Risk Difference of Liver-Related and Cardiovascular Events by Liver Fibrosis Status in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Editorial: Cardiometabolic criteria matters in MASLD-Authors' reply

This article is linked to Tamaki et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18205 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18233

Long-term clinical outcomes in steatotic liver disease and incidence of liver-related events, cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality

BACKGROUND

A multi-society consensus group proposed a new nomenclature for steatotic liver disease (SLD) including metabolic-dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), MASLD and increased alcohol intake (MetALD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). However, the risk of liver-related events, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality among various sub-groups is unknown.

AIMS

To evaluate the risk of liver-related events, MACE and death among patients with SLD.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide, population-based study and enrolled 761,400 patients diagnosed with MASLD, MetALD or ALD. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of liver-related events, MACE and death in patients with MASLD, MetALD and ALD.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence of liver-related events and death were highest in ALD, followed by MetALD and MASLD (p < 0.001 for both liver-related events and death), while the incidence of MACE was highest in MASLD, followed by MetALD and ALD (p < 0.001). Using MASLD as the reference and adjusting for age, sex, smoking, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidaemia and hypertension, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for liver-related events, MACE and death in MetALD were 1.42 (1.1-1.8), 0.68 (0.63-0.73) and 1.13 (0.98-1.3), respectively. In ALD, they were 3.42 (2.6-4.6), 0.58 (0.49-0.67) and 1.60 (1.3-2.0), respectively, for liver-related events, MACE and death.

CONCLUSIONS

The new consensus nomenclature can be used to stratify the risk of complications and prognosis. The nomenclature is beneficial for risk stratification and identifying new mechanisms for disease-specific therapeutic implications.

Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Score for Diagnosing Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis

Background and aims: The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) score is a blood test that combines three markers linked to liver fibrosis. The utility of the ELF score has been demonstrated primarily in Western countries, but whether it is useful in areas with a high number of elderly people suffering from chronic liver disease has yet to be determined. Methods: This is a prospective study that included 373 consecutive patients who underwent a liver biopsy and had their ELF score measured on the same day. The diagnostic accuracy of the ELF score for liver fibrosis and the effect of age on the ELF score were investigated. Results: The median (interquartile) ELF scores in F0, F1, F2, F3, and F4 are 8.7 (8.2-9.2), 9.3 (8.8-10.0), 10.1 (9.4-10.7), 10.7 (9.9-11.2), and 12.0 (11.2-12.7), respectively. ELF scores increased with increasing liver fibrosis stage (p < 0.001). The diagnostic accuracy of the ELF score and FIB-4 for significant fibrosis (F2-4) and advanced fibrosis (F3-4) was comparable, but the ELF score had a higher diagnostic accuracy for cirrhosis (F4) than FIB-4. When patients were stratified by age of 60 years, the median ELF score did not differ by age in F2, F3, and F4. However, the median FIB-4 increased in patients with ≥60 years compared to those with <60 years in all fibrosis stages. Conclusions: ELF score has high diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis, regardless of age, and it could be used as a primary screening method.

Concordance between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM

A multisociety consensus group proposed a new nomenclature for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Although patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are expected to be reclassified as patients with MASLD under the new nomenclature, the concordance between MASLD and NAFLD remains unclear. Moreover, waist circumference could be adjusted by ethnicity for diagnosing MASLD; however, there are limited data on the optimal waist circumference in the Japanese population.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted on 3709 Japanese patients with NAFLD. The primary endpoint was the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD. The difference between the original waist circumference criteria (>94 cm for men and >80 cm for women) and the Japanese metabolic syndrome criteria (≥85 cm for men and ≥90 cm for women) for concordance between NAFLD and MASLD was also investigated.

RESULTS

According to the original criteria, the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD was 96.7%. Similarly, according to the Japanese waist circumference criteria, 96.2% of patients with NAFLD could be reclassified as those with MASLD. The concordance rate was significantly higher in the original criteria than in the Japanese criteria (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD could be considered MASLD using the original MASLD criteria in the Japanese population, and insights from NAFLD research could be applied to MASLD.

Monitoring disease progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease. Its prevalence is increasing with the epidemic of obesity and metabolic syndrome. MASLD progression into metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and advanced fibrosis may lead to decompensated cirrhosis and development of liver-related events, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. Monitoring disease progression is critical in decreasing morbidity, mortality, need for transplant and economic burden. Assessing for treatment response once FDA-approved medications are available is still an unmet clinical need.

AIMS

To explore the most up-to-date literature on testing used for monitoring disease progression and treatment response METHODS: We searched PubMed from inception to 15 August 2023, using the following MeSH terms: 'MASLD', 'Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease', 'MASH', 'metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis', 'Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease', 'NAFLD', 'non-alcoholic steatohepatitis', 'NASH', 'Biomarkers', 'clinical trial'. Articles were also identified through searches of the authors' files. The final reference list was generated based on originality and relevance to this review's broad scope, considering only papers published in English.

RESULTS

We have cited 101 references in this review detailing methods to monitor MASLD disease progression and treatment response.

CONCLUSION

Various biomarkers can be used in different care settings to monitor disease progression. Further research is needed to validate noninvasive tests more effectively.

A Comparison of Alanine Aminotransferase Normalization between Pemafibrate and Bezafibrate in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Objective Pemafibrate is a recently developed selective peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha modulator that can improve alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the effectiveness of ALT normalization with pemafibrate and bezafibrate, a traditional fibrate, has not been compared. Methods In this retrospective study, we compared the effects of pemafibrate and bezafibrate on ALT normalization in patients with NAFLD. The primary endpoint was the ALT normalization rate at 12 months after administration. Patients Twenty and 14 patients with NAFLD receiving pemafibrate and bezafibrate, respectively, were included in this retrospective analysis. All patients had elevated ALT levels and dyslipidemia at entry. Results The ALT normalization rates at 3, 6, and 12 months were 40%, 55%, and 60% for pemafibrate and 14.3%, 28.6%, and 14.3% for bezafibrate, respectively. The ALT normalization rate at 12 months was significantly higher in patients treated with pemafibrate than in those treated with bezafibrate (p=0.01). Pemafibrate, when compared with bezafibrate, was shown to be a significant factor for ALT normalization in a multivariable analysis with an adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 13.8 (1.6-115, p=0.01). Conclusion Pemafibrate is effective in ALT normalization in patients with NAFLD and may be used as a treatment for NAFLD.

Detecting advanced liver fibrosis using ultrasound shear wave velocity measurement in the general population

Background

Advanced fibrosis detection in the general population is an unmet need. Additionally, screening method for advanced fibrosis in the general population is not established. Thus, this study aimed to examine the use of shear wave measurement (SWM), which measures liver stiffness by ultrasound elastography as a screening tool for advanced fibrosis in health checkups that represents the general population.

Methods

SWM was performed in all subjects. Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) was performed in those with SWM shear wave velocity (Vs) ≥1.3 m/s to determinate advanced fibrosis. The diagnostic accuracy of SWM Vs for advanced fibrosis (determined by MRE of ≥3.62 kPa) was examined. This prospective study was registered with the University Hospital Medical Information Network clinical trial registry (UMIN000041609).

Results

A total of 2,233 subjects were included. SWM Vs of 1.64 m/s was selected as the best threshold for advanced fibrosis. Using the threshold of SWM Vs at ≥1.64 m/s, subjects were narrowed down to 1.7%, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) for advanced fibrosis were 53.3%, 92.4%, 47.1%, and 94.0%, respectively, among these subjects. The multivariable analysis, after adjusting the age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), dyslipidemia, and alcohol use, revealed an SWM Vs of ≥1.64 m/s as the significant factor for advanced fibrosis with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 14.5 (3.4-62; P<0.001).

Conclusions

SWM has high diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis (PPV 47.1%) and may be used as a screening tool for liver fibrosis in the general population.

Identification of clinical phenotypes associated with poor prognosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via unsupervised machine learning

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both fibrosis status and body weight are important for assessing prognosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to identify population clusters for specific clinical outcomes based on fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and body mass index (BMI) using an unsupervised machine learning method.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter study of 1335 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from Japan. Using the Gaussian mixture model to divide the cohort into clusters based on FIB-4 index and BMI, we investigated prognosis for these clusters.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 223 cases (16.0%) with advanced fibrosis (F3-4) as assessed from liver biopsy. Median values of BMI and FIB-4 index were 27.3 kg/m2 and 1.67. The patients were divided into four clusters by Bayesian information criterion, and all-cause mortality was highest in cluster d, followed by cluster b (P = 0.001). Regarding the characteristics of each cluster, clusters d and b presented a high FIB-4 index (median 5.23 and 2.23), cluster a presented the lowest FIB-4 index (median 0.78), and cluster c was associated with moderate FIB-4 level (median 1.30) and highest BMI (median 34.3 kg/m2 ). Clusters a and c had lower mortality rates than clusters b and d. However, all-cause of death in clusters a and c was unrelated to liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our clustering approach found that the FIB-4 index is an important predictor of mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of BMI. Additionally, non-liver-related diseases were identified as the causes of death in NAFLD patients with low FIB-4 index.

Type 2 diabetes, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Data are scarce regarding the development of hepatic decompensation in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with and without type 2 diabetes. We aimed to assess the risk of hepatic decompensation in people with NAFLD with and without type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We did a meta-analysis of individual participant-level data from six cohorts in the USA, Japan, and Turkey. Included participants had magnetic resonance elastography between Feb 27, 2007, and June 4, 2021. Eligible studies included those with liver fibrosis characterisation by magnetic resonance elastography, longitudinal assessment for hepatic decompensation and death, and included adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with NAFLD, for whom data were available regarding the presence of type 2 diabetes at baseline. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, defined as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding. The secondary outcome was the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. We used competing risk regression using the Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) to compare the likelihood of hepatic decompensation in participants with and without type 2 diabetes. Death without hepatic decompensation was a competing event.

FINDINGS

Data for 2016 participants (736 with type 2 diabetes; 1280 without type 2 diabetes) from six cohorts were included in this analysis. 1074 (53%) of 2016 participants were female with a mean age of 57·8 years (SD 14·2) years and BMI of 31·3 kg/m2 (SD 7·4). Among 1737 participants (602 with type 2 diabetes and 1135 without type 2 diabetes) with available longitudinal data, 105 participants developed hepatic decompensation over a median follow-up time of 2·8 years (IQR 1·4-5·5). Participants with type 2 diabetes had a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation at 1 year (3·37% [95% CI 2·10-5·11] vs 1·07% [0·57-1·86]), 3 years (7·49% [5·36-10·08] vs 2·92% [1·92-4·25]), and 5 years (13·85% [10·43-17·75] vs 3·95% [2·67-5·60]) than participants without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). After adjustment for multiple confounders (age, BMI, and race), type 2 diabetes (sHR 2·15 [95% CI 1·39-3·34]; p=0·0006) and glycated haemoglobin (1·31 [95% CI 1·10-1·55]; p=0·0019) were independent predictors of hepatic decompensation. The association between type 2 diabetes and hepatic decompensation remained consistent after adjustment for baseline liver stiffness determined by magnetic resonance elastography. Over a median follow-up of 2·9 years (IQR 1·4-5·7), 22 of 1802 participants analysed (18 of 639 with type 2 diabetes and four of 1163 without type 2 diabetes) developed incident hepatocellular carcinoma. The risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was higher in those with type 2 diabetes at 1 year (1·34% [95% CI 0·64-2·54] vs 0·09% [0·01-0·50], 3 years (2·44% [1·36-4·05] vs 0·21% [0·04-0·73]), and 5 years (3·68% [2·18-5·77] vs 0·44% [0·11-1·33]) than in those without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma development (sHR 5·34 [1·67-17·09]; p=0·0048).

INTERPRETATION

Among people with NAFLD, the presence of type 2 diabetes is associated with a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma.

FUNDING

National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Risk of cardiovascular disease in lean patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are highly at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the risk of developing CVD in patients with lean NAFLD is not yet fully understood. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the CVD incidence in Japanese patients with lean NAFLD and those with non-lean NAFLD.

METHODS

A total of 581 patients with NAFLD (219 with lean and 362 with non-lean NAFLD) were recruited. All patients underwent annual health checkups for at least 3 years, and CVD incidence was investigated during follow-up. The primary end-point was CVD incidence at 3 years.

RESULTS

The 3-year new CVD incidence rates in patients with lean and non-lean NAFLD were 2.3% and 3.9%, respectively, and there was no significant difference between two groups (p = 0.3). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, and lean NAFLD/non-lean NAFLD revealed that age (every 10 years) as an independent factor associated with CVD incidence with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3-3.4), whereas lean NAFLD was not associated with CVD incidence (OR: 0.6; 95% CI: 0.2-1.9).

CONCLUSIONS

CVD incidence was comparable between patients with lean NAFLD and those with non-lean NAFLD. Therefore, CVD prevention is needed even in patients with lean NAFLD.

Effect of fatty liver and fibrosis on hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis B who received nucleic acid analog therapy

The number of patients with fatty liver has been increasing worldwide; however, the significance of fatty liver in patients with chronic hepatitis B who are receiving nucleic acid analog (NA) therapy remains unclear. Thus, we aimed to determine whether fatty liver affects the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients receiving NA therapy. This study included 445 patients who received NA therapy, and the development of HCC was investigated. The primary outcome was the association between fatty liver and HCC development. During a mean follow-up period of 7.4 years, 46 patients (10.3%) developed HCC. No significant difference in the cumulative incidence of HCC was observed between patients with fatty liver and those without (p = 0.17). Multivariable analysis for age, gender, platelet count, alanine aminotransferase level at 1 year following NA therapy, and fatty liver revealed that the presence of fatty liver was not a significant factor for HCC development (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.5-1.9). In another multivariable analysis for advanced fibrosis, gender, and fatty liver, advanced fibrosis was found to be a significant factor for HCC development (HR: 9.50, 95% CI: 5.1-18) but not fatty liver (HR: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.5-1.7). In conclusion, in patients with chronic hepatitis B who received NA therapy, advanced fibrosis was found to be an important risk factor for HCC development but not fatty liver, suggesting the importance of providing treatment before the progression of liver fibrosis regardless of the presence of fatty liver.

The Past, Present, and Future of Noninvasive Test in Chronic Liver Diseases

Chronic liver disease is a major global health threat and is the 11th leading cause of death globally. A liver biopsy is frequently required in assessing the degree of steatosis and fibrosis, information that is important in diagnosis, management, and prognostication. However, liver biopsies have limitations and carry a considerable risk, leading to the development of various modalities of noninvasive testing tools. These tools have been developed in recent years and have improved markedly in diagnostic accuracy. Moving forward, they may change the practice of hepatology.

Reliability of Non-invasive Liver Fibrosis Assessment Tools Versus Biopsy in Pre- and Post-bariatric Surgery Patients with Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

PURPOSE

Liver biopsy (LBx) remains the gold standard to assess fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Biochemical markers are also useful, but their reliability is not clear in patients with morbid obesity. We assessed the performance of six non-invasive fibrosis assessment tools before and after bariatric surgery (BSx) using LBx.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a cross-sectional and prospective cohort study. LBx was performed at the time of BSx and 12-month post-operatively and assessed using the Brunt system. Clinical and biochemical measurements were collected at the same time points and six non-invasive fibrosis assessment tools were calculated.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy patients had BSx; 79.4% female; age was 46.6 ± 9.8 years, and BMI was 48.6 ± 7.5 kg/m². From liver histology, 88% had F0-F2 and 11.2% F3-F4. At BSx, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and FIB-4 had better accuracy (0.86 and 0.88) with specificity of 96.6% and 94.0% and negative predictive values (NPV) of 88.9% and 93.7%. However, sensitivity (6.7% and 40.0%) and positive predictive values (PPV) (20.0% and 46.2%) were low. Twelve months post-surgery (n = 54), 88.9% of patients had F0-F2 and 11.1% had F3-F4. Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) had the best accuracy (0.79 and 0.77) with specificity of 83.7% and 86.9% and NPV of 92.3% and 86.9%. However, sensitivity (25% and 0%) and PPV (12.5% and 0%) were low.

CONCLUSION

Overall, FIB-4, APRI, and NFS showed similar performances with higher accuracy, specificity, and NPV. Sensitivity and PPV were low. These tests are more useful at excluding advanced fibrosis.

Risk of advanced fibrosis in first-degree relatives of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUNDA pilot, single-center study showed that first-degree relatives of probands with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis have a high risk of advanced fibrosis. We aimed to validate these findings using 2 independent cohorts from the US and Europe.METHODSThis prospective study included probands with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis, NAFLD without advanced fibrosis, and non-NAFLD, with at least 1 first-degree relative. A total of 396 first-degree relatives - 220 in a derivation cohort and 176 in a validation cohort - were enrolled in the study, and liver fibrosis was evaluated using magnetic resonance elastography and other noninvasive imaging modalities. The primary outcome was prevalence of advanced fibrosis in first-degree relatives.RESULTSPrevalence of advanced fibrosis in first-degree relatives of probands with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis, NAFLD without advanced fibrosis, and non-NAFLD was 15.6%, 5.9%, and 1.3%, respectively (P = 0.002), in the derivation cohort, and 14.0%, 2.6%, and 1.3%, respectively (P = 0.004), in the validation cohort. In multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models, age of ≥50 years (adjusted OR [aOR]: 2.63, 95% CI 1.0-6.7), male sex (aOR: 3.79, 95% CI 1.6-9.2), diabetes mellitus (aOR: 3.37, 95% CI 1.3-9), and a first-degree relative with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (aOR: 11.8, 95% CI 2.5-57) were significant predictors of presence of advanced fibrosis (all P < 0.05).CONCLUSIONFirst-degree relatives of probands with NAFLD with advanced fibrosis have significantly increased risk of advanced fibrosis. Routine screening should be done in the first-degree relatives of patients with advanced fibrosis.FUNDINGSupported by NCATS (5UL1TR001442), NIDDK (U01DK061734, U01DK130190, R01DK106419, R01DK121378, R01DK124318, P30DK120515, K23DK119460), NHLBI (P01HL147835), and NIAAA (U01AA029019); Academy of Finland grant 309263; the Novo Nordisk, EVO, and Sigrid Jusélius Foundations; and the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking under grant agreement 777377. This Joint Undertaking receives support from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program and the EFPIA.

Liver Stiffness on Magnetic Resonance Elastography and the MEFIB Index and Liver-Related Outcomes in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Participants

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, limited data characterize its association with clinical outcomes. We conducted an individual participant data pooled meta-analysis on patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease to evaluate the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes.

METHODS

A systematic search identified 6 cohorts of adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who underwent a baseline MRE and were followed for hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death. Cox and logistic regression were used to assess the association between liver stiffness on MRE and liver-related outcomes, including a composite primary outcome defined as varices needing treatment, ascites, and hepatic encephalopathy.

RESULTS

This individual participant data pooled meta-analysis included 2018 patients (53% women) with a mean (± standard deviation) age of 57.8 (±14) years and MRE at baseline of 4.15 (±2.19) kPa, respectively. Among 1707 patients with available longitudinal data with a median (interquartile range) of 3 (4.2) years of follow-up, the hazard ratio for the primary outcome for MRE of 5 to 8 kPa was 11.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.03-17.1, P < .001) and for ≥ 8 kPa was 15.9 (95% CI: 9.32-27.2, P < .001), compared with those with MRE <5 kPa. The MEFIB index (defined as positive when MRE ≥3.3 kPa and Fibrosis-4 ≥1.6) had a robust association with the primary outcome with a hazard ratio of 20.6 (95% CI: 10.4-40.8, P < .001) and a negative MEFIB had a high negative predictive value for the primary outcome, 99.1% at 5 years. The 3-year risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was 0.35% for MRE <5 kPa, 5.25% for 5 to 8 kPa, and 5.66% for MRE ≥8 kPa, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness assessed by MRE is associated with liver-related events, and the combination of MRE and Fibrosis-4 has excellent negative predictive value for hepatic decompensation. These data have important implications for clinical practice.

Validation of magnetic resonance elastography plus fibrosis-4 for significant fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

MEFIB (the combination of magnetic resonance elastography [MRE] ≥ 3.3 kPa and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) ≥ 1.6) is useful for detecting patients with significant fibrosis (fibrosis stage ≥ 2) having nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, age-dependent thresholds of FIB-4 have been proposed, and it remains unclear whether MEFIB could be applied with the same FIB-4 threshold in a different cohort. Therefore, in this study, we examined the best threshold of FIB-4 and validated the utility of MEFIB.

METHODS

This study included 105 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients with contemporaneous MRE assessment. The primary outcome was a diagnostic accuracy for significant fibrosis.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range) age was 65 (58-72) years, and significant fibrosis was 76.2% (80/105). FIB-4 of 2.1 was defined as the best threshold for significant fibrosis in the cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) of the combination of MRE and FIB-4 (MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 1.6: 0.80, MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 2.1: 0.84) were higher than those of each index alone (MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa: 0.76, FIB-4 ≥ 1.6: 0.72, and FIB-4 ≥ 2.1: 0.77), but AUROCs of MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 1.6 and MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa + FIB-4 ≥ 2.1 were equivalent (P = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

MEFIB is useful for detecting patients with significant fibrosis and could be utilized in a different cohort without changing the threshold of FIB-4, and it may then be used as a two-step screening strategy.

Current therapies and new developments in NASH

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis is becoming the most important aetiology for advanced liver disease. There has been important progress in the field in recent years and the complexity of the pathophysiology of NASH is better understood. Multiple non-invasive circulating and imaging biomarkers have been tested. The importance of lifestyle has been recognised and several drugs are being tested in clinical trials. This review addresses the challenges that healthcare professionals face in the management of NASH patients.

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis and its clinical significance in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Liver fibrosis is the most important prognostic factor in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Several noninvasive markers for fibrosis, including blood-based markers and imaging based-markers have been developed. Indirect fibrosis markers (e.g., fibrosis-4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score) consist of standard laboratory data and clinical parameters. Given its availability and high negative predictive value for advanced fibrosis, these markers are suitable for screening at primary care. Blood-based fibrogenesis markers (enhanced liver fibrosis and N-terminal propeptide of type 3 collagen), ultrasound-based modalities (vibration-controlled transient elastography, point shear wave elastography [SWE], and two-dimensional SWE), and magnetic resonance elastography have high diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis and are suitable for diagnosing liver fibrosis at secondary care centers. Sequential use of these markers can increase diagnostic accuracy and reduce health care costs. Furthermore, combining noninvasive makers may assist in identifying candidates for pharmacological trials and reducing screening failure. Emerging data suggest that these noninvasive markers are associated with liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma and decompensation) and mortality. Furthermore, delta change in noninvasive markers over time is also associated with time-course change in fibrosis, liver-related event risk, and mortality risk. However, the association between liver fibrosis and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is still controversial. CVD risk may decrease in patients with decompensated liver disease and noninvasive markers may be useful for assessing CVD risk in these patients. Therefore, noninvasive markers may be utilized as measures of fibrosis as well as real-time prognostic tools, in place of liver biopsy.

Prognostic utility of magnetic resonance elastography and MEFIB index in predicting liver-related outcomes and mortality in individuals at risk of and with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, limited data characterize its association with outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the association between liver stiffness (LS) on MRE and liver-related outcomes.

METHODS

This is a longitudinal, retrospective analysis of subjects at risk of NAFLD who had MRE assessment. LS was estimated using MRE, and liver fat was assessed using magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction. Univariable and multivariable survival and regression analyses were used to assess the association between LS on MRE and liver-related outcomes including a cumulative primary outcome of hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or death.

RESULTS

In all, 265 patients (68% women) with a mean age of 50 (±18) years and 44% Hispanic ethnicity and 45.3% with NAFLD were included. A total of 76 liver-related events or death occurred, and there was 453 person-years of follow-up time in 97 patients with available follow-up. Each 1-kPa increase in LS was associated with 2.20-fold (95% CI: 1.70-2.84, p < 0.001) increased odds of prevalent hepatic decompensation or HCC. A positive MEFIB index, a combination of MRE ⩾ 3.3 kPa and FIB-4 ⩾ 1.6, had a strong association with the primary outcome compared with those without, HR = 21.8 (95% CI: 4.28-111.4, p < 0.001). The MEFIB index had a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 90%, and a negative score was associated with 98% negative predictive value for incident liver-related events or death.

CONCLUSION

LS assessed by MRE is associated with hepatic decompensation and death, and the MEFIB combination of MRE with FIB-4 may have high negative predictive value for liver-related events.

Magnetic resonance elastography plus Fibrosis-4 versus FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase in detection of candidates for pharmacological treatment of NASH-related fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with NAFLD with significant hepatic fibrosis (Stage ≥ 2) are at increased risk of liver-related morbidity and are candidates for pharmacologic therapies. In this study, we compared the diagnostic accuracy of MEFIB (the combination of magnetic resonance elastography [MRE] and Fibrosis-4 [FIB-4]) and FAST (FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase; combined liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography, controlled attenuation parameter, and aspartate aminotransferase) for detecting significant fibrosis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This prospective cohort study included 234 consecutive patients with NAFLD who underwent liver biopsy, MRE, and FibroScan at the University of California San Diego (UCSD cohort) and an independent cohort (N = 314) from Yokohama City University, Japan. The primary outcome was diagnostic accuracy for significant fibrosis (Stage ≥ 2). The proportions of significant fibrosis in the UCSD and Yokohama cohorts were 29.5% and 66.2%, respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI) of MEFIB (0.860 [0.81-0.91]) was significantly higher than that of FAST (0.757 [0.69-0.82]) in the UCSD cohort (p = 0.005), with consistent results in the Yokohama cohort (AUROC, 0.899 [MEFIB] versus 0.724 [FAST]; p < 0.001). When used as the rule-in criteria (MEFIB, MRE ≥ 3.3 kPa and FIB-4 ≥ 1.6; FAST ≥ 0.67), the positive predictive value for significant fibrosis was 91.2%-96.0% for MEFIB and 74.2%-89.2% for FAST. When used as the rule-out criteria (MEFIB, MRE < 3.3 kPa and FIB-4 < 1.6; FAST ≤ 0.35), the negative predictive value for significant fibrosis was 85.6%-92.8% for MEFIB and 57.8%-88.3% for FAST.

CONCLUSIONS

MEFIB has higher diagnostic accuracy than FAST for significant fibrosis in NAFLD, and our results support the utility of a two-step strategy for detecting significant fibrosis in NAFLD.

Longitudinal association of magnetic resonance elastography-associated liver stiffness with complications and mortality

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) has the highest diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis; however, the association between MRE-associated liver stiffness and the development of hepatic and extrahepatic complications as well as mortality remains unclear.

AIM

In this study, we investigated the longitudinal association between MRE-associated liver stiffness and complications and mortality.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 2373 consecutive patients with chronic liver disease. All patients received standard of care and the development of complications was assessed every 1-6 months.

RESULTS

Newly diagnosed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensation, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), extrahepatic cancer and death were observed in 99, 117, 73, 77 and 170 patients respectively. In multivariable analysis, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) for HCC, decompensation, MACE, extrahepatic cancer and mortality were 1.28 (1.2-1.4), 1.34 (1.3-1.4), 0.96 (0.9-1.1), 1.00 (0.9-1.1) and 1.17 (1.1-1.2), respectively, with each 1-kPa increase in liver stiffness. Similarly, the aHR (95% CI) for HCC, decompensation, MACE, extrahepatic cancer and mortality were 4.20 (2.2-8.2), 67.5 (9.2-492), 0.83 (0.4-1.7), 0.90 (0.5-1.7) and 2.90 (1.6-5.4), respectively, in patients with cirrhosis (>4.7 kPa) compared to those with minimal fibrosis (<3 kPa).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased MRE-associated liver stiffness was associated with increased risk for HCC, decompensation and mortality in a dose-dependent fashion but not with MACE or extrahepatic cancer, implicating a significant role for MRE in liver-related events and mortality; however, further studies are warranted to explore its role in MACE and extrahepatic cancer.