Predictors and Outcomes of Neurological Deterioration in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Results from the TICH-2 Randomized Controlled Trial

Clinical, radiological, and radiomics feature-based explainable machine learning models for prediction of neurological deterioration and 90-day outcomes in mild intracerebral hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The risks and prognosis of mild intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients were easily overlooked by clinicians. Our goal was to use machine learning (ML) methods to predict mild ICH patients' neurological deterioration (ND) and 90-day prognosis.

METHODS

This prospective study recruited 257 patients with mild ICH for this study. After exclusions, 148 patients were included in the ND study and 144 patients in the 90-day prognosis study. We trained five ML models using filtered data, including clinical, traditional imaging, and radiomics indicators based on non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT). Additionally, we incorporated the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) method to display key features and visualize the decision-making process of the model for each individual.

RESULTS

A total of 21 (14.2%) mild ICH patients developed ND, and 35 (24.3%) mild ICH patients had a 90-day poor prognosis. In the validation set, the support vector machine (SVM) models achieved an AUC of 0.846 (95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.627-1.000) and an F1-score of 0.667 for predicting ND, and an AUC of 0.970 (95% CI, 0.928-1.000), and an F1-score of 0.846 for predicting 90-day prognosis. The SHAP analysis results indicated that several clinical features, the island sign, and the radiomics features of the hematoma were of significant value in predicting ND and 90-day prognosis.

CONCLUSION

The ML models, constructed using clinical, traditional imaging, and radiomics indicators, demonstrated good classification performance in predicting ND and 90-day prognosis in patients with mild ICH, and have the potential to serve as an effective tool in clinical practice.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Not applicable.

Golden hour management in the patient with intraparenchymal cerebral hemorrhage: an Italian intersociety document

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for 9-27% of all strokes worldwide and is associated with high mortality and disability. The main causes include vascular malformations, small- and large-vessel angiopathies, and coagulation disorders. Mortality rates reach approximately 40% at 1 month and 54% at 1 year, largely influenced by early management decisions. Rapid intervention, particularly within the first hour, is crucial, especially for patients initially treated in peripheral hospitals. This consensus document, developed by SIAARTI with the endorsement of multiple medical societies, aims to standardize ICH management based on hospital capabilities, aligning with the "time is brain" principle and the 2022 AHA guidelines.

METHODS

A multidisciplinary panel of experts-including neurointensivists, neuroanesthesiologists, neurologists, neuroradiologists, emergency physicians, and neuroscience nurses-developed this consensus document. The process combined a systematic literature review with a modified Delphi method, prioritizing clinical questions using the UCLA-RAND appropriateness methodology. Literature searches were conducted on PubMed following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Statements were formulated based on both evidence and expert consensus, and the final document underwent external peer review.

RESULTS

Computer tomography (CT) angiography, with over 90% sensitivity and specificity, is a key tool for identifying macrovascular abnormalities and detecting active bleeding, a critical factor in poor outcomes. Prognostic models, such as the ICH score, assist in clinical decision-making. Strict blood pressure control (target 130-140 mmHg) and early intubation in appropriate cases help mitigate hematoma expansion. Anticonvulsants are recommended only for patients with documented seizures. In cases of anticoagulant-related hemorrhage, prothrombin complex concentrates are effective for rapid reversal, though their long-term impact remains uncertain. Intensive care unit (ICU) admission is determined by ICH severity, with severe cases benefiting from specialized neurocritical care.

CONCLUSION

A multidisciplinary and inter-societal discussion provided key recommendations for the immediate management of ICH, based on the available literature. While only a few topics are supported by robust evidence, experts strongly recommend early brain angio CT, risk stratification using scoring systems, clear communication of patient data, and intubation for impaired consciousness. Blood pressure should be controlled with alpha- and beta-blockers, avoiding hypotension. Anticoagulant reversal should be appropriately managed, and eligible patients should be centralized in ICU and neurosurgical centers using dedicated scoring systems.

Thiamine administration and in-hospital mortality in patients with traumatic brain injury: analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

Aim

Several studies have suggested the favorable impact of thiamine administration on the prognosis of diseases. However, the value of thiamine in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between the between thiamine administration and in-hospital mortality in TBI patients.

Methods

A cohort of 1,755 individuals diagnosed with TBI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database were included in this retrospective cohort study. Thiamine administration is determined by the patient's usage during their stay in the ICU. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis were used to investigate the relationship between thiamine administration and in-hospital mortality of patients with TBI. Subgroup analysis was also performed to determine if this association differed for subgroups classified using different variables including age (<65 years and ≥65 years), gender (male and female), and the severity of TBI (mild, moderate, and severe).

Results

The median follow-up time was 6.77 (3.98, 12.94) days, and the in-hospital mortality rate for the population was approximately 14.1%. In the univariable Cox regression analysis, thiamine administration was significantly associated with the reduced risk of in-hospital mortality in TBI patients admitted to the ICU. performing the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the observed association of thiamine administration and in-hospital mortality remained significant, with the hazard ratios (HR) of 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.45-0.98]. In the subgroup analysis, the results demonstrated that thiamine administration resulted in a decreased risk of in-hospital mortality among TBI patients who aged 65 years or older (HR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.19-0.69), as well as male individuals (HR = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.17-0.80) and those with severe TBI (HR = 0.16, 95% CI: 0.04-0.57).

Conclusion

Thiamine administration may reduce in-hospital mortality for patients with TBI admitted to the ICU.

Stress hyperglycemia indexes and early neurological deterioration in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

AIM

To evaluate the relationship of early neurological deterioration (END) with admission glycemia (aG) and new stress hyperglycemia indexes in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients.

METHODS

The present retrospective study included 171 ICH patients from two stroke centers. END was defined as an increase ≥ 4 points in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and/or a decrease ≥ 2 points in Glasgow Coma Scale within 72 hours from admission. The included stress hyperglycemia indexes were glycemic gap (GGAP), stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), and glucose-glycated hemoglobin ratio. GGAP was calculated as aG - 28,7*glycated hemoglobin + 46,7; SHR as aG / (28,7*glycated hemoglobin - 46,7); Glucose-glycated hemoglobin ratio as aG / glycated hemoglobin. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses for END. The receiver operating characteristic curves were built for END-related glycemic measures; area under curves (AUC) were calculated and compared. The optimized threshold values were calculated, and significant glycemic measures were dichotomized. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the dichotomized measures.

RESULTS

END was present in 21 patients (12.3%) and was significantly associated with GGAP, SHR and glucose-glycated hemoglobin ratio, but not with aG. The AUC of the three stress hyperglycemia indexes did not differ significantly. The optimized cutoffs were 35.68 (sensitivity 0.47, specificity 0.81), 1.15 (sensitivity 0.62, specificity 0.68), and 26.67(sensitivity 0.43, specificity 0.80) for GGAP, SHR, and glucose-glycated hemoglobin ratio respectively. END was also associated with all stress hyperglycemia indexes expressed as categorical variables.

CONCLUSION

GGAP, SHR, and glucose-glycated hemoglobin ratio were predictors of END in ICH patients.

Tranexamic acid in the management of traumatic brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis

INTRODUCTION

Traumatic brain injury is a leading cause of death and disability. Tranexamic acid, an antifibrinolytic agent, holds the potential for managing intracranial hemorrhages secondary to traumatic brain injury. However, its efficacy and safety remain subjects of ongoing debate.

OBJECTIVE

To better clarify the efficacy and safety of tranexamic acid in that context and to evaluate the need for further studies.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive search of seven electronic databases, eight study repositories, and tertiary sources between January 2021 and 2022 for randomized controlled trials involving victims of traumatic brain injury aged 15 or older who received tranexamic acid versus placebo or standard care. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and hemorrhagic complications during treatment. This review incorporated elements of PRISMA guidelines, Cochrane's Risk of Bias assessment, and GRADE to assess evidence quality. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted.

RESULTS

Out of 6,958 references retrieved, 14 of the 17 randomized controlled trials were analyzed, encompassing a total of 15,017 patients. Analyses for all-cause mortality did not reach statistical significance (RR= 0.95, 95%CI= 0.88-1.02 | trial sequential analysis RR= 0.95, 95%CI= 0.87-1.03). However, the analysis of hemorrhagic complications during treatment showed statistical significance for progressive intracranial hemorrhage (RR= 0.82, 95%CI= 0.68-0.99 | trial sequential analysis RR= 0.82, 95%CI= 0.38-1.78). Analyses of secondary outcomes, namely unfavorable neurological outcome and other adverse effects, did not demonstrate statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

Tranexamic acid use did not demonstrate efficacy based on all-cause mortality but showed a favorable safety profile. Additional clinical trials may shed light on remaining clinical uncertainties. Prospero database registration: CRD42021221949.

Subacute Neurological Improvement Predicts Favorable Functional Recovery After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: INTERACT2 Study

BACKGROUND

The frequency and prognostic significance of subacute neurological improvement (SNI) on 90-day outcomes after acute intracerebral hemorrhage are unknown.

METHODS

Secondary analyses of participant data from the INTERACT2 trial (Second Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage Trial). SNI included any, moderate, significant, and substantial neurological improvement defined as ≥1, ≥2, ≥3, and ≥4 points decrease, respectively, on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale from 24 hours to 7 days after intracerebral hemorrhage. Logistic regression models were used to assess associations of SNI and death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6), major disability (modified Rankin Scale scores, 3-5), and death alone at 90 days. Data are reported as odds ratios and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

Of 2571 patients included in analyses, 1492 (58.0%), 1057 (41.1%), 731 (28.4%), and 490 (19.1%) patients experienced any, moderate, significant, and substantial SNI (24 hours to 7 days) after intracerebral hemorrhage, respectively. After adjustment for key confounders, any SNI was associated with 49%, 25%, and 65% reduced odds of death or major disability (odds ratio, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.42-0.63]), major disability alone (odds ratio, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.63-0.90]), and death (odds ratio, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.24-0.50]), respectively. Moderate, significant, and substantial SNI were also significantly associated with decreased odds of death or major disability at 90 days. The relationship between any SNI and study outcomes was consistent in most subgroups, including age and baseline hematoma volume. Early intensive blood pressure-lowering treatment did not increase the odds of SNI.

CONCLUSIONS

SNI from 24 hours to 7 days is common after intracerebral hemorrhage and predicts a lower likelihood of death or major disability.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00716079.

Predicting functional outcomes of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage based on explainable machine learning models: a multicenter retrospective study

Background

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) is the second most common cause of cerebrovascular disease after ischemic stroke, with high mortality and disability rates, imposing a significant economic burden on families and society. This retrospective study aimed to develop and evaluate an interpretable machine learning model to predict functional outcomes 3 months after SICH.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 380 patients with SICH who were hospitalized at three different centers between June 2020 and June 2023. Seventy percent of the samples were randomly selected as the training set, while the remaining 30% were used as the validation set. Univariate analysis, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, and Pearson correlation analysis were used to screen clinical variables. The selected variables were then incorporated into five machine learning models: complementary naive bayes (CNB), support vector machine (SVM), gaussian naive bayes (GNB), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB), to assess their performance. Additionally, the area under the curve (AUC) values were evaluated to compare the performance of each algorithmic model, and global and individual interpretive analyses were conducted using importance ranking and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP).

Results

Among the 380 patients, 95 ultimately had poor prognostic outcomes. In the validation set, the AUC values for CNB, SVM, GNB, MLP, and XGB models were 0.899 (0.816-0.979), 0.916 (0.847-0.982), 0.730 (0.602-0.857), 0.913 (0.834-0.986), and 0.969 (0.937-0.998), respectively. Therefore, the XGB model performed the best among the five algorithms. SHAP analysis revealed that the GCS score, hematoma volume, blood pressure changes, platelets, age, bleeding location, and blood glucose levels were the most important variables for poor prognosis.

Conclusion

The XGB model developed in this study can effectively predict the risk of poor prognosis in patients with SICH, helping clinicians make personalized and rational clinical decisions. Prognostic risk in patients with SICH is closely associated with GCS score, hematoma volume, blood pressure changes, platelets, age, bleeding location, and blood glucose levels.

Added Value of Frequency of Imaging Markers for Prediction of Outcome After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Secondary Analysis of Existing Data

BACKGROUND

Frequency of imaging markers (FIM) has been identified as an independent predictor of hematoma expansion in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but its impact on clinical outcome of ICH is yet to be determined. The aim of the present study was to investigate this association.

METHODS

This study was a secondary analysis of our prior research. The data for this study were derived from six retrospective cohorts of ICH from January 2018 to August 2022. All consecutive study participants were examined within 6 h of stroke onset on neuroimaging. FIM was defined as the ratio of the number of imaging markers on noncontrast head tomography (i.e., hypodensities, blend sign, and island sign) to onset-to-neuroimaging time. The primary poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6 at 3 months.

RESULTS

A total of 1253 patients with ICH were included for final analysis. Among those with available follow-up results, 713 (56.90%) exhibited a poor neurologic outcome at 3 months. In a univariate analysis, FIM was associated with poor prognosis (odds ratio 4.36; 95% confidence interval 3.31-5.74; p < 0.001). After adjustment for age, Glasgow Coma Scale score, systolic blood pressure, hematoma volume, and intraventricular hemorrhage, FIM was still an independent predictor of worse prognosis (odds ratio 3.26; 95% confidence interval 2.37-4.48; p < 0.001). Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a cutoff value of 0.28 for FIM was associated with 0.69 sensitivity, 0.66 specificity, 0.73 positive predictive value, 0.62 negative predictive value, and 0.71 area under the curve for the diagnosis of poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

The metric of FIM is associated with 3-month poor outcome after ICH. The novel indicator that helps identify patients who are likely within the 6-h time window at risk for worse outcome would be a valuable addition to the clinical management of ICH.

The Effect of Tranexamic Acid on Neurosurgical Intervention in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hematoma: Data From 121 Surgically Treated Participants From the Tranexamic Acid in IntraCerebral Hemorrhage-2 Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

An important proportion of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) undergo neurosurgical intervention to reduce mass effect from large hematomas and control the complications of bleeding, including hematoma expansion and hydrocephalus. The Tranexamic acid (TXA) for hyperacute primary IntraCerebral Hemorrhage (TICH-2) trial demonstrated that tranexamic acid (TXA) reduces the risk of hematoma expansion. We hypothesized that TXA would reduce the frequency of surgery (primary outcome) and improve functional outcome at 90 days in surgically treated patients in the TICH-2 data set.

METHODS

Participants enrolled in TICH-2 were randomized to placebo or TXA. Participants randomized to either TXA or placebo were analyzed for whether they received neurosurgery within 7 days and their characteristics, outcomes, hematoma volumes (HVs) were compared. Characteristics and outcomes of participants who received surgery were also compared with those who did not.

RESULTS

Neurosurgery was performed in 5.2% of participants (121/2325), including craniotomy (57%), hematoma drainage (33%), and external ventricular drainage (21%). The number of patients receiving surgery who received TXA vs placebo were similar at 4.9% (57/1153) and 5.5% (64/1163), respectively (odds ratio [OR] 0.893; 95% CI 0.619-1.289; P -value = .545). TXA did not improve outcome compared with placebo in either surgically treated participants (OR 0.79; 95% CI 0.30-2.09; P = .64) or those undergoing hematoma evacuation by drainage or craniotomy (OR 1.19 95% 0.51-2.78; P -value = .69). Postoperative HV was not reduced by TXA (mean difference -8.97 95% CI -23.77, 5.82; P -value = .45).

CONCLUSION

TXA was not associated with less neurosurgical intervention, reduced HV, or improved outcomes after surgery.

Tranexamic acid: a narrative review of its current role in perioperative medicine and acute medical bleeding

Purpose

Tranexamic acid (TXA) is the most widely prescribed antifibrinolytic for active bleeding or to prevent surgical bleeding. Despite numerous large multi-center randomized trials involving thousands of patients being conducted, TXA remains underutilized in indications where it has demonstrated efficacy and a lack of harmful effects. This narrative review aims to provide basic concepts about fibrinolysis and TXA's mode of action and is focused on the most recent and important trials evaluating this drug in different hemorrhagic situations.

Methods

We selected every low bias RCT, and we highlighted their strengths and limitations throughout this review.

Principal findings

While TXA appears to have a favorable benefit-risk ratio in most situations (trauma, obstetrics, at-risk for bleeding surgeries) evidence of benefit is lacking in certain medical settings (SAH, digestive bleeding).

Conclusion

Although in some situations the drug's effect on significant outcomes is modest, its favorable safety profile allows it to be recommended for trauma patients, in obstetrics, and in scheduled surgeries at risk of bleeding. However, it cannot be recommended in cases of spontaneous intracranial bleeding, subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), or gastrointestinal bleeding.

Association between serum osmolality and risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

Aim

This study aimed to analyze the association between serum osmolality and the risk of in-hospital mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, data of a total of 1,837 ICH patients aged ≥18 years were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV). Serum osmolality and blood urea nitrogen (BUN)-to-creatinine (Cr) ratio (BCR) were used as the main variables to assess their association with the risk of in-hospital mortality in ICH patients after first intensive care unit (ICU) admission using a univariable Cox model. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were applied to explore the associations between serum osmolality, BCR, and in-hospital mortality of ICH patients. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

Results

The median survival duration of all participants was 8.29 (4.61-15.24) days. Serum osmolality of ≥295 mmol/L was correlated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ICH (HR = 1.43, 95%CI: 1.14-1.78). BCR of >20 was not significantly associated with the risk of in-hospital mortality in ICH patients. A subgroup analysis indicated an increased risk of in-hospital mortality among ICH patients who were women, belonged to white or Black race, or had complications with acute kidney injury (AKI).

Conclusion

High serum osmolality was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality among ICH patients.

How much of the variance in functional outcome related to intracerebral hemorrhage volume is already apparent in neurological status at admission?

BACKGROUND

Hematoma volume is a major pathophysiological hallmark of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigated how the variance in functional outcome induced by the ICH volume is explained by neurological deficits at admission using a mediation model.

METHODS

Patients with acute ICH treated in three tertiary stroke centers between January 2010 and April 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Mediation analysis was performed to investigate the effect of ICH volume (0.8 ml (5% quantile) versus 130.6 ml (95% quantile)) on the risk of unfavorable functional outcome at discharge defined as modified Rankin Score (mRS) ≥ 3 with mediation through National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at admission. Multivariable regression was conducted to identify factors related to neurological improvement and deterioration.

RESULTS

Three hundred thirty-eight patients were analyzed. One hundred twenty-one patients (36%) achieved mRS ≤ 3 at discharge. Mediation analysis showed that NIHSS on admission explained 30% [13%; 58%] of the ICH volume-induced variance in functional outcome at smaller ICH volume levels, and 14% [4%; 46%] at larger ICH volume levels. Higher ICH volume at admission and brainstem or intraventricular location of ICH were associated with neurological deterioration, while younger age, normotension, lower ICH volumes, and lobar location of ICH were predictors for neurological improvement.

CONCLUSION

NIHSS at admission reflects 14% of the functional outcome at discharge for larger hematoma volumes and 30% for smaller hematoma volumes. These results underscore the importance of effects not reflected in NIHSS admission for the outcome of ICH patients such as secondary brain injury and early rehabilitation.

Predictors of early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early neurological deterioration, a common complication in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, is associated with poor outcomes. Despite the fact that the prevalence and predictors of early neurological impairment are widely addressed, few studies have consolidated these findings. This study aimed to systematically investigate the prevalence and predictors of early neurological deterioration.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CIHNAL, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for relevant studies from the inception to December 2023. The data were extracted using a predefined worksheet. Quality assessment was conducted using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Two reviewers independently performed the study selection, data extraction, and quality appraisal. The pooled effect size and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the STATA 17.0 software package.

RESULTS

In total, 32 studies and 5,014 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The prevalence of early neurological deterioration was 23% (95% CI 21-26%, p < 0.01). The initial NIHSS score (OR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.17, 1.30, p < 0.01), hematoma volume (OR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.06, 1.09, p < 0.01), intraventricular hemorrhage (OR = 3.50, 95% CI 1.64, 7.47, p < 0.01), intraventricular extension (OR = 3.95, 95% CI 1.96, 7.99, p < 0.01), hematoma expansion (OR = 9.77, 95% CI 4.43, 17.40, p < 0.01), and computed tomographic angiography spot sign (OR = 5.77, 95% CI 1.53, 20.23, p = 0.01) were predictors of early neurological deterioration. The funnel plot and Egger's test revealed significant publication bias (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis revealed a pooled prevalence of early neurological deterioration of 23% in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. The initial NIHSS score, hematoma volume, intraventricular hemorrhage, intraventricular expansion, hematoma expansion, and spot sign enhanced the probability of early neurological deterioration. These findings provide healthcare providers with an evidence-based basis for detecting and managing early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

Time-Dependent Changes in Hematoma Expansion Rate after Supratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhage and Its Relationship with Neurological Deterioration and Functional Outcome

BACKGROUND

Hematoma expansion (HE) following an intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a modifiable risk factor and a treatment target. We examined the association of HE with neurological deterioration (ND), functional outcome, and mortality based on the time gap from onset to baseline CT.

METHODS

We included 567 consecutive patients with supratentorial ICH and baseline head CT within 24 h of onset. ND was defined as a ≥4-point increase on the NIH stroke scale (NIHSS) or a ≥2-point drop on the Glasgow coma scale. Poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin score of 4 to 6 at 3-month follow-up.

RESULTS

The rate of HE was higher among those scanned within 3 h (124/304, 40.8%) versus 3 to 24 h post-ICH onset (53/263, 20.2%) (p < 0.001). However, HE was an independent predictor of ND (p < 0.001), poor outcome (p = 0.010), and mortality (p = 0.003) among those scanned within 3 h, as well as those scanned 3-24 h post-ICH (p = 0.043, p = 0.037, and p = 0.004, respectively). Also, in a subset of 180/567 (31.7%) patients presenting with mild symptoms (NIHSS ≤ 5), hematoma growth was an independent predictor of ND (p = 0.026), poor outcome (p = 0.037), and mortality (p = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

Despite decreasing rates over time after ICH onset, HE remains an independent predictor of ND, functional outcome, and mortality among those presenting >3 h after onset or with mild symptoms.

Ultraearly Intraventricular Hemorrhage Growth Predicts Early Neurologic Deterioration and Poor Functional Outcome After Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background The presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) was extensively investigated and was associated with poor outcome in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, the effect of the speed of ventricular bleeding on outcomes is unknown. Methods and Results We prospectively included patients with ICH who had baseline computed tomography scans within 6 hours after ictus between January 2016 and October 2021. The clinical characteristics were compared between patients with and without early neurologic deterioration (END). Ultraearly IVH growth (uIVHG) was defined as baseline IVH volume by onset-to-imaging time. The association between uIVHG and outcomes was assessed by using multivariable logistic regression analysis. We established the ultraearly IVH growth (uIVH) score and compared the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of the existing scores for predicting END. A total of 299 patients were finally enrolled. Of those, 38 patients (12.7%) experienced END at 24 hours and 89 patients (29.8%) had poor outcomes at 90 days. After adjustment for confounding factors, uIVHG (odds ratio, 1.061 [95% CI, 1.011-1.113]; P=0.016) was independently associated with END in multivariable analysis. A prediction score was developed on the basis of the logistic model. The uIVH score was developed as a sum of individual points (0-6) based on age, hematoma volume, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, hematoma expansion, and uIVHG ≥2.5 mL/h. In comparison with the ICH score and modified Emergency Department ICH Scale, the uIVH score exhibited best performance in the prediction of END. Conclusions uIVHG is associated with early neurologic deterioration and poor functional outcome in patients with ICH.

Haemostatic therapies for stroke due to acute, spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Outcome after acute spontaneous (non-traumatic) intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) is influenced by haematoma volume. ICH expansion occurs in about 20% of people with acute ICH. Early haemostatic therapy might improve outcome by limiting ICH expansion. This is an update of a Cochrane Review first published in 2006, and last updated in 2018.

OBJECTIVES

To examine 1. the effects of individual classes of haemostatic therapies, compared with placebo or open control, in adults with acute spontaneous ICH, and 2. the effects of each class of haemostatic therapy according to the use and type of antithrombotic drug before ICH onset.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Stroke Trials Register, CENTRAL (2022, Issue 8), MEDLINE Ovid, and Embase Ovid on 12 September 2022. To identify further published, ongoing, and unpublished randomised controlled trials (RCTs), we scanned bibliographies of relevant articles and searched international registers of RCTs in September 2022.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included RCTs of any haemostatic intervention (i.e. procoagulant treatments such as clotting factor concentrates, antifibrinolytic drugs, platelet transfusion, or agents to reverse the action of antithrombotic drugs) for acute spontaneous ICH, compared with placebo, open control, or an active comparator.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We used standard Cochrane methods. Our primary outcome was death/dependence (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 4 to 6) by day 90. Secondary outcomes were ICH expansion on brain imaging after 24 hours, all serious adverse events, thromboembolic adverse events, death from any cause, quality of life, mood, cognitive function, Barthel Index score, and death or dependence measured on the Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale by day 90.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 20 RCTs involving 4652 participants: nine RCTs of recombinant activated factor VII (rFVIIa) versus placebo/open control (1549 participants), eight RCTs of antifibrinolytic drugs versus placebo/open control (2866 participants), one RCT of platelet transfusion versus open control (190 participants), and two RCTs of prothrombin complex concentrates (PCC) versus fresh frozen plasma (FFP) (47 participants). Four (20%) RCTs were at low risk of bias in all criteria. For rFVIIa versus placebo/open control for spontaneous ICH with or without surgery there was little to no difference in death/dependence by day 90 (risk ratio (RR) 0.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.74 to 1.05; 7 RCTs, 1454 participants; low-certainty evidence). We found little to no difference in ICH expansion between groups (RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.16; 4 RCTs, 220 participants; low-certainty evidence). There was little to no difference in all serious adverse events and death from any cause between groups (all serious adverse events: RR 0.81, 95% CI 0.30 to 2.22; 2 RCTs, 87 participants; very low-certainty evidence; death from any cause: RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.08; 8 RCTs, 1544 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). For antifibrinolytic drugs versus placebo/open control for spontaneous ICH, there was no difference in death/dependence by day 90 (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.07; 5 RCTs, 2683 participants; high-certainty evidence). We found a slight reduction in ICH expansion with antifibrinolytic drugs for spontaneous ICH compared to placebo/open control (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.96; 8 RCTs, 2866 participants; high-certainty evidence). There was little to no difference in all serious adverse events and death from any cause between groups (all serious adverse events: RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.39; 4 RCTs, 2599 participants; high-certainty evidence; death from any cause: RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.18; 8 RCTs, 2866 participants; high-certainty evidence). There was little to no difference in quality of life, mood, or cognitive function (quality of life: mean difference (MD) 0, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.03; 2 RCTs, 2349 participants; mood: MD 0.30, 95% CI -1.98 to 2.57; 2 RCTs, 2349 participants; cognitive function: MD -0.37, 95% CI -1.40 to 0.66; 1 RCTs, 2325 participants; all high-certainty evidence). Platelet transfusion likely increases death/dependence by day 90 compared to open control for antiplatelet-associated ICH (RR 1.29, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.61; 1 RCT, 190 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). We found little to no difference in ICH expansion between groups (RR 1.32, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.92; 1 RCT, 153 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). There was little to no difference in all serious adverse events and death from any cause between groups (all serious adverse events: RR 1.46, 95% CI 0.98 to 2.16; 1 RCT, 190 participants; death from any cause: RR 1.42, 95% CI 0.88 to 2.28; 1 RCT, 190 participants; both moderate-certainty evidence). For PCC versus FFP for anticoagulant-associated ICH, the evidence was very uncertain about the effect on death/dependence by day 90, ICH expansion, all serious adverse events, and death from any cause between groups (death/dependence by day 90: RR 1.21, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.90; 1 RCT, 37 participants; ICH expansion: RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.23 to 1.22; 1 RCT, 36 participants; all serious adverse events: RR 0.27, 95% CI 0.02 to 3.74; 1 RCT, 5 participants; death from any cause: RR 0.49, 95% CI 0.16 to 1.56; 2 RCTs, 42 participants; all very low-certainty evidence).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

In this updated Cochrane Review including 20 RCTs involving 4652 participants, rFVIIa likely results in little to no difference in reducing death or dependence after spontaneous ICH with or without surgery; antifibrinolytic drugs result in little to no difference in reducing death or dependence after spontaneous ICH, but result in a slight reduction in ICH expansion within 24 hours; platelet transfusion likely increases death or dependence after antiplatelet-associated ICH; and the evidence is very uncertain about the effect of PCC compared to FFP on death or dependence after anticoagulant-associated ICH. Thirteen RCTs are ongoing and are likely to increase the certainty of the estimates of treatment effect.

Development and validation of a random forest model to predict functional outcome in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict functional outcome in Chinese patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study enrolled patients with ICH between November 2017 and November 2020. The follow-up period ended in February 2021. The study population was divided into training and testing sets with a ratio of 7:3. All variables were included in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression for feature selection. The selected variables were incorporated into the random forest algorithm to construct the prediction model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated via the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and calibration curve.

RESULTS

A total of 412 ICH patients were included, with 288 in the training set, and 124 in the testing set. Twelve attributes were selected: neurological deterioration, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score at 24 h, baseline GCS score, time from onset to the emergency room, blood glucose, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) change in 24 h, hematoma volume change in 24 h, systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), systolic blood pressure (SBP) change in 24 h, serum creatinine, serum sodium, and age. In the testing set, the accuracy, AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the model were 0.895, 0.964, 0.872, 0.906, 0.810, and 0.939, respectively. The calibration curves showed a good calibration capability of the model.

CONCLUSION

This developed random forest model performed well in predicting 3-month poor functional outcome for Chinese ICH patients.

Temporal Evolution of Perihematomal Blood-Brain Barrier Compromise and Edema Growth After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to investigate the temporal evolution of perihematomal blood-brain barrier (BBB) compromise and edema growth and to determine the role of BBB compromise in edema growth.

METHODS

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage patients who underwent computed tomography perfusion (CTP) were divided into five groups according to the time interval from symptom onset to CTP examination. Permeability-surface area product (PS) maps were generated using CTP source images. Ipsilateral and contralateral mean PS values were computed in the perihematomal and contralateral mirror regions. The relative PS (rPS) value was calculated as a ratio of ipsilateral to contralateral PS value. Hematoma and perihematomal edema volume were determined on non-contrast CT images.

RESULTS

In the total of 101 intracerebral hemorrhage patients, the ipsilateral mean PS value was significantly higher than that in contralateral region (z = -8.284, p < 0.001). The perihematomal BBB permeability showed a course of dynamic changes including an increase in the hyperacute and acute phases, a decrease in the early subacute phase and a second increase in the late subacute phase and chronic phase. Perihematomal edema increased gradually until the late subacute phase and then slightly increased. There was a relationship between rPS value and edema volume (β = 0.254, p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

The perihematomal BBB permeability is dynamic changes, and edema growth is gradually increased in patients following intracerebral hemorrhage. BBB compromise plays an essential role in edema growth. The quantitative assessment of BBB compromise may provide valuable information in therapeutic interventions of intracerebral hemorrhage patients.

A Complex Intracerebral Hemorrhage Case Report: Intracerebral Hemorrhage, Intraventricular Hemorrhage, and Hydrocephalus in an Addicted Patient

BACKGROUND

Despite progression, the mortality rate following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is still high; only 25 % of subjects achieve functional independence at three months. The survey presents a complex addicted case report with ICH, intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), and hydrocephalus co-occurrence.

CASE PRESENTATION

The patient was a 48-year-old man with a history of hypertension and addiction. On admission time, his GCS was 4/15, desperate in response to painful stimulation. There were no traumatic effects on the body. In response to painful stimulation with his right upper limb, he localized the site of pain.

DISCUSSION

According to the function of EVD, it was removed three days after surgical treatment, and the patient was extubated seven days after surgery. On the 13th day after surgery, the patient's GCS increased to 12; the patient was OBEY.

CONCLUSION

In the current survey, we tried to discuss the management of ICH through a complex case and an inferior prognosis. Our data indicated that with proper interpretation and surgical management of ICH, it is possible to save the survival of ICH patients even in complex situations.

Fever burden within 24 h after hematoma evacuation predicts early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: a retrospective analysis

Background

Early neurological deterioration after hematoma evacuation is closely associated with a poor prognosis in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. However, the relationship between body temperature after hematoma evacuation and early neurological deterioration remains unclear. Therefore, this study aims to explore the possible relationship between body temperature and early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage after hematoma evacuation.

Methods

We retrospectively collected data from patients with cerebral hemorrhage at our institute between January 2017 and April 2022. The Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, and χ2 Test and Fisher's exact test were used to analyze the clinical baseline data. A univariate logistic regression model was used to evaluate the association between the body temperature indices and early neurological deterioration. The predictive power was assessed using the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. The secondary outcome was a poor functional outcome.

Results

Among 2,726 patients with intracerebral hemorrhage, 308 who underwent hematoma evacuation were included in the present analysis. A total of 82 patients (22.6%) developed early neurological deterioration. Univariate analysis showed that sex (p = 0.041); body temperature at 6 h (p = 0.005), 12 h (p = 0.01), and 24 h (p = 0.008) after surgery; duration of fever (p = 0.008); and fever burden (p < 0.001) were associated with early neurological deterioration. Multivariate logistic regression showed that fever burden was independently associated with early neurological deterioration (OR = 1.055 per °C × hour, 95%CI 1.008-1.103, p = 0.020). ROC showed that fever burden (AUC = 0.590; 95%CI: 0.514-0.666) could predict the occurrence of early neurological deterioration.

Conclusion

Fever burden is associated with early neurological deterioration in intracerebral hemorrhage patients undergoing hematoma evacuation. Our findings add to previous evidence on the relationship between the fever burden and the occurrence of early neurological deterioration in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage. Future studies with larger sample sizes are required to confirm these findings.

Prognostic significance of serum NLRC4 in patients with acute supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage: A prospective longitudinal cohort study

Objective

Caspase activation and recruitment domain-containing protein 4 (NLRC4) is implicated in neuroinflammation. The aim of the study was to discern the potential ability of serum NLRC4 in assessment of prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods

In this prospective, observational study, serum NLRC4 levels were quantified in 148 acute supratentorial ICH patients and 148 controls. Severity was evaluated using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and hematoma volume, and poststroke 6-month functional outcome was estimated according to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Early neurologic deterioration (END) and 6-month poor outcome (mRS 3–6) were deemed as the two prognostic parameters. Multivariate models were established for investigating associations, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were configured to indicate predictive capability.

Results

Patients had substantially higher serum NLRC4 levels than controls (median, 363.2 pg/ml vs. 74.7 pg/ml). Serum NLRC4 levels had independent correlation with NIHSS scores [β, 0.308; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.088–0.520], hematoma volume (β, 0.527; 95% CI, 0.385–0.675), serum C-reactive protein levels (β, 0.288; 95% CI, 0.109–0.341) and 6-month mRS scores (β, 0.239; 95% CI, 0.100–0.474). Serum NLRC4 levels above 363.2 pg/ml were independently predictive of END (odds ratio, 3.148; 95% CI, 1.278–7.752) and 6-month poor outcome (odds ratio, 2.468; 95% CI, 1.036–5.878). Serum NLRC4 levels significantly distinguished END risk [area under ROC curve (AUC), 0.765; 95% CI, 0.685–0.846] and 6-month poor outcome (AUC, 0.795; 95% CI, 0.721–0.870). In terms of predictive ability for 6-month poor outcome, serum NLRC4 levels combined with NIHSS scores and hematoma volume was superior to NIHSS scores combined with hematoma volume, NIHSS scores and hematoma volume (AUC, 0.913 vs. 0.870, 0.864 and 0.835; all P &lt; 0.05). Nomograms were built to reflect prognosis and END risk of combination models, where serum NLRC4, NIHSS scores and hematoma volume were enforced. Calibration curves confirmed stability of combination models.

Conclusions

Markedly raised serum NLRC4 levels following ICH, in close relation to illness severity, are independently associated with poor prognosis. Such results are indicative of the notion that determination of serum NLRC4 may aid in severity assessment and prediction of functional outcome of ICH patients.

Increased serum pannexin-1 concentrations reflect illness severity and predict a poor prognosis after acute supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage: A prospective longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pannexin-1 is a nonselective, large pore and voltage gated channel protein, whose activation may aggravate acute brain injury. We ascertained the clinical significance of serum pannexin-1 as a prognostic biomarker of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

In this prospective, observational study of 124 acute supratentorial ICH patients and 124 healthy controls, serum pannexin-1 concentrations were determined. Admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score and hematoma volume were used for assessment of hemorrhagic severity, post-stroke 6-month modified Rankin scale (mRS) score was registered to reflect clinical outcome and early neurologic deterioration (END) and 6-month poor outcome (mRS score of 3-6) were regarded as the 2 prognostic parameters. Their associations with serum pannexin-1 concentrations were investigated using multivariate analysis. The predictive performance was evaluated in terms of area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In comparison to controls, significantly increased serum pannexin-1 concentrations after ICH (median, 6.8 vs. 2.7 mg/ml) were independently correlative with NIHSS score (β, 0.193; 95% CI: 0.086-0.300), hematoma volume (β, 0.641; 95% CI: 0.423-0.859) and mRS score (β, 0.199; 95% CI: 0.065-0.174), were independently predictive of END (OR, 1.176; 95% CI: 1.081-1.280) and poor outcome (odds ratio, 1.218; 95% CI: 1.059-1.400), as well as were efficiently discriminative of END (AUC, 0.764; 95% CI: 0.663-0.864) and poor 6-month outcome (AUC, 0.790; 95% CI: 0.711-0.870). Serum pannexin-1 combined with NIHSS score and hematoma volume (AUC, 0.908; 95% CI: 0.857-0.960) displayed significantly higher predictive ability for poor 6-month outcome than NIHSS score and hematoma volume alone (both P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Rising serum pannexin-1 concentrations following ICH, in strong correlation with hemorrhagic severity, independently distinguish the risk of END and 90-day poor outcome. Assumably, serum pannexin-1 may represent a valuable prognostic biomarker of ICH.

Subarachnoid extension and unfavorable outcomes in patients with supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Our study aimed to investigate the association between the subarachnoid extension of intracranial hemorrhage (SAHE) and clinical outcomes in patients with supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

We analyzed the data from a prospective, multi-center, and registry-based database. Two experienced investigators independently assessed ICH imaging data. We compared baseline characteristics and follow-up outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between SAHE and poor clinical outcomes. We also performed Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to analyze whether SAHE was relevant to a higher mortality rate.

RESULTS

A total of 931 patients were included in this study (SAHE vs. no SAHE, 121 [13.0%] vs. 810 [87.0%]). Patients with SAHE had more severe neurological deficits, higher scores of the mRS, and more remarkable mortality rates at follow-up (all p values < 0.05). In multivariable-adjusted models, SAHE was independently associated with a higher risk of poor outcomes (adjusted OR [95%CI]: 2.030 [1.142-3.608] at 3 months; 2.348 [1.337-4.123] at 1 year). In addition, SAHE remained an independent association with an increased death rate at 1 year (adjusted HR [95%CI], 1.314[1.057-1.635]). In the subgroup analysis, the correlation between SAHE and prognosis exists in patients with lobar or deep ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

SAHE is independently associated with poor outcomes in patients with supratentorial ICH. It may provide a promising target for developing new predictive tools targeting ICH.

Prehospital Ultra-Early Neurological Deterioration in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Definition, Prevalence, and Association with Outcomes

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this study was to define prehospital ultra-early neurological deterioration (UND) and to investigate the association with functional outcomes in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of consecutive acute ICH patients. The stroke severity at onset and hospital admission was assessed using the Chongqing Stroke Scale (CQSS), and prehospital UND was defined as a CQSS increase of ≥2 points between symptoms onset and admission. Early neurological deterioration (END) was defined as the increase of ≥4 points in NIHSS score within the first 24 h after admission. Poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 4-6 at 3 months.

RESULTS

Prehospital UND occurred in 29 of 169 patients (17.2%). Patients with prehospital UND had a median admission NIHSS score of 17.0 as opposed to those without prehospital UND with a median NIHSS score of 8.5. There were three patterns of neurological deterioration: prehospital UND only in 21 of 169 patients (12.4%), END but without prehospital UND in 20 of 169 patients (11.8%), and continuous neurological deterioration in both phases in 8 patients (4.7%). Prehospital UND was associated with worse 3-month outcomes (median mRS score, 4.0 vs. 2.0, p = 0.002). After adjusting for age, time from onset to admission, END, and systolic blood pressure, prehospital UND was an independent predictor of poor outcome (odds ratio [OR] 3.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.26-8.48, p = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

Prehospital UND occurs in approximately 1 in 7 patients between symptom onset and admission and is associated with poor functional outcome in patients with ICH. Further research is needed to investigate the prehospital UND in the prehospital phase in the triage of patients with ICH.

Effects of subarachnoid extension following intracerebral hemorrhage: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The effects of subarachnoid extension (SAHE) following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) have not yet been fully understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature on this topic to better understand the effects of SAHE.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were thoroughly searched from inception to October 16, 2022 to identify studies that evaluated the association between SAHE and mortality and worse functional outcomes in primary ICH. Crude odds ratios (cOR) and adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to compare the endpoints.

RESULTS

Three studies with 3368 participants were eventually included in the analysis. In the short-term follow-up of the primary endpoint, no association was observed between SAHE and mortality (cOR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.01-28.19; aOR: 2.31, 95% CI: 0.72-7.45). In the long-term follow-up of the primary endpoint, SAHE was associated with a significantly increased mortality of patients with primary ICH (cOR: 3.00, 95% CI: 2.27-3.98); however, only 1 study provided the values of aOR and 95% CI and showed that SAHE was not associated with increased mortality (aOR: 1.14, 95% CI: 0.71-1.83). For the secondary endpoint, the data of only 1 study on major disability (modified Rankin Scale = 3-5) were available, and the results revealed that SAHE increased the probability of major disability, but not after adjusting for baseline hematoma volume.

CONCLUSION

There is insufficient evidence to demonstrate the correlation between SAHE and mortality and worse functional outcomes in primary ICH. The validation of this correlation requires further studies as the potential effect and mechanisms of SAHE remain unclear.

Cerebral Amyloid Angiopathy and the Risk of Hematoma Expansion

OBJECTIVE

We assessed whether hematoma expansion (HE) and favorable outcome differ according to type of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

Among participants with ICH enrolled in the TICH-2 (Tranexamic Acid for Hyperacute Primary Intracerebral Haemorrhage) trial, we assessed baseline scans for hematoma location and presence of cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) using computed tomography (CT, simplified Edinburgh criteria) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI; Boston criteria) and categorized ICH as lobar CAA, lobar non-CAA, and nonlobar. The main outcomes were HE and favorable functional outcome. We constructed multivariate regression models and assessed treatment effects using interaction terms.

RESULTS

A total of 2,298 out of 2,325 participants were included with available CT (98.8%; median age = 71 years, interquartile range = 60-80 years; 1,014 female). Additional MRI was available in 219 patients (9.5%). Overall, 1,637 participants (71.2%) had nonlobar ICH; the remaining 661 participants (28.8%) had lobar ICH, of whom 202 patients had lobar CAA-ICH (8.8%, 173 participants according to Edinburgh and 29 participants according to Boston criteria) and 459 did not (lobar non-CAA, 20.0%). For HE, we found a significant interaction of lobar CAA ICH with time from onset to randomization (increasing risk with time, p_interaction  < 0.001) and baseline ICH volume (constant risk regardless of volume, p_interaction  < 0.001) but no association between type of ICH and risk of HE or favorable outcome. Tranexamic acid significantly reduced the risk of HE (adjusted odds ratio = 0.7, 95% confidence interval = 0.6-1.0, p = 0.020) without statistically significant interaction with type of ICH (p_interaction  = 0.058). Tranexamic acid was not associated with favorable outcome.

INTERPRETATION

Risk of HE in patients with lobar CAA-ICH was not independently increased but seems to have different dynamics compared to other types of ICH. The time window for treatment of CAA-ICH to prevent HE may be longer. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:921-930.

Measures of intracranial compartments in acute intracerebral haemorrhage: data from the Rapid Intervention with Glyceryl Trinitrate in Hypertensive Stroke-2 Trial (RIGHT-2)

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Intracerebral haemorrhage volume (ICHV) is prognostically important but does not account for intracranial volume (ICV) and cerebral parenchymal volume (CPV). We assessed measures of intracranial compartments in acute ICH using computerised tomography scans and whether ICHV/ICV and ICHV/CPV predict functional outcomes. We also assessed if cistern effacement, midline shift, old infarcts, leukoaraiosis and brain atrophy were associated with outcomes.

METHODS

Data from 133 participants from the Rapid Intervention with Glyceryl Trinitrate in Hypertensive Stroke-2 Trial trial were analysed. Measures included ICHV (using ABC/2) and ICV (XYZ/2) (by independent observers); ICHV, ICV and CPV (semiautomated segmentation, SAS); atrophy (intercaudate distance, ICD, Sylvian fissure ratio, SFR); midline shift; leukoaraiosis and cistern effacement (visual assessment). The effects of these measures on death at day 4 and poor functional outcome at day 90 (modified Rankin scale, mRS of >3) was assessed.

RESULTS

ICV was significantly different between XYZ and SAS: mean (SD) of 1357 (219) vs 1420 (196), mean difference (MD) 62 mL (p<0.001). There was no significant difference in ICHV between ABC/2 and SAS. There was very good agreement for ICV measured by SAS, CPV, ICD, SFR, leukoaraiosis and cistern score (all interclass correlations, n=10: interobserver 0.72-0.99, intraobserver 0.73-1.00). ICHV/ICV and ICHV/CPV were significantly associated with mRS at day 90, death at day 4 and acute neurological deterioration (all p<0.05), similar to ICHV. Midline shift and cistern effacement at baseline were associated with poor functional outcome but old infarcts, leukoaraiosis and brain atrophy were not.

CONCLUSIONS

Intracranial compartment measures and visual estimates are reproducible. ICHV adjusted for ICH and CPV could be useful to prognosticate in acute stroke. The presence of midline shift and cistern effacement may predict outcome but the mechanisms need validation in larger studies.

Usability of serum annexin A7 as a biochemical marker of poor outcome and early neurological deterioration after acute primary intracerebral hemorrhage: A prospective cohort study

Objective

Annexin A7 (ANXA7), a calcium-dependent phospholipid-binding protein, may act to aggravate brain injury. This study aimed to assess the clinical utility of serum ANXA7 as a predictor of severity, early neurological deterioration (END), and prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods

A total of 126 ICH patients and 126 healthy controls were enrolled. Symptomatic severity was evaluated utilizing the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score. The lesion volume of ICH was measured according to the ABC/2 method. END was referred to as an increase of 4 or greater points in the NIHSS score or death at post-stroke 24 h. The unfavorable functional outcome was a combination of death and major disability at post-stroke 90 days.

Results

Serum ANXA7 levels were significantly higher in patients than in controls (median, 46.5 vs. 9.7 ng/ml; P &lt; 0.001). Serum ANXA7 levels were independently correlated with NIHSS score [beta: 0.821; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.106–1.514; variance inflation factor: 5.180; t = 2.573; P = 0.014] and hematoma volume (beta: 0.794; 95% CI: 0.418–1.173; variance inflation factor: 5.281; t = 2.781; P = 0.007). Serum ANXA7 levels were significantly elevated with increase in modified Rankin scale scores (P &lt; 0.001). Also, serum ANXA7, which was identified as a categorical variable, independently predicted END and an unfavorable outcome with odds ratio values of 3.958 (95% CI: 1.290–12.143; P = 0.016) and 2.755 (95% CI: 1.051–7.220; P = 0.039), respectively. Moreover, serum ANXA7 levels efficiently differentiated END (area under the curve: 0.781; 95% CI: 0.698–0.849) and an unfavorable outcome (area under the curve: 0.776; 95% CI: 0.693–0.846).

Conclusion

Serum ANXA7 may represent a useful blood-derived biomarker for assessing the severity, END, and prognosis of ICH.

Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score

Background Intracerebral hemorrhage is the most disabling and lethal form of stroke. We aimed to develop a novel clinical score for neurological deterioration during hospitalization after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods and Results We analyzed data from the CHERRY (Chinese Cerebral Hemorrhage: Mechanism and Intervention) study. Two-thirds of eligible patients were randomly allocated into the training cohort (n=1027) and one-third into the validation cohort (n=515). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with neurological deterioration (an increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale of ≥4 or death) within 15 days after symptom onset. A prediction score was developed based on regression coefficients derived from the logistic model. The site, size, gender, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, age, leukocyte, sugar (SIGNALS) score was developed as a sum of individual points (0-8) based on site (1 point for infratentorial location), size (3 points for >20 mL of supratentorial hematoma volume or 2 points for >10 mL of infratentorial hematoma volume), sex (1 point for male sex), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (1 point for >10), age (1 point for ≥70 years), white blood cell (1 point for>9.0×10⁹/L), and fasting blood glucose (1 point>7.0 mmol/L). The proportion of patients who suffered from neurological deterioration increased with higher SIGNALS score, showing good discrimination and good calibration in the training cohort (C statistic, 0.821; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.687) and in the validation cohort (C statistic, 0.848; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.592), respectively. Conclusions The SIGNALS score reliably predicts the risk of in-hospital neurological deterioration of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

Prediction of Neurological Deterioration After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The SIGNALS Score

Background Intracerebral hemorrhage is the most disabling and lethal form of stroke. We aimed to develop a novel clinical score for neurological deterioration during hospitalization after intracerebral hemorrhage. Methods and Results We analyzed data from the CHERRY (Chinese Cerebral Hemorrhage: Mechanism and Intervention) study. Two-thirds of eligible patients were randomly allocated into the training cohort (n=1027) and one-third into the validation cohort (n=515). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with neurological deterioration (an increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale of ≥4 or death) within 15 days after symptom onset. A prediction score was developed based on regression coefficients derived from the logistic model. The site, size, gender, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, age, leukocyte, sugar (SIGNALS) score was developed as a sum of individual points (0-8) based on site (1 point for infratentorial location), size (3 points for >20 mL of supratentorial hematoma volume or 2 points for >10 mL of infratentorial hematoma volume), sex (1 point for male sex), National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (1 point for >10), age (1 point for ≥70 years), white blood cell (1 point for>9.0×10⁹/L), and fasting blood glucose (1 point>7.0 mmol/L). The proportion of patients who suffered from neurological deterioration increased with higher SIGNALS score, showing good discrimination and good calibration in the training cohort (C statistic, 0.821; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.687) and in the validation cohort (C statistic, 0.848; Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.592), respectively. Conclusions The SIGNALS score reliably predicts the risk of in-hospital neurological deterioration of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

A Prediction Model for Neurological Deterioration in Patients with Acute Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Aim

The aim of this study was to explore factors related to neurological deterioration (ND) after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) and establish a prediction model based on random forest analysis in evaluating the risk of ND.

Methods

The clinical data of 411 patients with acute sICH at the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University and Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University between January 2018 and December 2020 were collected. After adjusting for variables, multivariate logistic regression was performed to investigate the factors related to the ND in patients with acute ICH. Then, based on the related factors in the multivariate logistic regression and four variables that have been identified as contributing to ND in the literature, we established a random forest model. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the prediction performance of this model.

Results

The result of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that time of onset to the emergency department (ED), baseline hematoma volume, serum sodium, and serum calcium were independently associated with the risk of ND. Simultaneously, the random forest model was developed and included eight predictors: serum calcium, time of onset to ED, serum sodium, baseline hematoma volume, systolic blood pressure change in 24 h, age, intraventricular hemorrhage expansion, and gender. The area under the curve value of the prediction model reached 0.795 in the training set and 0.713 in the testing set, which suggested the good predicting performance of the model.

Conclusion

Some factors related to the risk of ND were explored. Additionally, a prediction model for ND of acute sICH patients was developed based on random forest analysis, and the developed model may have a good predictive value through the internal validation.

Plasma SIRT3 as a Biomarker of Severity and Prognosis After Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

SIRT3 may act as a brain-protective factor. We measured the plasma SIRT3 levels of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and further determined the relationship between plasma SIRT3 and clinical outcome plus severity of ICH.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we quantified plasma SIRT3 levels in 105 ICH patients and 72 healthy controls. Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score and hematoma volume were used to assess severity. Poor prognosis was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score of 1-3 at 90 days after ICH.

RESULTS

Plasma SIRT3 levels were markedly lower in patients than in controls (median, 10.19 versus 13.17 ng/mL; P<0.001). Among all patients, plasma SIRT3 levels were independently correlated with hematoma volume (beta, -0.098; 95% confidence interval, -0.158--0.039; t, -3.282; P=0.001) and GCS score (beta, 0.465; 95% confidence interval, 0.107-0.823; t, 2.576; P=0.011). A total of 46 cases had a poor prognosis at post-stroke 90 days. The plasma levels of SIRT3 significantly decreased in patients with a poor prognosis, compared with those with a good prognosis (median, 6.1 versus 11.2 ng/mL; P<0.001). Plasma SIRT3 was an independent predictor for 90-day poor prognosis of patients (odds ratio, 0.837; 95% confidence interval, 0.708-0.990; P=0.038). Plasma SIRT3 levels distinguished the development of poor prognosis with area under receiver operating characteristic curve at 0.801 (95% confidence interval, 0.711-0.872) and plasma SIRT3 levels ≤7.38 ng/mL predicted poor prognosis with 63.04% sensitivity and 93.22% specificity.

CONCLUSION

Declined plasma SIRT3 levels are highly associated with hemorrhagic severity and poor 90-day outcome, thus suggesting that plasma SIRT3 may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker for ICH.

Iron toxicity in intracerebral hemorrhage: Physiopathological and therapeutic implications

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH)-induced brain injury is a continuous pathological process that involves the deterioration of neurological functions, such as sensory, cognitive or motor functions. Cytotoxic byproducts of red blood cell lysis, especially free iron, appear to be a significant pathophysiologic mechanism leading to ICH-induced injury. Free iron has a crucial role in secondary brain injury after ICH. Chelating iron may attenuate iron-induced neurotoxicity and may be developed as a therapeutic candidate for ICH treatment. In this review, we focused on the potential role of iron toxicity in ICH-induced injury and iron chelation therapy in the management of ICH. It will hopefully advance our understanding of the pathogenesis of ICH and lead to new approaches for treatment.