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Fakih M, Prager GW, Tabernero J, Amellal N, Calleja E, Taieb J. Clinically meaningful outcomes in refractory metastatic colorectal cancer: a decade of defining and raising the bar. ESMO Open 2024; 9:103931. [PMID: 39395264 PMCID: PMC11693422 DOI: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2024.103931] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2024] [Revised: 08/28/2024] [Accepted: 09/05/2024] [Indexed: 10/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Currently, there is no consensus definition for clinically meaningful outcomes in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) designed to evaluate new treatments for patients with refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Since 2014, recommended targets for improvements in overall survival and progression-free survival have been published by several societies, including those from the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Clinically Meaningful Outcomes Working Group in 2014, the European Society for Medical Oncology-Magnitude of Clinical Benefit Scale (ESMO-MCBS) in 2015, and Colorectal Cancer Canada (CCC) consensus statements in 2019. However, evidence from several systematic reviews suggests that in a substantial proportion of RCTs that led to oncology drug approvals, the recommended thresholds of ASCO and ESMO-MCBS were not met. In addition to efficacy and safety, quality of life (QoL) is important to patients with mCRC, especially for those who are receiving later-line therapy or end-of-life care. As such, both ESMO-MCBS and CCC recommend the inclusion of QoL assessments in the design of mCRC clinical trials. Since the publication of the ASCO recommendations in 2014, there has been significant progress in the development of treatment options for patients with refractory mCRC; these include the approvals of trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) as a single agent and in combination with bevacizumab, and the approval of fruquintinib. Among the phase III RCTs in third-line mCRC, only the SUNLIGHT trial of FTD/TPI plus bevacizumab met all recommended thresholds for clinically meaningful improvements, while also demonstrating a manageable safety profile and slower deterioration in multiple measures of QoL compared with FTD/TPI alone. The results from the SUNLIGHT study show that incremental gains in several clinically meaningful endpoints are achievable, thus raising the bar in defining clinically meaningful outcomes for emerging therapies in refractory mCRC.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Fakih
- Department of Medical Oncology and Therapeutics Research, City of Hope Comprehensive Cancer Center, Duarte, USA.
| | - G W Prager
- Department of Medicine I, Medical University Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - J Tabernero
- Medical Oncology Department, Vall d'Hebron Hospital Campus, Vall d'Hebron Institute of Oncology (VHIO), IOB-Quiron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - N Amellal
- Servier International Research Institute, Suresnes, France
| | - E Calleja
- Taiho Oncology, Inc., Princeton, USA
| | - J Taieb
- Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology Department, Hôpital Européen Georges-Pompidou, University Paris-Cité (Paris Descartes), SIRC CARPEM, Paris, France
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2
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Fukushima T, Suzuki K, Tanaka T, Okayama T, Inoue J, Morishita S, Nakano J. Global quality of life and mortality risk in patients with cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Qual Life Res 2024; 33:2631-2643. [PMID: 38811448 DOI: 10.1007/s11136-024-03691-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/20/2024] [Indexed: 05/31/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to examine the impact of global quality of life (QOL) on mortality risk in patients with cancer, considering cancer type and timepoint of QOL assessment. METHODS A systematic search was conducted using Cumulated Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, PubMed/MEDLINE, and Scopus databases from inception to December 2022. Observational studies that assessed QOL and examined mortality risk in patients with cancer were extracted. Subgroup analyses were performed for cancer types and timepoints of QOL assessment. RESULTS Overall, global QOL was significantly associated with mortality risk (hazard ratio: 1.06, 95% confidence interval: 1.05-1.07; p < 0.00001). A subgroup analysis based on cancer type demonstrated that lung, head and neck, breast, esophagus, colon, prostate, hematologic, liver, gynecologic, stomach, brain, bladder, bone and soft tissue, and mixed type cancers were significantly associated with mortality risk; however, melanoma and pancreatic cancer were not significantly associated with mortality risk. Additionally, global QOL was associated with mortality risk at all timepoints (pretreatment, posttreatment, and palliative phase); pretreatment QOL had the largest impact, followed by posttreatment QOL. CONCLUSION These findings provide evidence that QOL is associated with mortality risk in patients with cancer at any timepoint. These results indicate the importance of evaluating the QOL and supportive interventions to improve QOL in any phase.
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Affiliation(s)
- Takuya Fukushima
- Faculty of Rehabilitation, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan.
| | - Katsuyoshi Suzuki
- Division of Rehabilitation Medicine, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
| | - Takashi Tanaka
- Department of Rehabilitation, Hyogo Medical University Hospital, Nishinomiya, Japan
| | - Taro Okayama
- Division of Rehabilitation Medicine, Shizuoka Cancer Center, Shizuoka, Japan
| | - Junichiro Inoue
- Division of Rehabilitation Medicine, Kobe University Hospital International Clinical Cancer Research Center, Kobe, Japan
| | - Shinichiro Morishita
- Department of Physical Therapy, School of Health Science, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Jiro Nakano
- Faculty of Rehabilitation, Kansai Medical University, Osaka, Japan
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Karthaus M, Heinemann V, Riera-Knorrenschild J, Kretzschmar A, Welslau M, Kaiser U, Pelz H, Ettrich TJ, Held S, Kehmann L, Hess J, Reisländer T, Weiss L. Subgroup analyses from patients with pre-treated metastatic colorectal cancer receiving trifluridine/tipiracil: results of the TALLISUR trial. BMC Cancer 2024; 24:887. [PMID: 39044160 PMCID: PMC11267741 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12599-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2023] [Accepted: 07/03/2024] [Indexed: 07/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the pivotal phase III RECOURSE trial, trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) improved progression-free and overall survival (PFS, OS) of patients with pre-treated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Subsequently, the TALLISUR trial provided post-authorisation efficacy and safety data and patient-reported outcomes on quality of life (QoL) in a German patient cohort. The present analysis reports the final data on efficacy, safety and QoL and investigates the impact of baseline characteristics and associated prognostic subgroups on outcome. METHODS In this prospective, multi-centre, Germany-wide, phase IV study, patients with pre-treated mCRC were given the choice to receive either FTD/TPI or best supportive care (BSC). To assess the primary endpoint, QoL, EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaires were employed. Secondary endpoints included QoL assessed through EQ-5D-5L questionnaires, OS, PFS and safety. Additionally, 3 subgroups were defined according to a post-hoc analysis of the RECOURSE trial: best, good and poor prognostic characteristics (BPC, GPC, PPC). Patients with < 3 metastatic sites at inclusion and/or ≥ 18 months from diagnosis to inclusion were considered to have GPC. GPC patients without liver metastasis at inclusion were considered to have BPC. All remaining patients were considered to have PPC. RESULTS Of 195 patients, 186 decided to receive FTD/TPI and 9 to receive BSC. The low number of patients in the BSC-arm did not allow statistically meaningful analyses. Treatment with FTD/TPI was associated with maintained QoL. For all patients, median OS was 6.9 months (95% CI 6.1 - 8.3) and for the defined subgroups (BPC n = 20 vs GPC n = 65 vs PPC n = 121) 12.2, 7.9 and 6.8 months (95% CI 6.0 - 18.2, 6.2 - 13.3, 5.4 - 8.1). The most frequent TEAEs were neutropenia (29.6%), anaemia (24.7%) and nausea (23.7%). Febrile neutropenia occurred in 1.1%. CONCLUSIONS Treatment of patients suffering from pre-treated mCRC with FTD/TPI was associated not only with prolonged survival and delayed progression, but also with maintained QoL. Independent of other baseline characteristics such as ECOG performance status and age, low metastatic burden and indolent disease were factors associated with favourable outcome. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION EudraCT-Number 2017-000292-83, first registration 19/06/2017.
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Affiliation(s)
- Meinolf Karthaus
- Clinic for Haematology and Oncology, Klinikum Neuperlach, Oskar-Maria-Graf-Ring 51, 81737, Munich, Germany.
| | - Volker Heinemann
- Medizinische Klinik Und Poliklinik III, Klinikum Der Universität München, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
| | | | | | - Manfred Welslau
- Praxis Aschaffenburg, Elisenstr. 26, 63739, Aschaffenburg, Germany
| | - Ulrich Kaiser
- ÜBAG MVZ Dr. Vehling-Kaiser GmbH, Achdorfer Weg 5, 84036, Landshut, Germany
| | - Henning Pelz
- Ambulantes Therapiezentrum Für Hämatologie Und Onkologie, Ebertplatz 12, 77654, Offenburg, Germany
| | - Thomas J Ettrich
- Department of Internal Medicine I, Ulm University Hospital, Albert-Einstein-Allee 23, 89081, Ulm, Germany
| | - Swantje Held
- ClinAssess GmbH, Abteilung Biometrie, Werkstättenstr. 39B, 51379, Leverkusen, Germany
| | - Linde Kehmann
- Medical Affairs, SERVIER Deutschland GmbH, Elsenheimerstr. 53, 80687, Munich, Germany
| | - Jürgen Hess
- Medical Affairs, SERVIER Deutschland GmbH, Elsenheimerstr. 53, 80687, Munich, Germany
| | - Timo Reisländer
- Medical Affairs, SERVIER Deutschland GmbH, Elsenheimerstr. 53, 80687, Munich, Germany
| | - Lena Weiss
- Medizinische Klinik Und Poliklinik III, Klinikum Der Universität München, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany
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Zang Y, Qiu Y, Sun Y, Fan Y. Baseline functioning scales of EORTC QLQ-C30 predict overall survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancer: a meta-analysis. Qual Life Res 2024; 33:1455-1468. [PMID: 38227073 DOI: 10.1007/s11136-023-03591-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/19/2023] [Indexed: 01/17/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE A consensus has not been reached on the value of quality of life (QoL) as a prognostic factor for survival in gastrointestinal cancer. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the association between functioning scales of the EORTC QoL Questionnaire Core 30 (QLQ-C30) and the overall survival (OS) in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. METHODS A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases, until February 7, 2023. The studies included were those that investigated the association between baseline QoL measured by the functioning scales of EORTC QLQ-C30 and OS in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. The prognostic capacity of QoL was calculated by pooling the adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS Twenty-four studies' analyses reported by 22 eligible articles involving 11,609 patients were included. When compared with good parameters of QoL, poor global QoL (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.53-2.13), physical functioning (HR 1.51; 95% CI 1.31-1.74), social functioning (HR 1.67; 95% CI 1.30-2.15), and role functioning scale (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.20-1.29) were significantly associated with decreased OS. For each 10-point increase in QLQ-C30 parameters, the pooled HR of OS was 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.92) for global QoL, 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.92) for physical functioning, and 0.93 (95% CI 0.88-0.97) for role functioning. However, each 10-point increase in social, emotional, or cognitive functioning scale did not significantly predict OS. CONCLUSIONS Baseline health-related QoL defined by the physical functioning or global QoL scale of EORTC QLQ-C30 significantly predicts OS in patients with gastrointestinal cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ye Zang
- Department of Oncology, The People's Hospital of Danyang, Affiliated Danyang Hospital of Nantong University, Danyang, 212399, China
| | - Yue Qiu
- Cancer Institute, The Affiliated People's Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212002, China
| | - Yimeng Sun
- Cancer Institute, The Affiliated People's Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212002, China.
- Institute of Molecular Biology & Translational Medicine, The Affiliated People's Hospital, Jiangsu University, No. 8 Dianli Road, Zhenjiang, 212002, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Yu Fan
- Cancer Institute, The Affiliated People's Hospital, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212002, China.
- Institute of Molecular Biology & Translational Medicine, The Affiliated People's Hospital, Jiangsu University, No. 8 Dianli Road, Zhenjiang, 212002, Jiangsu, China.
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Liang Y, Zhang L. Influence of reminiscence therapy on mental health and quality of life in elderly patients with unresectable, metastatic gastrointestinal cancer. Braz J Med Biol Res 2024; 57:e13344. [PMID: 38808887 PMCID: PMC11136486 DOI: 10.1590/1414-431x2024e13344] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2023] [Accepted: 04/09/2024] [Indexed: 05/30/2024] Open
Abstract
Reminiscence therapy (RT) attenuates psychological disorders in cancer patients. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of RT on anxiety, depression, spiritual well-being, and quality of life in elderly patients with unresectable, metastatic gastrointestinal cancer. A total of 222 elderly patients with unresectable, metastatic gastrointestinal cancer were randomized into RT group (RT plus usual care, n=112) or control group (usual care, n=110) with a 6-month intervention. Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale for Anxiety (HADS-A) and Depression (HADS-D), Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Spiritual Well-Being Scale (FACIT-Sp), and Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (QLQ-C30) were evaluated at month (M)0, M1, M3, and M6. Concerning the primary outcome, HADS-A score at M6 decreased in the RT group compared to the control group (P=0.005). As to secondary outcomes, the RT group showed decreased HADS-A scores at M3, anxiety rate at M3, HADS-D scores at M3 and M6, depression rate at M6, as well as greater FACIT-Sp scores at M1, M3, and M6 vs the control group (all P<0.050). Additionally, QLQ-C30 global health score was elevated at M1 (P=0.046) and M6 (P=0.005), functions score was greater at M6 (P=0.038), and symptoms score was lower at M3 (P=0.019) in the RT group than in the control group. Subgroup analysis revealed that the addition of RT was more effective for patients with anxiety or depression at baseline. In summary, RT alleviated anxiety and depression, and improved the spiritual well-being and quality of life within 6 months in elderly patients with unresectable, metastatic gastrointestinal cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu Liang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Cancer Hospital, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
| | - Limin Zhang
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Cancer Hospital, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China
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6
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van Nassau SCMW, Bol GM, van der Baan FH, Roodhart JML, Vink GR, Punt CJA, May AM, Koopman M, Derksen JWG. Harnessing the Potential of Real-World Evidence in the Treatment of Colorectal Cancer: Where Do We Stand? Curr Treat Options Oncol 2024; 25:405-426. [PMID: 38367182 PMCID: PMC10997699 DOI: 10.1007/s11864-024-01186-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/17/2024] [Indexed: 02/19/2024]
Abstract
OPINION STATEMENT Treatment guidelines for colorectal cancer (CRC) are primarily based on the results of randomized clinical trials (RCTs), the gold standard methodology to evaluate safety and efficacy of oncological treatments. However, generalizability of trial results is often limited due to stringent eligibility criteria, underrepresentation of specific populations, and more heterogeneity in clinical practice. This may result in an efficacy-effectiveness gap and uncertainty regarding meaningful benefit versus treatment harm. Meanwhile, conduct of traditional RCTs has become increasingly challenging due to identification of a growing number of (small) molecular subtypes. These challenges-combined with the digitalization of health records-have led to growing interest in use of real-world data (RWD) to complement evidence from RCTs. RWD is used to evaluate epidemiological trends, quality of care, treatment effectiveness, long-term (rare) safety, and quality of life (QoL) measures. In addition, RWD is increasingly considered in decision-making by clinicians, regulators, and payers. In this narrative review, we elaborate on these applications in CRC, and provide illustrative examples. As long as the quality of RWD is safeguarded, ongoing developments, such as common data models, federated learning, and predictive modelling, will further unfold its potential. First, whenever possible, we recommend conducting pragmatic trials, such as registry-based RCTs, to optimize generalizability and answer clinical questions that are not addressed in registrational trials. Second, we argue that marketing approval should be conditional for patients who would have been ineligible for the registrational trial, awaiting planned (non) randomized evaluation of outcomes in the real world. Third, high-quality effectiveness results should be incorporated in treatment guidelines to aid in patient counseling. We believe that a coordinated effort from all stakeholders is essential to improve the quality of RWD, create a learning healthcare system with optimal use of trials and real-world evidence (RWE), and ultimately ensure personalized care for every CRC patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sietske C M W van Nassau
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands.
| | - Guus M Bol
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands
| | - Frederieke H van der Baan
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands
- Department of Epidemiology & Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Jeanine M L Roodhart
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands
| | - Geraldine R Vink
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands
- Department of Research and Development, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation (IKNL), Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Cornelis J A Punt
- Department of Epidemiology & Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Anne M May
- Department of Epidemiology & Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Miriam Koopman
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 100, PO Box 85500, Utrecht, 3584 CX, The Netherlands
| | - Jeroen W G Derksen
- Department of Epidemiology & Health Economics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
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7
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Aho S, Osterlund E, Ristimäki A, Nieminen L, Sundström J, Mäkinen MJ, Kuopio T, Kytölä S, Ålgars A, Ristamäki R, Heervä E, Kallio R, Halonen P, Soveri LM, Nordin A, Uutela A, Salminen T, Stedt H, Lamminmäki A, Muhonen T, Kononen J, Glimelius B, Isoniemi H, Lehto JT, Lehtomäki K, Osterlund P. Impact of Primary Tumor Location on Demographics, Resectability, Outcomes, and Quality of Life in Finnish Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients (Subgroup Analysis of the RAXO Study). Cancers (Basel) 2024; 16:1052. [PMID: 38473410 DOI: 10.3390/cancers16051052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2024] [Revised: 02/23/2024] [Accepted: 02/27/2024] [Indexed: 03/14/2024] Open
Abstract
The primary tumor location (PTL) is associated with the phenotype, metastatic sites, mutations, and outcomes of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients, but this has mostly been studied according to sidedness (right vs. left sided). We studied right colon vs. left colon vs. rectal PTL in a real-life study population (n = 1080). Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was assessed multi-cross-sectionally with QLQ-C30, QLQ-CR29, EQ-5D, and 15D. A chi-square, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox regression were used to compare the groups. The PTL was in the right colon in 310 patients (29%), the left colon in 396 patients (37%), and the rectum in 375 patients (35%). The PTL was associated with distinct differences in metastatic sites during the disease trajectory. The resectability, conversion, and resection rates were lowest in the right colon, followed by the rectum, and were highest in the left colon. Overall survival was shortest for right colon compared with left colon or rectal PTL (median 21 vs. 35 vs. 36 months), with the same trends after metastasectomy or systemic therapy only. PTL also remained statistically significant in a multivariable model. The distribution of symptoms varied according to PTL, especially between the right colon (with general symptoms of metastases) and rectal PTL (with sexual- and bowel-related symptoms). mCRC, according to PTL, behaves differently regarding metastatic sites, resectability of the metastases, outcomes of treatment, and HRQoL.
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Grants
- 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 Finska Läkaresällskapet
- 2019-2020, 2021, 2022-2023 Finnish Cancer Registry
- 2020-2022 Relanderin säätiö
- 2012, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 Competitive State Research Financing of the Expert Responsibility Area of Tampere, Helsinki, Turku, Kuopio, Oulu, and Satakunta Hospitals
- Tukisäätiö 2019, 2020, 2023 and OOO-project 2020 Tampere University Hospital
- 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 Helsinki University Hospital
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonja Aho
- Department of Oncology, Tays Cancer Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- TUNI Palliative Care Research Group, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Palliative Care Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
| | - Emerik Osterlund
- Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Uppsala University, 75185 Uppsala, Sweden
- Department of Transplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ari Ristimäki
- Department of Pathology, HUSLAB, HUS Diagnostic Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 3, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Applied Tumor Genomics Research Program, Research Programs Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Lasse Nieminen
- Department of Pathology, FIMLAB, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Department of Pathology, University of Tampere, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
| | - Jari Sundström
- Department of Pathology, Turku University Hospital, Kiinanmyllynkatu 4-8, 20520 Turku, Finland
- Institute of Biomedicine, University of Turku, Kiinanmyllynkatu 10, 20520 Turku, Finland
| | - Markus J Mäkinen
- Department of Pathology, Oulu University Hospital, Kajaanintie 50, 90220 Oulu, Finland
- Translational Medicine Research Unit, Department of Pathology, University of Oulu, Pentti Kaiteran katu 1, 90570 Oulu, Finland
- Medical Research Center Oulu, Pentti Kaiteran katu 1, 90570 Oulu, Finland
| | - Teijo Kuopio
- Department of Pathology, Hospital Nova, Hoitajantie 3, 40620 Jyväskylä, Finland
- Department of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Seminaarinkatu 15, 40014 Jyväskylän yliopisto, Finland
| | - Soili Kytölä
- Department of Genetics, HUSLAB, HUS Diagnostic Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 3, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Genetics, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Annika Ålgars
- Department of Oncology, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Hämeentie 11, 20520 Turku, Finland
| | - Raija Ristamäki
- Department of Oncology, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Hämeentie 11, 20520 Turku, Finland
| | - Eetu Heervä
- Department of Oncology, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Hämeentie 11, 20520 Turku, Finland
| | - Raija Kallio
- Department of Oncology, Oulu University Hospital, Kajaanintie 50, 90220 Oulu, Finland
- Department of Oncology, University of Oulu, Pentti Kaiteran katu 1, 90570 Oulu, Finland
| | - Päivi Halonen
- Department of Oncology, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Oncology, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Leena-Maija Soveri
- Department of Oncology, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Home Care, Joint Municipal Authority for Health Care and Social Services in Keski-Uusimaa, Sairaalakatu 1, 05850 Hyvinkää, Finland
| | - Arno Nordin
- Department of Transplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Aki Uutela
- Department of Transplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Tapio Salminen
- Department of Oncology, Tays Cancer Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
| | - Hanna Stedt
- Department of Oncology, Kuopio University Hospital, Puijonlaaksontie 2, 70210 Kuopio, Finland
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Yliopistonranta 1A, 70210 Kuopio, Finland
| | - Annamarja Lamminmäki
- Department of Oncology, Kuopio University Hospital, Puijonlaaksontie 2, 70210 Kuopio, Finland
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Yliopistonranta 1A, 70210 Kuopio, Finland
| | - Timo Muhonen
- Department of Oncology, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Oncology, South Carelia Central Hospital, Valto Käkelän Katu 1, 53130 Lappeenranta, Finland
| | - Juha Kononen
- Docrates Cancer Centre, Docrates Hospital, Saukonpaadenranta 2, 00180 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Oncology, Hospital Nova, Hoitajankatu 3, 40620 Jyväskylä, Finland
| | - Bengt Glimelius
- Department of Immunology, Genetics and Pathology, Uppsala University, 75185 Uppsala, Sweden
| | - Helena Isoniemi
- Department of Transplantation and Liver Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Surgery, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
| | - Juho T Lehto
- TUNI Palliative Care Research Group, Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Palliative Care Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
| | - Kaisa Lehtomäki
- Department of Oncology, Tays Cancer Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
| | - Pia Osterlund
- Department of Oncology, Tays Cancer Centre, Tampere University Hospital, Elämänaukio 2, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Arvo Ylpön katu 23, 33520 Tampere, Finland
- Department of Oncology, Helsinki University Hospital, Haartmaninkatu 4, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Oncology, University of Helsinki, Haartmaninkatu 8, 00290 Helsinki, Finland
- Department of Gastrointestinal Oncology, Karolinska Universitetssjukhuset, Eugeniavägen 3, 17176 Solna, Sweden
- Department of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Solnavägen 1, 17177 Solna, Sweden
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External Validation of the Colon Life Nomogram for Predicting 12-Week Mortality in Dutch Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients Treated with Trifluridine/Tipiracil in Daily Practice. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14205094. [PMID: 36291880 PMCID: PMC9599794 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14205094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2022] [Revised: 10/03/2022] [Accepted: 10/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary Predicting prognosis in cancer patients is needed to guide decision making. In order to predict survival, nomograms can be used to estimate chances of survival based on clinical characteristics. In order to identify metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients with a very short life expectancy (less than 12 weeks) after receiving multiple standard treatments, the Colon Life nomogram was previously developed. Before a nomogram can be used in daily practice, it is essential to show that it accurately predicts survival in different real-life populations and can be used to guide clinical decision making. This is called external validation. We externally validated the Colon Life nomogram in a cohort of patients with refractory mCRC who were treated with a last treatment option, trifluridine/tipiracil, in daily practice. We demonstrated that the nomogram severely overestimated 12-week mortality and therefore should not be used in clinical practice in its present form. We also showed that quality of life reported by patients themselves can improve the prediction of survival, stressing the importance of patient-reported outcomes. We recommend conducting a study with a sufficiently large sample size to update the Colon Life nomogram or to develop a new model and include quality of life. Abstract Background: Predicting prognosis in refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients is needed to guide decision making. The Colon Life nomogram was developed to predict 12-week mortality in refractory mCRC patients. The aim of this study is to validate the Colon Life nomogram in last line/refractory patients receiving trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) in daily practice. Methods: The validation cohort consists of 150 QUALITAS study patients, an observational substudy of the Prospective Dutch CRC cohort, who were treated with FTD/TPI between 2016 and 2019. Model performance was assessed on discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. The additional prognostic value of baseline quality of life (QoL) and thymidine kinase (TK1) expression in tissue was explored. Results: Of the 150 patients, 25 (16.7%) died within 12 weeks of starting FTD/TPI treatment. The C-statistic was 0.63 (95% C.I. 0.56–0.70). The observed/expected ratio was 0.52 (0.37–0.73). The calibration intercept and slope were −1.06 (−1.53 to −0.58) and 0.41 (0.01–0.81), respectively, which indicated overestimation of 12-week mortality by the nomogram. Decision curve analysis showed the nomogram did not yield a positive net benefit at clinically meaningful thresholds for predicted 12-week mortality. Addition of QoL to the nomogram improved the C-statistic to 0.85 (0.81–0.89). TK1 expression was associated with progression-free survival but not with overall survival. Conclusion: We demonstrated evident miscalibration of the Colon Life nomogram upon external validation, which hampers its use in clinical practice. We recommend conducting a study with a sufficiently large sample size to update the Colon Life nomogram or to develop a new model including QoL.
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