Risk factors for septic shock in acute obstructive pyelonephritis requiring emergency drainage of the upper urinary tract

Predicting Urosepsis in Ureteral Calculi: External Validation of Hu's Nomogram and Identification of Novel Risk Factors

Background/Objectives: Acute obstructive pyelonephritis caused by ureteral calculi is a severe urological emergency that can rapidly progress to life-threatening complications, including urosepsis. Early risk stratification is critical for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes. Although Hu's nomogram has been proposed as a predictive tool for urosepsis, its external validation remains limited. This study aims to validate Hu's nomogram in an independent cohort and identify novel clinical and imaging predictors of urosepsis. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 341 patients diagnosed with ureteral calculi who underwent surgical intervention at a single institution between January 2019 and October 2023. Clinical, laboratory, and imaging data were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of urosepsis. The predictive accuracy of Hu's nomogram was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Results: Among 341 patients, 66 (19.4%) developed urosepsis. Multivariate analysis identified female gender, corticosteroid use, lower platelet count, elevated C-reactive protein levels, positive urine white blood cell count, lower computed tomography attenuation values of calculi, and higher computed tomography attenuation values of hydronephrosis as independent predictors of urosepsis. Hu's nomogram demonstrated a strong predictive performance (area under the curve: 0.761; 95% CI: 0.701-0.821), reaffirming its clinical utility for risk stratification. Conclusions: This study provides an external validation of Hu's nomogram and identifies novel risk factors for urosepsis prediction, including corticosteroid use and imaging-based parameters. Incorporating these findings into clinical practice may enhance early risk stratification, facilitate timely interventions, and ultimately improve patient outcomes.

Predicting septic shock in obstructive pyelonephritis associated with ureteral stones: A retrospective study

To identify the best combination of potential predictors of septic shock in patients with obstructive acute pyelonephritis associated with ureteral stones (OAPN-US) according to Sepsis-3 criteria. Patients who underwent percutaneous nephrostomy (PCN) with OAPN-US were retrospectively evaluated. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) was applied to patients with and without septic shock to identify factors associated with the prediction of progression to septic shock. We compared combinations of the selected features based on area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) to determine which combination was most effective. This study included 81 patients who were treated with PCN due to OAPN-US. A comparison was made between 37 patients with septic shock (SS) and 44 patients without septic shock (NSS). SS group had a higher age, poorer Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status, and significantly higher levels of positivity in urine cultures and blood cultures. There were also differences in laboratory tests between the 2 groups. Procalcitonin (PCT), international normalized ratio (INR), and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) were selected based on RFE. We compared the predictive power for SS when each marker was used alone, when 2 markers were combined, and when all 3 markers were combined. Among these combinations, using all 3 variables together yielded the highest AUROC of 0.942. Of the 3 variables, PCT had the highest Gini importance score, indicating that it was the most influential factor. Clinical characteristics were different between the SS and the NSS groups. In patients with OAPN-US, the combination of PCT, ALC, and INR was an excellent predictor of septic shock.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Point-of-Care Gram Stains in Obstructive Pyelonephritis due to Ureteral Stones

Background

The diagnostic utility of point-of-care (POC) Gram stains for obstructive pyelonephritis with hydronephrosis is not well established. The current study aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of urine Gram stains in patients with obstructive pyelonephritis due to ureteral stones.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was conducted on patients with obstructive pyelonephritis admitted to our hospital between January 2011 and December 2021. The diagnostic accuracy of Gram stains was evaluated based on the severity of hydronephrosis, including Gram stains performed by both trained physicians and microbiological technicians.

Results

After analyzing 210 patients, POC Gram stains of bladder urine presented a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 86.8%, 81.8%, 93.7%, and 66.7%, respectively, for gram-negative rods and 65.7%, 83.4%, 48.9%, and 91.0%, respectively, for gram-positive cocci. The agreement between POC Gram stains and urine culture was good for gram-negative rods, with a kappa (κ) coefficient of 0.637 and agreement rate of 85.6%, and moderate for gram-positive cocci, with a κ coefficient of 0.435 and agreement rate of 80%. The agreement between POC Gram stains and bladder urine culture results for gram-negative rods was higher in the mild hydronephrosis group (κ coefficient = 0.677) than in the severe hydronephrosis group (κ coefficient = 0.466). Discrepancies in Gram stain results between physicians and technicians were observed in 21 of 180 cases (11.7%).

Conclusions

POC Gram stains for gram-negative rods may be a useful diagnostic tool for obstructive pyelonephritis, particularly in cases of mild hydronephrosis.

Impact of early ureteral drainage on mortality in obstructive pyelonephritis with urolithiasis: an analysis of the Japanese National Database

BACKGROUND

The impact of early drainage on mortality in patients with obstructive pyelonephritis with urolithiasis was evaluated.

METHODS

We identified 34,924 patients in the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database with obstructive pyelonephritis with urolithiasis receiving ureteral drainage. The effects of early drainage (1-2 days) compared to those of delayed drainage (on 3-4 and ≥ 5 hospital days) on mortality were evaluated among 31,696 patients hospitalized for ≥ 5 days. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify independent factors for mortality.

RESULTS

The mortality rates for overall cases and those hospitalized for ≥ 5 days were 2.0% and 1.6%, respectively. Those receiving drainage on 1-2, 3-4, and ≥ 5 days had mortality rates of 1.5%, 2.0%, and 2.5%, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that delayed drainage was an independent factor for higher mortality (odds ratio [OR] on days 3-4 and ≥ 5; 1.44, p = 0.018; and 1.69, p < 0.001). Increasing age (OR for 60 s, 70 s, and ≥ 80 years; 2.02, 3.85, and 7.77), Charlson comorbidity index score (OR, 1.41 by 1-point increase), disseminated intravascular coagulation (OR, 2.40), ambulance use (OR, 1.22), impaired consciousness at admission (disoriented, arousable with stimulation, and unarousable; OR 1.58, 2.84, and 5.50), and nephrostomy (OR, 1.65) were associated with higher mortality. In contrast, female sex (OR, 0.76) and high hospital volume (OR on 9-16, and ≥ 17 cases/year; 0.80, and 0.75) were associated with lower mortality.

CONCLUSION

Ureteral drainage within 2 hospital days was an independent factor for low mortality in obstructive pyelonephritis with urolithiasis. Delayed drainage could increase mortality in a time-dependent manner.

Risk factors for concomitant positive midstream urine culture in patients presenting with symptomatic ureterolithiasis

In patients with symptomatic ureterolithiasis, immediate treatment of concomitant urinary tract infection (UTI) may prevent sepsis. However, urine cultures require at least 24 h to confirm or exclude UTI, and therefore, clinical variables may help to identify patients who require immediate empirical broad-spectrum antibiotics and surgical intervention. Therefore, we divided a consecutive cohort of 705 patients diagnosed with symptomatic ureterolithiasis at a single institution between 2011 and 2017 into a training (80%) and a testing cohort (20%). A machine-learning-based variable selection approach was used for the fitting of a multivariable prognostic logistic regression model. The discriminatory ability of the model was quantified by the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver-operating curves (ROC). After validation and calibration of the model, a nomogram was created, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical net-benefit. UTI was observed in 40 patients (6%). LASSO regression selected the variables elevated serum CRP, positive nitrite, and positive leukocyte esterase for fitting of the model with the highest discriminatory ability. In the testing cohort, model performance evaluation for prediction of UTI showed an AUC of 82 (95% CI 71.5–95.7%). Model calibration plots showed excellent calibration. DCA showed a clinically meaningful net-benefit between a threshold probability of 0 and 80% for the novel model, which was superior to the net-benefit provided by either one of its singular components. In conclusion, we developed and internally validated a logistic regression model and a corresponding highly accurate nomogram for prediction of concomitant positive midstream urine culture in patients presenting with symptomatic ureterolithiasis.

Risk factors for progression of Urolith Associated with Obstructive Urosepsis to severe sepsis or septic shock

INTRODUCTION

To analyze the risk factors for progression of urolith associated with obstructive urosepsis to severe sepsis or septic shock, we had done the retrospective cross-sectional study, which would facilitate the early identification of high-risk patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Datas were retrospectively reviewed from 160 patients, suffering from obstructive urosepsis associated with urolith between December 2013 and December 2019. There were 49 patients complicating by severe sepsis (severe sepsis group), 12 patients complicating by septic shock (septic shock group), and 99 patients without progressing to severe sepsis or septic shock (sepsis group). The data covered age, gender, BMI (body mass index), time interval from ED (emergency department) to admission, WBC count (white blood cell count), NLR (neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio), HGB (hemoglobin), etc. Datas were analyzed by univariate analyses and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The corresponding nomogram prediction model was drawn according to the regression coefficients.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis showed that the differences of age, the time interval from ED to admission, history of diabetes mellitus, history of CKI (chronic kidney disease), NLR, HGB, platelet count, TBil (total bilirubin), SCr (serum creatinine), ALB (albumin), PT (prothrombin time), APTT (activated partial thromboplastin time), INR (international normalized ratio), PCT (procalcitonin), and positive rate of pathogens in blood culture were statistically significant (P < 0.05). Multivariatelogistic regression analysis showed that age, SCr, and history of CKI were independent risk factors for progression to severe sepsis, or septic shock (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Aged ≥ 65 years, SCr ≥ 248 mol/L, and history of CKI were independent risk factors for progression of urolith associated with obstructive urosepsis to severe sepsis or septic shock. We need to pay more attention to these aspects, when coming across the patients with urolithic sepsis.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Significance of the Prothrombin Time/International Normalized Ratio in Sepsis and Septic Shock

OBJECTIVE

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic significance of the prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (PT/INR) in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

BACKGROUND

Sepsis may be complicated by disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). While the status of coagulopathy of septic patients is represented within the sepsis-3 definition by assessing the platelet count, less data regarding the prognostic impact of the PT/INR in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock is available.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (ie, day 0), as well as on day 1, 2, 4, 6 and 9 thereafter. Firstly, the diagnostic value of the PT/INR in comparison to the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis without shock. Secondly, the prognostic value of the PT/INR for 30-day all-cause mortality was tested. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional regression analyses.

RESULTS

338 patients were included (56% sepsis without shock, 44% septic shock). The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 52%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.682 (p= .001) on day 0, the PT/INR revealed moderate discrimination of septic shock and sepsis without shock. Furthermore, PT/ INR was able to discriminate non-survivors and survivors at 30 days (AUC = 0.612; p = .001). Patients with a PT/INR >1.5 had higher rates of 30-day all-cause mortality than patients with lower values (mortality rate 73% vs 48%; log rank p = .001; HR = 2.129; 95% CI 1.494-3.033; p = .001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.793; 95% CI 1.343-2.392; p = .001). Increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was observed irrespective of concomitant thrombocytopenia.

CONCLUSION

The PT/INR revealed moderate diagnostic accuracy for septic shock but was associated with reliable prognostic accuracy with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock.

Patients' poor performance status is an independent risk factor for urosepsis induced by kidney and ureteral stones

This study was aimed to identify the risk factors for urosepsis caused by kidney and ureteral stones. One hundred and nine patients who had kidney or ureteral stones and who were treated with trans-ureteral lithotripsy (TUL) at our institution from 2016 to 2020 were included. We investigated the risk factors for urosepsis caused by kidney or ureteral stones that occurred prior to TUL. Thirty patients (28%) had urosepsis prior to TUL. Patients were divided into a urosepsis group (n = 30, 28%) and a non-urosepsis group (n = 79, 72%). Patients' characteristics (gender, age, performance status [PS] score, presence of diabetes mellitus, and skeletal muscle mass), as well as their stone and urine characteristics (stone size, presence of obstructive ureteral stones, stone composition, and urine and stone cultures), were compared between the two groups. When compared to the non-urosepsis group, patients with urosepsis were more likely to be older (p < 0.001), female (p < 0.001), with lower skeletal muscle mass (p < 0.001) and with poor PSs (p < 0.001). For stone and urine characteristics, infection stones (p = 0.01), positive urine (p < 0.001) and stone culture (p = 0.007) were more often detected in patients with urosepsis. A multivariate analysis showed patients' poor PS to be an independent risk factor for urosepsis due to kidney and ureteral stones (OR = 15.7; 95% CI = 2.2-115, p = 0.007). Our study revealed that the most significant risk factor for urosepsis caused by kidney and ureteral stones was the patients' poor PS.

Glycated Hemoglobin < 6.5% Is Associated With Uroseptic Shock in Diabetic Patients With Urinary Tract Infection

This study aimed to compare the clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of diabetic and non-diabetic individuals with urinary tract infection (UTI) and determine whether glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels <6. 5% leads to uroseptic shock in diabetic individuals. We retrospectively collected and analyzed the clinical data of 1,363 individuals with UTIs in Taiwan from January 2006 to January 2018. Of the 345 diabetic individuals, 61 (17.7%) developed uroseptic shock. Diabetic patients who developed uroseptic shock tended to be older and males and, had a history of congestive heart failure, urolithiasis, higher serum creatinine level during hospitalization, lower serum HbA1c level, bacteremia, and acute kidney injury. Backward stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that male gender [odds ratio (OR), 1.861; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.009–3.433; P = 0.047], congestive heart failure (OR, 4.036; 95% CI, 1.542–10.565; P = 0.004), bacteremia (OR, 2.875; 95% CI, 1.539–5.370; P = 0.001), and HbA1c level <6.5% (OR, 2.923; 95% CI, 1.580–5.406; P = 0.001) were associated with an increased risk of developing uroseptic shock among diabetic patients during hospitalization due to UTI. HbA1c level <6.5% is independently associated with uroseptic shock in diabetic patients with UTI.

Differences between Risk Factors for Sepsis and Septic Shock in Obstructive Urolithiasis

BACKGROUND

Complicated acute pyelonephritis (APN) is a life-threatening condition that requires immediate intervention. This study examined the characteristics of APN occurring as a complication of ureteral stone.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 85 patients diagnosed with APN complicated by ureteral stone between December 2006 and July 2017 at our institution. Patients with concomitant renal stone, multiple ureteral stones, ureteral strictures, ureteral cancer, and urogenital anomalies, including vesicoureteral reflux were excluded. Clinical characteristics including age, sex, underlying disease, medical history, stone characteristics, initial laboratory data, and the procedure used to correct urinary obstruction were summarized, and the risk factors associated with sepsis and septic shock were analyzed.

RESULTS

Sepsis was diagnosed at initial presentation in 62 patients, 17 of whom suffered from septic shock. Disease-related death did not occur in any patient. Previous history of stone (P = 0.015), leukocytosis (P < 0.001), elevated C-reactive protein levels (P = 0.006), and low albumin (P = 0.038) were significant risk factors for progression to sepsis. The absence of hypertension (P = 0.047), thrombocytopenia (P = 0.006), decreased erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) (P = 0.003), elevated blood urea nitrogen (P = 0.016), and positive blood culture (P = 0.018) were significant predictors for progression to septic shock. Multivariate analysis revealed that previous history of stone (P = 0.015) was an independent risk factor for sepsis, while the absence of hypertension (P = 0.047), thrombocytopenia (P = 0.013), and decreased ESR (P = 0.009) were risk factors for shock.

CONCLUSION

The risk factors associated with the progression from APN to sepsis differed from those associated with the progression from sepsis to septic shock. Various factors should be considered while selecting treatment options based on the severity of APN associated with ureteral stone. It should be managed with aggressive treatment and close observation, especially in the presence of risk factors.

[Recommendations of the Urolithiasis Committee of the French Urology Association for the management and the treatment of the stone formers patients during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis]

Confrontés à une crise d’une ampleur exceptionnelle liée à la pandémie à coronavirus COVID-19 responsable d’une saturation selon les régions des urgences et des places en réanimation, le Comité Lithiase de l’Association Française d’Urologie (CLAFU) a élaboré pour la première fois les recommandations de prise en charge des calculs urinaires durant cette crise sanitaire.

Factors associated with severe sepsis or septic shock in complicated pyelonephritis

Severe sepsis or septic shock are the main factors influencing the prognosis of acute pyelonephritis (APN). Our aim was to analyze factors associated with the development of severe sepsis or septic shock in a large sample of patients with acute complicated pyelonephritis (ACPN).This prospective observational study comprised 1507 consecutive patients aged 14 years or older who were admitted to a tertiary care hospital because of ACPN between 1997 and 2015. Covariates associated in univariate analysis with severe sepsis or septic shock were then analyzed by multivariate logistic regression.Of the 1507 patients, 423 (28.1%) fulfilled the criteria for severe sepsis or septic shock at the time of admission. Crude and attributable mortality at 30 days were 17.7% and 11.7% in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock versus 1.7% and 0.6% in patients without severe sepsis or septic shock, P < .0001 and P < .0005, respectively. An age > 65 years, urinary instrumentation in the previous 2 weeks, the lack of mictional syndrome or costovertebral tenderness, an ectasia ≥ grade II, and bacteremia were independent risk factors associated with severe sepsis or septic shock.The prevalence of severe sepsis and septic shock in patients with ACPN is high. Some factors associated with severe sepsis are easy to identify in any emergency department. The information provided here could be useful when deciding which patients should be admitted to receive immediate treatment.