Clinical outcomes and prognostic factors for esophageal cancer in patients aged 80 years or older who were treated with definitive radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy

Development of a prognostic nomogram and risk stratification system for elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing definitive radiotherapy: a multicenter retrospective analysis (3JECROG R-03 A)

BACKGROUND

Our goal is to develop a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) for elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients receiving definitive radiotherapy (RT) or concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT), aiding clinicians in personalized treatment planning with a risk stratification system.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 718 elderly ESCC patients treated with RT or CRT at 10 medical centers (3JECROG) from January 2004 to November 2016. We identified independent prognostic factors using univariate and multifactorial Cox regression to construct a nomogram model. Its effectiveness was evaluated using concordance statistics (C-index), area under the curve (AUC), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and compared against the AJCC staging. Additionally, decision curve analysis (DCA) assessed the model's clinical benefit. Patients were stratified into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups using the nomogram, and their prognoses in various disease stages were analyzed.

RESULTS

Significant prognostic factors identified included diabetes, tumor volume (GTVp), tumor length, location, and clinical stages (T, N, M), and RT response. Multivariate analysis confirmed these as independent factors for OS. The nomogram outperformed AJCC staging in prediction accuracy and discrimination, evidenced by a higher C-index, better AUC, and significant NRI and IDI values. Patients categorized by the nomogram demonstrated distinct 5-year OS rates, with a higher C-index than AJCC staging (0.597 vs. 0.562) .

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified key prognostic factors for elderly ESCC patients receiving RT or CRT. The nomogram model, based on these factors, showed enhanced prediction performance, discrimination, and clinical utility compared to AJCC staging. This risk stratification provided more accurate survival predictions and aided in personalized risk management.

Management of esogastric cancer in older patients

Although esogastric cancers often affect patients over 75, there are no specific age-related guidelines for the care of these patients. Esogastric cancers have a poor prognosis and require multimodal treatment to obtain a cure. The morbidity and mortality of these multimodal treatments can be limited if care is optimized by selecting patients for neoadjuvant treatment and surgery. This can include a geriatric assessment, prehabilitation, renutrition, and more extensive use of minimally invasive surgery. Denutrition is frequent in these patients and is particularly harmful in older patients. While older patients may be provided with neoadjuvant chemotherapy or radiotherapy, it must be adapted to the patient's status. A reduction in the initial dose of palliative chemotherapy should be considered in patients with metastases. These patients tolerate immunotherapy better than systemic chemotherapy, and a strategy to replace chemotherapy with immunotherapy whenever possible should be evaluated. Finally, better supportive care is needed in patients with a poor performance status. Prospective studies are needed to improve the care and prognosis of elderly patients.

Involved-field radiotherapy in older patients with superficial thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: long-term outcomes and recurrence patterns

PURPOSE

An optimal radiotherapy field for superficial esophageal carcinoma is yet to be established. We evaluated the long-term outcomes and recurrence patterns of involved-field radiotherapy (IFRT) in older patients with superficial thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Fifty-four patients (49 men and 5 women; mean age, 77 [range: 66-90] years) who underwent IFRT for superficial thoracic ESCC between January 2003 and January 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Concurrent chemotherapy was administered at the discretion of the attending physician. The primary endpoint was overall survival. The secondary endpoints were progression-free survival and complete response rate.

RESULTS

The tumors were localized in the upper, middle, and lower thoracic esophagus in 2, 40, and 12 patients, respectively. All patients underwent IFRT using anteroposterior and anterior-posterior oblique opposed beams (off-cord). The prescribed total doses were 50.4, 59.4-61.2, and 66-70 Gy for 6, 40, and 8 patients, respectively. Concurrent chemotherapy was administered to 33 patients. The median follow-up duration was 57 months. The median overall survival was 115 months. The 5-year overall and progression-free survival rates were 71.7% and 60.1%, respectively. Forty-nine patients had a complete response at one month after IFRT (complete response rate: 90.7%). Twenty patients had recurrence; there were 13 in-field and 7 out-of-field recurrence cases. The radiation-related adverse events were generally mild. Grade 3 late toxicity was observed in one patient.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of IFRT was suggested to be comparable to that of standard treatments. Therefore, IFRT can be a promising approach for treating superficial ESCC in older adults, especially those with severe comorbidities.

Development and validation of an [18F]FDG-PET/CT radiomic model for predicting progression-free survival for patients with stage II - III thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who are treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Radiomics is a method for extracting a large amount of information from images and used to predict treatment outcomes, side effects and diagnosis. In this study, we developed and validated a radiomic model of [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) for patients with esophageal cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients with stage II - III esophageal cancer who underwent [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT within 45 days before dCRT between 2005 and 2017 were included. Patients were randomly assigned to a training set (85 patients) and a validation set (45 patients). Radiomic parameters inside the area of standard uptake value ≥ 3 were calculated. The open-source software 3D slicer and Pyradiomics were used for segmentation and calculating radiomic parameters, respectively. Eight hundred sixty radiomic parameters and general information were investigated.In the training set, a radiomic model for PFS was made from the LASSO Cox regression model and Rad-score was calculated. In the validation set, the model was applied to Kaplan-Meier curves. The median value of Rad-score in the training set was used as a cutoff value in the validation set. JMP was used for statistical analysis. RStudio was used for the LASSO Cox regression model. p < 0.05 was defined as significant.

RESULTS

The median follow-up periods were 21.9 months for all patients and 63.4 months for survivors. The 5-year PFS rate was 24.0%. In the training set, the LASSO Cox regression model selects 6 parameters and made a model. The low Rad-score group had significantly better PFS than that the high Rad-score group (p = 0.019). In the validation set, the low Rad-score group had significantly better PFS than that the high Rad-score group (p = 0.040).

CONCLUSIONS

The [¹⁸F]FDG-PET/CT radiomic model could predict PFS for patients with esophageal cancer who received dCRT.

Chemoradiotherapy in geriatric patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus: Multi-center analysis on the value of standard treatment in the elderly

Background and purpose

To evaluate the tolerability and outcomes of chemoradiation in elderly patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Materials and methods

This multi-center retrospective analysis included 161 patients with SCC of the esophagus with a median age of 73 years (range 65-89 years) treated with definitive or neoadjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy between 2010 and 2019 at 3 large comprehensive cancer centers in Germany. Locoregional control (LRC), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and treatment-associated toxicities were analyzed, and parameters determining patient outcomes and treatment tolerance were assessed.

Results

The delivery of radiotherapy without dose reduction was possible in 149 patients (93%). In 134 patients (83%), concomitant chemotherapy was initially prescribed; however, during the course of therapy, 41% of these patients (n = 55) required chemotherapy de-escalation due to treatment-related toxicities. Fifty-two patients (32%) experienced higher-grade acute toxicities, and 22 patients (14%) higher-grade late toxicities. The 2-year LRC, DMFS, PFS, and OS rates amounted to 67.5%, 33.8%, 31.4%, and 40.4%, respectively. Upon multivariate analysis, full-dose concomitant chemotherapy (vs. no or modified chemotherapy) was associated with significantly better DMFS (p=0.005), PFS (p=0.005) and OS (p=0.001). Furthermore, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by tumor resection (vs. definitive chemoradiotherapy or definitive radiotherapy alone) significantly improved PFS (p=0.043) and OS (p=0.049). We could not identify any clinico-pathological factor that was significantly associated with LRC. Furthermore, definitive (chemo)radiotherapy, brachytherapy boost and stent implantation were significantly associated with higher-grade acute toxicities (p<0.001, p=0.002 and p=0.04, respectively). The incidence of higher-grade late toxicities was also significantly associated with the choice of therapy, with a higher risk for late toxicities when treatment was switched from neoadjuvant to definitive (chemo)radiotherapy compared to primary definitive (chemo)radiotherapy (p<0.001).

Conclusions

Chemoradiation with full-dose and unmodified concurrent chemotherapy has a favorable prognostic impact in elderly ESCC patients; however, about half of the analyzed patients required omission or adjustment of chemotherapy due to comorbidities or toxicities. Therefore, the identification of potential predictive factors for safe administration of concurrent chemotherapy in elderly ESCC patients requires further exploration to optimize treatment in this vulnerable patient cohort.

The benefit of concurrent chemotherapy with radiotherapy for esophageal cancer is limited in Asian patients aged 80 years or older: a SEER database analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the benefit of concurrent chemotherapy with radiotherapy (RT) for esophageal cancer in Asian patients aged ≥ 80 years using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Among more than 7000 patients with squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma who were treated by RT without surgery for esophageal cancer in the SEER database, 2047 patients aged ≥ 80 years were analyzed. Patients who received chemoradiotherapy (CRT group) and patients who received RT alone (RT alone group) were matched with a propensity score.

RESULTS

The median observation period for survivors was 57 months. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates in all patients were 15.2% and 8.5%, respectively. The 3-year and 5-year cause-specific survival rates in all patients were 20.8% and 14.5%, respectively. After propensity score matching, the overall survival rate in the CRT group was significantly higher than that in the RT alone group (5-year overall survival rates: 11.9% and 3.2%, respectively, p < 0.001). In 108 Asian or Pacific Islander patients, there was no significant difference (5-year overall survival rates: 13.5% and 0%, respectively, p = 0.291), although the overall survival rate in the CRT group was significantly higher than that in the RT alone group in any other race.

CONCLUSIONS

It is controversial whether CRT is beneficial for Asian or Pacific Islander patients aged 80 years or older with esophageal cancer based on Analysis of data in SEER database.

Prognostic factors for 495 nonoperative esophageal squamous cancer patients receiving IMRT plus chemotherapy: A retrospective analysis

PURPOSE

Chemoradiotherapy is regarded as a standard scheme for inoperable and unresectable esophageal cancers. Our aims were to explore the prognostic factors relevant to esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) following intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) plus chemotherapy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Totally 495 ESCC patients undergoing IMRT combined with chemotherapy in our hospital between 2011 and 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Potential clinical prognosis-related factors were assessed by uni- and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of the ESCC patients were 2.25 and 1.24years, respectively. Uni- and multivariate analyses demonstrated the relevant independent prognostic factors of OS and PFS were gender, T stage, N stage, clinical stage, and tumor location (P<0.05), but not chemotherapy or radiotherapy dose. We further compared the 5-year OS rates among different T stages, N stages, clinical stages, genders, and tumor locations. The survival rate at the higher clinical stage was significantly lower (P<0.001). The 5-year OS in the upper thorax of the tumor was 46.0% and exceeded other tumor locations (P<0.05). The 5-year OS was 56.1% among females and 33.3% among males (P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

For ESCC patients receiving IMRT combined with chemotherapy, their long-term curative effects are influenced by T stages, N stages, clinical stages, genders, and tumor locations. ESCC patients who are females, or have upper thoracic tumor, or are at early clinical stage own better prognosis.

Comparison of Recurrence Patterns and Salvage Treatments After Definitive Radiotherapy for cT1a and cT1bN0M0 Esophageal Cancer

Background

Definitive radiotherapy (RT) for stage I esophageal cancer was reported to result in noninferior overall survival (OS) compared with surgery. However, only a few detailed reports of recurrence patterns and subsequent salvage treatments have been published. This study aimed to compare recurrence patterns and subsequent salvage treatments after definitive RT or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) between cT1a and cT1bN0M0 esophageal cancer (EC).

Methods

Patients with cT1a or cT1bN0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received definitive RT or CRT were included. Survival outcomes, recurrence patterns, and salvage treatments were evaluated.

Results

In total, 40 patients with EC receiving RT or CRT were divided into two groups for evaluation: cT1a (20 patients) and cT1b (20 patients) groups. The 3-year OS rates were 83% and 65% (p = 0.06) and the 3-year progression-free survival rates were 68% and 44% (p = 0.15) in the cT1a and cT1b groups, respectively. Among those in the cT1a group, six had local recurrence and two had metachronous recurrence. Seven patients underwent salvage endoscopic submucosal dissection and one patient received argon plasma coagulation treatment. Among those in the cT1b group, six had local recurrence, one had regional recurrence, and one had both. Of these, one underwent salvage endoscopic submucosal dissection, one received photodynamic therapy, three underwent surgery, one received RT, and two received the best supportive care. Compared with the cT1b group, the cT1a group had a higher proportion of patients who underwent endoscopic treatments (p = 0.007). After the endoscopic treatments, no recurrences were observed in both groups.

Conclusions

Regional recurrence and distant metastasis were not observed in the cT1a group. A higher proportion of patients in the cT1a group received salvage endoscopic treatments, and their OS tended to be favorable.