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Werring DJ, Ozkan H, Doubal F, Dawson J, Freemantle N, Hassan A, Le STN, Mallon D, Mendel R, Markus HS, Minhas JS, Webb AJS. Early neurological deterioration in acute lacunar ischemic stroke: Systematic review of incidence, mechanisms, and prospects for treatment. Int J Stroke 2025; 20:7-20. [PMID: 39086233 PMCID: PMC11669265 DOI: 10.1177/17474930241273685] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2024] [Accepted: 07/19/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) causes between 25% and 30% of all ischemic strokes. In acute lacunar ischemic stroke, despite often mild initial symptoms, early neurological deterioration (END) occurs in approximately 15-20% of patients and is associated with poor functional outcome, yet its mechanisms are not well understood. AIMS In this review, we systematically evaluated data on: (1) definitions and incidence of END, (2) mechanisms of small vessel occlusion, (3) predictors and mechanisms of END, and (4) prospects for the prevention or treatment of patients with END. SUMMARY OF REVIEW We identified 67 reports (including 13,407 participants) describing the incidence of END in acute lacunar ischemic stroke. The specified timescale for END varied from <24 h to 3 weeks. The rate of END ranged between 2.3% and 47.5% with a pooled incidence of 23.54% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 21.02-26.05) but heterogeneity was high (I2 = 90.29%). The rates of END defined by National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) decreases of ⩾1, ⩾2, ⩾3, and 4 points were as follows: 24.17 (21.19-27.16)%, 22.98 (20.48-25.30)%, 23.33 (16.23-30.42)%, and 10.79 (2.09-23.13)%, respectively, with lowest heterogeneity and greatest precision for a cutoff of ⩾2 points. Of the 20/67 studies (30%) reporting associations of END with clinical outcome, 19/20 (95%) reported worse outcomes (usually measured using the modified Rankin score at 90 days or at hospital discharge) in patients with END. In a meta-regression analysis, female sex, hypertension, diabetes, and smoking were associated with END. CONCLUSIONS END occurs in more than 20% of patients with acute lacunar ischemic stroke and might provide a novel target for clinical trials. A definition of an NIHSS ⩾2 decrease is most used and provides the best between-study homogeneity. END is consistently associated with poor functional outcome. Further research is needed to better identify patients at risk of END, to understand the underlying mechanisms, and to carry out new trials to test potential interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- David J Werring
- Stroke Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
| | - Hatice Ozkan
- Stroke Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
| | - Fergus Doubal
- Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, Row Fogo Centre for Research into Ageing and the Brain, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jesse Dawson
- School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nick Freemantle
- Comprehensive Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, UK
| | - Ahamad Hassan
- Department of Neurology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK
| | - Suong Thi Ngoc Le
- Stroke Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
| | - Dermot Mallon
- Lysholm Department of Neuroradiology, National Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery, London, UK
| | - Rom Mendel
- Stroke Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, UK
| | - Hugh S Markus
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Stroke Research Group, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Jatinder S Minhas
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Robert Kilpatrick Clinical Sciences Building, Leicester, UK
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Yaghi S, Raz E, Yang D, Cutting S, Mac Grory B, Elkind MS, de Havenon A. Lacunar stroke: mechanisms and therapeutic implications. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2021; 92:jnnp-2021-326308. [PMID: 34039632 DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2021-326308] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2021] [Revised: 05/03/2021] [Accepted: 05/05/2021] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
Lacunar stroke is a marker of cerebral small vessel disease and accounts for up to 25% of ischaemic stroke. In this narrative review, we provide an overview of potential lacunar stroke mechanisms and discuss therapeutic implications based on the underlying mechanism. For this paper, we reviewed the literature from important studies (randomised trials, exploratory comparative studies and case series) on lacunar stroke patients with a focus on more recent studies highlighting mechanisms and stroke prevention strategies in patients with lacunar stroke. These studies suggest that lacunar stroke is a heterogeneous disease with various mechanisms, including most commonly lipohyalinosis and less commonly atheromatous disease and cardioembolism, highlighting the importance of a careful review of brain and neurovascular imaging, a cardiac and systemic evaluation. A better understanding of pathomechanisms of neurological deterioration may lead to investigating the utility of novel treatment strategies and optimisation of short-term antithrombotic treatment strategies to reduce the risk of neurological deterioration and prevent long-term disability in patients with lacunar stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shadi Yaghi
- Department of Neurology, Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Eytan Raz
- Department of Radiology, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Dixon Yang
- Department of Radiology, NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
- Department of Neurology, NYU Langone health, New York, New York, USA
| | - Shawna Cutting
- Department of Neurology, Brown University Warren Alpert Medical School, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
| | - Brian Mac Grory
- Department of Neurology, Duke Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Mitchell Sv Elkind
- Department of Neurology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Adam de Havenon
- Department of Neurology, University of Utah Hospital, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
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Kent TA, Mandava P. Embracing Biological and Methodological Variance in a New Approach to Pre-Clinical Stroke Testing. Transl Stroke Res 2016; 7:274-83. [PMID: 27018014 PMCID: PMC5425098 DOI: 10.1007/s12975-016-0463-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2015] [Revised: 03/08/2016] [Accepted: 03/15/2016] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
High-profile failures in stroke clinical trials have discouraged clinical translation of neuroprotectants. While there are several plausible explanations for these failures, we believe that the fundamental problem is the way clinical and pre-clinical studies are designed and analyzed for heterogeneous disorders such as stroke due to innate biological and methodological variability that current methods cannot capture. Recent efforts to address pre-clinical rigor and design, while important, are unable to account for variability present even in genetically homogenous rodents. Indeed, efforts to minimize variability may lessen the clinical relevance of pre-clinical models. We propose a new approach that recognizes the important role of baseline stroke severity and other factors in influencing outcome. Analogous to clinical trials, we propose reporting baseline factors that influence outcome and then adapting for the pre-clinical setting a method developed for clinical trial analysis where the influence of baseline factors is mathematically modeled and the variance quantified. A new therapy's effectiveness is then evaluated relative to the pooled outcome variance at its own baseline conditions. In this way, an objective threshold for robustness can be established that must be overcome to suggest its effectiveness when expanded to broader populations outside of the controlled environment of the PI's laboratory. The method is model neutral and subsumes sources of variance as reflected in baseline factors such as initial stroke severity. We propose that this new approach deserves consideration for providing an objective method to select agents worthy of the commitment of time and resources in translation to clinical trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas A Kent
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, McNair Campus, 7200 Cambridge St. 9th Floor, MS: BCM609, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center Stroke Program and Center for Translational Research on Inflammatory Diseases, Houston, TX, USA.
| | - Pitchaiah Mandava
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, McNair Campus, 7200 Cambridge St. 9th Floor, MS: BCM609, Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center Stroke Program and Center for Translational Research on Inflammatory Diseases, Houston, TX, USA
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Mandava P, Shah SD, Sarma AK, Kent TA. An Outcome Model for Intravenous rt-PA in Acute Ischemic Stroke. Transl Stroke Res 2015; 6:451-7. [PMID: 26385545 DOI: 10.1007/s12975-015-0427-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2015] [Accepted: 09/04/2015] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
Most early phase trials in stroke and brain trauma have failed in phase 3, including efforts to improve acute ischemic stroke outcomes beyond that achieved by intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) (IVT). With the exception of more recent stent retriever trials, most subsequent phase 3 trials failed. We previously showed that baseline imbalances, non-linear relationships of these factors to outcome, and unrepresentative control populations invalidate traditional statistical analysis in early trials of heterogeneous diseases such as stroke. We developed an alternative approach using a pooled outcome model derived from control arms of randomized clinical trial (RCTs). This model then permits comparing treatment trials to an expected outcome of a pooled population. Here, we hypothesized we could develop such a model for IVT and tested it against outcomes without IVT. We surveyed literature for all trials involving one arm with IVT reporting baseline National Institute Stroke Scale (NIHSS), age, and outcome. A non-linear fit was performed including multi-dimensional statistical intervals (±95 %) permitting visual comparison of outcomes at their own baselines. We compared models derived from non-IVT control arms. Models from 24 IVT RCTs representing 3195 subjects were successfully generated for functional outcome, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2 (r(2) = 0. 83, p < 0.001), and mortality (r(2) = 0.54; p = 0.001). We confirmed better outcomes compared to no IVT and mixed use IVT models across the range of baseline factors. It was possible to generate an expected outcome model for IVT from existing literature. We confirmed benefit compared to placebo. This model should be useful to compare to new agents without the need for statistical manipulation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pitchaiah Mandava
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, 2002 Holcombe Blvd (127), Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA.
| | - Shreyansh D Shah
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Anand K Sarma
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Thomas A Kent
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, 2002 Holcombe Blvd (127), Houston, TX, 77030, USA
- Center for Translational Research in Inflammatory Diseases, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Houston, TX, USA
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Malignant infarction is characterized by the formation of cerebral edema, and medical treatment is limited. Preclinical data suggest that glyburide, an inhibitor of SUR1-TRPM4, is effective in preventing edema. We previously reported feasibility of the GAMES-Pilot study, a two-center prospective, open label, phase IIa trial of 10 subjects at high risk for malignant infarction based on diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) threshold of 82 cm(3) treated with RP-1127 (glyburide for injection). In this secondary analysis, we tested the hypothesis that RP-1127 may be efficacious in preventing poor outcome when compared to controls. METHODS Controls suffering large hemispheric infarction were obtained from the EPITHET and MMI-MRI studies. We first screened subjects for controls with the same DWI threshold used for enrollment into GAMES-Pilot, 82 cm(3). Next, to address imbalances, we applied a weighted Euclidean matching. Ninety day mRS 0-4, rate of decompressive craniectomy, and mortality were the primary clinical outcomes of interest. RESULTS The mean age of the GAMES cohort was 51 years and initial DWI volume was 102 ± 23 cm(3). After Euclidean matching, GAMES subjects showed similar NIHSS, higher DWI volume, younger age and had mRS 0-4-90% versus 50% in controls p = 0.049; with a similar trend in mRS 0-3 (40 vs. 25%; p = 0.43) and trend toward lower mortality (10 vs. 35%; p = 0.21). CONCLUSIONS In this pilot study, RP-1127-treated subjects showed better clinical outcomes when compared to historical controls. An adequately powered and randomized phase II trial of patients at risk for malignant infarction is needed to evaluate the potential efficacy of RP-1127.
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Mishra NK, Mandava P, Chen C, Grotta J, Lees KR, Kent TA. Influence of racial differences on outcomes after thrombolytic therapy in acute ischemic stroke. Int J Stroke 2014; 9:613-7. [PMID: 24148895 DOI: 10.1111/ijs.12162] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2012] [Accepted: 05/22/2013] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The National Institutes of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and the European Co-operative Acute Stroke III trials enrolled a largely Caucasian population, but the results are often extrapolated onto non-Caucasians. A limited number of nonrandomized studies have proposed that non-Caucasian patients show differential response to tissue plasminogen activator. AIMS AND/OR HYPOTHESIS We examined if non-Caucasian patients of mixed national origin within the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archives neuroprotection trials responded differently to tissue plasminogen activator compared with Caucasians. METHODS We matched patients within each race-subtype for age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scales, and diabetes status, and excluded outliers. We tested for an interaction of race ethnicity with tissue plasminogen activator on predicting outcomes at α = 0·05. We compared 90-day ordinal outcome (modified Rankin Scale; primary analysis) and dichotomized outcomes (modified Rankin Scale 0-1; modified Rankin Scale 0-2; survival) within individual race ethnicity. RESULTS One thousand nine hundred forty-six thrombolysed patients (125 Blacks, 39 Asians, and 1821 Caucasians) were matched with 1946 non-thrombolysed patients in each race ethnicity group. Postmatching, there were no imbalances in baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scales and age between the groups (P > 0·05). The interaction of tissue plasminogen activator with race ethnicity was nonsignificant in ordinal (P = 0·4) and in dichotomized outcome models (P > 0·05). Ordinal odds for improved outcomes were 1·5 for all patients (P < 0·05). Ordinal odds for Caucasians were 1·5 (P < 0·05); for Blacks, 2·1 (P < 0·05); and for Asians, 1·2 (P > 0·05; 1·6 after 1:2 matching with nonthrombolysed, because of small numbers). Dichotomized functional outcomes improved after thrombolysis overall, in Caucasians, in Blacks (modified Rankin Scale 0-2 only), and in Asians (after 1:2 matching; P > 0·05). Odds for survival were consistent across all groups. CONCLUSIONS These results do not suggest a differential response to tissue plasminogen activator based on race ethnicity. Among Asians, data were particularly sparse, and results should be interpreted with caution.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nishant K Mishra
- Stanford Stroke Center, Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, CA, USA; Western Infirmary and Faculty of Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland; Department of Neurology, University of Texas Health Sciences Centre, Houston, TX, USA
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Hyperglycemia Worsens Outcome After rt-PA Primarily in the Large-Vessel Occlusive Stroke Subtype. Transl Stroke Res 2014; 5:519-25. [DOI: 10.1007/s12975-014-0338-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2013] [Revised: 02/28/2014] [Accepted: 03/04/2014] [Indexed: 01/04/2023]
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Mandava P, Murthy SB, Munoz M, McGuire D, Simon RP, Alexandrov AV, Albright KC, Boehme AK, Martin-Schild S, Martini S, Kent TA. Explicit consideration of baseline factors to assess recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator response with respect to race and sex. Stroke 2013; 44:1525-31. [PMID: 23674524 PMCID: PMC5535075 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.113.001116] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2013] [Accepted: 03/26/2013] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Sex and race reportedly influence outcome after recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rtPA). It is, however, unclear whether baseline imbalances (eg, stroke severity) or lack of response to thrombolysis is responsible. We applied balancing methods to test the hypothesis that race and sex influence outcome after rtPA independent of baseline conditions. METHODS We mapped group outcomes from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) dataset based on race and sex onto a surrogate-control function to assess differences from expected outcomes at their respective National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and age. Outcomes were also compared for subjects matched individually on key baseline factors using NINDS and 2 recent datasets from southeastern United States. RESULTS At similar National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and age, 90-day good outcomes (modified Rankin Score, 0-2) in NINDS were similarly improved after rtPA for white men and women. There was a strong trend for improvement in black men. Conversely, black women treated with rtPA showed response rates no different from the controls. After baseline matching, there were nonsignificant trends in outcomes except for significantly fewer good outcomes in black versus matched white women (37% versus 63%; P=0.027). Pooling the 3 datasets showed a similar trend for poorer short-term outcome for black women (P=0.054; modified Rankin Score, 0-1). CONCLUSIONS Matching for key baseline factors indicated that race and sex influence outcome most strikingly in black women who demonstrated poorest outcomes after rtPA. This finding supports the hypothesis that poor response to rtPA, rather than differences in baseline conditions, contributes to the worse outcome. This finding requires prospective confirmation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pitchaiah Mandava
- Stroke Outcomes Laboratory, Department of Neurology, Baylor College of Medicine, The Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, 2002 Holcombe Blvd (127), Houston, TX 77030, USA.
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Mandava P, Krumpelman CS, Murthy SB, Kent TA. A Critical Review of Stroke Trial Analytical Methodology: Outcome Measures, Study Design, and Correction for Imbalances. Transl Stroke Res 2012. [DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-9530-8_40] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
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