Gamble with Your Head and Not Your Heart: A Conceptual Model for How Thinking-Style Promotes Irrational Gambling Beliefs

The effect of doll blind box uncertainty on consumers' irrational consumption behavior: the role of instant gratification, Gambler's fallacy, and perceived scarcity

BACKGROUND

The uncertainty associated with doll blind boxes has sparked a consumer frenzy in China. However, it remains unclear how the allure of uncertain rewards influences the irrational consumption behavior of blind box consumers. This study aimed to elucidate the internal mechanisms underlying this process. Specifically, this study investigated the relationships among perceived uncertainty, gambler's fallacy, instant gratification, perceived scarcity, and irrational consumption behavior.

METHODS

434 Online questionnaires were distributed to Chinese doll blind box consumers. This study examines the impact of perceived uncertainty on consumers' irrational consumption behavior by employing the Stimulus-Organism-Response theory and constructing a mechanism model. The analysis was conducted using PLS-SEM in SmartPLS 4.0.

RESULTS

Perceived uncertainty positively affected instant gratification and gambler's fallacies. Gambler's fallacy and instant gratification significantly mediate between perceived uncertainty and irrational consumption behavior. Moreover, perceived scarcity positively moderated the relationship between gambler's fallacy and irrational consumption behavior. As perceived scarcity increased among blind box consumers, cognitive bias resulting from gambler's fallacy more significantly influenced the consumers to engage in irrational consumption behavior.

CONCLUSIONS

This study clarified the psychological mechanisms underlying irrational consumption behavior among blind box consumers. Moreover, it provides specific suggestions for blind box consumer, product stakeholders and policymakers to better advocate rational consumption behavior.

Short-term effectiveness of gambling treatment in the Daily Clinic for Gambling Addiction

In response to the high prevalence of gambling addiction within the population, a specialised Daily Clinic for Gambling Addiction was established at the University Psychiatric Hospital "St. John" in Zagreb (Croatia). This clinic offers a unique three-month, semi-structured, intensive multidimensional and multidisciplinary treatment approach delivered by a team of specialised mental health professionals. Treatment interventions include individual and group psychotherapy, socioemotional skills training, family therapy, support groups and other modalities. In collaboration with researchers from the University of Zagreb Faculty of Education and Rehabilitation Sciences, the study team is conducting a scientific evaluation to determine the outcomes of the treatment. This study presents results on its' short-term effectiveness, based on a sample of N = 209 patients (Mean Age = 33.54; Males = 92.8%; Females = 7.2%) who underwent treatment between 2017 and 2021. To assess the effectiveness of the treatment, a research design incorporating two measurement sessions (pre-test and post-test) was employed. This design utilised a comprehensive battery of validated instruments, each targeting specific constructs or domains of psychosocial functioning that the intervention aims to address. The assessment tools included: (1) Problem Gambling Severity Index-PGSI, (2) Gambling Attitudes Scale-GAS, (3) Coping Inventory for Stressful Situations-CISS, (4) The Gambling Beliefs Scale-short version, (5) Problem Solving and Refusal Skills Scale, (6) Depression, Anxiety, Stress Scale-DASS-21, (7) Generalised Self-Efficacy Scale-GSE, and (8) Multidimensional Scale of Perceived Social Support. The results indicate significant positive improvements in gamblers' psychosocial functioning with the following large effect sizes: gambling-related consequences (r = 0.84), task oriented coping (Cohen's d = 0.79), emotion oriented coping (Cohen's d = 1.06), attitudes (r = 0.67), superstition (r = 0.61), illusion of control (r = 0.62), depression (r = 0.78), anxiety (r = 0.71), stress (r = 0.73), problem-solving skills (r = 0.73) and general self-efficacy (r = 0.61). The effects on refusal skills (Cohen's d = 0.48) as well as on alcohol (Cohen's d = 0.24) and marihuana (r = 0.26) were small to medium. Findings are discussed in terms of appropriate treatment approaches for gambling addiction, methodological challenges in measuring effects and implications for future evaluation research. In general, this treatment protocol provides promising effects for gambling addiction.

Does gambling preference level affect occupational fraud behavior?-Evidence from a survey study in China

Occupational fraud presents significant economic challenges globally. This study aims to understand the factors contributing to such fraudulent behavior and to develop strategies to mitigate it, focusing on the relationship between gambling preferences and occupational fraud within the framework of the fraud triangle theory, emphasizing the 'pressure' element. To explore this relationship, the research employed several methods, including reliability and validity tests, correlation analysis, and regression analysis, to strengthen the survey research. The findings indicate that individuals with stronger gambling preferences are more likely to engage in occupational fraud. This relationship is mediated by ego depletion and moderated by psychological capital and superstitious beliefs, which align with theoretical models of cognitive biases. Further analysis reveals that psychological capital and superstitious beliefs play a moderating role through the mediating effect pathway from gambling preferences to ego depletion. The study provides valuable insights for developing effective fraud prevention strategies in corporate governance.

The protective effects of cognitive empathy and emotional empathy on gambling disorder are mediated by risk aversion and responsible gambling attitude

BACKGROUND

Based on social cognitive theory, this study aimed to examine whether and how social abilities (i.e., cognitive empathy and emotional empathy) are associated with gambling disorder (GD) by incorporating attitudes toward general risk (i.e., risk aversion) and responsible gambling as potential mediators of this link.

METHODS

A convenience sample of 580 past-year lottery gamblers (Mage = 34.07, SD = 13.36; 50.4% female), recruited near lottery sales shops, completed an anonymous paper-version questionnaire on site. Data were collected using the DSM-5 diagnostic criteria for GD, Interpersonal Reactivity Index, Risk Aversion Scale, Positive Play Scale, and demographic items. Path analysis and mediation analysis were applied to examine the effects of cognitive empathy and emotional empathy on GD and the mediating roles of risk aversion and responsible gambling attitude.

RESULTS

Our results showed that cognitive empathy, but not emotional empathy, was significantly and negatively correlated with GD. Also, the effect of cognitive empathy on GD was fully mediated by risk aversion and responsible gambling attitude, whilst the total indirect effect of emotional empathy on GD was nonsignificant. As hypothesized, the indirect paths from both types of empathy to GD were significantly and serially mediated by risk aversion and responsible gambling attitude.

CONCLUSION

Cognitive empathy, distinct from emotional empathy, was a statistically significant correlate of GD. Moreover, the path model results also suggest that responsible gambling attitude was a salient protective factors against GD. Future GD prevention efforts may benefit from paying more attention to the role of responsible gambling attitude.

Is parental propensity to risk associated with their child's medically-attended injuries? A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Societal expectations about safety influence parents' risk perceptions and children's risky play opportunities. This study examined parents' propensity to take risks themselves and their propensity to accept risks for their child, sex-related differences in parents' propensity to accept risks for their child, and the association between parents' propensity to accept risks for their child and that child's medically-attended injury history.

METHODS

A total of 467 parents attending a pediatric hospital with their 6-12-year-old child completed a questionnaire about their risk propensity for themselves and for their child and reported their child's injury history.

RESULTS

Parents' risk propensity for themselves was significantly higher than for their child, and fathers' risk propensity for themselves was higher than mothers'. Linear regressions showed that fathers reported significantly more propensity to accept risks for their child than mothers, but parents did not differentiate between their sons and daughters. A binary logistic regression showed that parents' propensity to accept risks for their child was a significant predictor of pediatric medically-attended injury.

CONCLUSIONS

Parents were more comfortable in taking risks for themselves than for their child. While fathers were more comfortable with their children engaging in risks than mothers, child's sex was not related to parents' propensity to accept risks for their child. Pediatric injury was predicted by parents' propensity to accept risks for their child. Further research investigating injury type and severity related parent risk propensity is needed to determine how parents' attitudes toward risk might relate to severe injury.

Social Connectedness and Associations with Gambling Risk in New Zealand

Multiple factors are associated with disordered gambling, with some populations having a greater risk for developing disordered gambling than others. The present study, utilising data previously collected for a New Zealand (NZ) national gambling survey, explored the associations of social connectedness and leisure activities with risky gambling behaviour and quality of life. Poorer social connectedness and leisure activities were found to be associated with increased gambling risk and poorer quality of life, respectively. Social connectedness and leisure activities strongly predicted type of gambling activities and quality of life. Furthermore, Māori (NZ's indigenous population) had lower social connectedness and fewer leisure activities, and a greater gambling risk, as well as higher psychological distress, than the NZ European/Other population. These findings indicate that the risk of progressing from recreational gambling to risky gambling is relatively higher for Māori, and that social connectedness and leisure activities could be contributing factors for this increased risk. It is, therefore, important that social connectedness and leisure activities are seriously considered in public health and treatment efforts to reduce gambling harm for vulnerable populations.

Shock determination in a two-stage decision-making model: The case of COVID-19 in Colombia

The contributions of this paper are as follows: (a) proposing a two-stage model to study whether an event has temporary or permanent effects on the probability of choosing a good within a market basket that traditional decision theory cannot explain and (b) studying the effects of COVID-19 on consumers' decisions in Colombia. Findings suggest that the pandemic has transitory effects on preferences in the short run. If it lasts longer, it could induce to permanent changes. Thus, this model can be used to analyze the temporary or permanent effects of any event, regardless of its nature or geographical region, on consumer's decision.

Online Gambling Activity, Pay-to-Win Payments, Motivation to Gamble and Coping Strategies as Predictors of Gambling Disorder Among e-sports Bettors

Research on esports activity usually captures it from the perspective of involvement in gaming. This study presents the results of the first research in Poland (N = 438) on esports betting (ESB). ESB is compared to other forms of e-gambling and involvement in pay-to-win games. The aim was to build a predictive model of gambling disorder among people betting on esports. A predictive model of gambling disorder based on ordinal regression was built, including sociodemographic variables, involvement in esports betting, involvement in other Internet activities connected to ESB, as well as psychological variables-motivation to gamble and coping strategies. The results showed that gambling disorder among esports bettors is associated with time spent on one game session, placing other forms of online gambling bets once a week or more often, and paying in pay-to-win games. Gambling disorder was also predicted by escape coping strategies and lower engaged strategies as well as financial and coping motivation to bet on esports results. The results show the crucial role of psychological factors (motivation, coping) in the development of esports betting addiction. Esports betting is an activity associated with both gambling and gaming-involvement in both activities explains the development of ESB addiction. There is a need for further research focused on the specificity of esports betting behavior to discover the direction of links among gaming, gambling, and esports gambling.

The Relationship between Impulsiveness, Self-Esteem, Irrational Gambling Belief and Problem Gambling Moderating Effects of Gender

The present study investigated the relationship between impulsivity, self-esteem, irrational gambling belief, and problem gambling and also explored whether the relationships between these constructs are different for males and females. Participants included 563 college students with 259 males (46.0%) and 304 females (54.0%) from Korea. Participants completed a survey. The results showed that 5.3% of students were problem gamblers, while 9.4% were moderate-risk gamblers. The relationships between impulsivity, self-esteem, irrational gambling belief, and problem gambling differed for males and females. For females, greater impulsivity and lower self-esteem predicted higher irrational gambling belief, while higher irrational gambling belief predicted more problem gambling. For males, greater impulsivity predicted higher irrational gambling belief, and higher irrational gambling belief predicted more problem gambling. This finding suggests that different prevention efforts are needed, which will require identifying the variables that affect problem gambling.

Protective Action and Risky Beliefs: The Relationship Between Religion and Gambling Fallacies

A number of studies have explored the relationship between religious beliefs and gambling (including gambling fallacies and gambling harm) but report seemingly contradictory findings. While some studies have found religious belief to be positively associated with gambling fallacies, others have found it to be a protective factor from gambling harms. One explanation for these differing effects is that gambling fallacies and metaphysical religious belief share properties of supernatural and magical thinking. Nevertheless, social support and moral strictures associated with religion might help protect against an unhealthy engagement with gambling. Using a multidimensional measure of religiosity, we hypothesised that only the supernatural facet of religious adherence would present a risk for gambling fallacies. We analysed two archival data sources collected in Canada (Quinte Longitudinal Study: N = 4121, M_age = 46, SD_age = 14, Female = 54%; Leisure, Lifestyle and Lifecycle Project: N = 1372, M_age = 37, SD_age = 17, Female = 56%). Using the Rohrbaugh-Jessor Religiosity Scale, we confirmed that the supernatural theistic domain of religion was a positive risk factor for gambling fallacies. However, participation in ritual (behavioural) aspects, such as churchgoing, was negatively associated with risk, and no effect was observed for the consequential (moral) domain. We conclude that multidimensional aspects in religious measures may account for conflicting prior findings.

Decision making and framing effects in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies reported reduced decision-making abilities for patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) relative to healthy controls (HC). This study aimed to evaluate whether these problems arise when sampling information or when pondering about the evidence collected.

METHODS

In a cross-sectional, controlled study, 43 relapsing-remitting MS patients (RRMS; Expanded Disability Status Scale 1.5, range 0-4) and 53 HC performed an information sampling task ('beads task'), a health-related framing task, and neuropsychological background tests.

RESULTS

In the beads task, patients collected as much information as HC prior to a decision. However, there were twice as many patients as HC making irrational decisions, that is, decisions against the evidence collected (RRMS: 26/43, 60%; HC: 16/53, 30%; p = 0.003). Compared to HC, patients also showed a stronger framing effect, that is, they were more strongly biased by the way health-related information was presented (p < 0.05, Cohen's d = 0.5). Overall, the framing effect predicted whether a participant would make irrational decisions (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.29-3.49, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Predecisional information sampling is intact in RRMS. However, compared to HC, patients are more likely to make irrational decisions and to be biased by the way health-related information is framed. This warrants caution in communication, especially in the medical context, with patients.

Gambling activity in the old-age general population

Old age constitutes a vulnerable stage for developing gambling-related problems. The aims of the study were to identify patterns of gambling habits in elderly participants from the general population, and to assess socio-demographic and clinical variables related to the severity of the gambling behaviours. The sample included N = 361 participants aged in the 50–90 years range. A broad assessment included socio-demographic variables, gambling profile and psychopathological state. The percentage of participants who reported an absence of gambling activities was 35.5 per cent, while 46.0 per cent reported only non-strategic gambling, 2.2 per cent only strategic gambling and 16.3 per cent both non-strategic plus strategic gambling. Gambling form with highest prevalence was lotteries (60.4%), followed by pools (13.9%) and bingo (11.9%). The prevalence of gambling disorder was 1.4 per cent, and 8.0 per cent of participants were at a problematic gambling level. Onset of gambling activities was younger for men, and male participants also reached a higher mean for the bets per gambling-episode and the number of total gambling activities. Risk factors for gambling severity in the sample were not being born in Spain and a higher number of cumulative lifetime life events, and gambling severity was associated with a higher prevalence of tobacco and alcohol abuse and with worse psychopathological state. Results are particularly useful for the development of reliable screening tools and for the design of effective prevention programmes.

Gambling-Specific Cognitions Are Not Associated With Either Abstract or Probabilistic Reasoning: A Dual Frequentist-Bayesian Analysis of Individuals With and Without Gambling Disorder

BACKGROUND

Distorted gambling-related cognitions are tightly related to gambling problems, and are one of the main targets of treatment for disordered gambling, but their etiology remains uncertain. Although folk wisdom and some theoretical approaches have linked them to lower domain-general reasoning abilities, evidence regarding that relationship remains unconvincing.

METHOD

In the present cross-sectional study, the relationship between probabilistic/abstract reasoning, as measured by the Berlin Numeracy Test (BNT), and the Matrices Test, respectively, and the five dimensions of the Gambling-Related Cognitions Scale (GRCS), was tested in a sample of 77 patients with gambling disorder and 58 individuals without gambling problems.

RESULTS AND INTERPRETATION

Neither BNT nor matrices scores were significantly related to gambling-related cognitions, according to frequentist (MANCOVA/ANCOVA) analyses, performed both considering and disregarding group (patients, non-patients) in the models. Correlation Bayesian analyses (bidirectional BF10) largely supported the null hypothesis, i.e., the absence of relationships between the measures of interest. This pattern or results reinforces the idea that distorted cognitions do not originate in a general lack of understanding of probability or low fluid intelligence, but probably result from motivated reasoning.

Association of Near-Miss with Two Erroneous Gambling Cognitions and Betting Intention: Evidence from Nigerian Adolescents

Evidences show increase of positive attitudes of Nigerian adolescents towards gambling in the past decade. Nigerian adolescents have been shown to spend significant part of their academic time and resources on Soccer bets. This behaviour could act as a predisposing factor for poor academic performances and problem gambling at adulthood. The present study drew from the cognitive distortion model to examine the mediational role of near-miss in the erroneous cognition-betting intention association through a survey study design. Male adolescents (N = 237; Mean age = 17.37 years; SD = 4.13) of public schools in Nigeria who engage in Soccer betting took part in the study. They completed self-report measures of erroneous cognition, near-miss and betting intention. Results revealed that interpretative bias was not associated with near-miss while it was positively associated with betting intention. Illusion of control was positively associated with near-miss and betting intention. Near-miss was positively associated with betting intention and mediated the associations between interpretative bias and betting intention (negative mediation) and illusion of control, and betting intention (positive mediation). The theoretical and practical implications of the findings are discussed.

Training gamblers to re-think their gambling choices: How contextual analytical thinking may be useful in promoting safer gambling

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Harmful gambling has been associated with the endorsement of fallacious cognitions that promote excessive consumption. These types of beliefs stem from intuitively derived assumptions about gambling that are fostered by fast-thinking and a lack of objective, critical thought. The current paper details an experiment designed to test whether a four-week online intervention to strengthen contextual analytical thinking in gamblers is effective in changing gamblers cognitions and encouraging safer gambling consumption.

METHODS

Ninety-four regular gamblers who reported experiencing gambling-related harm were randomly allocated to either an experimental (n = 46) or control condition (n = 48), including 45 males, ranging from 19 to 65 years of age (M = 36.61; SD = 9.76). Following baseline measurement of gambling beliefs and prior week gambling consumption, participants in the experimental condition were required to complete an adaption of the Gamblers Fallacy Questionnaire designed to promote analytical thinking by educating participants on common judgement errors specific to gambling once a week for four weeks. Post-intervention measures of beliefs and gambling consumption were captured in week five.

RESULTS

The experimental condition reported significantly fewer erroneous cognitions, greater endorsement of protective cognitions, and reduced time spent gambling post-intervention compared to baseline. The control group also reported a reduction in cognitions relating to predicting and controlling gambling outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Cognitive interventions that encourage gamblers to challenge gambling beliefs by reflecting on gambling involvement and promoting critical thinking may be an effective tool for reducing the time people invest in gambling activities.