Less intensive surveillance after radical surgery for stage I-III colorectal cancer by focusing on the doubling time of recurrence

Cost-effectiveness of surveillance intervals after curative resection of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Major guidelines consistently recommend 5 years of postoperative surveillance for patients with colorectal cancer. However, they differ in their recommendations for examination intervals and whether they should vary according to disease stage. Furthermore, there are no reports on the cost-effectiveness of the different surveillance schedules. The objective of this study is to identify the most cost-effective surveillance intervals after curative resection of colorectal cancer.

METHODS

A total of 3701 patients who underwent curative surgery for colorectal cancer at the National Cancer Center Hospital were included. A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted for the five surveillance strategies with reference to the guidelines. Expected medical costs and quality-adjusted life years after colorectal cancer resection were calculated using a state-transition model by Monte Carlo simulation. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per quality-adjusted life years gained was calculated for each strategy, with a maximum acceptable value of 43 500-52 200 USD (5-6 million JPY).

RESULTS

Stages I, II and III included 1316, 1082 and 1303 patients, respectively, with 45, 140 and 338 relapsed cases. For patients with stage I disease, strategy 4 (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $26 555/quality-adjusted life year) was considered to be the most cost-effective, while strategies 3 ($83 071/quality-adjusted life year) and 2 ($289 642/quality-adjusted life year) exceeded the threshold value. In stages II and III, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for strategy 3 was the most cost-effective option, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $18 358-22 230/quality-adjusted life year.

CONCLUSIONS

In stage I, the cost-effectiveness of intensive surveillance is very poor and strategy 4 is the most cost-effective. Strategy 3 is the most cost-effective in stages II and III.

Relationship Between MUC4 Variants and Metastatic Recurrence in Colorectal Cancer

Background

Recurrent metastasis after radical resection in patients of colorectal cancer (CRC) is a great challenge for the world, in which genomic alterations play a major role in tumorigenesis. MUC4 plays a significant role in recurrence and metastasis in tumor. This study is aimed at exploring the association between MUC4 variants and metastatic recurrence of CRC.

Methods

Forty-seven patients relapsing with metastasis and 37 patients remaining disease-free postoperatively were enrolled. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) detected mutations. Mutation and mRNA expression data were downloaded from TCGA and cBioPortal databases. We analyzed the relationship between MUC4 variants and clinical parameters, as well as possible molecular mechanisms.

Results

MUC4 variants rs56359992 and rs781124621 were associated with survival in patients with CRC. Rs56359992 was more common in patients with metastatic recurrence. MAPK pathway, PI3K-Akt pathway, JAK-STAT pathway, cell cycle, WNT pathway and mTOR pathway were found to correlate with MUC4 mutation by GO/KEGG analysis, as well as resting and activated mast cell related to MUC4 mutation by CIBERSORT analysis.

Conclusion

Genetic variants of MUC4 with CRC may constitute a molecular signature of metastatic recurrence. MUC4 may become a new target for the treatment of CRC recurrence.

The survival after recurrence of colorectal cancer: a retrospective study focused on time to recurrence after curative resection

PURPOSE

The significance of the duration of the recurrence-free survival after curative resection for colorectal cancer remains unclear. The purpose was to reveal the association between time to recurrence after surgery and the survival after recurrence.

METHODS

Patients with stage II and III colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection between 2007 and 2015 were retrospectively reviewed (n = 645). Patients with recurrence after surgery (n = 133) were divided into 2 groups: early recurrence (within 13 months after surgery, n = 63) and late recurrence (more than 13 months after surgery, n = 70). The overall survival after recurrence and clinicopathological features were compared between early recurrence, late recurrence, and without recurrence groups.

RESULTS

The overall survival after recurrence was significantly shorter in patients with early recurrence occurring at less than 13 months (hazard ratio: 1.70, p = 0.03). A high preoperative CA19-9 level (odds ratio [OR]: 2.38, p = 0.03), venous invasion (OR: 2.26, p = 0.03), and the absence of adjuvant chemotherapy (OR: 2.08, p = 0.04) were independently correlated with early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Early recurrence was associated with a poor prognosis after recurrence. Venous invasion correlated with early recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy may reduce the risk of early recurrence. These results indicate the importance of prudent surveillance and the aggressive application of adjuvant chemotherapy.