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McCloskey E, Tan ATH, Schini M. Update on fracture risk assessment in osteoporosis. Curr Opin Endocrinol Diabetes Obes 2024; 31:141-148. [PMID: 38809256 DOI: 10.1097/med.0000000000000871] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/30/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW The assessment of fracture risk is playing an ever-increasing role in osteoporosis clinical management and informing international guidelines for osteoporosis. FRAX, a fracture risk calculator that provides individualized 10-year probabilities of hip and major osteoporotic fracture, has been widely used since 2008. In this review, we recap the development and limitations of intervention thresholds and the role of absolute fracture risk. RECENT FINDINGS There is an increasing awareness of disparities and inequities in the setting of intervention thresholds in osteoporosis. The limitations of the simple use of prior fracture or the DXA-derived BMD T -score threshold are increasingly being discussed; one solution is to use fracture risk or probabilities in the setting of such thresholds. This approach also permits more objective assessment of high and very high fracture risk to enable physicians to make choices not just about the need to treat but what agents to use in individual patients. SUMMARY Like all clinical tools, FRAX has limitations that need to be considered, but the use of fracture risk in deciding who to treat, when to treat and what agent to use is a mechanism to target treatment equitably to those at an increased risk of fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eugene McCloskey
- Division of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine and Population Health
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Andre T H Tan
- Fast and Chronic Programmes, Alexandra Hospital, Queenstown
- Division of Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Marian Schini
- Division of Clinical Medicine, School of Medicine and Population Health
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
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Hamdan M, Haddad BI, Almohtasib J, Eid M, Al-Din TJ, Rayyan HA, Altantawi AM, Akaheal AS, Alshrouf MA. Postoperative pneumonia after femoral fracture surgery: an in-depth retrospective analysis. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2024; 25:413. [PMID: 38802816 PMCID: PMC11129372 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-024-07529-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2023] [Accepted: 05/17/2024] [Indexed: 05/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Femoral fractures significantly contribute to disability, predominantly in the elderly. Despite this, data on postoperative pneumonia following femoral fracture surgeries remains sparse. Our study sought to explore the incidence and impact of postoperative pneumonia on outcomes following such surgeries. METHODS A retrospective study analyzed femoral fracture patients hospitalized from 2016 to 2022. We scrutinized postoperative outcomes, including pneumonia, hospital stay duration, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and in-hospital mortality. We established stringent diagnostic criteria for postoperative pneumonia, incorporating both clinical signs and radiological evidence, excluding patients with prior infections or those discharged within 24 h post-surgery. Statistical analyses involved Chi-square and t-tests, linear regression, and logestic regression using SPSS. RESULTS Out of 636 patients, 10.8% were diagnosed with postoperative pneumonia. The average age was 79.55 ± 8.57 years, with a male prevalence of 47.8%. Common comorbidities were hypertension (78.3%), diabetes (60.9%), and cardiovascular diseases (40.6%). Surgical interventions were categorized as intramedullary nailing (40.6%), partial hip replacement (37.7%), and dynamic hip screw (21.7%). Postoperative pneumonia was associated with older age (AOR = 1.053, 95% CI 1.020 to 1.087, p = 0.002), ICU admission (AOR = 2.283, 95% CI 1.256 to 4.148, p = 0.007), and longer length of hospital stay (AOR = 1.079, 95% CI 1.030 to 1.130, p = 0.001). The presence of pneumonia was associated with a 2.621-day increase in hospitalization after adjusting for other variables (p < 0.001, 95% CI: 1.454 to 3.789). CONCLUSION This study accentuates the clinical significance of postoperative pneumonia in femoral fracture patients, with a noted incidence of 10.8%. A notable association with older age, prolonged hospital stays, and ICU admissions was observed, underscoring the necessity of addressing this complication to improve patient outcomes and healthcare resource allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Hamdan
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
| | - Bassem I Haddad
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
| | - Jamil Almohtasib
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
| | - Mira Eid
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
| | | | - Hashem A Rayyan
- School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
| | | | - Abdussalam S Akaheal
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, 11942, Jordan
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Naseri A, Bakhshayeshkaram M, Salehi S, Heydari ST, Dabbaghmanesh MH, Dabbaghmanesh MM. FRAX-derived intervention and assessment thresholds for osteoporosis in ten Middle Eastern countries. Arch Osteoporos 2024; 19:41. [PMID: 38780743 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-024-01397-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2023] [Accepted: 05/01/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
This study established FRAX-based age-specific assessment and intervention thresholds for ten Middle Eastern countries where FRAX is currently available, but the lack of specific thresholds has limited its usefulness. The intervention thresholds ranged from 0.6 (Saudi Arabia) to 36.0% (Syria) at the ages of 40 and 90 years, respectively. INTRODUCTION Developing fracture risk assessment tools allows physicians to select patients for therapy based on their absolute fracture risk instead of relying solely on bone mineral density (BMD). The most widely used tool is FRAX, currently available in ten Middle Eastern countries. This study aimed to set FRAX-derived assessment and intervention thresholds for individuals aged 40 or above in ten Middle Eastern countries. METHODS The age-specific 10-year probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) for a woman with a BMI of 25.0 kg/m2, without BMD and clinical risk factors except for prior fracture, were calculated as intervention Threshold (IT). The upper and lower assessment thresholds were set at 1.2 times the IT and an age-specific 10-year probability of a MOF in a woman with a BMI of 25.0 kg/m2, without BMD, prior fracture, and other clinical risk factors, respectively. IT is utilized to determine treatment or reassurance when BMD facilities are unavailable. However, with BMD facilities, assessment thresholds can offer treatment, reassurance, or bone densitometry based on MOF probability. RESULTS The age-specific IT varied from 0.9 to 11.0% in Abu Dhabi, 2.9 to 10% in Egypt, 2.7 to 14.0% in Iran, 1.0 to 28.0% in Jordan, 2.7 to 27.0% in Kuwait, 0.9 to 35.0% in Lebanon, 1.0 to 16.0% in Palestine, 4.1 to 14% in Qatar, 0.6 to 3.7% in Saudi Arabia, and 0.9 to 36.0% in Syria at the age of 40 and 90 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS FRAX-based IT in Middle Eastern countries provides an opportunity to identify individuals with high fracture risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arzhang Naseri
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Marzieh Bakhshayeshkaram
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Sara Salehi
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Seyed Taghi Heydari
- Health Policy Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Mohammad Hossein Dabbaghmanesh
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
- Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
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Alam F, Alsaed O, Abdulla N, Abdulmomen I, Lutf A, Al Emadi S. Guidelines for fracture risk assessment and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women and men above the age of 50 in Qatar. Arch Osteoporos 2024; 19:34. [PMID: 38698101 PMCID: PMC11065783 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-024-01389-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 05/05/2024]
Abstract
We present comprehensive guidelines for osteoporosis management in Qatar. Formulated by the Qatar Osteoporosis Association, the guidelines recommend the age-dependent Qatar fracture risk assessment tool for screening, emphasizing risk-based treatment strategies and discouraging routine dual-energy X-ray scans. They offer a vital resource for physicians managing osteoporosis and fragility fractures nationwide. PURPOSE Osteoporosis and related fragility fractures are a growing public health issue with an impact on individuals and the healthcare system. We aimed to present guidelines providing unified guidance to all healthcare professionals in Qatar regarding the management of osteoporosis. METHODS The Qatar Osteoporosis Association formulated guidelines for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women and men above the age of 50. A panel of six local rheumatologists who are experts in the field of osteoporosis met together and conducted an extensive review of published articles and local and international guidelines to formulate guidance for the screening and management of postmenopausal women and men older than 50 years in Qatar. RESULTS The guidelines emphasize the use of the age-dependent hybrid model of the Qatar fracture risk assessment tool for screening osteoporosis and risk categorization. The guidelines include screening, risk stratification, investigations, treatment, and monitoring of patients with osteoporosis. The use of a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scan without any risk factors is discouraged. Treatment options are recommended based on risk stratification. CONCLUSION Guidance is provided to all physicians across the country who are involved in the care of patients with osteoporosis and fragility fractures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fiaz Alam
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
| | - Omar Alsaed
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - Nabeel Abdulla
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - Ibrahim Abdulmomen
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - Abdo Lutf
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
| | - Samar Al Emadi
- Rheumatology Section, Department of Medicine, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar
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Al-Saleh Y, Sulimani R, Sabico S, Alshahrani FM, Fouda MA, Almohaya M, Alaidarous SB, Alkhawashki HM, Alshaker M, Alrayes H, Saleh N, Al-Daghri NM. Diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in Saudi Arabia: 2023 key updates from the Saudi Osteoporosis Society. Arch Osteoporos 2023; 18:75. [PMID: 37213036 PMCID: PMC10202978 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-023-01242-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/18/2023] [Accepted: 04/04/2023] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
The Saudi Osteoporosis Society (SOS) has updated its guidelines for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in Saudi Arabia (SA), with emphasis on postmenopausal women. This document is relevant to all healthcare professionals in SA involved in the care of patients with osteoporosis and osteoporosis-related fractures. INTRODUCTION The SOS launched the first national osteoporosis guidelines in 2015 and spearheaded the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) osteoporosis consensus report in 2020 which was under the auspices of the European Society for Clinical and Economic Aspects of Osteoporosis (ESCEO). This paper highlights a major update of the guidelines in the SA setting. METHODS This guideline is an adaptation of the current guidelines derived from ESCEO, the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists (AACE), and the GCC osteoporosis consensus report and studies on osteoporosis done in SA. Where accessible, the timeliest systematic review, meta-analysis, and randomized controlled trials were used as evidence. RESULTS The present update includes new recommendations for the assessment of osteoporosis taking into consideration the Saudi model of FRAX for fracture probabilities, appropriate doses for the maintenance of vitamin D status and calcium, the use of representative blood analytes for therapy monitoring, the use of romosozumab and sequential therapy in the pharmacological management strategies, and the establishment of fracture liaison services to prevent secondary fractures. CONCLUSION This updated guideline is for all healthcare professionals involved in osteoporosis and post-fracture care and management in SA and harmonized the most up-to-date changes in the field based on evidence-based medicine for use in the local setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yousef Al-Saleh
- Department of Endocrinology, Dr. Mohammad Alfagih Hospital, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
- Chair for Biomarkers of Chronic Diseases, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
| | - Riad Sulimani
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, King Saud University, King Saud University Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Shaun Sabico
- Chair for Biomarkers of Chronic Diseases, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Fahad M Alshahrani
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mona A Fouda
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, King Saud University, King Saud University Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammed Almohaya
- Obesity, Endocrine and Metabolism Center, King Fahad Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Salwa B Alaidarous
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
- Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, Jeddah, Ministry of National Guard Health Affairs, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Mohammed Alshaker
- Department of Family Medicine and Polyclinic, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Hanan Alrayes
- Prince Sultan Military Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Najla Saleh
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Nasser M Al-Daghri
- Chair for Biomarkers of Chronic Diseases, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Kanis JA, McCloskey EV, Harvey NC, Cooper C, Rizzoli R, Dawson-Hughes B, Maggi S, Reginster JY. The need to distinguish intervention thresholds and diagnostic thresholds in the management of osteoporosis. Osteoporos Int 2023; 34:1-9. [PMID: 36282342 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-022-06567-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2022] [Accepted: 09/30/2022] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Abstract
This position paper of the International Osteoporosis Foundation (IOF) and the European Society for Clinical and Economic Aspects of Osteoporosis, Osteoarthritis and Musculoskeletal Diseases (ESCEO) addresses the rationale for separate diagnostic and intervention thresholds in osteoporosis. We conclude that the current BMD-based diagnostic criteria for osteoporosis be retained whilst clarity is brought to bear on the distinction between diagnostic and intervention thresholds.
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Affiliation(s)
- John A Kanis
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, Sheffield, S10 2RX, UK.
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia.
| | - Eugene V McCloskey
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, Sheffield, S10 2RX, UK
- Centre for Integrated Research in Musculoskeletal Ageing (CIMA), Mellanby Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Nicholas C Harvey
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO16 6YD, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Tremona Road, Southampton, UK
| | - Cyrus Cooper
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO16 6YD, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Tremona Road, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rene Rizzoli
- Service of Bone Diseases, Geneva University Hospitals and Faculty of Medicine, 1211, Geneva 14, Switzerland
| | - Bess Dawson-Hughes
- Jean Mayer USDA Human Nutrition Research Center On Aging, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Stefania Maggi
- Institute of Neuroscience, Aging Branch, CNR, Padua, Italy
| | - Jean-Yves Reginster
- WHO Collaborating Center for Epidemiology of Musculoskeletal Health and Aging, Liege, Belgium
- Division of Public Health, Epidemiology and Health Economics, University of Liège, CHU Sart Tilman B23, 4000, Liege, Belgium
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Dawod MS, Alisi MS, Saber YO, Abdel-Hay QA, Al-Aktam BM, Alfaouri Y, Alfraihat LB, Albadaineh AA, Abuqudiri AZ, Odeh RM, Altamimi AAR, Alrawashdeh MA, Alebbini MM, Abu-Dhaim OA, Al-Omari AA, Alaqrabawi I, Alswerki MN, Abuawad A, Al Nawaiseh MR, Hammad Y, Al-Ajlouni J. Characteristics of Elderly Hip Fracture Patients in Jordan: A Multicenter Epidemiological Study. Int J Gen Med 2022; 15:6591-6598. [PMID: 35991940 PMCID: PMC9385130 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s373313] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 07/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Elderly hip fractures represent a global health care burden. Several reports expected a massive increase in the incidence of hip fractures by the next few decades. Knowing the epidemiology of hip fractures is crucial for planning health care policies. The purpose of this study is to provide a nationwide epidemiological overview of hip fractures in Jordan and to report the perioperative outcomes that may help to improve the delivered healthcare. . Methods We conducted a retrospective study at 2 university hospitals and 2 major governmental hospitals in Jordan. We reviewed the records for all patients (age >55 years) who were diagnosed with hip fractures over a 3 years duration (2019–2021). We documented the patient’s characteristics and the perioperative data (including preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative details including the 1-year mortality). Results The total number of included patients was 1268; more than half (53.7%) were females. The mean age is 75 years (SD 9.7). The most common fracture type was trochanteric (66.2%). 7% of patients had a prior contralateral hip fracture. The average time from admission to surgery was 2.96 days (SD 2.63). The surgery was done within 48 hours for 56.7% of patients. Approximately, one-third of all patients (34.5%) received a blood transfusion. The average length of hospital stay is 7.44 days (SD 5). The overall rate of postoperative thromboembolic events, readmission within 1 month, and revision for the same surgery are 2.4%, 10.7%, and 3% respectively. The 1-month, 6-month, and 12-month mortality rates are 4.5%, 9.1%, and 12.8% respectively. Conclusion The annual incidence of elderly hip fractures in Jordan is approximately 96 per 100,000 individuals. The 1-year mortality rate of hip fractures in Jordan is 12.8%. Both findings are in the lower range of nearby Arab countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohd Said Dawod
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, Mutah University, Al Karak, Jordan
| | - Mohammed S Alisi
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan.,Faculty of Medicine, Islamic University of Gaza, Gaza, Palestine
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Anas A R Altamimi
- Department of General and Specialized Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, The Hashemite University, Zarqa, Jordan
| | - Mutaz A Alrawashdeh
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, King Abdullah University Hospital, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan
| | - Mohanad M Alebbini
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, King Abdullah University Hospital, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan
| | - Omran A Abu-Dhaim
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, King Abdullah University Hospital, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan
| | - Ali A Al-Omari
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, King Abdullah University Hospital, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbid, Jordan
| | - Ihab Alaqrabawi
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
| | - Mohammad N Alswerki
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
| | - Abdelrahman Abuawad
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
| | - Mohammad R Al Nawaiseh
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
| | - Yazan Hammad
- Orthopedic Department, North Middlesex University Hospital, London, UK
| | - Jihad Al-Ajlouni
- Department of Special Surgery, Division of Orthopaedics, School of Medicine, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan
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Saleh YAL, Sulimani RA, Alomary S, Alnajjar YI, Vandenput L, Liu E, Lorentzon M, Harvey NC, McCloskey EV, Johansson H, Kanis JA. Incidence of hip fracture in Saudi Arabia and the development of a FRAX model. Arch Osteoporos 2022; 17:56. [PMID: 35366737 PMCID: PMC8976798 DOI: 10.1007/s11657-022-01085-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2021] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
A prospective hospital-based survey in representative regions of Saudi Arabia determined the incidence of fractures at the hip. The hip fracture rates were used to create a FRAX® model to facilitate fracture risk assessment in Saudi Arabia. OBJECTIVE This paper describes the incidence of hip fracture in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia that was used to characterize the current and future burden of hip fracture, to develop a country-specific FRAX® tool for fracture prediction and to compare fracture probabilities with neighbouring countries. METHODS During a 2-year (2017/2018) prospective survey in 15 hospitals with a defined catchment population, hip fractures in Saudi citizens were prospectively identified from hospital registers. The number of hip fractures and future burden was determined from national demography. Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture and national mortality rates were incorporated into a FRAX model for Saudi Arabia. Fracture probabilities were compared with those from Kuwait and Abu Dhabi. RESULTS The incidence of hip fracture applied nationally suggested that the estimated number of hip fractures nationwide in persons over the age of 50 years for 2015 was 2,949 and is predicted to increase nearly sevenfold to 20,328 in 2050. Hip fracture rates were comparable with estimates from Abu Dhabi and Kuwait. By contrast, probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture or hip fracture from the age of 70 years were much lower than those seen in Abu Dhabi and Kuwait due to higher mortality estimates for Saudi Arabia. CONCLUSION A country-specific FRAX tool for fracture prediction has been developed for Saudi Arabia which is expected to help guide decisions about treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yousef A. L. Saleh
- College of Medicine, King Saud Bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- King Abdullah International Medical Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Department of Medicine, King Abdulaziz Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Ministry of National Guard-Health Affairs, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Biomarkers of Chronic Diseases, Biochemistry Department, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Riad A. Sulimani
- Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, King Khaled University Hospital, King Saud University Medical City, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Shaker Alomary
- Health Programs and Chronic Diseases, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Yassmeen I. Alnajjar
- Health Programs and Chronic Diseases, Osteoporosis Program, Ministry of Health, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Liesbeth Vandenput
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Enwu Liu
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Mattias Lorentzon
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
- Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Institute of Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Geriatric Medicine, Region Västra Götaland, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Mölndal, Sweden
| | - Nicholas C. Harvey
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University of Southampton and University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK
| | - Eugene V. McCloskey
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
- Department of Oncology and Metabolism, Mellanby Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Helena Johansson
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Internal Medicine and Clinical Nutrition, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Osteoporosis Centre, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - John A. Kanis
- Mary McKillop Institute for Health Research, Australian Catholic University, Melbourne, Australia
- Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
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