Inflammation biomarkers and mortality prediction in patients with type 2 diabetes (ZODIAC-27)

Vitamin D deficiency and inflammatory markers in type 2 diabetes: Big data insights

The objective of this study was to investigate the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency or insufficiency and its association with inflammatory markers and type 2 diabetes. We conducted our research at Qingdao Endocrine and Diabetes Hospital, where serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels were determined for 2,806 individuals with type 2 diabetes aged 30 and older between January 2018 and December 2019. Medical records were analyzed, and data on health, blood lipids, HbA1c, and inflammation were collected. Our results revealed a high prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in the population. Among male and female patients, median serum 25(OH)D3 levels were 22.46 and 19.00 ng/mL, respectively. More than 60% of female patients had vitamin D deficiency, with over 80% having levels below 30 ng/mL. We observed a favorable connection between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and 25(OH)D3, while triglycerides and HbA1c showed negative correlations. As 25(OH)D3 levels increased, inflammatory markers such as hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), white blood cell count, neutrophil count, and monocyte count decreased (trend test, p < 0.05), although peripheral blood lymphocytes initially increased and then decreased. After controlling for age and gender, multiple linear regression analysis indicated negative correlations between ESR, hsCRP, and white blood cell count with 25(OH)D3 (p < 0.05). In conclusion, our study demonstrates that individuals with type 2 diabetes often exhibit vitamin D deficiency or insufficiency, which is associated with elevated levels of inflammatory markers in the blood.

Lower intensity of physical activity strengthens the effect of dietary inflammatory index on the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality

To examine the independent and joint associations of dietary inflammation index (DII) and physical activity (PA) with mortality risk. We analyzed data for 20,165 study participants aged ≥ 18 from The Rural Chinese Cohort Study. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of mortality associated with DII and PA. The dose-response association between DII and mortality risk was intuitively generated by the restricted cubic splines model. During the mean 5.03-year follow-up, a total of 1110 cases of all-cause mortality were identified. Compared with people in quartile 1 of DII, positive associations were found in quartile 4 for all-cause (HR 1.27; 95%CI 1.06-1.52), CVD (HR 1.45; 95%CI 1.09-1.91), and other mortality (HR 1.52; 95%CI 1.10-2.09), while a linear association was demonstrated. Compared with people of quartile 1 of DII and high intensity of PA, those with quartile 4 of DII and low intensity of PA had higher risk of all-cause (HR 1.96; 95%CI 1.50-2.56), CVD (HR 2.68; 95%CI 1.71-4.19), and other mortality (HR 1.83; 95%CI 1.19-2.83). A pro-inflammatory diet was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality and lower PA may strengthen the effect.

Prognostic value of systemic inflammatory response index in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) is a novel inflammatory biomarker in many diseases.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to examine the association between SIRI and adverse events in patients with the acute coronary syndrome (ACS) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

METHODS

A total of 1724 patients with ACS enrolled from June 2016 to November 2017 at a single centre were included in this study, and SIRI was calculated for each patient. The primary endpoint was the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including overall death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and unplanned repeat revascularization.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 927 days, 355 patients had MACE. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that SIRI was significantly associated with MACE (hazard ratio: 1.127, 95% confidence interval: 1.034-1.229 p = .007). The results were consistent in multiple sensitivity analyses. The addition of SIRI had an incremental effect on the predictive ability of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events risk score for MACE (integrated discrimination improvement: 0.007, p = .040; net reclassification improvement: 0.175, p = .020; likelihood ratio test: p < .001). The restricted cubic spline showed a monotonic increase with a greater SIRI value for MACE (p < .001).

CONCLUSION

SIRI was an independent risk factor for MACE and provided incremental prognostic information in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. KEY MESSAGESThe SIRI is a strong and independent risk factor for adverse outcomes in patients with ACS undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.Higher SIRI is associated with a more severe disease status.The SIRI could increase the prognostic value of the GRACE risk score.

Systemic Inflammation Response Index Is a Promising Prognostic Marker in Elderly Patients With Heart Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome caused by ventricular dysfunction, which leads to the decline of activity tolerance and repeated hospitalization, which seriously affects the quality of life and is the main cause of death of the elderly. It has long been observed that the pathophysiological mechanism of HF is associated with systemic inflammation. This study aims to explore the association between the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), a novel biomarker of inflammation, and outcomes in elderly patients with HF.

Methods

Data was extracted from the Medical Information Mart data for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes included 1-year all-cause mortality, the length of hospital or intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT). Cox proportional hazards regression, linear regression, and logistic regression models were used to assess the association between SIRI levels and all-cause mortality, the length of hospital or ICU stay, the need for RRT, respectively. Moreover, Pearson correlation analysis was conducted to evaluate the correlation between SIRI and C-reactive protein (CRP).

Results

This study cohort included 3,964 patients from the MIMIC-III database and 261 patients from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The result suggested that SIRI was independently associated with the 90-day, and 1-year all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: adjusted HR, 95% CI: 1.41 (1.18, 1.68), 1.19 (1.03, 1.37); p trend = 0.0013, 0.0260; respectively). Elevated SIRI was associated with increased the length of hospital or ICU stay after adjusting for multiple confounders (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: β, 95% CI: 0.85 (0.16, 1.54); 0.62 (0.18, 1.06); p trend = 0.0095, 0.0046; respectively). Furthermore, we found that patients with higher SIRI levels were more likely to require RRT (tertile 3 vs. tertile 1: OR, 95% CI: 1.55 (1.06, 2.28); p trend = 0.0459). Moreover, we confirmed that SIRI was statistically positively correlated with CRP (correlation coefficient r = 0.343, p <0.001).

Conclusions

SIRI could be a novel promising inflammatory biomarker for predicting all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF. And the patients with higher SIRI values had the longer length of hospital or ICU stay and were more likely to require for RRT. Of note, this study also verified a statistically significant positive correlation between SIRI and the inflammatory marker CRP, highlighting the importance of systemic inflammation as a determinant of outcome in patients with HF.

A Synergistic Association Between Inflammation, Malnutrition, and Mortality in Patients With Diabetics

Background

Although inflammation is a known predictor for poor prognosis in patients with diabetics, few data report the synergistic association between inflammation, malnutrition, and mortality in patients with diabetics. We aim to explore whether malnutrition modifies the predictor of inflammation on prognosis.

Methods

Nutritional status and inflammation were measured in 6,682 patients with diabetics undergoing coronary angiography or percutaneous coronary intervention between January 2007 to December 2018 from Cardiorenal Improvement Registry. Malnutrition was defined as Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score, which was more than 1. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) exceeding the median was assessed as a high-risk inflammation. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for mortality across combined hs-CRP and CONUT score categories.

Results

During a median follow-up of 5.0 years (interquartile range: 3.0–7.6 years), 759 (11.36%) patients died. The mortality of the four groups (normal nutrition and low hs-CRP level; normal nutrition and high hs-CRP level; malnutrition and low hs-CRP level; and malnutrition and high hs-CRP level) were 7.29, 7.12, 10.71, and 17.31%, respectively. Compared with normal nutrition and low hs-CRP level, an isolated condition of either malnutrition or high hs-CRP level was not associated with any significant risk for all-cause mortality. However, concomitant presence of both high hs-CRP level and malnutrition condition was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.20–1.89; p < 0.001). The p-value for interaction between nutritional status and hs-CRP level on all-cause mortality was 0.03.

Conclusion

The interplay of inflammation and malnutrition in patients with diabetics significantly amplifies the deleterious effects of each as distinct disease entities. A prospective randomized clinical trial is needed in the future to verify the results.

Long-term risks for cardiovascular disease and mortality across the glycaemic spectrum in a male-predominant Chinese cohort aged 75 years or older: the Kailuan study

BACKGROUND

Ageing and diabetes are growing global health burdens. The current understanding of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality risk across the glycaemic spectrum in older populations is limited.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to characterise CVD and all-cause mortality risk across the glycaemic spectrum among Chinese adults aged 75 years or older in a community-based setting over10 years.

METHODS

The 3,989 adults in the Kailuan Study were aged over 75 years (median age was 79 years [interquartile range: 76-82]; 2,785 normoglycaemic, 691 prediabetic and 513 diabetic, determined by fasting blood glucose levels) at baseline, predominantly male (92.9% male) and followed until December 2019. Time-varying Cox regression and competing-risk models were used to examine the hazard ratio (HR) of incident CVD and mortality across the glycaemic exposures.

RESULTS

During median follow-up of 11.3 years, 433 first CVD and 2,222 deaths were recorded. Compared with normoglycaemia, multivariable-adjusted models revealed the following: (i) prediabetes was not associated with future risks for CVD (HR: 1.17; 95% CI 0.82-1.69) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.06; 95% CI 0.70-1.60); (ii) diabetes-associated enhanced risks for CVD and all-cause mortality were mainly confined to those exhibiting low-grade inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥2.0 mg/L) levels. The results were consistent after multiple sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a male-predominant Chinese population aged 75 years or older, compared with normoglycaemic participants, prediabetes was not associated with an enhanced 10-year CVD and all-cause mortality risk, and diabetes-associated enhanced 10-year risk was mainly confined to individuals exhibiting low-grade inflammation.

Association of tooth loss with morbidity and mortality by diabetes status in older adults: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review assesses the association of tooth loss (TL), as the exposure, with morbidity and mortality by diabetes mellitus (DM) status, as the outcome, in older adults.

BACKGROUND

Individuals with DM have higher prevalence of severe TL and increased risk of developing morbidities and mortality. No systematic review has evaluated the association between TL with morbidity and mortality by DM status.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Comprehensive searches used multiple publication databases containing reports published between 01/01/2000 and 04/21/2021. Two authors independently evaluated included studies for quality and risk of bias using the Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP) checklist for cohort and Center for Evidence-Based Medicine (CEBM) critical appraisal sheet for cross-sectional studies, while a third author arbitrated decisions to resolve disagreements.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies met the inclusion criteria: eight cross-sectional and five cohort. Qualitative review of the included studies indicated TL is associated with increased incidence and prevalence of DM. TL is also associated with DM-related morbidities including greater prevalence of heart disease, diabetic retinopathy, metabolic syndrome; poorer health-related quality of life; poorer survival of participants with chronic kidney disease; and increased medical expenditure. Overall, the quality of the evidence reviewed was medium, as per the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine 2011 Levels of Evidence.

CONCLUSIONS/PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

This review found significant associations of TL with prevalence and incidence of DM and adverse DM-related outcomes. An interprofessional team-care approach that includes an oral health component could benefit the prevention and management of DM.

Novel molecular markers of cardiovascular disease risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus

Diabetes represents the leading risk factor for the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Chronic hyperglycemia and/or acute post-prandial changes in blood glucose determine an increase in reactive oxygen species (ROS), which play a fundamental role in endothelial dysfunction and in the nuclear transport of pro-atherogenic transcription factors that activate the "inflammasome". In addition, the glycemic alteration favors the formation and stabilization of atherosclerotic plaque through the mechanism of non-enzymatic glycation of different molecules, with the establishment of the so-called "advanced glycosylation end products" (AGE). Laboratory information provided by the level of biomarkers could make a quantitative and qualitative contribution to the clinical process of screening, prediction, prevention, diagnosis, prognosis and monitoring of cardiovascular (CV) risk linked to diabetes. This review describes the importance of specific biomarkers, with particular focus on novel ones, for stratifying and management of diabetes CV risk.

Clinical notes as prognostic markers of mortality associated with diabetes mellitus following critical care: A retrospective cohort analysis using machine learning and unstructured big data

BACKGROUND

Clinical notes are ubiquitous resources offering potential value in optimizing critical care via data mining technologies.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the predictive value of clinical notes as prognostic markers of 1-year all-cause mortality among people with diabetes following critical care.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Mortality of diabetes patients were predicted using three cohorts of clinical text in a critical care database, written by physicians (n = 45253), nurses (159027), and both (n = 204280). Natural language processing was used to pre-process text documents and LASSO-regularized logistic regression models were trained and tested. Confusion matrix metrics of each model were calculated and AUROC estimates between models were compared. All predictive words and corresponding coefficients were extracted. Outcome probability associated with each text document was estimated.

RESULTS

Models built on clinical text of physicians, nurses, and the combined cohort predicted mortality with AUROC of 0.996, 0.893, and 0.922, respectively. Predictive performance of the models significantly differed from one another whereas inter-rater reliability ranged from substantial to almost perfect across them. Number of predictive words with non-zero coefficients were 3994, 8159, and 10579, respectively, in the models of physicians, nurses, and the combined cohort. Physicians' and nursing notes, both individually and when combined, strongly predicted 1-year all-cause mortality among people with diabetes following critical care.

CONCLUSION

Clinical notes of physicians and nurses are strong and novel prognostic markers of diabetes-associated mortality in critical care, offering potentially generalizable and scalable applications. Clinical text-derived personalized risk estimates of prognostic outcomes such as mortality could be used to optimize patient care.

Prediction of 10-year mortality using hs-CRP in Chinese people with hyperglycemia: Findings from the Da Qing diabetes prevention outcomes study

AIMS

To examine whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) can predict all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia.

METHODS

All the 237 diabetes and 49 prediabetes recruited in the study were evolved from the participants with impaired glucose tolerance in the original Da Qing Diabetes Study. Blood hs-CRP level was measured at 2006. Ten-year outcome of death was traced from 2006 to 2016. Cox model was used to analyse the association between hs-CRP level and the risk of all-cause death occurred over the subsequent 10 years.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, death occurred in 36 (37.9%) subjects in the highest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP > 2.16 mg/L) and 19 (20.0%) in the lowest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP < 0.82 mg/L, p < 0.05). The corresponding incidence of all-cause death (per 1,000 person-years) was 44.7 (95% CI 30.1-59.3) and 21.6 (95% CI 11.9-31.3) in the two groups respectively (p < 0.0001). The highest hs-CRP tertile was associated with the increased risk of all-cause death significantly (hazard ratio 1.88, 95% CI 1.07-3.32) after controlling for traditional risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum hs-CRP was predictive of 10-year all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia, suggesting the impact of low-grade inflammation on mortality deserves more attention.

Elevated PCT at ICU discharge predicts poor prognosis in patients with severe traumatic brain injury: a retrospective cohort study

Purpose

Disease severity and inflammatory response status are closely related to a poor prognosis and must be assessed in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (STBI) before intensive care unit (ICU) discharge. Whether elevated serum procalcitonin (PCT) levels can predict a poor prognosis in STBI patients before ICU discharge is unclear.

Methods

This retrospective observational cohort study enrolled 199 STBI patients who were in the ICU for at least 48 hours and survived after discharge. Based on serum PCT levels at discharge, patients were divided into the high-PCT group (PCT ≥ 0.25 ng/mL) and the low-PCT group (PCT < 0.25 ng/mL). We assessed the relationship between serum PCT levels and a poor prognosis.

Results

The high-PCT group had a higher rate of adverse outcomes compared with the low-PCT group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, white blood cell (WBC) count, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and PCT level at discharge were significantly associated with adverse outcomes.

Conclusions

Elevated PCT levels at ICU discharge were associated with a poor prognosis in STBI patients. The serum PCT level as a single indicator has limited value for clinical decision-making.

GlycA for long-term outcome in T2DM secondary prevention

AIMS

Glycosylated acetyls (GlycA), a systemic marker of inflammation, were associated both with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and incident cardiovascular (CV) disease. This study evaluates the predictive value of GlycA for long-term survival in patients with T2DM and peripheral artery disease (PAD).

METHODS

GlycA (mmol/l) levels were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in a cross-sectional cohort of patients with PAD (n = 319). Both all-cause and CV mortality were evaluated after a follow-up of 9.0 (IQR 6.5-9.5) years. During the follow-up 117 patients died, of those 64 events were of CV origin (PAD-T2DM subgroup: all-cause mortality n = 60, CV-mortality n = 32).

RESULTS

PAD-T2DM showed a tendency towards a worse CV risk factor profile and a higher percentage of known coronary artery disease (24.9% vs 43.5%, p < 0.001). GlycA levels were higher in PAD-T2DM (1.6 ± 0.2 vs. 1.53 ± 0.18, p = 0.002). GlycA predicted all-cause mortality after multivariable adjustment for traditional CV risk factors (HR for 1 SD increase 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.03-2.19) in PAD-T2DM, while no association could be seen with CV-mortality (1.22, 0.73-2.06).

CONCLUSIONS

GlycA was capable of predicting long-term outcome in PAD patients with T2DM. Thus, GlycA might reflect the added inflammatory burden of T2DM in systemic atherosclerosis.

Raised inflammatory markers as a predictor of one-year mortality: a cohort study in primary care in the UK using electronic health record data

OBJECTIVES

Identification of patients at increased mortality risk is important in the context of increasing multimorbidity and an ageing population, to help facilitate the planning and delivery of services. The aim of this study was to examine 1-year all-cause mortality in a cohort of primary care patients in whom inflammatory markers including C reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and plasma viscosity (PV), had been tested.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study using general practitioner Electronic Health Records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, with linkage to Office for National Statistics (ONS) Death Registry.

SETTING

UK Primary Care.

PARTICIPANTS

159 325 patients with inflammatory marker tests done in 2014 and 39 928 age, sex and practice-matched controls without inflammatory marker testing. ONS Death registry data were available for 109 966 participants.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

One-year mortality in those with raised inflammatory markers compared with normal inflammatory markers and untested controls. Subanalyses stratified 1-year mortality by age group, gender and cause of death.

RESULTS

Patients with a raised inflammatory marker (n=47 797) had an overall 1-year all-cause mortality of 6.89%, compared with 1.41% in those with normal inflammatory markers (p<0.001) and 1.62% in untested controls. A raised CRP is associated with the highest mortality rate at 8.76% compared with 4.99% for ESR and 4.66% for PV. One-year mortality is higher in men with a raised inflammatory marker compared with women (9.78% vs 5.29%). The C-statistic of a simple mortality prediction model containing age, sex and CRP test result is 0.89.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory markers are a strong predictor of all-cause mortality in primary care, with a C-statistic comparable to several previously developed frailty indices. Future research should consider the added value of CRP testing, in combination with other risk factors, to improve prediction of mortality in primary care. Evidence- based interventions for frailty are needed alongside predictive tools.

The Pharmacological Mechanism of Diabetes Mellitus-Associated Overactive Bladder and Its Treatment with Botulinum Toxin A

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is an independent risk factor for overactive bladder (OAB). The pathophysiology of DM-associated OAB is multifactorial and time-dependent. Diabetic bladder dysfunction is highly associated with diabetic complications, mainly including diabetic neuropathy and atherosclerosis. Chronic systemic inflammation and bladder urothelial inflammation may contribute to the onset of OAB. Intravesical botulinum toxin A (BoNT-A) injection has proved to be a successful treatment for idiopathic and neurogenic OAB. BoNT-A can inhibit the efferent pathways of the bladder as well as the chronic inflammation and hypersensitivity via the afferent pathways. We conducted a review of the published literature in Pubmed using a combination of two keywords, namely “botulinum toxin A” (BoNT-A) and “overactive bladder”, with or without the additional keywords “detrusor overactivity”, “diabetes mellitus”, “inflammation”, and “urodynamic study”. We also reviewed the experience of our research teams, who have published several studies of the association between DM and OAB. Since limited data support the effectiveness and safety of BoNT-A for treating patients with DM-associated OAB, a comprehensive evaluation of diabetic complications and urodynamic study is needed before treatment. In the future, it is imperative to explore the clinical characteristics and inflammatory biomarkers of diabetes as determining predictors of the treatment efficacy.

Increased CRP: An extended biomarker of microvascular risk in men with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

The usefulness of C-reactive protein (CRP) to predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) in type 2 diabetes (T2DM) remains controversial. As many factors linked to obesity can modulate CRP in T2DM, we comprehensively revisited the cardiometabolic phenotype of patients with normal or raised CRP, taking into account the sexual dimorphism of its serum value.

METHODS

1005 T2DM patients (651 males, 354 females; macroangiopathy 38%; coronary artery disease 26%; microangiopathy 47%) were divided depending on whether CRP level was ≤ or >3 mg/L. Thirty percent of men (n = 195) and 39% of women (n = 137) had raised CRP. Their cardiometabolic phenotype and presence of micro- and macrovascular complications were compared to those with normal CRP.

RESULTS

In both gender, patients with elevated CRP had higher body mass index, waist circumference, fat mass, visceral fat, insulinemia, HbA1c, and lower muscle mass and insulin sensitivity. They had more atherogenic dyslipidemia, higher non-HDL-C and apolipoprotein B₁₀₀, and more lipoprotein(a) (+59% in men and +38% in women). In both sexes, there was no difference between patients with normal or high CRP regarding overall macroangiopathy (42% vs. 45% [men]; 27% vs. 28% [women]), coronary and peripheral artery disease, or stroke. Only in men, microangiopathy was more prevalent when CRP was raised (61% vs 44%; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows major sex-related differences in microangiopathies in T2DM patients with high CRP levels. The latter are unrelated to prevalent CVD despite an unfavorable metabolic phenotype. By contrast, increased CRP may represent an extended biomarker of microvascular risk in men with T2DM.

Effect of Aerobic Exercise on Inflammatory Markers in Healthy Middle-Aged and Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Background: Chronic inflammation plays a significant role in accelerating the aging process and is closely associated with the initiation and progression of a broad range of age-related diseases. Physical exercise is considered beneficial in alleviating these conditions, but the effects of aerobic exercise on inflammatory markers in a healthy population should be furtherly clarified.

Objective: The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the effect of aerobic exercise on inflammatory markers in middle-aged and older adults.

Methods: The literature search was conducted utilizing PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from their inception through April 2018, and the reference lists were screened to identify appropriate studies. Only randomized controlled trials that investigated the effect of aerobic exercise on inflammatory markers in middle-aged and older adults were eligible for this review.

Results: Eleven studies involving 1,250 participants were retrieved from the databases for analysis. The pooled results showed that aerobic exercise significantly reduced inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein (CRP): SMD = 0.53, 95% CI 0.26–0.11, p = 0.0002; tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α): SMD = 0.75, 95% CI 0.31–1.19, p = 0.0007; interleukin 6 (IL-6): SMD = 0.75, 95% CI 0.31–1.19, p = 0.0007). No significant improvement was found in relation to interleukin 4 (IL-4).

Conclusions: Aerobic exercise may have a positive effect on reduction of CRP, TNF-α, and IL-6 in middle-aged and older adults. Further randomized controlled trials (RCTs) need to be conducted to determine the effect of aerobic exercise on additional inflammatory markers in the population of middle-aged and older adults.

Cardiovascular Risk Estimated by UKPDS Risk Engine Algorithm in Diabetes

Since there is a high prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2), as well as CVD in Montenegro, we aimed to estimate CVD risk by United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) risk engine algorithm in individuals with DM2. Furthermore, we aimed to explore whether non-traditional biomarker such as high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) is superior for CVD risk prediction over old traditional risk factors. A total of 180 participants with DM2 (of them 50% females) were included in the current cross-sectional study. Biochemical and anthropometric parameters, and blood pressure were obtained. More males than females were classified at high UKPDS risk category (p<0.001). Also, about one third of diabetic patients (29.4%) were classified into the high-risk category. In multivariate regression analysis, triglycerides [Odds ratio (OR) =1.703, p=0.001] and creatinine concentration (OR=1.040, p<0.001) were independent predictors of CVD risk, whereas hsCRP was not correlated with CVD risk. HsCRP is not superior for CVD risk prediction by UKPDS risk engine algorithm over high triglyceride and creatinine levels in diabetic population, which suggests that the old traditional markers must not be underestimated when examining CVD risk in population with diabetes.

Biomarkers of cardiovascular disease: contributions to risk prediction in individuals with diabetes

Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of death, especially in individuals with diabetes mellitus, whose risk of morbidity and mortality due to cardiovascular disease is markedly increased compared with the general population. There has been growing interest in the identification of biomarkers of cardiovascular disease in people with diabetes. The present review focuses on the current and potential contributions of these biomarkers to predicting cardiovascular risk in individuals with diabetes. At present, certain biomarkers and biomarker combinations can lead to modest improvements in the prediction of cardiovascular disease in diabetes beyond traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Emerging technologies may enable the discovery of novel biomarkers and generate new information about known biomarkers (such as new combinations of biomarkers), which could lead to significant improvements in cardiovascular disease risk prediction. A critical question, however, is whether improvements in risk prediction will affect processes of care and decision making in clinical practice, as this will be required to achieve the ultimate goal of improving clinical outcomes in diabetes.

The Predictive Role of Tooth Extractions, Oral Infections, and hs-C-Reactive Protein for Mortality in Individuals with and without Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study of a 12 1/2-Year Follow-Up

The predictive role of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), number of tooth extractions, and oral infections for mortality in people with and without diabetes is unclear. This prospective cohort study is a 12 1/2-year follow-up of the Oslo II study, a health survey in 2000. In all, 12,764 men were invited. Health information was retrieved from 6434 elderly men through questionnaire information, serum measurements, and anthropometric and blood pressure measurements. Diabetes was reported by 425 men. Distinct differences were observed in baseline characteristics in individuals with and without diabetes. In the diabetes group, age and hs-CRP were statistically significant whereas in the nondiabetes group, age, hs-CRP, number of tooth extractions, tooth extractions for infections and oral infections combined, nonfasting glucose, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, regular alcohol drinking, daily smoking, and level of education were independent risk factors. The number of tooth extractions <5 was inversely related whereas more extractions increased the risk. Multivariate analyses showed that hs-CRP was a significant predictor in persons with diabetes and tooth extractions and oral infections combined; the number of teeth extracted and hs-CRP were for persons without diabetes. Infection and inflammation were associated with mortality in individuals both with and without diabetes.

Prognostic Importance of C-Reactive Protein in High Cardiovascular Risk Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: The Rio de Janeiro Type 2 Diabetes Cohort Study

Background

The prognostic value of C‐reactive protein (CRP) is controversial in type 2 diabetes mellitus. We aimed to assess it in a cohort of high cardiovascular risk diabetic patients.

Methods and Results

CRP was measured at baseline and during the second year of follow‐up in 616 patients. The primary end points were a composite of total fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (CVEs), major CVEs, and all‐cause and cardiovascular mortalities. Association between baseline and second‐year CRP with end points were evaluated by multivariable Cox survival analyses. Baseline median CRP was 2.8 mg/L (interquartile range: 1.2–6.0 mg/L), and 47.8% of the patients either increased or persisted with high CRP levels during the first 2 years of follow‐up. After a median follow‐up of 8.4 years, 131 total CVEs occurred (89 major CVEs), and 129 patients died (53 of cardiovascular causes). Baseline and second‐year CRP, analyzed as a continuous variable and dichotomized at >3.0 mg/L, were significantly associated with total and major CVEs occurrence (with adjusted hazard ratios between 1.22 and 1.34 for increments of 1‐SD log of continuous CRP, and between 1.47 and 1.89 for dichotomized CRP), but not with mortality. Additionally, increasing CRP levels or persisting with high levels were associated with a 1.84 (95% CI: 1.10–3.06) excess risk of major CVEs, independent of baseline CRP values.

Conclusions

Baseline and serial changes in CRP levels provide cardiovascular risk prediction independent of standard risk factors and glycemic control, and may be useful to refine cardiovascular risk stratification in high‐risk patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.