1
|
Roberts EK, Luo L, Mondul AM, Banerjee M, Veenstra CM, Mariotto AB, Schipper MJ, He K, Taylor JMG, Brouwer AF. Time-varying associations of patient and tumor characteristics with cancer survival: an analysis of SEER data across 14 cancer sites, 2004-2017. Cancer Causes Control 2024:10.1007/s10552-024-01888-y. [PMID: 38811511 DOI: 10.1007/s10552-024-01888-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2023] [Accepted: 05/13/2024] [Indexed: 05/31/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registries provides information about survival duration and cause of death for cancer patients. Baseline demographic and tumor characteristics such as age, sex, race, year of diagnosis, and tumor stage can inform the expected survival time of patients, but their associations with survival may not be constant over the post-diagnosis period. METHODS Using SEER data, we examined if there were time-varying associations of patient and tumor characteristics on survival, and we assessed how these relationships differed across 14 cancer sites. Standard Cox proportional hazards models were extended to allow for time-varying associations and incorporated into a competing-risks framework, separately modeling cancer-specific and other-cause deaths. For each cancer site and for each of the five factors, we estimated the relative hazard ratio and absolute hazard over time in the presence of competing risks. RESULTS Our comprehensive consideration of patient and tumor characteristics when estimating time-varying hazards showed that the associations of age, tumor stage at diagnosis, and race/ethnicity with risk of death (cancer-specific and other-cause) change over time for many cancers; characteristics of sex and year of diagnosis exhibit some time-varying patterns as well. Stage at diagnosis had the largest associations with survival. CONCLUSION These findings suggest that proportional hazards assumptions are often violated when examining patient characteristics on cancer survival post-diagnosis. We discuss several interesting results where the relative hazards are time-varying and suggest possible interpretations. Based on the time-varying associations of several important covariates on survival after cancer diagnosis using a pan-cancer approach, the likelihood of the proportional hazards assumption being met or corresponding interpretation should be considered in survival analyses, as flawed inference may have implications for cancer care and policy.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Emily K Roberts
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.
| | - Lingfeng Luo
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Alison M Mondul
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Mousumi Banerjee
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Christine M Veenstra
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Angela B Mariotto
- Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA
| | - Matthew J Schipper
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Kevin He
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Jeremy M G Taylor
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Andrew F Brouwer
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Toren P, Wilkins A, Patel K, Burley A, Gris T, Kockelbergh R, Lodhi T, Choudhury A, Bryan RT. The sex gap in bladder cancer survival - a missing link in bladder cancer care? Nat Rev Urol 2024; 21:181-192. [PMID: 37604983 DOI: 10.1038/s41585-023-00806-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/17/2023] [Indexed: 08/23/2023]
Abstract
The differences in bladder cancer outcomes between the sexes has again been highlighted. Uncommon among cancers, bladder cancer outcomes are notably worse for women than for men. Furthermore, bladder cancer is three to four times more common among men than among women. Factors that might explain these sex differences include understanding the importance of haematuria as a symptom of bladder cancer by both clinicians and patients, the resultant delays in diagnosis and referral of women with haematuria, and health-care access. Notably, these factors seem to have geographical variation and are not consistent across all health-care systems. Likewise, data relating to sex-specific treatment responses for patients with non-muscle-invasive or muscle-invasive bladder cancer are inconsistent. The influence of differences in the microbiome, bladder wall thickness and urine dwell times remain to be elucidated. The interplay of hormone signalling, gene expression, immunology and the tumour microenvironment remains complex but probably underpins the sexual dimorphism in disease incidence and stage and histology at presentation. The contribution of these biological phenomena to sex-specific outcome differences is probable, albeit potentially treatment-specific, and further understanding is required. Notwithstanding these aspects, we identify opportunities to harness biological differences to improve treatment outcomes, as well as areas of fundamental and translational research to pursue. At the level of policy and health-care delivery, improvements can be made across the domains of patient awareness, clinician education, referral pathways and guideline-based care. Together, we aim to highlight opportunities to close the sex gap in bladder cancer outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Paul Toren
- CHU de Québec-Université Laval, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Anna Wilkins
- Division of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK
- The Royal Marsden Hospitals NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Keval Patel
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | - Amy Burley
- Division of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK
| | - Typhaine Gris
- CHU de Québec-Université Laval, Quebec City, Quebec, Canada
| | - Roger Kockelbergh
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
- Action Bladder Cancer UK, Tetbury, UK
| | - Taha Lodhi
- Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester and The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Ananya Choudhury
- Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester and The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Richard T Bryan
- Action Bladder Cancer UK, Tetbury, UK.
- Bladder Cancer Research Centre, Institute of Cancer & Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Xu J, Huang S, Yan Q, Jiang J, Hu N, Zhang W, Shi L, Deng M, Tang X, Liao J. Causes of death and nomogram for patients with oncologic hepato-biliary-pancreatic disorders: A large-cohort study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2024; 103:e37187. [PMID: 38394524 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000037187] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2024] Open
Abstract
The improvement of digestive cancer survival results in increased morbidity of noncancerous comorbidities. This study aimed at clarifying causes of death (COD) and predicting overall survival (OS) in patients diagnosed with liver cancer, gallbladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma, and pancreatic cancer. We used the Surveillance, Epidemic, and End Results database to extract information. Nomograms of multivariate Cox regression was used to predict OS of cancer patients. The models were evaluated using the concordance indexes (C-indexes), the receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves. Respectively 58,895, 15,324, 30,708, and 109,995 cases with cancer of liver, gallbladder, bile duct or pancreas were retrieved between 2000 and 2020. Approximately 80% deaths occurred within 1 years after cancer diagnosis. Sequence in noncancerous COD proportion was diverse, while diseases of heart always accounted for a great part. Risks of death from most noncancerous COD were significantly higher than that of the cancer-free population. Nomograms were developed by predictors of interest such as age, therapy and TNM stage. The concordance indexes of nomograms were 0.756, 0.729, 0.763, and 0.760 respectively, well-calibrating to the reality. The 0.5-, 1-, and 2-year areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were about 0.800, indicating good reliability and accuracy. Noncancerous COD accounted for larger part in gallbladder cancer and cholangiocarcinoma. Noncancerous COD showed an upward trend as follow-up time extended and the majorities were diseases of heart, cerebrovascular disease, chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. The novel OS-nomograms can provide personalized prognosis information with satisfactory accuracy.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jia Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Shu Huang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Lianshui County People' Hospital, Huaian, China
- Department of Gastroenterology, Lianshui People' Hospital of Kangda College Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Huaian, China
| | - Qiong Yan
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Jiao Jiang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Nan Hu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Lei Shi
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Mingming Deng
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Xiaowei Tang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| | - Jingyuan Liao
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
- Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Luzhou, China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Pompa IR, Qi D, Ghosh A, Goldberg SI, Chino F, Efstathiou JA, Kamran SC. Longitudinal Analysis of Bladder Cancer-Specific Mortality Trends in the United States. Bladder Cancer 2023; 9:345-353. [PMID: 38174126 PMCID: PMC10759801 DOI: 10.3233/blc-230062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Accepted: 11/12/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bladder cancer is the tenth leading cause of cancer death in the United States (US). Advances in diagnosis, imaging, and treatments have led to improvements in bladder cancer management. OBJECTIVE To evaluate longitudinal bladder cancer mortality trends from 1999-2020 in the US by gender, race, ethnicity, age, geographic region, and urbanization category. METHODS Age-adjusted bladder cancer death and incidence rates of individuals in the US of all ages between 1999-2020 were obtained using the CDC WONDER and NAACCR databases. Trends and average annual percent changes (AAPC) in age-adjusted Bladder Cancer-Specific Mortality (BCSM) and incidence rates were estimated. Data were analyzed from May 2023 to October 2023. RESULTS From 1999-2020, overall BCSM decreased by 0.4% annually, with a dramatic decrease in deaths between 2015-2020 (AAPC: -2.0% [95% CI: -2.6,-1.3]). However, BCSM rates and metastatic malignant bladder cancer incidence rates from 1999-2020 increased for individuals≥85 years old (AAPC for BCSM: 0.8% [95% CI:0.5,1.1]; AAPC for metastatic malignant incidence: 2.5% [95% CI: 2.0,2.9]). Increases in BCSM were found for certain years in the South, in rural areas, and for Non-Hispanic White and Asian or Pacific Islander individuals. CONCLUSIONS Overall mortality from bladder cancer has been decreasing in the US over two decades. Upon disaggregation, increasing trends were found for BCSM and for metastatic malignant bladder cancer incidence for individuals≥85 years old from 1999-2020. Further evaluation of these trends is essential to understand how to target specific populations to improve patient outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Isabella R. Pompa
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - David Qi
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Anushka Ghosh
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Saveli I. Goldberg
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Fumiko Chino
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Jason A. Efstathiou
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Sophia C. Kamran
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Flores Monar GV, Reynolds T, Gordon M, Moon D, Moon C. Molecular Markers for Bladder Cancer Screening: An Insight into Bladder Cancer and FDA-Approved Biomarkers. Int J Mol Sci 2023; 24:14374. [PMID: 37762677 PMCID: PMC10531979 DOI: 10.3390/ijms241814374] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2023] [Revised: 09/10/2023] [Accepted: 09/13/2023] [Indexed: 09/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Bladder cancer is one of the most financially burdensome cancers globally, from its diagnostic to its terminal stages. The impact it imposes on patients and the medical community is substantial, exacerbated by the absence of disease-specific characteristics and limited disease-free spans. Frequent recurrences, impacting nearly half of the diagnosed population, require frequent and invasive monitoring. Given the advancing comprehension of its etiology and attributes, bladder cancer is an appealing candidate for screening strategies. Cystoscopy is the current gold standard for bladder cancer detection, but it is invasive and has the potential for undesired complications and elevated costs. Although urine cytology is a supplementary tool in select instances, its efficacy is limited due to its restricted sensitivity, mainly when targeting low-grade tumors. Although most of these assays exhibit higher sensitivity than urine cytology, clinical guidelines do not currently incorporate them. Consequently, it is necessary to explore novel screening assays to identify distinctive alterations exclusive to bladder cancer. Thus, integrating potential molecular assays requires further investigation through more extensive validation studies. Within this article, we offer a comprehensive overview of the critical features of bladder cancer while conducting a thorough analysis of the FDA-approved assays designed to diagnose and monitor its recurrences.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Thomas Reynolds
- NEXT Bio-Research Services, LLC, 11601 Ironbridge Road, Suite 101, Chester, VA 23831, USA;
| | - Maxie Gordon
- BCD Innovations USA, 10606 Candlewick Road, Lutherville, MD 2109, USA
| | - David Moon
- HJM Cancer Research Foundation Corporation, 10606 Candlewick Road, Lutherville, MD 2109, USA
| | - Chulso Moon
- HJM Cancer Research Foundation Corporation, 10606 Candlewick Road, Lutherville, MD 2109, USA
- BCD Innovations USA, 10606 Candlewick Road, Lutherville, MD 2109, USA
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, The Johns Hopkins Medical Institution, Cancer Research Building II, 5M3, 1550 Orleans Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Isali I, Khooblall P, Helstrom E, Bukavina L. Targeting bladder cancer: A sex sensitive perspective in mutations and outcomes. Urol Oncol 2023:S1078-1439(23)00166-7. [PMID: 37349215 DOI: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.05.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2023] [Revised: 05/02/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2023] [Indexed: 06/24/2023]
Abstract
The incidence of bladder cancer (BC) is more common in males, however, the clinical outcome for females tends to be more unfavorable, as demonstrated by a 21% increase in mortality compared to males within two years of diagnosis. While it was previously believed that the differences in outcome were solely the result of differences in sex chromosomes and hormones, it is now acknowledged that a more intricate interplay of factors is at play. By acquiring a more comprehensive understanding of these sex-specific effects, future efforts in precision medicine can be customized to an individual's biological sex. This narrative review aims to summarize our knowledge of the molecular classification of sex differences in BC by compiling the existing evidence on genetic disparities between males and females and evaluating these disparities in both noninvasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) and muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Our findings emphasize the significance of considering sex as a factor in future clinical trials and registry studies due to established differences in immune composition, molecular profiling, and genetic mutations between males and females. Further investigation into the molecular processes involved in the evasion or resistance of immune-based therapies, such as Bacillus Calmette-Guérin and other immunotherapies, is essential to identify markers of response or resistance that vary between male and female patients. This will aid in optimizing treatment and promoting equitable outcomes, particularly in NMIBC cases.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ilaha Isali
- Department of Urology, University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH
| | - Prajit Khooblall
- Department of Urology, Glickman Urological and Kidney Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH
| | - Emma Helstrom
- Department of Urology, Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA
| | - Laura Bukavina
- Department of Urology, University Hospitals, Cleveland Medical Center, Cleveland, OH; Department of Urology, Fox Chase Cancer Center, Philadelphia, PA.
| |
Collapse
|