The impact of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index as a prognostic factor for endoscopic papillectomy in ampullary tumors

Ampullary tumors exhibit increased Fusobacterium in both the tumor surface and surrounding duodenal mucosa during carcinoma progression

Understanding the complex interplay between intestinal microbiomes and ampullary tumors is crucial for distinguishing between adenomas and carcinomas, especially when considering the role of Fusobacterium. We characterized the microbiome associated with ampullary tumors using samples collected from the tumor surface (tumor samples, TSs) and surrounding normal duodenal mucosa (normal samples, NSs) via brush rubbing. In total, samples from 17 patients, divided into an adenoma group (n = 11) and a carcinoma group (n = 6), were analyzed. The Shannon α-diversity index was significantly higher in the carcinoma group compared with the adenoma group, indicating a more diverse bacterial community in the carcinoma environment. The TSs of the carcinoma group exhibited enrichment of Fusobacterium, Leptotrichia, Methylorubrum, and Micrococcus. The relative abundance of Fusobacterium increased as the tumor progressed. The NSs of the carcinoma group showed a higher presence of Fusobacterium, Porphyromonas, Granulicatella, Rikenellaceae RC9 gut group, and Solobacterium, whereas Bergeyella was more prevalent in the adenoma group. These results suggest that ampullary carcinomas exhibit a characteristic microbiome compared to adenomas. Fusobacterium is enriched in the tumor and surrounding normal duodenal mucosa, increases in abundance as the tumor progresses, and may be associated with ampullary tumors.

A case of pancreatic fistula with disruption of the inferior branch of the pancreatic duct caused by a pancreatic stent after endoscopic papillectomy

A 73-year-old man underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy for abdominal pain, which revealed an ampullary adenoma with no obvious extension into the bile or pancreatic ducts. Endoscopic papillectomy (EP) was performed and a 5-Fr 5-cm stent was placed in the pancreatic duct. The patient developed acute pancreatitis on postoperative day (POD) 1 and contrast-enhanced computed tomography performed on POD 2 revealed that the proximal end of the stent had migrated into the retroperitoneum, forming a pancreatic fistula. Stent removal and endoscopic nasopancreatic drainage were performed and the pancreatitis rapidly improved. The tumor was completely resected and after approximately three years of follow-up, no tumor recurrence or acute pancreatitis was observed.Retrospectively, the inferior branch of the pancreatic duct was prominent on pancreatography at the time of EP and the proximal end of the stent had dislocated into the inferior branch. The stent subsequently moved proximally, which could have caused pancreatitis and pancreatic fistula. The morphology of the pancreatic duct should be carefully monitored during stenting. Selecting a stent that matches each patient's specific pancreatic duct morphology may help physicians minimize the risk of adverse outcomes.

The impact of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index as a prognostic factor in patients with early gastric cancer after endoscopic submucosal dissection

BACKGROUND

The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) have proven to be valuable tools in predicting prognosis based on comorbidities and nutritional status in the context of surgical procedures and endoscopic resections. The age-Adjusted CCI (ACCI) has also shown utility in surgical settings, but its application to early gastric cancer (EGC) remains unexplored. Consequently, we aimed at clarifying the prognostic factors for EGC treated with endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).

METHODS

Patients who underwent ESD for EGC at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 2015 to February 2023 were included. The overall survival (OS) and prognostic predictive ability were evaluated based on patients and lesion characteristics.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 50 months, 15 patients died, but none from the gastric cancer. The 5-year survival rate was 90.0%. In univariate and multivariate analyses, a high ACCI (>4.5) was the only significant prognostic factor (Hazard ratio, 27.78; 95% confidence interval, 3.62-213.40; p < 0.01). The 5-year survival rates for patients with low ACCI (<4.5) and high ACCI were 98.9% and 72.9%, respectively (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

A high ACCI is a significant prognostic indicator for 5-year survival and the risk of mortality caused by other comorbidities. EGC suitable for ESD is unlikely to serve as a prognostic factor, and ACCI should be considered as an important reference when considering additional surgical procedures in high-ACCI patients after ESD with endoscopic curability (eCura) C-2 for EGC.

The Prognostic Value of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index Supporting Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients with First-Line Platinum-Based Chemotherapy

Purpose

This study aimed to examine the association between the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (ie, neutrophil count × platelet count/lymphocyte count), the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI), and overall survival (OS) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients undergoing first-line platinum-based chemotherapy (PBC), with a particular emphasis on the role of SII in supporting ACCI.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective study enrolled 353 cases treated between July 2013 and November 2020. Mann-Whitney U-test and Kruskal-Wallis test were employed to compare parameters between high and low SII groups. The cut-off values for SII and ACCI were determined using the X-tile software. Prognostic significance was evaluated through the utilization of Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis.

Results

In a univariate Cox regression analysis, sex, age, TNM, lymph node, therapy, SII, and ACCI were associated with OS. After adjusting for confounders in the multivariate analysis, TNM, SII, and ACCI remained independent prognostic factors for OS. Furthermore, within the ACCI subgroups (ACCI<5 or ACCI≥5), a high SII was significantly associated with an increased risk of death. Patients with both a high ACCI and a high SII had the highest risk of death (p < 0.001), with a loss of approximately ten months of survival during the first three years after treatment.

Conclusion

SII was proven to be valuable in predicting OS and, when complemented by ACCI, can help tailor prognostic assessment and treatment strategies in assessing the survival of NSCLC patients with first-line PBC.

Machine learning model to predict early recurrence in patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma planned treatment with curative resection: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence is the leading cause of death for patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) after surgery. Identifying high-risk patients preoperatively is important. This study aimed to construct a preoperative prediction model for the early recurrence of patients with pCCA to facilitate planned treatment with curative resection.

METHODS

This study ultimately enrolled 400 patients with pCCA after curative resection in 5 hospitals between 2013 and 2019. They were randomly divided into training (n = 300) and testing groups (n = 100) at a ratio of 3:1. Associated variables were identified via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Four machine learning models were constructed: support vector machine, random forest (RF), logistic regression, and K-nearest neighbors. The predictive ability of the models was evaluated via receiving operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curve (PRC) curves, and decision curve analysis. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves were drawn for the high-/low-risk population.

RESULTS

Five factors: carbohydrate antigen 19-9, tumor size, total bilirubin, hepatic artery invasion, and portal vein invasion, were selected by LASSO regression. In both the training and testing groups, the ROC curve (area under the curve: 0.983 vs 0.952) and the PRC (0.981 vs 0.939) showed that RF was the best. The cutoff value for distinguishing high- and low-risk patients was 0.51. K-M survival curves revealed that in both groups, there was a significant difference in RFS between high- and low-risk patients (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

This study used preoperative variables from a large, multicenter database to construct a machine learning model that could effectively predict the early recurrence of pCCA in patients to facilitate planned treatment with curative resection and help clinicians make better treatment decisions.

Effect of MELD-Na score on overall survival of periampullary cancer

Periampullary cancers have a short overall survival (OS), and many prognostic factors have been studied for this purpose. They usually present with biliary obstruction, which negatively affects the liver, kidney, immune system, and cardiovascular system. This study aimed to investigate the effect of MELD-Na scores on OS in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy due to periampullary cancer. Patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy due to periampullary cancer between January 2010 and January 2021 were included in the study. After applying the exclusion criteria, 80 of the 124 patients were included in the study. The demographic, laboratory, and pathologic data of the patients were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate analysis showed that MELD-Na score at admission, age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index, adjuvant treatment, portal vein resection, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), T-stage, and tumor location were significantly associated with OS (p < 0.1). In multivariate analysis, MELD-Na score at admission (HR: 1.051, 95% CI [1.004-1.101]; p = 0.033), adjuvant treatment (HR: 4.717, 95% CI [2.371-9.383]; p < 0.001), LVI (HR: 2.473, 95% CI [1.355-4.515]; p = 0.003), and tumor location (HR: 2.380, 95% CI [1.274-4.445]; p = 0.007) were independent risk factors for OS. MELD-Na score, adjuvant treatment, LVI, and tumor location were independent risk factors for the OS of periampullary cancer. The MELD-Na score may be used to predict OS for patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy due to periampullary cancer.

Predicting the potentially exacerbation of severe viral pneumonia in hospital by MuLBSTA score joint CD4 + and CD8 +T cell counts: construction and verification of risk warning model

PURPOSE

This study mainly focuses on the immune function and introduces CD4+, CD8+ T cells and their ratios based on the MuLBSTA score, a previous viral pneumonia mortality risk warning model, to construct an early warning model of severe viral pneumonia risk.

METHODS

A retrospective single-center observational study was operated from January 2021 to December 2022 at the People's Hospital of Liangjiang New Area, Chongqing, China. A total of 138 patients who met the criteria for viral pneumonia in hospital were selected and their data, including demographic data, comorbidities, laboratory results, CT scans, immunologic and pathogenic tests, treatment regimens, and clinical outcomes, were collected and statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

Forty-one patients (29.7%) developed severe or critical illness. A viral pneumonia severe risk warning model was successfully constructed, including eight parameters: age, bacterial coinfection, CD4+, CD4+/CD8+, multiple lung lobe infiltrations, smoking, hypertension, and hospital admission days. The risk score for severe illness in patients was set at 600 points. The model had good predictive performance (AUROC = 0.94397), better than the original MuLBSTA score (AUROC = 0.8241).

CONCLUSION

A warning system constructed based on immune function has a good warning effect on the risk of severe conversion in patients with viral pneumonia.

Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index is associated with the risk of osteoporosis in older fall-prone men: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence linking the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI), an assessment tool for multimorbidity, to fragility fracture and fracture-related postoperative complications. However, the role of multimorbidity in osteoporosis has not yet been thoroughly evaluated. We aimed to investigate the association between aCCI and the risk of osteoporosis in older adults at moderate to high risk of falling.

METHODS

A total of 947 men were included from January 2015 to August 2022 in a hospital in Beijing, China. The aCCI was calculated by counting age and each comorbidity according to their weighted scores, and the participants were stratified into two groups by aCCI: low (aCCI < 5), and high (aCCI ≥5). The Kaplan Meier method was used to assess the cumulative incidence of osteoporosis by different levels of aCCI. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate the association of aCCI with the risk of osteoporosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was adapted to assess the performance for aCCI in osteoporosis screening.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean age of all patients was 75.7 years, the mean BMI was 24.8 kg/m2, and 531 (56.1%) patients had high aCCI while 416 (43.9%) were having low aCCI. During a median follow-up of 6.6 years, 296 participants developed osteoporosis. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that participants with high aCCI had significantly higher cumulative incidence of osteoporosis compared with those had low aCCI (log-rank test: P < 0.001). When aCCI was examined as a continuous variable, the multivariable-adjusted model showed that the osteoporosis risk increased by 12.1% (HR = 1.121, 95% CI 1.041-1.206, P = 0.002) as aCCI increased by one unit. When aCCI was changed to a categorical variable, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios associated with different levels of aCCI [low (reference group) and high] were 1.00 and 1.557 (95% CI 1.223-1.983) for osteoporosis (P <  0.001), respectively. The aCCI (cutoff ≥5) revealed an area under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.566 (95%CI 0.527-0.605, P = 0.001) in identifying osteoporosis in older fall-prone men, with sensitivity of 64.9% and specificity of 47.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study indicated an association of higher aCCI with an increased risk of osteoporosis among older fall-prone men, supporting the possibility of aCCI as a marker of long-term skeletal-related adverse clinical outcomes.

Impact of sarcopenia on the short-term and long-term outcomes of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma undergoing hepatectomy: A multi-center study

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia is associated with adverse prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) after surgery.

METHODS

321 patients with iCCA undergoing surgery were retrospectively recruited and assigned to training and validation cohort. Skeletal muscle index (SMI) was assessed to define sarcopenia. Logistic regression and cox regression analysis were used to identify risk factors. A novel sarcopenia-based nomogram was constructed and validated by ROC curves, calibration curves, and DCA curves.

RESULTS

260 patients were included for analysis. The median age was 63.0 years and 161 patients (61.9%) were diagnosed with sarcopenia. Patients with sarcopenia exhibited a higher rate of postoperative complications, a worse OS and RFS than patients without sarcopenia. Sarcopenia, low albumin and intraoperative blood transfusion were independent risk factors of postoperative complications, while sarcopenia and low albumin were risk factors of high CCI≥26.2. Sarcopenia, high PS score, low-undifferentiated differentiation, perineural invasion, TNM stage III-IV were risk factors of OS, and a novel nomogram based on these five factors was built to predict the 12-, 24-, and 36-months OS, with the mean AUC > 0.6.

CONCLUSION

Sarcopenia is negatively associated with both postoperative complications and survival prognosis of iCCA undergoing hepatectomy.

Endoscopic papillectomy could be rewarding to patients with early stage duodenal ampullary carcinoma?

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

There is currently no consensus on the use of endoscopic papillectomy (EP) for early stage duodenal ampullary adenocarcinoma. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of EP for patients with early stage duodenal ampullary adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Patients who underwent EP for ampullary adenocarcinomas were investigated. Complete and clinical complete resection rates were evaluated. Clinical complete resection was defined as either complete resection or resection with positive or unknown margins but no cancer in the surgically resected specimen, or no recurrence on endoscopy after at least a 1-year follow-up.

RESULTS

Adenocarcinoma developed in 30 patients (carcinoma in situ [Tis]: 21, mucosal tumors [T1a(M)]: 4, tumors in the sphincter of Oddi [T1a(OD)]: 5). The complete resection rate was 60.0% (18/30) (Tis: 66.7% [14/21], T1a[M]: 50.0% [2/4], and T1a[OD]: 40.0% [2/5]). The mean follow-up period was 46.8 months. The recurrence rate for all patients was 6.7% (2/30). The clinical complete resection rates of adenocarcinoma were 89.2% (25/28); rates for Tis, T1a(M), and T1a(OD) were 89.4% (17/19), 100% (4/4), and 80% (4/5), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

EP may potentially achieve clinical complete resection of early stage (Tis and T1a) duodenal ampullary adenocarcinomas.

The prognostic value of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index in laparoscopic resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma

The prognostic role of the Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (ACCI) in hilar cholangiocarcinoma patients undergoing laparoscopic resection is unclear. To evaluate ACCI's effect on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), we gathered data from 136 patients who underwent laparoscopic resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma at Zhengzhou University People's Hospital between 1 June 2018 and 1 June 2022. ACCI scores were categorized into high ACCI (ACCI > 4.0) and low ACCI (ACCI ≤ 4.0) groups. We examined ACCI's association with OS and RFS using Cox regression analyses and developed an ACCI-based nomogram for survival prediction. Our analysis revealed that higher ACCI scores (ACCI > 4.0) (HR = 2.14, 95%CI: 1.37-3.34) were identified as an independent risk factor significantly affecting both OS and RFS in postoperative patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma (p < 0.05). TNM stage III-IV (HR = 7.42, 95%CI: 3.11-17.68), not undergoing R0 resection (HR = 1.58, 95%CI: 1.01-2.46), hemorrhage quantity > 350 mL (HR = 1.92, 95%CI: 1.24-2.97), and not receiving chemotherapy (HR = 1.89, 95%CI: 1.21-2.95) were also independent risk factors for OS. The ACCI-based nomogram accurately predicted the 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates, with Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of 0.818, 0.844, and 0.924, respectively. Calibration curves confirmed the nomogram's accuracy, and decision curve analysis highlighted its superior predictive performance. These findings suggest that a higher ACCI is associated with a worse prognosis in patients undergoing laparoscopic resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma. The ACCI-based nomogram could aid clinicians in making accurate predictions about patient survival and facilitate individualized treatment planning.

Development of a model based on the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index to predict survival for resected perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) has a poor prognosis and urgently needs a better predictive method. The predictive value of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) for the long-term prognosis of patients with multiple malignancies was recently reported. However, pCCA is one of the most surgically difficult gastrointestinal tumors with the poorest prognosis, and the value of the ACCI for the prognosis of pCCA patients after curative resection is unclear.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of the ACCI and to design an online clinical model for pCCA patients.

METHODS

Consecutive pCCA patients after curative resection between 2010 and 2019 were enrolled from a multicenter database. The patients were randomly assigned 3:1 to training and validation cohorts. In the training and validation cohorts, all patients were divided into low-, moderate-, and high-ACCI groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to determine the impact of the ACCI on overall survival (OS) for pCCA patients, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine the independent risk factors affecting OS. An online clinical model based on the ACCI was developed and validated. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance and fit of this model.

RESULTS

A total of 325 patients were included. There were 244 patients in the training cohort and 81 patients in the validation cohort. In the training cohort, 116, 91 and 37 patients were classified into the low-, moderate- and high-ACCI groups. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that patients in the moderate- and high-ACCI groups had worse survival rates than those in the low-ACCI group. Multivariable analysis revealed that moderate and high ACCI scores were independently associated with OS in pCCA patients after curative resection. In addition, an online clinical model was developed that had ideal C-indexes of 0.725 and 0.675 for predicting OS in the training and validation cohorts. The calibration curve and ROC curve indicated that the model had a good fit and prediction performance.

CONCLUSION

A high ACCI score may predict poor long-term survival in pCCA patients after curative resection. High-risk patients screened by the ACCI-based model should be given more clinical attention in terms of the management of comorbidities and postoperative follow-up.

Effect of the Age-Adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index on the Survival of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients after Radical Esophagectomy

We aimed to investigate whether the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) can predict the postoperative overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Between 1 July 2015 and 31 July 2021, a retrospective cohort study was conducted among patients with primary ESCC who underwent radical esophagectomy. A total of 352 patients were included, with median age of 63.00 (IQR (interquartile range) 56.00-68.00). The patients were divided into low (n = 300) and high (n = 52) ACCI groups based on the optimal cut-off value of 5 points. Chronic pulmonary disease (38.4%) was the most common comorbidity. The results of the multivariate Cox regression showed that the ACCI (HR = 1.63, 95%CI: 1.04-2.56), tumor size (HR = 1.67, 95%CI: 1.05-2.66), pTNM (II vs. I, HR = 4.74, 95%CI: 1.82-12.32; III vs. I, HR = 6.08, 95%CI: 2.37-15.60), and postoperative chemotherapy (HR = 0.60, 95%CI: 0.40-0.91) were significantly associated with the OS. Furthermore, the ACCI, tumor size, pTNM, and postoperative chemotherapy were also significantly associated with the CSS. Interactions were identified between the ACCI and postoperative chemotherapy, pTNM stage, and tumor size in relation to the OS and CSS. In conclusion, the ACCI may be an independent prognostic factor affecting the long-term prognosis of patients after radical esophagectomy.

Long-term oncological outcomes after oral cancer surgery using propofol-based total intravenous anesthesia versus sevoflurane-based inhalation anesthesia: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Previous studies have shown that the anesthetic technique may influence long-term outcomes after cancer surgery. However, the association between the anesthetic technique and long-term oncological outcomes after oral cancer surgery remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted this study to address this gap.

Methods

We reviewed the electronic medical records of patients who underwent elective oral cancer surgery between January 2014 and December 2015. The patients were grouped based on the anesthesia maintenance: either propofol or sevoflurane. Propensity score matching in a 1:1 ratio was performed to deal with the potential confounding effects of baseline characteristics. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to compare hazard ratios (HRs) and identify the risk factors for death and recurrence. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan–Meier method, and survival curves were constructed from the date of surgery to death.

Results

In total, 1347 patients were eligible for analysis, with 343 and 1004 patients in the propofol and sevoflurane groups, respectively. After propensity score matching, 302 patients remained in each group. Kaplan–Meier survival curves demonstrated the 5-year overall and recurrence-free survival rates of 59.3% and 56.0% and 62.7% and 56.5% in the propofol and sevoflurane groups, respectively. There was no significant difference in overall survival or recurrence-free survival between the groups. The multivariate Cox analysis verified this conclusion with HRs of 1.10 and 1.11 for overall survival and recurrence-free survival, respectively, in the sevoflurane group. Older age, advanced tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class III were associated with poor overall survival. Patients with advanced TNM stage and poorly differentiated squamous cell carcinoma had a higher recurrence risk than their counterparts.

Conclusion

The overall and recurrence-free survival rates were similar between propofol-based intravenous anesthesia and sevoflurane volatile anesthesia in patients who underwent oral cancer surgery.