A contemporary reassessment of the US surgical workforce through 2050 predicts continued shortages and increased productivity demands

The current state of academic neurosurgery: A national survey assessing academic neurosurgical capacity and perceived needs

BACKGROUND

While inequities in the provision of neurosurgical care exist worldwide, the specific challenges in academic neurosurgical capacity remain inadequately understood. We sought to evaluate current neurosurgical capacity in United States academic tertiary care centers with neurosurgical residency programs and assess perceived needs in their respective practice settings.

METHODS

An online survey regarding human resources, medications, equipment, and infrastructure was distributed to all 117 residency programs in the US. Institutions were categorized using the Area Deprivation Index (ADI), a tool quantifying socioeconomic disadvantage, into low (0-50) or high (51-100) groups.

RESULTS

Responses from 37 institutions were recorded (59 % low ADI, 41 % high ADI). Common limitations included shortages of floor beds (84 %), nurses (81 %), and Neurocritical Care Unit (NCCU) beds (77 %). The least available equipment were intraoperative MRI (49 % total, Low ADI: 59 %, High ADI: 33 %, p = 0.18) and exoscopes (51 % total, Low ADI: 59 %, High ADI:40 %, p = 0.32). The most desired change in human resources was more operating room (OR) nurses (86 %, Low ADI: 77 %, High ADI: 100 %, p = 0.07) and the most common desired infrastructural changes were for more ORs (81 % total, Low ADI: 73 %, High ADI: 93 %, p = 0.2), floor beds (70 % total, Low ADI:59 %, High ADI:87 %, p = 0.14) and NCCU beds (70 % total, Low ADI: 68 %, High ADI:73 %, p = 1.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Academic centers across the US may face challenges related to advanced equipment, infrastructure, and personnel. More deprived programs may experience greater limitations. Interventions to address these limitations may be necessary, but further research is needed to comprehensively and objectively assess neurosurgical capacity.

Otolaryngology Workforce Projections in the United States, 2021-2036

Objective

To analyze projections of otolaryngology workforce supply and demand in the U.S. from 2021 to 2036.

Methods

Otolaryngology workforce projection data from the Bureau of Health Workforce (BHW), Health Resources and Services Administration's (HRSA) Health Workforce Simulation Model (HWSM), and National Center for Health Workforce Analysis (NCHWA) were collected and analyzed to project supply versus demand from 2021 to 2036. The adequacy of the projected otolaryngology workforce, measured as the supply-demand ratio, was the main outcome measurement.

Results

In 2021, it was assumed that the supply of otolaryngologists matched the demand. From 2021 to 2036, the total otolaryngologist supply is projected to decrease from 11,800 full-time equivalents (FTEs) to 11,620 FTEs, a 1.5% decline, while total demand is projected to increase by 1050 FTEs (8.9% increase) to 12,850 FTEs. This projects a growing shortfall of 1230 FTEs, resulting in 90.4% workforce adequacy. The projected adequacy is geographically disparate, with 98% workforce adequacy in metropolitan areas versus 35.1% in nonmetropolitan areas by 2036. By this date, otolaryngology is projected to have the third highest rate of workforce adequacy (90.4%) among eight surgical specialties studied.

Conclusion

Though the HRSA's HWSM predicts a minor shortfall in the otolaryngology workforce supply compared to demand by 2036, the impact on workforce adequacy is significant. Regional variations and scenario outcomes underscore the need for continued research to update these forecasts, which carry important implications for physicians, patients, and policymakers in addressing workforce disparities and ensuring equitable access to otolaryngologic care across the nation.

Level of Evidence

4.

Decline in Pediatric Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstructions Seen Over 20 Years in the American Board of Orthopaedic Surgeons Part II Oral Examination Database

INTRODUCTION

Although increased treatment of pediatric anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury is well-documented, surrounding trends remain unknown. We evaluated national trends over 21 years using data from pediatric ACL reconstructions (ACLR) submitted to the American Board of Orthopaedic Surgeons (ABOS) Part II Oral Examination and compared fellowship training, geographic variation, and case volume trends.

METHODS

The ABOS SCRIBE database was queried for ACLR in pediatric (<19) patients between 2000 and 2021. Data included geographic region, fellowship training, and patient demographics. ACLRs per capita was estimated using census data. Data were stratified by age and sex. Multiple linear regression assessed whether year, sex, and age/sex category predicted surgery number.

RESULTS

From 2000 to 2021, ABOS Part II candidates reported 12,124 pediatric ACLR. Nearly 2/3 were in patients 16 years or older. Most were in the Midwest (22.8%) and South (22.2%). Each region decreased in ACLR. Overall, pediatric ACLR decreased 31.3% and contributing surgeons decreased 40.4%. Female ACLR increased 39.5% from 2009 to 2014, with 11.9% more than male patients in 2014. After 2014, sex differences and total ACLR decreased. 81.3% were reported by surgeons with sports medicine training and 6.0% with dual sports medicine and pediatric orthopaedics fellowships. Dual training increased in 2009 and declined after 2013. Surgeries in male patients compared with female patients (B = -6.777, 95% confidence interval, -9.534 to -4.279) and male patients 16 to 18 years compared with male patients younger than 16 years (B = -4.935, 95% confidence interval, -6.596 to -3.273) decreased.

CONCLUSION

Pediatric ACLR performed by ABOS Part II candidates decreased overall, but a concern for increased ACLR in female patients persists. More surgeries were done in the Midwest and South.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional Study Level of Evidence: III.

Gender differences in factors influencing specialty choice in obstetrics and gynecology: A national survey of graduating senior residents

AIM

To analyze gender differences in factors influencing the choice of obstetrics and gynecology as a specialty and to inform gender-specific recruitment strategies for a more diverse and sustainable obstetrics and gynecology workforce.

METHODS

This nationwide cross-sectional survey was conducted annually in Japan from 2019 to 2024, targeting post-senior residency obstetricians and gynecologists. The survey collected data on demographics, timing, reasons for choosing obstetrics and gynecology, and changes in concerns from pre- to post-senior residency.

RESULTS

The survey received 2049 responses out of 2458 distributed surveys, resulting in a response rate of 83.9% (60.6% female, 39.4% male). Moreover, 52.4% of respondents initially considered obstetrics and gynecology during medical school, with females more likely to consider it before medical school than males (24.8% vs. 17.3%). Clinical clerkship experience was the most common reason (57.7%), particularly among females compared to males (62.3% vs. 50.5%). However, males were more influenced by family members or relatives (6.9% vs. 13.1%) and lectures (8.6% vs. 12.6%) than females. Pre-residency concerns-physical burden, mental burden, night on-call demands, marriage and family planning, career path planning, litigation risks, and workforce shortages-were higher in females than in males, although these concerns decreased significantly post-residency, excluding those regarding workforce shortages and income. Male-specific concern about the "need for male physicians" decreased significantly from 32.3% to 11.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide survey provides valuable insights into the role of gender in specialty decision-making, with important implications for developing gender-specific recruitment strategies.

Surgery clerkships & general surgery careers: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

By 2050, the U.S. is projected to face a critical shortage of surgeons, with general surgery experiencing the most significant shortfall. Medical student clerkship experiences play a crucial role in sustaining interest in surgical careers, making them a key area for intervention.

METHODS

This study provides a comprehensive review of the current literature on the attributes of general surgery clerkships that influence students' decisions to pursue a career in general surgery.

RESULTS

Using the Social Ecological Model (SEM), we identify clerkship factors and facilitators and barriers to student interest in general surgery careers at the individual, interpersonal, environmental, community, and policy level.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that targeted interventions - such as supporting students underrepresented in surgery, enhancing the quality of clerkships, and improving perceptions of the surgical lifestyle and culture - could increase interest in the field and address the impending surgeon shortage.

A 12-Year Analysis of Demand and Supply for Hand Surgery Training in the United States

BACKGROUND

The consistent recruitment of quality applicants is critical to the integrity of the US surgical workforce. This study assesses the demand and supply for hand surgery training in the United States.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional analysis of US hand surgery fellowship applicants from 2012 to 2023. Data were obtained from the National Resident Matching Program. Primary outcomes were annual number of hand surgery fellowship applicants, training positions, training programs, and unfilled training positions. Temporal trends were assessed with linear regression.

RESULTS

The annual number of hand surgery programs (73 to 93 [27.4% increase]; P < 0.001) and training positions (150 to 193 [28.7% increase]; P < 0.001) increased over the study period, while the annual number of applicants remained unchanged (199 to 198; P = 0.431). The applicant to training position ratio decreased over the study period (1.3 to 1.0; P = 0.001). The overall match rate increased (73.4% to 95.5%; P < 0.001), along with the mean number of submitted ranks per applicant (8.2 to 14.9; P < 0.001). The distribution of US allopathic graduates (91.9%), US osteopathic graduates (4.6%), and international medical graduates (3.5%) was similar over the study period. The rate of applicants matching at their first-choice fellowship increased over the study period (28.1% to 38.4%; P = 0.003), and the rate of unmatched applicants decreased (26.6% to 4.5%; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There was consistent growth in the number of hand surgery programs and training positions without a commensurate increase in the number of interested applicants. Increased recruitment efforts are necessary to ensure adequate demand for available training positions in hand surgery.

Intersection of Race and Gender in the Cardiothoracic Workforce: Study of Representation and Salary

BACKGROUND

Cardiothoracic surgery lacks gender and racial/ethnic diversity. Recent studies have highlighted disparities based on gender and race/ethnicity among academic cardiothoracic surgeons. The impact of the intersection of these factors on representation and salary is unknown.

METHODS

A cross-sectional analysis of Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education and Association of American Medical Colleges data was performed on the number of trainees and clinical faculty stratified by race/ethnicity and gender using χ2 testing.

RESULTS

The number of women and underrepresented minorities was low in cardiothoracic surgery compared with other specialties, with lowest representation at the intersection of race/ethnicity and gender. Among trainees, 8% were Asian, 2% were Black/African American , and 1.5% were Hispanic/Latina women. Among cardiothoracic faculty, 3.4% were Asian, 0.8% were Black/African American, and 0.4% were Hispanic/Latina women. Women in academic medicine, surgery, and cardiothoracic surgery earned 80%-87% the salary of men of equal academic rank. White assistant professors earned more than their colleagues (all clinical faculty, surgeons, and cardiothoracic surgeons), this difference was further compounded by gender.

CONCLUSIONS

Salary disparities exist among cardiothoracic surgeons at the intersection of gender and race/ethnicity. Women experience salary disparity across all academic ranks and specialties. When considering the intersection of gender and race/ethnicity, gender is the predominant factor driving salary inequity.

Upper gastrointestinal cancers: Trends and determinants of location of death

BACKGROUND

Patients diagnosed with upper gastrointestinal cancers often require extensive end-of-life care. We sought to investigate social determinants of health associated with disparities in the location of death among patients who died of upper gastrointestinal cancers.

METHODS

Patients who died between 2003 and 2020 from esophageal cancer, gastric cancer, hepatobiliary cancer, and pancreatic cancer were identified using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research database. Social determinants of health were assessed using the Social Vulnerability Index. Patients were categorized on the basis of location of death: inpatient hospital, home, nursing home, hospice, and outpatient medical facility/emergency department. Multivariable regression and mediation analyses defined the association of patient race as well as social determinants of health with location of death.

RESULTS

Among 815,780 decedents (esophageal cancer: 15.3%; gastric cancer: 3.6%; hepatobiliary cancer: 36.6%; pancreatic cancer: 54.5%), most were male (60.8%), aged 55-74 years (52.3%), and White (89.1%). Most decedents died at home (55.7%), followed by inpatient hospital (24.8%), hospice (9.0%), nursing home (8.1%), and outpatient medical facility/emergency department (2.5%). During the study period, location of death shifted notably from inpatient hospital (36.8% to 21.3%) to home (45.8% to 56.3%). Residents of high Social Vulnerability Index areas were more likely to die at inpatient hospital compared with home (31.8% vs 24.3%) (P < .001). Black race (reference: White; odds ratio; 0.41, 95% confidence interval, 0.40-0.42) and social vulnerability (reference: low Social Vulnerability Index; odds ratio, 0.64, 95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.65) remained independently associated with lower odds of dying at home compared with an inpatient hospital. Notably, 65% of the overall race-based association with death at inpatient hospital was driven indirectly through social determinants of health.

CONCLUSION

Social determinants are important drivers of end-of-life care and impact the potential ability of patients with cancer to die at home.

Orthopaedic Sports Injuries in an Aging Population: Current Trends and Future Projections

BACKGROUND

The elderly US population is growing quickly and staying active longer. However, there is limited information on sports-related injuries in older adults.

HYPOTHESES

(1) National estimate and incidence of sports-related orthopaedic injuries in the US elderly population have increased over the last 10 years, (2) types and causes of sports-related injuries in the elderly have changed, and (3) elderly sports-related injuries will increase more than the number of treating physicians by 2040.

STUDY DESIGN

Descriptive epidemiology study.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 4.

METHODS

The National Electronic Injury Surveillance System database was used to identify all patients aged ≥65 years with sports-related orthopaedic injuries in US emergency departments from 2012 to 2021. Surgeon and physician estimates were calculated using the Physician Compare database. Population data were obtained from US Census estimates and used to calculate annual incidence rates of injuries and to project total injuries through 2040. Injury characteristics were analyzed using Wilcoxon Rank-Sum tests and Chi-square or Fisher exact tests.

RESULTS

An estimated 444,078 sports-related orthopaedic injuries occurred in the elderly from 2012 to 2021. There were significant increases in injuries (from 32,573 in 2012 to 50,909 in 2021; P < 0.01) and in the national incidence of injuries (from 78 per 100,000 in 2012 to 91 per 100,000 in 2021; P = 0.01). The number of sports-related injuries in the elderly is projected to reach 111,245 by 2040, an increase of 119% from 2021. The number of orthopaedic surgeons and sports medicine physicians is projected to increase by only 19.7% over the same timeperiod.

CONCLUSION

Sports-related orthopaedic injuries in the elderly are increasing in both number and incidence.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Orthopaedic surgeons and other practitioners should be prepared to treat an increasing number of active elderly patients.

Characteristics and Practice Patterns of Non-Certified Surgeons Treating Medicare Patients

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to explore the patient characteristics and practice patterns of non-certified surgeons who treat Medicare patients in the United States.

BACKGROUND

Although most surgeons in the United States are board-certified, non-certified surgeons are permitted to practice in many locations. At the same time, surgical workforce shortages threaten access to surgical care for many patients. It is possible that noncertified surgeons may be able to help fill these access gaps. However, little is known about the practice patterns of non-certified surgeons.

METHODS

A 100% sample of Medicare claims data from 2014 to 2019 was used to identify practicing general surgeons. Surgeons were categorized as certified or non-certified in general surgery​​ based on data from the American Board of Surgery. Surgeon practice patterns and patient characteristics were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 2,097,206 patient cases were included in the study. These patients were treated by 16,076 surgeons, of which 6% were identified as non-certified surgeons. Compared with certified surgeons, non-certified surgeons were less frequently fellowship-trained (20.5% vs 24.2%, P =0.008) and more likely to be foreign medical graduates (14.5% vs 9.2%, P <0.001). Non-certified surgeons were more frequently practicing in for-profit hospitals (21.2% vs 14.2%, P <0.001) and critical access hospitals (2.2% vs 1.3%, P <0.001) and were less likely to practice in a teaching hospital (63.2% vs 72.4%, P <0.001). Compared with certified surgeons, non-certified surgeons treated more non-White patients (19.6% vs 14%, P <0.001) as well as a higher percentage of patients in the 2 lowest SES quintiles (36.2% vs 29.2%, P <0.001). Operations related to emergency admissions were more common amongst non-certified surgeons (68.8% vs 55.7%, P <0.001). There were no differences in sex or age of the patients treated by certified and non-certified surgeons.

CONCLUSIONS

For Medicare patients, non-certified surgeons treated more patients who are non-White, of lower socioeconomic status, and in more rural, critical-access hospitals.

SurgeryLLM: a retrieval-augmented generation large language model framework for surgical decision support and workflow enhancement

SurgeryLLM, a large language model framework using Retrieval Augmented Generation demonstrably incorporated domain-specific knowledge from current evidence-based surgical guidelines when presented with patient-specific data. The successful incorporation of guideline-based information represents a substantial step toward enabling greater surgeon efficiency, improving patient safety, and optimizing surgical outcomes.

The use of asynchronous digital two-way communication between patients and healthcare professionals after hospital discharge: A scoping review

OBJECTIVE

This scoping review aimed to identify and map how asynchronous digital two-way communication is used between patients and healthcare professionals after hospital discharge, as well as identify facilitators and barriers to implementation.

METHODS

Following the JBI guidance for scoping reviews, we searched seven databases on August 29, 2022. Rayyan was employed for screening the articles, and data were extracted using a predefined and iteratively modified data extraction tool. Facilitators and barriers were systematically categorized according to the domains and constructs of the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR).

RESULTS

Forty articles were included, primarily published between 2012 and 2022 and from the USA. In the majority of articles (77.5 %), asynchronous digital two-way communication was a part of a larger eHealth intervention. Nurses were the healthcare professionals most frequently mentioned as answering patients' messages (35 %) with response times sparsely described, and varying between four hours and three days. Efforts done to implement asynchronous digital two-way communication were only mentioned in 37.5 % of the articles. Facilitators included easy access, convenience, less disturbance, shared expectations for use and communication with professionals familiar to the patient. Barriers involved fear of overlooking health issues, risk of answers being delayed, technical issues and unclear response times.

CONCLUSION

There is a gap in the literature between studies that describe the use of asynchronous digital two-way communication after hospital discharge exhaustively and reports on facilitators and barriers to implementation.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

This scoping review serves as an overview of the current use of asynchronous digital two-way communication after hospital discharge and sheds light on facilitators and barriers to implementation pertinent to this specific period.

Evolving Economics: The Erosion of Medicare Reimbursement in Breast Surgery (2003-2023)

INTRODUCTION

Medicare significantly influences reimbursement rates, setting a standard that impacts private insurance policies. Despite declining rates in various specialties, the magnitude of these trends has not been examined in breast surgery. This study examines Medicare reimbursement trends for breast surgery operations.

METHODS

Data for 10 breast operations from 2003 to 2023 were collected from the Medicare Physician Fee Look-Up Tool and yearly reimbursement was computed using the conversion factor. The year-to-year percentage change in reimbursement was calculated, and the overall median change was compared with the consumer price index (CPI) for inflation evaluation. All data were adjusted to 2023 United States dollars. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was calculated using inflation-adjusted data.

RESULTS

Over the study period, reimbursement for the 10 breast operations had a mean unadjusted percentage increase of + 25.17%, while the CPI increased by 69.15% (p < 0.001). However, after adjustment, overall reimbursement decreased by - 20.70%. Only two operations (lumpectomy and simple mastectomy) saw increased inflation-adjusted Medicare reimbursement (+ 0.37% and + 3.58%, respectively). The CAGR was - 1.54% overall but remained positive for the same two operations (+ 0.02% and + 0.18%, respectively). Based on these findings, breast surgeons were estimated to be reimbursed $107,605,444 less in 2023 than if rates had kept pace with inflation over the past decade.

CONCLUSION

Inflation-adjusted Medicare reimbursement rates for breast surgeries have declined from 2003 to 2023. This downward trend may strain resources, potentially leading to compromises in care quality. Surgeons, administrators, and policymakers must take proactive measures to address these issues and ensure the ongoing accessibility and quality of breast surgery.

The Blue Ribbon Committee II Report and Recommendations on Surgical Education and Training in the United States: 2024

OBJECTIVE

An expert panel made recommendations to optimize surgical education and training based on the effects of contemporary challenges.

BACKGROUND

The inaugural Blue Ribbon Committee (BRC I) proposed sweeping recommendations for surgical education and training in 2004. In light of those findings, a second BRC (BRC II) was convened to make recommendations to optimize surgical training considering the current landscape in medical education.

METHODS

BRC II was a panel of 67 experts selected on the basis of experience and leadership in surgical education and training. It was organized into subcommittees which met virtually over the course of a year. They developed recommendations, along with the Steering Committee, based on areas of focus and then presented them to the entire BRC II. The Delphi method was chosen to obtain consensus, defined as ≥80% agreement among the panel. Cronbach α was computed to assess the internal consistency of 3 Delphi rounds.

RESULTS

Of the 50 recommendations, 31 obtained consensus in the following aspects of surgical training (# of consensus recommendation/# of proposed): Workforce (1/5); Medical Student Education (3/8); Work Life Integration (4/6); Resident Education (5/7); Goals, Structure, and Financing of Training (5/8); Education Support and Faculty Development (5/6); Research Training (7/9); and Educational Technology and Assessment (1/1). The internal consistency was good in Rounds 1 and 2 and acceptable in Round 3.

CONCLUSIONS

BRC II used the Delphi approach to identify and recommend 31 priorities for surgical education in 2024. We advise establishing a multidisciplinary surgical educational group to oversee, monitor, and facilitate implementation of these recommendations.

A Report of Salaries of Academic Cardiothoracic Surgeons Based on Race and Ethnicity

BACKGROUND

Diversity in the physician workforce improves patient care, physician well-being, and innovation. Workforce diversity is dependent on fair compensation that is unbiased by race or ethnicity. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a disparity of representation and salary on the basis of race or ethnicity exists in academic cardiothoracic surgery.

METHODS

Study investigators performed a cross-sectional analysis of data collected by the Accreditation Council of Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) and the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) faculty data for US medical school faculty 2021 and 2022. Salary data were not available if an academic rank and race or ethnicity had fewer than 6 cardiothoracic surgeons. Study investigators performed a descriptive analysis of the number of faculty and compared median and mean salaries according to academic rank using a paired t test.

RESULTS

Of the 758 academic cardiothoracic surgeons, 64.9% were White, 25.2% were Asian, 3.3% were Black or African American, 4.9% were Hispanic or Latino, and 1.7% were of other race or ethnicity. Cardiothoracic surgeons at the academic rank of professor were 74.6% White, 17.7% Asian, 3.4% Black or African American, 3.9% Hispanic or Latino, and 0.4% other races. Asian faculty earned 89% to 171%, Black or African American faculty earned 59% to 94%, and Hispanic or Latino faculty earned 84% to 165% of the median salary earned by White faculty. Black or African American faculty consistently and significantly (P = .002) earned lower median salaries compared with White faculty at each academic rank measured.

CONCLUSIONS

The academic cardiothoracic surgery workforce lacks diversity, especially at the highest academic ranks. Salary equity among races or ethnicities is complex, requiring additional study. However, Black or African American cardiothoracic surgeons experience low representation and salary disparity at every academic rank measured.

The die-hards, negotiators and migrants: Portraits of doctors' career pathways through specialisation

INTRODUCTION

Global workforce shortages in medical specialties strain healthcare systems, jeopardising patient outcomes. Enhancing recruitment strategies by supporting professional identity (PI) development may be one way to address this workforce gap-yet little research has explored this topic. The goal of the current study was to explore specialty-specific recruitment through considering PI. As proposed causes of workforce shortages in anatomical pathology (AP) bear similarities to many other specialties, this study uses the field of AP as a model for specialist PI development and asks: (1) why, how and when do doctors choose to pursue AP training and (2) what can be learned from this for recruitment to AP and other specialties?

METHODS

A qualitative research approach was undertaken using narrative inquiry. Interviews with junior doctors interested in AP, AP registrars and AP consultants from Australia and New Zealand were interpreted as stories via 're-storying'. Narrative synthesis of participants' collective stories identified chronological key events (i.e. 'turning points') in choosing AP.

RESULTS

Narrative synthesis resulted in identification of three portraits entering medical specialist training: (1) die-hards, deciding upon initial exposure; (2) negotiators, choosing after comparing specialties; and (3) migrants, seeking to move away from non-pathology specialties. The negotiators and migrants cemented their decision to pursue AP as a postgraduate doctor, whereas the die-hards made this decision during medical school.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the similarities in portrait traits between AP and other specialties across the literature, our results suggest ways to support specialty recruitment using PI development. We propose a medical specialist recruitment framework to support the PI development of doctors with die-hard, negotiator and migrant traits. Use of this framework could enhance current specialty-specific recruitment approaches, particularly in fields challenged by workforce shortages.

Increasing Prevalence of Voice Disorders in the USA: Updates in the COVID Era

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the current prevalence of voice disorders among adults in the United States; to determine the association of individual factors with voice disorders.

METHODS

The 2022 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) was analyzed to identify adults reporting voice problems in the past 12 months. Demographics were assessed, as well as the duration, severity, and resolution of the voice problem. The relationship between voice problems, gender, lost workdays, and long COVID was investigated. A comparison to the 2012 NHIS was made to determine changes in voice disorder prevalence.

RESULTS

29.9 million Americans (95%CI[28.3-31.5]) annually report a voice problem, representing 12.2% of the population (95%CI[11.7-12.8%]). Overall, 26.8% and 13.2% reported the severity of their voice problem as moderate or severe, respectively. Only 5.1% (95%CI[4.3-6.0%]) of respondents sought treatment. Most voice problems were resolved within 1 week (53.0%,95%CI[50.9-55.1%]). Females were more likely than males to report a voice problem (14.4% vs. 10.0%,95%CI[13.7-15.1] and [9.3-10.7], respectively). The 17.6 million Americans with long COVID symptoms were more likely to have voice complaints than those without (21.1% vs. 11.6%,95%CI[18.9-23.5%] and [11.1-12.1%], respectively). Lost workdays were not significantly higher for those with voice disorders compared to those without (17.1 vs. 12.9 days,95%CI[12.0-22.1] and [11.0-14.8], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Voice problems affect approximately 1 in 8 adults in the U.S. annually, demonstrating an alarming increased prevalence since 2012 using the same survey methodology. Relatively few individuals seek care for their voice problem, despite significant self-reported impact. Further study is required regarding the impact of COVID and changes in voice use patterns on voice disorders.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 134:3713-3718, 2024.

Identification of the factor affecting learning curves of laparoscopic gastrectomy through the experience at a Japanese high-volume center over the last decade

Background

Though laparoscopic gastrectomy (LG) has become the gold standard for gastric cancer treatment according to the Japanese treatment guidelines, its learning curve remains steep. Decreasing numbers of surgeons and transitions in the work environment have changed LG training recently. We analyzed LG training over the last decade to identify factors affecting the learning curve.

Study Design

Laparoscopic distal and pylorus-preserving gastrectomies conducted between 2010 and 2020 were included. We assessed learning curves based on the standard operation time (SOT) defined by analysis of covariance. Then we divided the trainees into two groups based on the length of the learning curve and examined the factors affecting the learning curve with linear regression analysis.

Results

Among 2335 LGs, 960 cases treated by 27 trainees and 1301 cases treated by six attending surgeons were analyzed. The operation time was prolonged (p = 0.009) and postoperative morbidity rates were lower (p = 0.0003) for cases treated by trainees. Trainees experienced 38 (range, 9-81) cases as scopists and nine (range, 0-41) cases as first assistants to the first operator. The learning curve was approximately 30 cases. The SOT was calculated based on gender, body mass index, tumor location, reconstruction, and lymph node dissection. Trainees who had shorter learning curves had more experience (51-100 cases) with any laparoscopic surgery before LG training than the others (11-50 cases, p = 0.017).

Conclusion

Sufficient experience with laparoscopic surgery before starting LG training might contribute to the efficiency of LG training and shorten the learning curve.

Immersive reality for robotic surgical training: a pilot study using 3D visors for immersive view of the operating field

Immersive intracorporeal vision is a key feature of robotic surgery, limited today to only one trainee per operation when the dual console is available. We developed a tool that provides a virtually unlimited number of surgeons with the operator's view, with the possibility to also watch the surgeon's hand movements and the operating table. In this study, we aim to assess trainees' reaction to this innovative training method. Medical students and surgery residents were offered an immersive experience with head-mounted devices, showing a didactic video in a 360° virtual space with 3D intracorporeal robotic vision, the surgeon's hand movements and the surrounding operating room during a robotic rectal resection with total mesorectal excision. Subsequently, participants were asked to fill a questionnaire evaluating the user's reaction to the new training tool including the validated System Usability Scale (SUS) and Simulator Sickness Questionnaire (SSQ), and non-validated questions. 102 participants took part in the training and the assessment questionnaires, 94 (92%) medical students and 8 (8%) surgery residents. Users' feedback was overall positive. In the engagement and intention to use items, almost 90% of the respondents voted for a complete or near complete agreement. The median SUS score was 80 [IQR 70-90]. The median SSQ score was 44.88 [IQR 22.44-82.28]. Exposing trainees to immersive robotic vision of the surgical field had a positive reaction from our audience. Our initial results encourage further implementing this technology in surgical training of medical students and residents to prove its efficacy.

The state of vascular surgery education in the United States

With the growing proportion of elderly population in the US and a relatively fixed supply of well-trained vascular surgeons, there is a serious concern that we will be facing a shortage of vascular surgery workforce in the near future. One of the main reasons why there is a shortage of vascular surgeons in the US is due to the fact that many students don't get exposed to this field throughout their student lives and a recent survey of medical students from a non-urban tertiary care academic institution showed that early exposure of the medical students to the surgical careers is correlated with an increased interest in the surgical field. This review of the state of vascular surgery education in the US at the undergraduate level describes in detail the importance of an early introduction to vascular surgery in the education curricula, the current state of the education, potential avenues to improve the exposure of students to the field of vascular surgery and the importance of this effort in matching the increasing need for vascular surgeons for an aging population which is likely to require dedicated care by vascular surgeons of the future. At the present time, the two pathways by the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) to obtain dedicated vascular surgery training in the US include either enrolling in a two year clinical fellowship after completion of general surgery training or to match in a five year vascular surgery integrated residency program after successful completion of medical degree.

Shortage of thoracic surgeons in the United States: Implications for treatment and survival for stage I lung cancer patients

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether there is a shortage of thoracic surgeons in the United States and whether any potential shortage is impacting lung cancer treatment and outcomes.

DESIGN

Using the US Area Health Resources File and Surveillance Epidemiology End Results database, we assessed the number of cardiothoracic surgeons per 100,000 people and the number of stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) diagnoses in the US in 2010 versus 2018. Changes in the percentage of patients diagnosed with stage I NSCLC who underwent surgery and stereotactic body radiotherapy and changes in overall survival of patients with stage I NSCLC from 2010 to 2018 in the National Cancer Database were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards modeling.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2018, the number of cardiothoracic surgeons per 100,000 people in the US decreased by 12% (P < .001), while the number of patients diagnosed with stage I NSCLC increased by 40% (P < .001). Over the same period, the percentage of patients who underwent surgery for stage I NSCLC decreased from 81.0% to 72.3% (adjusted odds ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.63); this decrease was similarly seen in a subgroup of young and otherwise healthy patients. Greater decreases in the percentage of patients who underwent surgery in nonmetropolitan and underserved regions corresponded with worse improvements in survival among patients in these regions from 2010 to 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

Recent declines in the US cardiothoracic surgery workforce may have led to significantly fewer patients undergoing surgery for stage I NSCLC and worsening disparities in survival between different patient populations.

Evaluating metabolic and bariatric surgery fellows' attitudes toward their training

BACKGROUND

The American Society of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgeons (ASMBS) Leadership Academy is conducted at the ASMBS Weekend to prepare surgeons for practice, while in their fellowship.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this analysis is to gather the views of current fellows in training on issues regarding practice patterns and career development.

SETTING

Survey at ASMBS Fellows Leadership Academy.

METHODS

An online survey was conducted at the last 2 ASMBS Leadership Academy Meetings at the ASMBS Weekend. There were 14 questions. There were 61 respondents. Twenty-three respondents had incomplete surveys and were not included in the final analysis. There were 24 fellows surveyed at the Leadership Academy in November 2022, in San Antonio, TX and 37 in January 2022, in Las Vegas, NV.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight percent of attendees were interviewing for employment after their fellowship with 3.64% already employed. Eighteen percent had employment secured upon completion of their fellowship. Of the academic fellows, 29.1% believe that private practice will no longer exist in 2030 and 10.9% of attendees believe that we will have Medicare for all by 2030. Fellows in academic programs ranked their fellowship as either "best decision of my life" or "great" (96.4%) and 3.6% ranked it as "useless (not good/not bad)." Ninety-three percent of attendees said they would do a bariatric fellowship again. Of those that said they would not, all were from a robotic fellowship program. Of those that would do a bariatric fellowship again, 80% stated they would do so at the same institution.

CONCLUSIONS

The fellows that attended the ASMBS Leadership Academy overall were very pleased with their fellowship experience, and most would choose to do a MIS/bariatric fellowship again.

Patient Perspectives on Communication Pathways After Orthopedic Surgery and Discharge and Evaluation of Team-Based Digital Communication: Qualitative Exploratory Study

BACKGROUND

The transition from hospital to home after orthopedic surgery requires smooth communication and coordination between patients and their team of care to avoid fragmented care pathways. Digital communication is increasingly being used to facilitate easy and accessible asynchronous communication between patients and health care professionals across settings. A team-based approach to digital communication may provide optimized quality of care in the postoperative period following orthopedic surgery and hospital discharge.

OBJECTIVE

This study was divided into two phases that aimed to (1) explore the perspectives of patients undergoing orthopedic surgery on current communication pathways at a tertiary hospital in Denmark and (2) test and explore patients' experiences and use of team-based digital communication following hospital discharge (eDialogue).

METHODS

A triangulation of qualitative data collection techniques was applied: document analysis, participant observations (n=16 hours), semistructured interviews with patients before (n=31) and after (n=24) their access to eDialogue, and exploration of use data.

RESULTS

Findings show that patients experience difficult communication pathways after hospital discharge and a lack of information due to inadequate coordination of care. eDialogue was used by 84% (26/31) of the patients, and they suggested that it provided a sense of security, coherence, and proximity in the aftercare rearranging communication pathways for the better. Specific drivers and barriers to use were identified, and these call for further exploration of eDialogue.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, patients evaluated eDialogue positively and suggested that it could support them after returning home following orthopedic surgery.

External Vs Internal e-Referrals: Results from a Nationwide Epidemiological Study Utilizing Secondary Collected Data

Background

E-referral systems, streamlining patient access to specialists, have gained global recognition yet lacked a comparative study between internal and external referrals in Saudi Arabia (KSA).

Methods

This retrospective study utilized secondary data from the Saudi Medical Appointments and Referrals Centre system. The data covers 2020 and 2021, including socio-demographic data, referral characteristics, and specialties. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with external referrals.

Results

Out of 645,425 e-referrals from more than 300 hospitals, 19.87% were external. The northern region led with 48.65%. Males were 55%, and those aged 25-64 were 56.68% of referrals. Outpatient clinic referrals comprised 47%, while 61% of referrals were due to a lack of specialty services. Several significant determinants are associated with higher rates of external referral with (p-value <0.001) and a 95% Confidence interval. Younger individuals under 25 exhibit higher referral rates than those aged 25-64. Geographically, compared to the central region, in descending order, there were increasing trends of external referral in the northern, western, and southern regions, respectively (OR = 19.26, OR = 4.48, OR 3.63). External referrals for outpatient departments (OPD) and dialysis services were higher than for routine admissions (OR = 1.38, OR = 1.26). The rate of external referrals due to the lack of available equipment was more predominant than other causes. Furthermore, in descending order, external referrals for organ transplantation and oncology are more frequent than for medical specialties, respectively (OR = 9.39, OR = 4.50).

Conclusion

The study reveals trends in e-referrals within the KSA, noting regional differences, demographic factors, and types of specialties regarding external referrals, benefiting the New Model of Care for the 2030 Vision. Findings suggest expanding virtual consultations to reduce external referrals. Strengthening primary care and preventive medicine could also decrease future referrals. Future studies should assess resource distribution, including infrastructure and workforce, to further inform healthcare strategy.

Health Care Professionals' Perspectives Before and After Use of eDialogue for Team-Based Digital Communication Across Settings: Qualitative Study

BACKGROUND

Orthopedic surgical treatment is a transversal task that requires the active involvement of patients, relatives, and health care professionals (HCPs) across various settings. However, after hospital discharge, communication is challenged and undertaken primarily by phone. New digital communication solutions have the potential to create a space for seamless and patient-centered dialogue across discipline and sector boundaries. When evaluating new communication solutions, knowledge about HCPs' needs and perspectives of use must be explored, as it is they who are responsible for implementing changes in practice.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to (1) investigate HCPs' perceptions of current communication pathways (phase 1) and (2) explore their experiences of using a simple messenger-like solution (eDialogue) for team-based digital communication across settings (phase 2).

METHODS

We used a triangulation of qualitative data collection techniques, including document analysis, observations, focus groups, and individual interviews of HCPs before (n=28) and after (n=12) their use of eDialogue. Data collection and analysis were inspired by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) to specifically understand facilitators and barriers to implementation as perceived by HCPs.

RESULTS

HCPs perceive current communication pathways as insufficient for both patients and themselves. Phone calls are disruptive, and there is a lack of direct communication modalities when communication crosses sector boundaries. HCPs experienced the use of eDialogue as a quick and easy way for timely interdisciplinary interaction with patients and other HCPs across settings; however, concerns were raised about time consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

eDialogue can provide needed support for interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral patient-centered communication. However, future studies of this solution should address its impact and the use of resources.

Ophthalmology workforce over a decade in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: demographics, distribution, and future challenges

BACKGROUND

The ophthalmology workforce is an integral component of any health care system. However, the demand for eye care has imposed a heavy burden on this system. Hence, this study aimed to estimate the trends, demographic characteristics, distribution, and variation between Saudi and non-Saudi ophthalmologists and the future challenges of the ophthalmology workforce in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA).

METHODS

This study was conducted in the KSA and included ophthalmologists practicing from 2010 to 2023. From the Saudi Commission for Health Specialties, we obtained the number, gender, nationality, and rank of ophthalmologists. The geographic distribution of ophthalmologists in the KSA was obtained from the Ministry of Health Statistical Yearbook 2021.

RESULTS

As of January 2023, the KSA had a total of 2608 registered ophthalmologists, with approximately 81.06 ophthalmologists per 1,000,000 people. Only 38% of all ophthalmologists in the country were Saudis. The percentage of Saudi female graduates increased from 13.3% to 37.2% over 12 years [Sen's estimator of slope for median increase per year = 1.33 (95% CI 1.22-1.57) graduates; trend test P < 0.001). Additionally, we found that the geographic distribution of ophthalmologists varied (test for homogeneity of rates, P < 0.0001), with the larger regions having a higher concentration of ophthalmologists than the smaller regions (75.6 in Riyadh versus 42.8 in Jazan per 1,000,000 people). However, the World Health Organization's target for the ophthalmologist-to-population ratio has been achieved in all 13 health regions of KSA.

CONCLUSION

The recommended ophthalmologist-to-population ratio has been achieved in the KSA, and the number of Saudi ophthalmologists has almost doubled over the past 8 years. However, the majority of ophthalmologists are still non-Saudi, as Saudi ophthalmologists constitute approximately one-third of the ophthalmology workforce in the KSA. The geographical distribution of ophthalmologists varies, which might affect access to care in peripheral regions. In response to the growing demand for eye care in the KSA, several more effective measures might need to be considered.

The association between frailty and ageing: Results from an observational study including 9497 elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Elderly surgical patients have a high risk of postoperative complications. However, patients exhibit considerable diversity in health and functional status; thus, identifying the fragile may be necessary when selecting surgical candidates. We aimed to compare the prevalence of frailty in patients ≥90 years with patients aged 80-89. Second, we assessed the association between frailty and all-cause 30-day mortality.

METHODS

We performed a planned secondary analysis of the peri-interventional outcome study in the elderly (POSE), including 9497 patients (≥80 years) undergoing any surgical and nonsurgical procedures in 177 European centres from October 2017 to December 2018. The primary outcome assessment included frailty as a binary variable, and data were analysed using Fisher's exact test/Chi-squared test. The association between frailty and all-cause 30-day mortality was analysed using a multivariate logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, surgical urgency, orthopaedic urgency, and surgical severity.

RESULTS

In total, 999 of 9497 (10.5%) patients were 90 years or above. Among patients ≥90 years, 274 (27.4%) were frail compared to 1062 (12.5%) of patients aged 80-89 (odds ratio (OR): 2.6; 95% CI 2.3-3.1). Frailty was associated with increased 30-day mortality in both the unadjusted (crude OR 6.3; 5.1-7.7) and adjusted analysis (OR 4.5; 3.6-5.7). In the adjusted analysis, age ≥90 was not associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

We found a high frequency of frailty in patients aged 90 years or above compared with patients aged 80-89. In addition, frailty was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality. Surprisingly, age was not a significant risk factor in the adjusted mortality analysis.

Examining surgeon stress in robotic and laparoscopic surgery

Robotic surgery may decrease surgeon stress compared to laparoscopic. To evaluate intraoperative surgeon stress, we measured salivary alpha-amylase and cortisol. We hypothesized robotic elicited lower increases in surgeon salivary amylase and cortisol than laparoscopic. Surgical faculty (n = 7) performing laparoscopic and robotic operations participated. Demographics: age, years in practice, time using laparoscopic vs robotic, comfort level and enthusiasm for each. Operative data included operative time, WRVU (surgical "effort"), resident year. Saliva was collected using passive drool collection system at beginning, middle and end of each case; amylase and cortisol measured using ELISA. Standard values were created using 7-minute exercise (HIIT), collecting saliva pre- and post-workout. Linear regression and Student's t test used for statistical analysis; p values < 0.05 were significant. Ninety-four cases (56 robotic, 38 laparoscopic) were collected (April-October 2022). Standardized change in amylase was 8.4 ± 4.5 (p < 0.001). Among operations, raw maximum amylase change in laparoscopic and robotic was 23.4 ± 11.5 and 22.2 ± 13.4; raw maximum cortisol change was 44.21 ± 46.57 and 53.21 ± 50.36, respectively. Values normalized to individual surgeon HIIT response, WRVU, and operative time, showing 40% decrease in amylase in robotic: 0.095 ± 0.12, vs laparoscopic: 0.164 ± 0.16 (p < 0.02). Normalized change in cortisol was: laparoscopic 0.30 ± 0.44, robotic 0.22 ± 0.4 (p = NS). On linear regression (p < 0.001), surgeons comfortable with complex laparoscopic cases had lower change in normalized amylase (p < 0.01); comfort with complex robotic was not significant. Robotic may be less physiologically stressful, eliciting less increase in salivary amylase than laparoscopic. Comfort with complex laparoscopic decreased stress in robotic, suggesting laparoscopic experience is valuable prior to robotic.

Ophthalmology Workforce Projections in the United States, 2020 to 2035

PURPOSE

To analyze ophthalmology workforce supply and demand projections from 2020 to 2035.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study using data from the National Center for Health Workforce Analysis (NCHWA).

METHODS

Data accessed from the Department of Health and Human Services, Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA) website were compiled to analyze the workforce supply and demand projections for ophthalmologists from 2020 to 2035.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Projected workforce adequacy over time.

RESULTS

From 2020 to 2035, the total ophthalmology supply is projected to decrease by 2650 full-time equivalent (FTE) ophthalmologists (12% decline) and total demand is projected to increase by 5150 FTE ophthalmologists (24% increase), representing a supply and demand mismatch of 30% workforce inadequacy. The level of projected adequacy was markedly different based on rurality by year 2035 with 77% workforce adequacy versus 29% workforce adequacy in metro and nonmetro geographies, respectively. By year 2035, ophthalmology is projected to have the second worst rate of workforce adequacy (70%) of 38 medical and surgical specialties studied.

CONCLUSIONS

The HRSA's Health Workforce Simulation Model forecasts a sizeable shortage of ophthalmology supply relative to demand by the year 2035, with substantial geographic disparities. Ophthalmology is one of the medical specialties with the lowest rate of projected workforce adequacy by 2035. Further dedicated workforce supply and demand research for ophthalmology and allied professionals is needed to validate these projections, which may have significant future implications for patients and providers.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

The Safety and Efficacy of Microporous Polysaccharide Hemospheres in Terms of the Complication Rates in Total Hip Arthroplasty for Femoral Neck Fractures: A Control-Matched Retrospective Cohort

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of microporous polysaccharide hemospheres (MPSHs) in managing blood loss and reducing the risk of postoperative haematoma and early periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following total hip arthroplasty (THA) for femoral neck fracture (FNF), in the context of the existing treatment challenges.

METHODS

A control-matched retrospective analysis of 163 patients undergoing unilateral primary THA for displaced FNF between 2020 and 2023 was performed. The study group consisted of 74 patients who received MPSH administered intraoperatively. The control group consisted of 89 patients who received no topical haemostatics. One-to-one case-control matching between groups was performed. The primary outcome was a perioperative change in the haematologic values (haemoglobin, red blood cell count, haematocrit, platelet concentration) and transfusion rate. The secondary outcomes were the incidence of postoperative local haematoma formation, prolonged wound secretion, surgical site infection (SSI), and PJI within 3 months of surgery.

RESULTS

Our analysis found no statistically significant differences in the haematologic parameters between the control and study cohorts. The changes in the haemoglobin concentration were not significant between the control group (3.18 ± 1.0 g/dL) and the treatment group (2.87 ± 1.15 g/dL) (p = 0.3). There were no significant differences (p = 0.24) in the haematocrit and red blood cell concentration (p = 0.15). The platelet levels did not significantly differ (p = 0.12) between the groups. Additionally, we found no significant discrepancy in the incidence of early PJI or blood transfusion rates between the groups. No adverse effects following MPSH use were recorded in the study group.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine use of MPSH in THA for FNF management appears to be safe, with no observed adverse events related to Arista® use. Although there was a tendency towards reduced blood loss in the Arista® AH group, MPSH did not significantly impact bleeding complications, local haematoma formation, or subsequent PJI.

Analysis of Operating Room Personnel Perspectives to Enhance Medical Student Readiness for Surgery

OBJECTIVE

We sought to better define surgical etiquette and elucidate operating room (OR) personnel expectations of medical students to determine areas for medical education improvement.

DESIGN

A questionnaire probing medical student performance regarding elements of OR etiquette was developed. Questions were designed to obtain structured feedback through Likert scales and open-ended responses. Descriptive and thematic analysis was conducted on Likert scale and free-text responses, respectively.

SETTING

Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, NJ. Tertiary academic center.

PARTICIPANTS

A questionnaire was distributed to nurses, surgical and anesthesia faculty and residents. The survey was distributed via email amongst various hospitals, predominantly our home institution.

RESULTS

We received 126 complete responses. About half of respondents (46.3%) self-identified as female. Most respondents were part of the surgical team (74.7%), with most (57.8%) from attending physicians. A majority of respondents agreed that medical students responded well to feedback. Roughly half of respondents agreed that medical students understand their role, maintain sterility, and assist in delivery of effective patient care. More than half of respondents did not believe that medical students understand traffic patterns. The majority of respondents indicated that medical students are not appropriately prepared with basic surgical skills prior to entering the OR. Two-thirds of respondents did not feel that medical students contribute towards maintaining safety in the OR. We identified 4 themes from free text responses: students should assume an active role in the OR, utilize situational awareness, understand sterility and OR workflow, and have knowledge of basic operative technique and anatomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Medical students are not meeting OR personnel expectations and may benefit from early educational interventions to optimize the OR as a learning environment.

Fourth-Year Medical Students' Perceptions of Vascular Surgery: Can We Improve the Pipeline?

BACKGROUND

Since their inception, Integrated Vascular Surgery Residency (IVSR) programs have expanded widely and attracted highly competitive medical students by offering a more focused approach to learning both open surgical and endovascular techniques. However, despite substantial modifications to the training paradigm, a shortage of vascular surgeons is still projected through 2050. We aimed to gather and analyze fourth-year medical students' knowledge and perceptions of vascular surgery (VS) to further inform strategies for recruiting future vascular surgeons.

METHODS

We sent anonymous electronic questionnaires to fourth-year medical students at 7 allopathic and 3 osteopathic medical schools, with questions detailing demographics, specialty preferences, and exposure to and perceptions of VS. Descriptive statistics were obtained, and responses were compared between students applying to surgical specialties (SS) and nonsurgical specialties (NSS).

RESULTS

Two hundred eleven of 1,764 (12%) participants responded (56% female). 56% reported VS exposure, most commonly during the third year. 64 (30%) planned to apply to SS. 57% of respondents reported knowledge of the management of vascular disease, and 56% understood procedures performed by vascular surgeons. Ranking the importance of factors in choosing specialties, SS selected "experiences gained during medical school rotations" (P < 0.05), "types and/or variety of treatment modalities used in this field" (P < 0.001), and "interest in the pathology or disease processes treated" (P < 0.05) as highest priorities. NSS preferred "lifestyle (work-life balance) as an attending" (P < 0.001). Only 7% of all respondents believed vascular surgeons have a good work-life balance, with a larger percentage of SS (P < 0.001) agreeing. Stratified by gender, female students rated "limited ability of childbirth during residency and/or postponement of family plans" (P < 0.05), "gender-related concerns, such as discrimination at work or unfair career possibilities" (P < 0.001), and "fear of unfair competition" (P < 0.05) as potential negative aspects of VS careers. 55% of respondents believed the IVSR makes VS more appealing.

CONCLUSIONS

Medical students perceive poor quality of life and work-life balance as deterring factors to a career in VS. Opportunities exist to educate students on the pathologies treated, procedures performed, and attainable quality of life available in our field. We should also continue to develop recruitment strategies to stimulate student interest and increase early exposure in VS.

Systematic review of the efficacy and purpose of student surgical interest groups

BACKGROUND

There is concern around projected unmet need in the surgical workforce internationally. Current barriers to medical students pursuing surgical careers include lack of early exposure, low confidence in surgical skills, and perceived lifestyle barriers. This review aimed to examine both the purpose of student surgical interest groups (SIGs) globally, and their effect on metrics representing student surgical career interest. barriers.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, PubMed, and Google Scholar were searched for papers analysing surgical interest group purpose and efficacy. Risk of bias was assessed for survey-based papers using a 20-point checklist. Descriptive analysis was performed based on qualitative data.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight papers were included in the analysis including 13 surveys. These were of moderate quality. The analysed SIGs had 100-1000 student members and a diverse range of funding sources. Purpose of SIGs was described by 26 of 28 papers with common themes including promotion of surgical career choice and developing theoretical/practical surgical skills. Common initiatives of SIGs included surgical lectures/teaching and practical skills workshops. Data from 15 papers analysing efficacy of SIGs suggested they positively influenced self-reported student interest in surgical careers (78.6%) and confidence in surgical knowledge (80%), as well as confidence in practical skills, knowledge about surgical careers/lifestyle, mentorship opportunity, and research involvement.

CONCLUSION

Student SIGs make a unique contribution to early medical student experience through positive effect on promoting surgical careers. They target relevant metrics such as surgical knowledge and confidence that are known to influence surgical career choice in the modern surgical landscape.

Development of a social cognitive career theory scale for measuring the intention to select surgery as a career

Background

Surgeon shortages have emerged as a prominent global issue. Although various studies have explored the factors that influence medical students in choosing surgery as a career, addressing the need for surgeons requires a multifaceted approach. However, there is currently a lack of a theoretically grounded scale to evaluate the effectiveness of surgical career development or policy promotion. Thus, this study aimed to develop a questionnaire for assessing the preference for a surgical career by adopting the Social Cognitive Career Theory (SCCT).

Materials and methods

The study aimed to develop the Social Cognitive Career Theory Scale toward Surgery (SCCTSS) by adopting the framework of SCCT. The questionnaire was created through expert consensus and the content validity index (CVI) calculation. Subsequently, a pilot version of the SCCTSS was administered to 222 medical students in their clinical clerkships, and the collected data underwent item analysis. Additionally, the validation of the SCCTSS by gender was performed.

Results

The SCCTSS comprised 16 items that passed expert panel evaluation, with a CVI >0.8, mean ≥ 3.00, and an interquartile range ≤1. Item analysis demonstrated that the quality of the SCCTSS met the qualifying threshold. Furthermore, the SCCTSS questionnaire effectively validated gender differences in surgical career preference.

Conclusions

We developed an internally consistent and reliable scale and validated it through an expert panel method and feedback from medical students. Further research is required to evaluate the targeted interventions that may assist in recruiting medical students into the field of surgery through the application of the SCCTSS.

Outcomes of Hematuria Evaluation by Advanced Practice Providers and Urologists

OBJECTIVE

To examine the quality and costs of care for patients evaluated for hematuria by urologic advanced practice providers (APPs) and urologists. The roles of APPs in urology are growing, but their clinical and financial outcomes compared to urologists are not well understood.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of commercially insured patients using data from 2014 to 2020. We included adult beneficiaries with a diagnosis code for hematuria and an initial outpatient evaluation and management visit with a urologic APP or urologist. We assessed receipt of cystoscopy procedure, imaging study, bladder biopsy procedure, and bladder cancer diagnosis within 6 months of the initial visit. Secondary outcomes included the time until each of these outcomes occurred and the out-of-pocket spending and total payments.

RESULTS

We identified 59,923 patients who were initially evaluated for hematuria. Visits with urologic nurse practitioners rather than urologists were associated with significantly lower odds of receiving cystoscopy procedures (odds ratio [OR] 0.93, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.54-0.72, P < .001), imaging studies (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69-0.91, P < .001), and bladder biopsy procedures (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.92, P = .02). Visits with urologic physician assistants were associated with 11% greater out-of-pocket payments (incident risk ratio 1.11, CI 1.01-1.22, P = .02) and 14% greater total payments (incident risk ratio 1.14, CI 1.04-1.25, P = .004).

CONCLUSION

There are clinical and financial differences in hematuria care delivered by urologic APPs and urologists. The incorporation of APPs into urologic care warrants further study, and specialty-specific training for APPs should be considered.

Unpopular medical specialties: exploring the concept that "the customer knows best"

BACKGROUND

Healthcare systems often face shortages of certain medical specialists due to lack of interest among medical students. We questioned a common "one solution fits all" approach to this problem which involves monetary incentives to lure students to these specialties. Instead, we used the marketing principle the "consumer knows best" to explore ways of elucidating the reasons and proposing solutions for such shortages.

METHODS

A convenience sample of Israeli 6th-year medical students and interns completed questionnaires to determine why they thought three specialties (geriatrics, anesthesiology, emergency medicine) were unpopular and their ideas on increasing their appeal.

RESULTS

119 6th-year students and 84 interns completed questionnaires. Geriatrics was reported having a problematic patient population; not being interesting and challenging; and not considered prestigious by colleagues and the populace. This contrasts with emergency medicine which, although considered prestigious, has difficult working conditions both during and after residency accompanied by much pressure at work. Although, improvements in lifestyle and remuneration were thought by students and interns as possibly making these specialties more attractive, reducing the pressure at work and decreasing on-call obligations were designated by the students/interns as ways to increase emergency medicine's and anesthesiology's appeal. Half the students replied that anesthesiology would be more appealing if work was in shifts (< 16 h), while 60% replied so for emergency medicine and only 18% for geriatrics. 90% of students reported that control over lifestyle would make emergency medicine more attractive while 55% and 48% replied positively for anesthesiology and geriatrics, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Using the concept "consumer knows best" provided additional insight into the specialty selection process. Students/interns have specialty-specific opinions as to why some specialties are unpopular. Their ideas about attracting more students to these specialties were also specialty-dependent, i.e. "one solution does not fit all". These observations render problematic a single solution aimed at ameliorating the workforce shortages of multiple specialties. Instead, these results advocate a differential approach wherein the lack of appeal of each unpopular specialty is analyzed individually and the students'/interns' (the "consumers") ideas sought resulting in solutions tailored to address each specialty's lack of attractiveness.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

None.

The correlates of post-surgical haematoma in older adults with proximal femoral fractures

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the incidence of haematoma, and clinical correlates among orthogeriatric patients.

AIMS

This study aims to describe the incidence of haematoma after surgical repair of hip fracture and to identify the clinical correlates of haematoma among orthogeriatric patients.

METHODS

Two orthopaedic surgeons and a dedicated operator using ultrasound technique, each other in blindness, evaluated 154 orthogeriatric patients during their hospital stay. All patients received a comprehensive geriatric assessment. We investigated the concordance between clinical diagnosis and ultrasound detection of haematoma, and then we explored the clinical correlates of the onset of post-surgical haematoma.

RESULTS

Blood effusion at the surgical site was detected in 77 (50%) patients using ultrasound technique; orthopaedic surgeons reached a clinical agreement about post-surgical haematoma in 18 (23%) patients. The sensitivity of clinical evaluation was 0.66, and the specificity was 0.70. Independent of age, clinical, pharmacological, and surgical confounders, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) were associated with post-surgical haematoma (OR 2.28; 95% CI 1.15-4.49). A tendency towards association was observed between selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and post-surgical haematoma (OR 2.10; 95% CI 0.97-4.54), CONCLUSIONS: Half of older patients undergoing surgical repair of proximal femoral fracture develop a post-surgical haematoma. Clinical assessment, even if made by senior orthopaedic surgeons, underestimates the actual occurrence of post-surgical haematoma compared to ultrasound detection. Ultrasound technique may help to detect haematoma larger than 15 mm better than clinical assessment. PPIs's use is a risk factor for post-surgical haematoma independent of several medical and surgical confounders.

Seasonality in General Surgery Hospitalizations and Procedures in the US: Workflow Implications

INTRODUCTION

Seasonality has been studied in select conditions treated by surgeons and internists, but is not well understood regarding overall procedural volume in general surgery. Furthermore, much of the literature is limited due to lack of use of seasonal-trend-decomposition analyses.

METHODS

All admissions with general surgery procedures were pooled from NIS 2002-2014, monthly hospitalization rates calculated, and seasonal-trend decomposition performed.

RESULTS

Emergent admissions, accounting for 9% of the average annual incidence, had more prominent seasonality than elective admissions. Inpatient surgical-procedural volume remained relatively stable throughout the year and decreased only in the third quarter. Procedures for acute intra-abdominal conditions and traumas peaked in summer months, while endoscopies, tracheostomies and gastrostomies peaked in winter months.

CONCLUSIONS

Many surgical pathologies and corresponding general-surgery procedures obey circannual patterns. Surgical workforce remains in high demand throughout the year except for fall and winter holidays. Understanding seasonal variation in such demand may be important for staffing and resource planning.

The Arthroplasty Surgeon Growth Indicator: A Tool for Monitoring Supply and Demand Trends in the Orthopaedic Surgeon Workforce from 2020 to 2050

BACKGROUND

Orthopaedic practices in the U.S. face a growing demand for total joint arthroplasties (TJAs), while the orthopaedic workforce size has been stagnant for decades. This study aimed to estimate annual TJA demand and orthopaedic surgeon workforce supply from 2020 to 2050, and to develop an arthroplasty surgeon growth indicator (ASGI), based on the arthroplasty-to-surgeon ratio (ASR), to gauge nationwide supply and demand trends.

METHODS

National Inpatient Sample and Association of American Medical Colleges data were reviewed for individuals who underwent primary TJA and for active orthopaedic surgeons (2010 to 2020), respectively. The projected annual TJA volume and number of orthopaedic surgeons were modeled using negative binominal and linear regression, respectively. The ASR is the number of actual (or projected) annual total hip (THA) and/or knee (TKA) arthroplasties divided by the number of actual (or projected) orthopaedic surgeons. ASGI values were calculated using the 2017 ASR values as the reference, with the resulting 2017 ASGI defined as 100.

RESULTS

The ASR calculation for 2017 showed an annual caseload per orthopaedic surgeon (n = 19,001) of 24.1 THAs, 41.1 TKAs, and 65.2 TJAs. By 2050, the TJA volume was projected to be 1,219,852 THAs (95% confidence interval [CI]: 464,808 to 3,201,804) and 1,037,474 TKAs (95% CI: 575,589 to 1,870,037). The number of orthopaedic surgeons was projected to decrease by 14% from 2020 to 2050 (18,834 [95% CI: 18,573 to 19,095] to 16,189 [95% CI: 14,724 to 17,655]). This would yield ASRs of 75.4 THAs (95% CI: 31.6 to 181.4), 64.1 TKAs (95% CI: 39.1 to 105.9), and 139.4 TJAs (95% CI: 70.7 to 287.3) by 2050. The TJA ASGI would double from 100 in 2017 to 213.9 (95% CI: 108.4 to 440.7) in 2050.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on historical trends in TJA volumes and active orthopaedic surgeons, the average TJA caseload per orthopaedic surgeon may need to double by 2050 to meet projected U.S. demand. Further studies are needed to determine how the workforce can best meet this demand without compromising the quality of care in a value-driven health-care model. However, increasing the number of trained orthopaedic surgeons by 10% every 5 years may be a potential solution.

Disparities in Access to Thoracic Surgeons among Patients Receiving Lung Lobectomy in the United States

Objective: Lung lobectomy is the standard of care for early-stage lung cancer. Studies have suggested improved outcomes associated with lobectomy performed by specialized thoracic surgery providers. We hypothesized that disparities would exist regarding access to thoracic surgeons among patients receiving lung lobectomy for cancer. Methods: The Premier Hospital Database was used to identify adult inpatients receiving lung lobectomy from 2009 to 2019. Patients were categorized as receiving their lobectomy from a thoracic surgeon, cardiovascular surgeon, or general surgeon. Sample-weighted multivariable analysis was performed to identify factors associated with provider type. Results: When adjusted for sampling, 121,711 patients were analyzed, including 71,709 (58.9%) who received lobectomy by a thoracic surgeon, 36,630 (30.1%) by a cardiovascular surgeon, and 13,373 (11.0%) by a general surgeon. Multivariable analysis showed that thoracic surgeon provider type was less likely with Black patients, Medicaid insurance, smaller hospital size, in the western region, and in rural areas. In addition, non-thoracic surgery specialty was less likely to perform minimally-invasive (MIS) lobectomy (cardiovascular OR 0.80, p < 0.001, general surgery OR 0.85, p = 0.003). Conclusions: In this nationally representative analysis, smaller, rural, non-teaching hospitals, and certain regions of the United States are less likely to receive lobectomy from a thoracic surgeon. Thoracic surgeon specialization is also independently associated with utilization of minimally invasive lobectomy. Combined, there are significant disparities in access to guideline-directed surgical care of patients receiving lung lobectomy.

Is it time to rethink microsurgical training for the treatment of intracranial aneurysms in Australia?

BACKGROUND

Case volume and complexity for microsurgical treatment of cerebral aneurysms have changed due to the growing use of endovascular therapy in clinical practice. The authors sought to quantify the clinical exposure of Australian neurosurgery trainees to cerebral aneurysm microsurgery.

METHODS

This observational, retrospective cross-sectional study examined the Australian National Hospital Morbidity database for all admissions related to microsurgical and endovascular treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) and unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) for the years 2008 to 2018. Procedural volumes were compared with neurosurgical trainee figures to investigate the rate of procedural exposure relative to the neurosurgical workforce.

RESULTS

A total of 8,874 (41.6%) microsurgical procedures (3,662 for aSAH, 5,212 for UIAs), and 12,481 (58.4%) endovascular procedures (6,018 for aSAH, 6,463 for UIAs) were performed. Trainee exposure to microsurgery in aSAH declined from 9.1 to 7.3 cases per trainee per annum (mean 7.7), with case complexity confined mostly to simple anterior circulation aneurysms. There are significant state-by-state differences in the preferred treatment modality for aSAH. During the same study period, the number of microsurgical cases for UIAs increased (from 8.9 to 13.5 cases per trainee per annum, mean 11.0). Significantly more endovascular procedures are performed than microsurgery (10.7 to 17.0, mean 12.7 cases, for aSAH; 8.0 to 21.5, mean 13.7 cases, for UIAs).

CONCLUSIONS

Trainee exposure to open aneurysm surgery for aSAH have significantly declined in both case volume and complexity. There is an overall increase in the number of surgeries for elective aneurysms, but this varies widely from state-to-state.

How Program Directors Understand General Surgery Resident Wellness

OBJECTIVE

Burnout among general surgery residents is prevalent. Guidance on how program directors (PDs) can effectively intervene on general surgery resident wellness is lacking. In this study, we explore how PDs learn about burnout among their residents and support their well-being.

DESIGN

Semi-structured interviews were conducted with PDs. Interviews were transcribed and coded by study team dyads who utilized an inductive coding approach, and then reconciled via consensus. Interpretive description was the qualitative analytical method.

SETTING

Program tours to 15 general surgery programs during the exploratory phase of the SECOND Trial.

PARTICIPANTS

Fifteen general surgery PDs.

RESULTS

PDs identified the utility of contextual information in understanding resident wellness and implementing program-specific resident wellness initiatives. Three themes relating to PD awareness of resident burnout and well-being were identified: (1) PDs used conventional and novel methods to collect data from multiple information sources, including residents, faculty, staff, institutional representatives, and anonymous parties. (2) These contextualized data inspired the development of responsive strategies to effect programmatic changes that improved education and wellness. (3) Barriers to acquiring and utilizing information exist, requiring careful analysis, creative problem solving, as well as persistence and dedication to resident wellness.

CONCLUSIONS

Qualitative analysis of general surgery residency PDs yielded insightful knowledge about gathering and responding to information to support resident wellness, including successful strategies and areas of caution. The experience of these PDs can guide others in evaluating their wellness goals and initiatives for their own residents.