Economic Studies in Motor Neurone Disease: A Systematic Methodological Review

A scoping review of the role of managed entry agreements in upcoming drugs for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: learning from the case of spinal muscular atrophy

INTRODUCTION

The therapeutic options for spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) are encouraging. However, there is currently no cure for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). The clinical and economic uncertainty surrounding innovative treatments for rare neurodegenerative diseases makes it necessary to understand managed entry agreements (MEAs). The aim of this study was to review whether models of MEAs in SMA could be extrapolated to ALS.

METHODS

We performed a scoping review with information on MEAs on SMA in Web of Science (WOS), PubMed, Lyfegen Library, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), and the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health (CADTH).

RESULTS

We found 45 results in WOS and PubMed. After an initial survey, 10 were reviewed to assess eligibility, and three were selected. We obtained 44 results from Lyfegen Library, and three results each from NICE and CADTH.

CONCLUSION

The main objective of MEAs is to reduce uncertainty in the financing of drugs with a high budgetary impact and clinical concerns, as is the case with drugs for SMA and ALS. While the information available on MEAs in SMA is scarce, some conceptual models are publicly available. MEAs for long-term treatments for SMA could be used for the design of MEAs in ALS because of their similarities in economic and clinical uncertainty.

A Model-Based Economic Evaluation of Hypothetical Treatments for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis in the UK: Implications for Pricing of New and Emerging Health Technologies

BACKGROUND

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a devastating disease which leads to loss of muscle function and paralysis. Historically, clinical drug development has been unsuccessful, but promising disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) may be on the horizon.

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this study were to estimate survival, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs under current care, and to explore the conditions under which new therapies might be considered cost effective.

METHODS

We developed a health economic model to evaluate the cost effectiveness of future ALS treatments from a UK National Health Service and Personal Social Services perspective over a lifetime horizon using data from the ALS-CarE study. Costs were valued at 2021/22 prices. Two hypothetical interventions were evaluated: a DMT which delays progression and mortality, and a symptomatic therapy which improves utility only. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify key drivers of cost effectiveness.

RESULTS

Starting from King's stage 2, patients receiving current care accrue an estimated 2.27 life-years, 0.75 QALYs and lifetime costs of £68,047. Assuming a 50% reduction in progression rates and a UK-converted estimate of the price of edaravone, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for a new DMT versus current care is likely to exceed £735,000 per QALY gained. Symptomatic therapies may be more likely to achieve acceptable levels of cost effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

Regardless of efficacy, DMTs may struggle to demonstrate cost effectiveness, even at a low price. The cost effectiveness of DMTs is likely to be strongly influenced by drug price, the magnitude and durability of relative treatment effects, treatment starting/stopping rules and any additional utility benefits over current care.

Multicentre, prospective registry study of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in mainland China (CHALSR): study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a representative rare disease characterised by progressive, fatal motor neuron degeneration. Due to the unknown aetiology and variability of the phenotypes, there are no accurate reports concerning the epidemiology or clinical characteristics of the disease. The low prevalence, as previously reported, makes it difficult to carry out studies with large samples. The aim of this study was to explore the natural history and clinical features of ALS in mainland China through a multicentre, prospective cohort study. The findings will both offer a better understanding of ALS and also support the development of a model to study other rare diseases.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Patients from 88 representative hospitals in different parts of mainland China will be recruited through a specially designed online data system (http://www.chalsr.net/). We aim to recruit 4752 ALS patients over a 3-year period. Baseline data will be recorded, and follow-up data will be collected every 3 months. The primary outcome is effective survival. Overall survival and indices of disease progression will be measured as the secondary outcomes.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval has been obtained from the ethics committee of Peking University Third Hospital (M2019388). Informed written consent will be obtained from each participant. Dissemination of the study protocol and data will take place primarily through a specially designed online data system (http://www.chalsr.net/). The collective results of the study will be published in peer-reviewed journals and shared in scientific presentations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04328675.

A Cost-Effectiveness Framework for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, Applied to Riluzole

OBJECTIVES

Reexamine cost-effectiveness of riluzole in the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in light of recent advances in disease staging and understanding of stage-specific drug effect.

METHODS

ALS was staged according to the "fine'til 9" (FT9) staging method. Stage-specific health utilities (EQ-5D, US valuation) were estimated from an institutional cohort, whereas literature informed costs and transition probabilities. Costs at 2018 prices were disaggregated into recurring costs (RCs) and "one-off" transition/"tollgate" costs (TCs). Five- and 10-year horizons starting in stage 1 disease were examined from healthcare sector and societal perspectives using Markov models to evaluate riluzole use, at a threshold of $100 000/quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Mean EQ-5D utilities for stages 0 to 4 were 0.79, 0.74, 0.63, 0.54, and 0.46, respectively. From the healthcare sector perspective at the 5-year horizon, riluzole use contributed to 0.182 QALY gained at the cost difference of $12 348 ($5403 riluzole cost, $8870 RC and -$1925 TC differences), translating to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $67 658/QALY. Transition probability variation contributed considerably to ICER uncertainty (-30.2% to +90.0%). ICER was sensitive to drug price and RCs, whereas higher TCs modestly reduced ICER due to delayed tollgates.

CONCLUSION

This study provides a framework for health economic studies of ALS treatments using FT9 staging. Prospective stage-specific and disaggregated cost measurement is warranted for accurate future cost-effectiveness analyses. Appropriate separation of TCs from RCs substantially mitigates the high burden of background cost of care on the ICER.

Health Utilities and Costs for Motor Neurone Disease

BACKGROUND

Motor neurone disease (MND) places a significant burden on patients, their carers, and healthcare systems.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate health utilities and costs of MND within the UK setting.

METHODS

Patients with MND, recruited via 22 regional clinics, completed a postal questionnaire of a cost and quality-of-life survey. Health outcome assessment included the EuroQoL (EQ)-5D-5L, EQ-5D-visual analogue scale, Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Utility Index, and the Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale-Revised. Clinical staging was based on the Kings and Milano-Torino (MiToS) systems. The questionnaire asked about patients' use of primary, secondary, and community care services in the previous 3 months. Variability in total costs was examined using regression models.

RESULTS

595 patients were included in the health utility analysis, of whom 584 patients also completed a resource use questionnaire. Mean health utility decreased and costs increased between consecutive Kings stages, from 0.76 (95% CI 0.71-0.80) and £1096 (£757-£1240) in Kings stage 1, to 0.50 (0.45-0.54) and £3311 (£2666-£4151) in stage 4, respectively. The changes by MiToS stages were from 0.71 (0.69-0.73) and £1115 (£937-£1130) in MiToS stage 0, to 0.25 (0.07-0.42) and £2899 (£2190-£3840) in stage 2. Kings stages 3 and 4 and MiToS stages 1 and 2, respectively, were significant in explaining variability in total costs.

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of MND on health utilities and costs differs by disease severity. The data provided here can be used in cost-effectiveness analyses and to inform decision-making regarding healthcare provision for people with MND.

Mapping ALSFRS-R and ALSUI to EQ-5D in Patients with Motor Neuron Disease

BACKGROUND

The Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) is the preferred measure of health outcome in clinical trials in motor neuron disease (MND). It, however, does not provide a preference-based health utility score required for estimating quality-adjusted life-years in economic evaluations for health technology assessments.

OBJECTIVES

To develop algorithms for mapping from measures used in MND clinical studies to allow for future prediction of the five-level EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L) utility in populations of patients with MND when utility data have not been collected.

METHODS

Direct mapping models were developed using ordinary least squares and Tobit regression analyses to estimate EQ-5D-5L utilities (based on English tariffs), with ALSFRS-R total, domain, and item scores used as explanatory variables, using patient-level data from a UK cohort study. Indirect mapping models were also used to map EQ-5D-5L domains, using the same variables, along with the Neuropathic Pain Scale and the Hospital and Anxiety Depression Scale for MND using multinomial logistic regression analysis. Goodness of fit was assessed along with predicted values for each mapping model.

RESULTS

The best-performing model predicting EQ-5D-5L utilities used five items of the ALSFRS-R items as explanatory variables in a stepwise ordinary least squares regression. The mean squared error was 0.0228, and the mean absolute error was 0.1173. Prediction was good, with 55.4% of estimated values within 0.1 and 91.4% within 0.25 of the observed EQ-5D-5L utility value. Indirect mapping using the Neuropathic Pain Scale and the Hospital and Anxiety Depression Scale for MND provided less predictive power than direct mapping models.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to present mapping algorithms to crosswalk between ALSFRS-R and EQ-5D-5L. This analysis demonstrates that the ALSFRS-R can be used to estimate EQ-5D-5L utilities when they have not been collected directly within a trial.