Effect of air pollution exposure on risk of acute coronary syndromes in Poland: a nationwide population-based study (EP-PARTICLES study)

Background

Air pollution (AP) is linked up to 20% of cardiovascular deaths. The aim of this nationwide study was to investigate subpopulations vulnerable to AP for non-ST- (NSTEMI) and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) incidence.

Methods

We analysed short- (lags up to seven days) and mid-term (0-30 days moving average) influence of particulate matter (PM2.5), sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) on hospitalizations due NSTEMI and STEMI in 2011-2020. Data on AP concentrations were derived using GEM-AQ model. Study included residents of five voivodeships in eastern Poland, inhabited by over 8,000,000 individuals.

Findings

Higher NO2 and PM2.5 concentrations increased mid-term risk of NSTEMI in patients aged < 65 years by 1.3-5.7%. Increased SO2 and PM2.5 concentration triggered STEMI in the short- (SO2, PM2.5) and mid-term (PM2.5) amongst those aged ≥ 65 years. In the short- and mid-term, women were more susceptible to PM2.5 and BaP influence resulting in increased STEMI incidence. In rural regions, STEMI risk was triggered by SO2, PM2.5 and BaP. Income-based stratification showed disproportions regarding influence of BaP concentrations on NSTEMI incidence based on gross domestic product (up to 1.4%).

Interpretation

There are significant disparities in the influence of air pollution depending on the demographic and socio-economic factors. AP exposure is associated with the threat of a higher risks of NSTEMI and STEMI, especially to younger people, women, residents of rural areas and those with lower income.

Funding

National Science Center and Medical University of Bialystok, Poland.

For Debate: The 2023 European Society of Hypertension guidelines - cause for concern

Originally, the beta-blockers were equally ranked alongside the other antihypertensive drug classes. Things changed when two major long-term randomized controlled trials, ASCOT-BPLA and LIFE showed that the patients receiving the beta-blockers based regimes suffered 25-30% more strokes than those receiving a calcium channel blocker based regime or an angiotensin receptor blocker based regime. The inferiority of the beta-blockers at stroke prevention was not due to differences in blood pressure control during the follow-up period in both trials. The 2023 European Society of Hypertension (ESH) guidelines still argue in favour of beta-blockers that their clinical inferiority was simply to lesser blood pressure reduction rather than class effect. The analysis argues that the return of beta-blockers as a first-line option for the management of uncomplicated hypertension by the ESH is a cause for concern and should be reconsidered.

Prognostic implications of heart failure stages among Chinese community populations: insight from a nationwide population-based study

Background

In light of high burden of heart failure (HF) in China, studies of prognostic implication of HF stages are important. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between HF stages and mortality risk in Chinese community populations.

Methods

Nationwide representative populations aged ≥35 years (n = 23,284, mean age 56.9 years, women 53.2%) were enrolled from 2012 to 2016. According to the international HF guidelines, participants were divided into stage A, B and C, and those who did not qualify these stages were categorized as apparently-healthy group. Association between HF stages and all-cause, cardiovascular [CV] and non-CV death was evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional regression analysis.

Findings

During a median follow-up of 4.7 years (109,902.8 person-years), 1314 deaths occurred. Age-adjusted incidence rate of all-cause death was 5.3 in apparently-healthy, 7.8 in stage A, 8.6 in stage B and 24.6 in stage C groups per 1000 person-years. In reference to apparently-healthy group, adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 1.90 (95% CI: 1.47-2.45), 2.43 (95% CI: 1.89-3.13) and 6.40 (95% CI: 4.56-8.99) for stage A, B and C. Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risks for all-cause, CV and non-CV death (P-trend <0.05). For all-cause death, population attributable fraction due to stage A, B and C were 21.2%, 33.4% and 4.9%, accounting for 1,933,385, 3,045,993 and 446,867 deaths in China in 2018.

Interpretation

Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risk mortality. Development and implementation of early screening and targeted interventions are urgently needed to reduce HF burdens in China.

Funding

This work was supported by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (grant 2017-I2M-1-004), the Projects in the Chinese National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period (No.: 2011BAI11B01), and the Project Entrusted by the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHC2020-609).

Albumin Levels and Risk of Early Cardiovascular Complications After Ischemic Stroke: A Propensity-Matched Analysis of a Global Federated Health Network

BACKGROUND

No studies have investigated the association between albumin levels and the risk of early cardiovascular complications in patients with ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis with a federated research network (TriNetX) based on electronic medical records (International Classification of Diseases-Tenth Revision-Clinical Modification and logical observation identifiers names and codes) mainly reported between 2000 and 2023, from 80 health care organizations in the United States. Based on albumin levels measured at admission to the hospital, patients with ischemic stroke were categorized into 2 groups: (1) reduced (≤3.4 g/dL) and (2) normal (≥3.5 g/dL) albumin levels. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, and Takotsubo cardiomyopathy 30 days from the stroke. Secondary outcomes were the risk for each component of the primary outcome. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs following propensity score matching.

RESULTS

Overall, 320 111 patients with stroke had normal albumin levels (70.9±14.7 years; 48.9% females) and 183 729 (57.4%) had reduced albumin levels (72.9±14.3 years; 50.3% females). After propensity score matching, the primary outcomes occurred in 36.0% of patients with reduced and 26.1% with normal albumin levels (HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.46-1.50]). The higher risk in patients with reduced albumin levels was consistent also for all-cause death (HR, 2.77 [95% CI, 2.70-2.84]), heart failure (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.29-1.34]), atrial fibrillation (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.09-1.13]), ventricular arrhythmias (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.30-1.46]), myocardial infarction (HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.54-1.65]), and Takotsubo cardiomyopathy (HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.26-1.82]). The association between albumin levels and the risk of cardiovascular events was independent of advanced age, sex, multimorbidity, and other causes of hypoalbuminemia. A progressively increased risk of adverse events was found in patients with mild and severe reduced compared to normal albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Albumin levels are associated with the risk of early cardiovascular events and death in patients with ischemic stroke. The potential pathophysiological or therapeutic roles of albumin in patients with stroke warrant further investigation.

Atrial fibrillation: stroke prevention

Stroke prevention is central to the management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) which has moved towards a more holistic or integrative care approach. The published evidence suggests that management of AF patients following such a holistic approach based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is associated with a lower risk of stroke and adverse events. Risk assessment, re-assessment and use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are important for stroke prevention in AF. The stroke and bleeding risks of AF patients are not static and should be re-assessed regularly. Bleeding risk assessment is to address and mitigate modifiable bleeding risk factors, and to identify high bleeding risk patients for early review and follow-up. Well-controlled comorbidities and healthy lifestyles also play an important role to achieve a better clinical outcome. Digital health solutions are increasingly relevant in the diagnosis and management of patients with AF, with the potential to improve stroke prevention. In this review, we provide an update on stroke prevention in AF, including importance of holistic management, risk assessment/re-assessment, and stroke prevention for special AF populations. Evidence-based and structured management of AF patients would reduce the risk of stroke and other adverse events.

Atrial fibrillation: epidemiology, screening and digital health

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent with a lifetime risk of about 1 in 3-5 individuals after the age of 45 years. Between 2010 and 2019, the global prevalence of AF has risen markedly from 33.5 million to 59 million individuals living with AF. Early detection of AF and implementation of appropriate treatment could reduce the frequency of complications associated with AF. International AF management guidelines recommend opportunistic and systematic screening for AF, but additional data are needed. Digital approaches and pathways have been proposed for early detection and for the transition to early AF management. Mobile health (mHealth) devices provide an opportunity for digital screening and should be part of novel models of care delivery based on integrated AF care pathways. For a broad implementation of mHealth-based, integrated care for patients with chronic diseases as AF, further high quality evidence is necessary. In this review, we present an overview of the present data on epidemiology, screening techniques, and the contribution of digital health solutions to the integrated management of AF. We also provide a systemic review on current data of digital and integrated AF management.

Which dose of apixaban is suitable for Asian patients with atrial fibrillation who have a serum creatinine < 1.5 mg/dL but an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 50 mL/min?

Introduction

Reduced-dose (Low-dose [LD]) apixaban is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who fulfill 2 of 3 criteria: age ≥ 80 years, body weight ≤ 60 kg, and a serum creatinine (sCr) ≥ 1.5 mg/dl. However, the suitable (appropriate) dose for Asian patients who have a sCr < 1.5 mg/dl but an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 mL/min is unknown.

Methods

This is a retrospective study using the Chang Gung Memorial hospital medical database in Taiwan. A total of 13,508 AF patients receiving oral anticoagulants (OACs) from 2012 to 2018 were reviewed and 1595 patients with a sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and an eGFR < 50 mL/min who met 1 criterion of dose reduction of apixaban other than sCr (that is, age ≥ 80 years or body weight < 60 kg) were identified. Clinical outcomes were compared between LD and SD apixaban versus warfarin.

Results

Their OACs use was as follows: 343 receiving apixaban (128 patients on standard dose [SD] and 215 on LD), 174 receiving warfarin, and 1078 on other NOACs. Patients with an eGFR < 50 mL/min had higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.264; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 1.086-1.472) and composite endpoint of 'ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (IS/SE) or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 1.202; 95 % CI, 1.056-1.370) compared to those with an eGFR ≥ 50 mL/min whereas the risk of IS/SE and major bleeding were similar. LD apixaban was associated with lower risk of composite endpoint of IS/SE or major bleeding (aHR, 0.567; 95 % CI, 0.331 - 0.972), mortality (aHR, 0.336; 95 % CI, 0.138 - 0.815), and 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality (aHR, 0.551; 95 % CI, 0343 - 0.886) compared to warfarin while the risk was comparable between SD apixaban and warfarin (aHR, 0.745; 95 % CI, 0.402 - 1.378; aHR, 0.407; 95 % CI, 0.145 - 1.143; aHR, 0.619; 95 % CI, 0.354 - 1.084, respectively).

Conclusion

In patients with sCr < 1.5 mg/dL and eGFR < 50 mL/min, SD and LD apixaban were comparable in the prevention of IS/SE, but LD apixaban was superior in reducing the composite endpoint of 'IS/SE or major bleeding or mortality'. Therefore, LD apixaban might be a preferred dose for this population.

Neuroticism and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Epidemiologic and Mendelian Randomization Study

Background

The association between neuroticism and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Objectives

This study aimed to assess the epidemiological and causal relationships between neuroticism and AF.

Methods

Individuals without AF history were selected From the UK Biobank nationwide prospective cohort study. Participants were divided into 2 groups (high and low) based on the median summary score from a self-questionnaire of 12 neurotic behavior domains. The 10-year AF risk was compared between the neuroticism score groups using inverse probability of treatment weighting. The causal relationship between neuroticism and AF was evaluated using a 2-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization with the inverse variance-weighted method.

Results

Of 394,834 participants (mean age 56.3 ± 8.1 years, 45.9% male), AF occurred in 23,509 (6.0%) during a 10-year follow-up. The risk of incident AF significantly increased in the high neuroticism score group (score ≥4) (inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.02-1.09; P = 0.005) compared with the low neuroticism group. In the subgroup analysis, younger age, lower body mass index, or nonsmoker/ex-smoker participants were particularly susceptible to increased AF risk due to high neuroticism scores. A Mendelian randomization analysis showed a significant causal relationship between an increase in neuroticism score and increased risk of AF (OR by inverse variance-weighted method 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.11; P = 0.007) without evidence of reverse causality.

Conclusions

There was a significant longitudinal and causal relationship between neuroticism and AF. An integrated care including active mental health screening and management may benefit in high-risk populations.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Oral anti-coagulants use in Chinese hospitalized patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Oral anti-coagulants (OAC) are the intervention for the prevention of stroke, which consistently improve clinical outcomes and survival among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The main purpose of this study is to identify problems in OAC utilization among hospitalized patients with AF in China.

METHODS

Using data from the Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China-Atrial Fibrillation (CCC-AF) registry, guideline-recommended OAC use in eligible patients was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 52,530 patients with non-valvular AF were enrolled from February 2015 to December 2019, of whom 38,203 were at a high risk of stroke, 9717 were at a moderate risk, and 4610 were at a low risk. On admission, only 20.0% (6075/30,420) of patients with a diagnosed AF and a high risk of stroke were taking OAC. The use of pre-hospital OAC on admission was associated with a lower risk of new-onset ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack among the diagnosed AF population (adjusted odds ratio: 0.54, 95% confidence interval: 0.43-0.68; P  <0.001). At discharge, the prescription rate of OAC was 45.2% (16,757/37,087) in eligible patients with high stroke risk and 60.7% (2778/4578) in eligible patients with low stroke risk. OAC utilization in patients with high stroke risk on admission or at discharge both increased largely over time (all P  <0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that OAC utilization at discharge was positively associated with in-hospital rhythm control strategies, including catheter ablation (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 11.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] 10.04-13.47; P <0.001), electronic cardioversion (adjusted OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.65-3.51; P <0.001), and anti-arrhythmic drug use (adjusted OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.38-1.53; P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In hospitals participated in the CCC-AF project, >70% of AF patients were at a high risk of stroke. Although poor performance on guideline-recommended OAC use was found in this study, over time the CCC-AF project has made progress in stroke prevention in the Chinese AF population.Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02309398.

Left ventricular hypertrophy and mortality in ethnic minority groups in the UK: e-ECHOES study

OBJECTIVES

Hypertension is the key modifiable cardiovascular risk factor but is underdiagnosed, and its scale in South Asian and African-Caribbean communities is unknown. Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a measure of target organ damage in uncontrolled hypertension. The study assesses LVH prevalence in South Asian and African-Caribbean communities and its impact on mortality.

METHOD

This study is based on the large prospective UK community Ethnic-Echocardiographic Heart of England Screening Study (E-ECHOES, age ≥45 years). Left ventricular mass index (LVMI) was calculated using echocardiography to establish LVH. The predictive value of LVH all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was assessed using Cox regression.

RESULTS

The study included 3200 South Asians (age 59 ± 10 years, 52% women, 45% had a history of hypertension, 5.8 ± 1.0-year follow-up). LVH was found in 1568 (49%), of whom 45% did not have hypertension diagnosis. On Cox regression, LVH was independently associated with all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 1.38, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.01-1.88], cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 2.64, 95% CI 1.21-3.73). The projected overall hypertension prevalence was 82%, undiagnosed hypertension prevalence 37%. The study included 1858 African-Caribbeans (age 62 ± 12, 45% women, 45% had history of hypertension, 5.1 ± 0.9-year follow-up). LVH was found in 1186 (64%), of whom 32% did not have hypertension diagnosis. LVH was borderline associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.57, 95% CI 1.01-2.44), but not cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 1.82, 95% CI 0.80-4.16). The projected overall hypertension prevalence was 78.5%, and undiagnosed hypertension prevalence was 20.8%.

CONCLUSION

UK South Asians and African-Caribbeans have a high prevalence of hypertension, which is often underdiagnosed and poorly controlled.

External Validation of COOL-AF Scores in the Asian Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry

Background

The COOL-AF (Cohort of Antithrombotic Use and Optimal International Normalized Ratio Levels in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation) risk scores for death, bleeding, and thromboembolic events (TEs) were derived from the COOL-AF cohort from Thailand and require external validation.

Objectives

The authors sought to externally validate the COOL-AF scores in the APHRS (Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society) registry and to compare their performance in the ESC-EHRA (European Society of Cardiology-European Heart Rhythm Association) EORP-AF (EURObservational Research Programme in Atrial Fibrillation) General Long-Term Registry.

Methods

We studied 3,628 APHRS and 8,825 EORP-AF patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox regression analyses were used to test the predictive value of COOL-AF scores and to compared them with the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores.

Results

Patients in the EORP-AF were older, had a higher prevalence of male sex, and were at higher thromboembolic and hemorrhagic risk than APHRS patients. After 1 year of follow-up in APHRS and EORP-AF, the following events were recorded: 87 (2.4%) and 435 (4.9%) death for any causes, 37 (1.0%) and 111 (1.3%) major bleeding, and 25 (0.7%) and 109 (1.2%) TEs, respectively. In APHRS, the COOL-AF scores showed moderate-to-good predictive value for all-cause mortality (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.71-0.83), major bleeding (AUC: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.60-0.76), and TEs (AUC: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.51-0.71), and were similar to the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. In EORP-AF, the predictive value of COOL-AF for all-cause mortality (AUC: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.65-0.70) and major bleeding (AUC: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.60-0.62) was modest and lower than in APHRS. In EORP-AF, the COOL-AF score for TE was inferior to the CHA2DS2-VASc score.

Conclusions

The COOL-AF risk scores may be an easy tool to identify Asian patients with AF at risk for death and major bleeding and performs better in Asian than in European patients with AF. (Clinical Survey on the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation in Asia [AF-Registry]; NCT04807049).

ABC-AF-Stroke score predicts thromboembolism in non-anticoagulated patients following successful atrial fibrillation ablation: a report from the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry

BACKGROUND

The age, biomarkers, and clinical history (ABC)-atrial fibrillation (AF)-Stroke score have been proposed to refine stroke risk stratification, beyond what clinical risk scores such as the CHA2DS2-VASc score can offer. This study aimed to identify risk factors associated with thromboembolism and evaluate the performance of the ABC-AF-Stroke score in predicting thromboembolism in non-anticoagulated AF patients following successful ablations.

METHODS

A total of 2692 patients who underwent successful ablations with discontinued anticoagulation after a 3-month blanking period in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry (CAFR) between 2013 and 2019 were included. Cox regression analysis was conducted to present the association of risk factors with thromboembolism risk. The ABC-AF-Stroke score was evaluated in terms of discrimination, including concordance index (C-index), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), clinical utilization by decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration by comparing the predicted risk with the observed annualized event rate.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 64 patients experienced thromboembolism events. Age, prior history of stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (cTnT-hs), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were independently associated with thromboembolism risk. The ABC-AF-Stroke score performed statistically significantly better than the CHA2DS2-VASc score in terms of C-index (0.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59-0.74 vs. 0.60, 95% CI: 0.52-0.67, P = 0.030) and reclassification capacity. The DCA implied that the ABC-AF-Stroke score could identify more thromboembolism events without increasing the false positive rate compared to the CHA2DS2-VASc score. The calibration curve showed that the ABC-AF-Stroke score was well calibrated in this population.

CONCLUSIONS

In this real-world study enrolling non-anticoagulated AF patients following successful ablations, age, prior history of stroke/TIA, level of NT-proBNP, and cTnT-hs were independently associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism. The ABC-AF-Stroke score was well-calibrated and statistically significantly outperformed the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting thromboembolism risk.

Utility of left ventricular ejection fraction in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of heart failure (HF); however, little focus has been placed on the prevention of HF in patients with AF. Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an established echocardiographic parameter in HF patients. We sought to investigate the association of LVEF with HF events in AF patients without pre-existing HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Japan. In this analysis, we excluded patients with pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following: prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association class ≥ 2 in association with heart disease, or LVEF < 40%). Among 3233 AF patients without pre-existing HF, we investigated 2459 patients with the data of LVEF at enrolment. We divided the patients into three groups stratified by LVEF [mildly reduced LVEF (40-49%), below normal LVEF (50-59%), and normal LVEF (≥60%)] and compared the backgrounds and incidence of HF hospitalization between the groups. Of 2459 patients [mean age: 72.4 ± 10.5 years, female: 917 (37%), paroxysmal AF: 1405 (57%), and mean CHA2 DS2 -VASc score: 3.0 ± 1.6], the mean LVEF was 66 ± 8% [mildly reduced LVEF: 114 patients (5%), below normal LVEF: 300 patients (12%), and normal LVEF: 2045 patients (83%)]. Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF (both P < 0.01), but age and CHA2 DS2 -VASc score were comparable between the three groups (both P > 0.05). During the median follow-up period of 6.0 years, 255 patients (10%) were hospitalized for HF (annual incidence: 1.9% per person-year). Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that lower LVEF strata were independently associated with the risk of HF [mildly reduced LVEF (40-49%): hazard ratio = 2.98, 95% confidence interval = 1.99-4.45 and below normal LVEF (50-59%): hazard ratio = 2.01, 95% confidence interval = 1.44-2.82, compared with normal LVEF (≥60%)] after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF, and CHA2 DS2 -VASc score. LVEF < 60% was significantly associated with the higher risk of HF hospitalization across all major subgroups without significant interaction (P for interaction; all P > 0.05). LVEF had an independent and incremental prognostic value for HF hospitalization in addition to natriuretic peptide levels in AF patients without pre-existing HF.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower LVEF was significantly associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF, leading to the future risk stratification for and prevention of incident HF in AF patients.

Patterns of oral anticoagulant use and outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a post-hoc analysis from the GLORIA-AF Registry

Background

Previous studies suggested potential ethnic differences in the management and outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF). We aim to analyse oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription, discontinuation, and risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with AF, using data from a global prospective cohort study.

Methods

From the GLORIA-AF Registry Phase II-III (November 2011-December 2014 for Phase II, and January 2014-December 2016 for Phase III), we analysed patients according to their self-reported ethnicity (Asian vs. non-Asian), as well as according to Asian subgroups (Chinese, Japanese, Korean and other Asian). Logistic regression was used to analyse OAC prescription, while the risk of OAC discontinuation and adverse outcomes were analysed through Cox-regression model. Our primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The original studies were registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01468701, NCT01671007, and NCT01937377.

Findings

34,421 patients were included (70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.1% females, 6900 (20.0%) Asian: 3829 (55.5%) Chinese, 814 (11.8%) Japanese, 1964 (28.5%) Korean and 293 (4.2%) other Asian). Most of the Asian patients were recruited in Asia (n = 6701, 97.1%), while non-Asian patients were mainly recruited in Europe (n = 15,449, 56.1%) and North America (n = 8378, 30.4%). Compared to non-Asian individuals, prescription of OAC and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) was lower in Asian patients (Odds Ratio [OR] and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI): 0.23 [0.22-0.25] and 0.66 [0.61-0.71], respectively), but higher in the Japanese subgroup. Asian ethnicity was also associated with higher risk of OAC discontinuation (Hazard Ratio [HR] and [95% CI]: 1.79 [1.67-1.92]), and lower risk of the primary composite outcome (HR [95% CI]: 0.86 [0.76-0.96]). Among the exploratory secondary outcomes, Asian ethnicity was associated with higher risks of thromboembolism and intracranial haemorrhage, and lower risk of major bleeding.

Interpretation

Our results showed that Asian patients with AF showed suboptimal thromboembolic risk management and a specific risk profile of adverse outcomes; these differences may also reflect differences in country-specific factors. Ensuring integrated and appropriate treatment of these patients is crucial to improve their prognosis.

Funding

The GLORIA-AF Registry was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH.

Frailty Predicts Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women but Not in Men: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study

INTRODUCTION

Frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common aging problems and increasing globally. The association(s) between frailty and AF has been inconclusive. The purpose of this prospective population-based cohort was to investigate the associations between frailty and incident AF in older men and women.

METHODS

In total 839 participants, women (n = 458) and men (n = 381), aged 61-74 years from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included (March 1, 1998, to December 31, 2001). At the baseline, frailty prevalence was 49.3% (n = 414), and non-frailty 50.7% (n = 425) of the total population. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). AF events were obtained by record linkages from the national computerized hospitalization registry in Finland up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

During the mean follow-up of 14.2 years, 288 AF cases (169 women; 119 men) occurred. After adjustment for possible confounders, the HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for AF was 1.46 (1.48-1.85) in the frail population, compared to the non-frail group. The association was observed only among older frail women (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI [1.28-2.48]) (p for interaction = 0.04). No statistically significant associations were observed between frailty and future AF incident among men (multivariable-adjusted HRs 1.12, 95% CI (0.77-1.63)).

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based epidemiological cohort, the risk of developing AF was increased in women affected by frailty at baseline but not in men.

Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation Using the ABC Pathway in the Prospective APHRS-AF Registry

Background

The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) has been proposed as an integrated approach to improve management in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on 3 pillars: "A" Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; "B" Better symptoms control; "C" Cardiovascular risk-factor and comorbidities management.

Objectives

This study sought to investigate the association with outcomes of ABC adherence in the prospective multinational Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) Atrial Fibrillation registry.

Method

Cox-regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score, paroxysmal AF, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer, dyslipidemia, and dementia were performed to investigate the association with outcomes. Primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, any thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome or percutaneous interventional procedures, and advancing heart failure.

Results

Of the 4,013 included patients with AF (mean age 68 ± 12 years; 34.4% female); 38.6% were adherent to all 3 main ABC pillars. After 1 year of follow-up, adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a low incidence of composite outcome (4.0% vs 8.5%, P < 0.001), all-cause and cardiovascular death, and advancing heart failure. On Cox regression analysis, ABC adherence was associated with a lower risk of primary outcome (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.53-0.97), with risk reduction progressively higher with a higher number of ABC criteria attained. No significant interaction in the association was seen according to the different geographic areas (Pint = 0.217).

Conclusions

In a large contemporary cohort of Asian patients with AF, adherence to ABC pathway was associated with a reduction of the risk for adverse outcomes. (Clinical Survey on the Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation in Asia (AF-Registry; NCT04807049).

Early Rhythm Control in Patients With Incident Atrial Fibrillation Who Had a Prior Stroke

BACKGROUND

There are limited data regarding the benefit of early rhythm control therapy for secondary prevention for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to compare the risk of recurrent stroke between early rhythm control therapy and usual care in patients with new-onset AF and a history of prior stroke.

METHODS

Using the Korean nationwide claims database, the investigators identified patients who were newly diagnosed with AF and had a history of prior stroke. Patients who received rhythm control therapy, including antiarrhythmic drug, direct current cardioversion, or AF catheter ablation, within 1 year after incident AF were defined as the early rhythm control group, and the others were the usual care group. The propensity score weighting method was used to balance baseline characteristics between the 2 groups. Incident stroke was evaluated as a primary outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 53,509 patients were included (12,455 in the early rhythm control group and 41,054 in the usual care group). All patients were prescribed oral anticoagulants. During a median 2.6 years of follow-up, 4,382 patients had an incident stroke (incidence rate: 2.6 per 100 person-years). Early rhythm control was associated with a lower risk of recurrent stroke compared to the risk associated with usual care (weighted HR: 0.720; 95% CI: 0.666-0.779; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Early rhythm control within 1 year after AF diagnosis might be beneficial to prevent recurrent stroke in patients with incident AF and a history of stroke. Integrated care, including optimal rhythm control with appropriate anticoagulation, should be considered in this population.

Adherence to the Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway and the risk of major outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A post-hoc analysis from the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

The 'Atrial fibrillation Better Care' (ABC) pathway has been proposed to streamline a more holistic or integrated care approach to atrial fibrillation (AF) management. We aimed to analyse the impact of adherence to the ABC pathway on the risk of major adverse outcomes in a contemporary prospective global cohort of patients with AF.

METHODS

Patients enrolled Phase II and III of the GLORIA-AF Registry with complete data on ABC pathway adherence and follow-up were included in this post-hoc analysis between November 2011 and December 2014 for Phase II, and between January 2014 and December 2016 for Phase III. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Multivariable Cox-regression and delay of event (DoE) analyses were used to evaluate the association between adherence to the ABC pathway and the risk of outcomes.

FINDINGS

We included 24,608 patients in this analysis (mean age: 70.2 (10.3) years, 10,938 (44.4%) females). Adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a significant risk reduction for the primary outcome, with greatest magnitude observed for full ABC pathway adherence (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR] 0.54, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.44-0.67, p < 0.0001). ABC pathway adherence was also associated with reduced risk of mortality (aHR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.79-1.00, p = 0.048), thromboembolism (aHR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.65-0.94, p = 0.0078), and MACE (aHR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.71-0.95, p = 0.0071). An increasing number of ABC criteria attained was associated with longer event-free survival in the DoE analysis.

INTERPRETATION

Adherence to the ABC pathway in patients with AF was associated with a reduced risk of major adverse events, including mortality, thromboembolism and MACE. This underlines the importance of using the ABC pathway in the clinical care of patients with AF.

FUNDING

This study was funded by Boehringer Ingelheim.

Heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation: Insights from Polish part of the EORP-AF general long-term registry

AIMS

This study aimed to determine the impact of heart failure (HF) on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analysed data from Polish participants of the EURObservational Research Programme-AF General Long-Term Registry. The primary endpoint was all-cause death, and the secondary endpoints included hospital readmissions, cardiovascular (CV) interventions, thromboembolic and haemorrhagic events, rhythm control interventions, and other CV or non-CV diseases development during one-year follow up. Overall, 688 patients with available data on HF were included into analysis; 51% (n = 351) had HF; of these 48% (n = 168) had reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), 22% (n = 77) mid-range EF (HFmrEF), and 30% (n = 106) preserved EF (HFpEF). Compared with patients without HF, those with HF had higher mortality rate (aHR 5.61; 95% CI 1.94-16.22, P < 0.01). Patients with HF (vs. without HF) had more often CV interventions (10% vs. 5.4%, P = 0.046) and events (14% vs. 7.1%, P = 0.02), and had less often atrial arrhythmia-related hospital admissions (6.8% vs. 15%, P < 0.01). Over follow-up, patients with HFmrEF and HFpEF had similar mortality rate versus HFrEF (aHR 0.45, 95% CI 0.13-1.57, P = 0.45 for HFmrEF and aHR 0.54, 95% CI 0.20-1.48, P = 0.54 for HFpEF). Mortality rate was similar among rhythm versus rate control group (aHR 0.34; 95% CI 0.10-1.16; P = 0.34).

CONCLUSIONS

AF patients with HF have greater mortality rate and more CV interventions/events. No statistically significant difference in long-term outcomes between patients with HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF highlights the need to develop therapeutic strategies targeting functional status and survival for patients with HF and AF.

Trabectedin Cardiotoxicity in Soft Tissue Sarcoma: A Case Series and Clinical Insights

Trabectedin is a chemotherapeutic used to treat advanced soft tissue sarcoma and relapsed platinum-sensitive ovarian cancer. Although it is associated with a low incidence of cardiotoxicity, when this occurs it can be fatal or significantly compromise the quality of life in patients with advanced cancer. Here, we present a series of 4 cases where trabectedin-treated sarcoma patients developed cardiovascular complications. Similar to previous literature describing this association, all patients had prior treatment with anthracyclines and presented at different time points following treatment initiation. Each patient presented with exertional breathlessness and was found to have severely impaired left ventricular systolic function (ejection fraction ≤35%), and 1 patient had concurrent atrial fibrillation with a fast ventricular rate. All of the patients were treated with neurohormonal blockade, and a multi-disciplinary decision was made to stop trabectedin in 3 patients and continue in 1 patient. Two of the 4 patients had an improvement in their left ventricular systolic function. It is unclear what effect preceeding anthracycline or tyrosine kinase inhibitor treatment has in priming patients to develop cardiotoxicity in this setting. Our case series adds to the evidence surrounding this association and highlights that trabectedin-associated cardiotoxicity can present in an insidious fashion.

Consumer-Led Screening for Atrial Fibrillation: A Report From the mAFA-II Trial Long-Term Extension Cohort

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on mobile health detection of prevalent atrial fibrillation (AF) and its related risk factors over time.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to report the trends on prevalent AF detection over time and risk factors, with a consumer-led photoplethysmography screening approach.

METHODS

3,499,461 subjects aged over 18 years, who use smart devices (Huawei Technologies Co.) were enrolled between October 26, 2018, and December 1, 2021.

RESULTS

Among 2,852,217 subjects for AF screening, 12,244 subjects (0.43%; 83.2% male, mean age 57 ± 15 years) detected AF episodes. When compared with 2018, the risk (adjusted HRs, 95% CI) for monitored prevalent AF increased significantly for subjects when monitoring started in 2020 (adjusted HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.27-1.40; P < .001) or in 2021 (adjusted HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.59-1.76; P < 0.001). Of the 961,931 subjects who screening for both AF and OSA, 18,032 (1.9%, 97.8% male, mean age 44 ±17 years) were identified as high risk for OSA, which resulted in a 1.5-fold increase (95% CI: 1.30-fold to 1.75-fold) in the prevalent AF. A total of 5,227 (53.3%, 5,227/9,797) subjects were effectively followed up, from which 4,903 (93.8%, 4,903/5,227) subjects were confirmed with the diagnosis of AF, by the mAFA Telecare Team health providers.

CONCLUSIONS

Photoplethysmography-based smart devices can facilitate screening for AF with >93% confirmation of detected AF episodes even for the low-risk general population, highlighting the increased risk for detecting prevalent AF and the need for modification of OSA that increase AF susceptibility. (Mobile Health [mHealth] Technology for Improved Screening, Patient Involvement and Optimizing Integrated Care in Atrial Fibrillation [mAFA (mAF-App) II study]; ChiCTR-OOC-17014138).

Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Scientific Statement of JACC: Asia (Part 2)

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with substantial increases in the risk for stroke and systemic thromboembolism. With the successful introduction of the first non-vitamin K antagonistdirect oral anticoagulant agent (NOAC) in 2009, the role of vitamin K antagonists has been replaced in most clinical settings except in a few conditions for which NOACs are contraindicated. Data for the use of NOACs in different clinical scenarios have been accumulating in the past decade, and a more sophisticated strategy for patients with AF is now warranted. JACC: Asia recently appointed a working group to summarize the most updated information regarding stroke prevention in AF. The aim of this statement is to provide possible treatment options in daily practice. Local availability, cost, and patient comorbidities should also be considered. Final decisions may still need to be individualized and based on clinicians' discretion. This is part 2 of the statement.

Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Scientific Statement of JACC: Asia (Part 1)

Atrial fibrillation is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with substantial increases in the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism. With the successful introduction of the first non-vitamin K antagonist direct oral anticoagulant (NOAC) in 2009, the role of vitamin K antagonists has been replaced in most clinical settings except in a few conditions when NOACs are contraindicated. Data for the use of NOACs in different clinical scenarios have been accumulating in the recent decade, and a more sophisticated strategy for atrial fibrillation patients is now warranted. JACC: Asia recently appointed a working group to summarize the most updated information regarding stroke prevention in AF. This statement aimed to provide possible treatment option in daily practice. Local availability, cost, and patient comorbidities should also be considered. Final decisions may still need to be individualized and based on clinicians' discretion. This is the part 1 of the whole statement.

Atrial Fibrillation Better Care Pathway Adherent Care Improves Outcomes in Chinese Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a complex disease associated with comorbidities and adverse outcomes. The Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway has been proposed to streamline the integrated and holistic approach to AF care.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate patients' characteristics, incidence of adverse events, and impact on outcomes with ABC pathway-adherent management.

METHODS

The study included consecutive AF patients enrolled in the nationwide, ChioTEAF registry (44 centers, 20 Chinese provinces from October 2014 to December 2018), with available data to evaluate the ABC criteria and on the 1-year follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 3,520 patients (mean age 73.1 ± 10.4 years, 43% female) were included, of which 1,448 (41.1%) were managed as ABC pathway adherent. The latter were younger and had comparable CHA₂DS₂-VASc and lower HAS-BLED (mean 71.7 ± 10.3 years of age vs 74.1 ± 10.4 years of age; P < 0.01; 3.54 ± 1.60 vs 3.44 ± 1.70; P = 0.10; and 1.95 ± 1.10 vs 2.12 ± 1.20; P < 0.01, respectively) scores compared with ABC-nonadherent patients. At 1-year follow-up, patients managed adherent to the ABC pathway had a lower incidence of the primary composite outcome of all-cause death or any thromboembolic event (1.5% vs 3.6%; P < 0.01) as compared with ABC-nonadherent patients. On multivariate analysis, ABC pathway-adherent care was independently associated with a lower risk of the composite endpoint (OR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.31-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Adherence to the ABC pathway for integrated care in a contemporary nationwide cohort of Chinese AF patients was suboptimal. Clinical management adherent to the ABC pathway was associated with better outcomes.

A novel risk score to identify the need for triple antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a post hoc analysis of the RE-DUAL PCI trial

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend treating atrial fibrillation (AF) patients who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with triple antithrombotic therapy (TAT) for up to one month in patients at high thrombotic risk. It is unclear how to select these high-risk patients.

AIMS

The aim of this study was to identify patients at high thrombotic risk who might benefit from TAT over double antithrombotic therapy (DAT).

METHODS

This study was a post hoc subanalysis of the RE-DUAL PCI trial. A Cox proportional hazards model was built by stepwise selection of plausible predictor variables for a composite ischaemic endpoint, defined as cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI), stent thrombosis (ST) or ischaemic stroke. The effect of TAT versus DAT was calculated for those patients with the highest proportion of predicted thrombotic risk. A simplified risk score was constructed based on beta-coefficients.

RESULTS

For 209 patients (7.7%) the composite ischaemic endpoint occurred during the first year. The simplified risk score contained six variables. In patients with a score ≥5 (n=154, 5.7%), a significant reduction in the composite of MI and ST was observed with TAT versus DAT (6.3% vs 21.0%, p=0.041), without a penalty in terms of bleeding. In patients at low thrombotic risk, a significant increase in bleeding was observed without a reduction of ischaemic events.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the use of DAT in the majority of patients. A small subgroup of patients might benefit from TAT and we propose a novel clinical risk score to select these patients.

Effectiveness and Safety of Antithrombotic Medication in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Intracranial Hemorrhage: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND:

For patients with atrial fibrillation who survive an intracranial hemorrhage (ICrH), the decision to offer oral anticoagulation (OAC) is challenging and necessitates balancing risk of thromboembolic events with risk of recurrent ICrH.

METHODS:

This systematic review assesses the effectiveness and safety of OAC and/or antiplatelets in patients with atrial fibrillation with nontraumatic ICrH. Bibliographic databases CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL were searched. Articles on adults with atrial fibrillation with spontaneous ICrH (intracerebral, subdural, and subarachnoid), receiving antithrombotic therapy for stroke prevention were eligible for inclusion.

RESULTS:

Twenty articles (50 470 participants) included 2 randomized controlled trials (n=304)‚ 8 observational studies, 8 cohort studies, and 2 studies that meta-analyzed individual-level data from observational studies. OAC therapy was associated with a significant reduction in thromboembolic events (summary relative risk [sRR], 0.51 [95% CI, 0.30–0.86], heterogeneity I 2 =2%; P =0.39, n=5 studies) and all-cause mortality (sRR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.38–0.71], heterogeneity I 2 =0; P =0.44, n=3 studies). OAC therapy was not associated with an increased risk of recurrent ICrH (sRR, 1.44 [95% CI, 0.38–5.46], heterogeneity I 2 =70%, P =0.02, n=5 studies). Nonvitamin K antagonist OACs were more effective at reducing the risk of thromboembolic events (sRR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.44–0.97], heterogeneity I 2 =72%, P =0.03, n=3 studies) and were associated with a lower risk of recurrent ICrH (sRR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.40–0.67], heterogeneity I 2 =0%, P =0.43, n=3 studies) than warfarin.

CONCLUSIONS:

In nontraumatic ICrH survivors with atrial fibrillation, OAC therapy is associated with a reduced risk of thromboembolic events and all-cause mortality without significantly increasing risk of recurrent ICrH. This finding is primarily based on observational data, and further larger randomized controlled trials are needed to corroborate or refute these findings.

Predictors of Adherence to Stroke Prevention in the BALKAN-AF Study: A Machine-Learning Approach

Background Compared with usual care, guideline-adherent stroke prevention strategy, based on the ABC (Atrial fibrillation Better Care) pathway, is associated with better outcomes. Given that stroke prevention is central to atrial fibrillation (AF) management, improved efforts to determining predictors of adherence with ‘A’ (avoid stroke) component of the ABC pathway are needed.

Purpose We tested the hypothesis that more sophisticated methodology using machine learning (ML) algorithms could do this.

Methods In this post-hoc analysis of the BALKAN-AF dataset, ML algorithms and logistic regression were tested. The feature selection process identified a subset of variables that were most relevant for creating the model. Adherence with the ‘A’ criterion of the ABC pathway was defined as the use of oral anticoagulants (OAC) in patients with AF with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 (male) or 1 (female).

Results Among 2,712 enrolled patients, complete data on ‘A’-adherent management were available in 2,671 individuals (mean age 66.0 ± 12.8; 44.5% female). Based on ML algorithms, independent predictors of ‘A-criterion adherent management’ were paroxysmal AF, center in capital city, and first-diagnosed AF. Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, chronic kidney disease with chronic dialysis, and sleep apnea were independently associated with a lower likelihood of ‘A’-criterion adherent management.

ML evaluated predictors of adherence with the ‘A’ criterion of the ABC pathway derived an area under the receiver-operator curve of 0.710 (95%CI 0.67–0.75) for random forest with fine tuning.

Conclusions Machine learning identified paroxysmal AF, treatment center in the capital city, and first-diagnosed AF as predictors of adherence to the A pathway; and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, chronic kidney disease with chronic dialysis, and sleep apnea as predictors of non adherence.

Inconsistent Methodology as a Barrier to Meaningful Research Outputs From Studies of Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery

Atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery (AFACS) is a serious postoperative complication. There is significant research interest in this field but also relevant heterogeneity in reported AFACS definitions and approaches used for its identification. Few data exist on the extent of this variation in clinical studies. The authors reviewed the literature since 2001 and included manuscripts reporting outcomes of AFACS in adults. They excluded smaller studies and studies in which patients did not undergo a sternotomy. The documented protocol in each manuscript was analyzed according to six different categories to determine how AFACS was defined, which techniques were used to identify it, and the inclusion and/or exclusion criteria. They also noted when a category was not described in the documented protocol. The authors identified 302 studies, of which 92 were included. Sixty-two percent of studies were randomized controlled trials. There was significant heterogeneity in the manuscripts, including the exclusion of patients with preoperative AF, the definition and duration of AF needed to meet the primary endpoint, the type of screening approach (continuous, episodic, or opportunistic), the duration of monitoring during the study period in days, the diagnosis with predefined electrocardiogram criteria, and the requirement for independent confirmation by study investigators. Furthermore, the definitions of these criteria frequently were not described. Consistent reporting standards for AFACS research are needed to advance scientific progress in the field. The authors here propose pragmatic standards for trial design and reporting standards. These include adequate sample size estimation, a clear definition of the AFACS endpoints, and a protocol for AFACS detection.

Different Renal Function Equations and Dosing of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Randomized trials of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) adopted the Cockcroft-Gault (CG) formula to calculate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to determine the dosages of DOACs.

Objectives

The authors aimed to investigate the agreements/disagreements of eGFRs calculated using different equations (CG, Modified Diet in Renal Disease [MDRD], and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration [CKD-EPI] formulas), and their impacts on the dosages of DOACs and clinical outcomes.

Methods

Medical data from a multicenter health care provider in Taiwan including 39,239 patients with atrial fibrillation were used. Among these patients, there were 11,185 and 2,323 patients treated with DOACs and warfarin, respectively.

Results

At the cutoff values of eGFR of <15, 15-50, and >50 mL/min, the agreements were 78% between MDRD and CG and 81% between CKD-EPI and CG. The disagreements among the different equations were largely due to overestimations, especially for patients aged >75 years and with a body weight of <50 kg (58.8% for MDRD and 50.9% for CKD-EPI). Among patients receiving DOACs whose dosages were defined as “on label” based on MDRD or CKD-EPI, only those whose dosages were “truly on label” based on CG were associated with a lower risk of major bleeding (adjusted HR: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.26-0.45) compared to warfarin.

Conclusions

The adoptions of MDRD or CKD-EPI rather than CG would result in inappropriate dosing of DOACs (mainly overdosing), which would attenuate the advantages of DOACs compared to warfarin. The CG equation should be used as the gold standard to calculate eGFRs and guide the DOAC dosages.

Association of proteinuria and hypertension with incident atrial fibrillation in an elderly population: nationwide data from a community-based elderly cohort

OBJECTIVE

The excess risk of atrial fibrillation in relation to the presence of proteinuria associated with hypertension has not been well elucidated. We aimed to determine the effect of hypertension and/or proteinuria on the incidence of atrial fibrillation. Second, we evaluated whether the associations with temporal changes in proteinuria status on the incidence of atrial fibrillation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 85 434 participants with hypertension and 125 912 participants without hypertension with age at least 60 years from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Senior cohort were included. Amongst controls (participants without proteinuria and hypertension), hypertension only, proteinuria only, and hypertension with proteinuria groups, the adjusted incidences of atrial fibrillation were 0.51, 0.69. 0.78 and 0.99 per 100 person-years, respectively after inverse probability of treatment weighting. Compared with controls, the weighted risks of atrial fibrillation in the hypertension only, proteinuria only and hypertension with proteinuria groups were increased by 37% (hazard ratio 1.37, 95% confidence interval, CI 1.30-1.44, P = 0.001), 55% (hazard ratio 1.55, 95% CI 1.28-1.88, P < 0.001), and 98% (hazard ratio 1.98, 95% CI 1.62-2.43, P < 0.001), respectively. Populations who had proteinuria in the first examination had an increased risk of atrial fibrillation even in the group whereby the proteinuria was resolved on the second examination (hazard ratio 1.36, 95% CI 1.12-2.31, P < 0.001). The presence of proteinuria in first and second analysis had the highest risk of incident atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio 1.61, 95% CI 1.12-2.31).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, hypertension and/or proteinuria were associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation, with the greatest risks when both are present. Proteinuria could be a useful factor for predicting atrial fibrillation development.

Relationship between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, lipid-lowering agents and risk of stroke: a meta-analysis of observational studies (n = 355,591) and randomized controlled trials (n = 165,988)

INTRODUCTION

The impact of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) on the risk of different types of strokes is unclear. Therefore, we systematically evaluated the impact of LDL-C levels (cohort studies) and lipid-lowering agents (LLAs) (randomized controlled trials) on the different types of stroke.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

PubMed, SCOPUS, Web of Science and Google Scholar were searched up to 1^st September 2019. The DerSimonian-Laird method and generic inverse variance methods were used for quantitative data synthesis. The leave-one-out method was performed as sensitivity analysis. Trial sequential analysis (TSA) was used to evaluate the optimal sample size to detect a 35% reduction in outcomes after administration of LLAs.

RESULTS

Participants in the highest category of LDL-C had a lower risk of hemorrhagic stroke (RR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85-0.98, I ² = 0%) compared with the lowest category of LDL-C. Subjects with the highest category of LDL-C had a higher risk of ischemic stroke (RR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.07-1.14, I ² = 0%) compared to the lowest LDL-C category. LLAs decreased the risk of all types of strokes for those who achieved LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/l (< 70 mg/dl; RR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.80-0.96, absolute risk reduction (ARR): 0.7%, number needed to treat (NNT): 143, I ² = 53%, n = 13). Statin therapy decreased the risk of all strokes (RR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.80-0.97, ARR = 0.6%, NNT = 167, I ² = 56%). With regard to ischemic stroke only, LLAs decreased the risk of ischemic stroke for those who achieved LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/l (< 70 mg/dl; RR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.67-0.83, ARR = 1.3%, NNT = 77, I ² = 0%); the same was observed for statins (RR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.69-0.84, ARR = 1.3%, NNT = 77, I ² = 32%). TSA indicated that both benefit boundaries and optimal sample size were reached. There was no significant effect of LLAs regardless of the achieved level of LDL-C on the risk of hemorrhagic stroke; however, TSA indicated that further studies are needed to settle the question and most of the effects were subject to high levels of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study sheds light on the debatable association between low LDL-C and different type of strokes. This information can help determine the optimal LDL-C range for stroke prevention, and help plan future LLA studies.

684 Cardiac troponins and adverse outcomes in European patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC-EHRA EORP atrial fibrillation general long-term registry

Aims

Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients.

Methods and results

Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (&gt;99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P &lt; 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P &lt; 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P &lt; 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy.

Conclusions

Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.

Photoplethysmography-Based Machine Learning Approaches for Atrial Fibrillation Prediction

Background

Current wearable devices enable the detection of atrial fibrillation (AF), but a machine learning (ML)–based approach may facilitate accurate prediction of AF onset.

Objectives

The present study aimed to develop, optimize, and validate an ML-based model for real-time prediction of AF onset in a population at high risk of incident AF.

Methods

A primary ML-based prediction model of AF onset (M1) was developed on the basis of the Huawei Heart Study, a general-population AF screening study using photoplethysmography (PPG)–based smart devices. After optimization in 554 individuals with 469,267 PPG data sets, the optimized ML-based model (M2) was further prospectively validated in 50 individuals with paroxysmal AF at high risk of AF onset, and compared with 72-hour Holter electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring, a criterion standard, from September 1, 2019, to November 5, 2019.

Results

Among 50 patients with paroxysmal AF (mean age 67 ± 12 years, 40% women), there were 2,808 AF events from a total of 14,847,356 ECGs over 72 hours and 6,860 PPGs (45.83 ± 13.9 per subject per day). The best performance of M1 for AF onset prediction was achieved 4 hours before AF onset (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.94; 95% confidence interval: 0.93-0.94). M2 sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy (at 0 to 4 hours before AF onset) were 81.9%, 96.6%, 96.4%, 83.1%, and 88.9%, respectively, compared with 72-hour Holter ECG.

Conclusions

The PPG- based ML model demonstrated good ability for AF prediction in advance. (Mobile Health [mHealth] technology for improved screening, patient involvement and optimizing integrated care in atrial fibrillation; ChiCTR-OOC-17014138)

Increased risk of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism in hyperthyroidism-related atrial fibrillation: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to evaluate the long-term risk of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism of hyperthyroidism-related AF.

METHODS

This retrospective population-based cohort study included records of 1,034,099 atrial fibrillation patients between 2005 and 2016 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. After exclusion, we identified 615,724 oral anticoagulation-naïve patients aged ≥18 years with new-onset non-valvular atrial fibrillation, of whom 20,773 had hyperthyroidism-related atrial fibrillation. After 3:1 propensity score matching, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism occurrences were compared between hyperthyroidism-related and non-hyperthyroidism-related ("nonthyroidal") atrial fibrillation patients.

RESULTS

After exclusion, we identified 615,724 oral anticoagulation-naïve AF patients of whom 20,773 had hyperthyroidism-related AF. Median follow-up duration was 5.9 years. Hyperthyroidism-related AF patients had significantly higher risks of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism than nonthyroidal AF patients (1.83 vs 1.62 per 100-person year, hazard ratio[HR], 1.13; 95% confidence interval[CI], 1.07 to 1.19; P < 0.001). This risk was 36% higher in hyperthyroidism-related than in nonthyroidal AF patients within 1 year of atrial fibrillation diagnosis (3.65 vs 2.67 per 100-person year, HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.24 - 1.50; P < 0.001). This difference was also observed in the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score subgroup analysis. The risk of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism significantly decreased in patients treated for hyperthyroidism (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58 to 0.70; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperthyroidism-related AF patients have high risks of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism like nonthyroidal AF, especially when initially diagnosed. This risk is reduced by treating hyperthyroidism.

The Differences in the Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease, Its Risk Factors, and Achievement of Therapeutic Goals among Urban and Rural Primary Care Patients in Poland: Results from the LIPIDOGRAM 2015 Study

A nationwide cross-sectional study, LIPIDOGRAM2015, was carried out in Poland in the years 2015 and 2016. A total of 438 primary care physicians enrolled 13,724 adult patients that sought medical care in primary health care practices. The prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia, and CVD were similar in urban and rural areas (49.5 vs. 49.4%; 13.7 vs. 13.1%; 84.2 vs. 85.2%; 14.4 vs. 14.2%, respectively). The prevalence of obesity (32.3 vs. 37.5%, p < 0.01) and excessive waist circumference (77.5 vs. 80.7%, p < 0.01), as well as abdominal obesity (43.2 vs. 46.4%, p < 0.01), were higher in rural areas in both genders. Mean levels of LDL-C (128 vs. 130 mg/dL, p = 0.04) and non-HDL-C (147 vs. 148 mg/dL, p = 0.03) were slightly higher in rural populations. Altogether, 14.3% of patients with CVD from urban areas and 11.3% from rural areas reached LDL <70 mg/dL (p = 0.04). There were no important differences in the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidaemia, and CVD, or in mean levels of blood pressure, cholesterol fractions, glucose, and HbA1c between Polish urban and rural primary care patient populations. A high proportion of patients in cities and an even-higher proportion in rural areas did not reach the recommended targets for blood pressure, LDL-C, and HbA1c, indicating the need for novel CVD-prevention programs.

Effectiveness and Safety of Oral Anticoagulants Among Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients With Active Cancer

Background

Patients with cancer are more likely to develop nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Currently there are no definitive clinical trials or treatment guidelines for NVAF patients with concurrent cancer.

Objectives

This subgroup analysis of the ARISTOPHANES study compared the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (stroke/SE) and major bleeding (MB) among NVAF patients with active cancer who were prescribed non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) or warfarin.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was conducted in NVAF patients with active cancer who newly initiated apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin from January 1, 2013, through September 30, 2015, with the use of Medicare and 4 U.S. commercial claims databases. Cox models were used to estimate the risk of stroke/SE and MB in the pooled propensity score–matched cohorts.

Results

A total of 40,271 patients were included, with main cancer types of prostate (29%), female breast (17%), genitourinary (14%), and lung (13%). Compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with a lower risk of stroke/SE (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.59; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45-0.78) and MB (HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.50-0.68); dabigatran and rivaroxaban had similar risks of stroke/SE (dabigatran: HR: 0.88 [95% CI: 0.54-1.41]; rivaroxaban: HR: 0.82 [95% CI: 0.62-1.08]) and MB (dabigatran: HR: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.57-1.01]; rivaroxaban: HR: 0.95 [95% CI: 0.85-1.06]). Risks of stroke/SE and MB varied among NOAC-NOAC comparisons, while consistent treatment effects were seen for all treatment comparisons across key cancer types.

Conclusions

Among this cohort of NVAF patients with active cancer, the risk of stroke/SE and MB varied among oral anticoagulants and were consistent across cancer types.