Biological growth and spread modeled by systems of recursions. II. Biological theory

Traveling wave solutions in predator–prey models with competition

This paper studies the minimal wave speed of traveling wave solutions in predator–prey models, in which there are several groups of predators that compete among different groups. We investigate the existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions modeling the invasion of predators and coexistence of these species. When the positive solution of the corresponding kinetic system converges to the unique positive steady state, a threshold that is the minimal wave speed of traveling wave solutions is obtained. To finish the proof, we construct contracting rectangles and upper–lower solutions and apply the asymptotic spreading theory of scalar equations. Moreover, multiple propagation thresholds in the corresponding initial value problem are presented by numerical examples, and one threshold may be the minimal wave speed of traveling wave solutions.

Spreading Speed in an Integrodifference Predator-Prey System without Comparison Principle

In this paper, we study the spreading speed in an integrodifference system which models invasion of predators into the habitat of the prey. Without the requirement of comparison principle, we construct several auxiliary integrodifference equations and use the results of monotone scalar equations to estimate the spreading speed of the invading predators. We also present some numerical simulations to support our theoretical results and demonstrate that the integrodifference predator-prey system exhibits very complex dynamics. Our theory and numerical results imply that the invasion of predators may have a rough constant speed. Moreover, our numerical simulations indicate that the spatial contact of individuals and the overcompensatory phenomenon of the prey may be conducive to the persistence of nonmonotone biological systems and lead to instability of the predator-free state.

The existence of traveling wave solutions in an integro-difference competition–cooperation system

In this paper, we are devoted to establishing the existence of traveling wave solutions in an integro-difference competition–cooperation system with partial monotonicity by using Schauder’s fixed point theorem, the cross-iteration and the upper and lower solutions method. To illustrate our result, we present an application to integro-difference competition–cooperation system with a special kernel by constructing a pair of upper and lower solutions, while the verification of upper and lower solutions is nontrivial.

Generational Spreading Speed and the Dynamics of Population Range Expansion

Some of the most fundamental quantities in population ecology describe the growth and spread of populations. Population dynamics are often characterized by the annual rate of increase, λ, or the generational rate of increase, R0. Analyses involving R0 have deepened our understanding of disease dynamics and life-history complexities beyond that afforded by analysis of annual growth alone. While range expansion is quantified by the annual spreading speed, a spatial analog of λ, an R0-like expression for the rate of spread is missing. Using integrodifference models, we derive the appropriate generational spreading speed for populations with complex (stage-structured) life histories. The resulting measure, relevant to locations near the expanding edge of a (re)colonizing population, incorporates both local population growth and explicit spatial dispersal rather than solely growth across a population, as is the case for R0. The calculations for generational spreading speed are often simpler than those for annual spreading speed, and analytic or partial analytic solutions can yield insight into the processes that facilitate or slow a population's spatial spread. We analyze the spatial dynamics of green crabs, sea otters, and teasel as examples to demonstrate the flexibility of our methods and the intuitive insights that they afford.

Analysis of spread and persistence for stream insects with winged adult stages

Species such as stoneflies have complex life history details, with larval stages in the river flow and adult winged stages on or near the river bank. Winged adults often bias their dispersal in the upstream direction, and this bias provides a possible mechanism for population persistence in the face of unidirectional river flow. We use an impulsive reaction-diffusion equation with non-local impulse to describe the population dynamics of a stream-dwelling organism with a winged adult stage, such as stoneflies. We analyze this model from a variety of perspectives so as to understand the effect of upstream dispersal on population persistence. On the infinite domain we use the perspective of weak versus local persistence, and connect the concept of local persistence to positive up and downstream spreading speeds. These spreading speeds, in turn are connected to minimum travelling wave speeds for the linearized operator in upstream and downstream directions. We show that the conditions for weak and local persistence differ, and describe how weak persistence can give rise to a population whose numbers are growing but is being washed out because it cannot maintain a toe hold at any given location. On finite domains, we employ the concept of a critical domain size and dispersal success approximation to determine the ultimate fate of the populations. A simple, explicit formula for a special case allows us to quantify exactly the difference between weak and local persistence.

SPREADING SPEEDS AND TRAVELING WAVES FOR NON-COOPERATIVE INTEGRO-DIFFERENCE SYSTEMS

The study of spatially explicit integro-difference systems when the local population dynamics are given in terms of discrete-time generations models has gained considerable attention over the past two decades. These nonlinear systems arise naturally in the study of the spatial dispersal of organisms. The brunt of the mathematical research on these systems, particularly, when dealing with cooperative systems, has focused on the study of the existence of traveling wave solutions and the characterization of their spreading speed. Here, we characterize the minimum propagation (spreading) speed, via the convergence of initial data to wave solutions, for a large class of non cooperative nonlinear systems of integro-difference equations. The spreading speed turns out to be the slowest speed from a family of non-constant traveling wave solutions. The applicability of these theoretical results is illustrated through the explicit study of an integro-difference system with local population dynamics governed by Hassell and Comins' non-cooperative competition model (1976). The corresponding integro-difference nonlinear systems that results from the redistribution of individuals via a dispersal kernel is shown to satisfy conditions that guarantee the existence of minimum speeds and traveling waves. This paper is dedicated to Avner Friedman as we celebrate his immense contributions to the fields of partial differential equations, integral equations, mathematical biology, industrial mathematics and applied mathematics in general. His leadership in the mathematical sciences and his mentorship of students and friends over several decades has made a huge difference in the personal and professional lives of many, including both of us.

Spreading speeds and traveling waves in competitive recursion systems

This paper is concerned with the spreading speeds and traveling wave solutions of discrete time recursion systems, which describe the spatial propagation mode of two competitive invaders. We first establish the existence of traveling wave solutions when the wave speed is larger than a given threshold. Furthermore, we prove that the threshold is the spreading speed of one species while the spreading speed of the other species is distinctly slower compared to the case when the interspecific competition disappears. Our results also show that the interspecific competition does affect the spread of both species so that the eventual population densities at the coexistence domain are lower than the case when the competition vanishes.

Density-dependent dispersal in integrodifference equations

Many species exhibit dispersal processes with positive density- dependence. We model this behavior using an integrodifference equation where the individual dispersal probability is a monotone increasing function of local density. We investigate how this dispersal probability affects the spreading speed of a single population and its ability to persist in fragmented habitats. We demonstrate that density-dependent dispersal probability can act as a mechanism for coexistence of otherwise non-coexisting competitors. We show that in time-varying habitats, an intermediate dispersal probability will evolve. Analytically, we find that the spreading speed for the integrodifference equation with density-dependent dispersal probability is not linearly determined. Furthermore, the next-generation operator is not compact and, in general, neither order-preserving nor monotonicity-preserving. We give two explicit examples of non-monotone, discontinuous traveling-wave profiles.

Traveling waves and spread rates for a West Nile virus model

A reaction-diffusion model for the spatial spread of West Nile virus is developed and analysed. Infection dynamics are based on a modified version of a model for cross infection between birds and mosquitoes (Wonham et al., 2004, An epidemiological model for West-Nile virus: Invasion analysis and control application. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 271), and diffusion terms describe movement of birds and mosquitoes. Working with a simplified version of the model, the cooperative nature of cross-infection dynamics is utilized to prove the existence of traveling waves and to calculate the spatial spread rate of infection. Comparison theorem results are used to show that the spread rate of the simplified model may provide an upper bound for the spread rate of a more realistic and complex version of the model.

Spreading speeds as slowest wave speeds for cooperative systems

It is well known that in many scalar models for the spread of a fitter phenotype or species into the territory of a less fit one, the asymptotic spreading speed can be characterized as the lowest speed of a suitable family of traveling waves of the model. Despite a general belief that multi-species (vector) models have the same property, we are unaware of any proof to support this belief. The present work establishes this result for a class of multi-species model of a kind studied by Lui [Biological growth and spread modeled by systems of recursions. I: Mathematical theory, Math. Biosci. 93 (1989) 269] and generalized by the authors [Weinberger et al., Analysis of the linear conjecture for spread in cooperative models, J. Math. Biol. 45 (2002) 183; Lewis et al., Spreading speeds and the linear conjecture for two-species competition models, J. Math. Biol. 45 (2002) 219]. Lui showed the existence of a single spreading speed c(*) for all species. For the systems in the two aforementioned studies by the authors, which include related continuous-time models such as reaction-diffusion systems, as well as some standard competition models, it sometimes happens that different species spread at different rates, so that there are a slowest speed c(*) and a fastest speed c(f)(*). It is shown here that, for a large class of such multi-species systems, the slowest spreading speed c(*) is always characterized as the slowest speed of a class of traveling wave solutions.

Spatial effects in discrete generation population models

A framework is developed for constructing a large class of discrete generation, continuous space models of evolving single species populations and finding their bifurcating patterned spatial distributions. Our models involve, in separate stages, the spatial redistribution (through movement laws) and local regulation of the population; and the fundamental properties of these events in a homogeneous environment are found. Emphasis is placed on the interaction of migrating individuals with the existing population through conspecific attraction (or repulsion), as well as on random dispersion. The nature of the competition of these two effects in a linearized scenario is clarified. The bifurcation of stationary spatially patterned population distributions is studied, with special attention given to the role played by that competition.

Discrete time spatial models arising in genetics, evolutionary game theory, and branching processes

A saddle point method is used to obtain the speed of first spread of new genotypes in genetic models and of new strategies in game theoretic models. It is also used to obtain the speed of the forward tail of the distribution of farthest spread for branching process models. The technique is applicable to a wide range of models. They include multiple allele and sex-linked models in genetics, multistrategy and bimatrix evolutionary games, and multitype and demographic branching processes. The speed of propagation has been obtained for genetics models (in simple cases only) by Weinberger and Lui, using exact analytical methods. The exact results were obtained only for two-allele, single-locus genetic models. The saddle point method agrees in these very simple cases with the results obtained by using the exact analytic methods. Of course, it can also be used in much more general situations far less tractable to exact analysis. The connection between genetic and game theoretic models is also briefly considered, as is the extent to which the exact analytic methods yield results for simple models in game theory.

Properties of some density-dependent integrodifference equation population models

Integrodifference equations may be used as models of populations with discrete generations inhabiting continuous habitats. In this paper integrodifference equation models are formulated for annual plant populations without a seed bank; these models differ in the stage of the life cycle at which intraspecific competition acts to reduce vital rates. The models exhibit a sequence of period-doubling bifurcations leading to chaotic spatial and temporal behavior. The behavior of the models when modal dispersal distances are at the origin is compared with their behavior when these distances are displaced away from the origin. The models are capable of predicting stable, cyclical, and chaotic asymptotic behavior. They also predict that the variance of dispersal distances is an important indicator of the colonizing ability of a species.