Advancement in HCC imaging: diagnosis, staging and treatment efficacy assessments: hepatocellular carcinoma: imaging in assessing treatment efficacy. J Hepatobiliary Pancreat Sci. 2010;17:374-379. [PMID: 19924373 DOI: 10.1007/s00534-009-0230-3]

Diagnostic performance of ultrasound elastography in differentiating hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic value of ultrasound elastography (USE) for characterizing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

METHODS

The protocol was pre-registered a priori at ( https://osf.io/namvk/ ). Using PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library, we found studies up to April 20, 2024 by searching HCC, ICC, and USE as keywords. Parameters of USE were directly compared between HCC and ICC patients using random-effects bivariate model on STATA 17.0, MedCalc 20.0, and Psychometrica. Trim & fill method and sensitivity analysis were also performed.

RESULTS

Eighteen studies were included with 1057 patients, consisting of 863 HCC lesions, 188 ICC lesions, and 6 mixed lesions. The pooled Emean values of HCC and ICC were 28.3 (CI = 19.8 to 36.8) and 44.0 (CI = 20.9 to 67.2). HCC tumors were 34.3% softer than ICC while peritumoral tissue in HCC lesions was 75% stiffer than ICC lesions based on Emean. The strain value index (tumoral-to-peritumoral ratio) in HCC patients was 49.4% less than that of ICC patients. USE demonstrated a pool sensitivity of 87% (CI = 73-95%), specificity of 82% (CI = 65-92%), positive likelihood ratio of 4.8 (CI = 2.2 to 10.3), negative likelihood ratio of 0.16 (CI = 0.07 to 0.37), and diagnostic odds ratio of 31 (CI = 7 to 127) in differentiation of ICC from HCC.

CONCLUSION

By evaluating tumoral and pre-tumoral stiffness, along with strain value index, USE may provide a valuable quantitative diagnostic tool for accurately differentiating HCC and ICC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: French Intergroup Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up (SNFGE, FFCD, GERCOR, UNICANCER, SFCD, SFED, SFRO, AFEF, SIAD, SFR/FRI)

INTRODUCTION

This document is a summary of the French Intergroup guidelines regarding the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) published in March 2019.

METHOD

It is a collaborative work under the auspices of most of the French medical societies involved in the management of HCC. It is based on the previous guidelines published in 2017. Recommendations are graded in 3 categories according to the level of evidence of data found in the literature.

RESULTS

The diagnosis and staging of HCC is essentially based on clinical, biological and imaging features. A pathological analysis obtained by a biopsy of tumoral and non-tumoral liver is recommended. HCCs can be divided into 2 groups, taking into account not only the tumor stage, but also liver function. HCCs accessible to curative treatments are tumors that are in Milan criteria or with an AFP score ≤ 2, mainly treated by surgical resection, local ablation or liver transplantation. Intermediate and advanced HCCs with no liver insufficiency, accessible only to palliative treatments, benefit from TACE, SIRT or systemic therapy according to the presence or absence of macrovascular invasion or extrahepatic spread.

CONCLUSION

Such recommendations are in permanent optimization and each individual case must be discussed in a multidisciplinary expert board.

Evaluation of Contrast-Enhanced Intraoperative Ultrasound in the Detection and Management of Liver Lesions in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

AIM

To evaluate the role of contrast-enhanced intraoperative ultrasound (CE-IOUS) during liver surgery in the detection and management of liver lesions in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From December 2016 to December 2017, 50 patients with HCC, who were candidates for liver resection, were evaluated with intraoperative ultrasound (IOUS). For all patients, MRI and/or CT were performed before surgery. During surgery, IOUS was performed after liver mobilization, and when nodules that had not been detected in the preoperative MRI and/or CT were observed, CE-IOUS scans were carried out with the dual purpose of better characterizing the unknown lesion and discovering new lesions.

RESULTS

In 12 patients, IOUS showed 14 nodules not detected by preoperative MRI and/or CT, before surgery. Out of the 12 lesions, five presented vascular features compatible with those of malignant HCC to the evaluation with CE-IOUS and four of these were simultaneously treated with intraoperative radiofrequency ablation (RFA). The fifth lesion was resected by the surgeon. The remaining nine lesions recognized by IOUS were evaluated as benign at CE-IOUS and considered regenerative nodules. The last diagnosis was confirmed during follow-up obtained by means of CT and/or MRI after 1, 3, 6, or 12 months.

CONCLUSION

In our experience, CE-IOUS is a useful diagnostic tool in both benign pathologies, such as regenerative nodules, and malignant liver lesions. The advantage of this approach is the possibility of intraoperatively characterizing, based on vascularization patterns, lesions that could not be diagnosed by preoperative imaging, resulting in modification of the surgical therapy decision and expansion of the resection or intraoperative ablation.

The role of acoustic radiation force impulse elastography in the differentiation of benign and malignant focal liver masses

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The aim of this study was to evaluate elasticity of benign and malign focal liver lesions and surrounding parenchyma as measured by acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

34 hemangiomas, 4 focal nodular hyperplasia (FNH), 10 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 22 metastatic lesions from a total of 62 patients were examined with ARFI elastography. ARFI measurements for each tumor type were expressed as mean ± standard deviation for liver mass and surrounding parenchyma. ARFI values were compared between tumor types and surrounding parencyhma.

RESULTS

The mean stiffness values were 2.15±0.73 m/s for hemangiomas (n=34), 3.22±0.18 m/s for FNH (n=4), 2.75±0.53 m/s for HCC (n=10) and 3.59±0.51 m/s for metastasis (n=22). Although there was not a significant difference between hemangiomas and HCC lesions in ARFI values (p>0.05), hemangiomas showed significantly different ARFI values from FNH and metastases (p<0.05). Also, there were significant differences in ARFI values between malignant and benign masses. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curves for discriminating the malignant from benign liver masses was 0.826 (p<0.001). An ARFI value of 2.32 m/s was selected as cut-off value to differentiate malignant liver masses from benign ones (sensitivity: 0.93, specificity: 0.60).

CONCLUSION

Although currently ARFI is not a definitive method for the primary diagnosis of focal solid liver lesions, it provides additional important information non-invasively for differential diagnosis.

MRI manifestations of hepatic perfusion disorders

The present study aimed to analyze the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) results from patients with hepatic perfusion disorders (HPD) and liver diseases, in order to assess the pathogenetic mechanisms. This was completed byanalyzing the causes of HPD in 35 patients to assess if they were associated with arterioportal shunt, and classify the patients according to results from the MRI scans. Of the 35 patients, 26 (74.3%) with HPD presented with hepatocellular carcinoma, a major cause of HPD. The HPD phenomenon in 35 patients was not identified as obvious abnormal lesions on T2WI and T1WI according to the isointensity on diffusion weighted images. Enhanced scanning showed hyperintense signals on the arterial phase images, isointense or hyperintense signals on portal phase and delayed phase images. According to their MRI findings, hepatic perfusion disorders may be divided into different types, as follows: Diffuse, lobe or segment type, wedge type and platy. The HPD phenomenon may herald an underlying abnormality of liver disease and MRI may accurately diagnose HPDs in liver diseases.

Parametric response mapping of dynamic CT: enhanced prediction of survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of parametric response mapping (PRM) analysis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

We recruited 65 HCC patients who underwent TACE. These patients underwent longitudinal multiphasic CT before and after TACE. We applied PRM analysis to the baseline CT before TACE and first/second follow-up CTs. The results of PRM analyses were used to stratify patients into responders and non-responders. Overall survival was compared between the two groups. An independent survival analysis using conventional radiological assessments was performed, and the results were compared with PRM results. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify clinical factors affecting survival.

RESULTS

The PRM analyses demonstrated that the responding group had a median survival of 529 days, while the non-responding group had a median survival of 263 days [hazard ratio (HR) 12.9, p < 0.05 for differences in survival]. The manual analyses indicated median survivals of 491 and 329 days for the responding and non-responding groups, respectively (HR 2.7, p < 0.05). Tumor size, albumin level, and PRM values were found to be significantly related to overall survival after univariate and multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The PRM analysis could be a better predictor of overall survival for patients with HCC undergoing TACE than conventional radiological assessments.

[Hepatocellular carcinoma]

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly malignant tumor and is the most common cause of death in patients with underlying liver cirrhosis. The main risk factor for development of HCC is liver cirrhosis. Because of the increasing frequency of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, the incidence of HCC is also expected to considerably rise in Western countries in upcoming years. Identification and surveillance of patients at risk is crucial because curative treatment approaches can only be applied at early stages of the disease. Due to underlying liver cirrhosis, therapeutic strategies are limited and require intense interdisciplinary cooperation and multimodal approaches. However, a strong morphological and genetic heterogeneity of HCC remains a major challenge for development of new treatment modalities and demands personalized precision medicine approaches in order to improve patient outcome.

The Role of Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse Elastography in the Differentiation of Infectious and Neoplastic Liver Lesions

We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography in differentiating between hepatic lesions. The prospective study included 117 patients with liver masses. Shear wave velocity (SWV) values for lesions were determined by ARFI imaging and compared statistically. The difference between SWV values for benign and malignant hepatic masses was significant (p < 0.01). The threshold SWV value for malignant hepatic lesions was established at 2.52 m/s, and the sensitivity and specificity of this cut-off value were 97% and 66%, respectively. We concluded that ARFI elastography provides supplementary data that aid in the differential diagnosis of liver masses.

Imaging Modalities for Assessment of Treatment Response to Nonsurgical Hepatocellular Carcinoma Therapy: Contrast-Enhanced US, CT, and MRI

Tumor response and time to progression have been considered pivotal for surrogate assessment of treatment efficacy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recent advancements in imaging modalities such as contrast-enhanced ultrasound (US), computed tomography (CT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are playing an important role in assessing the therapeutic effects of HCC treatments. According to some HCC clinical guidelines, post-therapeutic evaluation of HCC patients is based exclusively on contrast-enhanced dynamic imaging criteria. The recommended techniques are contrast-enhanced CT or contrast-enhanced MRI. Contrast-enhanced US is employed more in the positive diagnosis of HCC than in post-therapeutic monitoring. Although contrast enhancement is an important finding on imaging, enhancement does not necessarily depict the same phenomenon across modalities. We need to become well acquainted with the characteristics of each modality, including not only contrast-enhanced CT and MRI but also contrast-enhanced US. Many nonsurgical treatment options are now available for unresectable HCC, and accurate assessment of tumor response is essential to achieve favorable outcomes. For the assessment of successful radiofrequency ablation (RFA), the achievement of a sufficient ablation margin as well the absence of tumor vascular enhancement is essential. To evaluate the response to transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), enhanced tumor shrinkage is relied on as a measure of antitumor activity. Here, we give an overview of the current status of imaging assessment of HCC response to nonsurgical treatments including RFA and TACE.

Evaluating the therapeutic effect of hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization by magnetic resonance perfusion imaging

PURPOSE

To compare the characteristics of magnetic resonance perfusion-weighted imaging (MRPWI) scans before and after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to apply MRPWI in evaluating the therapeutic effect of TACE and prognosis of HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-five patients with HCC undergoing their first TACE treatment were enrolled in this study. T2WI, T1WI, and PWI of MRI were performed 24-48 h before TACE and 48-168 h after TACE. Perfusion parameters calculated with the maximum slope were used to create a time-signal intensity curve (TSC). The efficacy of TACE treatment in HCC was evaluated by examining the hemodynamic changes in TSC caused by TACE treatment.

RESULTS

TSC before TACE showed a pattern of a quick decrease and a slow increase in the tumor region of interest in 34 patients with HCC, whereas the TSC for normal liver tissues showed a pattern of slow decrease and slow increase. After TACE, the fluctuating range of TSC was significantly reduced in 31 patients, slightly reduced in three, and did not change significantly in one. The 3-year survival rate was 28.6%.

CONCLUSION

MRPWI of the liver does not only show the anatomy of HCC lesions but also reflects hemodynamic changes of HCC before and after TACE to a certain extent. It is very useful for clinical evaluation of the efficacy of TACE for HCC.

Chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma: 1-month response determined with apparent diffusion coefficient is an independent predictor of outcome

PURPOSE

To evaluate the predictive utility of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) changes at diffusion-weighted (DW) magnetic resonance (MR) imaging 1 month after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1, European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) criteria, and modified RECIST (mRECIST).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional review board approval and informed consent were obtained for this prospective study. Thirty-eight patients with inoperable HCC underwent 1.5-T MR imaging, including DW imaging, before and 1 month after TACE. Responses 1 month after TACE were assessed with the ADC change relative to baseline (ADC ratio), RECIST, EASL criteria, and mRECIST. Eight patients underwent transplantation 4 months after TACE, allowing the association between response and histopathologic necrosis ratio to be determined. In 30 patients, Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to correlate the response variables with progression-free and overall survival.

RESULTS

Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5 months, and overall survival was 17.5 months. Survival analyses showed significant effects of pretreatment α-fetoprotein level (P = .03) and ADC ratio (P < .0001) on PFS and substantial effects of mRECIST, RECIST, and EASL criteria (.05 < P < .1). ADC ratio was a significant predictor of 5-month PFS (P < .001), with an accuracy of 93.3% compared with 53.3% with mRECIST and EASL criteria and 66.7% with RECIST. No response variables correlated with overall survival. Only the ADC ratio was significantly associated with histopathologic tumor necrosis (P = .03).

CONCLUSION

The ADC ratio 1 month after TACE was an independent predictor of PFS, which showed stronger association with tumor response than did RECIST, EASL criteria, or mRECIST.

Methodological assessment of HCC literature

Despite the fact that the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents a major health problem, very few interventions are available for this disease, and only sorafenib is approved for the treatment of advanced disease. Of note, only very few interventions have been thoroughly evaluated over time for HCC patients compared with several hundreds in other, equally highly lethal, tumours. Additionally, clinical trials in HCC have often been questioned for poor design and methodological issues. As a consequence, a gap between what is measured in clinical trials and what clinicians have to face in daily practice often occurs. As a result of this scenario, even the most recent guidelines for treatment of HCC patients use low strength evidence to make recommendations. In this review, we will discuss some of the potential methodological issues hindering a rational development of new treatments for HCC patients.

Acoustic radiation force impulse of the liver

Acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) imaging is a new and promising ultrasound-based diagnostic technique that, evaluating the wave propagation speed, allows the assessment of the tissue stiffness. ARFI is implemented in the ultrasound scanner. By short-duration acoustic radiation forces (less than 1 ms), localized displacements are generated in a selected region of interest not requiring any external compression so reducing the operator dependency. The generated wave scan provides qualitative or quantitative (wave velocity values) responses. Several non-invasive methods for assessing the staging of fibrosis are used, in order to avoid liver biopsy. Liver function tests and transient elastography are non-invasive, sensitive and accurate tools for the assessment of liver fibrosis and for the discrimination between cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic liver. Many published studies analyse ARFI performance and feasibility in studying diffuse liver diseases and compare them to other diagnostic imaging modalities such as conventional ultrasonography and transient elastography. Solid focal liver lesions, both benign and malignant, are common findings during abdominal examinations. The accurate characterization and differential diagnosis are important aims of all the imaging modalities available today. Only few papers describe the application of ARFI technology in the study of solid focal liver lesions, with different results. In the present study, the existing literature, to the best of our knowledge, about ARFI application on diffuse and focal liver pathology has been evaluated and results and statistical analyses have been compared, bringing to the conclusion that ARFI can be used in the study of the liver with similar accuracy as transient elastography in diagnosing significant fibrosis or cirrhosis and has got some advantages in respect to transient elastography since it does not require separate equipment, better displays anatomical structures and measurements can be successfully carried out almost in every patient.

Unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: MR imaging after intraarterial therapy. Part I. Identification and validation of volumetric functional response criteria

PURPOSE

To identify and validate the optimal thresholds for volumetric functional MR imaging response criteria to predict overall survival after intraarterial treatment (IAT) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional review board approval and waiver of informed consent were obtained. A total of 143 patients who had undergone MR imaging before and 3-4 weeks after the first cycle of IAT were included. MR imaging analysis of one representative HCC index lesion was performed with proprietary software after initial treatment. Subjects were randomly divided into training (n = 114 [79.7%]) and validation (n = 29 [20.3%]) data sets. Uni- and multivariate Cox models were used to determine the best cutoffs, as well as survival differences, between response groups in the validation data set.

RESULTS

Optimal cutoffs in the training data set were 23% increase in apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and 65% decrease in volumetric enhancement in the portal venous phase (VE). Subsequently, 25% increase in ADC and 65% decrease in VE were used to stratify patients in the validation data set. Comparison of ADC responders (n = 12 [58.6%]) with nonresponders (n = 17 [34.5%]) showed significant differences in survival (25th percentile survival, 11.2 vs 4.9 months, respectively; P = .008), as did VE responders (n = 9 [31.0%]) compared with nonresponders (n = 20 [69.0%]; 25th percentile survival, 11.5 vs 5.1 months, respectively; P = .01). Stratification of patients with a combination of the criteria resulted in significant differences in survival between patients with lesions that fulfilled both criteria (n = 6 [20.7%]; too few cases to determine 25th percentile), one criterion (n = 9 [31.0%]; 25th percentile survival, 6.0 months), and neither criterion (n = 14 [48.3%]; 25th percentile survival, 5.1 months; P = .01). The association between the two criteria and overall survival remained significant in a multivariate analysis that included age, sex, Barcelona Clinic for Liver Cancer stage, and number of follow-up treatments.

CONCLUSION

After IAT for unresectable HCC, patients can be stratified into significantly different survival categories based on responder versus nonresponder status according to MR imaging ADC and VE cutoffs.

Unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: MR imaging after intraarterial therapy. Part II. Response stratification using volumetric functional criteria after intraarterial therapy

PURPOSE

To assess whether volumetric functional magnetic resonance (MR) results 3-4 weeks after initial intraarterial therapy can aid accurate distinction between responders and nonresponders, to determine whether overall survival (OS) is improved, and to compare volumetric functional MR response with anatomic response criteria (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [RECIST], modified RECIST [mRECIST], European Association for the Study of the Liver [EASL]), as well as α1-fetoprotein [AFP] level.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this single-institution HIPAA-compliant retrospective, institutional review board-approved study, informed consent was waived; 143 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma underwent intraarterial therapy between October 2005 and February 2011. Volumetric functional MR response (25% or more increase in apparent diffusion coefficient, 65% or more decrease in enhancement) was stratified as follows: Dual-parameter responders fulfilled both criteria, single-parameter responders fulfilled one criterion, and those with stable disease (SD) fulfilled neither. RECIST, mRECIST, EASL, and AFP response criteria were determined. Kaplan-Meier technique, log-rank tests, and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to test whether OS was different per response.

RESULTS

OS differed significantly between single-parameter responders and dual-parameter responders (P = .01) and between single-parameter responders and those with SD (P = .001). Dual-parameter responders' response improved OS compared with single-parameter responders; risk of death decreased (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.28, P = .01). In those with SD compared with single-parameter responders, risk of death increased (HR = 2.09, P = .001). RECIST, mRECIST, and EASL stratification was short of significant; most lesions were classified as SD. Baseline AFP level increased in 55 patients; AFP responders versus AFP nonresponders had decreased risk of death (HR = 0.36, P = .002). Agreement between anatomic response criteria and volumetric functional MR findings (κ = 0.06-0.12) and between AFP response and imaging criteria (κ = -0.04 to 0.14) was low.

CONCLUSION

Volumetric functional MR response 3-4 weeks after initial intraarterial therapy showed improved OS. Volumetric functional MR was superior to current imaging (RECIST, mRECIST, and EASL) and biochemical (AFP level) response criteria.

Characterization of focal liver masses using acoustic radiation force impulse elastography

AIM

To investigate the diagnostic performance of acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography for characterizing focal liver mass by quantifying their stiffness.

METHODS

This prospective study included 62 patients with a focal liver mass that was well visualized on conventional ultrasonography performed in our institution from February 2011 to November 2011. Among them, 12 patients were excluded for ARFI measurement failure due to a lesion that was smaller than the region of the interest and at an inaccessible location (deeper than 8 cm) (n = 7) or poor compliance to hold their breath as required (n = 5). Finally, 50 patients with valid ARFI measurements were enrolled. If a patient had multiple liver masses, only one mass of interest was chosen. The masses were diagnosed by histological examination or clinical diagnostic criteria. During ultrasonographic evaluation, stiffness, expressed as velocity, was checked 10 times per focal liver mass and the surrounding liver parenchyma.

RESULTS

After further excluding three masses that were non-diagnostic on biopsy, a total of 47 focal mass lesions were tested, including 39 (83.0%) malignant masses [24 hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC), seven cholangiocellular carcinomas (CCC), and eight liver metastases] and eight (17.0%) benign masses (five hemangiomas and three focal nodular hyperplasias, FNH). Thirty-seven (74.0%) masses were confirmed by histological examination. The mean velocity was 2.48 m/s in HCCs, 1.65 m/s in CCCs, 2.35 m/s in metastases, 1.83 m/s in hemangiomas, and 0.97 m/s in FNHs. Although considerable overlap was still noted between malignant and benign masses, significant differences in ARFI values were observed between malignant and benign masses (mean 2.31 m/s vs 1.51 m/s, P = 0.047), as well as between HCCs and benign masses (mean 2.48 m/s vs 1.51 m/s, P = 0.006). The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC) for discriminating the malignant masses from benign masses was 0.724 (95%CI, 0.566-0.883, P = 0.048), and the AUROC for discriminating HCCs from benign masses was 0.813 (95%CI, 0.649-0.976, P = 0.008). To maximize the sum of sensitivity and specificity, an ARFI value of 1.82 m/s was selected as the cutoff value to differentiate malignant from benign liver masses. Furthermore, the cutoff value for distinguishing HCCs from benign masses was also determined to be 1.82 m/s. The diagnostic performance of the sum of the ARFI values for focal liver masses and the surrounding liver parenchyma to differentiate liver masses improved (AUROC = 0.853; 95%CI, 0.745-0.960; P = 0.002 in malignant liver masses vs benign ones and AUROC = 0.948; 95%CI, 0.896-0.992, P < 0.001 in HCCs vs benign masses).

CONCLUSION

ARFI elastography provides additional information for the differential diagnosis of liver masses. However, our results should be interpreted in clinical context, because considerable overlap in ARFI values existed among liver masses.

Survival of patients with primary liver cancer in central and northern Denmark, 1998-2009

Objective

Primary liver cancer (PLC) is a serious disease with high mortality. During the last decade, improvements in the diagnostic procedures and treatment of PLC may have improved survival. However, few updated longitudinal studies examined this issue. In a population-based setting, we studied changes in the prognoses over time.

Methods

Between 1998 and 2009, we identified all patients with PLC in the central and northern Denmark regions, with a combined population of 1.8 million. We determined age- and period-stratified survival, and computed mortality rate ratios (MRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), using Cox proportional hazard regression to assess changes over time, while controlling for age and gender. We conducted the analyses for PLC overall and separately for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cholangiocarcinoma, respectively.

Results

We included 1064 patients with PLC. Their median age was 69 years (range 17–94 years). The number of patients diagnosed with PLC in the period 2007–2009 was approximately 40% higher than the number in 1998–2000. One-year survival increased from 16% in 1998–2000 to 28% in 2007–2009, corresponding to an adjusted 1-year MRR of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.54–0.79). In patients aged <60 years, we found the most pronounced increase in 1-year survival, from 14% to 49% in women and from 19% to 41% in men. The 3- and 5-year survival in the entire cohort increased from 5% to a predicted 11% and from 2% to a predicted 7% during our study period, respectively. Accordingly, the expected 3- and 5-year adjusted MRRs were 0.68 (95% CI: 0.57–0.82) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.57–0.81), respectively. One-, 3-, and 5-year survival improved during the study period for both HCC and cholangiocarcinoma.

Conclusion

PLC survival remains poor in the Danish population, although we observed an increase over the period 1998–2009, particularly in young people.