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Sheng JQ, Xu D, Hu PJH, Li L, Huang TS. Examining the relationships between patients' multimorbidity trajectories and prognostic outcomes after the initial hip fracture. Sci Rep 2024; 14:28329. [PMID: 39550463 PMCID: PMC11569216 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-79642-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2024] [Accepted: 11/11/2024] [Indexed: 11/18/2024] Open
Abstract
Hip fractures significantly affect patients' health and quality of life. Despite therapeutic treatments, many patients continue to experience poor prognoses that include recurrent fractures and mortality, especially the older ones. Therefore, understanding important factors associated with post-fracture prognoses is critical. This study focuses on patients' multimorbidity trajectories and examines how the trajectory's time span, number of coexisting chronic diseases, and sequential disease patterns relate to distinct prognostic outcomes. From the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan, we obtain a sample of 128,822 patients who suffered an initial hip fracture between 1996 and 2011. We use this sample to analyze the relationships between multimorbidity trajectories and prognostic outcomes after an initial hip fracture. The results reveal that a patient's multimorbidity trajectory's time span and number of chronic diseases significantly associate with his or her post-fracture prognosis. In addition, essential sequential patterns of chronic diseases relate to post-fracture prognoses too. We then leverage the discovered relationships to develop a cross-attention neural network method for estimating patients' post-fracture prognoses and demonstrate its predictive utilities relative to several prevalent machine leaning methods. This study underscores the importance of leveraging the time span, number of chronic diseases, and sequential disease patterns in patients' multimorbidity trajectory profile to estimate their prognoses within three years of an initial hip fracture, which can support physicians' clinical decisions and patient management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica Qiuhua Sheng
- Department of Systems and Operations Management, David Nazarian College of Business and Economics, California State University Northridge, Northridge, CA, USA
| | - Da Xu
- Department of Marketing, Analytics and Professional Sales, School of Business Administration, University of Mississippi, University, MS, USA
| | - Paul Jen-Hwa Hu
- Department of Operations and Information Systems, David Eccles School of Business, University of Utah, 1655 East Campus Center Drive, Salt Lake City, 84112, UT, USA.
| | - Liang Li
- School of Economics and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
| | - Ting-Shuo Huang
- Division of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, Jen-Ai Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan
- Department of Chinese Medicine, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
- Division of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan
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Mohseni V, Fahimfar N, Ansarifar A, Masoumi S, Sanjari M, Khalagi K, Bagherifard A, Larijani B, Janani L, Mansourzadeh MJ, Ostovar A, Solaymani-Dodaran M. Mortality and re-fracture rates in low trauma hip fracture. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:381. [PMID: 38684943 PMCID: PMC11059755 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-04950-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2023] [Accepted: 04/04/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to estimate the incidence rate of re-fracture and all-cause mortality rate in patients with hip fractures caused by minor trauma in the first year following the event. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study of patients over 50 years of age conducted in a referral hospital located in Tehran (Shafa-Yahyaian). Using the hospital information system (HIS), all patients hospitalized due to hip fractures caused by minor trauma during 2013-2019 were included in the study. We investigated the occurrence of death and re-fracture in all patients one year after the primary hip fracture. RESULTS A total of 945 patients with hip fractures during a 307,595 person-days of follow-up, were included. The mean age of the participants was 71 years (SD = 11.19), and 533 (59%) of them were women. One hundred forty-nine deaths were identified during the first year after hip fracture, resulting in a one-year mortality rate of 17.69% (95% CI: 15.06-20.77). The one-year mortality rate was 20.06% in men and 15.88% in women. Out of all the participants, 667 answered the phone call, of which 29 cases had experienced a re-fracture in the first year (incidence rate = 5.03%, 95% CI: 3.50-7.24). The incidence rates in women and men were 6.07% and 3.65%, respectively. CONCLUSION Patients with low-trauma hip fractures have shown a high rate of mortality in the first year. Considering the increase in the incidence of hip fractures with age, comprehensive strategies are needed to prevent fractures caused by minor trauma in the elderly population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vahideh Mohseni
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Noushin Fahimfar
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Akram Ansarifar
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Safdar Masoumi
- Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mahnaz Sanjari
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Kazem Khalagi
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Obesity and Eating Habits Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Abolfazl Bagherifard
- Bone and Joint Reconstruction Research Center, Shafa Orthopedic Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Bagher Larijani
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Leila Janani
- Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Javad Mansourzadeh
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Afshin Ostovar
- Osteoporosis Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Masoud Solaymani-Dodaran
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- Minimally Invasive Surgery Research Center, Hazrat-e-Rasool Hospital, Iran University of Medical Science, Tehran, Iran.
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Alito A, Fenga D, Portaro S, Leonardi G, Borzelli D, Sanzarello I, Calabrò RS, Milone D, Tisano A, Leonetti D. Early hip fracture surgery and rehabilitation. How to improve functional quality outcomes. A retrospective study. Folia Med (Plovdiv) 2023; 65:879-884. [PMID: 38351775 DOI: 10.3897/folmed.65.e99513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2023] [Accepted: 01/27/2023] [Indexed: 02/16/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Hip fractures are one of the major disability causes associated with a high morbidity and mortality rate. Early surgery and stable fixation could be associated with better pain control, possibly lower mortality rates, and early recovery of autonomy.
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