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Tian C, Shi L, Wang J, Zhou J, Rui C, Yin Y, Du W, Chang S, Rui Y. Global, regional, and national burdens of hip fractures in elderly individuals from 1990 to 2021 and predictions up to 2050: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Arch Gerontol Geriatr 2025; 133:105832. [PMID: 40112671 DOI: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.105832] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2024] [Revised: 03/11/2025] [Accepted: 03/14/2025] [Indexed: 03/22/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE We aimed to analyse the global, regional, and national burdens of hip fractures in older adults from 1990 to 2021, with projections to 2050, on the basis of data from the GBD 2021 study. METHODS We employed a joinpoint model to analyse trends in the burden of hip fractures from 1990‒2021. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to quantify temporal trends over this period. We evaluated the relationship between the social development index and the burden of hip fracture in elderly people and conducted a health inequality analysis. Additionally, we applied Long-short Term Memory (LSTM) networks to forecast burden trends of hip fractures up to 2050. RESULTS The global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) for hip fractures in older adults rose from 781.56 per 100,000 in 1990 to 948.81 in 2021. The 2021 age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) was 1,894.07, and the age-standardized YLD rate (ASDR) was 173.52. From 1990 to 2021, the incidence and prevalence increased by 168.71 % and 173.07 %, respectively, while the burden of DALYs decreased. Future trends were projected via the LSTM. The burden and risk factors for hip fractures varied significantly by sex, country, and region. Population and aging are primary contributors to the rising incidence of elderly hip fractures, with falls being the leading direct cause. CONCLUSION From 1990 to 2021, the global burden of hip fractures in the elderly population, especially among older women, steadily increased. Population ageing highlights the urgent need for targeted public health interventions and resource allocation, including early diagnosis, effective prevention strategies, and region-specific management approaches.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chuwei Tian
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China
| | - Liu Shi
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China
| | - Jinyu Wang
- Department of Rehabilitation, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jun Zhou
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China
| | - Chen Rui
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China
| | - Yueheng Yin
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China
| | - Wei Du
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Shimin Chang
- Department of Orthopedics, Yangpu Hospital, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.
| | - Yunfeng Rui
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China; School of Medicine, Southeast University, NO. 87 Ding Jia Qiao, Nanjing, China.
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Noeske KE, Snowdon DA, Ekegren CL, Harding KE, Prendergast LA, Peiris CL, Shields N, O'Halloran PD, Porter J, Watts JJ, Taylor NF. Walking self-confidence and lower levels of anxiety are associated with meeting recommended levels of physical activity after hip fracture: a cross-sectional study. Disabil Rehabil 2025; 47:135-141. [PMID: 38635302 DOI: 10.1080/09638288.2024.2338195] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/08/2023] [Revised: 03/27/2024] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE To explore whether psychological factors are associated with ability to meet recommended physical activity thresholds after hip fracture. MATERIALS AND METHODS Cross-sectional observational study of 216 community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years after hip fracture (mean age 79 SD 7 years, 70% female). Multiple ordinal regression analysis determined factors associated with meeting physical activity thresholds related to positive health outcomes: 4,400 and 7,100 daily steps. Explanatory variables were: walking self-confidence; falls self-efficacy; depression; anxiety; co-morbidities; previous gait aid use; nutritional status; age; and gender. RESULTS Forty-three participants (20%) met the lower threshold of ≥4,400 to <7,100 steps and thirty participants (14%) met the upper threshold of ≥7,100 steps. Walking self-confidence was positively associated with meeting higher physical activity thresholds (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 1.32: 95% CI 1.11 to 1.57, p = 0.002). Age (AOR 0.93: 95% CI 0.89 to 0.98, p = 0.003), DASS-21 anxiety score (AOR 0.81: 95% CI 0.69 to 0.94, p = 0.008) and comorbidity index score (AOR 0.52: 95% CI 0.36 to 0.72, p < 0.001) were negatively associated with meeting higher physical activity thresholds. CONCLUSION Walking self-confidence and anxiety are potentially modifiable factors associated with meeting physical activity thresholds related to positive health outcomes after hip fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kate E Noeske
- Allied Health Clinical Research Office, Eastern Health, Box Hill, Australia
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
| | - David A Snowdon
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
- National Centre for Healthy Ageing (NCHA), Melbourne, Australia
- Peninsula Clinical School, Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- Academic Unit, Peninsula Health, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Christina L Ekegren
- Rehabilitation, Ageing and Independent Living (RAIL) Research Centre, School of Primary and Allied Health Care, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Katherine E Harding
- Allied Health Clinical Research Office, Eastern Health, Box Hill, Australia
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
| | - Luke A Prendergast
- School of Computing, Engineering and Mathematical Sciences, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
| | - Casey L Peiris
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
- The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Allied Health, Parkville, Australia
| | - Nora Shields
- Olga Tennison Autism Research Centre, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
| | - Paul D O'Halloran
- School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
| | - Judi Porter
- Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition (IPAN), Deakin University School of Exercise and Nutrition Sciences, Geelong, Australia
| | - Jennifer J Watts
- School of Health & Social Development, Faculty of Health, Deakin University, Burwood, Australia
| | - Nicholas F Taylor
- Allied Health Clinical Research Office, Eastern Health, Box Hill, Australia
- School of Allied Health, Human Services and Sport, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia
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Fujita T, Kasahara R, Kurita M, Jinbo R, Yamamoto Y, Ohira Y, Otsuki K, Iokawa K. Vitality index predicts walking independence in patients with hip fracture: A retrospective study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2024; 103:e41042. [PMID: 39705449 PMCID: PMC11666131 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000041042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2024] [Revised: 11/26/2024] [Accepted: 12/04/2024] [Indexed: 12/22/2024] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to determine if the vitality index predicts walking independence in inpatients with hip fractures and calculate a cutoff value. This retrospective cohort study included inpatients with hip fracture (N = 133). Logistic regression analysis was performed with walking independence at discharge and vitality index as the dependent and independent variables, respectively, and age, Berg balance scale (BBS), knee extension muscle strength, and revised Hasegawa's dementia scale at admission as covariates. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to calculate the cutoff value. Logistic regression analysis showed that the vitality index at admission was significantly associated with walking independence at discharge, even after adjusting for covariates (P < .01). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.82, and the cutoff value of the vitality index at admission was 6.5 points (sensitivity, 78%; specificity, 83%). Our results suggest that the vitality index at admission can be used to predict walking independence in inpatients with hip fractures. In particular, the vitality index score ≥ 7 points at admission is a convenient index for predicting walking independence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takaaki Fujita
- Department of Occupational Therapy, School of Health Sciences, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Ryuichi Kasahara
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Megumi Kurita
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Ryohei Jinbo
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Yuichi Yamamoto
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Yoko Ohira
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Koji Otsuki
- Department of Rehabilitation, Kita-Fukushima Medical Center, Date-city, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Kazuaki Iokawa
- Department of Occupational Therapy, School of Health Sciences, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima-city, Fukushima, Japan
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Taylor NF, Rimayanti MU, Peiris CL, Snowdon DA, Harding KE, Semciw AI, O'Halloran PD, Wintle E, Williams S, Shields N. Hip fracture has profound psychosocial impacts: a systematic review of qualitative studies. Age Ageing 2024; 53:afae194. [PMID: 39238124 PMCID: PMC11377188 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afae194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 09/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hip fracture is a common and serious traumatic injury for older adults characterised by poor outcomes. OBJECTIVE This systematic review aimed to synthesise qualitative evidence about the psychosocial impact of hip fracture on the people who sustain these injuries. METHODS Five databases were searched for qualitative studies reporting on the psychosocial impact of hip fracture, supplemented by reference list checking and citation tracking. Data were synthesised inductively and confidence in findings reported using the Confidence in the Evidence from Reviews of Qualitative research approach, taking account of methodological quality, coherence, relevance and adequacy. RESULTS Fifty-seven studies were included. Data were collected during the peri-operative period to >12 months post fracture from 919 participants with hip fracture (median age > 70 years in all but 3 studies), 130 carers and 297 clinicians. Hip fracture is a life altering event characterised by a sense of loss, prolonged negative emotions and fear of the future, exacerbated by negative attitudes of family, friends and clinicians. For some people after hip fracture there is, with time, acceptance of a new reality of not being able to do all the things they used to do. There was moderate to high confidence in these findings. CONCLUSIONS Hip fracture is a life altering event. Many people experience profound and prolonged psychosocial distress following a hip fracture, within a context of negative societal attitudes. Assessment and management of psychosocial distress during rehabilitation may improve outcomes for people after hip fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas F Taylor
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Allied Health Clinical Research Office, Eastern Health, 2/5 Arnold Street, Box Hill, Victoria 3128, Australia
| | - Made U Rimayanti
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia
| | - Casey L Peiris
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Melbourne 3052, Victoria Australia
| | - David A Snowdon
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Academic Unit, Peninsula Health, Frankston, Victoria 3133, Australia
| | - Katherine E Harding
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Allied Health Clinical Research Office, Eastern Health, 2/5 Arnold Street, Box Hill, Victoria 3128, Australia
| | - Adam I Semciw
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Allied Health, Northern Health, Epping, Victoria 3076, Australia
| | - Paul D O'Halloran
- School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia
- Centre for Sport and Social Impact, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia
| | - Elizabeth Wintle
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
| | - Scott Williams
- Academic and Research Collaborative in Health, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria 3086, Australia
| | - Nora Shields
- Olga Tennison Autism Research Centre, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria 3086, Australia
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Wang L, Wang X, Zhang R, He C. Emerging trends and prospects in telerehabilitation for hip fracture: Bibliometric and visualization study. Digit Health 2024; 10:20552076241255465. [PMID: 38798887 PMCID: PMC11128182 DOI: 10.1177/20552076241255465] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2023] [Accepted: 04/26/2024] [Indexed: 05/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Telerehabilitation provide distant physical rehabilitation services and help overcome the barriers associated with face-to-face interventions for hip fractures. This study aims to analyse the progress of the application of telerehabilitation in hip fracture and reveal its research profile, hotspots and development trends. Methods The articles and reviews related to telerehabilitation in hip fracture were retrieved from 1992 to 2024. A bibliometric visualization and comparative analysis of countries, institutions, journals, authors, references and keywords were conducted using Java-based CiteSpace and VOSviewer. Results A total of 79 documents were obtained. Spain was the most academically influential country. The University of Granada was the most prolific institution. The author Ariza-vega P listed first in terms of publications and citations. Most publications were published in high academic impact journals. The major frontier keywords were "older adults," "functional recovery," "reliability," "mortality," "rehabilitation," "mobility" and "quality of life." The most popular keywords from 2020 to 2024 were "geriatric medicine," "family caregiver" and "digital health." Conclusions The historical and prospective perspective in telerehabilitation following hip fracture were presented. A primary focus in the early years was the impact of telerehabilitation on functional independence for hip fracture patients. Future outcomes are expected to include patient satisfaction, health-related quality of life and psychiatric symptoms. Exercise was also designed to eliminate travel burdens and strengthen self-efficacy, and improve the physical and psychosocial function of hip fracture patients. This work will provide a fundamental reference as well as a directional guide for future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liqiong Wang
- Rehabilitation Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
- Rehabilitation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
| | - Xiangxiu Wang
- Rehabilitation Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
- Rehabilitation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
| | - Ruishi Zhang
- Rehabilitation Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
- Rehabilitation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
| | - Chengqi He
- Rehabilitation Medicine Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
- Rehabilitation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, P. R. China
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