Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Suspicious (LI-RADS 4) Liver Observations

Natural History of Indeterminate Liver Nodules in Patients With Advanced Liver Disease: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Indeterminate liver nodules (ILNs) are frequently encountered on diagnostic imaging after positive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance results, but their natural history remains unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study among patients with ≥1 newly detected LI-RADS 3 (LR-3) lesion ≥1 cm or LI-RADS 4 (LR-4) lesion of any size (per LI-RADS v2018) between January 2018 and December 2019. Patients were followed with repeat imaging at each site per institutional standard of care. Multivariable Fine-Gray models were used to evaluate associations between potential risk factors and patient-level time-to-HCC diagnosis, with death and liver transplantation as competing risks.

RESULTS

Of 307 patients with ILNs, 208 had LR-3 lesions, 83 had LR-4 lesions, and 16 had both LR-3 and LR-4 lesions. HCC incidence rates for patients with LR-3 and LR-4 lesions were 110 (95% CI 70-150) and 420 (95% CI 310-560) per 1,000 person-year, respectively. In multivariable analysis, incident HCC among patients with LR-3 lesions was associated with older age, thrombocytopenia (platelet count ≤150 ×10 9 /L), and elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein levels. Among those with LR-4 lesions, incident HCC was associated with a maximum lesion diameter >1 cm. Although most patients had follow-up computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, 13.7% had no follow-up imaging and another 14.3% had follow-up ultrasound only.

DISCUSSION

ILNs have a high but variable risk of HCC, with 4-fold higher risk in patients with LR-4 lesions than those with LR-3 lesions, highlighting a need for accurate risk stratification tools and close follow-up in this population.

Non-contrast abbreviated MRI for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System LR-3 and LR-4 observations in MRI

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

With ultrasound sensitivity limited in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance and few prospective studies on non-contrast abbreviated MRI (NC-AMRI), this study aimed to assess its diagnostic performance in detecting HCC.

METHODS

This prospective study involved cirrhotic patients with contrast-enhanced MRI (CE-MRI) Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) LR-3 and LR-4 observations detected during HCC surveillance. Patients underwent average 3 complete CE-MRI rounds at 3-6 months interval, with approximately 12-month follow-up. NC-AMRI included diffusion-weighted (DWI), T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), and T1-weighted imaging (T1WI). NC-AMRI protocol images were analysed for diagnostic performance, with subgroup analyses. CE-MRI and NC-AMRI images were independently reviewed by 2 experienced radiologists, with inter-reader agreement assessed with Kappa coefficient. The reference standard was the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases-defined presence of arterial hypervascularity and washout during the portal-venous or delayed phases on CE-MRI.

RESULTS

In 166 CE-MRI follow-ups of 63 patients (median age: 63 years; 60.3% male, 39.7% female), 12 patients developed HCC, with average size of 19.6 mm. The NC-AMRI (DWI + T2WI + T1WI) showed 91.7% sensitivity (95%CI, 61.5-99.8) and 91.6% specificity (95%CI, 86.0-95.4), area under receiver operating characteristic 0.92 (95%CI, 0.83-1.00). Across different Body Mass Index categories, lesion size, Child-Turcotte-Pugh classes, Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grades, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease classes, sensitivity remained consistent. However, specificity differed significantly between ALBI grade 1 and 2 (86.7% vs. 98.4%, P = .010), and between viral and non-viral cirrhosis (93.8% vs. 80.8%, P = .010).

CONCLUSIONS

NC-AMRI proved clinically feasible, and exhibits high diagnostic performance in HCC detection.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This study highlights efficacy of NC-AMRI in detecting HCC among cirrhotic patients with LR-3 and LR-4 observations, representing significant progress in HCC surveillance.

Financial Burden of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The overall value of hepatocellular carcinoma screening is defined by the balance of benefits and harms. Studies have only reported physical harms with none describing financial harms.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter pragmatic randomized clinical trial of hepatocellular carcinoma screening outreach among 2872 patients with cirrhosis from March 2018 to April 2021. Patients with positive or indeterminate results and matched patients with negative results completed surveys at baseline and at follow-up measuring financial harms via Cancer Self-Administered Questionnaire and financial burden via Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy. Univariable and multivariable longitudinal regression analyses were performed to compare changes in financial harms across groups: true positive, true negative, false positive, and indeterminate. Semistructured interviews were conducted in a subset of patients, sampled by center and test result.

RESULTS

Of 311 patients who completed at least 1 follow-up survey (75% response rate), 37 had true positive, 133 true negative, 64 false positive, and 77 indeterminate results. Financial harms increased in true positive and false positive patients with no significant changes noted among those with true negative or indeterminate results. At follow-up, 21.8% of patients reported moderate-severe financial burden, which was not significantly associated with test results. Semistructured interviews revealed variation in the frequency and severity of financial harms based on test results, with increased harm in those with false positive results.

CONCLUSIONS

Financial harms of hepatocellular carcinoma screening vary by test result and can pose a barrier that must be considered when determining the optimal screening program.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Patterns and Outcomes in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is associated with improved early detection and reduced mortality, although practice patterns and effectiveness vary in clinical practice. We aimed to characterize HCC surveillance patterns in a large, diverse cohort of patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2008 and December 2022 at 2 large US health systems. We recorded imaging receipt in the year before HCC diagnosis: ultrasound plus α-fetoprotein (AFP), ultrasound alone, multiphasic contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and no liver imaging. We used multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis to compare early tumor detection, curative treatment receipt, and overall survival between surveillance strategies.

RESULTS

Among 2028 patients with HCC (46.7% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A), 703 (34.7%) had ultrasound plus AFP, 293 (14.5%) had ultrasound alone, 326 (16.1%) had multiphasic CT/MRI, and 706 (34.8%) had no imaging in the year before HCC diagnosis. Over the study period, proportions without imaging were stable, whereas use of CT/MRI increased. Compared with no imaging, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP, but not ultrasound alone, were associated with early stage HCC detection and curative treatment. Compared with ultrasound alone, CT/MRI and ultrasound plus AFP were associated with increased early stage detection.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC surveillance patterns vary in clinical practice and are associated with differing clinical outcomes. While awaiting data to determine if CT or MRI surveillance can be performed in a cost-effective manner in selected patients, AFP has a complementary role to ultrasound-based surveillance, supporting its adoption in practice guidelines.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance may be associated with potential psychological harms in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The value of HCC surveillance is determined by the balance between benefits and harms; however, no studies have enumerated psychological harms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We fielded surveys measuring psychological harms to patients with cirrhosis in a multicenter randomized trial of HCC surveillance outreach. All patients with positive or indeterminate surveillance results and matched patients with negative results were invited to complete surveys measuring (1) depression through the Patient Health Questionnaire-ninth version, (2) anxiety through State-Trait Anxiety Inventory, (3) HCC-specific worry through Psychological Consequences Questionnaire, and (4) decisional regret. Patients were classified into 4 groups: true positive (TP), false positive (FP), indeterminate, and true negative (TN). Multivariable longitudinal regression analysis using the generalized estimating equation method was performed to compare the means of measures across groups. We conducted 89 semistructured interviews in a subset of patients stratified by health system and test results. Of 2872 patients in the trial, 311 completed 1+ follow-up survey (63 FP, 77 indeterminate, 38 TP, and 133 TN). Moderate depression decreased in TN patients, increased in TP, and had intermittent but mild increases in those with FP and indeterminate results. High anxiety temporarily increased in patients with TP results but resolved over time and was stable in those with FP and indeterminate results. Decisional regret was low and did not differ across groups. In semistructured interviews, patients reported apprehension, anxiety, emotional distress, and coping related to HCC surveillance.

CONCLUSIONS

Psychological harms of HCC surveillance appear mild but differ by test result. Future research should determine the impact of psychological harms on the value of HCC surveillance programs.

Long-term evolution of LR-2, LR-3 and LR-4 observations in HBV-related cirrhosis based on LI-RADS v2018 using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI

PURPOSE

To investigate the long-term evolution of LR-2, LR-3 and LR-4 observations in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis based on LI-RADS v2018 and identify predictors of progression to a malignant category on serial gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (Gd-EOB-MRI).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 179 cirrhosis patients with untreated indeterminate observations who underwent Gd-EOB-MRI exams at baseline and during the follow-up period between June 2016 and December 2021. Two radiologists independently assessed the major features, ancillary features, and LI-RADS category of each observation at baseline and follow-up. In cases of disagreement, a third radiologist was consulted for consensus. Cumulative incidences for progression to a malignant category (LR-5 or LR-M) and to LR-4 or higher were analyzed for each index category using Kaplan‒Meier methods and compared using log-rank tests. The risk factors for malignant progression were evaluated using a Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

A total of 213 observations, including 74 (34.7%) LR-2, 95 (44.6%) LR-3, and 44 (20.7%) LR-4, were evaluated. The overall cumulative incidence of progression to a malignant category was significantly higher for LR-4 observations than for LR-3 or LR-2 observations (each P < 0.001), and significantly higher for LR-3 observations than for LR-2 observations (P < 0.001); at 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups, the cumulative incidence of progression to a malignant category was 11.4%, 29.5%, and 39.3% for LR-4 observations, 0.0%, 8.5%, and 19.6% for LR-3 observations, and 0.0%, 0.0%, and 0.0% for LR-2 observations, respectively. The cumulative incidence of progression to LR-4 or higher was higher for LR-3 observations than for LR-2 observations (P < 0.001); at 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups, the cumulative incidence of progression to LR-4 or higher was 0.0%, 8.5%, and 24.6% for LR-3 observations, and 0.0%, 0.0%, and 0.0% for LR-2 observations, respectively. In multivariable analysis, nonrim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE) [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.13, 95% CI 1.04-4.36; P = 0.038], threshold growth (HR = 6.50, 95% CI 2.88-14.65; P <0.001), and HBP hypointensity (HR = 16.83, 95% CI 3.97-71.34; P <0.001) were significant independent predictors of malignant progression.

CONCLUSION

The higher LI-RADS v2018 categories had an increasing risk of progression to a malignant category during long-term evolution. Nonrim APHE, threshold growth, and HBP hypointensity were the imaging features that were significantly predictive of malignant progression.

Correlation of LI-RADS 3 or 4 Observations with Histopathologic Diagnosis in Patients with Cirrhosis

Patients with cirrhosis are high risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and warrant surveillance using abdominal ultrasound and α-fetoprotein.1 Those with positive surveillance results should undergo diagnostic evaluation with multiphase computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The LI-RADS system is an evidence-based system to classify observations on CT or MRI in at-risk patients, ranging from LR-1 (definite benign) to LR-5 (definite HCC), with LR-3 and LR-4 observations being intermediate risk for HCC.2 LR-3 and LR-4 observations are observed on CT or MRI in more than one-fourth of patients undergoing HCC surveillance and have a high, yet variable, risk for progression to HCC.3 Approximately one-third of patients with LR-3 observations and more than two-thirds of LR-4 observations develop HCC, and surveillance strategies vary widely in practice.4,5 Variation in radiographic appearance and natural history of these observations suggests that this may be a heterogeneous group of patients; however, their histopathology has not been well described. Herein, we correlated imaging findings and explant histopathology from liver transplant recipients with at least 1 LR-3 or LR-4 observation on CT or MRI within 6 months preceding transplantation.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), one of the most common causes of liver disease, is an increasingly common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Several demographic, clinical, and genetic factors contribute to HCC risk in NAFLD patients, which may inform risk stratification scores. Proven efficacious approaches to primary prevention approach in patients with non-viral liver disease remain an area of need. Semi-annual surveillance is associated with improved early tumor detection and reduced HCC-related mortality; however, patients with NAFLD have several challenges to effective surveillance, including under-recognition of at-risk patients, low surveillance utilization in clinical practice, and lower sensitivity of current tools for early-stage HCC detection. Treatment decisions are best made in a multidisciplinary fashion and are informed by several factors including tumor burden, liver dysfunction, performance status, and patient preferences. Although patients with NAFLD often have larger tumor burden and increased comorbidities compared to counterparts, they can achieve similar post-treatment survival with careful patient selection. Therefore, surgical therapies continue to provide a curative treatment option for patients diagnosed at an early stage. Although there has been debate about the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with NAFLD, current data are insufficient to change treatment selection based on liver disease etiology.

Recall patterns and risk of primary liver cancer for subcentimeter ultrasound liver observations: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Patients with cirrhosis and subcentimeter lesions on liver ultrasound are recommended to undergo short-interval follow-up ultrasound because of the presumed low risk of primary liver cancer (PLC).

AIMS

The aim of this study is to characterize recall patterns and risk of PLC in patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study among patients with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B infection who had subcentimeter ultrasound lesions between January 2017 and December 2019. We excluded patients with a history of PLC or concomitant lesions ≥1 cm in diameter. We used Kaplan Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses to characterize time-to-PLC and factors associated with PLC, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 746 eligible patients, most (66.0%) had a single observation, and the median diameter was 0.7 cm (interquartile range: 0.5-0.8 cm). Recall strategies varied, with only 27.8% of patients undergoing guideline-concordant ultrasound within 3-6 months. Over a median follow-up of 26 months, 42 patients developed PLC (39 HCC and 3 cholangiocarcinoma), yielding an incidence of 25.7 cases (95% CI, 6.2-47.0) per 1000 person-years, with 3.9% and 6.7% developing PLC at 2 and 3 years, respectively. Factors associated with time-to-PLC were baseline alpha-fetoprotein >10 ng/mL (HR: 4.01, 95% CI, 1.85-8.71), platelet count ≤150 (HR: 4.90, 95% CI, 1.95-12.28), and Child-Pugh B cirrhosis (vs. Child-Pugh A: HR: 2.54, 95% CI, 1.27-5.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Recall patterns for patients with subcentimeter liver lesions on ultrasound varied widely. The low risk of PLC in these patients supports short-interval ultrasound in 3-6 months, although diagnostic CT/MRI may be warranted for high-risk subgroups such as those with elevated alpha-fetoprotein levels.

Imaging features of hepatobiliary MRI and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk and time to HCC development differ according to hepatobiliary magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings among people at risk for developing HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 199 patients aged 40 years or older with liver cirrhosis or chronic liver disease who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced hepatobiliary MRI between 2011 and 2015 were analyzed. An independent radiologist retrospectively reviewed MRI findings, blinded to clinical information, and categorized them into low-risk features, high-risk features and high-risk nodules. High-risk features were defined as liver cirrhosis diagnosed by imaging. High-risk nodules were defined as LR-3 or LR-4 nodules based on LI-RADS version 2018. The primary outcome was development of HCC within 5-year of MRI evaluation.

RESULTS

HCC was diagnosed in 28 patients (14.1%). HCC development was null for those with low-risk features (n = 84). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0%, 2.3%, 13.4% and 22.1% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk features (n= 64), and were 19.1%, 31.8%, 37.3% and 46.7% at 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year for those with high-risk nodules (n= 51). Among 28 patients developed HCC, the median time from baseline MRI to HCC diagnosis was 33.1 months (interquartile range: 25.9-46.7 months) for high-risk feature group, and 17.3 months (interquartile range: 6.2-26.5 months) for high-risk nodule group.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC risk and time to HCC development differ according to baseline hepatobiliary MRI findings, indicating that hepatobiliary MRI findings can be used as biomarkers to differentiate HCC risk.

Clinical outcomes of patients with Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System 3 or Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System 4 observations in patients with cirrhosis: A systematic review

Patients with indeterminate liver nodules, classified as LR-3 and LR-4 observations per the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System, are at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but risk estimates remain imprecise. We conducted a systematic review of Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases from inception to December 2021 to identify cohort studies examining HCC incidence among patients with LR-3 or LR-4 observations on computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Predictors of HCC were abstracted from each study, when available. Of 13 total studies, nine conducted LR-3 observation-level analyses, with the proportions of incident HCC ranging from 1.2% to 12.5% at 12 months and 4.2% to 44.4% during longer study follow-up. Among three studies with patient-level analyses, 8%-22.2% of patients with LR-3 lesions developed LR-4 observations and 11.1%-24.5% developed HCC. Among nine studies conducting LR-4 observation-level analyses, incident HCC ranged from 30.8% to 44.0% at 12 months and 30.9% to 71.0% during study follow-up; conversely, 6%-42% of observations were downgraded to LR-3 or lower. Patient-level factors associated with HCC included older age, male sex, higher alpha-fetoprotein levels, viral etiology, and prior history of HCC; observation-level factors included maximum diameter, threshold growth, T2 hyperintensity, and visibility on ultrasound. Studies were limited by small sample sizes, inclusion of patients with prior HCC, short follow-up duration, and failure to account for clustering of observations in patients or competing risks of transplantation and death. LR-3 and LR-4 observations have elevated but variable risks of HCC. Higher quality studies are necessary to identify high-risk patients who warrant close CT or MRI-based follow-up.