Family history and polygenic risk of cardiovascular disease: Independent factors associated with secondary cardiovascular events in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy

Genome-wide polygenic score to predict chronic kidney disease across ancestries

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a common complex condition associated with high morbidity and mortality. Polygenic prediction could enhance CKD screening and prevention; however, this approach has not been optimized for ancestrally diverse populations. By combining APOL1 risk genotypes with genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of kidney function, we designed, optimized and validated a genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) for CKD. The new GPS was tested in 15 independent cohorts, including 3 cohorts of European ancestry (n = 97,050), 6 cohorts of African ancestry (n = 14,544), 4 cohorts of Asian ancestry (n = 8,625) and 2 admixed Latinx cohorts (n = 3,625). We demonstrated score transferability with reproducible performance across all tested cohorts. The top 2% of the GPS was associated with nearly threefold increased risk of CKD across ancestries. In African ancestry cohorts, the APOL1 risk genotype and polygenic component of the GPS had additive effects on the risk of CKD.

Prognostic Value of a Polygenic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease in Individuals Aged 70 Years and Older

BACKGROUND

The use of a polygenic risk score (PRS) to improve risk prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD) events has been demonstrated to have clinical utility in the general adult population. However, the prognostic value of a PRS for CHD has not been examined specifically in older populations of individuals aged ≥70 years, who comprise a distinct high-risk subgroup. The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of a PRS for incident CHD events in a prospective cohort of older individuals without a history of cardiovascular events.

METHODS

We used data from 12 792 genotyped, healthy older individuals enrolled into the ASPREE trial (Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly), a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial investigating the effect of daily 100 mg aspirin on disability-free survival. Participants had no previous history of diagnosed atherothrombotic cardiovascular events, dementia, or persistent physical disability at enrollment. We calculated a PRS (meta-genomic risk score) consisting of 1.7 million genetic variants. The primary outcome was a composite of incident myocardial infarction or CHD death over 5 years.

RESULTS

At baseline, the median population age was 73.9 years, and 54.9% were female. In total, 254 incident CHD events occurred. When the PRS was added to conventional risk factors, it was independently associated with CHD (hazard ratio, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.08-1.42], P=0.002). The area under the curve of the conventional model was 70.53 (95% CI, 67.00-74.06), and after inclusion of the PRS increased to 71.78 (95% CI, 68.32-75.24, P=0.019), demonstrating improved prediction. Reclassification was also improved, as the continuous net reclassification index after adding PRS to the conventional model was 0.25 (95% CI, 0.15-0.28).

CONCLUSION

A PRS for CHD performs well in older people and improves prediction over conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Our study provides evidence that genomic risk prediction for CHD has clinical utility in individuals aged 70 years and older. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01038583.

Monogenic and Polygenic Models of Coronary Artery Disease

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a common disease globally attributable to the interplay of complex genetic and lifestyle factors. Here, we review how genomic sequencing advances have broadened the fundamental understanding of the monogenic and polygenic contributions to CAD and how these insights can be utilized, in part by creating polygenic risk estimates, for improved disease risk stratification at the individual patient level.

RECENT FINDINGS

Initial studies linking premature CAD with rare familial cases of elevated blood lipids highlighted high-risk monogenic contributions, predominantly presenting as familial hypercholesterolemia (FH). More commonly CAD genetic risk is a function of multiple, higher frequency variants each imparting lower magnitude of risk, which can be combined to form polygenic risk scores (PRS) conveying significant risk to individuals at the extremes. However, gaps remain in clinical validation of PRSs, most notably in non-European populations. With improved and more broadly utilized genomic sequencing technologies, the genetic underpinnings of coronary artery disease are being unraveled. As a result, polygenic risk estimation is poised to become a widely used and powerful tool in the clinical setting. While the use of PRSs to augment current clinical risk stratification for optimization of cardiovascular disease risk by lifestyle change or therapeutic targeting is promising, we await adequately powered, prospective studies, demonstrating the clinical utility of polygenic risk estimation in practice.

Monocyte-Chemoattractant Protein-1 Levels in Human Atherosclerotic Lesions Associate With Plaque Vulnerability

[Figure: see text].