Prognosis of metastatic breast cancer subtypes: the hormone receptor/HER2-positive subtype is associated with the most favorable outcome

Time trends in real-world treatment patterns and survival in patients diagnosed with de novo HER2+ metastatic breast cancer: an analysis of the SONABRE registry

PURPOSE

The aim was to determine whether the real-world first-line progression-free survival (PFS) of patients diagnosed with de novo human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive (HER2+) advanced breast cancer (ABC) has improved since the introduction of pertuzumab in 2013. In addition to PFS, we aimed to determine differences in overall survival (OS) and the use of systemic and locoregional therapies.

METHODS

Included were patients systemically treated for de novo HER2+ ABC in ten hospitals in 2008-2017 from the SONABRE Registry (NCT-03577197). First-line PFS and OS in 2013-2017 versus 2008-2012 was determined using Kaplan-Meier analyses and multivariable Cox proportional hazards modelling. First-given systemic therapy and the use of locoregional therapy within the first year following diagnosis were determined per period of diagnosis.

RESULTS

Median and five-year PFS were 26.6 months and 24% in 2013-2017 (n = 85) versus 14.5 months and 10% in 2008-2012 (n = 81) (adjusted HR = 0.65, 95%CI:0.45-0.94). Median and five-year OS were 61.2 months and 51% in 2013-2017 versus 26.1 months and 28% in 2008-2012 (adjusted HR = 0.55, 95%CI:0.37-0.81). Of patients diagnosed in 2013-2017 versus 2008-2012, 84% versus 60% received HER2-targeted therapy and 59% versus 0% pertuzumab-based therapy as first-given therapy. Respectively, 27% and 23% of patients underwent locoregional breast surgery, and 6% and 7% surgery of a metastatic site during the first year following diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of patients with de novo HER2 + ABC has improved considerably. Since 2013 one in four patients were alive and free from progression on first-given therapy for at least five years.

Survival outcomes for women with a solitary extracranial metastasis from breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Aggressive metastasis directed treatment of extracranial oligometastatic breast cancer with the aim of increasing disease-free survival has emerged as a new potential treatment paradigm, however there is currently a lack of data to assist in identifying the subset of patients who will potentially benefit most. This single-institute retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate survival outcomes for patients with a solitary extracranial metastasis from breast cancer and to assess for significant prognostic factors.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Medical records of 70 female breast cancer patients with a solitary extracranial metastasis actively managed at the Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre (PMCC) Melbourne Campus between 2000 and 2019 were reviewed. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate overall survival (OS), local progression free survival (LPFS) and distant progression free survival (DPFS).

RESULTS

Median follow-up period was 9.4 years. The study included 40 hormone receptor positive/HER2 negative (HR+HER2-), 14 hormone receptor positive/HER2 positive (HR+HER2+), 3 hormone receptor negative/HER2 positive (HR-HER2+), 9 triple negative (TNBC) and 4 unclassified breast cancer patients. 5-year OS rate for all patients was 46%, LPFS rate was 56% and DPFS was 20%. Tumour receptor group had a statistically significant association with OS and DPFS rates. TNBC patients had significantly poorer OS and DPFS rates in comparison to HR+HER2-patients.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with a solitary extracranial metastasis from breast cancer, TNBC was associated with the poorest OS and DPFS rates. Identification of other significant prognostic factors for oligometastatic breast cancer patients may inform guidelines for metastasis directed treatments.

Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Postmenopausal Breast Cancer Patients

INTRODUCTION

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been recognized as a marker of systemic inflammation with a prognostic impact in patients with various cancers, including breast cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between the preoperative NLR and breast cancer prognosis in the patients before and after menopausal age, and its relationship with other prognostic factors.

METHODS

A total of 1868 patients with clinical Stage I-III primary breast cancer were enrolled. The associations between clinicopathological factors and the preoperative NLR were analyzed, and relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated.

RESULTS

Statistical analyses stratified by the menopausal status revealed that a high NLR was significantly associated with worse RFS (P < 0.001) and OS (P = 0.001) in postmenopausal patients, but not in premenopausal patients. Although the postmenopausal patients with relapsed cancer tended to have higher NLR levels than those without relapse (P = 0.079), NLR levels of premenopausal patients with relapsed cancer were significantly lower than that of relapse-free patients (P = 0.024). In postmenopausal patients, a high NLR was only associated with worse RFS in patients with hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer (P < 0.001), in those managed without adjuvant chemotherapy (P = 0.003); this association was not observed in patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative NLR can be a useful prognostic marker, especially in postmenopausal breast cancer patients. The relationships between the NLR and breast cancer prognosis may be more evident when patients are assessed according to their menopausal status.

Antibody-Drug Conjugates in Breast Cancer: A Comprehensive Review of How to Selectively Deliver Payloads

Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) have surfaced as a promising group of anticancer agents employing the precise targeting capacity of monoclonal antibodies to transport highly effective cytotoxic payloads. Compared to conventional chemotherapy, they aim to selectively eradicate cancer cells while minimizing off-target toxicity on healthy tissues. An increasing body of evidence has provided support for the efficacy of ADCs in treating breast cancer across various contexts and tumor subtypes, resulting in significant changes in clinical practice. Nevertheless, unlocking the full potential of these therapeutic agents demands innovative molecular designs to address complex clinical challenges, including drug resistance, tumor heterogeneity, and treatment-related adverse events. This thorough review provides an in-depth analysis of the clinical data on ADCs, offering crucial insights from pivotal clinical trials that assess the efficacy of ADCs in diverse breast cancer settings. This aids in providing a comprehensive understanding of the current state of ADCs in breast cancer therapy, while also providing valuable perspectives for the future.

Diagnostic yield of contrast-enhanced abdominal staging CT in patients with initially diagnosed breast cancer

PURPOSE

To estimate the diagnostic yield (DY) of abdominal staging CT for detecting breast cancer liver metastasis (BCLM) in patients with initially diagnosed breast cancer and to determine the indications for abdominal staging CT.

METHODS

Patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer who underwent abdominal CT as an initial staging work-up between January 2019 and December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. DY was calculated and analyzed according to patient age, type of treatments, histologic type, histologic grade, lymphovascular invasion, Ki-67 status, hormone receptor status, subtype, and the American Joint Committee on Cancer anatomical staging.

RESULTS

A total of 2056 patients (mean age, 51 ± 11 years) were included. The DY of abdominal staging CT for detecting BCLM was 1.1 % (22 of 2056). DY was significantly higher in stage III than in stage I or II cancers (3.9 % [18 of 467] vs. 0 % [0 of 412] or 0.4 % [4 of 1158], respectively, p < .001), and in human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2)-enriched cancers than in luminal or triple negative cancers (2.9 % [16 of 560] vs. 0.4 % [4 of 1090] or 0.5 % [2 of 406], respectively, p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The DY of abdominal staging CT for detecting BCLM was low among all patients with initially diagnosed breast cancer. However, although abdominal staging CT for detecting BCLM is probably unnecessary in all patients, it can be clinically useful in patients with stage III or human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-enriched breast cancers.

A Population-Based Research Utilized a Risk Stratification Model to Forecast the Overall Survival of Young Women With Diagnosed Stage IV Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

The goal of this study is to develop a risk prediction model for estimating overall survival (OS) in young females diagnosed with stage IV breast cancer.

METHODS

The clinical information was retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2015. To identify the dependent risk factors, we utilized the Cox proportional hazards regression model in both single and multivariate analyses. We then created a new nomogram to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival probability for these patients based on the identified risk factors.

RESULTS

Six hundred seventy-six patients who met the eligibility requirements were stochastically partitioned into training (n = 475) and validation (n = 201) groups in a 7:3 ratio. Histology, breast subtype, T classification, brain metastasis, bone metastasis, liver metastasis, and surgery were identified as independent prognostic factors for cancer. To predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) probabilities, all of these independent factors were incorporated into nomograms. Our nomogram demonstrated a favorable discriminatory power, as evidenced by a C-index of 0.737 (95% CI: 0.708-0.766) and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.664-0.770) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves showed satisfactory consistency in both cohorts. Using this nomogram, we developed a risk stratification model that categorized patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups.

CONCLUSION

The prediction model was more precisely to predict the OS of young females with stage IV breast cancer and could enable individualized risk estimation that could be conducive to physicians exploring therapeutic strategies for effectiveness.

The CDK4/6 inhibitors biomarker landscape: The most relevant biomarkers of response or resistance for further research and potential clinical utility

Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6is) in combination with Endocrine Therapy (ET) represent the standard frontline therapy for patients with Hormone Receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative metastatic Breast Cancer (mBC). Clinical activity and efficacy of CDK4/6is-based therapies have been proven both in the endocrine sensitive and resistant settings. Therapy resistance eventually underpins clinical progression to any CDK4/6is-based therapies, yet there is a lack of validated molecular biomarkers predictive of either intrinsic or acquired resistance to CDK4/6is in clinical practice. As the "post-CDK4/6is" landscape for the management of HR-positive/HER2-negative mBC is rapidly evolving with the introduction of novel therapies, there is an urgent need for the definition of clinically relevant molecular biomarkers of intrinsic/acquired resistance mechanisms to CDK4/6is. This narrative review outlines the role of currently approved CDK4/6is-based therapies, describes the most relevant molecular biomarkers of CDK4/6is-resistance, and ultimately provides a perspective on the clinical and research scenario.

Real-World Analysis of Clinical and Demographic Characteristics, Treatment Patterns, and Outcomes in Predominantly Older Patients with HR+/HER2- Metastatic Breast Cancer Receiving Abemaciclib in Routine Clinical Practice

INTRODUCTION

Hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) is the most frequently diagnosed metastatic breast cancer (mBC) subtype. Combinations of endocrine therapy (ET) with cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4 & 6is) improve outcomes compared with ET alone. The efficacy and safety of abemaciclib among patients with HR+/HER2- mBC has been demonstrated in the MONARCH clinical trials; however, there is a paucity of real-world evidence, particularly in older patients.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This retrospective cohort study analyzed the electronic medical record data/charts of adult patients with HR+/HER2- mBC receiving abemaciclib in US-based community oncology settings (1 September 2017 to 30 September 2019). Patients with other primary malignancies, clinical trial enrollment, and incomplete charts were excluded. Patient characteristics, treatment attributes and patterns, and real-world outcomes (clinical benefit rate [CBR] and stable disease among patients with response data available, time to chemotherapy [TTC], time to treatment discontinuation [TTD], and progression-free survival [PFS]) were summarized. Multivariable models evaluated the association between demographic/clinical characteristics and outcomes.

RESULTS

Of the 448 final patients, 99% were female, with a median age of 67 years (25% were ≥ 75 years) and median follow-up of 11 months; most (60%) initiated abemaciclib within 2 years of mBC diagnosis. Patients received a median of 1 (P25 = 0, P75 = 3) prior line of therapy for mBC before abemaciclib, including other CDK4 & 6is (48%) and prior chemotherapy (31%); most (57%) had visceral disease. The CBR for the overall population was 53%, with 48% achieving stable disease. The median TTC was not reached; median TTD was 249 days (95% confidence interval [CI]: 202, 304). The median PFS was 329 days (95% CI 266, 386). The discontinuation rate of abemaciclib owing to adverse events (30%) trended higher with age (years) (P = 0.027): 18-49 (n = 42; 19%), 50-64 (n = 155; 25%), 65-74 (n = 138; 32%), 75-84 (n = 82; 37%), ≥ 85 (n = 31; 49%); only 23% of patients overall had a dose hold or reduction prior to discontinuation.

CONCLUSIONS

These patients were older than those in the MONARCH studies with substantial visceral disease, and prior chemotherapy and CDK4 & 6i use. Discontinuation rates were higher than in previous real-world studies (11.9%), highlighting the need for proactive management to optimize outcomes, particularly in older patients with mBC.

Comprehensive analysis of ACKR family members in breast cancer using prognostic values

Breast cancer (BC) is by far the most prevalent malignancy found in the female population. Atypical chemokine receptors (ACKRs) are a subclass of G-protein-coupled receptors, which are characterized by disrupted ligand binding and a breakdown of signaling following ligand binding. The evolution and function of multiple ACKRs in BC have yet to be fully elucidated, although certain findings on this family have been reported in several studies in Homo sapiens and other species. The present study identified that the expression level of ACKRs was significantly lower in breast carcinoma (BRCA) tissues compared with normal breast tissues through searches of the Tumor Immune Estimation Resource, UALCAN and Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis databases. Additionally, when comparing BRCA tissues with normal breast tissues, it was found that there was obvious hypomethylation in the promoters of ACKR1, ACKR3 and ACKR5, as well as a marked hypermethylation in the promoters of ACKR2 and ACKR6. In determining the prognosis of patients with BRCA, the expression levels of ACKR1, ACKR2, ACKR3, ACKR4 and ACKR6 were all found to be important factors. The values for distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were all found to be lower in patients with BRCA who had a low expression level of ACKR1. In addition, the RFS rates for patients with BRCA were lower when the expression of ACKR2 was low, and worse values for DMFS, OS and RFS were found to be highly correlated with higher expression levels of ACKR3. Moreover, the DMFS, OS, RFS and predictive power score values were worse in those patients with low ACKR4 expression, and the RFS values for patients with BRCA were also found to be lower when the expression level of ACKR6 was low. Additionally, dendritic cells, macrophages, neutrophils, T cells with CD4+ status, T cells with CD8+ status and B cells were all substantially linked with ACKR expression, as well as immune cell infiltration. Taken together, the findings of the present study may offer a theoretical foundation for the creation of novel targets and prognostic indicators for BRCA therapy.

Progression after First-Line Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 4/6 Inhibitor Treatment: Analysis of Molecular Mechanisms and Clinical Data

Cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6iss) are widely used in first-line metastatic breast cancer. For patients with progression under CDK4/6is, there is currently no standard treatment recommended at the category 1 level in international guidelines. The purpose of this article is to review the cellular mechanisms underlying the resistance to CDK4/6is, as well as treatment strategies and the clinical data about the efficacy of subsequent treatments after CDK4/6is-based therapy. In the first part, this review mainly discusses cell-cycle-specific and cell-cycle-non-specific resistance to CDK4/6is, with a focus on early and late progression. In the second part, this review analyzes potential therapeutic approaches and the available clinical data on them: switching to other CDK4/6is, to another single hormonal therapy, to other target therapies (PI3K, mTOR and AKT) and to chemotherapy.

An Open-label Phase I Study of GDC-0927 in Postmenopausal Women with Locally Advanced or Metastatic Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

GDC-0927 is a novel, potent, nonsteroidal, orally bioavailable, selective estrogen receptor (ER) degrader that induces tumor regression in ER+ breast cancer xenograft models.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This phase I dose-escalation multicenter study enrolled postmenopausal women with ER+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer to determine the safety, pharmacokinetics, and recommended phase II dose of GDC-0927. Pharmacodynamics was assessed with [18F]-fluoroestradiol (FES) PET scans.

RESULTS

Forty-two patients received GDC-0927 once daily. The MTD was not reached. The most common adverse events (AE) regardless of causality were nausea, constipation, diarrhea, arthralgia, fatigue, hot flush, back pain, and vomiting. There were no deaths, grade 4/5 AEs, or treatment-related serious AEs. Two patients experienced grade 2 AEs of special interest of deep vein thrombosis and jugular vein thrombosis, both considered unrelated to GDC-0927. Following dosing, approximately 1.6-fold accumulation was observed, consistent with the observed half-life and dosing frequency. There were no complete or partial responses. Pharmacodynamics was supported by >90% reduction in FES uptake and an approximately 40% reduction in ER expression, suggesting ER degradation is not the mechanistic driver of ER antagonism. Twelve patients (29%) achieved clinical benefit; 17 patients (41%) showed a confirmed best overall response of stable disease. Baseline levels of ER and progesterone receptor protein and mutant ESR1 circulating tumor DNA did not correlate with clinical benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

GDC-0927 appeared to be well tolerated with pharmacokinetics supporting once-daily dosing. There was evidence of target engagement and preliminary evidence of antitumor activity in heavily pretreated patients with advanced/metastatic ER+/HER2- breast cancer with and without ESR1 mutations.

Metastatic breast cancer in Kenya: survival, prognosis and management at a tertiary referral centre

There has been an increase in breast cancer in Africa with up to 77% of patients diagnosed with advanced disease. However, there is little data on survival outcomes and prognostic factors affecting survival in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) in Africa. The study objective was to establish the survival of patients with MBC at a single tertiary health facility, the clinical and pathological characteristics affecting survival and describe the treatment modalities used. This was a retrospective descriptive study conducted at Aga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi of patients diagnosed with MBC between 2009 and 2017. Survival data was collected on metastatic free survival, survival time between diagnosis of first metastasis and death and overall survival. Data on patient's age, menopausal status and stage at diagnosis, tumour grade, receptor status, site of metastasis and treatment given was also collected. The Kaplan-Meier Estimator was used to estimate survival. Prognostic factors for survival outcomes were analysed using univariate analysis. Standard descriptive statistics were used to describe patient characteristics. A total of 131 patients were included in the study. The median survival was 22 months. The 3 and 5-year survivals were 31.3% and 10.7%, respectively. On univariate analysis, the Luminal A molecular subtype was a significant positive prognostic factor hazard ratios (HR 0.652 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.473-0.899) while metastasis to the liver or brain were significant negative prognostic factors (HR 0.615 95% CI 0.413-0.915 and HR 0.566 95% CI 0.330-0.973, respectively). A large proportion (87.0%) received some treatment for metastatic disease. Our study concluded that survival rates for patients diagnosed with MBC were lower compared to studies from Western countries but higher than in studies from Sub-Saharan Africa. Luminal A molecular subtype was found to be a positive prognostic factor and metastasis to the liver or brain were found to be negative prognostic factors. Improved access to adequate treatment for MBC is required in the region.

Cost Effectiveness of CDK4/6 Inhibitors in the First-Line Treatment of HR+/HER2- Metastatic Breast Cancer in Postmenopausal Women in the USA

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors improve progression-free survival when combined with endocrine therapies in patients with hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer. However, the comparative cost effectiveness of utilizing three US Food and Drug Administration-approved CDK4/6 inhibitors is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the cost effectiveness of individual CDK4/6 inhibitors (palbociclib, ribociclib, abemaciclib) with letrozole versus letrozole monotherapy in the first-line treatment of hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer in the USA.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov-based decision-analytic model to evaluate the cost effectiveness of CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapies over a 40-year lifetime from a third-party payer perspective. The model incorporated health states (progression-free disease, progressive disease, and death), major adverse events (neutropenia), and cancer-specific and all-cause mortality. Using clinical efficacy and quality-of-life scores (utility) data from clinical trials, we estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios using Medicare charges reported in US dollars per 2022 valuation and a discount rate of 3% applied to costs and outcomes. We performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to evaluate parametric and decision uncertainty.

RESULTS

Compared to letrozole, the model estimated an increase of 5.72, 5.87, and 6.39 in QALYs and costs of $799,178, $788,168, and $741,102 in combining palbociclib, ribociclib, and abemaciclib plus letrozole, respectively. Palbociclib or ribociclib plus letrozole were dominated by abemaciclib plus letrozole. Compared with letrozole, abemaciclib plus letrozole resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $457,538 per QALY with an incremental cost of $553,621 and an incremental QALY gain of 1.21. The results were sensitive to the cost of abemaciclib, disease progression utility, and patients' age.

CONCLUSIONS

At a willingness to pay of $100,000/QALY gained, our model predicts that combining CDK4/6 inhibitors plus letrozole is not cost effective with a marginal increase in QALYs at a high cost. Lowering the cost of these drugs or identifying patients who can receive maximal benefit from CDK4/6 inhibitors would improve the value of this regimen in patients.

Molecular imaging as biomarker for treatment response and outcome in breast cancer

Molecular imaging, such as positron emission tomography (PET), is increasingly used as biomarker to predict and assess treatment response in breast cancer. The number of biomarkers is expanding with specific tracers for tumour characteristics throughout the body and this information can be used to aid the decision-making process. These measurements include metabolic activity using [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET ([18F]FDG-PET), oestrogen receptor (ER) expression using 16α-[18F]Fluoro-17β-oestradiol ([18F]FES)-PET and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression using PET with radiolabelled trastuzumab (HER2-PET). In early breast cancer, baseline [18F]FDG-PET is frequently used for staging, but limited subtype-specific data reduce its usefulness as biomarker for treatment response or outcome. Early metabolic change on serial [18F]FDG-PET is increasingly used in the neo-adjuvant setting as dynamic biomarker to predict pathological complete response to systemic therapy, potentially allowing de-intensification or step-up intensification of treatment. In the metastatic setting, baseline [18F]FDG-PET and [18F]FES-PET can be used as biomarker to predict treatment response, in triple-negative and ER-positive breast cancer, respectively. Metabolic progression on repeated [18F]FDG-PET appears to precede progressive disease on standard evaluation imaging; however, subtype-specific studies are limited and more prospective data are needed before implementation in clinical practice. Even though (repeated) [18F]FDG-PET, [18F]FES-PET and HER2-PEt all show promising results as biomarkers to predict therapy response and outcome, for eventual integration into clinical practice, future studies will have to clarify at what timepoint this integration has to optimally take place.

Characterization of clinicopathological features, treatment practices, and outcomes among Finnish advanced breast cancer patients in real-life clinical practice

PURPOSE

In recent years, several new targeted therapies have emerged for advanced breast cancer (aBC). However, real-life data specific to aBC and different breast cancer subtypes are scarce. This retrospective cohort study was designed to describe the distribution of aBC subtypes, incidence, treatment patterns, survival, and PIK3CA hotspot mutation frequency.

METHODS

The study included all patients in the Hospital District of Southwest Finland diagnosed with aBC between 2004 and 2013 and with a sample available in Auria Biobank. In addition to registry-based data collection, 161 HR+/HER2- aBCs were screened for PIK3CA mutations.

RESULTS

Altogether, 54.7% of the 444 patients included in the study had luminal B subtype. The smallest representations were in HR-/HER2+ (4.5%) and triple-negative (5.6%) subgroups. The percentage of aBC among all diagnosed breast cancers increased until 2010, after which it remained stable. The triple-negative cancers were associated with shorter median overall survival (5.5 months) compared to other subgroups (16.5-24.6 months). Most (84%) triple-negative cancers also metastasized during the first two years, whereas this was more evenly distributed over time in other subgroups. Of the HR+/HER2- tumors, 32.3% harbored a PIK3CA hotspot mutation. These patients, however, did not have inferior survival compared to patients with PIK3CA wild-type cancers.

CONCLUSION

This study described real-world aBC subgroups and indicated that the clinical outcomes of subgroups vary. Although PIK3CA hotspot mutations did not lead to inferior survival, they are relevant as possible treatment targets. Overall, these data could be utilized to further evaluate the subgroup-specific medical needs in breast cancer.

Novel Prognostic Staging System for Patients With De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Given the heterogeneity and improvement in outcomes for metastatic breast cancer (MBC), we developed a staging system that refines prognostic estimates for patients with metastatic cancer at the time of initial diagnosis, de novo MBC (dnMBC), on the basis of survival outcomes and disease-related variables.

METHODS

Patients with dnMBC (2010-2016) were selected from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to group patients with similar overall survival (OS) on the basis of clinical T category, grade, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, histology, organ system site of metastases (bone-only, brain-only, visceral), and number of organ systems involved. Three-year OS rates were used to assign a final stage: IVA: >70%, IVB: 50%-70%, IVC: 25 to <50%, and IVD: <25%. Bootstrapping was applied with 1,000 iterations, and final stage assignments were made based on the most commonly occurring assignment. Unadjusted OS was estimated. Validation analyses were conducted using SEER and NCDB.

RESULTS

At a median follow-up of 52.9 months, the median OS of the original cohort (N = 42,467) was 35.4 months (95% CI, 34.8 to 35.9). RPA stratified patients into 53 groups with 3-year OS rates ranging from 73.5% to 5.7%; these groups were amalgamated into four stage groups: 3-year OS, A = 73.2%, B = 61.9%, C = 40.1%, and D = 17% (log-rank P < .001). After bootstrapping, the survival outcomes for the four stages remained significantly different (log-rank P < .001). This staging system was then validated using SEER data (N = 20,469) and a separate cohort from the NCDB (N = 7,645) (both log-rank P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Our findings regarding the heterogeneity in outcomes for patients with dnMBC could guide future revisions of the current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging guidelines for patients with newly diagnosed stage IV disease. Our findings should be independently confirmed.

Sodium channels and the ionic microenvironment of breast tumours

Cancers of epithelial origin such as breast, prostate, cervical, gastric, colon and lung cancer account for a large proportion of deaths worldwide. Better treatment of metastasis, the main cause of cancer deaths, is therefore urgently required. Several of these tumours have been shown to have an abnormally high concentration of Na+ ([Na+ ]) and emerging evidence points to this accumulation being due to elevated intracellular [Na+ ]. This poses intriguing questions about the cellular mechanisms underlying Na+ dysregulation in cancer, and its pathophysiological significance. Elevated intracellular [Na+ ] may be due to alterations in activity of the Na+ /K+ -ATPase, and/or increased influx via Na+ channels and Na+ -linked transporters. Maintenance of the electrochemical Na+ gradient across the plasma membrane is vital to power many cellular processes that are highly active in cancer cells, including glucose and glutamine import. Na+ channels are also upregulated in cancer cells, which in turn promotes tumour growth and metastasis. For example, ENaC and ASICs are overexpressed in cancers, increasing invasion and proliferation. In addition, voltage-gated Na+ channels are also upregulated in a range of tumour types, where they promote metastatic cell behaviours via various mechanisms, including membrane potential depolarisation and altered pH regulation. Together, recent findings relating to elevated Na+ in the tumour microenvironment and how this may be regulated by several classes of Na+ channels provide a link between altered Na+ handling and poor clinical outcome. There are new opportunities to leverage this altered Na+ microenvironment for therapeutic benefit, as exemplified by several ongoing clinical trials.

Development of a predictive model to identify patients most likely to benefit from surgery in metastatic breast cancer

Primary tumor resection for metastatic breast cancer (MBC) has demonstrated a survival advantage, however, not all patients with MBC benefit from surgery. The purpose of this study was to develop a predictive model to select patients with MBC who are most likely to benefit from surgery at the primary site. Data from patients with MBC were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) cohort and patients treated at the Yunnan Cancer Hospital. The patients from the SEER database were divided into surgery and non-surgery groups and a 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline characteristics. We hypothesized that patients who underwent local resection of primary tumors had improved overall survival (OS) compared to those who did not undergo surgery. Based on the median OS time of the non-surgery group, patients from the surgery group were further categorized into beneficial and non-beneficial groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent factors associated with improved survival in the surgery group and a nomogram was established using the most significant predictive factors. Finally, internal and external validation of the prognostic nomogram was also evaluated by concordance index (C-index) and using a calibration curve. A total of 7759 eligible patients with MBC were identified in the SEER cohort and 92 with MBC patients who underwent surgery at the Yunnan Cancer Hospital. Amongst the SEER cohort, 3199 (41.23%) patients received surgery of the primary tumor. After PSM, the OS between the surgery and non-surgery group was significantly different based on Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (46 vs. 31 months, P < 0.001), In the surgery group, 562 (55.20%) patients survived for longer than 31 months and were classified in the beneficial group. Significant differences were observed in patient characteristics between the beneficial and non-beneficial groups including age, grade, tumor size, liver metastasis, breast cancer subtype and marital status. These factors were used as independent predictors to create a nomogram. The internally and externally validated C-indices of the nomogram were 0.703 and 0.733, respectively, indicating strong consistency between the actual and predicted survival. A nomogram was developed and used to identify MBC patients who are most likely to benefit from primary tumor resection. This predictive model has the potential to improve clinical decision-making and should be considered routine clinical practice.

Real-world time trends in overall survival, treatments and patient characteristics in HR+/HER2- metastatic breast cancer: an observational study of the SONABRE Registry

Background

This study aims to evaluate whether changes in therapeutic strategies have improved survival of patients diagnosed with hormone receptor positive (HR+), HER2 negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC) in real-world.

Methods

All 1950 patients systemically treated for HR+/HER2- ABC and diagnosed between 2008 and 2019 in eight hospitals were retrieved from the SONABRE Registry (NCT-03577197). Patients were categorized per three-year cohorts based on year of ABC diagnosis. Tests for trend were used to examine differences in baseline characteristics, Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards for survival analyses, and competing-risk methods for 3-year use of systemic therapy.

Findings

Over time, patients were older (≥70 years, 37%, n = 169/456 in 2008-2010, 47%, n = 233/493 in 2017-2019, p = 0.004) and more often had multiple metastatic sites at ABC diagnosis (48%, n = 220/456 in 2008-2010, 56%, n = 275/493 in 2017-2019, p = 0.002). Among patients with metachronous metastases the prior exposure to (neo-) adjuvant therapies increased over time (chemotherapy, 38%, n = 138/362 in 2008-2010, 48%, n = 181/376 in 2017-2019, p = <0.001; endocrine therapy, 64%, n = 231/362 in 2008-2010, 72%, n = 271/376 in 2017-2019, p = <0.001). Overall survival significantly improved from median 31.1 months (95% CI:28.2-34.3) for patients diagnosed in 2008-2010 to 38.4 months (95% CI:34.0-41.1) in 2017-2019 (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.76, 95% CI:0.64-0.90; p = 0.001). Three-year use of CDK4/6 inhibitors increased from 0% for patients diagnosed in 2008-2010 to 54% for diagnosis in 2017-2019. Conversely, three-year use of chemotherapy was 50% versus 36%, respectively.

Interpretation

Over time, patients diagnosed with HR+/HER2- ABC presented with less favourable patient characteristics. Nevertheless, we observed that overall survival of ABC increased between 2008 and 2019, with increased use of endocrine/targeted therapies.

Funding

The SONABRE Registry is supported by the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMw: 80-82500-98-8003); Novartis BV; Roche; Pfizer; and Eli Lilly & Co. Funding sources had no role in the writing of the manuscript.

Budget impact analysis of bevacizumab biosimilars for cancer treatment in adult patients in Spain

OBJECTIVE

To assess the economic impact of introducing biosimilars of bevacizumab for the management of cancer patients receiving systemic bevacizumab in the National Health System (SNHS) of Spain.

METHODS

A 3-year budget impact analysis model was adapted to estimate the cost of introducing biosimilars of bevacizumab in the SNHS for the adult population who were candidates to receive treatment with bevacizumab. Values for the estimation of the population were obtained from the literature and were validated by an expert panel. In this analysis only pharmaceutical costs (€, year 2021) obtained from official databases were considered. A sensitivity analysis was performed to examine the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

The introduction of bevacizumab biosimilars would generate an annual cost saving of €11 558 268 (-5.1%) for the first year with a penetration share of biosimilars from 30.0%, €29 126 373 (-8.5%) for the second year with a share of 50.0% and €52 361 778 (-13.6%) for the third year with a share of 80.0%. The total pharmaceutical costs of the scenario without biosimilars are €227 033 352 for the first year, €342 663 209 for the second year and €385 013 076 for the third year. In contrast, the pharmaceutical costs of the scenario with bevacizumab biosimilars are €215 475 084, €313 536 836 and €332 651 297 for years 1, 2 and 3, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of biosimilars in the Spanish Health System would generate saving costs in the pharmacological budget to boost biological drugs from the first year.

Phase Ib/II study of nivolumab combined with palliative radiation therapy for bone metastasis in patients with HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer

Radiation therapy (RT) can enhance the abscopal effect of immune checkpoint blockade. This phase I/II study investigated the efficacy and safety of nivolumab plus RT in HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer requiring palliative RT for bone metastases. Cohort A included luminal-like disease, and cohort B included both luminal-like and triple-negative disease refractory to standard systemic therapy. Patients received 8 Gy single fraction RT for bone metastasis on day 0. Nivolumab was administered on day 1 for each 14-day cycle. In cohort A, endocrine therapy was administered. The primary endpoint was the objective response rate (ORR) of the unirradiated lesions. Cohorts A and B consisted of 18 and 10 patients, respectively. The ORR was 11% (90% CI 4-29%) in cohort A and 0% in cohort B. Disease control rates were 39% (90% CI 23-58%) and 0%. Median progression-free survival was 4.1 months (95% CI 2.1-6.1 months) and 2.0 months (95% CI 1.2-3.7 months). One patient in cohort B experienced a grade 3 adverse event. Palliative RT combined with nivolumab was safe and showed modest anti-tumor activity in cohort A. Further investigations to enhance the anti-tumor effect of endocrine therapy combined with RT plus immune checkpoint blockade are warranted.Trial registration number and date of registration UMIN: UMIN000026046, February 8, 2017; ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03430479, February 13, 2018; Date of the first registration: June 22, 2017.

Loco-Regional Treatment of the Primary Tumor in De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer Patients Undergoing Front-Line Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Loco-regional therapy (LRT) in de novo metastatic breast cancer (MBC) has been investigated in several clinical trials, with heterogeneous and conflicting results.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of de novo MBC patients treated with front-line chemotherapy (FLC) followed by LRT of the primary tumor. Our aims were to evaluate the characteristics, treatment, and oncological outcomes in terms of progression-free survival (PFS), distant progression-free survival (DPFS), and overall survival (OS) of de novo MBC. We also investigated possible subgroups of patients with better outcomes according to menopausal status, biological sub-type, location, number of metastases, and radiologic complete response after FLC.

RESULTS

We included 61 patients in the study. After a median follow-up of 55 months, disease progression occurred in 60.7% of patients and 49.2% died. There were no significant differences in PFS, DPFS, and OS between different subgroups of de novo MBC patients. A trend toward better PFS and DPFS was observed in triple-positive tumors, without a statistically significant difference in OS.

CONCLUSIONS

No specific subgroup of de novo MBC patients showed a statistically significant survival advantage after FLC followed by LRT of the primary tumor.

Survival and prognostic factors in oligometastatic breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Guidelines for oligometastatic breast cancer (OMBC) propagate multimodality treatment including polychemotherapy and local ablative treatment (LAT) of all lesions. The aim of this approach is prolonged disease remission, or even cure. Long-term outcomes in OMBC and factors associated with prognosis are largely unknown, due to the rarity of this condition. We report overall survival (OS), event-free survival (EFS), and prognostic factors in a large real-world cohort of patients with OMBC.

METHODS

Patients with breast cancer and 1-3 distant metastatic lesions, treated in the Netherlands Cancer Institute between 1997 and 2020, were identified via text mining of medical files. We collected patient, tumor and treatment characteristics. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate OS and EFS estimates, and Cox regression analyses to assess prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The cohort included 239 patients, of whom 54% had ERpos/HER2neg, 20% HER2pos and 20% triple negative disease. Median follow-up was 88.0 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 82.9-93.1) during which 107 patients died and 139 developed disease progression/recurrence; median OS was 93.0 months (95%CI 66.2-119.8). Factors associated with OS in multivariable analysis were subtype, disease-free interval and radiologic response to first-line systemic therapy; LAT was associated with EFS, but not OS.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large real-world cohort of patients with OMBC, OS and EFS compare favorably to survival in the general MBC population. Radiologic complete response to first-line systemic therapy was associated with favorable OS and EFS, indicating the importance of early optimal systemic therapy. The value of LAT in OMBC requires further study.

Development and validation of an ultrasound-based radiomics nomogram for predicting the luminal from non-luminal type in patients with breast carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The molecular subtype plays a significant role in breast carcinoma (BC), which is the main indicator to guide treatment and is closely associated with prognosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility and efficacy of an ultrasound-based radiomics nomogram in preoperatively discriminating the luminal from non-luminal type in patients with BC.

METHODS

A total of 264 BC patients who underwent routine ultrasound examination were enrolled in this study, of which 184 patients belonged to the training set and 80 patients to the test set. Breast tumors were delineated manually on the ultrasound images and then radiomics features were extracted. In the training set, the T test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used for selecting features, and the radiomics score (Rad-score) for each patient was calculated. Based on the clinical risk features, Rad-score, and combined clinical risk features and Rad-score, three models were established, respectively. The performances of the models were validated with receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

In all, 788 radiomics features per case were obtained from the ultrasound images. Through radiomics feature selection, 11 features were selected to constitute the Rad-score. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the Rad-score for predicting the luminal type was 0.828 in the training set and 0.786 in the test set. The nomogram comprising the Rad-score and US-reported tumor size showed AUCs of the training and test sets were 0.832 and 0.767, respectively, which were significantly higher than the AUCs of the clinical model in the training and test sets (0.691 and 0.526, respectively). However, there was no significant difference in predictive performance between the Rad-score and nomogram.

CONCLUSION

Both the Rad-score and nomogram can be applied as useful, noninvasive tools for preoperatively discriminating the luminal from non-luminal type in patients with BC. Furthermore, this study might provide a novel technique to evaluate molecular subtypes of BC.

90Y-Labeled Gold Nanoparticle Depot (NPD) Combined with Anti-PD-L1 Antibodies Strongly Inhibits the Growth of 4T1 Tumors in Immunocompetent Mice and Induces an Abscopal Effect on a Distant Non-Irradiated Tumor

The effectiveness and normal tissue toxicity of a novel nanoparticle depot (NPD) brachytherapy seed incorporating gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) labeled with β-particle emitting, ⁹⁰Y (termed a "radiation nanomedicine"), were studied for the treatment of 4T1 triple-negative murine mammary carcinoma tumors in Balb/c mice and for inducing an abscopal effect on a distant non-irradiated tumor alone or combined with anti-PD-L1 immune checkpoint antibodies. Balb/c mice with two subcutaneous 4T1 tumors─a primary tumor and a distant secondary tumor were implanted intratumorally (i.t.) in the primary tumor with NPD incorporating 3.5 MBq of ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs (1 × 10¹⁴ AuNPs) or unlabeled AuNPs, alone or combined with systemically administered anti-PD-L1 antibodies (200 μg i.p. three times/week for 2 weeks) or received anti-PD-L1 antibodies alone or no treatment. The primary tumor was strongly growth-inhibited over 14 d by NPD incorporating ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs but only very modestly inhibited by NPD incorporating unlabeled AuNPs. Anti-PD-L1 antibodies alone were ineffective, and combining anti-PD-L1 antibodies with NPD incorporating ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs did not further inhibit the growth of the primary tumor. Secondary tumor growth was inhibited by treatment of the primary tumor with NPD incorporating ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs, and growth inhibition was enhanced by anti-PD-L1 antibodies. Treatment of the primary tumor with NPD incorporating unlabeled AuNPs or anti-PD-L1 antibodies alone had no effect on secondary tumor growth. Biodistribution studies showed high uptake of ⁹⁰Y in the primary tumor [516-810% implanted dose/g (%ID/g)] but very low uptake in the secondary tumor (0.033-0.16% ID/g) and in normal tissues (<0.5% ID/g) except for kidneys (5-8% ID/g). Very high radiation absorbed doses were estimated for the primary tumor (472 Gy) but very low doses in the secondary tumor (0.13 Gy). There was highdose-heterogeneity in the primary tumor with doses as high as 9964 Gy in close proximity to the NPD, decreasing rapidly with distance from the NPD. Normal organ doses were low (<1 Gy) except for kidneys (4 Gy). No normal tissue toxicity was observed, but white blood cell counts (WBC) decreased in tumor-bearing mice treated with NPD incorporating ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs. Decreased WBC counts were interpreted as tumor response and not toxicity since these were higher than that in healthy non-tumor-bearing mice, and there was a direct association between WBC counts and 4T1 tumor burden. We conclude that implantation of NPD incorporating ⁹⁰Y-AuNPs into a primary 4T1 tumor in Balb/c mice strongly inhibited tumor growth and combined with anti-PD-L1 antibodies induced an abscopal effect on a distant secondary tumor. This radiation nanomedicine is promising for the local treatment of triple-negative breast cancer tumors in patients, and these therapeutic effects may extend to non-irradiated lesions, especially when combined with checkpoint immunotherapy.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Abemaciclib plus Fulvestrant versus Placebo plus Fulvestrant in Patients with Hormone Receptor-Positive, ERBB2-Negative Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Abemaciclib is a selective and potent small-molecule inhibitor of cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 (CDK4 and CDK6) which is administered orally. Compared to placebo plus fulvestrant (PF), abemaciclib plus fulvestrant (AF) significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). However, an economic evaluation of these two treatments is currently lacking. The purpose of this article was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the two treatments for HR*, HER2- advanced breast cancer (ABC) in the USA.

METHODS

A Markov simulation model was constructed using data from a published clinical trial (MONARCH 2). The two simulated treatment strategies included AF or PF. Costs were obtained from the clinical trials and the website, and utility was derived from the published literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated to compare the two treatment strategies.

RESULTS

The total costs were USD 400,377.43 and USD 89,937.77 for AF and PF treatment, respectively. The AF treatment produced 2.09 long-term quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the PF treatment produced 1.08 QALYs. Hence, patients who received AF treatment spent an additional USD 310,439.66 and generated an increase of 1.01 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of USD 307,366 per QALY. At current prices, AF was not cost-effective assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 150,000 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSION

Despite significant gains in PFS over AF, it is not a cost-effective treatment for HR*, HER2- ABC in the USA at current drug prices.

Clinical Validity of 16α-[18F]Fluoro-17β-Estradiol Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography to Assess Estrogen Receptor Status in Newly Diagnosed Metastatic Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Determining the estrogen receptor (ER) status is essential in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) management. Whole-body ER imaging with 16α-[¹⁸F]fluoro-17β-estradiol positron emission tomography ([¹⁸F]FES-PET) is increasingly used for this purpose. To establish the clinical validity of the [¹⁸F]FES-PET, we studied the diagnostic accuracy of qualitative and quantitative [¹⁸F]FES-PET assessment to predict ER expression by immunohistochemistry in a metastasis.

METHODS

In a prospective multicenter trial, 200 patients with newly diagnosed MBC underwent extensive workup including molecular imaging. For this subanalysis, ER expression in the biopsied metastasis was related to qualitative whole-body [¹⁸F]FES-PET evaluation and quantitative [¹⁸F]FES uptake in the corresponding metastasis. A review and meta-analysis regarding [¹⁸F]FES-PET diagnostic performance were performed.

RESULTS

Whole-body [¹⁸F]FES-PET assessment predicted ER expression in the biopsied metastasis with good accuracy: a sensitivity of 95% (95% CI, 89 to 97), a specificity of 80% (66 to 89), a positive predictive value (PPV) of 93% (87 to 96), and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 85% (72 to 92) in 181 of 200 evaluable patients. Quantitative [¹⁸F]FES uptake predicted ER immunohistochemistry in the corresponding metastasis with a sensitivity/specificity of 91%/69% and a PPV/NPV of 90%/71% in 156 of 200 evaluable patients. For bone metastases, PPV/NPV was 92%/81%. Meta-analysis with addition of our data has increased diagnostic performance and narrowed the 95% CIs compared with previous studies with a sensitivity/specificity of both 86% (81 to 90 and 73 to 93, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In this largest prospective series so far, we established the clinical validity of [¹⁸F]FES-PET to determine tumor ER status in MBC. In view of the high diagnostic accuracy of qualitatively assessed whole-body [¹⁸F]FES-PET, this noninvasive imaging modality can be considered a valid alternative to a biopsy of a metastasis to determine ER status in newly MBC (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01957332).

Low social and family well-being is associated with greater RAGE ligand s100A8/A9 and interleukin-1 beta levels in metastatic breast cancer patients

Greater inflammatory signaling has been shown to promote breast cancer disease progression and poorer clinical outcomes. Lower social support and social well-being have been related to greater inflammatory signaling and poorer clinical outcomes in women with non-metastatic breast cancer, and this appears to be independent of depression. However, little is known about these associations in women with metastatic disease. s100A8/A9 and interleukin 1 beta (IL-1β) proteins are widely studied in breast cancer and are considered as biomarkers of cancer progression or as having a causal role in carcinogenesis and cancer progression and metastasis via inflammatory signaling. The aim of this study was to examine the associations between less social/family well-being (SWB) and S100A8/A9 and IL-1β levels in women diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer. Sixty women (Mean age 58.95 ​± ​1.49) with a diagnosis of metastatic breast cancer participated in the study. The Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy (FACT) social and family well-being (SWB) subscale and the Hospital Anxiety Depression Scale (HADS) were administered to patients undergoing a first- or second-line endocrine or oral chemotherapy treatment and who were not experiencing brain metastasis or visceral crisis. Salivary s100A8/A9 and IL-1β levels were assessed at 5PM on two consecutive days and averaged. Multiple regression tested the independent contribution of SWB on s100 A8/A9 and IL-1b while controlling for depression. Lower levels of SWB were associated with greater S100A8/A9 (ß ​= ​-0.345, p ​= ​0.007) and IL-1β (ß ​= ​-0.286, p ​= ​0.027) levels and these associations remained significant after controlling for depression. This work provides new evidence for the role of decreased SWB and greater s100A8/A9 and IL-1b levels in patients diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer. Psychosocial interventions that promote social support and positive social interactions through interpersonal skills may help metastatic breast cancer patients to improve their SWB. This may have salutary effects on cancer-promoting processes, which could provide psychological and physical health benefits.

A Novel Staging System for De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer Refines Prognostic Estimates

OBJECTIVE

We aim to identify prognostic groups within a de novo metastatic cohort, incorporating both anatomic and biologic factors.

BACKGROUND

Staging for breast cancer now includes anatomic and biologic factors, although the guidelines for stage IV disease do not account for how these factors may influence outcomes.

METHODS

Adults with de novo metastatic breast cancer were selected from the National Cancer DataBase (2010-2013). Recursive partitioning analysis was used to group patients with similar overall survival (OS) based on clinical T/N stage, tumor grade, ER, PR, HER2, number of metastatic sites, and presence of bone-only metastases. Categories were created by amalgamating homogeneous groups based on 3-year OS rates (stage IVA: >50%, stage IVB: 30%-50%, stage IVC: <30%).

RESULTS

16,187 patients were identified; median follow-up was 32 months. 65.2% had 1 site of distant metastasis, and 42.9% had bone-only metastases. Recursive partitioning analysis identified the number of metastatic sites (1 vs >1) as the first stratification point, and ER status as the second stratification point for both resulting groups. Additional divisions were made based on HER2 status, PR status, cT stage, tumor grade, and presence of bone-only metastases. After bootstrapping, significant differences in 3-year OS were noted between the 3 groups [stage IVB vs IVA: HR 1.58 (95% confidence interval 1.50-1.67), stage IVC vs IVA: HR 3.54 (95% confidence interval 3.33-3.77)].

CONCLUSIONS

Both anatomic and biologic factors yielded reliable and reproducible prognostic estimates among patients with metastatic disease. These findings support formal stratification of de novo stage IV breast cancer into 3 distinct prognosis groups.

Real-World First-Line Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Hormone Receptor-Positive Advanced Breast Cancer Patients: A Multicenter, Retrospective Study in China

Background

Recent data on first-line treatment patterns administered to hormone receptor-positive (HR+) advanced breast cancer (ABC) patients in the real-world setting are limited. This study aimed to report the first-line treatment patterns and outcomes of HR+ ABC patients in China.

Methods

This was a multicenter, noninterventional study. Eligible patients were cytologically or histologically confirmed to have HR+ ABC with ≥2 complete medical records and received first-line therapies between January 2015 and June 2019. Treatment patterns and outcomes were extracted from structured or unstructured electronic medical records. Progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method.

Results

In total, 1072 patients with HR+ ABC were enrolled at 6 treatment sites: 327 human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) patients, 696 HER2-negative (HER2-) patients and 49 HER2-unknown patients. Overall, 62.41% of patients received first-line chemotherapy (CT), 21.08% received targeted therapy (TT) and 15.49% received endocrine therapy (ET). For HR+/HER2+ patients, 65.14% received TT, 28.44% received CT, and 5.81% received ET. Compared with patients who received TT, patients who received CT alone, had a significantly worse median PFS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] =2.59, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.64-4.10, p<0.001). For HR+/HER2- patients, 77.01% received CT, 20.69% received ET and 1.15% received TT. Compared with patients who received ET, patients who received CT with maintenance therapy had a significantly prolonged median PFS (adjusted HR =0.57, 95% CI, 0.44-0.76, p<0.001). Among HR+/HER2- patients who received CT with maintenance treatment, those with maintenance ET had a longer median PFS than those with maintenance CT, but the difference was not significant (adjusted HR=0.92, 95% CI, 0.64-1.33, p=0.66).

Conclusions

This real-world study demonstrates that CT remains the mainstream first-line treatment option for HR+ patients in China. Among patients with HR+/HER2+ ABC, the majority received first-line TT and experienced a PFS benefit. A high percentage of HR+/HER2- patients received CT as first-line therapy in clinical practice. PFS benefit was significantly longer in patients who received CT with maintenance therapy. Moreover, there was no obvious difference in PFS between maintenance ET and CT. Maintenance ET may be a better choice considering its lower toxicity and better quality of life.

Overall Survival with Ribociclib plus Letrozole in Advanced Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

In a previous analysis of this phase 3 trial, first-line ribociclib plus letrozole resulted in significantly longer progression-free survival than letrozole alone among postmenopausal patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative advanced breast cancer. Whether overall survival would also be longer with ribociclib was not known.

METHODS

Here we report the results of the protocol-specified final analysis of overall survival, a key secondary end point. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either ribociclib or placebo in combination with letrozole. Overall survival was assessed with the use of a stratified log-rank test and summarized with the use of Kaplan-Meier methods after 400 deaths had occurred. A hierarchical testing strategy was used for the analysis of progression-free survival and overall survival to ensure the validity of the findings.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 6.6 years, 181 deaths had occurred among 334 patients (54.2%) in the ribociclib group and 219 among 334 (65.6%) in the placebo group. Ribociclib plus letrozole showed a significant overall survival benefit as compared with placebo plus letrozole. Median overall survival was 63.9 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 71.0) with ribociclib plus letrozole and 51.4 months (95% CI, 47.2 to 59.7) with placebo plus letrozole (hazard ratio for death, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.93; two-sided P = 0.008). No new safety signals were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

First-line therapy with ribociclib plus letrozole showed a significant overall survival benefit as compared with placebo plus letrozole in patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Median overall survival was more than 12 months longer with ribociclib than with placebo. (Funded by Novartis; MONALEESA-2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01958021.).

Breast cancer recurrence: factors impacting occurrence and survival

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer mortality has decreased due to improved screening and treatment options. Nevertheless, 25-30% of patients develop disease recurrence and die from the disease dissemination. Patients who develop metastatic disease represent a heterogeneous group and management plans are dependent on molecular subtype, disease burden and metastatic site.

AIM

To determine predictive clinicopathological factors of disease recurrence and their impact on survival in the molecular era.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who breast cancer developed recurrence at our tertiary referral centre between 2000 and 2015 were included. Clinicopathological and treatment data were assessed using descriptive statistics. Oncological outcome was assessed using Cox regression and Kaplan Meier analyses.

RESULTS

Two hundred sixty-five consecutive patients who developed breast cancer recurrence were included; median age at metastasis was 59.3 years (range 27-87 years), and median time to recurrence (TTR) was 47.7 ± 38.5 months (range 3.0-194.3 months). Survival was 24.2% (64/265) 53.2% were luminal A (LABC) (141/265), 18.5% were luminal B (LBBC) (49/265), 18.5% were triple negative (TNBC) (49/265), and 9.8% were human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 overexpressing (HER2 +) (26/265). TTR for patients with LABC was 56.0 ± 41.3 months, LBBC was 48.4 ± 41.1 months, TNBC was 26.9 ± 28.5 months and HER2 + was 34.3 ± 21.8 months. Increased grade (P < 0.001), Nottingham Prognostic Indices (P < 0.001), TNBC (P < 0.001), HER2 + subtype (P < 0.001) and receiving targeted therapy (P = 0.006) predicted shorted TTR. Estrogen receptor positivity (P < 0.001), progesterone receptor positivity (P = 0.010), invasive lobular carcinoma (P = 0.009) and receiving endocrine therapy (P = 0.001) predicted longer TTR.

CONCLUSION

Readily available clinicopathological factors predict risk of metastatic dissemination. Developing a tailored program to identify patients at risk of recurrence is crucial in controlling metastatic dissemination of breast cancer.

Hepatic resection for breast cancer related liver metastases: A single institution experience

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVE

Liver resection for breast cancer liver metastases is becoming a more widely accepted therapeutic option for selected groups of patients. The aim of this study was to describe the outcomes of patients undergoing liver resection for breast cancer-related liver metastases and identify any variables associated with recurrence or survival.

METHODS

A retrospective review of a prospectively maintained database was undertaken for the 12 year period between 2009 and 2021. Clinicopathological, treatment, intraoperative, recurrence, survival and follow-up data were collected on all patients. Kaplan-Meier methods, the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were used to identify variables that were associated with recurrence and survival.

RESULTS

A total of 20 patients underwent 21 liver resections over the 12-year period. There were no deaths within 30 days of surgery and an operative morbidity occurred in 23.8% of cases. The median local recurrence free survival and disease free survival times were both 50 months, while the 5 year overall survival rate was 65%. The presence of extrahepatic metastases were associated with a decreased time to local recurrence (p < 0.01) and worse overall survival (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

This study has demonstrated that liver resection for breast cancer-related liver metastases is feasible, safe and associated with prolonged disease free and overall survival in selected patients. It is likely that this option will be offered to more patients going forward, however, the difficulty lies in selecting out those who will benefit from liver resection particularly given the increasing number of systemic treatments and local ablative methods available that offer good long-term results.

Metastatic Pattern Discriminates Survival Benefit of Type of Surgery in Patients With De Novo Stage IV Breast Cancer Based on SEER Database

Background: The role of surgery and surgery type in de novo stage IV breast cancer (BC) is unclear.

Methods: We carried out a retrospective cohort study that included the data of 4,108 individuals with de novo stage IV BC abstracted from SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) data resource from 2010 to 2015. The patients were stratified into the non-surgery group, breast-conserving (BCS) surgery group, and mastectomy group. Inverse probability propensity score weighting (IPTW) was then used to balance clinicopathologic factors. Overall survival (OS), as well as the breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS), was assessed in the three groups using Kaplan–Meier analysis and COX model. Subgroups were stratified by metastatic sites for analysis.

Results: Of the 4,108 patients, 48.5% received surgery and were stratified into the BCS group (574 cases) and mastectomy group (1,419 cases). After IPTW balance demographic and clinicopathologic factors, BCS and mastectomy groups had better OS (BCS group: HR, 0.61; 95% CI: 0.49–0.75; mastectomy group: HR, 0.7; 95% CI: 0.63–0.79) and BCSS (BCS group: HR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.47–0.75; mastectomy group: HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.63–0.81) than the non-therapy group. Subgroup analyses revealed that BCS, rather than mastectomy, was linked to better OS (HR, 0.66; 95% CI: 0.48–0.91) and BCSS (HR, 0.63; 95% CI: 0.45–0.89) for patients with bone-only metastasis. For patients with viscera metastasis or bone+viscera metastases, BCS achieved similar OS (viscera metastasis: HR, 1.05; 95% CI: 0.74–1.48; bone+viscera metastases: HR, 1.01; 95% CI: 0.64–1.61) and BCSS (viscera metastasis: HR, 0.94; 95% CI: 0.64–1.38; bone+viscera metastases: HR, 1.06; 95% CI: 0.66–1.73) in contrast with mastectomy.

Conclusions: Local surgery for patients with distant metastasis (DS) exhibited a remarkable survival advantage in contrast with non-operative management. BCS may have more survival benefits for patients with de novo stage IV BC with bone-only metastasis than other metastatic sites. Decisions on de novo stage IV BC primary surgery should be tailored to the metastatic pattern.

Prognostic factors and survival prediction in HER2-positive breast cancer with bone metastases: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Bone is the most common metastatic site of breast cancer. The developmental pattern of bone metastasis differs in different molecular subtypes. The prognostic factors of HER2-positive breast cancer with bone metastases require further investigation. The goal of this retrospective study was to identify the clinical features and prognostic factors for HER2-positive patients with bone metastases.

METHODS

A total of 34,084 HER2-positive breast cancer cases and 1204 cases of bone metastases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015 were analyzed to identify clinical characteristics and prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The C-index, calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were utilized for model validation.

RESULTS

In the HER2-positive breast cancer total population (34,084 cases), 6.2% developed metastatic diseases. Bone metastases accounted for 3.5% of the entire cohort and 56.7% of all metastatic cases. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified seven prognostic factors for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) for HER2-positive breast cancer patients with bone metastases, including age, brain metastases, liver metastases, lung metastases, PR status, surgery, and chemotherapy. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.74 vs. 0.78 (for 3-year CSS) and 0.77 vs. 0.81 (for 5-year CSS) in the model and validation cohorts, respectively. The AUCs were 0.74 vs. 0.78 (for 3-year CSS) and 0.77 vs. 0.81 (for 5-year CSS) in the model and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves indicated favorable agreement between the actual observations and the predictions.

CONCLUSION

Our study provided population-based clinical features and prognostic factors for HER2-positive breast cancer patients with bone metastases and we constructed a prognostic nomogram with reliable accuracy.

Healthcare Use during the Last Six Months of Life in Patients with Advanced Breast Cancer

Simple Summary

In the last decades, new treatment options for advanced (breast) cancer have resulted in increased use of health care resources near the end of life. We assessed health care use near the end of life of patients with advanced breast cancer (ABC). In this study, we have shown that ICU admission, and CPR occurred rarely during the last six months of life of ABC patients. However, hospital admissions occurred often, especially in patients who received new chemotherapy within 30 days of end of life. Those patients were also more likely to die in the hospital. However, death was most often due to disease progression. To improve quality of life near the end of life of advanced breast cancer patients, it is vital to develop tools to help clinicians identify those patients who will benefit from chemotherapy at the end of life.

Abstract

New treatment options in cancer have resulted in increased use of health care resources near the end of life. We assessed health care use near the end of life of patients with advanced breast cancer (ABC). From the Southeast Netherlands Breast cancer (SONABRE) registry, we selected all deceased patients diagnosed with ABC in Maastricht University Medical Center between January 2007 and October 2017. Frequency of health care use in the last six months of life was described and predictors for health care use were assessed. Of 203 patients, 76% were admitted during the last six months, 6% to the intensive care unit (ICU) and 2% underwent cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Death in hospital occurred in 25%. Nine percent of patients received a new line of chemotherapy ≤30 days before death, which was associated with age <65 years and <1 year survival since diagnosis of metastases. In these patients, the hospital admission rate was 95%, of which 79% died in the hospital, mostly due to progressive disease (80%). In conclusion, the frequency of ICU-admission, CPR or a new line of chemotherapy ≤30 days before death was low. Most patients receiving a new line of chemotherapy ≤30 days before death, died in the hospital.

Prognostic and tumor-immune infiltration cell signatures in tamoxifen-resistant breast cancers

BACKGROUND

The cumulative risk of distant recurrence of hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer in the past 20 years has ranged from 22% to 52% after 5 years of endo-therapy. The TNM stage, histological grade, and age are important clinical factors related to recurrence, however the exact mechanism of tamoxifen resistance is still unclear.

METHODS

Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified in 10 pairs of patients who had relapsed and non-relapsed after tamoxifen treatment based on matching their clinicopathological factors. After analysis of the Gene Ontology (GO) terms and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways, 10 hub genes were identified using Cytoscape software. Next, real-time quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and the Molecular Taxonomy of Breast Cancer International Consortium (METABRIC) database were used to verify the expression and overall survival (OS) of the 10 hub genes respectively, and GSE96058 and Kaplan-Meier Plotter website were used to further verify the OS of C3, CX3CL1, CXCL2, and SAA1. Finally, Immune Cell Abundance Identifier (ImmuCellAI) and the TIMER database were used to estimate immune cell infiltration and the expression of prognostic genes.

RESULTS

The DEGs were mainly enriched in the inflammatory response and cytokine-receptor interaction. The expression and the survival analysis identified CX3CL1, CXCL2, and SAA1 as prognostic factors, whose overexpression in HR+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2) negative breast cancer possibly predicted a longer disease-free survival. The expression levels of these 3 genes are positively correlated with immune cell infiltration. Their high expression levels may predict longer disease-free survival in breast cancer after tamoxifen treatment and may be biomarkers for tamoxifen-resistant therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the high expression of CX3CL1, CXCL2, and SAA1 may predict longer disease-free survival in breast cancer after tamoxifen treatment and may be a biomarker for tamoxifen therapy.

Prognostic Factors in Hormone Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative (HR+/HER2-) Advanced Breast Cancer: A Systematic Literature Review

Purpose

Advanced breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with several well-defined subtypes, among which, hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2–) is most prevalent. Determination of HR and HER2 status influences prognosis and, thus, disease management. Although literature on these prognostic factors exist, especially in the early breast cancer setting, it remains unclear to what extent these factors can guide clinical decision-making in the advanced disease setting. Therefore, we sought to identify the strength and consistency of evidence for prognostic factors in patients with HR+/HER2– advanced breast cancer.

Methods

A systematic literature review (SLR) of the major electronic databases was conducted in November 2018 for primary research studies published since 2010. Endpoints of interest were tumor response, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).

Results

Seventy-nine studies were included wherein all patients were diagnosed with advanced breast cancer and ≥50% of the population were HR+/HER2–. OS was the most commonly assessed endpoint (n=67) followed by PFS (n=33), BCSS (n=5) and tumor response (n=3). The prognostic factors with strongest evidence of association with worse OS were negative progesterone receptor status, higher tumor grade, higher circulating tumor cell (CTC) count and higher Ki67 level, number of metastatic sites (eg multiple vs single) and sites of metastases (eg presence of liver metastases vs absence), shorter time to recurrence or progression to advanced breast cancer, poor performance status, prior therapy attributes in the early or metastatic setting (type of therapy, treatment line, response of prior therapy), and race (black vs white). The prognostic factors that had strongest evidence of association with PFS included CTC count, number and sites of metastases, and absence of prior therapy or higher lines of therapy in the early or metastatic setting. The directionality of association was consistent for all prognostic factors except between lymph node and OS, and de novo metastatic breast cancer and PFS.

Conclusion

Multiple disease, treatment, and patient-related prognostic factors impact survival, particularly OS, in patients with HR+/HER2– advanced breast cancer. Treatment outcomes can vary considerably due to these factors. Understanding poorer prognostic factors for patients can result in improved clinical decision-making.

Relationship between endocrine resistance and the periods of adjuvant endocrine treatment for hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines define primary and secondary endocrine resistance according to the periods of adjuvant endocrine therapy (adj-ET); however, the relationship between adj-ET period and endocrine resistance remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We examined progression-free survival (PFS) after primary ET for recurrent hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer, and evaluated the relationship between endocrine resistance and the periods of adj-ET.

METHODS

We assessed PFS among 183 patients who received ET as primary treatment for the first recurrence, according to the period of adj-ET (adj-ET < 1 year, 1-2 years, ≥2 years, and completion).

RESULTS

Patients who relapsed during the first year of adj-ET had the significantly shortest PFS. PFS did not significantly differ between patients who relapsed at 1-2 years of adj-ET and patients who relapsed while on adj-ET but after the first 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Relapse at 1-2 years after adj-ET initiation might be better classified as secondary endocrine resistance rather than primary endocrine resistance.

Real-world clinical profile, treatment patterns and patient-reported outcomes in a subset of HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer patients with poor prognostic factors: data from an international study

Background

Patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2−) advanced breast cancer (ABC) and disease-related poor prognostic factors are not well characterized. We aimed to describe patient demographics, disease characteristics, treatment patterns and patient-reported outcomes in a subset of HR+/HER2− ABC patients with these factors [at the time when cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4 and 6 inhibitors were being introduced] and understand how these factors informed treatment decisions at the time of the survey.

Methods

Real-world data were derived from a large, multinational, point-in-time survey of oncologists and their consulting patients with HR+/HER2− ABC in the EU5 and USA over March-June 2017, at the start of the changing treatment landscape. Analysis focused on four poor prognostic factors: visceral metastases, liver metastases (subset of visceral metastases), progesterone receptor-negative status and high tumor grade.

Results

In total, 2259 patients with HR+/HER2− ABC had records eligible for this analysis. At least one poor prognostic factor was present in 63% of patients (most common visceral metastases; least common progesterone receptor-negative status), with varying degrees of overlap between factors. For physician-reported outcomes, pain increased, whereas performance status and activities of daily living declined with presence of poor prognostic factors, especially liver metastases. No clear trends were observed for patient-reported outcomes. Treatment with combined endocrine therapy plus CDK4 and 6 inhibitors was infrequent, as these agents were entering the market.

Conclusions

More than 60% of the HR+/HER2− ABC Adelphi Real World Disease Specific Programme™ sample had ≥1 disease-related poor prognostic factor, and patients appeared to be heterogeneous regarding occurrence and distribution of these factors. These patients typically have increased pain and reduced performance status, highlighting the importance of implementing effective therapy with CDK4 and 6 inhibitors. Future studies could inform how the treatment landscape has evolved over time with respect to patients with poor prognostic factors.

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Some 63% of HR+/HER2− ABC patients in this sample had ≥1 disease-related factors more likely to confer a poorer prognosis

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Patients with these factors typically had increased pain and reduced performance status

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Chemotherapy was prescribed more frequently in patients with poor prognostic factors

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Introduction of CDK4 and 6 inhibitors saw more patients with poor prognostic factors receive endocrine therapy-based regimens

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This study is a baseline to understand the impact of these new treatments on prognosis and aggressive disease

Prognostic Model for De Novo and Recurrent Metastatic Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Metastatic breast cancer (MBC) has a heterogeneous clinical course. We sought to develop a prognostic model for overall survival (OS) that incorporated contemporary tumor and clinical factors for estimating individual prognosis.

METHODS

We identified patients with MBC from our institution diagnosed between 1998 and 2017. We developed OS prognostic models by Cox regression using demographic, tumor, and treatment variables. We assessed model predictive accuracy and estimated annual OS probabilities. We evaluated model discrimination and prediction calibration using an external validation data set from the National Comprehensive Cancer Network.

RESULTS

We identified 10,655 patients. A model using age at diagnosis, race or ethnicity, hormone receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 subtype, de novo versus recurrent MBC categorized by metastasis-free interval, Karnofsky performance status, organ involvement, frontline biotherapy, frontline hormone therapy, and the interaction between variables significantly improved predictive accuracy (C-index, 0.731; 95% CI, 0.724 to 0.739) compared with a model with only hormone receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status (C-index, 0.617; 95% CI, 0.609 to 0.626). The extended Cox regression model consisting of six independent models, for < 3, 3-14, 14-20, 20-33, 33-61, and ≥ 61 months, estimated up to 5 years of annual OS probabilities. The selected multifactor model had good discriminative ability but suboptimal calibration in the group of 2,334 National Comprehensive Cancer Network patients. A recalibration model that replaced the baseline survival function with the average of those from the training and validation data improved predictions across both data sets.

CONCLUSION

We have generated and validated a robust prognostic OS model for MBC. This model can be used in clinical decision making and stratification in clinical trials.

Prognostic significance of molecular subtype, metastatic site and primary tumor surgery for survival in primary metastatic breast cancer: A SEER-based study

The incidence of primary metastatic breast cancer (PMBC) has not decreased despite the increasing popularity of mammography screening and data on the survival among these patients are limited. Therefore, we conducted an extensive population-based study to investigate the factors influencing the survival of patients with PMBC.We identified 14,306 patients with de novo stage-IV breast cancer using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data from 2010 to 2015. The overall survival (OS) time and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) time were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the effect of different prognostic factors.Patients with hormone receptor positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive showed the longest median survival time in OS (39 months) and BCSS (43 months), and those with triple negative exhibited the shortest in OS (11 months) and BCSS (12 months). We concluded that patients who had undergone primary tumor surgery had better survival than those who did not. The incidence of distant visceral metastasis in the whole cohort was as follows: bone, lung, liver, and brain. This study also substantiated that patients with only brain metastasis had poorer survival than patients with metastasis at multiple sites metastasis, not including brain metastasis (P < .0001).This study confirmed that molecular subtypes, metastatic site and primary tumor surgery were associated with the survival of PMBC patients.

A clinical calculator to predict disease outcomes in women with hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer treated with first-line endocrine therapy

PURPOSE

Endocrine therapy (ET) is an effective strategy to treat hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) advanced breast cancer (ABC) but nearly all patients eventually progress. Our goal was to develop and validate a web-based clinical calculator for predicting disease outcomes in women with HR+ABC who are candidates for receiving first-line single-agent ET.

METHODS

The meta-database comprises 891 patient-level data from the control arms of five contemporary clinical trials where patients received first-line single-agent ET (either aromatase inhibitor or fulvestrant) for ABC. Risk models were constructed for predicting 24-months progression-free survival (PFS-24) and 24-months overall survival (OS-24). Final models were internally validated for calibration and discrimination using ten-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

Higher number of sites of metastases, measurable disease, younger age, lower body mass index, negative PR status, and prior endocrine therapy were associated with worse PFS. Final PFS and OS models were well-calibrated and associated with cross-validated time-dependent area under the curve (AUC) of 0.61 and 0.62, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed ABC calculator is internally valid and can accurately predict disease outcomes. It may be used to predict patient prognosis, aid planning of first-line treatment strategies, and facilitate risk stratification for future clinical trials in patients with HR+ABC. Future validation of the proposed models in independent patient cohorts is warranted.

A mixed-methods study of cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitor symptom burden and quality of life among metastatic breast cancer patients and providers

Background

Cyclin‐dependent kinase 4 and 6 (CDK4/6) inhibitor targeted therapies dramatically improve survival outcomes for metastatic breast cancer (MBC), but they are associated with significant symptom burden that can impact patients’ health‐related quality of life (HRQOL) and treatment outcomes. This study is the first to describe CDK4/6 inhibitor symptoms from the lived perspectives of MBC patients taking CDK4/6 inhibitors and healthcare providers involved in MBC care. This study also explored patients’ symptom management and HRQOL concerns, and gathered feedback about developing supportive interventions for MBC.

Methods

MBC patients taking CDK4/6 inhibitors (N = 20) and MBC healthcare providers (N = 12) participated in semi‐structured interviews that were analyzed for qualitative themes. MBC patients completed surveys about HRQOL, symptoms, and unmet needs.

Results

Patient and provider perceptions of CDK4/6 inhibitor symptoms did not align with patients perceiving symptoms as more burdensome. Patients reported that supportive resources (e.g., support groups, blogs) that are not specific to MBC do not adequately meet their needs. Patients and providers were enthusiastic about developing supportive interventions specifically for MBC and offered considerations for designing such interventions.

Conclusions

Findings highlight differences in perceptions of CDK4/6 inhibitor symptom burden between MBC patients and providers. Results will inform the development of supportive interventions to assist MBC patients in managing CDK4/6 inhibitor symptom burden and maintaining HRQOL. Such interventions could also improve treatment outcomes.

Metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patient and provider perceptions of symptoms associated with CDK4/6 inhibitor did not align, with patients perceiving symptoms as more burdensome. Patients reported that supportive resources (e.g., support groups, blogs) that are not specific to MBC do not adequately meet their needs, however patients and providers were enthusiastic about developing supportive interventions specifically for MBC and offered considerations for designing such interventions. Results will inform the development of supportive interventions to assist MBC patients in managing CDK4/6 inhibitor symptom burden and maintaining health‐related quality of life.

Association of guideline-concordant initial systemic treatment with clinical and economic outcomes among older women with metastatic breast cancer in the United States

PURPOSE

We examined guideline-concordant initial systemic treatment among women with metastatic breast cancer, its predictors, and if guideline-concordant treatment was associated with mortality, healthcare utilization and Medicare expenditures.

METHODS

This retrospective observational cohort study was conducted using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, End Results-Medicare linked database. Women aged 66-90 years diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer during 2010-2013 (N = 1282) were included. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network treatment guidelines were used to determine the guideline-concordant initial systemic treatment following cancer diagnosis. A logistic regression analysis was conducted to examine significant predictors of guideline-concordant treatment. Generalized linear regressions were used to examine the association between guideline-concordant treatment and healthcare utilization and average monthly Medicare expenditures.

RESULTS

About 74% of the study cohort received guideline-concordant initial systemic treatment. Women who received guideline-concordant treatment were significantly more likely to be comparatively younger (p < 0.05), were married/partnered (p = 0.0038), had HER2 positive tumors, and had good performance status. Adjusted hazards ratios for all-cause (2.364, p < 0.0001) and breast-cancer specific mortality (2.179, p < 0.0001) were higher for women who did not receive guideline-concordant treatment. Rates of healthcare utilization were also higher for women not receiving guideline-concordant treatment. Average monthly Medicare expenditures were 100.4% higher (95% confidence interval: $77.3%-126.5%) for women who did not receive guideline-concordant treatment compared to those who received guideline-concordant treatment (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

One fourth of the study cohort did not receive guideline-concordant initial systemic treatment. Guideline-concordant initial treatment was associated with reduced mortality, and lower healthcare utilization and Medicare expenditures in women with metastatic breast cancer.

Direct Medical Costs of Advanced Breast Cancer Treatment: A Real-World Study in the Southeast of The Netherlands

OBJECTIVES

Policy makers increasingly seek to complement data from clinical trials with information from routine care. This study aims to provide a detailed account of the hospital resource use and associated costs of patients with advanced breast cancer in The Netherlands.

METHODS

Data from 597 patients with advanced breast cancer, diagnosed between 2010 and 2014, were retrieved from the Southeast Netherlands Advanced Breast Cancer Registry. Database lock for this study was in October 2017. We report the observed hospital costs for different resource categories and the lifetime costs per patient, adjusted for censoring using Lin's method. The relationship between patients' characteristics and costs was studied using multivariable regression.

RESULTS

The average (SE) lifetime hospital costs of patients with advanced breast cancer were €52 709 (405). Costs differed considerably between patient subgroups, ranging from €29 803 for patients with a triple-negative subtype to €92 272 for patients with hormone receptor positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive cancer. Apart from the cancer subtype, several other factors, including age and survival time, were independently associated with patient lifetime costs. Overall, a large share of costs was attributed to systemic therapies (56%), predominantly to a few expensive agents, such as trastuzumab (15%), everolimus (10%), and bevacizumab (9%), as well as to inpatient hospital days (20%).

CONCLUSIONS

This real-world study shows the high degree of variability in hospital resource use and associated costs in advanced breast cancer care. The presented resource use and costs data provide researchers and policy makers with key figures for economic evaluations and budget impact analyses.

New insights into patterns of first metastatic sites influencing survival of patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer: a multicenter study of 271 patients

Background

The initial therapeutic strategy for hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer is based on the first metastatic site; however, little evidence is available regarding the influence of metastatic distribution patterns of first metastatic sites on prognosis. In this study, we aimed to identify the metastatic distribution patterns of first metastatic sites that significantly correlate with survival after recurrence.

Methods

We performed a retrospective review of records from 271 patients with recurrent metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer diagnosed between January 2000 and December 2015. We assessed survival after recurrence according to the metastatic distribution patterns of the first metastatic sites and identified significant prognostic factors among patients with single and multiple metastases.

Results

Prognosis was significantly better in patients with a single metastasis than in those with multiple metastases (median overall survival after recurrence: 5.86 years vs. 2.50 years, respectively, p < 0.001). No metastatic organ site with single metastasis was significantly associated with prognostic outcome, although single metastasis with diffuse lesions was an independent risk factor for worse prognosis (HR: 3.641; 95% CI: 1.856–7.141) and more easily progressing to multiple metastases (p = 0.002). Multiple metastases, including liver metastasis (HR: 3.145; 95% CI: 1.802–5.495) or brain metastasis (HR: 3.289; 95% CI: 1.355–7.937), were regarded as significant independent poor prognostic factors; however, multiple metastases not involving liver or brain metastasis were not significantly related to prognosis after recurrence.

Conclusions

Single metastases with diffuse lesions could more easily disseminate systemically and progress to multiple metastases, leading to a poor prognosis similar to multiple metastases. Our findings indicate that the reconsideration of the determinant factors of therapeutic strategies for first recurrence in HR+/HER2- breast cancer may be needed.