Risk stratification for recurrence in patients with esophageal and junctional carcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery

A network meta-analysis for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatments for resectable squamous cell carcinoma of esophagus

The optimal treatment for resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is still a debatable point; however, randomized trials for strategies including neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy (CT), radiotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) are not always available. This network meta-analysis aimed to identify an effective approach through indirect comparisons. An extensive literature search comparing multimodality treatment and surgery was performed, and a network meta-analysis was conducted with the frequentist method. Twenty-three trials including a total of 3636 ESCC patients were included. Neoadjuvant CRT and neoadjuvant CT, which were recommended by most guidelines for esophageal cancer, were associated with an overall survival advantage compared with surgery alone (HR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.26-0.73; HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.32-1.59). A statistically significant survival benefit from neoadjuvant CRT compared with neoadjuvant CT could not be demonstrated in our study (HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.32-1.17, P = 0.08). Our network meta-analysis showed that both neoadjuvant CRT and neoadjuvant CT were effective in improving the survival of patients with ESCC. Individual clinical decisions need further study in the future.

Clinical significance of risk stratification of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery

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Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) followed by surgery was regarded as the standard treatment of locally advanced esophageal cancer. However, studies have reported that almost 31%−50% of esophageal cancer patients still have local recurrence and or distant metastasis after NCRT and surgery. At present, there are few reports on the risk stratification of patients with esophageal carcinoma after NCRT and surgery. The valuable effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients underwent NCRT followed by surgery remains controversial. There is also no consensus that whether patients need adjuvant chemotherapy. Reasonable risk stratification is therefore required that helps postoperatively surveillance and classify patients suitable for adjuvant chemotherapy. There remains, however, no reliable forecasting system for ESCC patients after NCRT and surgery. Based on the current status, we carry out a noval risk stratification to predict survival, recurrence and classify patients at high risk that may benefit from adjuvant therapy according to clinicophological factors

Objective

Nowadays, there were few studies reporting the risk stratification of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) and surgery. We aimed to establish a simple risk stratification to help postoperative detection and adjuvant treatment.

Methods

We included 146 patients with locally advanced ESCC who received NCRT followed by esophagectomy. The impacts of clinicopathological factors on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed. The recurrence site, time, and frequency were recorded as well.

Results

The median follow-up was 53 months. The pathological complete respond (pCR) group demonstrated better 5-year OS and DFS (78.6% and 77.0%) than the non-pCR group (44.8% and 35.2%, all P < 0.005). Multivariate analysis for the non-pCR group revealed perineural invasion (PNI) (HR:2.296, P = 0.013) and ypTNM stage (I/II vs III/IV) (HR:1.972, P = 0.046) were considered as independent unfavorable factors affecting OS, while PNI (HR:1.866, P = 0.045) and lymph vessel invasion (LVI) (HR:3.370, P < 0.001) were considered as independent adverse factors for DFS. Based on clinicopathological factors (including pCR, ypTNM stage, PNI, LVI), patients were divided into the low-risk (pCR), mediate-risk (non-pCR without PNI, LVI, stage III/IV), high-risk (non-pCR with one factor of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV (n = 45)), highest risk (non-pCR with two or more factors of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV) groups. The corresponding 5-year OS rates were 78.6%, 60.4%, 49.6%, 18.6%, respectively (P < 0.005) and 5-year DFS rates were 77.0%, 46.9%, 41.1%, 12.1%, respectively (P < 0.005). Adjuvant chemotherapy may improve survival in high or highest risk groups of patients with low prognostic nutritional index (< 49).

Conclusions

A novel risk stratification based on clinicopathological factors may be conducive to postoperative surveillance and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.

A systematic review and network meta-analysis of neoadjuvant therapy combined with surgery for patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The role of neoadjuvant therapy combined with surgery for treating esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains controversial. We performed a network meta-analysis to synthesize direct and indirect evidence to identify the optimal therapeutic method for ESCC.

METHODS

We identified 15 randomized controlled trials that compared any of the following 4 therapeutic measures: surgery alone (S), preoperative chemotherapy followed by surgery (CTS), preoperative radiotherapy followed by surgery (RTS), and preoperative chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery (CRTS). The main outcomes were 5-year survival, rate of radical resection, operative mortality and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

Network meta-analysis showed that CRTS was associated with improved survival as compared with S (OR = 1.50 [95% CI 1.21 to 1.97]) and decreased occurrence of complications as compared with RTS (OR = 0.50 [95% CI 0.22 to 0.99]). Direct evidence revealed CRTS associated with improved survival (OR = 1.61 [95% CI 1.01 to 2.57]) and radical resection (OR = 4.01 [95% CI 1.66 to 9.69]) as compared with S. In terms of radical resection, CTS was more effective than S (OR = 1.73 [95% CI 1.09 to 2.76]). Findings for CTS and RTS did not differ for 5-year survival, operative mortality and postoperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, CRTS might be the best choice for resectable ESCC because it could increase the radical resection rate and lower the occurrence of complications, thereby prolonging survival time.

Factors influencing the risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with surgery: A single institution analysis consisting of 1002 cases

The aim of this study was to identify the risk of recurrence in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) treated with curative surgery. The retrospective analysis included 1002 consecutive patients with TESCC who had been treated with curative surgery in Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, China, between 2003 and 2008. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model, respectively, were performed to identify the independent risk factors for locoregional recurrence and all the recurrence events. The 2-and 5-year recurrence rates were 39.0 and 59.2%, respectively. More than 85% of recurrences occurred within 36 months. The variables associated with a higher rate of recurrence in the univariate analysis were gender (male), length of tumor (≥5 cm), depth of invasion (deeper), lymph node metastasis (greater), histological grade (higher) and vessel involvement (positive). By multivariate analyses, gender (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5; P=0.002), depth of invasion (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.6; P<0.001) and lymph node involvement (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.5; P<0.001) were independent predictive factors of recurrence. Post-operative radiotherapy or chemotherapy did not significantly prolong failure-free survival (FFS), particularly in patients with early-stage disease. Information regarding the depth of primary tumor invasion and the number of lymph nodes involved may help in evaluating the recurrence risk in patients with TESCC treated with curative surgery. Further studies are required to clarify the correlation between recurrence and the different multidisciplinary treatment approaches.

Impact of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy on surgery and survival in patients with esophageal carcinoma

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is often used to treat solid tumors before surgery or during the perioperative period. It is often combined with radiotherapy to improve survival and cure rate and to protect normal organs. Surgery is still the most effective therapy for esophageal cancer. Preoperative (neoadjuvant) chemotherapy and radiotherapy as a treatment modality has been in existence for nearly 20 years. However, it remains controversial over whether neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy can be used as the standard treatment for esophageal cancer. This paper sums up the impact of neoadjuvant chemotherapy on surgery and survival in patients with esophageal cancer. Moreover, we discuss the limitations and future directions of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for esophageal carcinoma.

Long-term efficacy of perioperative chemoradiotherapy on esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

AIM: To investigate the role of perioperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in the treatment of locally advanced thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS: Using preoperative computed tomography (CT)-based staging criteria, 238 patients with ESCC (stage II-III) were enrolled in this prospective study between January 1997 and June 2004. With informed consent, patients were randomized into 3 groups: preoperative CRT (80 cases), postoperative CRT (78 cases) and surgery alone (S) (80 cases). The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year survival were followed up. Progression-free survival (PFS) was chosen as the primary endpoint by treatment arm measured from study entry until documented progression of disease or death from any cause. The secondary endpoint was overall survival (OS) determined as the time (in months) between the date of therapy and the date of death. Other objectives were surgical and adjuvant therapy complications.

RESULTS: With median follow-up of 45 mo for all the enrolled patients, significant differences in the 1-, 3-, 5-, 10-year OS (91.3%, 63.5%, 43.5%, 24.5% vs 91%, 62.8%, 42.3%, 24.4% vs 87.5%, 51.3%, 33.8%, 12.5%, P = 0.0176) and PFS (89.3%, 61.3%, 37.5%, 18.1% vs 89.1%, 61.1%, 37.2%, 17.8% vs 84.5%, 49.3%, 25.9%, 6.2%, P = 0.0151) were detected among the 3 arms. There were no significant differences in OS and PFS between the preoperative CRT and postoperative CRT arm (P > 0.05). For the patients who had radical resection, significant differences in median PFS (48 mo vs 61 mo vs 39.5 mo, P = 0.0331) and median OS (56.5 mo vs 72 mo vs 41.5 mo, P = 0.0153) were detected among the 3 arms, but there were no significant differences in OS and PFS between the preoperative CRT and postoperative CRT arm (P > 0.05). The local recurrence rates in the preoperative CRT, postoperative CRT group and S group were 11.3%, 14.1% and 35%, respectively (P < 0.05). No significant differences were detected among the 3 groups when comparing complications but tended to be in favor of the postoperative CRT and S groups (P > 0.05). Toxicities of CRT in the preoperative or postoperative CRT arms were mostly moderate, and could be quickly alleviated by adequate therapy.

CONCLUSION: Rational application of preoperative or postoperative CRT can provide a benefit in PFS and OS in patients with locally advanced ESCC.

Effect of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy on prognosis and surgery for esophageal carcinoma

AIM: To investigate the role of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in prognosis and surgery for esophageal carcinoma by a meta-analysis.

METHODS: PubMed and manual searches were done to identify all published randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery (CRTS) with surgery alone (S) for esophageal cancer. According to the test of heterogeneity, a fixed-effect model or a random effect model was used and the odds ratio (OR) was the principal measure of effects.

RESULTS: Fourteen RCTs that included 1737 patients were selected with quality assessment ranging from A to C (Cochrane Reviewers’ Handbook 4.2.2). OR (95% CI, P value), expressed as CRTS vs S (values > 1 favor CRTS arm), was 1.19 (0.94-1.48, P = 0.28) for 1-year survival, 1.33 (1.07-1.65, P = 0.69) for 2-year survival, 1.76 (1.42-2.19, P = 0.11) for 3-year survival, 1.41 (1.06-1.87, P = 0.11) for 4-year survival, 1.64 (1.28-2.12, P = 0.40) for 5-year survival, 0.82 (0.39-1.73, P < 0.0001) for rate of resection, 1.53 (1.33-2.84, P = 0.007) for rate of complete resection, 1.78 (1.14-2.78, P = 0.79) for operative mortality, 1.12 (0.89-2.48, P = 0.503) for all treatment mortality, 1.33 (0.94-1.88, P = 0.04) for the rate of adverse treatment, 1.38 (1.23-1.63, P = 0.0002) for local-regional cancer recurrence, 1.28 (0.85-1.58, P = 0.60) for distant cancer recurrence, and 1.27 (0.86-1.65, P = 0.19) for all cancer recurrence. A complete pathological response to chemoradiotherapy occurred in 10%-45.5% of patients. The 5-year survival benefit was most pronounced when chemotherapy and radiotherapy were given concurrently (OR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.26-1.79, P = 0.015) instead of sequentially (OR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.64-1.35, P = 0.26).

CONCLUSION: Compared with surgery alone, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy can improve the long-term survival and reduce local-regional cancer recurrence. Concurrent administration of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy was superior to sequential chemoradiotherapy.