α-fetoprotein-to-total tumor volume ratio predicts post-operative tumor recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma

The Usefulness of Total Tumor Volume as a Prognostic Factor and in Selecting the Optimal Treatment Strategy of Chemotherapeutic Intervention in Patients with Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

Few reports have discussed the association between total tumor volume (TTV) and prognosis in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). The present study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of TTV for predicting recurrence-free survival and overall survival (OS) in patients receiving initial hepatic resection or chemotherapy, and to investigate the value of TTV as an indicator for optimal treatment selection for patients with CRLM.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients with CRLM who underwent hepatic resection (n = 93) or chemotherapy (n = 78) at the Kobe University Hospital. TTV was measured using 3D construction software and computed tomography images.

RESULTS

A TTV of 100 cm3 has been previously reported as a significant cut-off value for predicting OS of CRLM patients receiving initial hepatic resection. For patients receiving hepatic resection, the OS for those with a TTV ≥ 100 cm3 was significantly reduced compared with those with a TTV < 100 cm3. For patients receiving initial chemotherapy, there were no significant differences between the groups divided according to TTV cut-offs. Regarding OS of patients with TTV ≥ 100 cm3, there was no significant difference between hepatic resection and chemotherapy (p = 0.160).

CONCLUSIONS

TTV can be a predictive factor of OS for hepatic resection, unlike for initial chemotherapy treatment. The lack of significant difference in OS for CRLM patients with TTV ≥ 100 cm3, regardless of initial treatment, suggests that chemotherapeutic intervention preceding hepatic resection may be indicated for such patients.

Survival prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma by measuring the extracellular volume fraction with single-phase contrast-enhanced dual-energy CT imaging

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the value of quantified extracellular volume fraction (fECV) derived from dual-energy CT (DECT) for predicting the survival outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Materials and methods

A total of 63 patients with HCC who underwent DECT before treatment were retrospectively included. Virtual monochromatic images (VMI) (70 keV) and iodine density images (IDI) during the equilibrium phase (EP) were generated. The tumor VMI-fECV and IDI-fECV were measured and calculated on the whole tumor (Whole) and maximum enhancement of the tumor (Maximum), respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox models were used to evaluate the effects of clinical and imaging predictors on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

The correlation between tumor VMI-fECV and IDI-fECV was strong (both p< 0.001). The Bland-Altman plot between VMI-fECV and IDI-fECV showed a bias of 5.16% for the Whole and 6.89% for the Maximum modalities, respectively. Increasing tumor VMI-fECV and IDI-fECV were positively related to the effects on OS and PFS (both p< 0.05). The tumor IDI-fECV-Maximum was the only congruent independent predictor in patients with HCC after TACE in the multivariate analysis on OS (p = 0.000) and PFS (p = 0.028). Patients with higher IDI-fECV-Maximum values had better survival rates above the optimal cutoff values, which were 35.42% for OS and 29.37% for PFS.

Conclusion

The quantified fECV determined by the equilibrium-phase contrast-enhanced DECT can potentially predict the survival outcomes of patients with HCC following TACE treatment.

Tumor burden score-AFP-albumin-bilirubin grade score predicts the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver resection

PURPOSE

There is little information regarding the overall survival (OS) predictive ability of the combination of tumor burden score (TBS), α-fetoprotein (AFP), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to develop a model including TBS, AFP, and ALBI grade to predict HCC patient OS following liver resection.

METHODS

Patients (N = 1556) from six centers were randomly divided 1:1 into training and validation sets. The X-Tile software was used to determine the optimal cutoff values. The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was calculated to assess the prognostic ability of the different models.

RESULTS

In the training set, tumor differentiation, TBS, AFP, ALBI grade, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage were independently related to OS. According to the coefficient values of TBS, AFP, and ALBI grade, we developed the TBS-AFP-ALBI (TAA) score using a simplified point system (0, 2 for low/high TBS, 0, 1 for low/high AFP and 0,1 for ALBI grade 1/2). Patients were further divided into low TAA (TAA ≤ 1), medium TAA (TAA = 2-3), and high TAA (TAA= 4) groups. TAA scores (low: referent; medium, HR = 1.994, 95% CI = 1.492-2.666; high, HR = 2.413, 95% CI = 1.630-3.573) were independently associated with patient survival in the validation set. The TAA scores showed higher AUROCs than BCLC stage for the prediction of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in both the training and validation sets.

CONCLUSION

TAA is a simple score that has better OS prediction performance than the BCLC stage in predicting OS for HCC patients after liver resection.

Characterization of Gut Microbiota and Exploration of Potential Predictive Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Microvascular Invasion

Background

The association between gut microbiota and microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclarified. Hence, the microbiome analysis of patients with HCC might predict MVI development as an accurate, non-invasive, and convenient assessment. The aim of this study was to investigate the characteristics of gut microbiota in patients with HCC-MVI and establish a microbial prediction model of HCC-MVI based on a microbiome study.

Methods

Fecal samples were collected from 59 patients with HCC (24 of the total with MVI disease and 16 healthy controls) and were further analyzed by 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing followed by a comprehensive bioinformatic analysis. The diagnostic performance of microbiome characteristics in predicting MVI was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The correlation between gut microbiota and tumor microenvironment (TME) in the HCC-MVI group was further analyzed by using immunohistochemistry and immunofluorescence assay.

Results

A significant differentiation trend of microbiota composition and structure was observed between the HCC-MVI group and those without vascular invasion (HCC-NVI). Compared with HCC-NVI group and healthy controls, gut bacteria Klebsiella, Proteobacteria, Prevotellaceae, and Enterobacteriaceae were significantly enriched, whereas Firmicutes, Ruminococcus, and Monoglobaceae were significantly decreased in patients with HCC-MVI. Klebsiella was considered to be the key microbiome signature for patients with HCC-MVI. The area under the curve (AUC) of the established HCC-MVI microbial prediction model was 94.81% (95% CI: 87.63–100%). The percentage of M2-type tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) was increased in the HCC-MVI group compared with the HCC-NVI group (p < 0.001). M2-type TAMs in TME were negatively correlated with Shannon and Simpson index of HCC-MVI gut microbiota (all p < 0.01). In addition, predicted KEGG pathways showed that the functional differences in the metabolic pathways of microbiota varied among the groups.

Conclusion

The results indicated that differences existed in the fecal microbiome of patients with HCC-MVI and healthy controls. The prediction model of HCC-MVI established with certain gut bacterial signatures may have the potential to predict HCC-MVI outcome, and the characteristics of the fecal microbiome in patients with HCC may be associated with TME, though future larger-cohort studies are required to validate this supposition.

Tumor volume measured using MR volumetry as a predictor of prognosis after surgical resection of single hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate the clinical value of tumor volume-measurement using magnetic resonance (MR) volumetry for predicting prognosis after surgical resection of single small-to-medium-sized hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (≤5cm).

METHOD

This retrospective study included 162 consecutive patients who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI and subsequent surgical resection for single HCC (≤5cm). Tumor volume was measured at hepatobiliary phase of MR images using semi-automated three-dimensional volumetric software program. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox-proportional-hazard-model was used to evaluate clinical, pathologic, and radiologic prognostic factors. A minimal p-value approach based on log-rank test statistics was used to obtain the optimal-cutoff tumor volume for predicting RFS and OS. Inter-examiner reproducibility of MR volumetric measurements was assessed using intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and coefficient of variance (CV).

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 84.4 months (range, 2.8-126.5), HCC recurrence occurred in 69 (42.6%) patients and twenty-four (14.8%) patients died with estimated 5-year OS of 90.8%. Larger tumor volume was significantly associated with poor RFS(P = 0.018) and poor OS(P = 0.005) in multivariate analysis. For predicting RFS and OS after surgery, the optimal-cutoff of tumor volume was set at 4.0 mL and 4.0 mL, respectively, with larger volume ≥4.0 mL was significantly associated with poor RFS (hazard ratio[HR], 1.84, P = 0.023) and poor OS (HR, 2.66, P = 0.033). Inter-examiner reproducibility of tumor volume-measurement using MR-volumetry showed ICC of 0.980 and CV of 3.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor volume-measurement using MR-volumetry is clinically feasible and reproducible, and can help predict RFS and OS after resection of single small-to-medium-sized HCC.

The ratio of preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level to total tumor volume as a prognostic factor of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

To evaluate the effect of preoperative serum alpha-fetoprotein(AFP) level to total tumor volume (TTV) ratio as a prognostic marker on predicting the tumor recurrence and overall survival time of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation.One-hundred eight patients with HCC who underwent liver transplantation in Beijing Chaoyang Hospital from April 2013 to October 2017 were studied. Divided into AFP/TTV≤2 group and AFP/TTV>2 group by the best cut-off score calculated by receiver operation characteristic curve, the clinical and pathological data of the patients in two groups were compared to explore the relationship between AFP/TTV and tumor recurrence together with the prognosis of HCC patients after liver transplantation. Risk factors of early tumor recurrence and poor prognosis of HCC in patients after liver transplantation were studied by multivariate regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the tumor-free survival and overall survival between the two groups of patients.In 108 patients, 47 patients have AFP/TTV≤2 while 61 patients have AFP/TTV>2. Patients in AFP/TTV≤2 group have longer tumor-free survival time and overall survival time compared with patients in AFP/TTV>2 group. The age, total bilirubin level, serum AFP level, TTV, portal vein tumor thrombus and AFP/TTV (all P < .05) of patient with HCC are closely related to poor prognosis after liver transplantation. Multivariate regression analysis showed that have portal vein tumor thrombus (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.345, P < .05), TTV≥65.5 cm3 (HR = 2.701, P < .05) and AFP/TTV > 2 (HR = 4.624, P < .05) are independent risk factors for poor prognosis of patients with HCC after liver transplantation while TTV≥65.5 cm3 (HR = 2.451, P < .05) and AFP/TTV > 2 (HR = 4.257, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors for tumor recurrence at the same time.The tumor recurrence and the prognosis of patients with HCC after liver transplantation is affected by many factors. AFP/TTV ratio has important predictive value for the tumor recurrence and the prognosis of patients with HCC after liver transplantation. AFP/TTV>2 is an independent risk factor for both early tumor recurrence and poor prognosis of patients with HCC after liver transplantation.

Models to predict disease-free survival for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with surgical resections

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Precise prognostic prediction for an individual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient before and after liver resection is important. We aimed to establish simple prognostic models to predict disease-free survival (DFS) for these patients.

METHODS

Six hundred and ninety-eight HCC patients with liver resections were reviewed. Preoperative (model 1) and postoperative (model 2) nomogram-based scoring systems were constructed by multivariate analyses, and DFS was estimated.

RESULTS

Among 698 patients, 490 (70.2%) patients had tumor recurrence at a median follow-up of 84.4 months. Risk factors of tumor recurrence in model 1 included viral hepatitis, platelet count, albumin, indocyanine green retention rate, multiplicity of tumor, and radiologic total tumor volume (TTV). Prognostic variables identified in model 2 were viral hepatitis, platelet count, multiplicity of tumor, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, and pathologic TTV. By nomogram in model 1, the patients were classified into three groups with 5-year DFS of 61.0%, 35.7%, and 21.1%, respectively (P < .0001). In model 2, the patients were divided into five groups with 5-year DFS of 58.0%, 43.7%, 24.0%, 15.4%, and 0.0%, respectively (P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Based on nomogram models, DFS for the patients who had liver resection for HCC can be predicted before liver resection and re-assessed after liver resection.

Total tumor volume as a prognostic value for survival following liver resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Total tumor volume (TTV) can provide a simplified parameter in describing the tumor burden by incorporating the size and number of tumor nodules into one continuous variable. The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic value of TTV in resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent liver resection for HCC between 2012 and 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into a group with TTV ≤65.5 cm³ (which nearly equal to a single tumor with a diameter of 5 cm), and another group with TTV > 65.5 cm³.

RESULTS

Two hundred and four patients were included in this study (108 patients had TTV ≤ 65.5cm3, and 96 patients had TTV > 65.5 cm³). Ninety patients (44.1%) were within Milan and 114 patients (55.9%) were beyond Milan criteria. Eighteen patients (15.8%) of beyond Milan criteria had TTV ≤ 65.5 cm³, with a median survival of 32 months which is comparable to a median survival of patients with TTV< 65.5 cm³ (38 months, P = 0.38). TTV-based Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score gained the highest value of likelihood ratio 114.7 and the highest Concordance-index 0.73 among other prognostic scoring and staging systems. In multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for diminished survival were serum AFP level >400 ng/ml, TTV >65.5 cm³, microvascular invasion, postoperative decompensation (all P values < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

TTV is a feasible prognostic measure to describe the tumor burden in patients with HCC. TTV-CLIP score may provide good prognostic value for resection of HCC than other staging systems.

Alpha-fetoprotein level to total tumor volume as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after resection. A retrospective cohort study

Background

Total tumor volume (TTV) and serum alfa fetoprotein (AFP) level are important risk factors linked with the high possibility of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. The aim of the study was to evaluate the role of AFP/TTV ratio, as a prognostic marker, in the prediction of HCC recurrence after resection.

Methods

Patients who underwent liver resection for HCC between 2010 and 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into 2 groups; a group with AFP/TTV ≤2 and another group with AFP/TTV >2. Risk factors for HCC recurrence were recorded.

Results

A total of 286 HCC patients underwent liver resection (184 patients with AFP/TTV ≤ 2, and 102 patients with AFP/TTV > 2). There was a significant difference between the 2 groups in the preoperative total bilirubin level, serum AFP level, mean tumor diameter, TTV, operative blood loss, microvascular invasion and hospital stay (all P values < 0.05). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year tumor recurrence rates were 24.1%, 43%, and 57.6% respectively. The independent risk factors for tumor recurrence were AFP/TTV >2 (HR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.29–1.98, P = 0.042), Macrovascular invasion (HR = 2.03, 95% CI = 2.17–2.38, P = 0.021, and microvascular invasion (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.08–1.77, P = 0.019).

Conclusion

AFP/TTV ratio is a feasible prognostic marker for prediction of HCC recurrence after resection so, it can help in providing an intensive postoperative surveillance program to high risk patients for early detection and management of any recurrence.

•

AFP/TTV ratio is a feasible surrogate for prediction of HCC recurrence.

•

It can help in providing an intensive postoperative surveillance program to high risk patients.

•

By knowing the high risk patients for HCC recurrence, we can provide appropriate preventive measures.

•

The appropriate preventive measures like loco-regional or new-adjuvant therapy, still need another study to clarify.

Total tumour volume as a prognostic factor in patients with resectable colorectal cancer liver metastases

Background

Although total tumour volume (TTV) may have prognostic value for hepatic resection in certain solid cancers, its importance in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains unexplored. This study investigated its prognostic value in patients with resectable CRLM.

Method

This was a retrospective review of patients who underwent hepatic resection for CRLM between 2008 and 2017 in a single institution. TTV was measured from CT images using three‐dimensional construction software; cut‐off values were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. Potential prognostic factors, overall survival (OS) and recurrence‐free survival (RFS) were determined using multivariable and Kaplan–Meier analyses.

Results

Some 94 patients were included. TTV cut‐off values for OS and RFS were 100 and 10 ml respectively. Right colonic primary tumours, primary lymph node metastasis and bilobar liver metastasis were included in the multivariable analysis of OS; a TTV of 100 ml or above was independently associated with poorer OS (hazard ratio (HR) 6·34, 95 per cent c.i. 2·08 to 17·90; P = 0·002). Right colonic primary tumours and primary lymph node metastasis were included in the RFS analysis; a TTV of 10 ml or more independently predicted poorer RFS (HR 1·90, 1·12 to 3·57; P = 0·017). The 5‐year OS rate for a TTV of 100 ml or more was 41 per cent, compared with 67 per cent for a TTV below 100 ml (P = 0·006). Corresponding RFS rates with TTV of 10 ml or more, or less than 10 ml, were 14 and 58 per cent respectively (P = 0·009). A TTV of at least 100 ml conferred a higher rate of unresectable initial recurrences (12 of 15, 80 per cent) after initial hepatic resection.

Conclusion

TTV was associated with RFS and OS after initial hepatic resection for CRLM; TTV of 100 ml or above was associated with a higher rate of unresectable recurrence.

A Novel Score Predicts HBV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Hepatectomy: a Retrospective Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

In China, hepatitis B virus (HBV) is an important causative factor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The contribution and interaction of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score and total tumor volume (TTV) in association with HCC recurrence is unknown. A reliable point score based on the FIB-4 score, TTV, and differentiation grade was established to predict the postoperative recurrence of HBV-related HCC patients who underwent hepatic resection (HR).

METHODS

Three hundred thirty-eight HBV-related HCC patients from three institutions treated by HR were enrolled in this retrospective study. Prognostic factors were also evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards model in the training cohort. The DFT score was established by a Cox regression model and validated in the internal cohort and the external cohorts from the other two institutions.

RESULTS

The DFT score differentiated four groups of HBV-related HCC patients (0, 1-2, 3, 4-5 points) with distinct prognosis (median recurrence-free survival (RFS), 72.7 vs. 53.0 vs. 23.2 vs. 5.7 months; P < 0.05). Its predictive accuracy as determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) at 1, 3, and 5 years (AUCs 0.7319, 0.7031, and 0.6972) was greater than the other three staging systems for HCC. These findings were supported by the validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The DFT model is a reliable and objective model to predict the RFS of HBV-related HCC patients after HR.

Metastasis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Prevalence, determinants, prognostic impact and ability to improve the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system

BACKGROUND & AIM

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and metastasis are classified as advanced or terminal stage by the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system. This study investigates the prevalence, determinants, and prognostic effect of metastasis and its ability to improve the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system.

METHODS

A total of 3414 patients were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods were used to determine survival predictors. Akaike information criterion was used to compare the prognostic performance of staging systems.

RESULTS

There were 357 (10%) patients having extrahepatic metastasis at the time of diagnosis. Metastases were associated with old age, alcoholism, hepatitis B, poorer liver function, higher α-foetoprotein level and larger tumour burden (all P < .05). Vascular invasion was associated with metastasis regardless of total tumour volume, and higher α-foetoprotein level and multiple tumours were associated with metastasis in patients with smaller tumour volume (all P < .05). Patients with both vascular invasion and metastasis had significantly worse outcome compared to patients with either vascular invasion or metastasis (P < .05). In the Cox proportional model, the co-existence of vascular invasion and metastasis was an independent predictor of decreased survival (P < .05). Re-allocating 181 Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C patients with both vascular invasion and metastasis into stage D was associated with lower Akaike information criterion, indicating enhanced prognostic power of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Metastasis is not uncommon, and is strongly associated with tumoural factors and poor long-term survival in hepatocellular carcinoma. Modification of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system based on vascular invasion and metastasis may further improve its predictive accuracy in advanced stage patients.

Using nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system for treatment selection in patients with stage C hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been used for outcome prediction. Patients with BCLC stage C HCC often undergo anti-cancer therapy against current treatment guidelines in real world practice. We aimed to use the nomogram to provide guidance on treatment selection for BCLC stage C patients.

Methods

A total of 1317 patients with stage C HCC were retrospectively analyzed and divided into four groups by nomogram points. One-to-one matched pairs between patients receiving different treatments were generated by the propensity score with matching model within these groups. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test.

Results

Patients with higher nomogram points were more often treated with targeted or supportive therapies (p <  0.001). Patients receiving targeted or supportive therapies had a decreased survival compared to patients undergoing aggressive treatments (surgical resection, ablation, transarterial chemo-embolization or transplantation) across all four groups (p <  0.001). After matching for baseline differences in the propensity model, patients receiving different treatments had comparable age, gender, etiology of liver disease, tumor burden, severity of cirrhosis and performance status. Survival analyses were re-performed and disclosed that patients with nomogram points < 15 had better overall outcome after aggressive treatments (p <  0.05). For patients with nomogram points > 15, there was no significant difference in survival between patients receiving two different treatment strategies.

Conclusions

The nomogram of BCLC system is a feasible tool to help stage C HCC patients to select primary anti-cancer treatment in pursuance of better overall survival.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma: What is missing?

While there are guidelines from all major liver societies for the screening and management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), many issues remain surrounding the actual practice of screening. This review discusses how to diagnose and screen HCC and more importantly, how well we diagnose and screen for HCC. Improved survival and outcomes after HCC diagnosis depend upon accurate diagnosis of cirrhosis and the timeliness of screening. With all oral direct‐acting antivirals now widely available for hepatitis C, there are increasing numbers of patients who may be cured but are still at risk of HCC. Some uncontrolled studies suggest that direct‐acting antiviral therapy may even increase the risk of HCC. Before we discuss expansion of who should be screened, we need physicians to realize how poorly we screen those patients who are already recommended for screening by guidelines. (Hepatology Communications 2017;1:18–22)

Does the preoperative alpha-fetoprotein predict the recurrence and mortality after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma without macrovascular invasion in patients with normal liver function?

AIM

It has been highly controversial whether elevated serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level before hepatectomy predicts recurrence and mortality of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or not. This study is to identify whether the index predicts recurrence and mortality after hepatectomy in HCC.

METHODS

Of 568 consecutive patients, 342 with normal liver function (Child-Pugh score, 5) and no macrovascular invasion were enrolled between April 2000 and March 2013. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, the elevated serum AFP level was an independent risk factor for DFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.9; P < 0.0001) and OS (HR, 2.0; P < 0.0001). Histological hepatic venous tumor thrombus was also an independent risk factor for DFS (HR, 2.6; P < 0.0001) and OS (HR, 2.5; P = 0.001). Anatomical resection decreases the risk factor for recurrence after hepatectomy (HR, 0.6; P = 0.003), though it did not decrease the risk for OS (P = 0.3). At 5 years, DFS rates were 42% and 21% (P < 0.0001) and OS rates were 75% and 46% among patients with low and high AFP levels, respectively (P < 0.0001). The area under the receiver-operator curves (AUROC) of serum AFP and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin were 0.65 and 0.58 for DFS and 0.65 and 0.57 for OS, respectively. Tumor size was the best predictor of microvascular invasion (AUROC, 0.70, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Serum AFP was a highly reliable index for DFS and OS.

Vascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: prevalence, determinants and prognostic impact

GOALS/BACKGROUND

Macrovascular invasion (MaVI) is often detected by radiologic imaging in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and may affect their long-term survival. We aimed to investigate the prevalence, determinants, and prognostic impact of MaVI in patients with HCC receiving curative and noncurative therapies.

STUDY

A total of 2654 HCC patients in a single center were identified. The risk factors and prognostic determinants of MaVI were determined.

RESULTS

A total of 928 (35%) patients had MaVI. Old age, lower serum α-fetoprotein level, higher serum sodium level, good performance status, smaller total tumor volume, and better liver functional reserve were significantly associated with a lower risk for VI. In the Cox proportional hazards model, patients with lower serum albumin level, higher serum bilirubin and α-fetoprotein level, worse performance status, the presence of ascites, and MaVI independently predicted a decreased long-term survival in patients undergoing both curative and noncurative treatments. In addition, lower sodium level and larger tumor size were independently associated with a poor outcome in the noncurative treatment group. Of the patients with MaVI, the 1-year survival rates for patients receiving surgical treatment, local ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and supportive care were 83%, 75%, 57%, and 24%, respectively (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

MaVI represents a distinct tumor phenotype of HCC and is associated with younger age, aggressive tumor behavior, poor liver functional reserve, and poor performance status. It adversely affects the survival of HCC patients independent of treatment strategy. Intensive anticancer therapy should be proposed to achieve a better long-term survival for the at-risk patients.

Resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) continues to present major challenges in management, which is further complicated by the presence of associated chronic liver disease. Key issues in surgical resection of HCC include the site, size, and number of lesions, the severity of the chronic liver disease, and the size of the functional liver remnant. De novo HCC in the absence of chronic liver disease can be treated by major liver resection with little risk of postoperative liver failure. Liver resection can also be used a bridge to liver transplantation as it affords the possibility of determining the pathologic grade of the tumortumor and its invasiveness, and thereby the prognosis. This review summarizes the current treatment approaches to surgical resection for HCC.

The postresection alpha-fetoprotein in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. An independent predictor of outcome

BACKGROUND

The postresection alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may predict overall survival (OS) and recurrence beyond Milan criteria (MC) among the subgroup of initially transplantable patients.

METHODS

All patients with cirrhosis resected for HCC between January 1990 and December 2010 in a single institution and presenting a serum AFP value > 15 ng/ml at diagnosis were included. The postresection AFP was analyzed as a dichotomized variable: normalization (norm + group) or not (norm - group) within the 90-day postresection period.

RESULTS

Among 271 resected patients, 141 patients (52%) had a level of serum AFP ≥ 15 ng/ml at diagnosis. Five-year OS and median survival were 42% and 52 months in group norm + versus 20% and 23 months in the group norm - (P = 0.009). On multivariate analysis, the absence of AFP normalization was an independent factor of poor OS as well as microvascular invasion, and satellites nodules. Among theoretically transplantable patients, independent predictors of recurrence beyond MC were the absence of AFP normalization (risk ratio (RR) 5.02 [1.53-16.34]) and microvascular invasion (RR 4.76 [1.42-15.34]).

CONCLUSION

The postresection AFP has an independent prognostic value. Transplantable patients resected for HCC without 90-day AFP normalization should be discussed for early liver transplantation.

Decrypting cryptogenic hepatocellular carcinoma: clinical manifestations, prognostic factors and long-term survival by propensity score model

Background and Aims

The clinical aspects of cryptogenic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), defined as HCC in patients without hepatitis B, C or alcoholism, are not clear. We investigated its clinical presentations, long-term survival and prognostic predictors.

Methods

A total of 2645 HCC patients were studied. One-to-one matched pairs between viral/alcoholic and cryptogenic HCC patients were generated by using the propensity model. The survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, and hazard ratios were calculated with Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 366 (14%) patients with cryptogenic HCC, 34% of patients were presented with abdominal discomfort, and 31% of patients were identified incidentally. Compared to patients with viral/alcoholic HCC, cryptogenic HCC patients were significantly older (p<0.0001), with poorer performance status (p = 0.0031) and less often underwent curative treatment (p = 0.0041). They also had larger tumor burden (p<0.0001), poorer renal function (p<0.0001), lower α-fetoprotein level (p<0.0001), and more advanced Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages (p<0.0001). With propensity score model, 366 pairs of similar HCC patients were selected and similar long-term survival between the two groups of patients was found (p = 0.1038). For cryptogenic HCC patients, α-fetoprotein ≧49 ng/mL (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.955, p = 0.0002), Child-Turcotte-Pugh class B/C (HR: 2.798, p<0.0001), performance status ≧1 (HR: 2.463, p<0.0001) and vascular invasion (HR: 1.608, p = 0.0257) were independent predictors of poor prognosis.

Conclusions

Patients with cryptogenic HCC are usually diagnosed with poor general condition at late stages. However, cryptogenic HCC patients have similar prognostic predictors and long-term survival compared with viral/alcoholic HCC patients. Diagnosis at an early stage may improve their clinical outcomes.