Prediction of the Ki-67 expression level and prognosis of gastrointestinal stromal tumors based on CT radiomics nomogram

Radiomics model based on dual-energy CT venous phase parameters to predict Ki-67 levels in gastrointestinal stromal tumors

Objective

To develop and validate a radiomics model based on the features of the Dual-Energy CT (DECT) venous phase iodine density maps and effective atomic number maps to predict Ki-67 expression levels in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs).

Methods

A total of 91 patients with GIST were retrospectively analyzed, including 69 patients with low Ki-67 expression (≤5%) and 22 patients with high Ki-67 expression (>5%). Four clinical features (gender, age, maximum tumor diameter, and tumor location) were extracted to construct a clinical model. The venous phase enhanced CT iodine density maps and effective atomic number maps of DSCT were used to build radiomics models. Logistic regression was used to combine radiomics features with clinical features to build a combined model. Finally, the optimal model's discrimination, calibration, and clinical decision curve were validated using the Bootstrap method.

Results

The combined model was identified as the best model, with high predictive performance. The model's discrimination had an AUC of 0.982 (95% CI, 0.9603-1). The calibration test showed a Hosmer-Lemeshow test P-value of 0.99. The clinical decision curve demonstrated a probability threshold range of 15% to 98%, with a high net benefit.

Conclusion

The nomogram model combining clinical features and radiomics (iodine density map radscore + effective atomic number map radscore) has the highest accuracy for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression in GISTs.

CT assessed morphological features can predict higher mitotic index in gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the correlation of the mitotic index (MI) of 1-5 cm gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors (gGISTs) with CT-identified morphological and first-order radiomics features, incorporating subgroup analysis based on tumor size.

METHODS

We enrolled 344 patients across four institutions, each pathologically diagnosed with 1-5 cm gGISTs and undergoing preoperative contrast-enhanced CT scans. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the independent CT morphological high-risk features of MI. Lesions were categorized into four subgroups based on their pathological LD: 1-2 cm (n = 69), 2-3 cm (n = 96), 3-4 cm (n = 107), and 4-5 cm (n = 72). CT morphological high-risk features of MI were evaluated in each subgroup. In addition, first-order radiomics features were extracted on CT images of the venous phase, and the association between these features and MI was investigated.

RESULTS

Tumor size (p = 0.04, odds ratio, 1.41; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.96) and invasive margin (p < 0.01, odds ratio, 4.55; 95% confidence interval: 1.77-11.73) emerged as independent high-risk features for MI > 5 of 1-5 cm gGISTs from multivariate analysis. In the subgroup analysis, the invasive margin was correlated with MI > 5 in 3-4 cm and 4-5 cm gGISTs (p = 0.02, p = 0.03), and potentially correlated with MI > 5 in 2-3 cm gGISTs (p = 0.07). The energy was the sole first-order radiomics feature significantly correlated with gGISTs of MI > 5, displaying a strong correlation with CT-detected tumor size (Pearson's ρ = 0.85, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The invasive margin stands out as the sole independent CT morphological high-risk feature for 1-5 cm gGISTs after tumor size-based subgroup analysis, overshadowing intratumoral morphological characteristics and first-order radiomics features.

KEY POINTS

Question How can accurate preoperative risk stratification of gGISTs be achieved to support treatment decision-making? Findings Invasive margins may serve as a reliable marker for risk prediction in gGISTs up to 5 cm, rather than surface ulceration, irregular shape, necrosis, or heterogeneous enhancement. Clinical relevance For gGISTs measuring up to 5 cm, preoperative prediction of the metastatic risk could help select patients who could be treated by endoscopic resection, thereby avoiding overtreatment.

Performance of radiomics in preoperative determination of malignant potential and Ki-67 expression levels in gastrointestinal stromal tumors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Empirical evidence for radiomics predicting the malignant potential and Ki-67 expression in gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) is lacking. The aim of this review article was to explore the preoperative discriminative performance of radiomics in assessing the malignant potential, mitotic index, and Ki-67 expression levels of GISTs. We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library. The search was conducted up to 30 September 2023. Quality assessment was performed using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS). A total of 35 original studies were included in the analysis. Among them, 26 studies focused on determining malignant potential, three studies on mitotic index discrimination, and six studies on Ki-67 discrimination. In the validation set, the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of radiomics in the determination of high malignant potential were 0.74 (95% CI=0.69-0.78), 0.90 (95% CI=0.83-0.94), and 0.81 (95% CI=0.14-0.99), respectively. For moderately to highly malignant potential, the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were 0.86 (95% CI=0.83-0.88), 0.73 (95% CI=0.67-0.78), and 0.88 (95% CI=0.27-0.99), respectively. Regarding the determination of high mitotic index, the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of radiomics were 0.86 (95% CI=0.83-0.88), 0.73 (95% CI=0.67-0.78), and 0.88 (95% CI=0.27-0.99), respectively. When determining high Ki-67 expression, the combined sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were 0.74 (95% CI=0.65-0.81), 0.81 (95% CI=0.74-0.86), and 0.84 (95% CI=0.61-0.95), respectively. Radiomics demonstrates promising discriminative performance in the preoperative assessment of malignant potential, mitotic index, and Ki-67 expression levels in GISTs.

Prediction of high Ki-67 proliferation index of gastrointestinal stromal tumors based on CT at non-contrast-enhanced and different contrast-enhanced phases

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate and analyze radiomics models based on non-contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) and different phases of contrast-enhanced CT in predicting Ki-67 proliferation index (PI) among patients with pathologically confirmed gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs).

METHODS

A total of 383 patients with pathologically proven GIST were divided into a training set (n = 218, vendor 1) and 2 validation sets (n = 96, vendor 2; n = 69, vendors 3-5). Radiomics features extracted from the most recent non-contrast-enhanced and three contrast-enhanced CT scan prior to pathological examination. Random forest models were trained for each phase to predict tumors with high Ki-67 proliferation index (Ki-67>10%) and were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and other metrics on the validation sets.

RESULTS

Out of 107 radiomics features extracted from each phase of CT images, four were selected for analysis. The model trained using the non-contrast-enhanced phase achieved an AUC of 0.792 in the training set and 0.822 and 0.711 in the two validation sets, similar to models trained on different contrast-enhanced phases (p > 0.05). Several relevant features, including NGTDM Busyness and tumor size, remained predictive in non-contrast-enhanced and different contrast-enhanced images.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study indicate that a radiomics model based on non-contrast-enhanced CT matches that of models based on different phases of contrast-enhanced CT in predicting the Ki-67 PI of GIST. GIST may exhibit similar radiological patterns irrespective of the use of contrast agent, and such radiomics features may help quantify these patterns to predict Ki-67 PI of GISTs.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

GIST may exhibit similar radiomics patterns irrespective of contrast agent; thus, radiomics models based on non-contrast-enhanced CT could be an alternative for risk stratification in GIST patients with contraindication to contrast agent.

KEY POINTS

• Performance of radiomics models in predicting Ki-67 proliferation based on different CT phases is evaluated. • Non-contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics models performed similarly to contrast-enhanced CT in risk stratification in GIST patients. • NGTDM Busyness remains stable to contrast agents in GISTs in radiomics models.

Radiomics analysis of contrast-enhanced computerized tomography for differentiation of gastric schwannomas from gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors

PURPOSE

To assess the performance of radiomics-based analysis of contrast-enhanced computerized tomography (CE-CT) images for distinguishing GS from gastric GIST.

METHODS

Forty-nine patients with GS and two hundred fifty-three with GIST were enrolled in this retrospective study. CT features were evaluated by two associate chief radiologists. Radiomics features were extracted from portal venous phase images using Pyradiomics software. A non-radiomics dataset (combination of clinical characteristics and radiologist-determined CT features) and a radiomics dataset were used to build stepwise logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression models, respectively. Model performance was evaluated according to sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and Delong's test was applied to compare the area under the curve (AUC) between different models.

RESULTS

A total of 1223 radiomics features were extracted from portal venous phase images. After reducing dimensions by calculating Pearson correlation coefficients (PCCs), 20 radiomics features, 20 clinical characteristics + CT features were used to build the models, respectively. The AUC values for the models using radiomics features and those using clinical features were more than 0.900 for both the training and validation groups. There were no significant differences in predictive performance between the radiomic and clinical data models according to Delong's test.

CONCLUSION

A radiomics-based model applied to CE-CT images showed comparable predictive performance to senior physicians in the differentiation of GS from GIST.

Radiomics in gastrointestinal stromal tumours: an up-to-date review

Gastrointestinal stromal tumours are rare mesenchymal neoplasms originating from the Cajal cells and represent the most common sarcomas in the gastroenteric tract. Symptoms may be absent or non-specific, ranging from fatigue and weight loss to acute abdomen. Nowadays endoscopy, echoendoscopy, contrast-enhanced computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging and positron emission tomography are the main methods for diagnosis. Because of their rarity, these neoplasms may not be included immediately in the differential diagnosis of a solitary abdominal mass. Radiomics is an emerging technique that can extract medical imaging information, not visible to the human eye, transforming it into quantitative data. The purpose of this review is to demonstrate how radiomics can improve the already known imaging techniques by providing useful tools for the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of these tumours.

Early Prediction and Monitoring of Treatment Response in Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors by Means of Imaging: A Systematic Review

Gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) are rare mesenchymal neoplasms. Tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy is currently part of routine clinical practice for unresectable and metastatic disease. It is important to assess the efficacy of TKI treatment at an early stage to optimize therapy strategies and eliminate futile ineffective treatment, side effects and unnecessary costs. This systematic review provides an overview of the imaging features obtained from contrast-enhanced (CE)-CT and 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose ([18F]FDG) PET/CT to predict and monitor TKI treatment response in GIST patients. PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library and Embase were systematically screened. Articles were considered eligible if quantitative outcome measures (area under the curve (AUC), correlations, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy) were used to evaluate the efficacy of imaging features for predicting and monitoring treatment response to various TKI treatments. The methodological quality of all articles was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies, v2 (QUADAS-2) tool and modified versions of the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS). A total of 90 articles were included, of which 66 articles used baseline [18F]FDG-PET and CE-CT imaging features for response prediction. Generally, the presence of heterogeneous enhancement on baseline CE-CT imaging was considered predictive for high-risk GISTs, related to underlying neovascularization and necrosis of the tumor. The remaining articles discussed therapy monitoring. Clinically established imaging features, including changes in tumor size and density, were considered unfavorable monitoring criteria, leading to under- and overestimation of response. Furthermore, changes in glucose metabolism, as reflected by [18F]FDG-PET imaging features, preceded changes in tumor size and were more strongly correlated with tumor response. Although CE-CT and [18F]FDG-PET can aid in the prediction and monitoring in GIST patients, further research on cost-effectiveness is recommended.