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Jiang N, Zhan Y, Zhang S, Zhong B, Yang J, Yin Y, Li W, Li M, Shen J, Li Z, Zhu X, Ni C. Development and validation of a prealbumin-bilirubin model for prognostic prediction in intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transarterial chemoembolization. Sci Rep 2025; 15:18147. [PMID: 40415111 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-02960-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2024] [Accepted: 05/16/2025] [Indexed: 05/27/2025] Open
Abstract
To establish and validate a novel prognostic model to predict outcomes for intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Clinical data from intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent TACE between January 2007 and December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified risk factors associated with overall survival (OS), leading to the development of a predictive model. The model's accuracy, consistency, and clinical utility were validated both internally and externally and compared with the Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grading, Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin (PALBI) grading, Child-Pugh grading, mChild-Pugh grading, and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). A total of 737 intermediate-stage HCC patients were included, with 481 in the training cohort and 256 in the validation cohort. Multivariate analysis identified maximum tumor diameter, tumor number, prealbumin, and total bilirubin as independent factors for OS. A prealbumin-bilirubin (PABI) predictive model was developed. The PABI model's concordance indices (C-index) in the training and validation cohorts were 0.730 (95% CI 0.701-0.759) and 0.706 (95% CI 0.661-0.751), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) values at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months in both cohorts were above 0.7. Among the six models, the PABI model had the highest C-index (0.713) and the lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC) value (5897.814) and the best performance in clinical decision curve analysis, suggesting better predictive performance and potential clinical utility. The PABI nomogram model appears to accurately predict survival in intermediate-stage HCC patients treated with TACE, providing clinicians with a valuable tool for candidate selection and prognosis stratification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nan Jiang
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Yi Zhan
- Department of Interventional Radiology and Vascular Surgery, Xishan People's Hospital, Wuxi, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Shuai Zhang
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Binyan Zhong
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Jun Yang
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Yu Yin
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Wanci Li
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Mingming Li
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Jian Shen
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhi Li
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaoli Zhu
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China
| | - Caifang Ni
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, No. 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
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Bayram D, Bal Ö, Karaman K, Bardakçı M, Demirtaş Esmer D, Seven İ, Sekmek S, Perkin P, Köş FT, Algın E, Uncu D. A New Prognostic Indicator for Biliary Tract Cancers: The ABIC Score. Curr Oncol 2025; 32:200. [PMID: 40277757 PMCID: PMC12026096 DOI: 10.3390/curroncol32040200] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2025] [Revised: 03/11/2025] [Accepted: 03/27/2025] [Indexed: 04/26/2025] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Biliary tract cancers (BTC) comprise a heterogeneous group of malignancies, including gallbladder cancer, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. The main determinants of prognosis in BTC are the stage of the disease and the eligibility for curative treatment. Additionally, liver functional capacity is also one of the factors influencing survival in biliary tract cancers. The age-bilirubin-INR-creatinine (ABIC) score has been previously shown to predict prognosis in hepatic diseases. The aim of our study is to demonstrate the relationship between the ABIC score and prognosis in BTC. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this study, a retrospective analysis was performed on 41 patients with non-metastatic BTC and 73 patients with metastatic BTC who were followed up in our clinic between 2003 and 2025. All patients were ≥18 years old at the time of diagnosis, and BTC was pathologically confirmed. The ABIC score was calculated separately for each group. A threshold value for the ABIC score was determined using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, and based on this threshold, patients were divided into low and high ABIC score groups. Both the relationship between the ABIC score and prognosis and the other factors affecting prognosis were investigated. RESULTS In the non-metastatic BTC group, the cutoff value for the ABIC score was 6.89. The median survival time of patients with a high ABIC score was significantly shorter. In the metastatic BTC group, the cutoff value for the ABIC score was 7.41. Similarly, in this group, patients with a high ABIC score had a significantly shorter median survival time. Additionally, in the non-metastatic BTC group, tumor localization and stage were prognostic factors affecting survival, while in the metastatic BTC group, CEA and first-line chemotherapy were the prognostic factors influencing overall survival. Conclusions: We demonstrate that the ABIC score is a prognostic factor determining median survival in both non-metastatic and metastatic BTC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Doğan Bayram
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (D.D.E.); (İ.S.); (S.S.); (P.P.)
| | - Öznur Bal
- Department of Medical Oncology, University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (Ö.B.); (F.T.K.); (E.A.)
| | - Kemal Karaman
- Medical Oncology, Afyonkarahisar State Hospital, 03100 Afyonkarahisar, Turkey;
| | - Murat Bardakçı
- Diyarbakır Gazi Yaşargil Education Research Hospital, 21010 Diyarbakır, Turkey;
| | - Derya Demirtaş Esmer
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (D.D.E.); (İ.S.); (S.S.); (P.P.)
| | - İsmet Seven
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (D.D.E.); (İ.S.); (S.S.); (P.P.)
| | - Serhat Sekmek
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (D.D.E.); (İ.S.); (S.S.); (P.P.)
| | - Perihan Perkin
- Department of Medical Oncology, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (D.D.E.); (İ.S.); (S.S.); (P.P.)
| | - Fahriye Tuğba Köş
- Department of Medical Oncology, University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (Ö.B.); (F.T.K.); (E.A.)
| | - Efnan Algın
- Department of Medical Oncology, University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (Ö.B.); (F.T.K.); (E.A.)
| | - Doğan Uncu
- Department of Medical Oncology, University of Health Sciences, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Ankara, Turkey; (Ö.B.); (F.T.K.); (E.A.)
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Lu H, Liang B, Xia X, Zheng C. Predictors and risk factors of bile duct injury after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma. BMC Cancer 2024; 24:1085. [PMID: 39223485 PMCID: PMC11367810 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12864-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2024] [Accepted: 08/27/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Bile duct injury is a serious complication after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). If it is not detected early and treated actively, it will not only affect the subsequent tumor-related treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, but also may lead to serious consequences such as infection, liver failure and even death. To analyze the risk factors of bile duct injury after TACE in patients with HCC and explore the predictive indicators of bile duct injury after TACE, which is helpful for doctors to detect and intervene early and avoid the occurrence of serious complications. METHOD We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 847 patients with primary hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent TACE for the first time in our interventional department. Patients were divided into two groups according to whether bile duct injury occurred after TACE: (1) bile duct injury group, N = 55; (2) no bile duct injury group, N = 792. The basic data, intraoperative conditions and the outcome of bile duct injury were analyzed. The chi-square test was used for comparison of enumeration data. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of measurement data. Risk factor analysis was performed using binary logistic regression analysis. RESULTS Basic data and intraoperative conditions were compared between the bile duct injury group and the group without bile duct injury: preoperative alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (103.24 ± 32.77U/L vs. 89.17 ± 37.35U/L, P = 0.003); history of hepatobiliary surgery (36.4% vs. 20.8%, P = 0.011); intraoperative lipiodol volume (P = 0.007); combined use of gelatin sponge particles (65.5% vs. 35.0%, P < 0.001); hypovascularity (58.2% vs. 24.5%, P < 0.001); and embolization site (P < 0.001). Comparison of postoperative liver function between bile duct injury group and non-bile duct injury group: postoperative total bilirubin (43.34 ± 25.18umol/L vs. 21.94 ± 9.82umol/L, P < 0.001); postoperative γ-glutamyltransferase(GGT) (188.09 ± 55.62U/L vs. 84.04 ± 36.47U/L, P < 0.001); postoperative ALP(251.51 ± 61.51U/L vs. 99.92 ± 45.98U/L, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION The dosage of lipiodol in TACE, supplementation of gelatin sponge particles, embolization site, and hypovascularity of the tumor are risk factors for biliary duct injury after TACE. After TACE, GGT and ALP increased ≥ 2 times compared with preoperative indicators as predictors of bile duct injury. Bile duct injury occurring after TACE can achieve good outcomes with aggressive management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haohao Lu
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, China
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, 430022, China
| | - Bin Liang
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, China
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, 430022, China
| | - Xiangwen Xia
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, China.
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, 430022, China.
| | - Chuansheng Zheng
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Jiefang Avenue #1277, Wuhan, 430022, China.
- Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, 430022, China.
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Huang H, Qiao H, Jiang J, Yan J, Wen Q, Gen D, Wu Q. T1 relaxation time analysis in predicting hepatic dysfunction and prognosis in patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization. Eur J Radiol 2023; 165:110938. [PMID: 37392548 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrad.2023.110938] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2023] [Revised: 06/04/2023] [Accepted: 06/17/2023] [Indexed: 07/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the value of T1 mapping in predicting hepatic dysfunction and prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). MATERIAL AND METHODS 100 consecutive patients with treatment-naive HCC treated with TACE were prospectively analyzed. Clinical, laboratory, and MRI parameters (liver and tumor T1 relaxation times (T1L, T1T)) before and/or following TACE were measured and calculated. Clinical parameters included the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classification, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Classification (BCLC) criteria, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score. Laboratory parameters were the gold standard for hepatic dysfunction. T1L and T1T were combined by stepwise multivariate logistic regression to yield a T1-related probability index (T1com) for further analysis. Study endpoints included hepatic dysfunction and progression-free survival (PFS) rate. RESULTS 38 patients (38%) were diagnosed with hepatic dysfunction following TACE. There was no significant difference in clinical parameters between the groups with and without hepatic dysfunction. Logistic regression analysis showed that T1L and T1T were independent risk factors for assessing hepatic dysfunction. T1com showed a better AUC than T1L and T1T (0.81 vs. 0.76 and 0.69, P = 0.007 and 0.006). Patients with low T1com (≤0.42) showed a better median PFS than patients with high T1com (>0.42) (167.0 vs. 215.9 days, P = 0.010). In comparison, CTP, BCLC, and ALBI scores were not statistically significant in predicting PFS in HCC patients treated with TACE (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION Compared with widely used clinical parameters, T1 was more capable of predicting hepatic dysfunction after TACE. Stratification of patients with HCC undergoing TACE according to T1 may help clinicians to develop treatment strategies in preventing the occurrence of hepatic dysfunction and improving individual prognoses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong Huang
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China
| | - Hongyan Qiao
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China
| | - Jianwei Jiang
- Department of Interventional Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China
| | - Jian Yan
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China
| | - Qingqing Wen
- GE Healthcare, MR Research China, Beijing, China
| | - Da Gen
- Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China
| | - Qinghua Wu
- Department of Interventional Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214122, China.
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Mishra G, Majeed A, Dev A, Eslick GD, Pinato DJ, Izumoto H, Hiraoka A, Huo TI, Liu PH, Johnson PJ, Roberts SK. Clinical Utility of Albumin Bilirubin Grade as a Prognostic Marker in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. J Gastrointest Cancer 2023; 54:420-432. [PMID: 35635637 DOI: 10.1007/s12029-022-00832-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Hepatic function is a key prognostic marker in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and central to patient selection for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). We investigated the clinical utility of the Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade, an emerging prognostic model, in this heterogenous cohort via a meta-analysis of published studies. METHODS Publications including full text articles and abstracts regarding ALBI grade were sourced by two independent researchers from databases including PubMed, Embase, Medline and Cochrane Library. Studies analysing patients with HCC undergoing TACE treatment were systematically screened utilising the PRISMA tool for data extraction and synthesis, after exclusion of duplicates, irrelevant studies and overlapping cohorts. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), as determined by ALBI grade and assessed by hazard ratio (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with analysis of collated data using comprehensive meta-analysis, version 3.0 software. RESULTS Eight studies were included, with a pooled population of 6538 patients with HCC that underwent TACE treatment. Higher pre-treatment grade was associated with poor OS, with median OS of 12.0 months (P < 0.001) in ALBI grade 3, compared to 33.5 months in ALBI grade 1 (P < 0.001). Significant heterogeneity within each ALBI grade was associated with age and tumour size (P < 0.001) in ALBI grades 1 and 2. In contrast, age and alcohol-related liver disease were significant in the ALBI grade 3 group (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS High pre-treatment ALBI grade is associated with poorer prognosis in patients with HCC undergoing TACE therapy. The ALBI grade demonstrates clinical utility for clinical prognostication and patient selection for TACE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gauri Mishra
- Gastroenterology Department, Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne, Australia.
- School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
| | - Ammar Majeed
- School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- Gastroenterology Department, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Anouk Dev
- Gastroenterology Department, Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne, Australia
- School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Guy D Eslick
- The Whiteley-Martin Research Centre, Discipline of Surgery, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - David J Pinato
- Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, Hammersmith Hospital, London, UK
| | | | - Atsushi Hiraoka
- Gastroenterology Centre, Ehime Prefectural Central Hospital, Matsuyama, Japan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medical Research, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Centre, Dallas, Texas, USA
| | - Philip J Johnson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Stuart K Roberts
- School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- Gastroenterology Department, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
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Transarterial chemoembolisation plus I125 seeds implantation for people with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2022; 2022:CD015389. [PMCID: PMC9744102 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd015389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (intervention). The objectives are as follows: To assess the benefits and harms of transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE) plus I125 seeds implantation compared with TACE alone, regardless of chemotherapeutic drugs and vascular occlusive agents, for people with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.
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Martínez Herreros Á, Sangro B, García Rodriguez A, Pérez Grijalba V. Analysis of the albumin‐bilirubin score as an indicator of improved liver function among hepatitis C virus patients with sustained viral response after direct‐acting antiviral therapy. JGH Open 2022; 6:496-502. [PMID: 35822123 PMCID: PMC9260218 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12779] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Revised: 05/18/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Background and Aim To investigate the performance of the albumin‐bilirubin (ALBI) score as an indicator of improved hepatic function using a cohort of hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients with sustained viral response (SVR) after direct‐acting antiviral therapy (DAA). Methods HCV patients who achieved SVR after DAAs between 2015 and 2016 were followed for at least 24 months. Changes in ALBI were evaluated in the entire cohort and according to liver function and liver stiffness status at baseline. Results Four hundred ninety‐seven patients were enrolled. Exactly 96.92% were in Child–Pugh (CTP) class A, and 42% had grade 2 fibrosis. Median ALBI was −3.02, while 87.7 and 11.3% of patients were in ALBI grades 1 and 2, respectively. ALBI improved significantly over time, particularly in patients who had a worse ALBI at baseline. Exactly 77% of patients initially in ALBI grade 1 and 93.9% of those in ALBI grades 2–3 improved their ALBI score in different amounts. Improved ALBI was observed irrespective of CTP score at baseline. Median ALBI at baseline and after 24 months were −3.03 and −3.27 for CTP 5, 2.02 and −2.88 for CTP 6, and −1.59 and −2.84 for CTP >6. Similarly, a significant improvement in ALBI was observed within each stage of fibrosis at baseline. Conclusion ALBI was a good indicator of improved hepatic function in HCV patients with SVR after DAA therapy, able to identify changes even in those patients who started DAA therapy with well‐preserved function and mild fibrosis. This simple, objective, and noninvasive test should be evaluated in other clinical scenarios where liver function is relevant.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Bruno Sangro
- Liver Unit Clinica Universidad de Navarra and CIBEREHD Pamplona Spain
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Liu S, Xu Z, Fang Z, Zhang D, Qin Z, Fan L, Duan J, Yin H, Zhang Y, Pang Q, Tan Y. The Combination of Age, International Standardized Ratio, Albumin and γ-Glutamyl Transpeptidase (AIAG), Tumor Size and Alpha Fetoprotein (AFP) Stage as the Prognostic Model for Hepatitis B-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Int J Gen Med 2021; 14:4291-4301. [PMID: 34408472 PMCID: PMC8364385 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s323293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2021] [Accepted: 07/26/2021] [Indexed: 12/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Advanced liver fibrosis can lead to cirrhosis, portal hypertension and liver failure. Besides, advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis are the major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Almost all patients with HCC also have liver cirrhosis. This study aims to predict the survival rate of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by age, international standardized ratio, albumin and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (AIAG), an indicator measuring the degree of cirrhosis. Methods A total of 501 hepatitis B-related HCC patients experiencing radical surgery were analyzed, retrospectively. General data about demographics and labs were collected at the date of diagnosis to calculate AIAG [age, international standardized ratio (INR), albumin and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT)]. The Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox analysis were used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). The C-index was calculated in R software (version 4.0.3) to evaluate the accuracy of the prognostic model. Results During a median follow-up period of 30 months, 31.1% (156/501) of the patients died, and 34.3% (172/501) experienced the recurrence of HCC. Compared with patients with lower AIAG score, patients with higher AIAG score had higher Child-Pugh grade and were at higher Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (both P<0.05). Multivariate analysis suggested that GGT, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), tumor size, BCLC stage and AIAG grade were independent predictors of OS and RFS. Furthermore, the combined use of tumor size, AFP and AIAG stage could predict survival significantly better (C-index=0.710, 95% CI: 0.669–0.751) than BCLC stage. Conclusion AIAG is significantly associated with survival of HCC patients, and provides additional prognostic information for patients with HCC. Our findings suggest that the combination of AIAG, tumor size and AFP stage has a better predictive value for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma. However, it is necessary for more external evidences to determine clinical utility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuangchi Liu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhiduan Xu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhuling Fang
- Department of Medical Laboratory, Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, Anhui, 233000, People's Republic of China
| | - Dengyong Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhongqiang Qin
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Longfei Fan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Jiakang Duan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Hongxiang Yin
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Yigang Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
| | - Qing Pang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China.,Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China
| | - Yi Tan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College, Bengbu, 233000, Anhui, People's Republic of China
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