145 subjects. Initial results show the potential of this approach attaining a mean absolute error of 0.48 ± 0.32 years for a test set of 14 subjects. The proposed automated segmentation can contribute to faster, reproducible and potentially more reliable age estimation in the future.