Prevalence and risk factors for impaired renal function among Asian patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with impaired renal function, and both diseases often occur alongside other metabolic disorders. However, the prevalence and risk factors for impaired renal function in patients with NAFLD remain unclear. The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence and risk factors for renal impairment in NAFLD patients.

METHODS

All adults aged 18-70 years with ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD and transient elastography examination from eight Asian centers were enrolled in this prospective study. Liver fibrosis and cirrhosis were assessed by FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST), Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores. Impaired renal function and chronic kidney disease (CKD) were defined by an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with value of < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 and < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively, as estimated by the CKD-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation.

RESULTS

Among 529 included NAFLD patients, the prevalence rates of impaired renal function and CKD were 37.4% and 4.9%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, a moderate-high risk of advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis according to Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores were independent risk factors for CKD (P< 0.05). Furthermore, increased fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and blood pressure were significantly associated with impaired renal function after controlling for the other components of metabolic syndrome (P< 0.05). Compared with patients with normoglycemia, those with prediabetes [FPG ≥ 5.6 mmol/L or hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) ≥ 5.7%] were more likely to have impaired renal function (P< 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable for identifying NAFLD patients with high risk of CKD. Early glycemic control in the prediabetic stage might have a potential renoprotective role in these patients.

The association of triglyceride-glucose-waist circumference with metabolic associated fatty liver disease and the severity of liver steatosis and fibrosis in American adults: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The global obesity pandemic has led to an alarming rise in the prevalence of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), making it a substantial clinical and economic burden on society. Early detection and effective treatment of MAFLD are imperative to mitigate its impact.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted involving 4634 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) 2017-2018 cycle. Transient elastography (TE) was used to diagnose MAFLD and assess the extent of liver steatosis and fibrosis. Multivariate logistic regression models were utilized to examine the association between the triglyceride and glucose index-waist circumference (TyG-WC) and the risk of MAFLD, liver fibrosis, and steatosis.

RESULTS

A positive association between TyG-WC and MAFLD persisted across all three models: model1: OR = 8.44, 95% CI: 6.85-10.38 (unadjusted), model2: OR = 8.28, 95% CI: 6.53-10.50 (partially adjusted), and model3: OR = 7.98, 95% CI: 4.11-15.46 (fully adjusted). Further investigation through interaction and stratified analysis revealed that this association was more pronounced in the non-obese and Non-Hispanic White persons groups. Moreover, a non-linear relationship analysis unveiled threshold and saturation effects between TyG-WC and MAFLD. Specifically, a TyG-WC value of approximately 600 may represent the threshold effect for MAFLD risk, while 1200 may signify the saturation effect of MAFLD risk. Finally, a robust correlation between TyG-WC and the severity of liver steatosis and fibrosis was found.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that the TyG-WC index exhibits excellent predictive value for MAFLD in the general American population.

Relation between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and carotid artery intimal media thickness as a surrogate for atherosclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), characterized by hepatic steatosis without heavy alcohol consumption or other chronic conditions, encompasses a spectrum from non-alcoholic fatty liver to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis leading to cirrhosis. This analysis aimed to investigate the correlation between NAFLD and carotid intimal media thickness (C-IMT), a non-invasive surrogate for atherosclerosis.

METHODOLOGY

Database searches, including PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library, yielded studies up to April 2023. Included were studies exploring the NAFLD-C-IMT relationship in populations aged >18 years. Exclusions comprised non-English papers, those involving animals or pediatric populations and studies lacking control groups.

RESULTS

No statistical significance was noted between mild and moderate NAFLD compared to the control group regarding C-IMT [95% confidence intervals (CI): -0.03, 0.12] and (95% CI: -0.03, 0.21), respectively. There was a statistically significant difference only in the Severe NAFLD group ( P value 0.03). NAFLD with and without metabolic syndrome showed statistically significant differences compared to control regarding C-IMT (95% CI: 0.04, 0.12) and (95% CI: 0.01, 0.07), respectively. Fifty-nine studies were mentioned without classification of NAFLD severity and revealed a high statistically significant difference between NAFLD and controls regarding C-IMT with (95% CI: 0.09, 0.12, P < 0.00001). Stratified analysis according to sex was done in two studies and revealed statistical differences between NAFLD and control regarding C-IMT in both groups.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis underscores a significant association between NAFLD and increased C-IMT, emphasizing the importance of assessing C-IMT in NAFLD patients to identify cardiovascular risk and tailor therapeutic interventions for improved patient outcomes.

Validation of AGA clinical care pathway and AASLD practice guidance for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a prospective cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Recently, the American Gastroenterological Association and the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases developed clinical pathways to evaluate populations at high risk for NAFLD. We assessed the diagnostic performance of the new guidance in a well-phenotyped cohort of patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This prospective study enrolled patients age ≥50 years with T2DM. Participants underwent a standardized clinical research visit with MRI and ultrasound-based assessment of liver fat and stiffness and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) testing. Of 417 participants (36% men) with T2DM with FIB-4 and MRE data, the prevalence of NAFLD was 64% and 12% had advanced fibrosis (MRE≥3.63 kPa). Applying the American Gastroenterological Association pathway of FIB-4 and vibration-controlled transient elastography, the false negative rate was 3.3% and 18% would qualify for specialty referral. Applying the FIB-4 + ELF American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases pathway, the false negative rate was 4.5%, but 50% would qualify for specialty referral. Applying higher ELF cut points improved the pathway, yielding a similar false negative rate of 4.9% but decreased specialty referral to 27%.

CONCLUSION

Validation of the American Gastroenterological Association clinical pathway in a prospectively recruited cohort with T2DM revealed a low false negative rate and avoided specialty referral in a large percentage of patients. The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases pathway with FIB-4 + ELF resulted in a high rate of specialty referral, which improved with the utilization of higher ELF cut points and may serve as an alternative for primary care and endocrinology clinics without access to vibration-controlled transient elastography.

Fatigue, depression, and sleep disorders are more prevalent in patients with metabolic-associated fatty liver diseases

AIM

To determine the prevalence and risk factors for depression, sleep disturbances, and exhaustion in MAFLD patients.

METHODS

Two hundred twenty-four consecutive patients with MAFLD attending the outpatient clinic from April to October 2023; were subjected to clinical evaluation, laboratory testing including non-invasive laboratory markers, fibroscan (measuring steatosis and fibrosis), and different quantitative and qualitative fatigue scores. A control group including 342 patients without MAFLD was taken.

RESULTS

The prevalence of fatigue, depression, and sleeping disorders in the MAFLD group was 67.8%, 75%, 62.5% vs 21%, 16.4%, and 19.5% in the control group respectively ( P = <0.001, P = <0.001 and P = <0.001). MAFLD with fatigue was significantly associated with the presence and severity of steatosis and fibrosis by fibroscan ( P = <0.0001). By univariate and multivariate analysis: age, BMI, waist circumference, T2DM, hypertension, steatosis, fibrosis, and Fib-4 were considered risk factors for fatigue in the MAFLD group. The age, high social level, diabetes, hypertension, steatosis, fibrosis, and fib-4 were considered, by univariate and multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for depression in the MAFLD group. age, BMI, waist circumference, diabetes, hypertension, steatosis, fibrosis, and fib-4 were independent risk factors for sleep disorders in MAFLD.

CONCLUSION

Fatigue, sleeping disorders, and depression are more prevalent in MAFLD patients than in the general population. The lower health utility scores in patients with MAFLD are associated with more advanced stages of the disease.

Plastic compounds and liver diseases: Whether bisphenol A is the only culprit

Plastics, while providing modern conveniences, have become an inescapable source of global concern due to their role in environmental pollution. Particularly, the focus on bisphenol A (BPA) reveals its biohazardous nature and association with liver issues, specifically steatosis. However, research indicates that BPA is just one facet of the problem, as other bisphenol analogues, microplastics, nanoplastics and additional plastic derivatives also pose potential risks. Notably, BPA is implicated in every stage of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) onset and progression, surpassing hepatitis B virus as a primary cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. As plastic contamination tops the environmental contaminants list, urgent action is needed to assess causative factors and mitigate their impact. This review delves into the molecular disruptions linking plastic pollutant exposure to liver diseases, emphasizing the broader connection between plastics and the rising prevalence of NAFLD.

Association of sex-specific body mass index and waist circumference trajectories with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease incidence based on growth mixture modeling

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common chronic liver disease. The relationship between the trajectories of obesity indicators and incident NAFLD is unknown. Therefore, this study aims to explore the sex-specific association between the trajectories of obesity indicators and the incidence of NAFLD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In total, 9067 participants were recruited for this longitudinal study. Obesity indicators use body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC). The trajectory of obesity indicators was analyzed using the growth mixture modeling. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between obesity indicators' trajectories and incident NAFLD. Over a median follow-up of 1.82 years, 1013 (11.74%) participants developed NAFLD. We identified BMI and WC change trajectories as the stable group, increasing group, and decreasing group. After adjusting for baseline level and other confounders, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that compared with stable group of BMI, the increasing group, and decreasing group odds ratio and 95% confidence interval of NAFLD were 2.10 (1.06-4.15), and 0.25 (0.09-0.67) in men, and 1.82 (1.08-3.04) and 0.32 (0.16-0.64) in women. Compared with stable group of WC, the increasing group was 2.57 (1.39-4.74) in men, the increasing group, and decreasing group were 2.29 (1.70-3.10) and 0.28 (0.12-0.64) in women. Sensitivity analysis showed that the results were stable.

CONCLUSION

The BMI and WC changing trajectories are significantly associated with the incidence of NAFLD in men and women. Populations of real-world health examinations can be categorized based on obesity indicator changes to prevent NAFLD.

Anthocyanins: Potential phytochemical candidates for the amelioration of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is described by too much hepatic fat deposition causing steatosis, which further develops into nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), defined by necroinflammation and fibrosis, progressing further to hepatic cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver failure. NAFLD is linked to different aspects of the metabolic syndrome like obesity, insulin resistance, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, and its pathogenesis involves several elements including diet, obesity, disruption of lipid homeostasis, and a high buildup of triglycerides and other lipids in liver cells. It is therefore linked to an increase in the susceptibility to developing diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases. Several interventions exist regarding its management, but the availability of natural sources through diet will be a benefit in dealing with the disorder due to the immensely growing dependence of the population worldwide on natural sources owing to their ability to treat the root cause of the disease. Anthocyanins (ACNs) are naturally occurring polyphenolic pigments that exist in the form of glycosides, which are the glucosides of anthocyanidins and are produced from flavonoids via the phenyl propanoid pathway. To understand their mode of action in NAFLD and their therapeutic potential, the literature on in vitro, in vivo, and clinical trials on naturally occurring ACN-rich sources was exhaustively reviewed. It was concluded that ACNs show their potential in the treatment of NAFLD through their antioxidant properties and their efficacy to control lipid metabolism, glucose homeostasis, transcription factors, and inflammation. This led to the conclusion that ACNs possess efficacy in the amelioration of NAFLD and the various features associated with it. However, additional clinical trials are required to justify the potential of ACNs in NAFLD.

Sleep patterns, genetic predisposition, and risk of chronic liver disease: A prospective study of 408,560 UK Biobank participants

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the role that combined sleep behaviors play in the association with chronic liver disease (CLD) risk.

METHODS

We included 408,560 participants initially free of CLD from the UK Biobank. A healthy sleep pattern was defined by early chronotype, sleep duration of 7-8 h/day, no insomnia, no snoring, and no excessive daytime sleepiness. Cox regression models were used to examine the association of healthy sleep pattern with incident CLD and their interaction with PNPLA3 genetic risk.

RESULTS

During a median 12.5 years of follow-up, we documented 10,915 incident all-cause CLD cases, including 388 viral hepatitis, 4782 non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), 1356 cirrhosis, 973 alcoholic liver disease, and 725 liver cancer cases. Compared to participants with a healthy sleep score of 0-1, the hazard ratio (HR) (95 % confidence interval [CI]) for those with a sleep score of 5 was 0.54 (0.49, 0.60) for CLD, 0.52 (0.30, 0.90) for viral hepatitis, 0.47 (0.41, 0.55) for NAFLD, 0.57 (0.43, 0.75) for cirrhosis, 0.32 (0.23, 0.44) for alcoholic liver disease, and 0.53 (0.37, 0.77) for liver cancer. Healthy sleep pattern and PNPLA3 genetic risk exerted significant additive effects on CLD risk (relative excess risk due to the interaction: 0.05; attributable proportion due to the interaction: 13 %).

LIMITATIONS

Measurement error was unavoidable for self-reported data on sleep behaviors.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses provide evidence that healthy sleep pattern was inversely associated with the development of CLD, and participants with higher genetic risk were more likely to develop CLD when exposed to the unhealthy sleep pattern.

Depression and NAFLD risk: A meta-analysis and Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Both depression and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have a high global prevalence. Growing evidence suggests an association between depression and NAFLD, while the association remains unclear. Thus, in this study, we aimed to explore the effect of depression on the risk of developing NAFLD.

METHODS

The meta-analysis examined the association between depression and the risk of NAFLD by including observational studies. Relevant studies were searched in PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science. Then a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to explore causal association using genetic instruments identified from a genome-wide association study.

RESULTS

Six eligible studies were included in the meta-analysis, involving 289,22 depression cases among 167,554 participants. Meta-analysis showed a significant association between depression and a higher risk of developing NAFLD (OR = 1.14, 95 % CI: [1.05, 1.24], P = 0.002). However, we found no convincing evidence supporting a causal role of genetically predicted depression with NAFLD risk (OR = 0.861, 95 % CI: [0.598, 1.238], P = 0.420).

LIMITATIONS

The insufficient number of included studies, the use of summary-level data, and restrictions on population sources are the major limiting factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Meta-analysis and MR analysis demonstrated inconsistent results on the relationship between depression and a high risk of developing NAFLD. Specifically, meta-analysis confirmed that depression increases the risk of developing NAFLD, while MR analysis did not support a causal association between genetically determined depression and the risk of NAFLD.

Waistline to thigh circumference ratio as a predictor of MAFLD: a health care worker study with 2-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine whether the waist-to-thigh ratio (WTTR) is associated with the incidence of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in health care workers.

METHODS

There were 4517 health care workers with baseline data and results from 2 follow-up examinations. We divided the subjects into 3 groups according to baseline WTTR and used the Cox hazard regression model to estimate MAFLD risk.

RESULTS

The WTTRs were categorized by tertiles at baseline using the values 1.58 and 1.66. Patients with higher WTTR tended to have significantly greater values for the following factors, body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose (FPG), systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) and neck circumference. The incidence of MAFLD significantly increased with increasing WTTR tertiles (5.74%, 12.75% and 22.25% for the first, second and third tertiles, respectively, P < 0.05 for trend). Kaplan-Meier(K-M) survival analysis revealed a significant tendency towards increased MAFLD risk with increasing WTTR tertile. In the fully adjusted model, the hazard ratios (95% CIs) for MAFLD in the second, third WTTR tertiles compared with the first quartile were 2.17(1.58,2.98), 3.63(2.70,4.89), respectively, third neck circumference tertiles compared with the first quartile were 2.84(1.89,4.25), 8.95(6.00,13.35), respectively. Compared with those of individuals with a BMI > 23 kg/m2, the associations between WTTR and MAFLD incidence were more pronounced in subjects with a BMI < 23 kg/m2. Similarly, the difference in neck circumference was more pronounced in these patients with a BMI < 23 kg/m2.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results revealed that the WTTR is an independent risk factor for MAFLD, and there was a dose‒response relationship between the WTTR and MAFLD risk. The neck circumference was significantly different in subjects with a BMI < 23 kg/m2. This approach provides a new way to predict the incidence rate of MAFLD.

Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the risk of MAFLD in the young population

This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram model that includes clinical and laboratory indicators to predict the risk of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in young Chinese individuals. This study retrospectively analyzed a cohort of young population who underwent health examination from November 2018 to December 2021 at The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University in Luzhou City, Sichuan Province, China. We extracted the clinical and laboratory data of 43,040 subjects and randomized participants into the training and validation groups (7:3). Univariate logistic regression analysis, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and multivariate logistic regression models identified significant variables independently associated with MAFLD. The predictive accuracy of the model was analyzed in the training and validation sets using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. In this study, we identified nine predictors from 31 variables, including age, gender, body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, alanine aminotransferase, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, uric acid, and smoking. The AUROC for the subjects in the training and validation groups was 0.874 and 0.875, respectively. The calibration curves show excellent accuracy of the nomogram. This nomogram which was based on demographic characteristics, lifestyle habits, anthropometrics, and laboratory data can visually and individually predict the risk of developing MAFLD. This nomogram is a quick and effective screening tool for assessing the risk of MAFLD in younger populations and identifying individuals at high risk of MAFLD, thereby contributing to the improvement of MAFLD management.

Increased prevalence but decreased survival of nonviral hepatocellular carcinoma compared to viral hepatocellular carcinoma in recent ten years

Due to the comprehensive hepatitis B virus vaccination program in Taiwan since 1986, the development of antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B and chronic hepatitis C infection and covered by National health insurance. Besides, the increased prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and currently, approved therapy for NAFLD remain developing. The etiology of liver-related diseases such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma required reinterpretation. This study aimed to analyze the incidence and outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to viral (hepatitis B and hepatitis C) infection compared to that of nonviral etiology. We retrospectively analyzed patients with HCC from January 2011 to December 2020 from the cancer registry at our institution. Viral-related hepatitis was defined as hepatitis B surface antigen positivity or anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody positivity. A total of 2748 patients with HCC were enrolled, of which 2188 had viral-related HCC and 560 had nonviral-related HCC. In viral HCC group, the median age at diagnosis was significantly lower (65 years versus 71 years, p < 0.001), and the prevalence of early-stage HCC, including stage 0 and stage A Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, was significantly higher (52.9% versus 33.6%, p < 0.001). In nonviral HCC group, alcohol use was more common (39.9% versus 30.1%, p < 0.001), the prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was higher (54.5% versus 35.1%, p < 0.001), and obesity was common (25.0% versus 20.5%, p = 0.026). The prevalence of nonviral HCC increased significantly from 19.2 to 19.3% and 23.0% in the last 10 years (p = 0.046). Overall survival was better in the viral HCC group (5.95 years versus 4.00 years, p < 0.001). In the early stage of HCC, overall survival was still better in the viral HCC group (p < 0.001). The prevalence of nonviral HCC has significantly increased in the last ten years. The overall survival was significantly lower in the nonviral HCC, perhaps because the rate of early HCC detection is lower in nonviral HCC and anti-viral therapy. To detect nonviral HCC early, we should evaluate liver fibrosis in high-risk groups (including people with obesity or T2DM with NAFLD/NASH and alcoholic liver disease) and regular follow-up for those with liver fibrosis, regardless of cirrhosis.

Potassium affects the association between dietary intake of vitamin C and NAFLD among adults in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Although the association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and vitamin C has been well studied, the effects of dietary potassium intake on this relationship are still unclear. Thus, this study aimed to determine the effects of dietary potassium intake on the association between vitamin C and NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional learn about with 9443 contributors the usage of 2007-2018 NHANES data. Multiple logistic regression evaluation has been utilized to check out the affiliation of dietary vitamin C intake with NAFLD and advanced hepatic fibrosis (AHF). Subsequently, we plotted a smoothed match curve to visualize the association. Especially, the analysis of AHF was conducted among the NAFLD population. In addition, stratified evaluation used to be developed primarily based on demographic variables to verify the steadiness of the results. Effect amendment by way of dietary potassium intake used to be assessed via interplay checks between vitamin C and NAFLD in the multivariable linear regression.

RESULTS

In this cross-sectional study, we found that vitamin C was negatively related to NAFLD and AHF. The relationship between vitamin C and NAFLD was different in the low, middle and high potassium intake groups. Furthermore, potassium intake significantly modified the negative relationship between vitamin C and NAFLD in most of the models.

CONCLUSION

Our research showed that potassium and vitamin C have an interactive effect in reducing NAFLD, which may have great importance for clinical medication.

Predictors for liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic patients with psoriatic diseases: A multicenter cross sectional-study

Psoriasis has been related to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and, liver fibrosis. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence of liver fibrosis in psoriasis and identify predictors for fibrosis. This is a cross-sectional study conducted from December 2012 to June 2016 assessing psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis patients attended at four centers in Mexico City. Data regarding history of the skin disease, previous and current medication, and previously diagnosed liver disease was collected. Liver fibrosis was assessed with four different non-invasive methods (FIB4, APRI, NAFLD score and elastography). We compared data based on the presence of fibrosis. Adjusted-logistic regression models were performed to estimate OR and 95% CI. A total of 160 patients were included. The prevalence of significant fibrosis using elastography was 25% (n = 40), and 7.5% (n = 12) for advanced fibrosis. Patients with fibrosis had higher prevalence of obesity (60% vs 30.8%, P = 0.04), type 2 diabetes (40% vs 27.5%, P = 0.003), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels (70.8±84.4 vs. 40.1±39.2, P = 0.002), and lower platelets (210.7±58.9 vs. 242.8±49.7, P = 0.0009). Multivariate analysis showed that body mass index (OR1.11, 95%CI 1.02-1.21), type 2 diabetes (OR 3.44, 95%CI 1.2-9.88), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (OR 1.01, 95%CI1-1.02) were associated with the presence of fibrosis. The use of methotrexate was not associated. Patients with psoriasis are at higher risk of fibrosis. Metabolic dysfunction, rather than solely the use of hepatotoxic drugs, likely plays a major role; it may be beneficial to consider elastography regardless of the treatment used. Metabolic factors should be assessed, and lifestyle modification should be encouraged.

Chronic exposure to ambient air pollution and the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A cross-sectional study in Taiwan and Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Information on the relation of air pollution with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is scarce. We thus conducted a large cross-sectional study in Asia to investigate the role of air pollution in NAFLD.

METHODS

We recruited 329,048 adults (mean age: 41.0 years) without other liver disease (hepatitis and cirrhosis) or excessive alcohol consumption in Taiwan and Hong Kong from 2001 to 2018. The concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) were estimated using a space-time regression model, and the concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) was evaluated using a satellite-based spatio-temporal model. NAFLD was determined using either the fatty liver index (FLI) or the hepatic steatosis index (HSI). The NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis was defined according to BARD score or the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4). A logistic regression model was adopted to explore the relationships of ambient air pollution with the odds of NAFLD and NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

We found positive relationships between PM2.5 and the odds of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis, with every standard deviation (SD, 7.5 µg/m3) increases in PM2.5 exposure being associated with a 10% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 9%-11%) increment in the prevalence of NAFLD and an 8% (95% CI: 7%-9%) increment in the prevalence of advanced fibrosis. Similarly, the prevalence of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis increased by 8% (95% CI: 7%-9%) and 7% (95% CI: 6%-8%) with per SD (18.9 µg/m3) increasement in NO2 concentration, respectively. Additionally, for every SD (9.9 µg/m3) increasement in O3 concentration, the prevalence of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis decreased by 12% (95% CI: 11%-13%) and 11% (95% CI: 9%-12%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Higher ambient PM2.5 and NO2 are linked with higher odds of NAFLD and advanced fibrosis. Our findings indicate that reducing PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations may be an effective way for preventing NAFLD. Further studies on O3 are warranted.

Increased visceral fat area to skeletal muscle mass ratio is positively associated with the risk of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in a Chinese population

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis and comprehension of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), recently redefined as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are gaining a better understanding. In this study, we examined the association between visceral fat area and skeletal muscle mass ratio (VSR) and the prevalence of MASLD in a Chinese population.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted involving 10,916 individuals who underwent bioelectrical impedance analysis, along with anthropometric and biochemical measurements, from January 2022 to June 2023. According to the VSR distribution, sex-specific quartiles of VSR within the study population were defined. Linear trend tests were performed for the categorized VSR variables. Logistic regression models were performed to estimate the odds ratio and 95% confidence intervals between VSR distribution and MASLD prevalence stratified by sex.

RESULTS

The prevalence of MASLD was 37.94% in the overall population (56.34% male), and it gradually increased with higher VSR levels in both genders (P < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated a significant association between VSR and MASLD prevalence after adjusting for confounders. The odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for MASLD, comparing the lowest to the highest VSR quartile, was 3.159 (2.671, 3.736) for men and 2.230 (1.764, 2.819) for women (all P < 0.001). Restricted cubic splines also indicated significant non-linear relationships between VSR and MASLD prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

VSR is positively associated with the prevalence of MASLD in this Chinese population, with a notably higher risk for men as VSR increases compared to women.

An explainable machine learning model for prediction of high-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

Early identification of high-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) can offer patients access to novel therapeutic options and potentially decrease the risk of progression to cirrhosis. This study aimed to develop an explainable machine learning model for high-risk MASH prediction and compare its performance with well-established biomarkers. Data were derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) 2017-March 2020, which included a total of 5281 adults with valid elastography measurements. We used a FAST score ≥ 0.35, calculated using liver stiffness measurement and controlled attenuation parameter values and aspartate aminotransferase levels, to identify individuals with high-risk MASH. We developed an ensemble-based machine learning XGBoost model to detect high-risk MASH and explored the model's interpretability using an explainable artificial intelligence SHAP method. The prevalence of high-risk MASH was 6.9%. Our XGBoost model achieved a high level of sensitivity (0.82), specificity (0.91), accuracy (0.90), and AUC (0.95) for identifying high-risk MASH. Our model demonstrated a superior ability to predict high-risk MASH vs. FIB-4, APRI, BARD, and MASLD fibrosis scores (AUC of 0.95 vs. 0.50, 0.50, 0.49 and 0.50, respectively). To explain the high performance of our model, we found that the top 5 predictors of high-risk MASH were ALT, GGT, platelet count, waist circumference, and age. We used an explainable ML approach to develop a clinically applicable model that outperforms commonly used clinical risk indices and could increase the identification of high-risk MASH patients in resource-limited settings.

NAFLDkb: A Knowledge Base and Platform for Drug Development against Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease with a broad spectrum of histologic manifestations. The rapidly growing prevalence and the complex pathologic mechanisms of NAFLD pose great challenges for treatment development. Despite tremendous efforts devoted to drug development, there are no FDA-approved medicines yet. Here, we present NAFLDkb, a specialized knowledge base and platform for computer-aided drug design against NAFLD. With multiperspective information curated from diverse source materials and public databases, NAFLDkb presents the associations of drug-related entities as individual knowledge graphs. Practical drug discovery tools that facilitate the utilization and expansion of NAFLDkb have also been implemented in the web interface, including chemical structure search, drug-likeness screening, knowledge-based repositioning, and research article annotation. Moreover, case studies of a knowledge graph repositioning model and a generative neural network model are presented herein, where three repositioning drug candidates and 137 novel lead-like compounds were newly established as NAFLD pharmacotherapy options reusing data records and machine learning tools in NAFLDkb, suggesting its clinical reliability and great potential in identifying novel drug-disease associations of NAFLD and generating new insights to accelerate NAFLD drug development. NAFLDkb is freely accessible at https://www.biosino.org/nafldkb and will be updated periodically with the latest findings.

Association of the habitual dietary intake with the fatty liver index and effect modification by metabotypes in the population-based KORA-Fit study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is an emerging threat for public health with diet being a major risk factor in disease development and progression. However, the effects of habitual food consumption on fatty liver are still inconclusive as well as the proposed role of the individuals' metabolic profiles. Therefore, the aim of our study is to examine the associations between diet and NAFLD with an emphasis on the influence of specific metabotypes in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 689 participants (304 men and 385 women) of the KORA-Fit (S4) survey, a follow-up study of the population-based KORA cohort study running in the Region of Augsburg, Germany, were included in this analysis. Dietary information was derived from repeated 24-h food lists and a food frequency questionnaire. The intake of energy and energy-providing nutrients were calculated using the national food composition database. The presence of fatty liver was quantified by the fatty liver index (FLI), and metabotypes were calculated using K-means clustering. Multivariable linear regression models were used for the analysis of habitual food groups and FLI; for the evaluation of macronutrients, energy substitution models were applied.

RESULTS

A higher consumption of nuts and whole grains, and a better diet quality (according to Alternate Healthy Eating Index and Mediterranean Diet Score) were associated with lower FLI values, while the intake of soft drinks, meat, fish and eggs were associated with a higher FLI. The isocaloric substitution of carbohydrates with polyunsaturated fatty acids was associated with a decreased FLI, while substitution with monounsaturated fatty acids and protein showed increased FLI. Statistically significant interactions with the metabotype were observed for most food groups.

CONCLUSION

The consumption of plant-based food groups, including nuts and whole grains, and diet quality, were associated with lower FLI values, whereas the intake of soft drinks and products of animal origin (meat, fish, eggs) were associated with a higher FLI. The observed statistically significant interactions with the metabotype for most food groups could help to develop targeted prevention strategies on a population-based level if confirmed in independent prospective studies.

Changes in Fatty Liver Disease and Incident Diabetes Mellitus in Young Korean Adults

INTRODUCTION

This study sought to assess the association between the changes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and risk of type 2 diabetes in young individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

Data from the Korean National Health Insurance System database were collected from 2009 to 2019 and analyzed in 2022. A total of 446,813 young adults aged 20-39 years with prediabetes who underwent two National Health Screening examinations from 2009 to 2012 were followed up. NAFLD was defined as a fatty liver index≥60 without liver disease or history of alcohol abuse. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate the HR and CIs for type 2 diabetes according to NAFLD changes.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 26,464 (5.9%) young individuals developed type 2 diabetes. Multivariable adjusted HR of type 2 diabetes according to the NAFLD change was 5.38 (95% CI 5.08-5.70) in individuals with persistent NAFLD when compared to those who never had NAFLD. Even in individuals who were consistently nonobese, resolved NAFLD, new NAFLD, and persistent NAFLD were associated with>3-fold increased risk of type 2 diabetes compared to nonobese individuals without NAFLD. The risk of type 2 diabetes also increased in obese individuals without NAFLD by 2-fold when compared to nonobese individuals without NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD that either existed persistently or ever existed plays a critical role in the development of type 2 diabetes in young adults with or without obesity. Nonobese individuals with NAFLD warrant special attention.

The relationship between alcohol consumption and chronic kidney disease in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Objective: To examine the impact of moderate alcohol consumption on the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in individuals diagnosed with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), as NAFLD has been identified as an autonomous risk factor for CKD and previous research has demonstrated a reduction in overall mortality in NAFLD patients who consume alcohol in moderation.Methods: This study included participants from ten consecutive rounds of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES:1998-2018). Multivariate logistic regression models were employed to assess the impact of moderate alcohol consumption on chronic kidney disease (CKD) in both male and female populations. Subgroup analysis was conducted by categorizing patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) based on the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index.Results: 17040 participants were eligible to be included in the study. The logistic regression analysis model showed that moderate alcohol consumption was a protective factor for CKD in male NAFLD patients, with an unadjusted OR: 0.37 (0.22,0.65), and p < 0.001. After further adjustment, the association persisted. However, the association was not significant in female patients with NAFLD. Among men with low risk of liver fibrosis group, moderate alcohol consumption remained a protective factor for CKD (OR = 0.32, 95% CI 0.12-0.84, p = 0.02), but the association was not significant in the high risk of liver fibrosis group. In female patients, both moderate alcohol consumption and excessive alcohol consumption were not significantly associated with CKD in either the low-risk group or the high-risk group.Conclusion: Moderate alcohol consumption is associated with a lower prevalence of CKD in men with NAFLD.

Outcomes of Various Classes of Oral Antidiabetic Drugs on Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Importance

Several oral antidiabetic drug (OAD) classes can potentially improve patient outcomes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to varying degrees, but clinical data on which class is favored are lacking.

Objective

To investigate which OAD is associated with the best patient outcomes in NAFLD and type 2 diabetes (T2D).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective nonrandomized interventional cohort study used the National Health Information Database, which provided population-level data for Korea. This study involved patients with T2D and concomitant NAFLD.

Exposures

Receiving either sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, thiazolidinediones, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, or sulfonylureas, each combined with metformin for 80% or more of 90 consecutive days.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were NAFLD regression assessed by the fatty liver index and composite liver-related outcome (defined as liver-related hospitalization, liver-related mortality, liver transplant, and hepatocellular carcinoma) using the Fine-Gray model regarding competing risks.

Results

In total, 80 178 patients (mean [SD] age, 58.5 [11.9] years; 43 007 [53.6%] male) were followed up for 219 941 person-years, with 4102 patients experiencing NAFLD regression. When compared with sulfonylureas, SGLT2 inhibitors (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [ASHR], 1.99 [95% CI, 1.75-2.27]), thiazolidinediones (ASHR, 1.70 [95% CI, 1.41-2.05]), and DPP-4 inhibitors (ASHR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.31-1.59]) were associated with NAFLD regression. SGLT2 inhibitors were associated with a higher likelihood of NAFLD regression when compared with thiazolidinediones (ASHR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.12-1.75]) and DPP-4 inhibitors (ASHR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.30-1.62]). Only SGLT2 inhibitors (ASHR, 0.37 [95% CI, 0.17-0.82]), not thiazolidinediones or DPP-4 inhibitors, were significantly associated with lower incidence rates of adverse liver-related outcomes when compared with sulfonylureas.

Conclusions and Relevance

The results of this cohort study suggest that physicians may lean towards prescribing SGLT2 inhibitors as the preferred OAD for individuals with NAFLD and T2D, considering their potential benefits in NAFLD regression and lower incidences of adverse liver-related outcomes. This observational study should prompt future research to determine whether prescribing practices might merit reexamination.

Understanding the impact of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis with metabolic comorbidities on adults: a real-world qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

Limited real-world evidence exists to better understand the patient experience of living with symptoms and impacts of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). This study aimed to (1) describe patient-reported perspectives of NASH symptoms and impacts on patients' daily lives and (2) develop a patient-centered conceptual NASH model.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study using semi-structured qualitative interviews was conducted among adults (≥18 years) in the United States living with NASH. Eligible participants were diagnosed with NASH, had mild to advanced fibrosis (F1-F3), and no other causes of liver disease. The interview guide was informed by a targeted literature review (TLR) to identify clinical signs, symptoms, impacts, and unmet treatment needs of NASH. Participants described their experiences and perspectives around NASH and the symptoms, symptom severity/bother, and impact of NASH on their daily activities. Interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim for coding and thematic analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty participants (age: 42.4 years; female: 50.0%) were interviewed. Participants discussed their experience with NASH symptoms (most frequent: fatigue [75.0%]; weakness/lethargy [70.0%]) and impacts (most frequent: physical and psychological/emotional [70.0% each]; dietary [68.4%]). Participants considered most symptoms to be moderately severe or severe and moderately or highly bothersome. Findings from the TLR and qualitative interviews were incorporated into a conceptual model that describes patient-reported symptoms and impacts of NASH, clinical signs, risk factors, and unmet treatment needs.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides insights into patients' perspectives of NASH symptoms and their impact on their daily lives. These findings may guide patient-physician conversations, supporting patient-centered treatment decisions and disease management.

Dietary pattern associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in non-diabetic adult patients: A case control study

BACKGROUND

Dietary intake is an important factor in the development and management of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) however, optimal food group composition remains unclear. Data on detailed food group intake of NAFLD patients from India is scarce.

METHODS & MATERIALS

In this study with 320 participants (160 NAFLD cases and 160 controls), dietary habits were assessed using a 24-h dietary recall for two days and a validated 142-item food frequency questionnaire over the past year. Principal component analysis identified dietary patterns associated with NAFLD among the participants.

RESULTS

Cases were having a significantly higher intake of edible oils and fats along with nuts and oilseeds as compared to controls (p < 0.05). There was a positive and significant association with edible oils and fats with NAFLD [OR (95 % CI):1.7 (1.11-2.49) p = 0.013). In dietary pattern analysis western dietary pattern was found to be a risk for NAFLD whereas protective dietary pattern was associated with the decreased risk of NAFLD.

CONCLUSION

The overall food groups intake in NAFLD cases and controls was low suggesting lower diet quality. Protective dietary pattern found to be beneficial for NAFLD. High intake of sugars and edible oils associated with western dietary pattern increases the risk of NAFLD.

The hidden epidemic: Uncovering incidental fatty liver disease and its metabolic comorbidities by datamining in a hospital data lake - A real-world cohort study

AIMS

To identify individuals with incidental fatty liver disease (FLD), and to evaluate its prevalence, metabolic co-morbidities and impact on follow-up.

METHODS

We leveraged the data-lake of Helsinki Uusimaa Hospital district (Finland) with a population of 1.7 million (specialist and primary care). A phrase recognition script on abdominal imaging reports (2008-2020) identified/excluded FLD or cirrhosis; we extracted ICD-codes, laboratory and BMI data.

RESULTS

Excluding those with other liver diseases, the prevalence of FLD was 29% (steatosis yes/no, N=61,271/155,521; cirrhosis, N=3502). The false positive and negative rates were 5-6%. Only 1.6% of the FLD cases had the ICD code recorded and 32% had undergone full clinical evaluation for associated co-morbidities. Of the 35-65-year-old individuals with FLD, 20% had diabetes, 42% prediabetes and 28% a high liver fibrosis index. FLD was independently predicted by diabetes (OR 1.56, CI 1.46-1.66, p = 2.3 * 10^-41), BMI (1.46, 1.42-1.50, p = 1.7 * 10^-154) and plasma triglyceride level (1.5, 1.43-1.57, p = 3.5 * 10^-68). Alanine aminotransferase level mildly increased (1.12, 1.08-1.16, p = 2.2 * 10^-9) and high age decreased the risk (0.92, 0.89-0.94, p = 4.65*10^-09). Half of the cases had normal ALT.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidental radiological finding of FLD is reliable and associated with metabolic risks but largely ignored, although it should lead to metabolic and hepatic follow-up.

Advanced fibrosis associated with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in Spain: results of a Delphi study

OBJECTIVE

To describe in detail the epidemiology, diagnosis, clinical management, treatment options, impact on quality of life and unmet needs of patients with advanced liver fibrosis (F3-F4) associated with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in Spain.

METHODOLOGY

Delphi study of two rounds of consultation rounds with 41 expert hepatologists from 16 autonomous communities to collect their experience in clinical practice.

RESULTS

The estimated prevalence of adult patients diagnosed with F3-F4 fibrosis associated with NASH in Spain is 0.019% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.019-0.020%). Approximately 7,588 adults with this condition are currently diagnosed and managed in the Digestive System Services of Spanish hospitals, and around 1,881 new patients are diagnosed each year. Management is multidisciplinary and includes the specialties of Digestive System, Endocrinology and Internal Medicine, considering the frequently associated metabolic comorbidities (obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus or dysmetabolic iron overload). Despite a clear impact on quality of life, this it is not routinely evaluated in clinical practice. The most widely used non-invasive diagnostic techniques are transitional elastography and liver fibrosis index 4 (FIB-4). The absence of effective and safe treatments appears as the main unmet need for the management of these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides a representation of the current situation of patients diagnosed with F3-F4 fibrosis associated with NASH in Spain, increasing the evidence available and contributing to informed decision-making by professionals and the health system.

Association between dietary inflammatory index and risk of fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS

This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the correlation between dietary inflammatory index (DII) and risks of fatty liver disease.

METHODS

A comprehensive systematic literature search was conducted to select studies published from database inception to 6 September 2023 from five databases. Observational studies examining the association between elevated DII levels and the prevalence of fatty liver disease/liver fibrosis were included. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using either random-effects or fixed-effect models.

RESULTS

In total, 10 studies comprising 242,006 participants were included in the meta-analysis. Individuals with higher DII had a significantly increased risk of fatty liver disease (OR 1.63; 95% CI 1.08-2.45) and liver fibrosis (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.09-1.21) compared to those with lower DII.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis demonstrated an association between higher DII and increased odds of fatty liver disease. However, additional prospective studies are required to further address this question.

Prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in the Middle East and North Africa

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), formerly known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is common and closely associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D). We assessed the prevalence of NAFLD/MASLD in the general population and among patients with T2D in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase for English-language articles published between 1990 and 2023 according to PRISMA. Each country's NAFLD/MASLD prevalence in the general population and in T2D patients was predicted by using a multivariable meta regression model. Input data were extracted from our systematic review, GBD and NCD Risk Factor Collaboration. Confidence intervals were constructed by using prediction intervals with the delta method.

RESULTS

Meta-analytic pooling estimated the prevalence of NAFLD/MASLD as 39.43% in the general population and 68.71% among T2D patients. NAFLD/MASLD prevalence has increased from 35.42% (2008-2016) to 46.20% (2017-2020). Using GBD-2019 dataset, it was predicted that there are 141.51 million cases of NAFLD/MASLD in the MENA region. The highest number of NAFLD/MASLD cases were expected in Egypt (25.71 million), followed by Türkiye (23.33 million) and Iran (19.85 million). Estimated NAFLD prevalence exceeded 40% in 10 of 21 countries with the top countries being Kuwait (45.37%), Egypt (45.0%), Qatar (44.4%), and Jordan (43.3%). Furthermore, it was predicted that there are 24.96 million cases of NAFLD/MASLD with T2D in the MENA region.

CONCLUSIONS

In the MENA region, prevalence of NAFLD/MASLD is very high and growing, necessitating an urgent need for regional public policy to deal with this growing burden.

The Global Epidemic of Metabolic Fatty Liver Disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The objective of this manuscript is to examine the current literature on the epidemiology of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), its correlation with cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, as well as to evaluate the update in nomenclature from non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD).

RECENT FINDINGS

The update of diagnostic criteria from NAFLD to MASLD reduces the stigma associated with alcohol consumption and poor health choices. It also shines a light on the crucial role of cardiometabolic risk factors in disease pathophysiology. The incidence and prevalence of MASLD are projected to increase significantly in the future as the population burden of cardiometabolic risk factors rises. MASLD is also a potent risk factor for developing CVD that should be tackled by using a multi-disciplinary team with a holistic approach. As the new nomenclature for metabolic liver disease is adopted on a global scale, more research is needed to investigate the applicability of findings from previous trials focusing on NAFLD. It is anticipated that the epidemic of MASLD will continue to increase globally, hence the urgent need for therapeutic approaches to reverse this trend.

Temporal change in aetiology and clinical characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in a large cohort of patients in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND

Viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are the main risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in many countries. In Australia, given the access to hepatitis C virus (HCV) direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy since 2016, a temporal change in HCC aetiology was hypothesized. This study evaluated the temporal change in the aetiology and characteristics of HCC in New South Wales (NSW).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with HCC, admitted to three public hospitals in NSW between 2008 and 2021, were included in the analyses. We assessed the annual frequency of each HCC aetiology and the distribution of HCC characteristics in participants.

RESULTS

Among 1370 patients, the most common HCC etiologies were HCV (n = 483, 35%), ARLD (n = 452, 33%), NAFLD (n = 347, 25%) and hepatitis B virus (n = 301, 22%). The proportion of HCV-related HCC was the highest in 2011-2016 (41%) and significantly declined to 30% in 2017-2021 (odds ratio [OR], 0.53 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.35-0.79]; P = 0.002). The proportion of HCC diagnosed at an early stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage O/A) increased from 41% in 2008-2009 to 56% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.02-1.08]; P = 0.002), and the proportion of patients receiving potentially curative HCC management increased from 29% in 2008-2009 to 41% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.03-1.10]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The contribution of HCV to HCC burden has been decreasing in the DAA era, suggesting the role of HCV elimination in decreasing HCC risk. Increasing frequency of less advanced HCC at diagnosis over time suggests improved HCC surveillance.

Evolution of liver fibrosis in diabetic patients with NAFLD in a follow-up study: Hepatoprotective effects of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at high risk of hepatic fibrosis. To prospectively evaluate changes in fibrosis in diabetic patients with NAFLD, predisposing factors and sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) influence.

METHODS

237 T2DM outpatients (mean age 67 ± 9 years, 54% male) were enrolled and re-evaluated after 52 ± 10 months. At baseline and follow-up NAFLD and liver fibrosis (LSM) were detected by ultrasonography and Fibroscan®.

RESULTS

During follow-up an increase in LSM (6.0 ± 2.8 vs 5.8 ± 2.7 kPa, p = 0.02) and in the prescription of SGLT2i (20% vs 6%, p<0.001) was registered, despite stability of diabetic control. LSM worsened in 133(56%) subjects, 92 (39%) with worsening >10% from baseline. Patients with worsening versus non worsening of LSM had higher prevalence of increase in BMI during follow-up (45% vs 32%, p = 0.06) and lower SGLT2i prescription (15% vs 27%, p = 0.034). In multivariate analysis use of SGLT2-inhibitors at follow-up reduced the risk of LSM worsening (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.13-0.88), even when considered>10% from baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

A high prevalence of fibrosis progression was observed in diabetic subjects with NAFLD over a nearly 5-years follow up and SGLT2-inhibitors seem to reduce the risk of worsening of liver stiffness.

Cardiac remodelling in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the general population

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease. Our study investigates the contribution of NAFLD to changes in cardiac structure and function in a general population.

METHODS

One thousand ninety-six adults (49.3% female) from the Study of Health in Pomerania underwent magnetic resonance imaging including cardiac and liver imaging. The presence of NAFLD by proton density fat fraction was related to left cardiac structure and function. Results were adjusted for clinical confounders using multivariable linear regression model.

RESULTS

The prevalence for NAFLD was 35.9%. In adjusted multivariable linear regression models, NAFLD was positively associated with higher left ventricular mass index (β = 0.95; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.45; 1.45), left ventricular concentricity (β = 0.043; 95% CI: 0.031; 0.056), left ventricular end-diastolic wall thickness (β = 0.29; 95% CI: 0.20; 0.38), left atrial end-diastolic volume index (β = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.01; 1.32) and inversely associated with left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (β = -0.78; 95% CI: -1.51; -0.05). When stratified by sex, we only found significant positive associations of NAFLD with left ventricular mass index, left atrial end-diastolic volume index, left ventricular cardiac output and an inverse association with global longitudinal strain in women. In contrast, men had an inverse association with left ventricular end-diastolic volume index and left ventricular stroke volume. Higher liver fat content was stronger associated with higher left ventricular mass index, left ventricular concentricity and left ventricular end-diastolic wall thickness.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD is associated with cardiac remodelling in the general population showing sex specific patterns in cardiac structure and function.

Estimated small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in nonobese populations

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To explore the association between estimated small dense low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (sdLDL-C) and the risk of incident nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in nonobese populations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included participants who underwent health checkups in 2014 and were followed up until 2019. We carried out Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to evaluate the association of estimated sdLDL-C with NAFLD. Discordance analyses were carried out to estimate the relative NAFLD risk in estimated sdLDL-C versus low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) discordant/concordant groups. Estimated sdLDL-C was calculated by equations based on LDL-C and triglycerides. The diagnosis of NAFLD was based on the presence of abdominal ultrasonography after excluding other causes of chronic liver disease.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up period of 26,694 person-years, 844 incident NAFLD cases were recorded. Compared with the first quartile of estimated sdLDL-C, the fourth quartile was associated with a 2.933-fold increased risk of NAFLD (95% confidence interval 2.095-4.107). With the increase in estimated sdLDL-C, the risk of NAFLD gradually increased both in participants within the normal range of LDL-C (hazard ratio 2.854, 95% confidence interval 1.650-5.617) and beyond the normal range of LDL-C (hazard ratio 2.636, 95% confidence interval 1.263-5.502). In addition, the inconsistent high estimated sdLDL-C/low LDL-C group was associated with an increased risk of NAFLD, but not the low estimated sdLDL-C/high LDL-C group.

CONCLUSIONS

Estimated sdLDL-C was positively associated with the risk of incident NAFLD in a nonobese population, independent of LDL-C.

Prevalence and impact on the outcome of myosteatosis in patients with cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Myosteatosis in cirrhotic patients has been evaluated in limited studies with conflicting results and no systematic review or meta-analysis have been performed in this setting.

METHODS

We searched for all articles published until June 2023 to evaluate the prevalence of myosteatosis in cirrhosis and chronic liver disease.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies focused on cirrhosis and five studies in patients with chronic liver disease were included: the overall pooled prevalence of myosteatosis was 46% [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 36-57%] and 33% (95% CI 15-59%), respectively (p = 0.35). Among the studies with cirrhosis, the prevalence of myosteatosis was higher in those using the body mass index-based definition of myosteatosis (56%), than gender-based (36%) or other criteria (21%) (p < 0.01); was higher in women than in men (61% vs 45%), in Child-Pugh class C than A or B (57% vs 49% vs 50%), in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)- than viral-associated cirrhosis (57% vs 43%), but these differences were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). Cirrhotic patients with myosteatosis, compared to those without myosteatosis, had more frequently a previous history of hepatic encephalopathy (32% vs 15%, p = 0.04), less frequently a previous history of variceal bleeding (46% vs 65%, p < 0.01), were more likely to suffer from diabetes mellitus (27% vs 18%, p < 0.01), while they had higher mortality rates (40% vs 14%, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Myosteatosis is highly prevalent in patients with cirrhosis, particularly in those with NAFLD-associated cirrhosis. Myosteatosis is associated with hepatic encephalopathy, while it seems to have a negative impact on the outcome.

The Signal Intensity Ratio of Pancreas to Spleen in Magnetic Resonance Imaging Can Predict Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

OBJECTIVES

Signal intensity ratio of pancreas to spleen (SI ratio p/s ) on fat-suppressed T1-weighted images of magnetic resonance imaging has been associated with pancreatic exocrine function. We here investigated the predictive value of the SI ratio p/s for the development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study comprised 208 patients who underwent PD. NAFLD was defined as a liver-to-spleen attenuation ratio of <0.9 calculated by a computed tomography 1 year after surgery. SI ratio p/s was calculated by dividing the average pancreas SI by the spleen SI. We retrospectively investigated the association of clinical variables including the SI ratio p/s and NAFLD by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

NAFLD after 1 year was developed in 27 patients (13%). In multivariate analysis, the SI ratio p/s < 1 ( P < 0.001) was an independent predictor of incidence of NAFLD. The SI ratio p/s < 1 was associated with low amylase level of the pancreatic juice ( P < 0.001) and progressed pancreatic fibrosis ( P = 0.017). According to the receiver operating characteristics curve, the SI ratio p/s had better prognostic ability of NAFLD than the remnant pancreas volume.

CONCLUSIONS

The SI ratio p/s is useful to predict NAFLD development after PD. Moreover, the SI ratio p/s can be a surrogate marker, which represents exocrine function of the pancreas.

Neither hepatic steatosis nor fibrosis is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal Behçet's disease

BACKGROUND

Behçet's disease (BD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share pathogenetic mechanisms. In this study, we investigated whether NAFLD influences the clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.

METHODS

Patients with intestinal BD and available hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores were recruited between 2005 and 2022. An HSI of ≥30 and FIB-4 of ≥1.45 were used to diagnose hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis, respectively. The primary outcomes were intestinal BD-related hospitalization, surgery, emergency room visits, or the first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for intestinal BD.

RESULTS

A total of 780 patients with BD were selected. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were 72.3% and 8.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that younger age, prior smoking history, concomitant skin lesions, higher white blood cell count, and lower serum albumin levels were independently associated with an increased risk of clinical relapse (all P < 0.05), whereas hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were not (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.164, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.923-1.468; P = 0.199 for hepatic steatosis; HR = 0.982, 95% CI 0.672-1.436; P = 0.927 for significant liver fibrosis).

CONCLUSION

Hepatic steatosis and liver fibrotic burden were not independently associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.

Association of Stroke With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease With and Without CKD

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), a risk factor for stroke and all-cause mortality, is highly prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), but it is unclear whether the association of MAFLD with stroke and all-cause mortality differs within and outside of the setting of CKD.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

We enrolled 95,353 participants from the Kailuan Cohort Study, among whom 35,749 had CKD at baseline or developed CKD during the follow-up period, and 59,604 individuals who had no CKD at baseline or during the follow-up period.

EXPOSURE

MAFLD.

OUTCOME

Stroke (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke), all-cause mortality.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate the influence of MAFLD on stroke outcomes within the subgroups defined by the presence of CKD.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 12.8 years, 6,140 strokes (6.4%) and 11,975 deaths from any cause (12.6%) occurred. After adjusting for potential confounders, MAFLD was associated with an increased incidence of stroke among the participants with CKD (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.23-1.45]) but not among those without CKD (HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 0.97-1.15]; Pinteraction<0.001). This association was principally related to ischemic stroke (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.26-1.51]) and not hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.85-1.26]). No association was found between MAFLD and all-cause mortality in the participants with CKD (HR,1.04 [95% CI, 0.98-1.10]) or those without CKD (HR,1.03 [95% CI, 0.97-1.09]). Among the participants with CKD, compared with non-MAFLD, MAFLD with diabetes (HR,1.36 [95% CI, 1.23-1.50]) or overweight/obesity (HR,1.30 [95% CI, 1.14-1.50]) was associated with a higher risk of stroke whereas MAFLD without overweight/obesity or diabetes was not associated with a higher risk (HR,1.08 [95% CI, 0.81-1.43]).

LIMITATIONS

This was an observational study and included individuals with CKD who had a relatively high estimated glomerular filtration rate.

CONCLUSIONS

MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD but not in those without CKD.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which is recognized as a risk factor for stroke in the general population, is highly prevalent among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the impact of MAFLD on the risk of stroke in patients with CKD remains uncertain. We investigated the association of MAFLD with stroke in individuals with and without CKD. Our analysis revealed that MAFLD was associated with a significantly increased risk of stroke in individuals with CKD, and the magnitude of this increased risk was greater in the setting of CKD. These findings highlight the need for increased attention to MAFLD in patients with CKD and emphasize that addressing and preventing MAFLD in this population may contribute to reduced morbidity from stroke.

Association of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease with gallstone development: A longitudinal study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The influence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease on gallstone development remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and gallstone development in both men and women.

METHODS

This observational cohort study included 5398 patients without gallstones who underwent > 2 health check-ups between April 1, 2014, and March 31, 2020. A generalized estimation equation model was used to analyze the association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and gallstone development according to repeated measures at baseline and most recent stage.

RESULTS

After adjustment, the odds ratios of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease for gallstone development in men and women were 3.019 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.901-4.794) and 2.201 (95% CI: 1.321-3.667), respectively. Among patients aged ≥ 50 years, the odds ratio for gallstone development was significantly enhanced with increasing metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease component numbers in both sexes; however, no significance was observed in those aged < 50 years. Other significant risk factors for gallstone development were age (odds ratio: 1.093, 95% CI: 1.060-1.126) and waist circumference (odds ratio: 1.048, 95% CI: 1.018-1.079) in men and age (odds ratio: 1.035, 95% CI: 1.003-1.067) and current smoking (odd ratio: 5.465, 95% CI: 1.881-15.88) in women.

CONCLUSION

Although the risk factors for gallstone development differed between sexes, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease was common. Paying attention to an increase in the number of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease components in patients aged ≥ 50 years is important for gallstone prevention.

Global incidence of adverse clinical events in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with a multitude of adverse outcomes. We aimed to estimate the pooled incidence of NAFLD-related adverse events.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of adults with NAFLD to evaluate the pooled incidence of adverse events.

RESULTS

19,406 articles were screened, 409 full-text articles reviewed, and 79 eligible studies (1,377,466 persons) were included. Mean age was 51.47 years and body mass index 28.90 kg/m2. Baseline comorbidities included metabolic syndrome (41.73%), cardiovascular disease (CVD) (16.83%), cirrhosis (21.97%), and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) (58.85%). Incidence rate per 1,000 person-years for mortality included: all-cause (14.6), CVD-related (4.53), non-liver cancer-related (4.53), and liver-related (3.10). Incidence for liver-related events included overall (24.3), fibrosis progression (49.0), cirrhosis (10.9), liver transplant (12.0), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (3.39). Incidence for non-liver events included metabolic syndrome (25.4), hypertension (25.8), dyslipidemia (26.4), diabetes (19.0), CVD (24.77), renal impairment (30.3), depression/anxiety (29.1), and non-liver cancer (10.5). Biopsy-proven NASH had higher incidence of HCC (P=0.043) compared to non-NASH. Higher rates of CVD and mortality were observed in North America and Europe, hypertension and non-liver cancer in North America, and HCC in Western Pacific/Southeast Asia (P<0.05). No significant differences were observed by sex. Time-period analyses showed decreasing rates of cardiovascular and non-liver cancer mortality and increasing rates of decompensated cirrhosis (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

People with NAFLD have high incidence of liver and non-liver adverse clinical events, varying by NASH, geographic region, and time-period, but not sex.

Association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and abdominal aortic aneurysm

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is the second most common aortic pathological manifestation. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has a wide impact on the cardiovascular system and may be a risk factor for AAA. The aim of this study was to investigate whether MAFLD is associated with the risk of AAA.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used data from the prospective UK Biobank cohort study. MAFLD is defined as hepatic steatosis plus metabolic abnormality, type 2 diabetes, or overweight/obesity. AAA is collected by ICD-10 code. Cox regression was established to analyze the association between MAFLD and AAA. A total of 370203 participants were included; the average age of the participants was 56.7 ± 8.0 years, and 134649 (36.4 %) were diagnosed with MAFLD. During the 12.5 years of follow-up, 1561 (0.4 %) participants developed AAA. After fully adjusting for confounding factors, individuals with MAFLD had a significantly increased risk of AAA (HR 1.521, 95 % CI 1.351-1.712, p < 0.001). Importantly, the risk of AAA increases with the severity of MAFLD as assessed by fibrosis scores. These associations were consistent according to sex, weight, and alcohol consumption but weaker in elderly or diabetics (P for interaction <0.05). The association between the MAFLD phenotype and AAA was independent of the polygenic risk score. Additionally, MAFLD was not associated with thoracic aortic aneurysm or aortic dissection events.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a significant relationship between MAFLD and AAA. These findings strongly recommend early prevention of AAA by intervening in MAFLD.

Statins Are Associated With a Decreased Risk of Severe Liver Disease in Individuals With Noncirrhotic Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Little is known about the potential impact of statins on the progression of noncirrhotic chronic liver diseases (CLDs) to severe liver disease.

METHODS

Using liver histopathology data in a nationwide Swedish cohort, we identified 3862 noncirrhotic individuals with CLD and statin exposure, defined as a statin prescription filled for 30 or more cumulative defined daily doses. Statin users were matched to 3862 (statin) nonusers with CLD through direct 1:1 matching followed by propensity score matching. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the primary outcome of incident severe liver disease (a composite of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation/liver-related mortality).

RESULTS

A total of 45.3% of CLD patients had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 21.9% had alcohol-related liver disease, 17.7% had viral hepatitis, and 15.1% had autoimmune hepatitis. During follow-up evaluation, 234 (6.1%) statin users vs 276 (7.1%) nonusers developed severe liver disease. Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of developing severe liver disease (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.48-0.74). Statistically significantly lower rates of severe liver disease were seen in alcohol-related liver disease (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.19-0.49) and in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.45-1.00), but not in viral hepatitis (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.51-1.14) or autoimmune hepatitis (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.48-1.58). Statin use had a protective association in both prefibrosis and fibrosis stages at diagnosis. Statin use was associated with lower rates of progression to cirrhosis (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.78), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.27-0.71), and liver-related mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36-0.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with noncirrhotic CLD, incident statin use was linked to lower rates of severe liver disease, suggesting a potential disease-modifying role.

Associations of arsenic exposure and arsenic metabolism with the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Growing evidences supported that arsenic exposure contributes to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) risk, but findings were still inconsistent. Additionally, once absorbed, arsenic is methylated into monomethyl and dimethyl arsenicals. However, no studies investigated the association of arsenic metabolism with NAFLD. Our objectives were to evaluate the associations of arsenic exposure and arsenic metabolism with NAFLD prevalence. We conducted a case-control study with 1790 participants derived from Dongfeng-Tongji cohort and measured arsenic species (arsenite, arsenate, monomethylarsonate [MMA], dimethylarsinate [DMA], and arsenobetaine) in urine. Arsenic exposure (∑As) was defined as the sum of inorganic arsenic (iAs), MMA, and DMA. Arsenic metabolism was evaluated as the proportions of inorganic-related species (iAs%, MMA%, and DMA%) and methylation efficiency ratios (primary methylation index [PMI], secondary methylation index [SMI]). NAFLD was diagnosed by liver ultrasound. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the associations. The median of ∑As was 13.24 μg/g creatinine. The ∑As showed positive and nonlinear association with moderate/severe NAFLD (OR: per log-SD = 1.33, 95% CI: [1.03,1.71]; Pfor nonlinearity = 0.021). The iAs% (OR: per SD = 1.16, 95% CI: [1.03,1.30]) and SMI (OR: per log-SD = 1.16, 95% CI: [1.03,1.31]) showed positive while MMA% (OR: per SD = 0.80, 95% CI: [0.70,0.91]) and PMI (OR: per log-SD = 0.86, 95% CI: [0.77,0.96]) showed inverse associations with NAFLD. Moreover, the ORs (95% CI) of NAFLD for each 5% increase in iAs% was 1.36 (1.17,1.58) when MMA% decreased and 1.07 (1.01,1.13) when DMA% decreased; and for each 5% increase in MMA%, it was 0.74 (0.63,0.86) and 0.79 (0.69,0.91) when iAs% and DMA% decreased, respectively. The results suggest that inorganic arsenic exposure is positively associated with NAFLD risk and arsenic methylation efficiency plays a role in the NAFLD. The findings provide clues to explore potential interventions for the prevention of NAFLD. Prospective studies are needed to validate our findings.

Incidence and predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD without diagnosed cirrhosis: a nationwide real-world U.S. study

BACKGROUND

A substantial proportion of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) do not have cirrhosis. Data regarding the incidence and predictors of HCC development in NAFLD without cirrhosis are limited. We conducted a large, national study of NAFLD patients without documented cirrhosis to examine the incidence and predictors for HCC development.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 751,603 NAFLD patients (54% female) without documented cirrhosis derived from the deidentified Optum Clinformatics® Data Mart Database. Patients with cirrhosis, platelets < 120,000/µL or FIB-4 values > 2.67 were excluded.

RESULTS

The mean age was 53.7 ± 15.0 years, 45.9% were male, 39.5% had diabetes, 57.6% were White, 18.4% Hispanic, 8.2% Black and 4.9% were Asian. The mean platelet count was 264,000 ± 72,000/µL, and 96.3% of patients had a FIB-4 < 1.30. Over 1,686,607 person-years of follow-up, there were 76 incident cases of HCC, resulting in an HCC incidence rate of 0.05 per 1000 person-years. There was a higher HCC incidence rate among patients with platelets ≤ 150,000/µL, versus those with platelets > 150,000/µL (0.23 per 1000 person-years, vs. 0.04 per 1000 person-years, p = 0.02) but not in subgroup analyses for age, sex, race/ethnicity or diabetes. Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted multiple confounders, platelet count ≤ 150,000/µL remained an independent predictor of HCC development (adjusted HR 5.80, 95% CI 1.67-20.1, p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

HCC incidence in NAFLD without documented cirrhosis was below the threshold for cost-effective HCC surveillance in overall and multiple subgroup analyses. Platelet count < 150,000/µL may be a useful predictor of HCC development in this population.

Accuracy of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Clinical Implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) is poor in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We determined the usefulness of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test in patients with T2DM.

METHODS

A total of 1228 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. The diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in participants with or without T2DM was evaluated in comparison with the FIB-4 index and NFS.

RESULTS

Overall, the area under the curve of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis was greater (0.828) than that of the FIB-4 index (0.727) and NFS (0.733). The diagnostic performance of the ELF test (area under the curve, 0.820) was also superior to that of the FIB-4 index (0.698) and NFS (0.700) in patients with T2DM. With the low cutoff values for each noninvasive test, the ELF test provided an acceptable false negative rate (cutoff value 9.8, 6.7%) in this population, unlike the FIB-4 index (1.30, 14.5%) and NFS (-1.455, 12.4%). After propensity score matching to avoid selection bias including age, sex, body mass index, and the prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the ELF test with a low cutoff value showed a high sensitivity (≥91.4%) and a high negative predictive value (≥96.8%), irrespective of the presence or absence of T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

The high diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in individuals with or without T2DM could address an unmet medical need for accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes and NAFLD.