The Number of Refusals for Donor Organ Quality Does Not Impact Heart Transplant Outcomes in Children

Machine Learning for Predicting Waitlist Mortality in Pediatric Heart Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Waitlist mortality remains a critical issue for pediatric heart transplant (HTx) candidates, particularly for candidates with congenital heart disease. Listing center organ offer acceptance practices have been identified as a factor influencing waitlist outcomes. We utilized machine learning (ML) to identify factors associated with waitlist mortality, combining variables associated with institutional offer acceptance practices as well as candidate-specific risk factors.

METHODS

We analyzed the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database for pediatric HTx candidates listed between 2010 and 2020. Various statistical and ML models were employed to identify predictors of waitlist mortality or clinical deterioration leading to waitlist removal. The dataset was split into training (82%) and testing (18%), and the final model was selected based on predictive performance. SHAP values were used to assess variable importance.

RESULTS

Among 5523 pediatric candidates, overall waitlist mortality was 9.8%. The CatBoost model achieved the highest predictive performance with an AUC-ROC score of 0.74 and a recall score of 0.75. Key predictors included candidate diagnosis, age/size, ventilator use, eGFR, serum albumin, ECMO, and institutional factors such as high offer refusal rates and low transplant volume.

CONCLUSIONS

Institutional organ offer acceptance practices influence waitlist outcomes for pediatric HTx candidates. Centers with higher organ refusal rates are associated with worse outcomes, independent of candidate-specific risk factors, underscoring the need for standardizing organ acceptance criteria across institutions to reduce variability in decision-making and improve waitlist survival. Additionally, addressing modifiable risk factors such as malnutrition and renal dysfunction could further optimize patient outcomes.

Donor sequence number is not associated with worse lung transplant outcomes regardless of transplant center case volume

BACKGROUND

Potential lung transplantation (LTx) recipients are assigned a donor sequence number (DSN) based on their position on the match list. Since a higher DSN offer has already been declined for other recipients, some providers may assume that a high DSN connotates poorer allograft quality. This study evaluated the association between DSN and outcomes, the correlation between transplant program case volume and the utilization of higher DSN lungs, and whether LTx outcomes differ between lower- and higher-volume programs.

METHODS

Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database, LTx cases from 2015-2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Recipients were categorized into low (<20), medium (21-50), high (51-100), and very high (>100) DSN groups. The primary outcome was LTx survival. For cases involving high or very high DSN donors, a subgroup analysis compared survival among programs with annual transplant volumes in the bottom, middle 2, and top quartiles.

RESULTS

Median survival was similar among the low (6.9 years), medium (6.1), high (5.9), and very high DSN (6.5) groups (log-rank p = 0.09). Higher DSN donors were more commonly accepted by higher-volume LTx centers. However, the annual case volume of the transplanting institution did not impact survival when high (log-rank p = 0.16) or very high DSN (log-rank p = 0.36) donors were used.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher DSN should not be considered an independent marker of low allograft quality. Additionally, lower-volume centers achieved similar post-transplant outcomes as higher-volume centers for recipients receiving higher DSN lungs. These findings underscore that surgeons must judge each donor offer independent of other programs' assessments.

Donor Characteristics and Outcomes of Pediatric Heart Transplantation in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Heart transplantation is often limited by the availability of transplantable donor heart and understanding of donor aspects that would influence transplant outcomes becomes important. In this study, donor characteristics and their impact on the outcomes of pediatric heart transplantations performed in South Korea were investigated.

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of patients less than 18 years old who received heart transplantation between 2002 and 2022 in three tertiary hospitals located in South Korea.

RESULTS

A total of 139 cases were enrolled. One-year mortality was 10.4% and total mortality was 33.8%. Forty-nine recipients (35.3%) showed biopsy-proven rejections and 20 (14.4%) showed cardiac allograft vasculopathy during mean follow-up of 6.4 ± 4.9 years. Six recipients (4.5%) showed left ventricle ejection fraction of less than 55% post-transplantation. The mean age of the donors was 23.0 ± 15.4 years. The most common cause of death of the donors was unspecified illness (46.4%). Donors with a history of diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and alcohol consumption were 0%, 3.1%, 32.1%, and 34.4%, respectively. Mean total ischemic time was 191.6 ± 72.7 min, while total ischemic time was over 4 h in 37 patients (26.6%). There were no significant relationship between donor factors and survival. However, donor's history of drinking or cardiopulmonary resuscitation was significantly associated with acute rejection and donor's age with cardiac allograft vasculopathy.

CONCLUSION

Donor factors did not show significant impact on post-transplant survival but some factors were predictive of post-transplant rejection and cardiac allograft vasculopathy.

A comprehensive, multifaceted strategy to increase pediatric donor heart utilization

BACKGROUND

In 2016, we initiated a quality improvement endeavor to increase pediatric heart offer acceptance. This study assessed the effect of these interventions at our center.

METHODS

We evaluted pre- and postimplementation cohorts (January 1, 2008-December 31, 2016 vs January 1, 2017-July 1, 2023) comparing donor heart utilization. Six interventions were iterated over time to increase offer acceptance ("extended criteria"): ABO-incompatible transplant, ex vivo perfusion for distanced donors, 3-dimensional total cardiac volume (TCV) assessment, acceptance of hepatitis-C or Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 infected donors, and institutional culture change favoring consideration of donors previously considered unacceptable. Outcomes studied included annual HT volume, median waitlist duration, sequence number at acceptance, and post-transplant clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

During the study period, annual transplant volume increased from 16/year to 25/year pre- and postimplementation. Three hundred thirteen of 389 (80%) listed patients were transplanted. Waitlist duration shortened postimplementation (p = 0.01), as did the percentage of accepted heart offers utilizing at least 1 extended criterion (p < 0.001). Institutional culture change and TCV assessment had the largest impact on donor heart utilization (p = 0.04 and p < 0.001). There was no difference in post-HT intubation or intensive care unit days (p = 0.05-0.9), though post-transplant hospitalization duration (p < 0.001) increased. Post-transplant survival was unaffected by the use of extended criteria hearts (p = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

We report a successful longitudinal, multifaceted effort to increase organ offer utilization, with institutional culture change and TCV assessments most impactful. The use of extended criteria hearts was not associated with inferior survival.

Outcomes of Heart Transplant Using High Donor Sequence Number Offers

INTRODUCTION

Higher donor sequence numbers (DSNs) might spark provider concern about poor donor quality. We evaluated characteristics of high-DSN offers used for transplant and compared outcomes of high- and low-DSN transplants.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Adult isolated heart transplants between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2022, were identified from the organ procurement and transplantation network database and stratified into high (≥42) and low (<42) DSN. Postoperative outcomes, including predischarge complications, hospital length of stay, and survival at 1 and 3 y, were evaluated using multivariable regressions.

RESULTS

A total of 21,217 recipients met the inclusion criteria, with 2131 (10.0%) classified as high-DSN. Donor factors associated with greater odds of high-DSN at acceptance included older age, higher creatinine, diabetes, hypertension, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. Recipients accepting high-DSN offers were older and more likely to be female, of blood type O, and have lower status at transplant. High- and low-DSN transplants had similar likelihood of stroke (3.2% versus 3.5%; P = 0.97), dialysis (12.3% versus 13.5%; P = 0.12), pacemaker implant (2.3% versus 2.1%; P = 0.64), had similar lengths of stay (16 [12-24] versus 16 [12-25] days, P = 0.38), and survival at 1 (91.6% versus 91.6%; aHR 0.85 [0.72-1.02], P = 0.08) and 3 y (84.2% versus 85.1%; aHR 0.91 [0.79-1.05], P = 0.21) post-transplant.

CONCLUSIONS

High-DSN (≥42) was not an independent risk factor for post-transplant mortality and should not be the sole deterrent to acceptance. Accepting high-DSN organs may increase access to transplantation for lower-status candidates.

"Take it or leave it": Analysis of pediatric heart offers for transplantation in Switzerland

BACKGROUND

There is a shortage of donor hearts in Switzerland, especially for pediatric recipients. However, the rate and reason for refusals of pediatric donor hearts offered in Switzerland has not been systematically analyzed.

METHODS

The national transplant database, Swiss Organ Allocation System, was searched for all hearts from Swiss and foreign donors younger than 16 years from 2015 to 2020. The numbers of accepted and refused hearts and early outcome were assessed, and the reasons for refusal were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 136 organs were offered to the three Swiss pediatric heart centers and foreign donor procurement organizations. Of these, 26/136 (19%) organs were accepted and transplanted: 18 hearts were transplanted in Switzerland, and 13 of these were foreign. Reasons for refusal were (1) no compatible recipient due to blood group or weight mismatch, 89.4%; (2) medical, meaning organ too marginal for transplantation, 7.4%; (3) logistic, 1.4%; and (4) other, 1.8%. Five organs were refused in Switzerland by one center but later accepted and successfully transplanted by another center. Hearts from outside Switzerland were transplanted significantly less than Swiss hearts (n = 16/120 vs. 10/16, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

The most common reason for refusing a pediatric donor heart is lack of compatibility with the recipient. Few hearts are refused for medical reasons. A more generous acceptance seems to be justified in selected patients. Switzerland receives a high number of foreign offers, but their rate of acceptance is lower than that of Swiss donations.

Reducing donor acceptance practice variation - Learnings from a discussion forum

PURPOSE

Although waitlist mortality is unacceptably high, nearly half of donor heart offers are rejected by pediatric heart transplant centers. The Advanced Cardiac Therapy Improving Outcome Network (ACTION) and Pediatric Heart Transplant Society (PHTS) convened a multi-institutional donor decision discussion forum (DDDF) aimed at assessing donor acceptance practices and reducing practice variation.

METHODS

A 1-h-long virtual DDDF for providers across North America, the United Kingdom, and Brazil was held monthly. Each session typically included two case presentations posing a real-world donor decision challenge. Attendees were polled before the presenting center's decision was revealed. Group discussion followed, including a review of relevant literature and PHTS data. Metrics of participation, participant agreement with presenting center decisions, and impact on future decision-making were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Over 2 years, 41 cases were discussed. Approximately 50 clinicians attended each call. Risk factors influencing decision-making included donor quality (10), size discrepancy (8), and COVID-19 (8). Donor characteristics influenced 63% of decisions, recipient factors 35%. Participants agreed with the decision made by the presenting center only 49% of the time. Post-presentation discussion resulted in 25% of participants changing their original decision. Survey conducted reported that 50% respondents changed their donor acceptance practices.

CONCLUSION

DDDF identified significant variation in pediatric donor decision-making among centers. DDDF may be an effective format to reduce practice variation, provide education to decision-makers, and ultimately increase donor utilization.

Pediatric donor heart acceptance practices in the United States: What is really being considered?

BACKGROUND

Recent studies demonstrate high offer decline and organ non-utilization rates are associated with increased pediatric heart transplant waitlist mortality. We sought to determine which donor, candidate, and offer specific variables most importantly influenced these decisions using only data available at the time of each offer.

METHODS

Retrospective review of pediatric (<18 years) heart donor offers made to pediatric candidates in the United States between 2010 and 2020. In addition to standard donor, candidate, and offer data available in UNOS, we extracted objective and qualitative valvar and myocardial function data from all available donor echocardiogram reports.

RESULTS

During the study period, 5625 pediatric donor hearts produced 30 156 offers to 4905 unique candidates, of which 88.7% of all offers were declined and 39.2% of organs were not utilized by pediatric waitlisted candidates. Of the 60.8% utilized hearts, 89.7% had a 'cumulatively' normal echocardiogram at the time of offer acceptance; 62.9% of hearts not utilized for a pediatric candidate also had a cumulatively normal final echocardiogram. Random forest and logistic regression modeling demonstrated good predictive performance (AUROC ≥0.83) of likelihood to accept when utilizing donor, candidate, and offer specific variables. SHAP variable importance scores demonstrated number of prior offer declines and candidate institution's prior year acceptance rates as the two most important variables influencing offer decisions.

CONCLUSIONS

Behavioral economics appear to play a significant role in pediatric heart transplant candidate institutions' acceptance practices, even when considering the arguably healthier pediatric donor population. Removal of prior institution's decisions from DonorNet may help increase donor utilization.

Echocardiography Provides a Reliable Estimate of Total Cardiac Volume for Pediatric Heart Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Donor-to-recipient size matching for heart transplantation typically involves comparing donor and recipient body weight; however, weight is not linearly related to cardiac size. Attention has shifted toward the use of computed tomography- (CT-) derived total cardiac volume (TCV), that is, CT-TCV, to compare donor and recipient heart organ size. At this time, TCV size matching is near impossible for most centers due to logistical limitations. To overcome this impediment, echocardiogram-derived TCV (ECHO-TCV) is an attractive, alternative option to estimate CT-TCV. The goal of this study is to test whether ECHO-TCV is an accurate and reliable surrogate for TCV measurement compared with the gold standard CT-TCV.

METHODS

ECHO-TCV and CT-TCV were measured in a cohort spanning the neonatal to young adult age range with the intention to simulate the pediatric heart transplant donor pool. ECHO-TCV was measured using a modified Simpson's summation-of-discs method from the apical 4-chamber (A4C) view. The gold standard of CT-TCV was measured from CT scans using three-dimensional reconstruction software. The relationship between ECHO-TCV and CT-TCV was evaluated and compared with other anthropometric and image-based markers that may predict CT-TCV. Inter-rater reliability of ECHO-TCV was tested among 4 independent observers. Subanalyses were performed to identify imaging views and timing that enable greater accuracy of ECHO-TCV.

RESULTS

Banked imaging data of 136 subjects with both echocardiogram and CT were identified. ECHO-TCV demonstrated a linear relationship to CT-TCV with a Pearson correlation coefficient of r = 0.96 (95% CI, 0.95-0.97; P < .0001) and mean absolute percent error of 8.6%. ECHO-TCV correlated most strongly with CT-TCV in the subset of subjects <4 years of age (n = 33; r = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-0.99; P < .0001). The single-score intraclass correlation coefficient across all 4 raters is 0.96 (interquartile range, 0.93-0.98). ECHO-TCV measured from a standard A4C view at end diastole with the atria in the plane of view had the strongest correlation to CT-TCV.

CONCLUSIONS

ECHO-TCV by the A4C view was found to be both an accurate and reliable alternative measurement of CT-TCV and is derived from readily available donor ECHO images. The ECHO-TCV findings in this study make the ECHO method an attractive means of direct donor-to-recipient TCV size matching in pediatric heart transplantation.

Comparing donor and recipient total cardiac volume predicts risk of short-term adverse outcomes following heart transplantation

INTRODUCTION

In pediatric heart transplantation, donor: recipient weight ratio (DRWR) has long been the sole metric for size matching. Total cardiac volume (TCV)-based size matching has emerged as a novel method to precisely identify an upper limit of donor organ size of a heart transplant recipient while minimizing the risk of complications from oversizing. The clinical adoption of donor: recipient volume ratio (DRVR) to prevent short-term adverse outcomes of oversizing is unknown. The purpose of this single-center study is to determine the relationship of DRWR and DRVR to the risk of post-operative complications from allograft oversizing.

METHODS

Recipient TCV was measured from imaging studies and donor TCV was calculated from published TCV prediction models. DRVR was defined as donor TCV divided by recipient TCV. The primary outcome was short-term post-transplant complications (SPTC), a composite outcome of delayed chest closure and prolonged intubation > 7 days. A multivariable logistic regression model of DRWR (cubic spline), DRVR (linear) and linear interaction between DRWR and DRVR was used to examine the probability of experiencing a SPTC over follow-up as a function of DRWR and DRVR.

RESULTS

A total of 106 transplant patients' records were reviewed. Risk of the SPTC increased as DRVR increased. Both low and high DRWR was associated with the SPTC. A logistic regression model including DRWR and DRVR predicted SPTC with an AUROC curve of 0.74. [95% CI 0.62 0.85]. The predictive model identified a "low-risk zone" of donor-recipient size match between a weight ratio of 0.8 and 2.0 and a TCV ratio less than 1.0.

CONCLUSION

DRVR in combination with DRWR predicts short-term post-transplant adverse events. Accepting donors with high DRWR may be safely performed when DRVR is considered.

Extreme size mismatch: bronchus compression by an oversized donor heart in small children

Studies have suggested that a more liberal criterion of donor–recipient weight ratio (DRWR) is associated with superior waitlist survival without compromising posttransplant outcomes in selected critically ill patients. Successful transplantation of an extremely oversized donor heart into a small recipient is herein described. A 2-year-old girl accepted a size-mismatched adult donor heart offer (DRWR of 4.4) due to frequent complications with a left ventricular assist device. During the immediate postoperative period, spatial constraints within the thoracic cavity compromised graft function. Computed tomography revealed severe compression of the left bronchus due to the oversized allograft with lobar collapse of the left lung. With temporary extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, graft function improved within 1 month after transplantation. Subsequent adaptive size remodeling of the transplanted heart with concomitant left bronchus re-expansion was observed within 6 months after transplantation. Despite a complicated posttransplant recovery, the patient was discharged home with minimal respiratory sequelae. Our report describes an alternative strategy for managing early morbidities related to an oversized graft and supports extending the criteria of size matching in pediatric heart transplantations.

Impact of donor-to-recipient weight ratio on the hospital outcomes of pediatric heart transplantation

Background

Identifying the factors that can influence the prognosis and final outcomes of pediatric heart transplantation is important and makes it possible to prevent complications and improve outcomes. Coordination of donor characteristics with the recipient in terms of sex, weight, body mass index (BMI), and body surface area (BSA) is an important factor that can influence the outcome of the transplantation. There is still no consensus regarding the role of discrepancy in anthropometrics between donors and recipients. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between donor and recipient weight mismatch on the early outcomes of pediatric heart transplantation. In this historical cohort study, 80 children who had underwent heart transplantation for the first time between 2014 and 2019 in Shahid Rajaie Cardiovascular Medical and Research Center in Tehran, Iran, were enrolled and divided into three groups according to donor-to-recipient weight ratio (0.8 < D/RW ≤ 1.5, 1.5 < D/RW ≤ 2.5, and 2.5 < D/RW). The early outcomes of transplantation, during the first post-transplant month, including right heart failure, renal failure, graft rejection, inotrope dependency, duration of intubation, length of ICU stay, death and requiring extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, were recorded through reviewing patient records.

Results

Median donor-to-recipient BSA ratio was directly associated with higher vasoactive–inotropic score (P = 0.038), while no significant association was found between donor-to-recipient weight ratio and vasoactive–inotropic score (P = 0.07). No significant relationship was found between other outcomes and donor-to-recipient weight ratio or donor-to-recipient BSA ratio.

Conclusions

Patients who require heart transplantation may also benefit from mismatch donors, especially in those with significant cardiomegaly.

External validation and comparison of risk score models in pediatric heart transplants

BACKGROUND

Pediatric heart transplant (PHT) patients have the highest waitlist mortality of solid organ transplants, yet more than 40% of viable hearts are unutilized. A tool for risk prediction could impact these outcomes. This study aimed to compare and validate the PHT risk score models (RSMs) in the literature.

METHODS

The literature was reviewed to identify RSMs published. The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registry was used to validate the published models identified in a pediatric cohort (<18 years) transplanted between 2017 and 2019 and compared against the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) 2021 model. Primary outcome was post-transplant 1-year mortality. Odds ratios were obtained to evaluate the association between risk score groups and 1-year mortality. Area under the curve (AUC) was used to compare the RSM scores on their goodness-of-fit, using Delong's test.

RESULTS

Six recipient and one donor RSMs published between 2008 and 2021 were included in the analysis. The validation cohort included 1,003 PHT. Low-risk groups had a significantly better survival than high-risk groups as predicted by Choudhry (OR = 4.59, 95% CI [2.36-8.93]) and Fraser III (3.17 [1.43-7.05]) models. Choudhry's and SRTR models achieved the best overall performance (AUC = 0.69 and 0.68, respectively). When adjusted for CHD and ventricular assist device support, all models reported better predictability [AUC > 0.6]. Choudhry (AUC = 0.69) and SRTR (AUC = 0.71) remained the best predicting RSMs even after adjustment.

CONCLUSION

Although the RSMs by SRTR and Choudhry provided the best prediction for 1-year mortality, none demonstrated a strong (AUC ≥ 0.8) concordance statistic. All published studies lacked advanced analytical approaches and were derived from an inherently limited dataset.

Don't Throw Your Heart Away: Increased Transparency of Donor Utilization Practices in Transplant Center Report Cards Alters How Center Performance Is Evaluated

BACKGROUND

Publicly available report cards for transplant centers emphasize posttransplant survival and obscure the fact that some centers reject many of the donor organs they are offered (reflecting a conservative donor acceptance strategy), while others accept a broader range of donor offers (reflecting an open donor acceptance strategy).

OBJECTIVE

We assessed how the provision of salient information about donor acceptance practices and waitlist survival rates affected evaluation judgments of hospital report cards given by laypeople and medical trainees.

METHODS

We tested 5 different report card formats across 4 online randomized experiments (n1 = 1,003, n2 = 105, n3 = 123, n4 = 807) in the same hypothetical decision. The primary outcome variable was a binary choice between transplant hospitals (one with an open donor acceptance strategy and the other with a conservative donor acceptance strategy).

RESULTS

Report cards featuring salient information about donor organ utilization rates (transplant outcomes categorized by quality of donor offers accepted) or overall survival rates (outcomes from both waitlist and transplanted patients) led lay participants (studies 1, 3, and 4) and medical trainees (study 2) to evaluate transplant centers with open donor acceptance strategies more favorably than centers with conservative strategies.

LIMITATIONS

Due to the nature of the decision, a hypothetical scenario was necessary for both ethical and practical reasons. Results may not generalize to transplant clinicians or patients faced with the decision of where to join the transplant waitlist.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that performance evaluations for transplant centers may vary significantly based not only on what outcome information is presented in report cards but also how the information is displayed.

Pediatric urgent heart transplantation with age or weight mismatched donors: Reducing waiting time by enlarging donor criteria

BACKGROUND

Despite considerable progress in heart transplantation, pediatric waiting list mortality is still high, and often patients do not have enough time to wait. We hypothesized that extending the donor criteria regarding age and weight mismatch does not significantly affect the early follow-up.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed our pediatric heart transplantation patients operated on from 2014 to 2020 for high (>3.0) or low (<0.6) donor-recipient weight ratio (DRWR) or chronological age mismatches (donor organ >5 years older than recipient age). This patient cohort constituted "mismatched heart transplantations" (mHTX). We compared mHTX preoperative status, postoperative course, 1-year survival, and early clinical follow-up to standard pediatric heart transplantations (sHTX).

RESULTS

We performed 20 pediatric heart transplantations-10 mHTX and 10 sHTX. The minimum DRWR was 0.44, the maximum was 5.60, and the maximum age mismatch was 42.6 years. Median days in the intensive care unit (p = .436) and time-to-first-rejection episode (p = .925) were comparable. Nine patients in each group were alive after 1 year, two patients were operated within 1 year of follow-up. One mHTX patient developed cardiac allograft vasculopathy after 15 months and died 648 days after transplantation (p = .237). All other patients were alive at the end of follow-up and in good clinical conditions (median follow-up for mHTX was 732.5 days, 1149.5 days for sHTX).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative course and early follow-up after mHTX were comparable to sHTX. In urgent clinical situations, extended donor criteria may be considered an additional option for pediatric heart transplantation.

Evidence supporting total cardiac volumes instead of weight for transplant size-matching

Total cardiac volume (TCV)-based size matching for heart transplantation offers individualization in size matching that increases the number of suitable donors. Here we describe our clinical protocol for using TCV to determine an acceptable donor weight range for heart transplant candidates. We compare candidate imaging-derived TCV to a nomogram of subjects with normal TCV to determine a precise maximum donor weight at the time of listing. For nearly half of our transplant patients, we have increased weight range by an average of 70% with no oversizing related adverse events, such as delayed chest closure to avoid tamponade or bronchial compression. Widespread adoption of TCV-based size matching can lead to a more efficient heart allocation system by the data-driven bypass of poor size matches.

Decline of increased risk donor offers increases waitlist mortality in paediatric heart transplantation

BACKGROUND

Increased risk donors in paediatric heart transplantation have characteristics that may increase the risk of infectious disease transmission despite negative serologic testing. However, the risk of disease transmission is low, and refusing an IRD offer may increase waitlist mortality. We sought to determine the risks of declining an initial IRD organ offer.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a retrospective analysis of candidates waitlisted for isolated PHT using 20072017 United Network of Organ Sharing datasets. Match runs identified candidates receiving IRD offers. Competing risks analysis was used to determine mortality risk for those that declined an initial IRD offer with stratified Cox regression to estimate the survival benefit associated with accepting initial IRD offers. Overall, 238/1067 (22.3%) initial IRD offers were accepted. Candidates accepting an IRD offer were younger (7.2 versus 9.8 years, p < 0.001), more often female (50 versus 41%, p = 0.021), more often listed status 1A (75.6 versus 61.9%, p < 0.001), and less likely to require mechanical bridge to PHT (16% versus 23%, p = 0.036). At 1- and 5-year follow-up, cumulative mortality was significantly lower for candidates who accepted compared to those that declined (6% versus 13% 1-year mortality and 15% versus 25% 5-year mortality, p = 0.0033). Decline of an IRD offer was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio for mortality of 1.87 (95% CI 1.24, 2.81, p < 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

IRD organ acceptance is associated with a substantial survival benefit. Increasing acceptance of IRD organs may provide a targetable opportunity to decrease waitlist mortality in PHT.

A novel method of donor‒recipient size matching in pediatric heart transplantation: A total cardiac volume‒predictive model

BACKGROUND

The pediatric heart transplant community uses weight-based donor-to-recipient size matching almost exclusively, despite no evidence to validate weight as a reliable surrogate of cardiac size. Donor size mismatch is the second most common reason for the refusal of donor hearts in current practice (∼30% of all refusals). Whereas case-by-case segmentation of total cardiac volume (TCV) by computed tomography (CT) for direct virtual transplantation is an attractive option, it remains limited by the unavailability of donor chest CT. We sought to establish a predictive model for donor TCV on the basis of anthropomorphic and chest X-ray (CXR) cardiac measures.

METHODS

Banked imaging studies from 141 subjects with normal CT chest angiograms were obtained and segmented using 3-dimensional modeling to derive TCV. CXR data were available for 62 of those subjects. A total of 3 predictive models of TCV were fit through multiple linear regression using the following variables: Model A (weight only); Model B (weight, height, sex, and age); Model C (weight, height, sex, age, and 1-view anteroposterior CXR maximal horizontal cardiac width).

RESULTS

Model C provided the most accurate prediction of TCV (optimism corrected R2 = 0.99, testing set R2 = 0.98, mean absolute percentage error [MAPE] = 8.6%) and outperformed Model A (optimism corrected R2 = 0.94, testing set R2 = 0.94, MAPE = 16.1%) and Model B (optimism corrected R2 = 0.97, testing set R2 = 0.97, MAPE = 11.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

TCV can be predicted accurately using readily available anthropometrics and a 1-view CXR from donor candidates. This simple and scalable method of TCV estimation may provide a reliable and consistent method to improve donor size matching.

Review of the impact of donor characteristics on pediatric heart transplant outcomes

Heart transplantation (HTx) is a treatment option for end-stage heart failure in children. HTx is limited by the availability and acceptability of donor hearts. Refusal of donor hearts has been reported to be common with reasons for refusal including preexisting donor characteristics. This review will focus on the impact of donor characteristics and comorbidities on outcomes following pediatric HTx. A literature review was performed to identify articles on donor characteristics and comorbidities and pediatric HTx outcomes. There are many donor characteristics to consider when accepting a donor heart. Weight-based matching is the most common form of matching in pediatric HTx with a donor-recipient weight ratio between 0.7 and 3 having limited impact on outcomes. From an age perspective, donors <50 years can be carefully considered, but the impact of ischemic time needs to be understood. To increase the donor pool, with minimal impact on outcomes, ABO-incompatible donors should be considered in patients that are eligible. Other factors to be considered when accepting an organ is donor comorbidities. Little is known about donor comorbidities in pediatric HTx, with most of the data available focusing on infections. Being aware of the potential infections in the donor, understanding the testing available and risks of transmission, and treatment options for the recipient is essential. There are a number of donor characteristics that potentially impact outcomes following pediatric HTx, but these need to be taken into consideration along with their interactions with recipient factors when interpreting the outcomes following HTx.

Effects of donor cause of death, ischemia time, inotrope exposure, troponin values, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic data on recipient outcomes: A review of the literature

BACKGROUND

Heart transplantation has become standard of care for pediatric patients with either end-stage heart failure or inoperable congenital heart defects. Despite increasing surgical complexity and overall volume, however, annual transplant rates remain largely unchanged. Data demonstrating pediatric donor heart refusal rates of 50% suggest optimizing donor utilization is critical. This review evaluated the impact of donor characteristics surrounding the time of death on pediatric heart transplant recipient outcomes.

METHODS

An extensive literature review was performed to identify articles focused on donor characteristics surrounding the time of death and their impact on pediatric heart transplant recipient outcomes.

RESULTS

Potential pediatric heart transplant recipient institutions commonly receive data from seven different donor death-related categories with which to determine organ acceptance: cause of death, need for CPR, serum troponin, inotrope exposure, projected donor ischemia time, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic results. Although DITs up to 8 hours have been reported with comparable recipient outcomes, most data support minimizing this period to <4 hours. CVA as a cause of death may be associated with decreased recipient survival but is rare in the pediatric population. Otherwise, however, in the setting of an acceptable donor heart with a normal echocardiogram, none of the other data categories surrounding donor death negatively impact pediatric heart transplant recipient survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Echocardiographic evaluation is the most important donor clinical information following declaration of brain death provided to potential recipient institutions. Considering its relative importance, every effort should be made to allow direct image visualization.

ISHLT consensus statement on donor organ acceptability and management in pediatric heart transplantation

The number of potential pediatric heart transplant recipients continues to exceed the number of donors, and consequently the waitlist mortality remains significant. Despite this, around 40% of all donated organs are not used and are discarded. This document (62 authors from 53 institutions in 17 countries) evaluates factors responsible for discarding donor hearts and makes recommendations regarding donor heart acceptance. The aim of this statement is to ensure that no usable donor heart is discarded, waitlist mortality is reduced, and post-transplant survival is not adversely impacted.

Volumetrics and fit assessments for donor to recipient size matching in pediatric heart transplantation: Is it time for a new paradigm?

Pediatric heart transplant patients face the highest waitlist mortality in solid organ transplantation. Given the relatively fixed number of donor organs becoming available each year, improving donor organ utilization could potentially have significant impact on reducing waitlist mortality. Donor to recipient weight ratio has historically been used to identify suitable donors; however, this method does not take into account the potential for significant variance in heart size due to complex congenital heart disease or underlying cardiomyopathy. We believe, based on our experience to date, that donor matching based upon weight ratios should be augmented by improved methodologies that provide a more accurate assessment of heart volumes. Herein we describe the rationale for these methodologies and our single-center experience using volumetrics as an alternative for donor fit assessments.

Expanding the donor pool for congenital heart disease transplant candidates by implementing 3D imaging-derived total cardiac volumes

BACKGROUND

Heart transplant waitlist mortality remains high in infants <1 year of age and among those with CHD. Currently, the median accepted donor-to-recipient weight percentage is approximately 130% of the recipient's weight. We hypothesized that patients with CHD may accept a larger organ using novel 3D-derived imaging data to estimate donor and recipient TCV.

METHODS

A single-center, retrospective study was performed using CT data for 13 patients with CHD and 94 control patients. 3D visualization software was used to create digital 3D heart models that provide an estimate of TCV. In addition, echocardiograms obtained prior to cross-sectional imaging were reviewed for presence of ventricular chamber dilation.

RESULTS

Sixty-two percent (8/13) of patients with CHD had 3D-derived TCV resulting in a weight that was >130% larger than their actual weight. This was seen in single-ventricle patients following Blalock-Taussig shunt and Fontan palliation, and patients with biventricular repair. Of those, 75% (6/8) had reported moderate-to-severe ventricular chamber dilation by echocardiogram or cardiac magnetic resonance imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large portion of patients with CHD, 3D-derived TCV place the recipient at a higher listing weight than their actual weight. We propose obtaining cross-sectional imaging to better assess TCV in a recipient, which may increase the donor range for CHD recipients and improve organ utilization in pediatrics.

Increasing donor sequence number is not associated with inferior outcomes in lung transplantation

BACKGROUND

Donor sequence number (DSN) represents the number of recipients to whom an organ has been offered. The impact of seeing numerous prior refusals may potentially influence the decision to accept an organ. We sought to determine if DSN was associated with inferior posttransplant outcomes.

METHODS

Using the United Network for Organ Sharing database, a retrospective analysis was performed on 22 361 patients who received a lung transplant between 2005 and 2017. Patients were grouped into low DSN (1-24, n = 16 860) and high DSN (>24, n = 5501) categories. Baseline characteristics and posttransplant outcomes were analyzed. An institutional subgroup was also analyzed to compare rates of primary graft dysfunction (PGD) posttransplant.

RESULTS

The DSN ranged from 1 to 1735 (median, 7; interquartile range, 2-24). A total of 18 507 recipients received an organ with at least one prior refusal. Recipients of donors with a higher DSN were older (58 vs 55 years; P < .01) but had lower lung allocation scores (43.5 vs 47.5; P < .01). On adjusted analysis, high DSN was not associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio, 0.99; 95% confidence interval, 0.94-1.04; P = .77). There was no difference in the incidence of graft failure (P = .37) or retransplantation (P = .24). Recipient subgroups who received donors with an increasing DSN >50 and >75 also demonstrated no difference in mortality when compared with a low DSN (P = .86 and P = .97). There was no difference in PGD for patients with a low vs a high DSN at any time posttransplant.

CONCLUSIONS

DSN is not associated with increased mortality in patients undergoing lung transplantation and should not negatively influence the decision to accept a lung for transplant.

Donor considerations in pediatric heart transplantation

Donors for pediatric heart transplantation are accepted based on variety of donor factors. There is wide variability in practice across centers and lack of evidence to guide standardized approach for some donor characteristics. This article reviews current practice and evidence for donor evaluation in pediatric heart transplantation.

Variability in donor selection among pediatric heart transplant providers: Results from an international survey

There is considerable variability in donor acceptance practices among adult heart transplant providers; however, pediatric data are lacking. The aim of this study was to assess donor acceptance practices among pediatric heart transplant professionals. The authors generated a survey to investigate clinicians' donor acceptance practices. This survey was distributed to all members of the ISHLT Pediatric Council in April 2018. A total of 130 providers responded from 17 different countries. There was a wide range of acceptable criteria for potential donors. These included optimal donor-to-recipient weight ratio (lower limit: 50%-150%, upper limit: 120%-350%), maximum donor age (25-75 years), and minimum acceptable left ventricular EF (30%-60%). Non-US centers demonstrated less restrictive donor selection criteria and were willing to accept older donors (50 vs 35 years, P < 0.001), greater size discrepancy (upper limit weight ratio 250% vs 200%, P = 0.009), and donors with a lower EF (45% vs 50%, P < 0.001). Recipient factors were most influential in the decision to accept marginal donors including recipients requiring ECMO support, ventilator support, and highly sensitized patients with a negative XM. However, programmatic factors impacted the decision to decline marginal donors including recent programmatic mortalities and concerns for programmatic restrictions from regulatory bodies. There is significant variation in donor acceptance practices among pediatric heart transplant professionals. Standardization of donor acceptance practices through the development of a consensus statement may help to improve donor utilization and reduce waitlist mortality.

Time for evidence-based, standardized donor size matching for pediatric heart transplantation

BACKGROUND

Accurately predicting cardiac size by other body parameters has long been problematic to determine whether a donor heart will serve a given waitlist candidate, yet hundreds of heart donors are turned down annually for size mismatch.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to describe how donor body weight parameters are currently utilized in cardiac transplantation and its influence on waitlist outcomes.

METHODS

From the United Network for Organ Sharing database, pediatric (age <18 years) heart transplant candidates were divided into lower quartile, interquartile, and upper quartile categories based on final maximum acceptable donor-candidate weight ratio (DCW), expressed as percentage. Baseline characteristics and waitlist outcomes, including monthly offers/candidate and survival were compared.

RESULTS

Overall median DCW was 200% (range, 159%-241%). Patients with congenital heart disease had higher DCW than those with cardiomyopathy (223% vs 203%; P < .001). Number of monthly offers/candidate (5.0, 5.6, and 7.2, respectively; P < .001) increased with quartile of DCW. Posttransplant survival was similar amongst the groups (log-rank P > .05). Subgroup analysis of critically ill children showed a waitlist survival advantage in those listed with a DCW ≥200% (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite substantial practice variation in acceptable donor weight in pediatric heart transplantation, patients listed with variable DCW had similar posttransplant survival. However, in critically ill patients, higher DCW was associated with greater waitlist survival. Better understanding of the importance of donor weight could reduce practice variability and improve organ use and waitlist outcomes for pediatric cardiac transplant candidates.

Donor Lung Sequence Number and Survival after Lung Transplantation in the United States

RATIONALE

In the United States, an algorithm known as the "match-run" creates an ordered ranking of potential recipients for available lung allografts. A potential recipient's match-run position, or "sequence number," is available to the transplant center when contacted with a lung offer. Lung offers with higher sequence numbers may be interpreted as a crowd-sourced evaluation of poor organ quality, though the association between the sequence number at which a lung is accepted and its recipient's post-transplant outcomes is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to evaluate the primary reasons provided when a lung offer was refused by a transplant center, transplant center and donor/organ factors associated with a higher sequence number at acceptance, and the association of the sequence number at acceptance with post-transplant mortality and graft failure.

METHODS

Match-run outcomes for lung offers that occurred in the United States from May 2007 through June 2014 were merged with recipient follow-up data through December 2017. Associations between the sequence number at the time of acceptance and selected transplant center and donor characteristics were estimated using multivariable logistic and multinomial regression models. The associations between the final sequence number and recipient survival and graft survival were estimated using multivariable time-to-event models.

RESULTS

Of 10,981 lung offer acceptances, nearly 70% were accepted by one of the top 10 ranked candidates. Higher median annual center volume and potential indicators of organ quality (e.g., abnormal chest radiograph or bronchoscopy) were associated with a higher sequence number at acceptance. There was weak evidence for a small positive relationship between the sequence number at acceptance and both mortality and graft failure. For example, the unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios for death associated with the log-sequence number at acceptance were 1.019 (95% confidence interval, 1.001-1.038) and 1.011 (95% confidence interval, 0.989-1.033), respectively. On the absolute scale, using the multivariable model, a 10-fold increase in the sequence number translated into a 0.8% absolute decline in the predicted 5-year survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Acceptance of a donor lung offer at a later point in the match-run was associated with measurable indicators of organ quality, but not with clinically meaningful differences in post-transplant mortality or graft failure.