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Khraishah H, Ostergard RL, Nabi SR, De Alwis D, Alahmad B. Climate Change and Cardiovascular Disease: Who Is Vulnerable? Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2025; 45:23-36. [PMID: 39588645 DOI: 10.1161/atvbaha.124.318681] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2024]
Abstract
Climate change involves a shift in earth's climate indicators over extended periods of time due to human activity. Anthropogenic air pollution has resulted in trapping heat, contributing to global warming, which contributes to worsening air pollution through facilitating oxidizing of air constituents. It is becoming more evident that the effects of climate change, such as air pollution and ambient temperatures, are interconnected with each other and other environmental factors. While the relationship between climate change components and cardiovascular disease is well documented in the literature, their interaction with one another along with individuals' biological and social risk factors is yet to be elucidated. In this review, we summarize that pathophysiological mechanisms by ambient temperatures directly affect cardiovascular health and describe the most vulnerable subgroups, defined by age, sex, race, and socioeconomic factors. Finally, we provide guidance on the importance of integrating climate, environmental, social, and health data into common platforms to inform researchers and policies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haitham Khraishah
- Department of Medicine, Harrington Heart and Vascular Institute (H.K.), University Hospitals at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH
| | | | - Syed R Nabi
- Department of Medicine (S.R.N.), University Hospitals at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH
| | - Donald De Alwis
- University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore (D.D.A.)
| | - Barrak Alahmad
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA (B.A.)
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Mertes PM, Morgand C, Barach P, Jurkolow G, Assmann KE, Dufetelle E, Susplugas V, Alauddin B, Yavordios PG, Tourres J, Dumeix JM, Capdevila X. Validation of a natural language processing algorithm using national reporting data to improve identification of anesthesia-related ADVerse evENTs: The "ADVENTURE" study. Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med 2024; 43:101390. [PMID: 38718923 DOI: 10.1016/j.accpm.2024.101390] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2023] [Revised: 04/02/2024] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Reporting and analysis of adverse events (AE) is associated with improved health system learning, quality outcomes, and patient safety. Manual text analysis is time-consuming, costly, and prone to human errors. We aimed to demonstrate the feasibility of novel machine learning and natural language processing (NLP) approaches for early predictions of adverse events and provide input to direct quality improvement and patient safety initiatives. METHODS We used machine learning to analyze 9559 continuously reported AE by clinicians and healthcare systems to the French National Health accreditor (HAS) between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2020 . We validated the labeling of 135,000 unique de-identified AE reports and determined the associations between different system's root causes and patient consequences. The model was validated by independent expert anesthesiologists. RESULTS The machine learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) model trained on 9559 AE datasets accurately categorized 8800 (88%) of reported AE. The three most frequent AE types were "difficult orotracheal intubation" (16.9% of AE reports), "medication error" (10.5%), and "post-induction hypotension" (6.9%). The accuracy of the AI model reached 70.9% sensitivity, 96.6% specificity for "difficult intubation", 43.2% sensitivity, and 98.9% specificity for "medication error." CONCLUSIONS This unsupervised ML method provides an accurate, automated, AI-supported search algorithm that ranks and helps to understand complex risk patterns and has greater speed, precision, and clarity when compared to manual human data extraction. Machine learning and Natural language processing (NLP) models can effectively be used to process natural language AE reports and augment expert clinician input. This model can support clinical applications and methodological standards and used to better inform and enhance decision-making for improved risk management and patient safety. TRIAL REGISTRATION The study was approved by the ethics committee of the French Society of Anesthesiology (IRB 00010254-2020-20) and the CNIL (CNIL: 118 58 95) and the study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT: NCT05185479).
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul M Mertes
- Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Nouvel Hôpital Civil, EA 3072, FMTS de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France; CFAR - Collège Français des Anesthésistes-Réanimateurs, 75016 Paris, France
| | - Claire Morgand
- Evaluation Department and Tools for Quality and Safety of Care, French national authority for health (Haute Autorité de Santé - EvOQSS), Saint Denis, France
| | - Paul Barach
- Thomas Jefferson School of Medicine, Philadelphia, USA; Sigmund Freud University, Vienna, Austria
| | - Geoffrey Jurkolow
- CFAR - Collège Français des Anesthésistes-Réanimateurs, 75016 Paris, France.
| | - Karen E Assmann
- Evaluation Department and Tools for Quality and Safety of Care, French national authority for health (Haute Autorité de Santé - EvOQSS), Saint Denis, France
| | | | | | - Bilal Alauddin
- Collective Thinking, 23 rue Yves Toudic, 75010 Paris, France
| | | | - Jean Tourres
- CFAR - Collège Français des Anesthésistes-Réanimateurs, 75016 Paris, France
| | - Jean-Marc Dumeix
- CFAR - Collège Français des Anesthésistes-Réanimateurs, 75016 Paris, France
| | - Xavier Capdevila
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Lapeyronie University Hospital, 34295 Montpellier Cedex 5, France; Inserm Unit 1298 Montpellier NeuroSciences Institute, Montpellier University, 34295 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
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Yezli S, Khan AH, Yassin YM, Khan AA, Alotaibi BM, Bouchama A. Human tolerance to extreme heat: evidence from a desert climate population. JOURNAL OF EXPOSURE SCIENCE & ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY 2023:10.1038/s41370-023-00549-7. [PMID: 37138035 DOI: 10.1038/s41370-023-00549-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2022] [Revised: 04/12/2023] [Accepted: 04/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ambient temperatures exceeding 40 °C are projected to become common in many temperate climatic zones due to global warming. Therefore, understanding the health effects of continuous exposure to high ambient temperatures on populations living in hot climatic regions can help identify the limits of human tolerance. OBJECTIVE We studied the relationship between ambient temperature and non-accidental mortality in the hot desert city of Mecca, Saudi Arabia, between 2006 and 2015. METHODS We used a distributed lag nonlinear model to estimate the mortality-temperature association over 25 days of lag. We determined the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) and the deaths that are attributable to heat and cold. RESULTS We analyzed 37,178 non-accidental deaths reported in the ten-year study period among Mecca residents. The median average daily temperature was 32 °C (19-42 °C) during the same study period. We observed a U-shaped relationship between daily temperature and mortality with an MMT of 31.8 °C. The total temperature-attributable mortality of Mecca residents was 6.9% (-3.2; 14.8) without reaching statistical significance. However, extreme heat, higher than 38 °C, was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality. The lag structure effect of the temperature showed an immediate impact, followed by a decline in mortality over many days of heat. No effect of cold on mortality was observed. IMPACT STATEMENT High ambient temperatures are projected to become future norms in temperate climates. Studying populations familiar with desert climates for generations with access to air-conditioning would inform on the mitigation measures to protect other populations from heat and on the limits of human tolerance to extreme temperatures. We studied the relationship between ambient temperature and all-cause mortality in the hot desert city of Mecca. We found that Mecca population is adapted to high temperatures, although there was a limit to tolerance to extreme heat. This implies that mitigation measures should be directed to accelerate individual adaptation to heat and societal reorganization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saber Yezli
- Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Scientific Computing Department, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
- Global Centre for Mass Gathering Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, 12341, Saudi Arabia.
- Experimental Medicine Department, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center/King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences 11481, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
| | - Altaf H Khan
- Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, King Abdullah International Center for Medical Research / King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences 11481, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Yara M Yassin
- Global Centre for Mass Gathering Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, 12341, Saudi Arabia
| | - Anas A Khan
- Global Centre for Mass Gathering Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, 12341, Saudi Arabia
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh, 12372, Saudi Arabia
| | - Badriah M Alotaibi
- Global Centre for Mass Gathering Medicine, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, 12341, Saudi Arabia
| | - Abderrezak Bouchama
- Experimental Medicine Department, King Abdullah International Medical Research Center/King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences 11481, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
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Fong KC, Heo S, Lim CC, Kim H, Chan A, Lee W, Stewart R, Choi HM, Son JY, Bell ML. The Intersection of Immigrant and Environmental Health: A Scoping Review of Observational Population Exposure and Epidemiologic Studies. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 2022; 130:96001. [PMID: 36053724 PMCID: PMC9438924 DOI: 10.1289/ehp9855] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2021] [Revised: 07/05/2022] [Accepted: 08/01/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Transnational immigration has increased since the 1950s. In countries such as the United States, immigrants now account for > 15 % of the population. Although differences in health between immigrants and nonimmigrants are well documented, it is unclear how environmental exposures contribute to these disparities. OBJECTIVES We summarized current knowledge comparing immigrants' and nonimmigrants' exposure to and health effects of environmental exposures. METHODS We conducted a title and abstract review on articles identified through PubMed and selected those that assessed environmental exposures or health effects separately for immigrants and nonimmigrants. After a full text review, we extracted the main findings from eligible studies and categorized each article as exposure-focused, health-focused, or both. We also noted each study's exposure of interest, study location, exposure and statistical methods, immigrant and comparison groups, and the intersecting socioeconomic characteristics controlled for. RESULTS We conducted a title and abstract review on 3,705 articles, a full text review on 84, and extracted findings from 50 studies. There were 43 studies that investigated exposure (e.g., metals, organic compounds, fine particulate matter, hazardous air pollutants) disparities, but only 12 studies that assessed health disparities (e.g., mortality, select morbidities). Multiple studies reported higher exposures in immigrants compared with nonimmigrants. Among immigrants, studies sometimes observed exposure disparities by country of origin and time since immigration. Of the 50 studies, 43 were conducted in North America. DISCUSSION The environmental health of immigrants remains an understudied area, especially outside of North America. Although most identified studies explored potential exposure disparities, few investigated subsequent differences in health effects. Future research should investigate environmental health disparities of immigrants, especially outside North America. Additional research gaps include the role of immigrants' country of origin and time since immigration, as well as the combined effects of immigrant status with intersecting socioeconomic characteristics, such as race/ethnicity, income, and education attainment. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP9855.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kelvin C. Fong
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Seulkee Heo
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Chris C. Lim
- Zuckerman College of Public Health, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA
| | - Honghyok Kim
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Alisha Chan
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- School of Engineering & Applied Science, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Whanhee Lee
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Department of Environmental Medicine, College of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Rory Stewart
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | | | - Ji-Young Son
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Michelle L. Bell
- School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
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Evangelopoulos D, Analitis A, Giannakopoulos C, Katsouyanni K. Does climatic zone of birth modify the temperature-mortality association of London inhabitants during the warm season? A time-series analysis for 2004-2013. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2021; 193:110357. [PMID: 33131709 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.110357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2020] [Revised: 08/11/2020] [Accepted: 10/13/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is known that on days with high temperatures higher mortality is observed and there is a minimum mortality temperature (MMT) point which is higher in places with warmer climate. This indicates some population adaptation to local climate but information on how quickly this adaptation will occur under climate change is lacking. METHODS To investigate this, we associated daily mortality data with temperature during the warm period in 2004-2013 for London inhabitants born in five climatic zones (UK, Tropical, Sub-tropical, Boreal and Mixed). We fitted Poisson regression with distributed-lag non-linear models for each climatic zone group separately to estimate group-specific exposure-response associations and MMTs. We report relative risks of death comparing the 95th percentile (21 °C) and maximum (25 °C) of the temperature distribution in London with the zone-specific minimum mortality temperature. RESULTS No heat-related mortality was observed for people born in countries with Sub-tropical and Mixed climates. We observed an increase of 26%, 35% and 39% in the risk of death at 25 °C compared to the MMT in people born in the UK (marine climate), Tropical and Boreal climate respectively. The temperatures with the lowest mortality in these groups ranged from 15.9 to 17.7 °C. DISCUSSION Our findings imply that people born in different climatic zones do not adapt fully to their new environment within their lifetime. This implies that populations may not adapt readily to climate change and will suffer increased effects from heat. In the presence of climate change, policy makers should be aware of a delayed process of adaptation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Antonis Analitis
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Christos Giannakopoulos
- Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Klea Katsouyanni
- Environmental Research Group, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom; Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
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