Predictive value of B-type natriuretic peptide levels in patients with paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation undergoing pulmonary vein isolation

Baseline natriuretic peptides as a predictor of atrial fibrillation recurrence after radiofrequency-based pulmonary vein isolation in a non-heart failure population: A subanalysis from DECAAF II

BACKGROUND

Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a marker of myocardial stretch and may have prognostic significance in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) without heart failure (HF). We investigated the association between baseline BNP levels and arrhythmia recurrence following pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) among patients with persistent AF without HF.

METHODS

We analyzed 125 patients with persistent AF without HF who had baseline BNP measured from the DECAAF II trial. The primary outcome was arrhythmia recurrence following ablation. The baseline characteristics across the two groups were compared using Chi-square test and Wilcoxon rank test accordingly. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the association between baseline BNP levels and the primary outcome.

RESULTS

Across the entire cohort, 64 (51%) patients experienced arrhythmia recurrence. When comparing patients who experienced arrythmia recurrence to patients who did not, patients with recurrent arrhythmia had higher levels of pre-ablation BNP, as evidenced by differences in means (330.05 pg/mL) compared to patients without recurrent arrhythmia (182.39 pg/mL) (p < .05). A cut-off BNP value of 300 pg/mL provided the largest area under curve (AUC) of receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve on univariate logistic regression. On unadjusted Cox analysis, for every 100 unit increase in BNP, the hazard ratio for the primary outcome increased 1.09 (1.026-1.158) times (p = .004). After adjusting for sex, hypertension, and stroke, the results remained significant (HR = 1.8516, CI 95% [1.0139 - 3.381], p = .045).

CONCLUSION

In the non-heart failure population, BNP levels predict AF recurrence following PVI in persistent AF patients.

Multiple Blood Biomarkers and Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation: The REGARDS Study

Background

Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased stroke risk; available risk prediction tools have modest accuracy. We hypothesized that circulating stroke risk biomarkers may improve stroke risk prediction in atrial fibrillation.

Methods and Results

The REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study is a prospective cohort study of 30 239 Black and White adults age ≥45 years. A nested study of stroke cases and a random sample of the cohort included 175 participants (63% women, 37% Black adults) with baseline atrial fibrillation and available blood biomarker data. There were 81 ischemic strokes over 5.2 years in these participants. Adjusted for demographics, stroke risk factors, and warfarin use, the following biomarkers were associated with stroke risk (hazard ratio [HR]; 95% CI for upper versus lower tertile): cystatin C (3.16; 1.04–9.58), factor VIII antigen (2.77; 1.03–7.48), interleukin‐6 (9.35; 1.95–44.78), and NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal B‐type natriuretic peptide) (4.21; 1.24–14.29). A multimarker risk score based on the number of blood biomarkers in the highest tertile was developed; adjusted HRs of stroke for 1, 2, and 3+ elevated blood biomarkers, compared with none, were 1.75 (0.57–5.40), 4.97 (1.20–20.5), and 9.51 (2.22–40.8), respectively. Incorporating the multimarker risk score to the CHA₂DS₂VASc score resulted in a net reclassification improvement of 0.34 (95% CI, 0.04–0.65).

Conclusions

Findings in this biracial cohort suggested the possibility of substantial improvement in stroke risk prediction in atrial fibrillation using blood biomarkers or a multimarker risk score.

Clinical Significance of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Levels at 3 Months after Atrial Fibrillation Ablation

The role of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels as a predictor of arrhythmia recurrence (AR) after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the association of BNP levels before and 3 months after ablation with the risk of AR. A total of 234 patients undergoing their first session of AF ablation were included (68% male, mean age of 69 years). The cut-off value for discriminating AR was determined based on the maximum value of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The impact of BNP levels on AR was evaluated using Cox regression analysis. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for BNP at 3 months after the procedure was larger (0.714) compared to BNP levels before ablation (0.593). Elevated levels of BNP 3 months after the procedure (>40.5 pg/mL, n = 96) was associated with a higher risk of AR compared to those without elevated levels (34.4% vs. 10.9%, p < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that elevated BNP levels were associated with an increased risk of AR (hazard ratio 2.43; p = 0.014). Elevated BNP levels 3 months after AF ablation were a significant prognostic factor in AR, while baseline BNP levels were not.

Usefulness of Post-Procedural Plasma Brain Natriuretic Peptide Levels to Predict Recurrence After Catheter Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Left Ventricular Systolic Dysfunction

Catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) improves cardiac function, resulting in a decrease in plasma brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). This study sought to examine the pre-procedural and post-procedural correlations between BNP levels and cardiac function and the associations between the BNP levels and recurrence after CA in patients with AF and reduced LVEF. Of 3142 consecutive patients who underwent first-time CA of AF at our institute, a total of 217 patients with LVEF <50% were enrolled. Significant decrease in BNP levels (from a median of 198 [interquartile range 113 to 355] to 47.7 [22.7 to 135] pg/ml, p <0.001) and improvement in LVEF (from 39±9% to 61±16%, p <0.001) were observed 3 months after CA. There was a linear correlation between log-transformed BNP levels and cardiac measures (LVEF: r = -0.64; LV end-diastolic volume: r = 0.25; LV end-systolic volume: r = 0.43; left atrial volume: r = 0.52; all p <0.001). During a median follow-up of 35 months, AF recurrence after a 3-month blanking period was observed in 80 patients (37%). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis after adjustment for cardiac measures significant in univariate analysis revealed that early recurrence within the blanking period (hazard ratio, 4.88; 95% confidence interval, 2.89 to 8.25) and elevated post-procedural BNP levels (2.02 per unit log increase; 1.14 to 3.56) were significant predictors of AF recurrence, but pre-procedural BNP was not. In conclusion, post-procedural BNP levels at the end of the blanking period predicted subsequent AF recurrence in patients with reduced LVEF, independent of early recurrence.

Predictive Role of BNP/NT-proBNP in Non-Heart Failure Patients Undergoing Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation: An Updated Systematic Review

Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is a growing public health issue, associated with significant morbidity and mortality. In addition to pharmacological therapy, catheter ablation is an effective strategy in restoring and maintaining sinus rhythm. However, ablation is not without risk, and AF recurs in a significant proportion of patients. Non-invasive, easily accessible markers or indices that could stratify patients depending on the likelihood of a successful outcome following ablation would allow us to select the most appropriate patients for the procedure, reducing the AF recurrence rate and exposure to potentially life-threatening risks. There has been much attention paid to Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and N-Terminal prohormone of Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) as possible predictive markers of successful ablation. Several studies have demonstrated an association between higher pre-ablation levels of these peptides, and a greater likelihood of AF recurrence. Therefore, there may be a role for measuring brain natriuretic peptides levels when selecting patients for catheter ablation.

Multiple biomarkers and arrhythmia outcome following catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: The Guangzhou Atrial Fibrillation Project

BACKGROUND

Biomarkers have been related to the arrhythmia recurrence following catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF). We hypothesized that concurrent measurement of several biomarkers would additively improve their predictive value.

METHODS

One thousand four hundred and ten consecutive AF patients (68% male; 57.2 ± 11.6 years) undergoing CA were enrolled. Baseline characteristics, serum B type brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and high sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), ablation parameters, arrhythmia data at discharge, 1, 3, 6, and then every 6 months post CA were collected. Follow-up ended when arrhythmia recurred or until 31st December 2016.

RESULTS

Three hundred and sixty-five (25.9%) patients had arrhythmia recurrence post-CA during a mean follow-up of 20.7 ± 8.8 months. BNP, hsCRP, and eGFR levels and their cut-off values of 237.45 pg/mL, 1.6 mg/dL, and 82.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 were good predictors for AF recurrence (all P < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, increasing BNP and hsCRP, decreasing eGFR, gender, and early recurrence (ER) were independent predictors of AF recurrence (all P < 0.01). Compared to BNP alone, BNP plus eGFR or both eGFR and CRP showed incrementally better predictive values (ROC comparisons, all P < 0.01). Similar findings were evident in the subgroups of patients with paroxysmal or nonparoxysmal AF.

CONCLUSION

Measurement of BNP, CRP, and eGFR were incrementally additive to clinical risk factors in a cumulative manner to improve prediction of arrhythmia recurrence post-CA of AF. The implications of poor arrhythmia outcome in AF patients with multiple abnormal biomarkers pre-CA procedure may help with patient selection and inform the likelihood of success or the need of more complicated CA procedure(s).

Apelin: A novel prognostic predictor for atrial fibrillation recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation

Apelin, the ligand for the APJ receptor, is involved in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, whether serum apelin can predict the recurrence of AF after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) has not been determined.A prospective cohort study was performed in patients with AF (but without structural heart disease) who were undergoing first-time PVI. Serum apelin-12 was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Echocardiographic examination was performed at baseline, 3 months, and 6 months after PVI. Patients were followed up for 6 months after PVI, and the association between baseline apelin-12 and AF recurrence (early recurrence: within 3 months after ablation; late recurrence: 3-6 months after ablation) was analyzed.A total of 61 patients were included in the study. Baseline serum level of apelin-12 was significant lower in patients with early (median [interquartile range]: 1844 [1607-2061] vs 2197 [1895-2455] ng/L, P = .01) and late (1639 [1524-1853] vs 1923 [1741-2303] ng/L, P = .02) AF recurrence compared with patients without these events. Results of Cox stepwise multivariate analysis demonstrated that lower baseline apelin-12 (<2265 ng/L) was independently associated with increased AF recurrence within 6 months after PVI (P < .05). The specificity and positive predictive value of apelin-12 for AF recurrence were significantly higher than those of baseline N-terminal brain proBNP (60.4% vs 28.6%, P < .001; 58.8% vs 34.4%, P = .01), although the sensitivity and negative predictive value were similar.Reduced baseline serum apelin-12 may be an independent risk factor for the recurrence of AF after PVI in patients without structural heart disease.

Does Left Atrial Appendage Amputation During Routine Cardiac Surgery Reduce Future Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke?

Purpose of Review

Stroke is the most feared complication of atrial fibrillation. To prevent stroke, left atrial appendage exclusion has been targeted, as it is the prevalent site for formation of heart thrombi during atrial fibrillation.

We review the historic development of methods for exclusion of the left atrial appendage and the evidence to support its amputation during routine cardiac surgery.

Recent Findings

Evidence is not yet sufficient to routinely recommend left atrial exclusion during heart surgery, despite a high prevalence of postoperative atrial fibrillation. Observational studies indicate that electrical isolation of scarring from clip or suture techniques reduces the arrhythmogenic substrate.

Summary

Randomized studies comparing different methods of closure of the left atrial appendage before amputation do not exist. Such studies are therefore warranted, as well as studies that can elucidate whether amputation is superior to leaving the left atrial appendage stump. Potentially, thrombogenic remaining pouch after closure should be addressed.

Association of pre-ablation level of potential blood markers with atrial fibrillation recurrence after catheter ablation: a meta-analysis

Aims

The meta-analysis was aimed to search for candidate blood markers whose pre-ablation level was associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA).

Methods and results

A systematic literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, Springer Link, Web of Science, Wiley-Cochrane library, and supplemented with Google scholar search engine was performed. Thirty-six studies covering 11 blood markers were qualified for this meta-analysis. Compared with the nonrecurrence group, the recurrence group had increased pre-ablation level of atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-reactive protein, low density lipoprotein (LDL), and tissue inhibitor of metal loproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) [standardized mean difference (95% confidence interval): 0.37 (0.13-0.61), 0.77 (0.40-1.14), 1.25 (0.64-1.87), 0.37 (0.21-0.52), 0.35 (0.10-0.60), 0.24 (0.07-0.42), 0.17 (0.00-0.34), respectively], while no statistical difference of pre-ablation level of white blood cell, total cholesterol, triglyceride, and transforming growth factor-β1 was found. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that ANP was associated with AF recurrence in participants who had no concomitant structural heart diseases (SHD); however, not in participants who had SHD, C-reactive protein was associated with AF recurrence in Asian studies, whereas not in European studies.

Conclusion

Increased pre-ablation level of ANP, BNP, NT-pro-BNP, IL-6, C-reactive protein, LDL, and TIMP-2 was associated with greater risk of AF recurrence after RFCA.

Rhythm outcomes after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation. Clinical implication of biomarkers

Atrial fibrillation (AF) occurs as the result of numerous complex physiological processes in the atria leading to AF promotion and maintenance. Improved diagnostic techniques have identified various biomarkers which may play an important role in the prediction of AF related outcomes (cardio- and cerebrovascular events, as well as mortality and rhythm outcomes). Biomarkers refer to 'biological markers' and biomarkers in blood, urine as well as imaging marker (eg, dimensions (left atrial diameter and volume), anatomical features (left appendage and pulmonary vein anatomy), and physiological pattern (LAA flow velocity)) may play important role(s) as clinically important indices in relation to outcomes after different therapeutic strategies. However, the main domain in the biomarker field has focused on blood-based biomarkers, which are widely used to predict therapeutic success regarding underlying pathophysiological mechanism, such as inflammation, fibrosis, endothelial damage. This review provides an update of the role of clinically relevant biomarkers in AF, with particular focus on AF rhythm outcomes.

The predictive value of cardiac biomarkers in prognosis and risk stratification of patients with atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Atrial fibrillation is a significant public health issue considering its high prevalence in the general population, and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity and thrombo-embolic complications.Asymptomatic paroxysms of atrial fibrillation occur frequently in the first stages of the disease but patients present to the doctor at a relatively late stage when the associated complications have already taken place. It is crucial to identify such patients as early as possible in order to start preventive therapy. Clinical diagnostic tests to identify patients prone to atrial fibrillation complications have not yet been developed as the exact mechanism and substrate of subclinical atrial fibrillation are not known. Further research is necessary to understand the pathophysiology of subclinical atrial fibrillation and to identify potential risk markers that determine the development and prognosis of the disease.

RECENT FINDINGS

Biomarkers have recently been identified which have been shown to be related to the incidence of atrial fibrillation and its prognosis. They reflect inflammation, neurohumoral activation and subclinical heart damage.

SUMMARY

New biomarkers may help to understand the mechanisms of subclinical atrial fibrillation and signal the likelihood of disease progression. Such biomarkers, though subject to further validation, may be of value in predicting the prognosis and guiding the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation. They may enhance the ability of risk scores to guide anticoagulant treatment strategies.