Early emergency readmission frequency as an indicator of short-, medium- and long-term mortality post-discharge from hospital

Remote outcomes in patients with cardiovascular diseases in outpatient practice: data from a 10-year follow-up within the RECVAZA registry

Aim. To evaluate outcomes over 10-year follow-up and risks of adverse events in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) within the outpatient registry.

Material and methods. In the RECVAZA outpatient registry based on 3 Ryazan clinics, 3690 patients with CVD (age, 66,1±12,9 years; men, 28,0%) were observed. For 2012-2023 (follow-up, 8,2±3,3 years), the following outcomes were assessed: death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, hospitalization for CVD. Information on outcomes was obtained from medical records, surveys, electronic databases.

Results. Over 10 years, 1595 patients (43,2%) died, 51% of whom died from CVD and 12% from cancer. The highest proportion of deaths was among patients with prior stroke (69,7%) and MI (61,5%) before inclusion in the registry, a combination of hypertension (HTN), coronary artery disease (CAD), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF) — 79%, age ≥80 years — 85,9%. The highest all-cause and cardiovascular death risk was associated with age (hazard ratio (HR))=1,06 and HR=1,07; p<0,001); male sex (HR=1,70 and HR=1,62; p<0,001); prior stroke (HR=1,86 and HR=2,13; p<0,001); type 2 diabetes (HR=1,55 and HR=1,67; p<0,001); low hemoglobin level (HR=1,66 and HR=1,72; p<0,001); smoking (HR=1,51; p=0,001 and HR=1,72; p=0,003), respectively. The risk of MI was associated to the greatest extent with male sex and prior MI (HR=1,77 and HR=2,61; p<0,001), while the risk of stroke — with AF and prior stroke (HR=1,65 and 3,78; p<0,001) and systolic blood pressure <110 mm Hg (HR=2,72; p=0,01). Hospitalization for CVD no more than once per 2 years was associated with a lower risk of death (1,9 times), a higher frequency — with a higher risk (1,6 times).

Conclusion. Over 10-year follow-up, 43,2% of patients with CVD died. The highest death rate was in patients with a history of stroke and MI, diabetes, with a combination of HTN, CAD, HF and AF, low hemoglobin levels. Hospitalization for CVD no more than once per 2 years was prognostically favorable, but with a higher frequency it was associated with an increased risk of death.

The Effect of Recurrent Heart Failure Hospitalizations on the Risk of Cardiovascular and all-Cause Mortality: a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure (HF) is a significant worldwide concern due to its substantial impact on mortality rates and recurrent hospitalizations. The relationship between recurrent hospitalizations and mortality in individuals diagnosed with heart failure has been the subject of conflicting findings in previous studies. A meta-analysis was conducted to investigate the association between recurrent heart failure hospitalizations (HFHs) and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search across various online databases, such as PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ProQuest, Scopus, Science Direct, and Google Scholar, to locate studies that examined the connection between recurrent HFHs and cardiovascular (CV) mortality as well as all-cause mortality until January 2023. To evaluate the heterogeneity among the studies, we employed I2 and Cochran's Q test.

RESULTS

In total, 143,867 participants from seven studies were included in the analysis. Recurrent HFHs were found to be strongly associated with elevated risks of both cardiovascular (CV) mortality and all-cause mortality. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) indicated a non-significant association for CV mortality (HR = 4.28, 95% CI: 0.86-7.71) but a significant association for all-cause mortality (HR = 2.76, 95% CI: 2.05-3.48). Subgroup analyses revealed a reduction in heterogeneity when stratified by factors such as quality score, sample size, hypertension comorbidity, number of recurrent HFHs, and follow-up time. A clear correlation was observed between the frequency of HFH and the mortality risk. Various subgroups, including those with diabetes, atrial fibrillation, and chronic kidney disease, showed significant associations between recurrent HFHs and all-cause mortality. Additionally, recurrent HFHs were significantly associated with CV mortality in subgroups such as heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), atrial fibrillation, and diabetes.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis provides evidence of an association between recurrent HFH and elevated risk of both CV mortality and all-cause mortality. The findings consistently indicate that a higher frequency of HFH is strongly associated with an increased likelihood of mortality.

Application of machine learning algorithms to predict 30-day hospital readmission following cement augmentation for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures

Objective

Osteoporosis is a common skeletal disease that greatly increases the risk of pathologic fractures and accounts for approximately 700,000 vertebral compression fractures (VCFs) annually in the United States. Cement augmentation procedures such as balloon kyphoplasty (KP) and percutaneous vertebroplasty (VP) have demonstrated efficacy in the treatment of VCFs, however, some studies report rates of readmission as high as 10.8% following such procedures. The purpose of this study was to employ Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to predict 30-day hospital readmission following cement augmentation procedures for the treatment of VCFs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.

Methods

ACS-NSQIP was queried to identify patients undergoing either KP or VP from 2011 to 2014. Three ML algorithms were constructed and tasked with predicting post-operative readmissions within this cohort of patients. Results: Postoperative pneumonia, ASA Class 2 designation, age, partially-dependent functional status, and a history of smoking were independently identified as highly predictive of readmission by all ML algorithms. Among these variables postoperative pneumonia (p < 0.01), ASA Class 2 designation (p < 0.01), age (p = 0.002), and partially-dependent functional status (p < 0.01) were found to be statistically significant. Predictions were generated with an average AUC value of 0.757 and an average accuracy of 80.5%.

Conclusions

Postoperative pneumonia, ASA Class 2 designation, partially-dependent functional status, and age are perioperative variables associated with 30-day readmission following cement augmentation procedures. The use of ML allows for quantification of the relative contributions of these variables toward producing readmission.

Association of Paroxysmal Versus Persistent Atrial Fibrillation with In-hospital Outcomes and 30-day Readmission After Inpatient Atrial Fibrillation Ablation

Knowledge of the impact of paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation on in-hospital outcomes and 30-day readmission remains limited. This study aimed to evaluate the procedural outcomes and 30-day readmission rates among patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF who were hospitalized for AF ablation. Using the Nationwide Readmissions Database, our study included patients aged ≥18 years with AF who were hospitalized and underwent catheter ablation during 2017-2020. Then, we compared the in-hospital procedural outcomes and 30-day readmission rates between patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF, respectively. Our study included 7310 index admissions for paroxysmal AF ablation and 9179 index admissions for persistent AF ablation. According to our analysis, there was no significant difference in procedural complications-namely, cerebrovascular accident, vascular complications, major bleeding requiring blood transfusion, phrenic nerve palsy, pericardial complications, and systemic embolization-between the persistent and paroxysmal AF groups. There was also no significant difference in early mortality between these groups (0.5% vs. 0.7%; P = .22). Persistent AF patients had significantly higher rates of prolonged index hospitalization (9.9% vs. 7.2%; P < .01) and non-home discharge (4.8% vs. 3.1%; P < .01). The 30-day readmission rates were comparable in both groups (10.0% vs. 9.5%; P = .34), with recurrent AF and heart failure being two of the most common causes of cardiac-related readmissions. Catheter ablation among hospitalized patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF resulted in no significant difference in procedural complications, early mortality, or 30-day readmission. This suggests that catheter ablation of AF can be performed with a relatively similar safety profile for both paroxysmal and persistent AF.

The Impact of Pre-Operative Anaemia on One Year Amputation Free Survival and Re-Admissions in Patients Undergoing Vascular Surgery for Peripheral Arterial Disease: a National Vascular Registry Study

OBJECTIVE

Anaemia is common among patients undergoing surgery, but its association with post-operative outcomes in patients with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is unclear. The aim of this observational population based study was to examine the association between pre-operative anaemia and one year outcomes after surgical revascularisation for PAD.

METHODS

This study used data from the National Vascular Registry, linked with an administrative database (Hospital Episode Statistics), to identify patients who underwent open surgical lower limb revascularisation for PAD in English NHS hospitals between January 2016 and December 2019. The primary outcome was one year amputation free survival. Secondary outcomes were one year re-admission rate, 30 day re-intervention rate, 30 day ipsilateral major amputation rate and 30 day death. Flexible parametric survival analysis and generalised linear regression were performed to assess the effect of anaemia on one year outcomes.

RESULTS

The analysis included 13 641 patients, 57.9% of whom had no anaemia, 23.8% mild, and 18.3% moderate or severe anaemia. At one year follow up, 80.6% of patients were alive and amputation free. The risk of one year amputation or death was elevated in patients with mild anaemia (adjusted HR 1.3; 95% CI 1.15 - 1.41) and moderate or severe anaemia (aHR 1.5; 1.33 - 1.67). Patients with moderate or severe anaemia experienced more re-admissions over one year (adjusted IRR 1.31; 1.26 - 1.37) and had higher odds of 30 day re-interventions (aOR 1.22; 1.04 - 1.45), 30 day ipsilateral major amputation (aOR 1.53; 1.17 - 2.01), and 30 day death (aOR 1.39; 1.03 - 1.88) compared with patients with no anaemia.

CONCLUSION

Pre-operative anaemia is associated with lower one year amputation free survival and higher one year re-admission rates following surgical revascularisation in patients with PAD. Research is required to evaluate whether interventions to correct anaemia improve outcomes after lower limb revascularisation.

Frequent users of health services among community-based older Australians: Characteristics and association with mortality

OBJECTIVES

To investigate characteristics of frequent users of general practice (GP; ≥21 visits in a year), medical specialist (≥10 visits), emergency department (ED; ≥2 presentations) and hospital services (≥2 overnight hospitalisations) and the association with mortality for people aged over 75 years.

METHODS

The study included residents from Central and Eastern Sydney, Australia, aged over 75 years who participated in a large community-dwelling cohort study. Demographic, social and health characteristics data were extracted from the 45 and Up Study survey. Health service (GP, medical specialist, ED and hospitalisations) use and mortality data were extracted from linked administrative data. We calculated adjusted prevalence ratios to identify independent characteristics associated with frequent users of services at baseline (approx. 2008) and adjusted hazard ratios to assess the association between frequent users of services and mortality.

RESULTS

Frequent users of services (GPs, medical specialists, EDs and hospitals) were more likely to be associated with ever having had heart disease and less likely to be associated with reporting good quality of life. Characteristics varied by service type. Frequent users of services were 1.5-2.0 times more likely to die within 7 years compared to those who were less frequent service users after controlling for all significant factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis found that frequent service users aged over 75 years had poorer quality of life, more complex health conditions and higher mortality and so their health service use was not inappropriate. However, better management of these frequent service users may lead to better health outcomes.

MAIT cell counts are associated with the risk of hospitalization in COPD

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by persistent airflow limitation associated with chronic inflammation in the airways. Mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are unconventional, innate-like T cells highly abundant in mucosal tissues including the lung. We hypothesized that the characteristics of MAIT cells in circulation may be prospectively associated with COPD morbidity.

METHODS

COPD subjects (n = 61) from the Tools for Identifying Exacerbations (TIE) study were recruited when in stable condition. At study entry, forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) was measured and peripheral blood mononuclear cells were cryopreserved for later analysis by flow cytometry. Patients were followed for 3 years to record clinically meaningful outcomes.

RESULTS

Patients who required hospitalization at one or more occasions during the 3-year follow-up (n = 21) had lower MAIT cell counts in peripheral blood at study inclusion, compared with patients who did not get hospitalized (p = 0.036). In contrast, hospitalized and never hospitalized patients did not differ in CD8 or CD4 T cell counts (p = 0.482 and p = 0.221, respectively). Moreover, MAIT cells in hospitalized subjects showed a more activated phenotype with higher CD38 expression (p = 0.014), and there was a trend towards higher LAG-3 expression (p = 0.052). Conventional CD4 and CD8 T cells were similar between the groups. Next we performed multi-variable logistic regression analysis with hospitalizations as dependent variable, and FEV₁, GOLD 2017 group, and quantity or activation of MAIT and conventional T cells as independent variables. MAIT cell count, CD38 expression on MAIT cells, and LAG-3 expression on both MAIT and CD8 T cells were all independently associated with the risk of hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that MAIT cells might reflect a novel, FEV₁-independent immunological dimension in the complexity of COPD. The potential implication of MAIT cells in COPD pathogenesis and MAIT cells' prognostic potential deserve further investigation.