Trends in stage-specific breast cancer incidence in New South Wales, Australia: insights into the effects of 25 years of screening mammography

Breast Cancer Stage and Size Detected with Film versus Digital Mammography in New South Wales, Australia: A Population-Based Study Using Routinely Collected Data

BACKGROUND

Digital mammography has replaced film mammography in breast-screening programs globally, including Australia. This led to an increase in the rate of detection, but whether there was increased detection of clinically important cancers is uncertain.

METHODS

In this population-wide retrospective cohort study in New South Wales, Australia spanning 2004 to 2016 and including 4,631,656 screens, there were 22,965 cancers in women screened with film (n = 11,040) or digital mammography (n = 11,925). We examined the change in tumor characteristics overall and how these rates changed over time, accounting for changes in background rates using an interrupted time-series. Comparisons were made with unscreened women (n = 26,326) during this time.

RESULTS

We found increased detection of in situ cancer (3.36 per 10,000 screens), localized invasive, and smaller-sized breast cancers attributable to the change in mammography technology, whereas screen-detected intermediate-sized and metastatic breast cancers decreased. Rates of early-stage and intermediate-sized interval cancers increased, and late-stage (-1.62 per 10,000 screens) and large interval cancers decreased. In unscreened women, there were small increases in the temporal trends of cancers across all stages.

CONCLUSIONS

At least some of the increased detection of smaller early-stage cancers may have translated into a reduction in larger and late-stage cancers, indicating beneficial detection of cancers that would have otherwise progressed. However, the increased detection of smaller early-stage and small cancers may also have increased over-diagnosis of lesions that would otherwise have not caused harm.

IMPACT

Robust evaluation of potential benefits and harms is needed after changes to screening programs. See related In the Spotlight, p. 638.

Decline in the Incidence of Distant Recurrence of Breast Cancer: A Population-Based Health Record Linkage Study, Australia 2001-2016

BACKGROUND

We investigated differences in cumulative incidence of first distant recurrence (DR) following non-metastatic breast cancer over a time period when new adjuvant therapies became available in Australia.

METHODS

We conducted a health record linkage study of females with localized (T1-3N0) or regional (T4 or N+) breast cancer in the New South Wales Cancer Registry in 2001 to 2002 and 2006 to 2007. We linked cancer registry records with administrative records from hospitals, dispensed medicines, radiotherapy services, and death registrations to estimate the 9-year cumulative incidence of DR and describe use of adjuvant treatment.

RESULTS

The study included 13,170 women (2001-2002 n = 6,338, 2006-2007 n = 6,832). The 9-year cumulative incidence of DR was 3.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.3%-4.9%] lower for 2006-2007 diagnoses (15.0%) than 2001-2002 (18.6%). Differences in the annual hazard of DR between cohorts were largest in year two. DR incidence declined for localized and regional disease. Decline was largest for ages <40 years (absolute difference, 14.4%; 95% CI, 8.3%-20.6%), whereas their use of adjuvant chemotherapy (2001-2002 49%, 2006-2007 75%) and HER2-targeted therapy (2001-2002 0%, 2006-2007 16%) increased. DR did not decline for ages ≥70 years (absolute difference, 0.9%; 95% CI, -3.6%-1.8%) who had low use of adjuvant chemotherapy and HER2-targeted therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

This whole-of-population study suggests that DR incidence declined over time. Decline was largest for younger ages, coinciding with changes to adjuvant breast cancer therapy.

IMPACT

Study findings support the need for trials addressing questions relevant to older people and cancer registry surveillance of DR to inform cancer control programs.

Australian radiographers' awareness of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) in mammographic imaging

INTRODUCTION

Women presenting for mammography occasionally have pacemakers or other cardiac-implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) in situ. This research investigates Australian radiographers' awareness of CIEDs in the diagnostic and screening settings.

METHODS

A survey of radiographers with mammography experience in Australia was conducted using SurveyMonkey™. Respondents were asked if they could confidently identify images of devices and whether they had imaged them mammographically. A Chi-squared test of independence was used to compare the association between demographics and CIED awareness. A value of p < 0.05 was deemed statistically significant.

RESULTS

There were 220 valid responses. All CIED types had been imaged. Most respondents had imaged a pacemaker (94.5%) and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) (85.6%), compared to the three different implantable loop recorders (ILRs) (ILR-1: 63.4%; ILR-2: 14.1%; and IRL-3: 26.9% and the emerging subcutaneous ICDs (S-ICDs) (11.9%). Most respondents felt confident identifying the pacemaker (95%) and the ICD (86.1%). Only 19.4% of respondents could confidently identify the emerging S-ICD.

CONCLUSION

A lack of awareness of new and emerging devices may impact approaches to imaging and present significant risk to patients. The lack of studies comprehensively describing devices and their mammographic appearance to support radiographers' knowledge and awareness highlights an urgent need to progress research in this area.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

As a part of continuing professional development, radiographers performing mammography must ensure they remain up to date with current and emerging technology, including CIEDs. This study has identified a lack of awareness of the different types of CIEDs currently being implanted and imaged, which may translate to unsafe imaging practices. There is an urgent need for further education to bridge this knowledge gap and ensure the safety of practice in imaging women with CIEDs.

FOOTLINE

Mammography: CIED Imaging.

The contribution of prognostic factors to socio-demographic inequalities in breast cancer survival in Victoria, Australia

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer survival in Australia varies according to socio-economic status (SES) and between rural and urban places of residence. Part of this disparity may be due to differences in prognostic factors at the time of diagnosis.

METHODS

Women with invasive breast cancer diagnosed from 2008 until 2012 (n = 14,165) were identified from the Victorian Cancer Registry and followed up for 5 years, with death from breast cancer or other causes recorded. A prognostic score, based on stage at diagnosis, cancer grade, whether the cancer was detected via screening, reported comorbidities and age at diagnosis, was constructed for use in a mediation analysis.

RESULTS

Five-year breast cancer mortality for women with breast cancer who were in the lowest quintile of SES (10.3%) was almost double that of those in the highest quintile (5.7%). There was a small survival advantage (1.7% on average, within each socio-economic quintile) of living in inner-regional areas compared with major cities. About half of the socio-economic disparity was mediated by prognostic factors, particularly stage at diagnosis and the presence of comorbidities. The inner-regional survival advantage was not due to differences in prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Part of the socio-economic disparity in breast cancer survival could be addressed by earlier detection in, and improved general health for, more disadvantaged women. Further research is required to identify additional causes of socio-economic disparities as well as the observed inner-regional survival advantage.

Socio-economic and ethnocultural influences on geographical disparities in breast cancer screening participation in Victoria, Australia

OBJECTIVE

To examine the socio-economic and ethnocultural characteristics of geographical areas that may influence variation in breast cancer screening participation.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional analysis breast cancer screening participation for statistical areas in Victoria, Australia (2015-2017) was linked with data from the 2016 Australian Census. We selected four commonly used area-level measures of socio-economic status from the Australian Census (i) income (ii) educational level (iii) occupational status and (iv) employment profile. To assess the ethnocultural characteristics of statistical areas we used the Census measures (i) country of birth (ii) language spoken at home (iii) fluency in English (iv) religion and (v) the proportion of immigrants in an area, together with their recency of migration.

RESULTS

All the selected measures were related to screening participation. There was a high degree of association both within and between socio-economic and ethnocultural characteristics of areas as they relate to screening. Ethnocultural characteristics alone accounted for most of the explained geographical disparity in screening participation.

CONCLUSIONS

Geographical disparities in breast cancer screening participation may be due to ethnocultural factors that are confounded with socio-economic factors.

Survival Outcomes and Care Equity among Patients with Advanced Breast Cancer in Auckland, New Zealand

Aim. The Auckland Advanced Breast Cancer Review (AABC) was a review of patients diagnosed with advanced inoperable/metastatic breast cancer (ABC) within the Auckland region of New Zealand, commissioned in response to a Breast Cancer Registry report (BCFNZR) that showed poor and inequitable survival outcomes. The review was aimed at assessing equity of care and identifying healthcare delivery gaps for patients with ABC in the Auckland region. Method. In this retrospective study, patients living within the Auckland region, diagnosed with ABC between the 1st January 2013 to the 31st December 2015 were identified from the Breast Cancer Registry. Data censorship date was 30th January 2019 to allow a minimum of 3 years of follow-up. Demographic, diagnostic, treatment, and survival data were extracted from electronic records for statistical analysis. Results. Of the 388 patients that met inclusion criteria for this study, median overall survival (medOS) was 18.9 months in the total population, with no difference between patients with de novo metastatic disease (dnMBC -18.9 m) and recurrent metastatic disease (rMBC -18.7 m). No statistically significant differences in medOS was found amongst Maori (16.2 m), Pacific People (17.3 m), and NZ European (18.9 m) or when patients were stratified according domicile district health board. Median number of lines of systemic treatment was two, with similar treatment exposure between ethnic groups. Conclusion. While treatment uptake and survival outcomes were generally comparable across ethnicity and district health boards, dnMBC survival outcomes were considerably poorer than expected, earmarking this subset of patients with ABC for more in-depth research.

Cancer Biomarkers in Liquid Biopsy for Early Detection of Breast Cancer: A Systematic Review

Background:

Breast cancer (BC) is the most common neoplasm in women worldwide. Liquid biopsy (LB) is a non-invasive diagnostic technique that allows the analysis of biomarkers in different body fluids, particularly in peripheral blood and also in urine, saliva, nipple discharge, volatile respiratory fluids, nasal secretions, breast milk, and tears. The objective was to analyze the available evidence related to the use of biomarkers obtained by LB for the early diagnosis of BC.

Methods:

Articles related to the use of biomarkers for the early diagnosis of BC due to LB, published between 2010 and 2022, from the databases (WoS, EMBASE, PubMed, and SCOPUS) were included. The MInCir diagnostic scale was applied in the articles to determine their methodological quality (MQ). Descriptive statistics were used, as well as determination of weighted averages of each variable, to analyze the extracted data. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve values for specific biomarkers (individual or in panels) are described.

Results:

In this systematic review (SR), 136 articles met the selection criteria, representing 17 709 patients with BC. However, 95.6% were case-control studies. In 96.3% of cases, LB was performed in peripheral blood samples. Most of the articles were based on microRNA (miRNA) analysis. The mean MQ score was 25/45 points. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve values for specific biomarkers (individual or in panels) have been found.

Conclusions:

The determination of biomarkers through LB is a useful mechanism for the diagnosis of BC. The analysis of miRNA in peripheral blood is the most studied methodology. Our results indicate that LB has a high sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of BC, especially in early stages.

Epidemiology of De Novo Metastatic Breast Cancer

Most cases of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) arise as a recurrence of a previously treated early breast cancer. Distinct from recurrent MBC is de novo MBC (dnMBC), which describes patients who present with distant sites of disease at initial diagnosis and is reviewed here. dnMBC represents approximately 3% to 6% of new breast cancer diagnoses in high-income countries. This incidence has not declined despite decades of widespread use of population-based mammography screening. Overrepresentation of both biologically aggressive tumors and patients negatively impacted by social determinants of health are characteristics of dnMBC. Survival has generally been superior for patients with dnMBC compared with those with recurrent MBC, although it is similar to that for patients with recurrent MBC with long disease-free intervals. Subgroups of patients with dnMBC who experience prolonged survival include those with human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-positive disease or hormone receptor-positive bone-only disease. Opportunities to decrease dnMBC presentation may include novel screening modalities suited for biologically aggressive breast tumors and improved access to health care. Recognizing that there will remain some women diagnosed with dnMBC, refining our ability to identify those likely to be long-term survivors could allow for appropriate escalation or de-escalation of care. Finally, evaluation of tumor genomics in robust sample sizes has the potential to advance our knowledge of the biology of dnMBC as an entity distinct from recurrent MBC.

Development and validation of a nomogram for prediction of lymph node metastasis in early-stage breast cancer

Background

Lymph node status is an important factor in determining the prognosis of early-stage breast cancer. We endeavored to build and validate a simple nomogram to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with early-stage breast cancer.

Methods

Patients with T1-2 and non-metastasis (M0) breast cancer registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. All patients were divided into primary cohort and validation cohort in a 2:1 ratio. In order to assess risk factors for LNM, we performed univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression, and based on results of multivariable analysis, we built the predictive nomogram model. The C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration plots were applied to assess LNM model performance. Moreover, the nomogram efficiency was further validated through the validation cohort, part of which was from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University database.

Results

Totally, 184,531 female breast cancer with T1-2 tumor size from SEER database and 1,222 patients from the Chinese institutional data were included. There were 123,019 patients in the primary cohort and 62,734 patients in validation cohort. The LNM nomogram was composed of seven features including age at diagnosis, race, primary site, histologic type, grade, tumor size and subtype. The model showed good discrimination, with a C-index of 0.720 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.717-0.723] and good calibration. Similar C-index was 0.718 (95% CI: 0.713-0.723) in validation cohort. Consistently, ROC curves presented good discrimination in the primary cohort [area under the curve (AUC) =0.720] and the validation set (AUC =0.718) for the LNM nomogram. Calibration curve of the nomogram demonstrated good agreement.

Conclusions

With the prediction of novel validated nomogram for women with early-stage breast cancer, doctors may distinguish patients with high possibility of LNM and devise individualize treatments.

Risk of invasive breast cancer in relatives of patients with breast carcinoma in situ: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Wide implementation of mammography screening has resulted in increased numbers of women diagnosed with breast carcinoma in situ. We aimed to determine the risk of invasive breast cancer in relatives of patients with breast carcinoma in situ in comparison to the risk in relatives of patients with invasive breast cancer.

METHODS

We analyzed the occurrence of cancer in a nationwide cohort including all 5,099,172 Swedish women born after 1931 with at least one known first-degree relative. This was a record linkage study of Swedish family cancer datasets, including cancer registry data collected from January 1, 1958, to December 31, 2015. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 10-year cumulative risk of breast cancer diagnosis for women with a family history of in situ and invasive breast cancer.

RESULTS

Having one first-degree relative with breast carcinoma in situ was associated with 50% increased risk of invasive breast cancer (SIR = 1.5, 95% CI 1.4-1.7) when compared to those who had no family history of invasive breast cancer or breast carcinoma in situ in either first- or second-degree relatives. Similarly, having one first-degree relative with invasive breast cancer was associated with 70% (1.7, 1.7-1.8) increased risk. The 10-year cumulative risk for women at age 50 with a relative with breast carcinoma in situ was 3.5% (2.9-3.9%) and was not significantly different from 3.7% (3.6-3.8%) risk for 50-year-old women with a relative with invasive breast cancer (95% confidence intervals overlapped).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of invasive breast cancer for women with a family history of breast carcinoma in situ was comparable to that for women with a family history of invasive breast cancer. Therefore, family history of breast carcinoma in situ should not be overlooked in recommendations for breast cancer prevention for women with a family history of breast cancer.

Assessment of Breast Cancer Mortality Trends Associated With Mammographic Screening and Adjuvant Therapy From 1986 to 2013 in the State of Victoria, Australia

IMPORTANCE

Diagnosis of early breast cancer (EBC) in women by mammographic screening and postsurgical adjuvant endocrine therapy and chemotherapy (termed adjuvant therapy) began simultaneously in many countries in the 1990s. Subsequent breast cancer mortality declines were variously attributed to mammographic screening and/or adjuvant therapy.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relative mortality reductions associated with these 2 interventions in women with EBC who had been exposed to both.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This secondary analysis of cross-sectional studies assessed groups of women with invasive breast cancer in the State of Victoria, Australia, from January 1, 1982, to December 31, 2013, who were included in the Victorian Cancer Registry (VCR). The population consisted of participants in population-based studies of female breast cancer from 1986 to 2013 using data from 4 VCR population-based surveys of breast cancer treatment from 1986 to 1999; VCR data on breast cancer incidence, mortality, and TNM stage at diagnosis from 1986 to 2013; and Victorian mammographic screening program (BreastScreen Victoria) data from 1992 to 2007. Breast cancer incidence and mortality data were analyzed for all 76 630 women registered with invasive breast cancer with the VCR from January 1, 1982, to December 31, 2013, and breast cancer treatment and screening data were analyzed additionally for the groups of surveyed women as described above.

EXPOSURES

Participation in BreastScreen Victoria and receipt of adjuvant therapy after surgery for EBC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Data were analyzed for associations between crude breast cancer mortality trends and uptake of adjuvant therapy and downstaging by mammographic screening.

RESULTS

Of all 76 630 women registered with breast cancer with the VCR from January 1, 1982, to December 31, 2013. Joinpoint analyses of the time trend in crude mortality showed an increase from 31.6 per 100 000 women in 1982 to 34.3 per 100 000 women in 1994, with a single joinpoint at 1994, followed by a significant declining trend to 23.9 per 100 000 women in 2013 (annual percentage change, -1.3%; 95% CI, -1.6% to -0.9%). By 1999, 74% of all Victorian women with EBC (737 of 1001) had commenced adjuvant endocrine therapy, and 72% (187 of 260) of premenopausal and 29% (215 of 741) of postmenopausal women with EBC had commenced adjuvant chemotherapy. Crude incidence of advanced-stage breast cancer almost doubled from 12.2 per 100 000 women in 1986 to 23.9 per 100 000 women in 2013.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that mammographic screening did not downstage breast cancer in Victoria from advanced to early, so population mortality benefit is lacking. Adjuvant therapy uptake was associated with all of the decline in Victorian breast cancer mortality since 1994. Given these findings, monitoring the relative contributions of mammographic screening and adjuvant therapy for EBC to breast cancer mortality reductions in populations of women exposed to both should be mandatory.

Trends of female and male breast cancer incidence at the global, regional, and national levels, 1990-2017

PURPOSE

Breast cancer is a major public health concern worldwide and shows significant heterogeneity between male and female. Knowing the global incidence landscape in both sexes is critical for the breast cancer prevention and the reduction in disease burden.

METHODS

We retrieved the incidence data of breast cancer in both sexes from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 database. Average annual percentage change was used to quantify the temporal trends of breast cancer incidence.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2017, the number of newly diagnosed female breast cancer (FBC) cases increased from 870.2 thousand to 1937.6 thousand, with the age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) significantly increased from 39.2/100,000 to 45.9/100,000. A total of 166 countries experienced a significant increase in FBC-ASR. The most pronounced increase was mainly found in developing countries. The decrease was mostly detected in several developed countries, such as the USA and the UK. Male breast cancer (MBC) is a rare carcinoma and has no evident cluster across the world. Worldwide, the number of newly diagnosed MBC cases increased from 8.5 thousand in 1990 to 23.1 thousand in 2017, with the ASR significantly increased from 0.46/100,000 to 0.61/100,000. A total of 123 countries showed a significant increasing trend in MBC-ASR.

CONCLUSIONS

Breast cancer incidence rates are increasing in most countries in both sexes, although the epidemiological features were not completely shared between FBC and MBC. More emphases should be placed on breast cancer primary prevention and the prevention strategies might need to be tailored for both FBC and MBC.

Trends in Breast Cancer Incidence and Stage Distribution Before and During the Introduction of the Mammography Screening Program in Lithuania

Background:

The aim of this study was to analyze the incidence trends of localized and advanced breast cancer (BC) before and during the implementation of the mammography screening program (MSP) in Lithuania.

Methods:

The study period was divided into 2 intervals: the prescreening period (1998-2005) and implementation period (2006-2012). Analysis was performed for 3 age-groups: 0 to 49 years, 50 to 69 (target population), and older than 70.

Results:

In all age-groups, the incidence of localized BC has shown a steady increase, while the incidence of advanced stage BC has decreased. In the target population, during the study period, the stage I BC incidence increased statistically significantly by 10.3% per year (from 3.3 per 100 000 in 1998 to 12.2 per 100 000 in 2012). The increase in localized BC was faster in the period before the implementation of the MSP than during the implementation in 2006 to 2012 (10.3% and 5.7%). A slightly statistically significant decrease was observed for advanced BC during the study period (−1.1% per year), while during the implementation of the MSP, significant changes were not seen.

Conclusions:

The results of our study indicate that the implementation of the MSP in Lithuania did not significantly influence trends of localized and advanced BC. Changes observed during the study period, including the prescreening and screening introduction periods, may reflect the general trends in the awareness of BC and improvements in diagnostics.

Accuracy of Breast Magnetic Resonance Imaging Compared to Mammography in the Preoperative Detection and Measurement of Pure Ductal Carcinoma In Situ: A Retrospective Analysis

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) hinders imaging detection due to multifocal appearance and discontinuous growth. Preoperative determination of its extent is therefore challenging. Aim of this study was to investigate the additional benefit of breast magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to mammography (MG) in the diagnosis of DCIS according to size and grading.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 295 patients with biopsy-proven, pure DCIS. Mean patient age was 57.0 years (27-87 years). All patients obtained MG. Additional MRI was performed in 41.7% (123/295). Mammographic breast density, background parenchymal enhancement (BPE), tumor size and grading were analysed. Tumor size on MG and MRI were compared to histopathological size of the surgical specimen.

RESULTS

Mean tumor size was 39.6 mm. DCIS was occult on MG in 24.4% (30/123) and on MRI in 1.6% (2/123). Size was underestimated by 4.6 mm (mean) mammographically. DCIS was high grade in 54.5% (67/123), intermediate grade in 40.7% (50/123) and low grade in 4.9% (6/123). MG was exact regarding tumor size in low grade DCIS, underestimated intermediate grade DCIS by 1 mm (median) and high grade DCIS by 10.5 mm. MRI overestimated low grade DCIS by 1 mm (median), was exact regarding intermediate grade DCIS and underestimated high grade DCIS by 1 mm. BPE did not influence tumor detection and measurement.

CONCLUSION

MRI outperforms MG in the detection and size estimation of DCIS and can reduce positive margin rates.

Serum microRNA as potential biomarker to detect breast atypical hyperplasia and early-stage breast cancer

AIM

The present study aimed to identify microRNA (miRNA) that can be used for not only detecting early-stage breast cancer (BC) but also diagnosing atypical hyperplasia (AH).

MATERIALS & METHODS

RT-qPCR detected the expression levels of miRNAs and receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to evaluate sensitivity and specificity of the assay.

RESULTS

miR-24 and miR-103a were expressed in an upward trend in serum of benign proliferative tumor subjects, while they were downregulated significantly in serum of AH (p < 0.005) and early-stage BC subjects (p < 0.005) with high sensitivity and specificity as compared with controls. Bioinformatics analysis also revealed the potential molecular mechanism through which miR-24 and miR-103a regulate tumorigenesis in BC.

CONCLUSION

miR-24 and miR-103a were valuable biomarkers for distinguishing AH and early-stage BC from healthy individuals/benign proliferative tumor patients.