Chernobyl-related thyroid cancer

Current Evaluation of Thyroid Nodules

Thyroid nodules may be discovered in a variety of settings. Familiarity with their management is important for medical specialists. Workup should start with history and physical examination, proceed to laboratory studies, and then to imaging. Nodules are selected for fine needle aspiration (FNA) biopsy based on imaging criteria. Most nodules can be accurately diagnosed on cytopathology, but some may require additional molecular testing to evaluate risk of malignancy. Patients with malignant lesions require additional investigation before referral to an experienced thyroid surgeon. Those who have benign lesions may require monitoring by periodic ultrasound to identify nodules requiring reevaluation.

Thyroid cancer overdiagnosis revisited

BACKGROUND

Evidence has accumulated showing that an increase in thyroid cancer incidence reflects overdiagnosis of clinically unimportant lesions due to the rise in the use of neck ultrasonography. In the manuscript we examine the hypothesis that the rise in thyroid cancer incidence in Russia is largely caused by overdiagnosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Incidence and mortality rates of thyroid cancer for Russia overall and its administrative regions were abstracted from the statistical database of the Ministry of Health of Russia. For incidence trends, we calculated the percentage change, linear regression coefficient and p-value. The calculation of excess cases was based on expected age-specific distributions assuming that the incidence of thyroid cancer increases exponentially with age, as predicted by the multistage model of carcinogenesis.

FINDINGS

Over the study period (1989-2015) the age standardized incidence of thyroid cancer has tripled in Russian women and doubled in men. Strong support for the hypothesis that the increase in thyroid cancer incidence may be artificial is evident from age-specific incidence trends: increases in incidence in middle age but not in older ages, thereby altering the age curves from the expected exponential shape to an "inverted U" shape. The number of observed cases of thyroid cancer exceeded the expected number by 138, 325 or 70 % of all cases diagnosed with thyroid cancer. We attribute the excess cases to detection by ultrasonography clinically unimportant lesions. This is supported by a very high incidence -to-mortality ratio, low case fatality, high and growing prevalence of thyroid cancer.

CONCLUSION

Although there is an evidence that exposure to iodine 131 (¹³¹I) is an important cause of the increase in incidence of thyroid cancer in high-risk populations, we have shown that this increase could largely be attributed to overdiagnosis associated with ultrasonography screening. Overdiagnosis is the only explanation of the increase in thyroid cancer incidence in low-risk regions.

Demographic and onco-epidemiological situation in radioactive contaminated territory of Zhytomyr Oblast

We performed an assessment of demographic parameters of occurrence of malignant tumours and mortality of the population which lives in the radioactive contaminated territory of Zhytomyr Oblast (Yemilchynskyi, Luhynskyi, Narodytskyi, Korostenskyi, Olevskyi, and Ovrutskyi districts) over a 32-year period (1985–2017). The source material for the study of the demographic situation and malignant tumours in the population of the radioactive contaminated administrative districts of Zhytomyr Oblast during 1985–2017 was the statistical data of the Management of Healthcare of Zhytomyr Oblast State Administration, Central Department of Statistics in Zhytomyr Oblasts, reports on occurrences of malignant tumours of the state institution Center of Medical Statistics of the Ministry of Healthcare of Ukraine, data of the Radiological Control Service in Zhytomyr Oblast. It was determined that over 1985–2017 in the radioactive contaminated territory of Zhytomyr Oblast, a natural decline of population was observed, maximum values of which occurred in 2005 (except Narodnytsky district – 2000). The highest levels of occurrence of tumours and mortality caused by them among the adult population were observed 14 years after the Chornobyl nuclear power plant disaster. The peak of the occurrence of malignant tumours among children in the radioactive contaminated territory of Zhytomyr Oblast was observed 9 years after the explosion. A relationship was determined between doses of irradiation of the population and the risk of occurrence of malignant tumours in the radioactive contaminated regions of Zhytomyr Oblast. Taking into account that the method of calculation of passport dose (average annual effective dose of irradiation) was developed 23 years ago, nowadays it can lead to errors. This is related to change in amounts of consumption of different products by the population, which needs to be considered when determining radiological risks. The obtained data indicate that analysis of demographic and onco-epidemiological consequences of the Chornobyl catastrophe remains a relevant issue nowadays and will remain so in the near future.