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Lin SH, Liu JW, Yen YT, Chen MT, Wang JT, Tu YK, Fang CT, Chang SC. Effectiveness of molnupiravir as early treatment for COVID-19 to prevent mortality and hospitalisation in high-risk adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials and real-world studies involving 1,612,082 patients. JOURNAL OF MICROBIOLOGY, IMMUNOLOGY, AND INFECTION = WEI MIAN YU GAN RAN ZA ZHI 2025:S1684-1182(25)00077-5. [PMID: 40204602 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmii.2025.03.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2024] [Revised: 03/20/2025] [Accepted: 03/26/2025] [Indexed: 04/11/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The efficacy of molnupiravir for COVID-19 treatment remains controversial due to substantial heterogeneity in dosage and study settings across randomised controlled trials (RCTs). METHOD We systematically searched Medline, PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Register of Clinical Trials up to February 3, 2025, for RCTs and real-world studies evaluating molnupiravir 800 mg twice daily as an early treatment for COVID-19 to prevent mortality and hospitalisation in high-risk adult outpatients. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalisation. Random-effects models were used to estimate pooled effect sizes. RESULTS Thirty-four studies were included, comprising 30,345 participants from 11 RCTs and 1,581,737 participants from 23 cohort studies. Molnupiravir reduced mortality risk by 55 %-65 % at 28 days (RCTs: risk ratio [RR] 0.35; 95 % CI 0.12-0.98, I2 0 %; cohort studies: RR 0.45; 95 % CI 0.27-0.73, I2 91 %). This benefit persisted at 3 months (RR 0.47; 95 % CI 0.23-0.95, I2 93 %) and 6 months (RR 0.62; 95 % CI 0.52-0.74, I2 0 %). The effectiveness in preventing 28-day hospitalisation varied by participants' mean age in both RCTs (35-45 vs. 45-57 years: RR 0.55; 95 % CI 0.36-0.84 vs. 1.06; 95 % CI 0.81-1.39, subgroup difference P = 0.01) and cohort studies (62-74 vs. 75-85 years: RR 0.88; 95 % CI 0.77-1.01 vs. 0.56; 95 % CI 0.44-0.72, subgroup difference P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Molnupiravir significantly reduces the risk of mortality. It also lowers the risk of hospitalisation in the oldest group (mean age ≥75 years) but not in younger groups (mean age 45-74 years).
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Affiliation(s)
- Shen-Hua Lin
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Pharmacy, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.
| | - Jen-Wei Liu
- Department of Pharmacy, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, Taiwan; School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Yi-Ti Yen
- School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Mong-Tan Chen
- School of Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Jann-Tay Wang
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan; National Institute of Infectious Diseases and Vaccinology, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Taiwan.
| | - Yu-Kang Tu
- Department of Dentistry, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Health Data Analytics & Statistics, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Chi-Tai Fang
- Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan; National Taiwan University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan; Master of Public Health Program, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Shan-Chwen Chang
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital and National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan; National Taiwan University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
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Zhao T, Wang Z, Tong M, Fei Y. The development of therapeutics and vaccines against COVID-19. Diagn Microbiol Infect Dis 2025; 111:116643. [PMID: 39637679 DOI: 10.1016/j.diagmicrobio.2024.116643] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2024] [Revised: 11/24/2024] [Accepted: 12/01/2024] [Indexed: 12/07/2024]
Abstract
Since the COVID-19 pandemic, it has caused a great threat to the global economy and public health, initiatives have been launched to control the spread of the virus. To explore the efficacy of drugs, a large number of clinical trials have been carried out, with the purpose of providing guidelines based on high-quality evidence for clinicians. We mainly discuss therapeutic agents for COVID-19 and explain the mechanism, including antiviral agents, tocilizumab, Janus kinase (JAK) inhibitors, neutralizing antibody therapies and corticosteroids. In addition, the COVID-19 vaccine has been proven to be efficacious in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection. We systematically analyzed four mainstream vaccine platforms: messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines, viral vector vaccines, inactivated vaccines and protein subunit vaccines. We evaluated the therapeutic effects of drugs and vaccines through enumerating the most typical clinical trials. However, the emergence of novel variants has further complicated the interpretation of the available clinical data, especially vaccines and antibody therapies. In the post-epidemic era, therapeutic agents are still the first choice for controlling the progression of disease, whereas the protective effect of vaccines against different strains should be assessed comprehensively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tianyu Zhao
- The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University/The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University(Shao Xing Municipal Hospital), China
| | - Zhiwei Wang
- The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University/The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University(Shao Xing Municipal Hospital), China
| | - Mingjiong Tong
- The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University/The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University(Shao Xing Municipal Hospital), China
| | - Yingming Fei
- The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University/The Affiliated Hospital of Shao Xing University(Shao Xing Municipal Hospital), China.
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Jorda A, Ensle D, Eser H, Glötzl F, Riedl B, Szell M, Valipour A, Zoufaly A, Wenisch C, Haider D, Burgmann H, Thalhammer F, Götzinger F, Jilma B, Ristl R, Karnthaler U, Zeitlinger M. Real-world effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir in non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19: a population-based, retrospective cohort study. Clin Microbiol Infect 2025; 31:451-458. [PMID: 39505067 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2024.10.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Revised: 10/15/2024] [Accepted: 10/28/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The real-world effectiveness of the oral antivirals nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and molnupiravir against the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant remains uncertain. We aimed to estimate their effectiveness in non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19. METHODS This retrospective cohort study used data from the Municipal Department for Public Health Services of Vienna, Austria, to identify non-hospitalized adults with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between January 2022 and May 2023. Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users were compared with untreated controls and molnupiravir users with untreated controls by calculating adjusted risk differences (aRDs) using a covariate-adjusted logistic regression model with inverse probability weighting. Outcomes were hospitalization and all-cause death within 28 days. RESULTS We identified 113 399 eligible cases (90 481 untreated controls, 12 166 nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users, and 10 752 molnupiravir users). Over 96% of the patients were immunized by previous infection or vaccination. In the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir analysis, the estimated risk of hospitalization was 0.57% (95% CI, 0.35-0.78) in nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users and 1.09% (95% CI, 0.86-1.32) in untreated controls (aRD, -0.53%; 95% CI, -0.77 to -0.28). The estimated risk of death was 0.0% (95% CI, 0.0-0.0) in nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users and 0.13% (95% CI, 0.08-0.18) in untreated controls (aRD, -0.13%, 95% CI, -0.18 to -0.08). The number needed to treat to prevent hospitalization and death was 190 (95% CI, 130-356) and 792 (95% CI, 571-1289), respectively. These statistically significant aRDs were restricted to the subgroup of patients ≥60 years. In the molnupiravir analysis, the estimated risk of hospitalization was 1.36% (95% CI, 0.95-1.77) in molnupiravir users and 1.16% (95% CI, 0.93-1.39) in untreated controls (aRD, 0.2%; 95% CI, -0.08 to 0.49). The estimated risk of death was 0.12% (95% CI, 0.01-0.23) in molnupiravir users and 0.14% (95% CI, 0.06-0.21) in untreated controls (aRD, -0.01%; 95% CI, -0.08 to -0.06). DISCUSSION Among outpatients aged ≥60 years with COVID-19 in an Omicron-dominated era, treatment with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with a lower risk of hospitalization and all-cause death within 28 days, albeit with wide CIs and high numbers needed to treat. This finding was not observed in molnupiravir users and younger nirmatrelvir-ritonavir users.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anselm Jorda
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Dominik Ensle
- Municipal Department for Public Health Services of the City of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Hubert Eser
- Municipal Department for Information Technology of the City of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Florentin Glötzl
- Department for Socioeconomics, Institute for Ecological Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria
| | - Benjamin Riedl
- Department for Socioeconomics, Institute for Ecological Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria
| | - Marton Szell
- Department of Internal Medicine 2, Emergency Department, Klinik Donaustadt, Vienna, Austria
| | - Arschang Valipour
- Karl-Landsteiner Institute for Lung Research and Pulmonary Oncology Vienna, Health Care Group Klinik Floridsdorf, Vienna, Austria
| | - Alexander Zoufaly
- Fourth Medical Department with Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Klinik Favoriten, Vienna, Austria
| | - Christoph Wenisch
- Fourth Medical Department with Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Klinik Favoriten, Vienna, Austria
| | - Doris Haider
- Department of Pharmacy, Kaiser Franz Josef Hospital-Clinic Favoriten, Vienna, Austria
| | - Heinz Burgmann
- Department of Internal Medicine I, Division of Infectious Diseases and Tropical Medicine, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | | | - Florian Götzinger
- Division of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Klinik Ottakring, Vienna Healthcare Group, Vienna, Austria
| | - Bernd Jilma
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Robin Ristl
- Center for Medical Data Science, Institute of Medical Statistics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Ursula Karnthaler
- Municipal Department for Public Health Services of the City of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Markus Zeitlinger
- Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
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Harris V, Holmes J, Gbinigie-Thompson O, Rahman NM, Richards DB, Hayward G, Dorward J, Lowe DM, Standing JF, Breuer J, Khoo S, Petrou S, Hood K, Ahmed H, Carson-Stevens A, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Patel MG, Saville BR, Francis N, Thomas NPB, Evans P, Dobson M, Png ME, Lown M, van Hecke O, Jani BD, Hart ND, Butler D, Cureton L, Patil M, Andersson M, Coates M, Bateman C, Davies JC, Raymundo-Wood I, Ustianowski A, Yu LM, Hobbs FDR, Little P, Butler CC. Health outcomes 3 months and 6 months after molnupiravir treatment for COVID-19 for people at higher risk in the community (PANORAMIC): a randomised controlled trial. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2025; 25:68-79. [PMID: 39265595 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(24)00431-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2024] [Revised: 06/30/2024] [Accepted: 07/02/2024] [Indexed: 09/14/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND No randomised controlled trials have yet reported on the effectiveness of molnupiravir on longer term outcomes for COVID-19. The PANORAMIC trial found molnupiravir reduced time to recovery in acute COVID-19 over 28 days. We aimed to report the effect of molnupiravir treatment for COVID-19 on wellbeing, severe and persistent symptoms, new infections, health care and social service use, medication use, and time off work at 3 months and 6 months post-randomisation. METHODS This study is a follow-up to the main analysis, which was based on the first 28 days of follow-up and has been previously reported. For this multicentre, primary care, open-label, multi-arm, prospective randomised controlled trial conducted in the UK, participants were eligible if aged at least 50 years, or at least 18 years with a comorbidity, and unwell 5 days or less with confirmed COVID-19 in the community. Participants were randomly assigned to the usual care group or molnupiravir group plus usual care (800 mg twice a day for 5 days), which was stratified by age (<50 years or ≥50 years) and vaccination status (at least one dose: yes or no). The primary outcome was hospitalisation or death (or both) at 28 days; all longer term outcomes were considered to be secondary outcomes and included self-reported ratings of wellness (on a scale of 0-10), experiencing any symptom (fever, cough, shortness of breath, fatigue, muscle ache, nausea and vomiting, diarrhoea, loss of smell or taste, headache, dizziness, abdominal pain, and generally feeling unwell) rated as severe (moderately bad or major problem) or persistent, any health and social care use, health-related quality of life (measured by the EQ-5D-5L), time off work or school, new infections, and hospitalisation. FINDINGS Between Dec 8, 2021, and April 27, 2022, 25 783 participants were randomly assigned to the molnupiravir plus usual care group (n=12 821) or usual care group (n=12 962). Long-term follow-up data were available for 23 008 (89·2%) of 25 784 participants with 11 778 (91·9%) of 12 821 participants in the molnupiravir plus usual care group and 11 230 (86·6%) of 12 963 in the usual care group. 22 806 (99·1%) of 23 008 had at least one previous dose of a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. Any severe (3 months: adjusted risk difference -1·6% [-2·6% to -0·6%]; probability superiority [p(sup)]>0·99; number needed to treat [NNT] 62·5; 6 months: -1·9% [-2·9% to -0·9%]; p(sup)>0·99, NNT 52·6) or persistent symptoms (3 months: adjusted risk difference -2·1% [-2·9% to -1·5%]; p(sup)>0·99; NNT 47·6; 6 months: -2·5% [-3·3% to -1·6%]; p(sup)>0·99; NNT 40) were reduced in severity, and health-related quality of life (measured by the EQ-5D-5L) improved in the molnupiravir plus usual care group at 3 months and 6 months (3 months: adjusted mean difference 1·08 [0·65 to 1·53]; p(sup)>0·99; 6 months: 1·09 [0·63 to 1·55]; p(sup)>0·99). Ratings of wellness (3 months: adjusted mean difference 0·15 (0·11 to 0·19); p(sup)>0·99; 6 months: 0·12 (0·07 to 0·16); p(sup)>0·99), experiencing any more severe symptom (3 months; adjusted risk difference -1·6% [-2·6% to -0·6%]; p(sup)=0·99; 6 months: -1·9% [-2·9% to -0·9%]; p(sup)>0·99), and health-care use (3 months: adjusted risk difference -1·4% [-2·3% to -0·4%]; p(sup)>0·99; NNT 71·4; 6 months: -0·5% [-1·5% to 0·4%]; p(sup)>0·99; NNT 200) had high probabilities of superiority with molnupiravir treatment. There were significant differences in persistence of any symptom (910 [8·9%] of 10 190 vs 1027 [11%] of 9332, NNT 67) at 6 months, and reported time off work at 3 months (2017 [17·9%] of 11 274 vs 2385 [22·4%] of 10 628) and 6 months (460 [4·4%] of 10 562 vs 527 [5·4%] of 9846; NNT 100). There were no differences in hospitalisations at long-term follow-up. INTERPRETATION In a vaccinated population, people treated with molnupiravir for acute COVID-19 felt better, experienced fewer and less severe COVID-19 associated symptoms, accessed health care less often, and took less time off work at 6 months. However, the absolute differences in this open-label design are small with high numbers needed to treat. FUNDING UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health and Care Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Harris
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jane Holmes
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Najib M Rahman
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Oxford Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Duncan B Richards
- Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gail Hayward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jienchi Dorward
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - David M Lowe
- Institute of Immunity and Transplantation, University College London, London, UK
| | - Joseph F Standing
- Infection, Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK; Department of Pharmacy, Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children, London, UK
| | - Judith Breuer
- Infection, Inflammation and Immunology, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK
| | - Saye Khoo
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Stavros Petrou
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Kerenza Hood
- Centre for Trials Research, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | - Haroon Ahmed
- Division of Population Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK
| | | | | | - Mahendra G Patel
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Benjamin R Saville
- Berry Consultants, Austin, TX, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Nick Francis
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Nicholas P B Thomas
- Windrush Medical Practice, Witney, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research Clinical Research Network: Thames Valley and South Midlands, Oxford, UK; Royal College of General Practitioners, London, UK
| | - Philip Evans
- Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research Clinical Research Network, Leeds, UK
| | - Melissa Dobson
- Oxford Respiratory Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - May Ee Png
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark Lown
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Oliver van Hecke
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Bhautesh D Jani
- General Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Nigel D Hart
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Daniel Butler
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
| | - Lucy Cureton
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Meena Patil
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Monique Andersson
- Department of Microbiology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Maria Coates
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Clare Bateman
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jennifer C Davies
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ivy Raymundo-Wood
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Andrew Ustianowski
- Regional Infectious Diseases Unit, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | - Ly-Mee Yu
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - F D Richard Hobbs
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul Little
- Primary Care Research Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Christopher C Butler
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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5
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Sun G, Lin K, Ai J, Zhang W. The efficacy of antivirals, corticosteroids, and monoclonal antibodies as acute COVID-19 treatments in reducing the incidence of long COVID: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Clin Microbiol Infect 2024; 30:1505-1513. [PMID: 39002665 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2024.07.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2024] [Revised: 07/04/2024] [Accepted: 07/07/2024] [Indexed: 07/15/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Whether treatment during acute COVID-19 results in protective efficacy against long COVID incidence remains unclear. OBJECTIVES To assess the relationship between acute COVID-19 treatments of antivirals, corticosteroids, and monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and long COVID incidence, and their effects in different populations and individual symptoms. METHODS A systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES Searches were conducted up to January 29, 2024 in PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, and Embase. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA Articles that reported long COVID incidence post-acute COVID with a follow-up of at least 30 days with no language restrictions. PARTICIPANTS Patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis history. INTERVENTIONS Patients treated with antivirals, corticosteroids or mAbs. ASSESSMENT OF RISK OF BIAS Quality assessment was based on the Newcastle-Ottawa scale, risk of bias in nonrandomized studies of interventions-I and Cochrane risk of bias tool. METHODS OF DATA SYNTHESIS Basic characteristics were documented for each study. Random forest model and meta-regression were used to evaluate the correlation between treatments and long COVID. RESULTS Our search identified 2363 records, 32 of which were included in the qualitative synthesis and 25 included into the meta-analysis. Effect size from 14 papers investigating acute COVID-19 antiviral treatment concluded its protective efficacy against long COVID (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.48-0.79; p 0.0002); however, corticosteroid (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 0.80-3.09; p 0.1913), and mAbs treatments (OR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.56-1.56; p 0.8012) did not generate such effect. Subsequent subgroup analysis revealed that antivirals provided stronger protection in the aged, male, unvaccinated and nondiabetic populations. Furthermore, antivirals effectively reduced 8 out of the 22 analysed long COVID symptoms. CONCLUSIONS Our meta-analysis determined that antivirals reduced long COVID incidence across populations and should thus be recommended for acute COVID-19 treatment. There was no relationship between mAbs treatment and long COVID, but studies should be conducted to clarify acute COVID-19 corticosteroids' potential harmful effects on the post-acute phase of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gangqiang Sun
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Ke Lin
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jingwen Ai
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Sci-Tech Inno Center for Infection & Immunity, Shanghai, China.
| | - Wenhong Zhang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Huashan Hospital, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Sci-Tech Inno Center for Infection & Immunity, Shanghai, China; Institute of Infection and Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
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6
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Navidi Z, Pakzad Moghadam SH, Iravani MM, Orandi A, Orandi A, Ghazi SF, Fallah E, Malekabad ES, Khorramnia S. Remdesivir in solid organ transplant recipients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. CLINICAL TRANSPLANTATION AND RESEARCH 2024; 38:212-221. [PMID: 39344698 PMCID: PMC11464156 DOI: 10.4285/ctr.24.0031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2024] [Revised: 08/25/2024] [Accepted: 09/11/2024] [Indexed: 10/01/2024]
Abstract
Background The use of remdesivir in solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been studied. The present systematic review and analysis aimed to assess its effectiveness in this population. Methods A comprehensive search of PubMed, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Embase, medRxiv, and Google Scholar was conducted to identify relevant articles published up to April 2024. The quality of the included studies was evaluated using the Cochrane assessment tool. Data analysis was performed using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software ver. 3.0. Results The meta-analysis included seven eligible retrospective studies, involving a total of 574 SOTRs. The findings indicated no significant differences in mortality rate (odds ratio [OR], 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-2.39), hospitalization rate (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.10-4.79), need for mechanical ventilation (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.44-2.18), or need for oxygen therapy (OR, 3.73; 95% CI, 0.75-18.34) between the groups that received remdesivir and those that did not. However, a statistically significant difference was observed in the rate of intensive care unit admissions between the two groups (OR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.24-4.57). Conclusions Our meta-analysis found that remdesivir offers no clinical benefits to SOTRs infected with COVID-19. Additional high-quality research is required to assess the potential clinical advantages of remdesivir for SOTRs with COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zia Navidi
- Department of Anesthesiology, School of Medicine, Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan, Iran
| | | | - Mojgan Mohajeri Iravani
- Department of Anesthesiology, Faculty of Paramedical Sciences, AJA University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Amirhossein Orandi
- Department of Anesthesiology, Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Amirali Orandi
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Sina Hospital, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Samrand Fattah Ghazi
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex, School of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ehsan Fallah
- Department of Orthopedics, School of Medicine, AJA University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Saeed Khorramnia
- Department of Anesthesiology, School of Medicine, Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences, Rafsanjan, Iran
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7
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Mesfin YM, Blais JE, Kibret KT, Tegegne TK, Cowling BJ, Wu P. Effectiveness of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and molnupiravir in non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. J Antimicrob Chemother 2024; 79:2119-2131. [PMID: 38817046 PMCID: PMC11368430 DOI: 10.1093/jac/dkae163] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Accepted: 05/05/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and molnupiravir among vaccinated and unvaccinated non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19. METHODS Observational studies of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir or molnupiravir compared to no antiviral drug treatment for COVID-19 in non-hospitalized adults with data on vaccination status were included. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, WHO COVID-19 Research Database and medRxiv for reports published between 1 January 2022 and 8 November 2023. The primary outcome was a composite of hospitalization or mortality up to 35 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. Risk of bias was assessed with ROBINS-I. Risk ratios (RR), hazard ratios (HR) and risk differences (RD) were separately estimated using random-effects models. RESULTS We included 30 cohort studies on adults treated with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (n = 462 279) and molnupiravir (n = 48 008). Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir probably reduced the composite outcome (RR 0.62, 95%CI 0.55-0.70; I2 = 0%; moderate certainty) with no evidence of effect modification by vaccination status (RR Psubgroup = 0.47). In five studies, RD estimates against the composite outcome for nirmatrelvir/ritonavir were 1.21% (95%CI 0.57% to 1.84%) in vaccinated and 1.72% (95%CI 0.59% to 2.85%) in unvaccinated subgroups.Molnupiravir may slightly reduce the composite outcome (RR 0.75, 95%CI 0.67-0.85; I2 = 32%; low certainty). Evidence of effect modification by vaccination status was inconsistent among studies reporting different effect measures (RR Psubgroup = 0.78; HR Psubgroup = 0.08). In two studies, RD against the composite outcome for molnupiravir were -0.01% (95%CI -1.13% to 1.10%) in vaccinated and 1.73% (95%CI -2.08% to 5.53%) in unvaccinated subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Among cohort studies of non-hospitalized adults with COVID-19, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir is effective against the composite outcome of severe COVID-19 independent of vaccination status. Further research and a reassessment of molnupiravir use among vaccinated adults are warranted. REGISTRATION PROSPERO CRD42023429232.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yonatan M Mesfin
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
- Immunity & Global Health, Murdoch Children’s Research Institute (MCRI), Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - Joseph E Blais
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D4H), Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
- Centre for Safe Medication Practice and Research, Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacy, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
| | - Kelemu Tilahun Kibret
- Global Centre for Preventive Health and Nutrition, Deakin University, Geelong, VIC, Australia
| | - Teketo Kassaw Tegegne
- Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University, Geelong, VIC, Australia
| | - Benjamin J Cowling
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D4H), Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
| | - Peng Wu
- School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D4H), Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administration Region, Hong Kong, China
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Amani B, Amani B. Comparison of effectiveness and safety of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir versus sotrovimab for COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther 2024; 22:547-555. [PMID: 38457124 DOI: 10.1080/14787210.2024.2326561] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 03/09/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aims to compare the effectiveness and safety of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid) and sotrovimab for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS A search was conducted on PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science to explore relevant studies from January 2021 to November 2023. The risk of bias in the included studies was assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration's tool. Data analysis was conducted using the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis software (version 3.0). RESULTS Fifteen retrospective studies involving 13, 306 patients were included. The meta-analysis revealed no significant difference between the nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and sotrovimab groups in terms of mortality rate (odds ratio [OR] = 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 1.38), hospitalization rate (OR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.48 to 1.22), death or hospitalization rate (OR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.51 to 1.10), and intensive unit care admission (OR = 1.97, 95% CI: 0.38 to 10.07). In terms of safety, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir was associated with a higher incidence of adverse events (OR = 3.44, 95% CI: 1.29 to 9.17). CONCLUSIONS The meta-analysis showed that nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and sotrovimab have similar effectiveness in treating COVID-19 patients. However, the certainty of evidence supporting these findings is low. High-quality research is needed to better compare these interventions in COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Behnam Amani
- Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Bahman Amani
- Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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9
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Amani B, Amani B. Comparison of effectiveness and safety of molnupiravir versus sotrovimab for COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Immun Inflamm Dis 2024; 12:e1262. [PMID: 38652021 PMCID: PMC11037253 DOI: 10.1002/iid3.1262] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2023] [Revised: 04/03/2024] [Accepted: 04/12/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the effectiveness and safety of molnupiravir and sotrovimab in the treatment of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS Cochrane Library, Web of Science, PubMed, medRxiv, and Google Scholar were systematically searched to identify relevant evidence up to December 2023. The risk of bias was assessed using the risk of bias in nonrandomized studies of interventions tool. Data were analyzed using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA). RESULTS Our search identified and included 13 studies involving 16166 patients. The meta-analysis revealed a significant difference between the molnupiravir and sotrovimab groups in terms of the mortality rate (odds ratio [OR] = 2.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.16, 3.70). However, no significant difference was observed between the two groups in terms of hospitalization rate (OR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.47, 1.06), death or hospitalization rate (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 0.81, 2.83), and intensive care unit admission (OR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.07, 4.84). In terms of safety, molnupiravir was associated with a higher incidence of adverse events (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.21, 2.30). CONCLUSION The current findings indicate that sotrovimab may be more effective than molnupiravir in reducing the mortality rate in COVID-19 patients. However, no statistical difference was observed between the two treatments for other effectiveness outcomes. The certainty of evidence for these findings was rated as low or moderate. Further research is required to provide a better comparison of these interventions in treating COVID-19 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bahman Amani
- Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
| | - Behnam Amani
- Department of Health Management and Economics, School of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran
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Zheng B, Zhao Q, Yang W, Feng P, Xin C, Ying Y, Yang B, Han B, Zhu J, Zhang M, Li G. Small-molecule antiviral treatments for COVID-19: A systematic review and network meta-analysis. Int J Antimicrob Agents 2024; 63:107096. [PMID: 38244811 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2024.107096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2023] [Revised: 01/04/2024] [Accepted: 01/16/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to explore the efficacy and safety of small-molecule antivirals for treating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS Seven databases were searched from their inception to 01 June 2023. The risk of bias in randomised controlled trials and retrospective studies was evaluated individually using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool and Newcastle Ottawa Scale. RESULTS In total, 160 studies involving 933 409 COVID-19 patients were evaluated. Compared with placebo or standard of care, proxalutamide demonstrated remarkable efficacy in reducing mortality rates, hospitalisation rates, serious adverse events, and the need for mechanical ventilation. Furthermore, it significantly enhanced both the rate of clinical improvement and expedited the duration of clinical recovery when compared with control groups. In patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19, proxalutamide exhibited the above advantages, except for mortality reduction. Triazavirin was the most effective treatment for reducing the time required for viral clearance and improving the discharge rate. Leritrelvir and VV116 were ranked first in terms of enhancing the viral clearance rate on days 7 and 14, respectively. Molnupiravir was the most effective treatment for reducing the need for oxygen support. Overall, these findings remained consistent across the various subgroups. CONCLUSIONS A thorough evaluation of effectiveness, applicable to both mild-to-moderate and unstratified populations, highlights the specific advantages of proxalutamide, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir, triazavirin, azvudine, molnupiravir, and VV116 in combating COVID-19. Additional clinical data are required to confirm the efficacy and safety of simnotrelvir/ritonavir and leritrelvir. The safety profiles of these antivirals were deemed acceptable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bei Zheng
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Qinqin Zhao
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wenjuan Yang
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Pinpin Feng
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Chuanwei Xin
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yin Ying
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Bo Yang
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Bing Han
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Meiling Zhang
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
| | - Gonghua Li
- Department of Pharmacy, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China; Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
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Lu Y, Wang C, Wang Y, Chen Y, Zhao L, Li Y. Case report: Enhancing prognosis in severe COVID-19 through human herpes virus coinfection treatment strategies. Front Cell Infect Microbiol 2024; 13:1320933. [PMID: 38268789 PMCID: PMC10806028 DOI: 10.3389/fcimb.2023.1320933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2023] [Accepted: 12/20/2023] [Indexed: 01/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Background In the context of increasing reports of co-infection with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), particularly with human herpes viruses (HHVs), it is important to consider the appropriate treatment options for HHVs that have been reactivated by COVID-19. Case presentation This study presents two cases of severe COVID-19 with HHV co-infection. The first case involved a critically ill patient with COVID-19 co-infected with herpes simplex virus type 1, confirmed using metagenomic next-generation sequencing, and another patient with severe COVID-19 experiencing Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) reactivation, as evidenced by elevated EBV-DNA levels in the serum. Treatment included high-dose glucocorticoids and sivelestat sodium, with notable improvements observed after initiating ganciclovir anti-herpesvirus therapy. Conclusion This study underscores the significance of recognizing HHV co-infections in severe COVID-19 cases and highlights the potential of combining anti-HHV treatment, increased glucocorticoid dosages, and anti-cytokine storm therapy to enhance prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Yu Li
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
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Liang Y, Ma L, Wang Y, Zheng J, Su L, Lyu J. Adverse events associated with molnupiravir: a real-world disproportionality analysis in food and drug administration adverse event reporting system. Front Pharmacol 2023; 14:1253799. [PMID: 38026949 PMCID: PMC10644225 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2023.1253799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Molnupiravir, an urgently approved drug during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, serves as the basis for our study, which relies on the Food and Drug Administration Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS). The objective is to extract adverse event (AE) signals associated with molnupiravir from the FAERS database, thereby providing a reference for post-marketing monitoring of adverse events. Specifically, we extracted individual case safety reports (ICSRs) from the database, focusing on cases with COVID-19 indications and molnupiravir identified as the primary suspect drug. Descriptive analysis of the extracted data was performed, followed by four disproportionality analyses using the reporting odds ratio (ROR) method. These analyses were conducted across four levels, encompassing overall data, reports by health professionals, as well as age and gender differentiations, ensuring the robustness of the analysis results. In total, 116,576 ICSRs with COVID-19 indications and 2,285 ICSRs with molnupiravir as the primary suspect were extracted. Notably, after excluding cases with unknown age or gender, a higher proportion of molnupiravir-related ICSRs were observed among individuals aged 65 years and older (70.07%) and women (54.06%). The most frequently reported adverse events and AE signals were associated with gastrointestinal disorders, as well as skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders. Moreover, individuals aged 65 years and older exhibited a higher risk of cardiac disorders, hepatobiliary disorders, renal and urinary disorders, and vascular disorders. In conclusion, this study found molnupiravir demonstrated a lower risk of serious adverse events compared to other RNA antiviral drugs like remdesivir in patients under 65 years old. However, close monitoring of its safety is still necessary for elderly patients aged 65 years and above. Further studies are warranted to continuously assess the safety profile of molnupiravir as its usage increases, especially in high risk populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yankun Liang
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Lin Ma
- Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Yuting Wang
- School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Jingping Zheng
- School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Ling Su
- School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Jun Lyu
- Department of Clinical Research, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Traditional Chinese Medicine Information, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
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Cegolon L, Pol R, Simonetti O, Larese Filon F, Luzzati R. Molnupiravir, Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir, or Sotrovimab for High-Risk COVID-19 Patients Infected by the Omicron Variant: Hospitalization, Mortality, and Time until Negative Swab Test in Real Life. Pharmaceuticals (Basel) 2023; 16:721. [PMID: 37242504 PMCID: PMC10221734 DOI: 10.3390/ph16050721] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2023] [Revised: 05/01/2023] [Accepted: 05/03/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Background. Several drugs which are easy to administer in outpatient settings have been authorized and endorsed for high-risk COVID-19 patients with mild-moderate disease to prevent hospital admission and death, complementing COVID-19 vaccines. However, the evidence on the efficacy of COVID-19 antivirals during the Omicron wave is scanty or conflicting. Methods. This retrospective controlled study investigated the efficacy of Molnupiravir or Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (Paxlovid®) or Sotrovimab against standard of care (controls) on three different endpoints among 386 high-risk COVID-19 outpatients: hospital admission at 30 days; death at 30 days; and time between COVID-19 diagnosis and first negative swab test result. Multivariable logistic regression was employed to investigate the determinants of hospitalization due to COVID-19-associated pneumonia, whereas time to first negative swab test result was investigated by means of multinomial logistic analysis as well as Cox regression analysis. Results. Only 11 patients (overall rate of 2.8%) developed severe COVID-19-associated pneumonia requiring admission to hospital: 8 controls (7.2%); 2 patients on Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (2.0%); and 1 on Sotrovimab (1.8%). No patient on Molnupiravir was institutionalized. Compared to controls, hospitalization was less likely for patients on Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (aOR = 0.16; 95% CI: 0.03; 0.89) or Molnupiravir (omitted estimate); drug efficacy was 84% for Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir against 100% for Molnupiravir. Only two patients died of COVID-19 (rate of 0.5%), both were controls, one (a woman aged 96 years) was unvaccinated and the other (a woman aged 72 years) had adequate vaccination status. At Cox regression analysis, the negativization rate was significantly higher in patients treated with both antivirals-Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (aHR = 1.68; 95% CI: 1.25; 2.26) or Molnupiravir (aHR = 1.45; 95% CI: 1.08; 1.94). However, COVID-19 vaccination with three (aHR = 2.03; 95% CI: 1.51; 2.73) or four (aHR = 2.48; 95% CI: 1.32; 4.68) doses had a slightly stronger effect size on viral clearance. In contrast, the negativization rate reduced significantly in patients who were immune-depressed (aHR = 0.70; 95% CI: 0.52; 0.93) or those with a Charlson index ≥5 (aHR = 0.63; 0.41; 0.95) or those who had started the respective treatment course 3+ days after COVID-19 diagnosis (aOR = 0.56; 95% CI: 0.38; 0.82). Likewise, at internal analysis (excluding patients on standard of care), patients on Molnupiravir (aHR = 1.74; 95% CI: 1.21; 2.50) or Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (aHR = 1.96; 95% CI: 1.32; 2.93) were more likely to turn negative earlier than those on Sotrovimab (reference category). Nonetheless, three (aHR = 1.91; 95% CI: 1.33; 2.74) or four (aHR = 2.20; 95% CI: 1.06; 4.59) doses of COVID-19 vaccine were again associated with a faster negativization rate. Again, the negativization rate was significantly lower if treatment started 3+ days after COVID-19 diagnosis (aHR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.32; 0.92). Conclusions. Molnupiravir, Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir, and Sotrovimab were all effective in preventing hospital admission and/or mortality attributable to COVID-19. However, hospitalizations also decreased with higher number of doses of COVID-19 vaccines. Although they are effective against severe disease and mortality, the prescription of COVID-19 antivirals should be carefully scrutinized by double opinion, not only to contain health care costs but also to reduce the risk of generating resistant SARS-CoV-2 strains. Only 64.7% of patients were in fact immunized with 3+ doses of COVID-19 vaccines in the present study. High-risk patients should prioritize COVID-19 vaccination, which is a more cost-effective approach than antivirals against severe SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Likewise, although both antivirals, especially Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir, were more likely than standard of care and Sotrovimab to reduce viral shedding time (VST) in high-risk SARS-CoV-2 patients, vaccination had an independent and stronger effect on viral clearance. However, the effect of antivirals or COVID-19 vaccination on VST should be considered a secondary benefit. Indeed, recommending Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir in order to control VST in high-risk COVID-19 patients is rather questionable since other cheap, large spectrum and harmless nasal disinfectants such as hypertonic saline solutions are available on the market with proven efficacy in containing VST.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luca Cegolon
- Department of Medical, Surgical & Health Sciences, University of Trieste, 34147 Trieste, Italy; (F.L.F.); (R.L.)
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Health Agency Giuliano-Isontina (ASUGI), 34129 Trieste, Italy
| | - Riccardo Pol
- Infectious Disease Unit, University Health Agency Giuliano-Isontina (ASUGI), 34129 Trieste, Italy; (R.P.)
| | - Omar Simonetti
- Infectious Disease Unit, University Health Agency Giuliano-Isontina (ASUGI), 34129 Trieste, Italy; (R.P.)
| | - Francesca Larese Filon
- Department of Medical, Surgical & Health Sciences, University of Trieste, 34147 Trieste, Italy; (F.L.F.); (R.L.)
- Occupational Medicine Unit, University Health Agency Giuliano-Isontina (ASUGI), 34129 Trieste, Italy
| | - Roberto Luzzati
- Department of Medical, Surgical & Health Sciences, University of Trieste, 34147 Trieste, Italy; (F.L.F.); (R.L.)
- Infectious Disease Unit, University Health Agency Giuliano-Isontina (ASUGI), 34129 Trieste, Italy; (R.P.)
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