ANN Prediction of Metabolic Syndrome: a Complex Puzzle that will be Completed

Metabolic syndrome predictive modelling in Bangladesh applying machine learning approach

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a cluster of interconnected metabolic risk factors, including abdominal obesity, high blood pressure, and elevated fasting blood glucose levels, that result in an increased risk of heart disease and stroke. In this research, we aim to identify the risk factors that have an impact on MetS in the Bangladeshi population. Subsequently, we intend to construct predictive machine learning (ML) models and ultimately, assess the accuracy and reliability of these models. In this particular study, we utilized the ATP III criteria as the basis for evaluating various health parameters from a dataset comprising 8185 participants in Bangladesh. After employing multiple ML algorithms, we identified that 27.8% of the population exhibited a prevalence of MetS. The prevalence of MetS was higher among females, accounting for 58.3% of the cases, compared to males with a prevalence of 41.7%. Initially, we identified the crucial variables using Chi-Square and Random Forest techniques. Subsequently, the obtained optimal variables are employed to train various models including Decision Trees, Random Forests, Support Vector Machines, Extreme Gradient Boosting, K-nearest neighbors, and Logistic Regression. Particularly we employed the ATP III criteria, which utilizes the Waist-to-Height Ratio (WHtR) as an anthropometric index for diagnosing abdominal obesity. Our analysis indicated that Age, SBP, WHtR, FBG, WC, DBP, marital status, HC, TGs, and smoking emerged as the most significant factors when using Chi-Square and Random Forest analyses. However, further investigation is necessary to evaluate its precision as a classification tool and to improve the accuracy of all classifiers for MetS prediction.

Machine Learning Identification of Nutrient Intake Variations across Age Groups in Metabolic Syndrome and Healthy Populations

This study undertakes a comprehensive examination of the intricate link between diet nutrition, age, and metabolic syndrome (MetS), utilizing advanced artificial intelligence methodologies. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 1999 to 2018 were meticulously analyzed using machine learning (ML) techniques, specifically extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and the proportional hazards model (COX). Using these analytic methods, we elucidated a significant correlation between age and MetS incidence and revealed the impact of age-specific dietary patterns on MetS. The study delineated how the consumption of certain dietary components, namely retinol, beta-cryptoxanthin, vitamin C, theobromine, caffeine, lycopene, and alcohol, variably affects MetS across different age demographics. Furthermore, it was revealed that identical nutritional intakes pose diverse pathogenic risks for MetS across varying age brackets, with substances such as cholesterol, caffeine, and theobromine exhibiting differential risks contingent on age. Importantly, this investigation succeeded in developing a predictive model of high accuracy, distinguishing individuals with MetS from healthy controls, thereby highlighting the potential for precision in dietary interventions and MetS management strategies tailored to specific age groups. These findings underscore the importance of age-specific nutritional guidance and lay the foundation for future research in this area.

Machine-learning-based models to predict cardiovascular risk using oculomics and clinic variables in KNHANES

BACKGROUND

Recent researches have found a strong correlation between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index or the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. However, there is a lack of research on non-invasive and rapid prediction of cardiovascular risk. We aimed to develop and validate a machine-learning model for predicting cardiovascular risk based on variables encompassing clinical questionnaires and oculomics.

METHODS

We collected data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). The training dataset (80% from the year 2008 to 2011 KNHANES) was used for machine learning model development, with internal validation using the remaining 20%. An external validation dataset from the year 2012 assessed the model's predictive capacity for TyG-index or AIP in new cases. We included 32122 participants in the final dataset. Machine learning models used 25 algorithms were trained on oculomics measurements and clinical questionnaires to predict the range of TyG-index and AIP. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score were used to evaluate the performance of our machine learning models.

RESULTS

Based on large-scale cohort studies, we determined TyG-index cut-off points at 8.0, 8.75 (upper one-third values), 8.93 (upper one-fourth values), and AIP cut-offs at 0.318, 0.34. Values surpassing these thresholds indicated elevated cardiovascular risk. The best-performing algorithm revealed TyG-index cut-offs at 8.0, 8.75, and 8.93 with internal validation AUCs of 0.812, 0.873, and 0.911, respectively. External validation AUCs were 0.809, 0.863, and 0.901. For AIP at 0.34, internal and external validation achieved similar AUCs of 0.849 and 0.842. Slightly lower performance was seen for the 0.318 cut-off, with AUCs of 0.844 and 0.836. Significant gender-based variations were noted for TyG-index at 8 (male AUC=0.832, female AUC=0.790) and 8.75 (male AUC=0.874, female AUC=0.862) and AIP at 0.318 (male AUC=0.853, female AUC=0.825) and 0.34 (male AUC=0.858, female AUC=0.831). Gender similarity in AUC (male AUC=0.907 versus female AUC=0.906) was observed only when the TyG-index cut-off point equals 8.93.

CONCLUSION

We have established a simple and effective non-invasive machine learning model that has good clinical value for predicting cardiovascular risk in the general population.

Prediction of gastrointestinal cancers in the ONCONUT cohort study: comparison between logistic regression and artificial neural network

Background

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) and logistic regression (LR) are the models of chosen in many medical data classification tasks. Several published articles were based on summarizing the differences and similarities of these models from a technical point of view and critically assessing the quality of the models. The aim of this study was to compare ANN and LR the statistical techniques to predict gastrointestinal cancer in an elderly cohort in Southern Italy (ONCONUT study).

Method

In 1992, ONCONUT was started with the aim of evaluating the relationship between diet and cancer development in a Southern Italian elderly population. Patients with gastrointestinal cancer (ICD-10 from 150.0 to 159.9) were included in the study (n = 3,545).

Results

This cohort was used to train and test the ANN and LR. LR was evaluated separately for macro- and micronutrients, and the accuracy was evaluated based on true positives and true negatives versus the total (97.15%). Then, ANN was trained and the accuracy was evaluated (96.61% for macronutrients and 97.06% for micronutrients). To further investigate the classification capabilities of ANN, k-fold cross-validation and genetic algorithm (GA) were used after balancing the dataset among classes.

Conclusions

Both LR and ANN had high accuracy and similar performance. Both models had the potential to be used as decision clinical support integrated into clinical practice, because in many circumstances, the use of a simple LR model was likely to be adequate for real-world needs, but in others in which there were large amounts of data, the application of advanced analytic tools such as ANNs could be indicated, and the GA optimizer needed to optimize the accuracy of ANN.

Predictive modeling the probability of suffering from metabolic syndrome using machine learning: A population-based study

Background

There is an increasing trend of Metabolic syndrome (MetS) prevalence, which has been considered as an important contributor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancers and diabetes. However, there is often a long asymptomatic phase of MetS, resulting in not diagnosed and intervened so timely as needed. It would be very helpful to explore tools to predict the probability of suffering from MetS in daily life or routinely clinical practice.

Objective

To develop models that predict individuals' probability of suffering from MetS timely with high efficacy in general population.

Methods

The present study enrolled 8964 individuals aged 40-75 years without severe diseases, which was a part of the REACTION study from October 2011 to February 2012. We developed three prediction models for different scenarios in hospital (Model 1, 2) or at home (Model 3) based on LightGBM (LGBM) technique and corresponding logistic regression (LR) models were also constructed for comparison. Model 1 included variables of laboratory tests, lifestyles and anthropometric measurements while model 2 was built with components of MetS excluded based on model 1, and model 3 was constructed with blood biochemical indexes removed based on model 2. Additionally, we also investigated the strength of association between the predictive factors and MetS, as well as that between the predictors and each component of MetS.

Results

In this study, 2714 (30.3%) participants suffer from MetS accordingly. The performances of the LGBM models in predicting the probability of suffering from MetS produced good results and were presented as follows: model 1 had an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.993 while model 2 indicated an AUC value of 0.885. Model 3 had an AUC value of 0.859, which is close to that of model 2. The AUC values of LR model 1 and 2 for the scenario in hospital and model 3 at home were 0.938, 0.839 and 0.820 respectively, which seemed lower than that of their corresponding machine learning models, respectively. In both LGBM and logistic models, gender, height and resting pulse rate (RPR) were predictors for MetS. Women had higher risk of MetS than men (OR 8.84, CI: 6.70-11.66), and each 1-cm increase in height indicated 3.8% higher risk of suffering from MetS in people over 58 years, whereas each 1- Beat Per Minute (bpm) increase in RPR showed 1.0% higher risk in individuals younger than 62 years.

Conclusion

The present study showed that the prediction models developed by machine learning demonstrated effective in evaluating the probability of suffering from MetS, and presented prominent predicting efficacies and accuracies. Additionally, we found that women showed a higher risk of MetS than men, and height in individuals over 58 years was important factor in predicting the probability of suffering from MetS while RPR was of vital importance in people aged 40-62 years.

Machine learning-aided risk prediction for metabolic syndrome based on 3 years study

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a group of physiological states of metabolic disorders, which may increase the risk of diabetes, cardiovascular and other diseases. Therefore, it is of great significance to predict the onset of MetS and the corresponding risk factors. In this study, we investigate the risk prediction for MetS using a data set of 67,730 samples with physical examination records of three consecutive years provided by the Department of Health Management, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, P.R. China. Specifically, the prediction for MetS takes the numerical features of examination records as well as the differential features by using the examination records over the past two consecutive years, namely, the differential numerical feature (DNF) and the differential state feature (DSF), and the risk factors of the above features w.r.t different ages and genders are statistically analyzed. From numerical results, it is shown that the proposed DSF in addition to the numerical feature of examination records, significantly contributes to the risk prediction of MetS. Additionally, the proposed scheme, by using the proposed features, yields a superior performance to the state-of-the-art MetS prediction model, which provides the potential of effective prescreening the occurrence of MetS.

Application of Machine Learning for the Prediction of Etiological Types of Classic Fever of Unknown Origin

Background: The etiology of fever of unknown origin (FUO) is complex and remains a major challenge for clinicians. This study aims to investigate the distribution of the etiology of classic FUO and the differences in clinical indicators in patients with different etiologies of classic FUO and to establish a machine learning (ML) model based on clinical data. Methods: The clinical data and final diagnosis results of 527 patients with classic FUO admitted to 7 medical institutions in Chongqing from January 2012 to August 2021 and who met the classic FUO diagnostic criteria were collected. Three hundred seventy-three patients with final diagnosis were divided into 4 groups according to 4 different etiological types of classical FUO, and statistical analysis was carried out to screen out the indicators with statistical differences under different etiological types. On the basis of these indicators, five kinds of ML models, i.e., random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), artificial neural network (ANN), and naive Bayes (NB) models, were used to evaluate all datasets using 5-fold cross-validation, and the performance of the models were evaluated using micro-F1 scores. Results: The 373 patients were divided into the infectious disease group (n = 277), non-infectious inflammatory disease group (n = 51), neoplastic disease group (n = 31), and other diseases group (n = 14) according to 4 different etiological types. Another 154 patients were classified as undetermined group because the cause of fever was still unclear at discharge. There were significant differences in gender, age, and 18 other indicators among the four groups of patients with classic FUO with different etiological types (P < 0.05). The micro-F1 score for LightGBM was 75.8%, which was higher than that for the other four ML models, and the LightGBM prediction model had the best performance. Conclusions: Infectious diseases are still the main etiological type of classic FUO. Based on 18 statistically significant clinical indicators such as gender and age, we constructed and evaluated five ML models. LightGBM model has a good effect on predicting the etiological type of classic FUO, which will play a good auxiliary decision-making function.

Association between Cardiometabolic risk factor and responsiveness to vitamin D supplementation: a new approach using artificial neural network analysis

BACKGROUND

There are increasing data highlighting the effectiveness of vitamin D supplementation in the treatment of vitamin D deficiency. But individuals vary in their responsiveness to vitamin D supplementation. In this study, the association between several cardiometabolic risk factors and the magnitude of response to vitamin D supplementation (change in vitamin D level) was investigated using a novel artificial neural networks (ANNs) approach.

METHODS

Six hundred eight participants aged between 12 to 19 years old were recruited to this prospective interventional study. Nine vitamin D capsules containing 50,000 IU vitamin D/weekly were given to all participants over the 9 week period. The change in serum 25(OH) D level was calculated as the difference between post-supplementation and basal levels. Suitable ANNs model were selected between different algorithms in the hidden and output layers and different numbers of neurons in the hidden layer. The major determinants for predicting the response to vitamin D supplementation were identified.

RESULTS

The sigmoid in both the hidden and output layers with 4 hidden neurons had acceptable sensitivity, specificity and accuracy, assessed as the area under the ROC curve, was determined in our study. Baseline serum vitamin D (30.4%), waist to hip ratio (10.5%), BMI (10.5%), systolic blood pressure (8%), heart rate (6.4%), and waist circumference (6.1%) were the most important factors in predicting the response to serum vitamin D levels.

CONCLUSION

We provide the first attempt to relate anthropometric specific recommendations to attain serum vitamin D targets. With the exception of cardiometabolic risk factors, the relative importance of other factors and the mechanisms by which these factors may affect the response requires further analysis in future studies (Trial registration: IRCT201509047117N7; 2015-11-25; Retrospectively registered).

Prediction of metabolic syndrome based on sleep and work-related risk factors using an artificial neural network

BACKGROUND

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a major public health concern due to its high prevalence and association with heart disease and diabetes. Artificial neural networks (ANN) are emerging as a reliable means of modelling relationships towards understanding complex illness situations such as MetS. Using ANN, this research sought to clarify predictors of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a working age population.

METHODS

Four hundred sixty-eight employees of an oil refinery in Iran consented to providing anthropometric and biochemical measurements, and survey data pertaining to lifestyle, work-related stressors and sleep variables. National Cholesterol Education Programme Adult Treatment Panel ІІI criteria was used for determining MetS status. The Management Standards Indicator Tool and STOP-BANG questionnaire were used to measure work-related stress and obstructive sleep apnoea respectively. With 17 input variables, multilayer perceptron was used to develop ANNs in 16 rounds of learning. ANNs were compared to logistic regression models using the mean squared error criterion for validation.

RESULTS

Sex, age, exercise habit, smoking, high risk of obstructive sleep apnoea, and work-related stressors, particularly Role, all significantly affected the odds of MetS, but shiftworking did not. Prediction accuracy for an ANN using two hidden layers and all available input variables was 89%, compared to 72% for the logistic regression model. Sensitivity was 82.5% for ANN compared to 67.5% for the logistic regression, while specificities were 92.2 and 74% respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses indicate that ANN models which include psychosocial stressors and sleep variables as well as biomedical and clinical variables perform well in predicting MetS. The findings can be helpful in designing preventative strategies to reduce the cost of healthcare associated with MetS in the workplace.

Gender medicine: Lessons from COVID-19 and other medical conditions for designing health policy

Gender-specific differences in the prevalence, incidence, comorbidities, prognosis, severity, risk factors, drug-related aspects and outcomes of various medical conditions are well documented. We present a literature review on the extent to which research in this field has developed over the years, and reveal gaps in gender-sensitive awareness between the clinical portrayal and the translation into gender-specific treatment regimens, guidelines and into gender-oriented preventive strategies and health policies. Subsequently, through the lens of gender, we describe these domains in detail for four selected medical conditions: Asthma, obesity and overweight, chronic kidney disease and coronavirus disease 2019. As some of the key gender differences become more apparent during adolescence, we focus on this developmental stage. Finally, we propose a model which is based on three influential issues: (1) Investigating gender-specific medical profiles of related health conditions, rather than a single disease; (2) The dynamics of gender disparities across developmental stages; and (3) An integrative approach which takes into account additional risk factors (ethnicity, socio-demographic variables, minorities, lifestyle habits etc.). Increasing the awareness of gender-specific medicine in daily practice and in tailored guidelines, already among adolescents, may reduce inequities, facilitate the prediction of future trends and properly address the characteristics and needs of certain subpopulations within each gender.

Methods for algorithmic diagnosis of metabolic syndrome

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) is associated with the risk of developing chronic disease (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, cancers and chronic kidney disease) and has an important role in early prevention. Previous research showed that an artificial neural network (ANN) is a suitable tool for algorithmic MetS diagnostics, that includes solely non-invasive, low-cost and easily-obtainabled (NI&LC&EO) diagnostic methods. This paper considers using four well-known machine learning methods (linear regression, artificial neural network, decision tree and random forest) for MetS predictions and provides their comparison, in order to induce and facilitate development of appropriate medical software by using these methods. Training, validation and testing are conducted on the large dataset that includes 3000 persons. Input vectors are very simple and contain the following parameters: gender, age, body mass index, waist-to-height ratio, systolic and diastolic blood pressures, while the output is MetS diagnosis in true/false form, made in accordance with International Diabetes Federation (IDF). Comparison leads to the conclusion that random forest achieves the highest specificity (SPC=0.9436), sensitivity (SNS=0.9154), positive (PPV=0.9379) and negative (NPV=0.9150) predictive values. Algorithmic diagnosis of MetS could be beneficial in everyday clinical practice since it can easily identify high risk patients.

Novel Data Mining Methodology for Healthcare Applied to a New Model to Diagnose Metabolic Syndrome without a Blood Test

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) is a cluster of risk factors that increase the likelihood of heart disease and diabetes mellitus. It is crucial to get diagnosed with time to take preventive measures, especially for patients in locations without proper access to laboratories and medical consultations. This work presented a new methodology to diagnose diseases using data mining that documents all the phases thoroughly for further improvement of the resulting models. We used the methodology to create a new model to diagnose the syndrome without using biochemical variables. We compared similar classification models, using their reported variables and previously obtained data from a study in Colombia. We built a new model and compared it to previous models using the holdout, and random subsampling validation methods to get performance evaluation indicators between the models. Our resulting ANN model used three hidden layers and only Hip Circumference, dichotomous Waist Circumference, and dichotomous blood pressure variables. It gave an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 87.75% by the IDF and 85.12% by HMS MetS diagnosis criteria, higher than previous models. Thanks to our new methodology, diagnosis models can be thoroughly documented for appropriate future comparisons, thus benefiting the diagnosis of the studied diseases.

Determinants of metabolic syndrome in obese workers: gender differences in perceived job-related stress and in psychological characteristics identified using artificial neural networks

OBJECTIVE

The metabolic syndrome (MS) is a multifactorial disorder associated with a higher risk of developing cardiovascular diseases and type 2 diabetes. However, its pathophysiology and risk factors are still poorly understood. In this study, we investigated the associations among gender, psychosocial variables, job-related stress and the presence of MS in a cohort of obese Caucasian workers.

METHODS

A total of 210 outpatients (142 women, 68 men) from an occupational medicine service was enrolled in the study. Age, BMI, waist circumference, fasting glucose, blood pressure, triglycerides and HDL cholesterol were collected to define MS. In addition, we evaluated eating behaviors, depressive symptoms, and work-related stress. Data analyses were performed with an artificial neural network algorithm called Auto Semantic Connectivity Map (AutoCM), using all available variables.

RESULTS

MS was diagnosed in 54.4 and 33.1% of the men and women, respectively. AutoCM evidenced gender-specific clusters associated with the presence or absence of MS. Men with a moderate occupational physical activity, obesity, older age and higher levels of decision-making freedom at work were more likely to have a diagnosis of MS than women. Women with lower levels of decision-making freedom, and higher levels of psychological demands and social support at work had a lower incidence of MS but showed higher levels of binge eating and depressive symptomatology.

CONCLUSION

We found a complex gender-related association between MS, psychosocial risk factors and occupational determinants. The use of these information in surveillance workplace programs might prevent the onset of MS and decrease the chance of negative long-term outcomes.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level V, observational study.

Fuzzy logic based risk assessment system giving individualized advice for metabolic syndrome and fatal cardiovascular diseases

In 2005, global cardiovascular diseases caused 30% of deaths in Europe, which is 46% of total deaths for all death groups. Today, according to the International Adult Diabetes Federation, 20% to 25% of the adult population in the world has Metabolic Syndrome. Turkish Statistical Institute claims that in Turkey 408782 people died of circulatory system diseases in 2016 and it is expected that numbers will dramatically increase. In 2003, total worldwide healthcare budget of Diabetes Mellitus was up to 64.9 billion International Dollars with the continuing rise in prevalence, it is expected that total costs will increase to 396 billion International Dollars by 2025. The main purpose of this study was to present a clinical decision support system that calculates Metabolic Syndrome existence and evaluate HeartScore risk level for Turkish population. The second objective was to create a detailed personal report about individual's risk level of Metabolic Syndrome and HeartScore and give advice to him/her to reduce it. The fuzzy logic risk assessment system (FLRAS) was formed in LabVIEW graphical development platform according to International Diabetes Federation and European Heart Journal's criteria. Mamdani type fuzzy logic sets were identified for each input variable and membership functions were assigned depending on the magnitude of the input limits. System's performance was tested on 96 (72 females, 24 males) patient data. Results show that the proposed system was able to evaluate the Metabolic Syndrome risk with 0.9285 specificity, 0.92708 accuracy and 0.925 sensitivity.

Comparison of Models for Predicting Quality of Life After Surgical Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

The essential issue of internal validity has not been adequately addressed in prediction models such as artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and multiple linear regression (MLR) models.

METHODS

This prospective study compared the accuracy of these four models in predicting quality of life (QOL) after hepatic resection received by 332 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during 2012-2015. An estimation subset was used to train the models, and a validation subset was used to evaluate their performance. Sensitivity score approach was also used to assess the relative significance of input parameters in the system models.

RESULTS

The ANN model had significantly higher performance indicators compared to the SVM, GPR, and MLR models (P < 0.05). Additionally, the ANN prediction of QOL at 6 months after hepatic resection significantly correlated with age, gender, marital status, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, hospital volume, surgeon volume, and preoperational functional status (P < 0.05). Preoperational functional status was the most influential (sensitive) variable affecting sixth-month QOL followed by surgeon volume, hospital volume, age, and CCI score.

CONCLUSIONS

The comparisons showed that, in preoperative and postoperative healthcare consultations with HCC surgery candidates, QOL at 6 months post-surgery should be estimated with an ANN model rather than with SVM, GPR, or MLR models. The best QOL predictors identified in this study can also be used to educate candidates for HCC surgery in the expected course of recovery and other surgical outcomes.

The Leukemic Stem Cell Niche: Adaptation to "Hypoxia" versus Oncogene Addiction

Previous studies based on low oxygen concentrations in the incubation atmosphere revealed that metabolic factors govern the maintenance of normal hematopoietic or leukemic stem cells (HSC and LSC). The physiological oxygen concentration in tissues ranges between 0.1 and 5.0%. Stem cell niches (SCN) are placed in tissue areas at the lower end of this range (“hypoxic” SCN), to which stem cells are metabolically adapted and where they are selectively hosted. The data reported here indicated that driver oncogenic proteins of several leukemias are suppressed following cell incubation at oxygen concentration compatible with SCN physiology. This suppression is likely to represent a key positive regulator of LSC survival and maintenance (self-renewal) within the SCN. On the other hand, LSC committed to differentiation, unable to stand suppression because of addiction to oncogenic signalling, would be unfit to home in SCN. The loss of oncogene addiction in SCN-adapted LSC has a consequence of crucial practical relevance: the refractoriness to inhibitors of the biological activity of oncogenic protein due to the lack of their molecular target. Thus, LSC hosted in SCN are suited to sustain the long-term maintenance of therapy-resistant minimal residual disease.

Novel Screening Tool for Stroke Using Artificial Neural Network

Background and Purpose—

The timely diagnosis of stroke at the initial examination is extremely important given the disease morbidity and narrow time window for intervention. The goal of this study was to develop a supervised learning method to recognize acute cerebral ischemia (ACI) and differentiate that from stroke mimics in an emergency setting.

Methods—

Consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with stroke-like symptoms, within 4.5 hours of symptoms onset, in 2 tertiary care stroke centers were randomized for inclusion in the model. We developed an artificial neural network (ANN) model. The learning algorithm was based on backpropagation. To validate the model, we used a 10-fold cross-validation method.

Results—

A total of 260 patients (equal number of stroke mimics and ACIs) were enrolled for the development and validation of our ANN model. Our analysis indicated that the average sensitivity and specificity of ANN for the diagnosis of ACI based on the 10-fold cross-validation analysis was 80.0% (95% confidence interval, 71.8–86.3) and 86.2% (95% confidence interval, 78.7–91.4), respectively. The median precision of ANN for the diagnosis of ACI was 92% (95% confidence interval, 88.7–95.3).

Conclusions—

Our results show that ANN can be an effective tool for the recognition of ACI and differentiation of ACI from stroke mimics at the initial examination.