Pathologic lymph node ratio is a predictor of survival in esophageal cancer

Log odds of positive lymph nodes compared to positive lymph node ratio and number of positive lymph nodes in prognostic modeling for patients with NSCLC undergoing lobectomy or total pneumonectomy: a population-based study using Cox regression and XGBoost with SHAP analysis

Background

Methods such as the number of positive lymph nodes (nPLN), lymph node ratio (LNR), and log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) are used to predict prognosis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We hypothesized that LODDS could be a superior independent predictor of prognosis and aimed to compare its effectiveness with nPLN and LNR in predicting survival outcomes in stage I-IIIA NSCLC patients.

Methods

We utilized data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 17 registry (2010-2019) to study NSCLC patients, focusing on those who underwent surgery with confirmed lymph node involvement (N1 or N2 disease). We aimed to compare overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) based on nPLN, LNR, and LODDS. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were employed to evaluate survival, with thresholds determined using X-tile software. An XGBoost model was constructed to predict overall survival in patients using three features: LODDS, LNR, and PLN. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was applied to assess feature importance and provide interpretable insights into the model's predictions.

Results

The study analyzed 3,132 eligible NSCLC patients from the SEER database, predominantly male (53.07%) with adenocarcinoma (43.65%) or squamous cell carcinoma (29.76%). Survival outcomes were assessed using nPLN, LNR, and LODDS. LODDS showed superior predictive value for both OS and CSS compared to nPLN and LNR, as indicated by a larger Log Likelihood Ratio (LLR) and smaller Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). Higher scores on npLN, LNR, and LODDS were strongly related with a poorer prognosis, according to Kaplan-Meier analyses (P < 0.001). The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis of the XGBoost model demonstrated that the LODDS exhibited the highest SHAP values (0.25) for predicting overall survival in patients, consistently outperforming the LNR and the number of nPLN across both training and validation datasets.

Conclusions

Compared to the nPLN and LNR staging systems, LODDS demonstrates superior prognostic power for patients with stage I-IIIA NSCLC undergoing lobectomy or pneumonectomy. By integrating both positive and negative lymph node information, LODDS offers a refined risk stratification that is particularly valuable in cases with high lymph node heterogeneity.

Prognostic significance of lymph node ratio in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: insights from the South Asian population

Background

Esophageal cancer (EC) is a significant health concern in South Asia, yet data on prognostic factors, such as lymph node ratio (LNR), in this region is limited. This study aims to assess the prognostic significance of LNR in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients undergoing concurrent neoadjuvant therapy followed by minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE).

Methods

This retrospective study analyzed the clinical data of ESCC patients who underwent concurrent neoadjuvant therapy followed by MIE at Dr. Ruth K. M. Pfau Civil Hospital from 2019 to 2023. Lymph node ratios were derived and patients were categorized into three groups: LNR 0, LNR low (≤ 0.1), and LNR high (>0.1). Patient characteristics were compared along with lymph node groups, and survival outcomes were analyzed using the Kruskal Wallis and Chi-square/Fisher exact test, Pearson correlation, Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates, and Cox regression models.

Results

Among the 47 patients, 15 (31.9%) deaths were observed. Patients with a high LNR had a higher mortality rate (70%) compared to those with a low LNR (41.7%) and 0 LNR (12%) (p = 0.002). Additionally, patients with a high LNR (>0.1) were associated with poorer overall survival (OS) (30.0% vs. 58.3% vs. 88.0%, p < 0.001). A significant correlation was also observed between LNR and the number of metastatic lymph nodes (correlation coefficient = 0.928, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Our findings demonstrate that high LNR emerged as an independent prognostic factor in ESCC patients undergoing concurrent neoadjuvant therapy followed by MIE.

The clinical significance of the lymph node ratio as a recurrence indicator in ampullary cancer after curative pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

The clinical significance of the lymph node ratio (LNR), the number of metastatic lymph nodes per dissected lymph node, has not been sufficiently clarified in ampullary cancer.

METHODS

Among patients diagnosed histopathologically with ampullary cancer between 1980 and 2018, the study included 106 who underwent pathological radical resection by pancreaticoduodenectomy. The relationships between the LNR and metastatic lymph node sites and prognosis were examined.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that sex and lymph node metastasis were independent prognostic factors. In the 46 patients (43%) with metastatic lymph nodes, the LNR in the recurrence group was significantly higher than that in the non-recurrence group (0.15 ± 0.11 vs. 0.089 ± 0.071, p = 0.025). The receiver operating characteristic curve demonstrated that the LNR cut-off value, 0.07 (area under the curve = 0.70, sensitivity 81%, specificity 56%), was a significant indicator for recurrence (22% vs. 61%, p = 0.016) and prognosis (5-year survival: 48% vs. 83%, p = 0.028). Among the metastatic lymph node sites in the 46 positive cases, lymph node metastases developed from the peripancreatic head region (80%, 37/46) to the superior mesenteric artery (33%, 15/46) and para-aortic (11%, 5/46) regions.

CONCLUSION

Lymph node metastasis is an independent prognostic factor, and the LNR is a significant indicator for recurrence and prognosis in patients with ampullary cancer.

The minimum number of examined lymph nodes for accurate nodal staging and optimal survival of stage T1-2 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A retrospective multicenter cohort with SEER database validation

BACKGROUND

The extent of lymphadenectomy during esophagectomy remains controversial for patients with T1-2 ESCC. The aim of this study was to identify the minimum number of examined lymph node (ELN) for accurate nodal staging and overall survival (OS) of patients with T1-2 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with T1-2 ESCC from three institutes between January 2011 and December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The associations of ELN count with nodal migration and OS were evaluated using multivariable models, and visualized by using locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS). Chow test was used to determine the structural breakpoints of ELN count. External validation in the SEER database was performed.

RESULTS

In total, 1537 patients were included. Increased ELNs was associated with an increased likelihood of having positive nodal disease and incremental OS. The minimum numbers of ELNs for accurate nodal staging and optimal survival were 14 and 18 with validation in the SEER database (n = 519), respectively. The prognostic prediction ability of N stage was improved in the group with ≥14 ELNs compared with those with fewer ELNs (iAUC, 0.70 (95%CI 0.66-0.74) versus 0.61(95%CI 0.57-0.65)). The higher prognostic value was found for patients with ≥18 ELNs than those with <18 ELNs (iAUC, 0.78 (95%CI 0.74-0.82) versus 0.73 (95%CI 0.7-0.77)).

CONCLUSION

The minimum numbers of ELNs for accurate nodal staging and optimal survival of stage T1-2 ESCC patients were 14 and 18, respectively.

The Relationship Between Lymph Node Ratio and Survival Benefit With Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Node-positive Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that the ratio of positive lymph nodes to total assessed lymph nodes (LNR) is an indicator of cancer burden in esophageal adenocarcinoma and may identify patients who may most benefit from AC.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to discern whether there is a threshold LNR above which AC is associated with a survival benefit in this population.

METHODS

The 2004-2015 National Cancer Database was queried for patients who underwent upfront, complete resection of pT1-4N1-3M0 esophageal adenocarcinoma. The primary outcome, overall survival, was examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models employing an interaction term between LNR and AC.

RESULTS

A total of 1733 patients were included: 811 (47%) did not receive AC whereas 922 (53%) did. The median LNR was 20% (interquartile range 9-40). In a multivariable Cox model, the interaction term between LNR and receipt of AC was significant (P = 0.01). A plot of the interaction demonstrated that AC was associated with improved survival beyond a LNR of about 10%-12%. In a sensitivity analysis, the receipt of AC was not associated with improved survival in patients with LNR <12% (hazard ratio 1.02; 95% confidence interval 0.72-1.44) but was associated with improved survival in those with LNR ≥12% (hazard ratio 0.65; 95% confidence interval 0.50-0.79).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study of patients with upfront, complete resection of node-positive esophageal adenocarcinoma, AC was associated with improved survival for LNR ≥12%. LNR may be used as an adjunct in multidisciplinary decision-making about adjuvant therapies in this patient population.

The Role of Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the Management of Esophageal Cancer

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the eighth more frequent cancer worldwide, with a poor prognosis. Initial staging is critical to decide on the best individual treatment approach. Current modalities for the assessment of EC are irradiating techniques, such as computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography/CT, or invasive techniques, such as digestive endoscopy and endoscopic ultrasound. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a non-invasive and non-irradiating imaging technique that provides high degrees of soft tissue contrast, with good depiction of the esophageal wall and the esophagogastric junction. Various sequences of MRI have shown good performance in initial tumor and lymph node staging in EC. Diffusion-weighted MRI has also demonstrated capabilities in the evaluation of tumor response to chemoradiotherapy. To date, there is not enough data to consider whole body MRI as a routine investigation for the detection of initial metastases or for prediction of distant recurrence. This narrative review summarizes the current knowledge on MRI for the management of EC.

Impact of Lymph Node Ratio on Survival Outcome in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Minimally Invasive Esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) is one of the deadliest cancers in the world. Esophagectomy remains the principal treatment, and minimally invasive esophagectomy (MIE) has been performed worldwide. This study aimed to clarify whether the lymph node ratio (LNR), defined as the ratio of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) to examined, is a prognostic factor for ESCC after MIE.

METHODS

This study included 327 MIEs with the patient in the prone position at two institutions from 2010 to 2015. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses using clinicopathologic characteristics and the LNR were performed for the pN1 patients and the whole cohort.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis for all stages, independent prognostic factors were depth of tumor invasion (P < 0.0001), LNR (P = 0.014), operative time (P = 0.003), and pneumonia (P = 0.012). In the analysis of the pN1 subgroup, the optimum LNR cutoff level for overall survival (OS) was 9 based on receiver operation characteristic analysis. The LNR was significantly associated with depth of tumor invasion (P = 0.004) and number of metastatic LNs (P < 0.0001). The OS curve for the group with an LNR of 9 or higher was significantly worse than for the group with an LNR lower than 9 (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that the LNR is a unique independent prognostic factor for the pN1 subgroup (hazard ratio, 6.811; 95% confidence interval, 2.009-23.087; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

The LNR is an independent prognostic factor in ESCC after MIE. Especially for patients with pN1 status, the LNR is more useful than the number of metastatic LNs for predicting survival outcome.

The Lymph Node Ratio Is an Independent Prognostic Factor in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Receive Curative Surgery

BACKGROUND/AIM

We investigated the clinical impact of the lymph node ratio (LNR) on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in esophageal cancer patients who underwent curative surgery.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred twenty patients who underwent curative surgery for esophageal cancer between 2005 and 2017 were included in this study. The LNR was defined as the ratio of the number of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) to the total number of harvested LNs.

RESULTS

A lymph node ratio of 10% was regarded as the optimal critical point for classification based on the overall survival rate. The 3-year and 5-year OS rates were 65.5% and 57.0%, respectively, in the LNR<10% group, and 11.8% and 0% in the LNR≥10% group; the difference was statistically significant (p<0.001). The 3-year and 5-year RFS rates were 52.6% and 44.6%, respectively, in the LNR<10% group, and 0% and 0% in the LNR>10% group; the difference was also statistically significant (p<0.001). When comparing the sites of first relapse, the incidence of distant lymph node metastasis in the LNR>10% group was significantly higher than that in the LNR<10% group.

CONCLUSION

The LNR was a risk factor for both OS and RFS in patients who underwent curative surgery for esophageal cancer.

Lymph Node Ratio Is a Strong Prognostic Factor in Patients with Early-Stage Cervical Cancer Undergoing Minimally Invasive Radical Hysterectomy

PURPOSE

To determine whether the prognostic impact of lymph node ratio (LNR), defined as the ratio between the number of positive lymph nodes and removed lymph nodes, differs between open and minimally invasive surgical approaches for radical hysterectomy (RH) in node-positive, early-stage cervical cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively identified 2009 International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage IB1-IIA2 patients who underwent primary type C RH between 2010 and 2018. Among them, only those with pathologically proven lymph node metastases who received adjuvant radiation therapy were included. The prognostic significance of LNR was investigated according to open surgery and minimally invasive surgery (MIS).

RESULTS

In total, 55 patients were included. The median LNR (%) was 9.524 (range, 2.083-62.500). Based on receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the cut-off value for LNR (%) was determined as 8.831. Overall, patients with high LNR (≥8.831%; n=29) showed worse disease-free survival (DFS) than those with low LNR (<8.831%, n=26) (p=0.027), whereas no difference in overall survival was observed. Multivariate analyses adjusting for clinicopathologic factors revealed that DFS was adversely affected by both MIS [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 8.132; p=0.038] and high LNR (adjusted HR, 10.837; p=0.045). In a subgroup of open surgery cases, LNR was not associated with disease recurrence. However, in a subgroup of MIS cases, high LNR was identified as an independent poor prognostic factor for DFS (adjusted HR, 14.578; p=0.034).

CONCLUSION

In patients with node-positive, early-stage cervical cancer, high LNR was associated with a significantly higher disease recurrence rate. This relationship was further consolidated among patients who received MIS RH.

Modified nodal stage of esophageal cancer based on the evaluation of the hazard rate of the negative and positive lymph node

Background

The study aimed to propose a modified N stage of esophageal cancer (EC) on the basis of the number of positive lymph node (PLN) and the number of negative lymph node (NLN) simultaneously.

Method

Data from 13,491 patients with EC registered in the SEER database were reviewed. The parameters related to prognosis were investigated using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. A modified N stage was proposed based on the cut-off number of the re-adjusted ratio of the number of PLN (_numberPLN) to the number of NLN (_numberNLN), which were derived from the comparison of the hazard rate (HR) of _numberPLN and _numberNLN. The modified N stage was confirmed using the cross-validation method with the training and validation cohort, and it was also compared to the N stage from the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system (7th edition) using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results

The _numberPLN on prognosis was 1.042, while _numberNLN was 0.968. The modified N stage was defined as follows: N1 stage: the ratio range was from 0 to 0.21; N2 stage: more than 0.21, but no more than 0.48; N3 stage: more than 0.48. The log-rank test indicated that significant survival differences were confirmed among the N1, N2 and N3 sub-groups of patients in the training population. The difference of all the patients using the modified N stage method were more significant than AJCC N stage. The result of ROC analysis indicated that the modified N stage could represent the N stage of EC more accurately.

Conclusion

The modified N stage based on the re-adjusted ratio of _numberPLN to _numberNLN can evaluate tumor stage more accurately than the traditional N stage.

Impact of lymph node staging systems in predicting outcome in patients with ampullary cancer

Backgrounds/Aims

Lymph node (LN) metastasis though, is a poor prognostic factor for ampullary carcinoma (APC), the impact of Lymph node ratio (LNR) and Logarithm odds of positive lymph node (LODDS) in the long-term survival remains controversial. We evaluated the factors affecting the long-term outcome in APC patients with emphasis on LNR and LODDS.

Methods

The prospectively collected data of 198 patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for APC was analyzed after excluding 12 patients for various reasons. Factors affecting Disease specific survival (DSS) and Recurrence free survival (RFS) were analyzed with special reference to LN positivity, LNR and LODDS.

Results

Out of 186, 117 (62.9%) patients were alive at a median follow-up of 39.5 months and 72 (38.7%) developed recurrence. The overall 5-year DSS was 59.3% & RFS 54.9%. Univariate analysis showed T-stage, tumor differentiation, perineural invasion, LN positivity, LNR and LODDS was significantly affected DSS and RFS. On multivariate analysis, perineural invasion, LN positivity, LNR and LODDS lost its significance for DSS and RFS. AUC for prediction of DSS and RFS for LNR was 0.654 (p<0.001) & 0.629 (p=0.003) respectively and for LODDS, it was 0.697 (p<0.001) & 0.677 (p=0.001) respectively. Sensitivity and specificity of LNR (0.1) for DSS were 37.7% & 83.8% and for RFS were 36.1% & 83.3%; for LODDS (-1.00), sensitivity and specificity for DSS was 62.3% and 67.5% and for RFS it was 59.7% and 66.7% respectively.

Conclusions

LNR and LODDS although independently seem to affect the RFS and DSS, albeit have a low sensitivity and specificity in predicting DSS and RFS.

The Value of Lymphadenectomy Post-Neoadjuvant Therapy in Carcinoma Esophagus: a Review

Lymph nodal metastasis is one of the most important prognostic factors determining survival in patients with carcinoma esophagus. Radical esophagectomy, with the resection of surrounding lymph nodes, is considered the prime treatment of carcinoma esophagus. An extensive lymphadenectomy improves the accuracy of staging and betters locoregional control, but its effect on survival is still not apparent and carries the disadvantage of increased morbidity. The extent of lymphadenectomy during esophagectomy also remains debatable, with many studies revealing contradictory results, especially in the era of neoadjuvant therapy. The pattern of distribution and the number of nodal metastasis are modified by neoadjuvant therapy. The paper reviews the existing evidence to determine whether increased lymph node yield improves oncological outcomes in patients undergoing esophagectomy with particular attention to those patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy.

Examined and positive lymph nodes counts and lymph nodes ratio are associated with survival in major salivary gland cancer

BACKGROUND

We aimed to investigate the prognostic role of examined (dissected) lymph nodes (ELNs), negative LNs (NLNs), and positive (metastatic) LNs (PLNs) counts and LN ratio (LNR = PLNs/ELNs×100) in patients with major salivary gland cancer (SGC).

METHODS

Data were retrieved for major SGC patients diagnosed between 1988 and 2011 from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program.

RESULTS

We have included 5446 patients with major SGC. Most patients had parotid gland cancer (84.61%). Patients having >18 ELNs, >4 PLNs, and >33.33% LNR were associated with a worse survival. Moreover, older age, male patients, grade IV, distant stage, unmarried patients, submandibular gland cancer, and received chemotherapy but not received surgery were significantly associated with a worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that patients with >18 ELNs and >4 PLNs counts, and >33.33% LNR were high-risk group patients. We strongly suggest adding the ELNs and PLNs counts and/or LNR into the current staging system.

Lymph Node Ratio: Is It an Independent Prognostic Factor for Stage III Cutaneous Melanoma?

Objective: Lymph node ratio (LNR) is defined as the ratio of the number of metastatic lymph nodes to the dissected lymph nodes. LNR is a prognostic factor for many tumor types. The present study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of LNR in melanoma. Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 123 patients with stage III cutaneous melanoma. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the correlations between LNR and other clinicopathological factors associated with survival. The patients were divided into four groups in terms of the LNR, including groups A (LNR≤0.18), B (0.180.625). Results: Initially, LNR was evaluated as a continuous quantity associated with survival. In the univariate analysis, a significant correlation was observed between LNR, overall survival (OS), and disease free survival (DFS). Meanwhile, the only association observed in the multivariate analysis was between LNR and OS. Increased LNR from group A to group D reduced OS from 46 (±44.09) to 22.5 (±16.33) months (P=0.022). According to the multivariate analysis, prognostic factors in OS were tumor thickness, American joint committee of cancer (AJCC) N stage, interferon administration, and undergoing chemotherapy. Conclusion: According to the results, LNR could be used as an independent prognostic factor for estimating the survival of patients with stage III cutaneous melanoma also designing an effective adjuvant treatment protocol for these patients.

Predictors of Nodal Metastases for Clinical T2N0 Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Induction therapy has not been proven to be beneficial for patients with clinical T2N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma. Surgery alone is associated with disappointing survival for patients found to have nodal disease on final pathologic examination. The aim of this study was to identify factors that predict pathologic nodal involvement in patients with endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-proven T2N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with EUS-staged T2N0 (uT2N0) esophageal adenocarcinoma treated with surgery alone. Final pathologic staging was compared with clinical staging. Demographic and clinicopathologic variables were evaluated as putative risk factors for nodal metastases. Logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with nodal involvement. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to compare overall and recurrence-free survival between patients with (N+) and without (N-) nodal disease.

RESULTS

We identified 80 patients with uT2N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma treated with surgery alone. Clinical staging with EUS was inaccurate for 73 patients (91%). Twenty-eight patients (35%) had pathologic N+ disease at resection. Five-year overall survival was 67% for N- patients and 41% for N+ patients (p = 0.006). Recurrence-free survival was 65% for N- patients and 32% for N+ patients (p = 0.0043). Univariable analysis identified vascular invasion and neural invasion as risk factors for nodal metastasis. Multivariable analysis identified vascular invasion as an independent predictor of pathologic nodal involvement.

CONCLUSIONS

EUS is inaccurate for staging of T2N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma and often fails to identify nodal involvement. Identification of vascular invasion on preoperative biopsy should be explored as a prognostic marker to select patients for induction therapy.

Metastatic to negative lymph node ratio demonstrates significant prognostic value in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy

Aims

The prognostic value of metastatic lymph node ratio (LNR) has been reported in some studies; however, there is no report on the prognostic significance of metastatic to negative lymph node ratio (MNLNR) in cancer patients. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic value of pN, LNR and MNLNR on the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after esophagectomy.

Methods

The data of 290 patients with ESCC after curative esophagectomy was retrospectively analyzed. The optimal cut-point for LNR and MNLNR were set as 0, 01-0.2, and >0.2. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS).

Results

Patients classified as LNR 0, 0.01-0.20, and 0.21-1.0, the observed 5-year OS rates were 46.6%, 26.0%, and 11.6%, respectively (P = 0.000). Patients classified as MNLNR 0, 0.01-0.20, and >0.2, the observed 5-year OS rates were 46.6%, 31.2%, and 7.4%, respectively, respectively (P = 0.000). The pN stage, LNR or MNLNR category was confirmed as a significant independent prognostic factor, respectively (P = 0.032, P = 0.011 and P = 0.003, respectively); However, only the MNLNR category (P = 0.003) remained as a significant prognostic factor when the pN stage, LNR and MNLNR category simultaneously included in the multivariate analysis models.

Conclusions

The MNLNR was recognized as an independent prognostic factor in ESCC patients after curative esophagectomy. In addition, MNLNR showed better prognostic value than pN stage and LNR category.

Comparative Quantitative Lymph Node Assessment in Localized Esophageal Cancer Patients After R0 Resection With and Without Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy

INTRODUCTION

The effects of neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy on lymph node retrieval during esophagectomy for patients with esophageal cancer are unclear. The aim of this study was to quantify lymph node retrieval after R0 esophagectomy and to assess its impact on overall survival in induction therapy patients.

METHODS

One hundred seventy-four consecutive patients underwent esophagectomy with or without induction therapy from 2008 to 2015 for esophageal cancer. Total lymph nodes, positive lymph nodes, and lymph node ratios were compared between two groups of patients: those treated with either upfront surgery or those treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy followed by surgery. Comparisons were made using Student's t test. Overall survival was obtained and compared using Kaplan Meier survival curves.

RESULTS

Total lymph node counts were less in the induction therapy group (p = 0.027), while positive lymph node counts and lymph node ratios did not differ between groups (p = 0.262 and p = 0.310, respectively). In the neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery group, overall survival was significantly shorter for patients who had any positive lymph nodes in the pathologic specimen (p = 0.0065).

CONCLUSIONS

Total lymph node counts were significantly lower in the induction therapy group, while positive lymph node counts and lymph node ratios did not differ from the upfront surgery group. Although overall survival was not different between groups, it was decreased within the induction therapy cohort among those who had any positive lymph nodes retrieved at surgery. This study confirms that unstratified gross lymph node counts do not substantially relate to prognosis in the heterogeneous population of locally advanced esophageal cancer patients who may or may not have had neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

Pathologic lymph node ratio is a predictor of esophageal carcinoma patient survival: a literature-based pooled analysis

The positive lymph node ratio (LNR) has been suggested as a predictor of survival in patients with esophageal carcinoma (EC). However, existed evidences did not completely agree with each other. We sought to examine whether LNR was associated with overall survival (OS). Electronic database was searched for eligible literatures. The primary outcome was the relationship between LNR and OS, which was presented as hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All statistical analyses were performed using STATA 11.0 software. A total of 18 relevant studies which involved 7,664 cases were included. Patients with an LNR of 0.3 or greater had an increased risk of death compared to those with an LNR of less than 0.3(HR = 2.33; 95% CI 2.03-2.68; P<0.01). Similarly, patients with an LNR greater than 0.5 was also associated with a decreased OS(HR = 1.95; 95% CI 1.52-2.50; P<0.01). No publication bias was found. This meta-analysis confirmed that LNR was a significant predictor of survival in patients with EC and should be considered in prognostication.

Identification of the Lymphatic Drainage Pattern of Esophageal Cancer with Near-Infrared Fluorescent Imaging

OBJECTIVE

Nodal status is one of the most important long-term prognostic factors for esophageal cancer. The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of near-infrared (NIR) light fluorescent imaging to identify the lymphatic drainage pattern of esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Patients with distal esophageal cancer or esophagogastric junction cancer scheduled for esophagectomy were enrolled in this study. Before surgery, an endoscopy was performed with submucosal injection of 2 cc of indocyanine green (ICG) around the tumor. Real-time NIR images from the surgical field were obtained for each patient to visualize the lymphatic ICG drainage.

RESULTS

A total of nine patients were included in this study. Ivor Lewis esophagectomy was performed in all cases. ICG drainage was visualized to first drain along the left gastric nodes in eight patients (88.9%) and toward the diaphragmatic nodes in one patient (11.1%). The median number of resected nodes was 32. Three patients (33.3%) presented nodal involvement. All of them had positive nodes in the first nodal station identified with ICG.

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of the lymphatic drainage pattern with real-time NIR light fluorescent technique is feasible. Distal and esophagogastric junction tumors showed to drain first in the left gastric nodes in most of the cases.

Esophagectomy Following Endoscopic Resection of Submucosal Esophageal Cancer: a Highly Curative Procedure Even with Nodal Metastases

BACKGROUND

Despite the increased risk for nodal disease, definitive endoscopic resection is being increasingly offered for lesions invasive into the submucosa based on the success with intramucosal tumors. The aim of this study was to evaluate survival after esophagectomy alone for confirmed submucosal tumors after endoscopic resection.

METHODS

Patients from seven centers in the USA who underwent esophagectomy for submucosal tumors removed with endoscopic resection were analyzed. Nodal involvement was correlated with recurrence and survival.

RESULTS

We identified 23 patients with submucosal esophageal adenocarcinoma. Esophagectomy was performed at a median of 2 months (Interquartile range 1-3) after the endoscopic resection. There was no postoperative mortality. Positive nodal disease was seen in 26 % of patients on final pathology. At a median of 37 months (Interquartile range 25-55), 91 % of patients were alive and free of disease. The disease-specific 5-year survival was 88 %. Disease-specific 5-year survival was 67 % in patients with positive nodal metastases and 100 % in those without (p = 0.159).

CONCLUSIONS

Esophagectomy is curative in the majority of patients with submucosal tumors even in the presence of nodal metastases. These data serve as a benchmark for comparison when considering extending the indications for therapeutic endoscopic resection for submucosal tumors in the future.

Metastatic lymph node ratio demonstrates better prognostic stratification than pN staging in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of lymph node ratio (LNR) by establishing a hypothetical tumor-ratio-metastasis (TRM) staging system in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The records of 387 ESCC patients receiving curative esophagectomy were retrospectively investigated. The optimal cut-point for LNR was assessed via the best cut-off approach. Potential prognostic parameters were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses. A novel LNR-based TRM stage was proposed. The prognostic discriminatory ability and prediction accuracy of each system were determined using hazard ratio (HR), Akaike information criterion (AIC), concordance index (C-index), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The optimal cut-points of LNR were set at 0, 0~0.2, 0.2~0.4, and 0.4~1.0. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that the LNR category was an independent risk factor of overall survival (P < 0.001). The calibration curves for the probability of 3- and 5-year survival showed good consistency between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The LNR category and TRM stage yielded a larger HR, a smaller AIC, a larger C-index, and a larger AUC than the N category and TNM stage did. In summary, the proposed LNR category was superior to the conventional N category in predicting the prognosis of ESCC patients.

Assessment of Lymph Node Ratio to Replace the pN Categories System of Classification of the TNM System in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The seventh edition of the TNM staging system for esophageal cancer outlined by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) defines the N classification on the basis of the number of metastatic lymph nodes. However, this classification is dependent on the actual number of examined lymph nodes. Here in this study, we have focused on revising this N classification system with the metastatic lymph nodes ratio (LNR) and also assessing whether this modification to the current AJCC staging system can better define the prognostic characteristics of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 916 patients with ESCC who underwent curative resection. Prognostic performance of two staging systems was compared using the Akaike information criterion value and receiver operating characteristics curve. In addition, decision curve analysis evaluated the clinical practical usefulness of the prediction models by quantifying their net benefits.

RESULTS

The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that LNR was an independent risk factor for overall survival. The modified staging system based on LNR had better discriminatory ability, monotonicity, homogeneity, and stratification than the TNM staging system in determining the prognosis of patients with ESCC. However, the decision curves analysis suggested that the modified staging based on LNR has poor clinical practical value over the AJCC TNM staging system.

CONCLUSIONS

LNR can supplement the pN categorization system for more effective evaluation of prognosis. But the modified staging system based on LNR has a poor clinical practical value for patients with ESCC compared with the current TNM system and is not superior to AJCC pN staging for ESCC.

Lymph node ratio-based staging system for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

AIM: To analyze a modified staging system utilizing lymph node ratio (LNR) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS: Clinical data of 2011 patients with ESCC who underwent surgical resection alone between January 1995 and June 2010 at the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College were reviewed. The LNR, or node ratio (Nr) was defined as the ratio of metastatic LNs ompared to the total number of resected LNs. Overall survival between groups was compared with the log-rank test. The cutoff point of LNR was established by grouping patients with 10% increment in Nr, and then combining the neighborhood survival curves using the log-rank test. A new TNrM staging system, was constructed by replacing the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) N categories with the Nr categories in the new TNM staging system. The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the seventh edition AJCC staging system and the TNrM staging system.

RESULTS: The median number of resected LNs was 12 (range: 4-44), and 25% and 75% interquartile rangeswere8 and 16. Patients were classified into four Nr categories with distinctive survival differences (Nr0: LNR = 0; Nr1: 0% < LNR ≤ 10%; Nr2: 10% < LNR ≤ 20%; and Nr3: LNR > 20%). From N categories to Nr categories, 557 patients changed their LN stage. The median survival time (MST) for the four Nr categories (Nr0-Nr3) was 155.0 mo, 39.0 mo, 28.0 mo, and 19.0 mo, respectively, and the 5-year overall survival was 61.1%, 41.1%, 33.0%, and 22.9%, respectively (P < 0.001). Overall survival was significantly different for the AJCC N categories when patients were subgrouped into 15 or more vs fewer than 15 examined nodes, except for the N3 category (P = 0.292). However, overall survival was similar when the patients in all four Nr categories were subgrouped into 15 or more vs fewer than 15 nodes. Using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic, we found that the Nr category and TNrM stage had higher accuracy in predicting survival than the AJCC N category and TNM stage.

CONCLUSION: A staging system based on LNR may have better prognostic stratification of patients with ESCC than the current TNM system, especially for those undergoing limited lymphadenectomy.

Nomogram predicted survival of patients with adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction

Background

The aim of this study is to develop a prognostic nomogram for patients with adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction and compare its predictive accuracy with the traditional tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) malignant staging system.

Methods

Patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (from 1988 to 2011) and the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University (from 2005 to 2010) were collected retrospectively. Preselected multiple potential interactions were tested irrespective of significance as nomogram parameters. And the Harrell’s C-index was used to estimate the accuracy of the nomogram system. Model validation was performed using bootstrap to quantify our modeling strategy.

Results

In our study, six clinical associated factors (age, sex, depth of invasion, metastasized lymph nodes, examined lymph nodes, histological grade) were evaluated in the nomogram. In the training set, the nomogram exhibited superior discrimination power compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM classification (Harrell’s C-index, 0.69 and 0.63, respectively). Calibration of the nomogram predicted survival was similar to the actual overall survival. In the validation set, the discrimination of nomogram was also better than the AJCC TNM staging system (C-index, 0.75 and 0.65, respectively), and the calibration of nomogram predicted survival was within a 10 % margin of actual overall survival.

Conclusions

Based on the patients with adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction from a Western and an Eastern database, the nomogram provided significantly improved discrimination than the traditional AJCC TNM classification and also provided an accurate individualized prediction of the survival.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12957-015-0613-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Prognostic value of metastatic N1 lymph node ratio and angiolymphatic invasion in patients with pathologic stage IIA non-small cell lung cancer

With regard to pathologic stage IIA (pIIA) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), there is a paucity of literature evaluating the risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). The aim of this study was to identify the prognostic factors of DFS and OS in patients with NSCLC pIIA.We performed a retrospective review of 98 stage II patients (7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer) who underwent lung resection from January 2005 to February 2011. Of these, 23 patients were excluded for this study because of loss of follow-up or different substage, and 75 patients with pIIA were included for further univariate and multivariate analysis. Risk factors for DFS and OS were analyzed, including age, gender, smoking history, operation method, histology, differential grade, visceral pleural invasion, angiolymphatic invasion, and metastatic N1 lymph node ratio (LNR).Of the 75 patients with pIIA NSCLC who were examined, 29 were female and 46 were male, with a mean age of 61.8 years (range: 34-83 years). The average tumor size was 3.188 cm (range: 1.10-6.0 cm). Under univariate analysis, angiolymphatic invasion and metastatic N1 LNR were risk factors for DFS (P = 0.011, P = 0.007). Under multivariate analysis, angiolymphatic invasion and metastatic N1 LNR were all independent risk factors for DFS, while adjuvant chemotherapy and higher metastatic N1 LNR were independent prognostic factors for OS.For patients with pIIA, higher metastatic N1 LNR and angiolymphatic invasion were related to poor DFS. In addition to DFS, higher metastatic N1 LNR was also a poor prognostic factor for OS rates and adjuvant therapy effectiveness. Clinical physicians should devise different postsurgical follow-up programs depending on these factors, especially for patients with high risk.

Lymph node dissection for esophageal cancer

The prevalence of lymph node (LN) metastasis in esophageal cancer (EC) is widely spread to all three fields, namely, to the neck region, the mediastinal region and the abdominal region. Furthermore, the status of LN metastasis has been recognized as a key factor that influences the outcome after EC surgery. Therefore, the latest version of the UICC/AJCC TNM classification (7th edition) applied the number of metastatic LNs as an N factor. However, the precise clinical diagnosis of metastatic LNs is still difficult. This is mainly because there are many micrometastases in EC. Therefore, the Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer (10th edition) has not incorporated the number of LN metastases into the N factor for its staging system and the accurate preoperative diagnosis of LN status is currently one of the most important issues to be resolved for EC. Given the frequency and extent of LN metastasis and its significance for the survival, controlling LN metastasis is a rational therapeutic strategy, and an extended LN dissection, such as three-field lymph node dissection may be logical, although appropriate patient selection is necessary. On the other hand, recent arguments have supported a reduction of unnecessary LN dissection in esophagectomy. To curtail unnecessary LN dissection, one of the current topics is sentinel lymph node-guided surgery and is being investigated as part of the next generation surgeries for EC. In this article, recent literatures were reviewed and we discuss the current status of lymph node dissection in EC.

Current treatment options for the management of esophageal cancer

In recent years, esophageal cancer characteristics and management options have evolved significantly. There has been a sharp increase in the frequency of esophageal adenocarcinoma and a decline in the frequency of squamous cell carcinoma. A more comprehensive understanding of prognostic factors influencing outcome has also been developed. This has led to more management options for esophageal cancer at all stages than ever before. A multidisciplinary, team approach to management in a high volume center is the preferred approach. Each patient should be individually assessed based on type of cancer, local or regional involvement, and his or her own functional status to determine an appropriate treatment regimen. This review will discuss management of esophageal cancer relative to disease progression and patient functional status.