A machine learning-based diagnosis modelling of type 2 diabetes mellitus with environmental metal exposure

Exploring potential diagnostic markers and therapeutic targets for type 2 diabetes mellitus with major depressive disorder through bioinformatics and in vivo experiments

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and Major depressive disorder (MDD) act as risk factors for each other, and the comorbidity of both significantly increases the all-cause mortality rate. Therefore, studying the diagnosis and treatment of diabetes with depression (DD) is of great significance. In this study, we progressively identified hub genes associated with T2DM and depression through WGCNA analysis, PPI networks, and machine learning, and constructed ROC and nomogram to assess their diagnostic efficacy. Additionally, we validated these genes using qRT-PCR in the hippocampus of DD model mice. The results indicate that UBTD1, ANKRD9, CNN2, AKT1, and CAPZA2 are shared hub genes associated with diabetes and depression, with ANKRD9, CNN2 and UBTD1 demonstrating favorable diagnostic predictive efficacy. In the DD model, UBTD1 (p > 0.05) and ANKRD9 (p < 0.01) were downregulated, while CNN2 (p < 0.001), AKT1 (p < 0.05), and CAPZA2 (p < 0.01) were upregulated. We have discussed their mechanisms of action in the pathogenesis and therapy of DD, suggesting their therapeutic potential, and propose that these genes may serve as prospective diagnostic candidates for DD. In conclusion, this work offers new insights for future research on DD.

An interpretable machine learning model with demographic variables and dietary patterns for ASCVD identification: from U.S. NHANES 1999-2018

Current research on the association between demographic variables and dietary patterns with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is limited in breadth and depth. This study aimed to construct a machine learning (ML) algorithm that can accurately and transparently establish correlations between demographic variables, dietary habits, and ASCVD. The dataset used in this research originates from the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (U.S. NHANES) spanning 1999-2018. Five ML models were developed to predict ASCVD, and the best-performing model was selected for further analysis. The study included 40,298 participants. Using 20 population characteristics, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated high performance, achieving an area under the curve value of 0.8143 and an accuracy of 88.4%. The model showed a positive correlation between male sex and ASCVD risk, while age and smoking also exhibited positive associations with ASCVD risk. Dairy product intake exhibited a negative correlation, while a lower intake of refined grains did not reduce the risk of ASCVD. Additionally, the poverty income ratio and calorie intake exhibited non-linear associations with the disease. The XGBoost model demonstrated significant efficacy, and precision in determining the relationship between the demographic characteristics and dietary intake of participants in the U.S. NHANES 1999-2018 dataset and ASCVD.

Residual hyperglycemia after successful treatment of a patient with severe copper sulfate poisoning

Copper sulfate is a frequently used copper compound in laboratory settings, with instances of poisoning being uncommon. A study conducted by the American Association of Poison Control Centers' National Poison Data System found that only 140 individuals were exposed to copper compounds over the course of a year, with five cases being intentional (Gummin et al., 2023). Severe poisoning from copper sulfate can result in isolated gastrointestinal injury (Galust et al., 2023), intravascular hemolysis (Adline et al., 2024), rhabdomyolysis (Richards et al., 2020), and other symptoms documented in the literature. However, there have been no reports of long-term uncontrolled hyperglycemia in patients with copper sulfate poisoning. This case study documents the treatment approach for a patient with unexplained, long-term, uncontrolled hyperglycemia, alongside multiple organ dysfunction resulting from intentional ingestion of a large dose of copper sulfate. This case report details the long-term complications in a patient's recovery from acute copper sulfate, highlighting the significance of ongoing monitoring and intervention.

Effects of Various Heavy Metal Exposures on Insulin Resistance in Non-diabetic Populations: Interpretability Analysis from Machine Learning Modeling Perspective

Increasing and compelling evidence has been proved that heavy metal exposure is involved in the development of insulin resistance (IR). We trained an interpretable predictive machine learning (ML) model for IR in the non-diabetic populations based on levels of heavy metal exposure. A total of 4354 participants from the NHANES (2003-2020) with complete information were randomly divided into a training set and a test set. Twelve ML algorithms, including random forest (RF), XGBoost (XGB), logistic regression (LR), GaussianNB (GNB), ridge regression (RR), support vector machine (SVM), multilayer perceptron (MLP), decision tree (DT), AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Voting Classifier (VC), and K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), were constructed for IR prediction using the training set. Among these models, the RF algorithm had the best predictive performance, showing an accuracy of 80.14%, an AUC of 0.856, and an F1 score of 0.74 in the test set. We embedded three interpretable methods, the permutation feature importance analysis, partial dependence plot (PDP), and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) in RF model for model interpretation. Urinary Ba, urinary Mo, blood Pb, and blood Cd levels were identified as the main influencers of IR. Within a specific range, urinary Ba (0.56-3.56 µg/L) and urinary Mo (1.06-20.25 µg/L) levels exhibited the most pronounced upwards trend with the risk of IR, while blood Pb (0.05-2.81 µg/dL) and blood Cd (0.24-0.65 µg/L) levels showed a declining trend with IR. The findings on the synergistic effects demonstrated that controlling urinary Ba levels might be more crucial for the management of IR. The SHAP decision plot offered personalized care for IR based on heavy metal control. In conclusion, by utilizing interpretable ML approaches, we emphasize the predictive value of heavy metals for IR, especially Ba, Mo, Pb, and Cd.

Comprehensive Analysis of the SUMO-related Signature: Implication for Diagnosis, Prognosis, and Immune Therapeutic Approaches in Cervical Cancer

SUMOylation, an important post-translational protein modification, plays a critical role in cancer development and immune processes. This study aimed to construct diagnostic and prognostic models for cervical cancer (CC) using SUMOylation-related genes (SRGs) and explore their implications for novel clinical therapies. We analyzed the expression profiles of SRGs in CC patients and identified 15 SRGs associated with CC occurrence. After the subsequent qPCR verification of 20 cases of cancer and adjacent tissues, 13 of the 15 SRGs were differentially expressed in cancer tissues. Additionally, we identified molecular markers associated with the prognosis and recurrence of CC patients, based on SRGs. Next, a SUMOScore, based on SRG expression patterns, was generated to stratify patients into different subgroups. The SUMOScore showed significant associations with the tumor microenvironment, immune function features, immune checkpoint expression, and immune evasion score in CC patients, highlighting the strong connection between SUMOylation factors and immune processes. In terms of immune therapy, our analysis identified specific chemotherapy drugs with higher sensitivity in the subgroups characterized by high and low SUMOScore, indicating potential treatment options. Furthermore, we conducted drug sensitivity analysis to evaluate the response of different patient subgroups to conventional chemotherapy drugs. Our findings revealed enrichment of immune-related pathways in the low-risk subgroup identified by the prognostic model. In conclusion, this study presents diagnostic and prognostic models based on SRGs, accompanied by a comprehensive index derived from SRGs expression patterns. These findings offer valuable insights for CC diagnosis, prognosis, treatment, and immune-related analysis.

Machine learning model for age-related macular degeneration based on heavy metals: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005 to 2008

Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is the leading cause of blindness in older people in developed countries. It has been suggested that heavy metal exposure may be associated with the development of AMD, but most studies have focused on the effects of a single metal with traditional methods. In this study, we analyzed the relationship between 13 urinary heavy metal concentrations and AMD using NHANES data between 2005 and 2008. We constructed and compared 11 machine learning models to identify the best model for predicting AMD risk. We further interpreted the models by Permutation Feature Importance (PFI), Partial Dependence Plot (PDP) analysis, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis. 216 AMD patients out of 2380 participants. The random forest (RF) model performed optimally in predicting the risk of AMD, with an AUC value of 0.970. PFI analyses revealed that age and urinary cadmium (Cd) were the main factors influencing the risk of AMD. SHAP analyses further confirmed the significance of Cd concentration in predicting the risk of AMD, and we revealed a significant interaction with significant interaction of race. Our study firstly explored the relationship between heavy metal exposure levels and AMD based on machine learning techniques, found that urinary Cd concentration had the greatest impact on AMD, and revealed the superior predictive performance of machine learning methods. Furthermore, our study provided a new perspective for early screening and intervention of AMD.

A machine learning-based diagnosis modeling of IgG4 Hashimoto's thyroiditis

PURPOSE

This study aims to develop a non-invasive diagnosis model using machine learning (ML) for identifying high-risk IgG4 Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 93 HT patients and a prospective cohort of 179 HT patients were collected. According to the immunohistochemical and pathological results, the patients were divided into IgG4 HT group and non-IgG4 HT group. Serum TgAb IgG4 and TPOAb IgG4 were detected by ELISAs. A logistic regression model, support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF) were used to establish a clinical diagnosis model for IgG4 HT.

RESULTS

Among these 272 patients, 40 (14.7%) were diagnosed with IgG4 HT. Patients with IgG4 HT were younger than those with non-IgG4 HT (P < 0.05). Serum levels of TgAb IgG4 and TPOAb IgG4 in IgG4 HT group were significantly higher than those in non-IgG4 HT group (P < 0.05). There were no significant differences in gender, disease duration, goiter, preoperative thyroid function status, preoperative TgAb or TPOAb levels, and thyroid ultrasound characteristics between the two groups (all P > 0.05). The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 57%, 78%, and 79% for logistic regression model of IgG4 HT, 80 ± 7%, 84.7% ± 2.6%, and 75.4% ± 9.6% for the RF model and 78 ± 5%, 89.8% ± 5.7%, and 64.7% ± 5.7% for the SVM model. The RF model works better than SVM. The area under the ROC curve of RF ranged 0.87 to 0.92.

CONCLUSION

A clinical diagnosis model for IgG4 HT established by RF model might help the early recognition of the high-risk patients of IgG4 HT.

Trends in the prevalence of osteoporosis and effects of heavy metal exposure using interpretable machine learning

There is limited evidence that heavy metals exposure contributes to osteoporosis. Multi-parameter scoring machine learning (ML) techniques were developed using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data to predict osteoporosis based on heavy metal exposure levels. For generating an optimal predictive model for osteoporosis, 12 ML models were used. Identification was carried out using the model that performed the best. For interpretation of models, Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) methods and partial dependence plots (PDP) were integrated into a pipeline and incorporated into the ML pipeline. By regressing osteoporosis on survey cycles, logistic regression was used to evaluate linear trends in osteoporosis over time. For the purpose of training and validating predictive models, 5745 eligible participants were randomly selected into training and testing set. It was evident from the results that the gradient boosting decision tree model performed the best among the predictive models, attributing to an accuracy rate of 89.40 % in the testing set. Based on the model results, the area under the curve and F1 score were 0.88 and 0.39, respectively. As a result of the SHAP analysis, urinary Co, urinary Tu, blood Cd, and urinary Hg levels were identified as the most influential factors influencing osteoporosis. Urinary Co (0.20-6.10 μg/mg creatinine), urinary Tu (0.06-1.93 μg/mg creatinine), blood Cd (0.07-0.50 μg/L), and urinary Hg (0.06-0.75 μg/mg creatinine) levels displayed a distinctive upward trend with risk of osteoporosis as values increased. Our analysis revealed that urinary Co, urinary Tu, blood Cd, and urinary Hg played a significant role in predictability.

Dietary vitamin K intake in relation to skeletal muscle mass and strength among adults: a cross-sectional study based on NHANES

Background

Previous studies revealed that vitamin K might help maintain muscle homeostasis, but this association has received little attention. We aimed to explore the associations of vitamin K intake with skeletal muscle mass and strength.

Methods

We included cross-sectional data from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2011-2018). Vitamin K intake was assessed via 24-h recall. Covariate-adjusted multiple linear regression and restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate the associations of dietary vitamin K intake with skeletal muscle mass and strength, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and handgrip dynamometer, respectively.

Results

Dietary vitamin K intake was positively associated with skeletal muscle mass in males (β = 0.05747, p = 0.0204) but not in females. We also revealed a positive association between dietary vitamin K intake and handgrip strength within the range of 0-59.871 μg/d (P nonlinear = 0.049). However, beyond this threshold, increasing vitamin K intake did not cause additional handgrip strength improvements.

Conclusion

We provided evidence for a positive relationship between dietary vitamin K intake and skeletal muscle mass in males. Moreover, our study revealed a nonlinear relationship between dietary vitamin K intake and handgrip strength, highlighting an optimal intake range.

Exploring the relationship between heavy metals and diabetic retinopathy: a machine learning modeling approach

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the leading causes of adult blindness in the United States. Although studies applying traditional statistical methods have revealed that heavy metals may be essential environmental risk factors for diabetic retinopathy, there is a lack of analyses based on machine learning (ML) methods to adequately explain the complex relationship between heavy metals and DR and the interactions between variables. Based on characteristic variables of participants with and without DR and heavy metal exposure data obtained from the NHANES database (2003-2010), a ML model was developed for effective prediction of DR. The best predictive model for DR was selected from 11 models by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Further permutation feature importance (PFI) analysis, partial dependence plots (PDP) analysis, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis were used to assess the model capability and key influencing factors. A total of 1042 eligible individuals were randomly assigned to two groups for training and testing set of the prediction model. ROC analysis showed that the k-nearest neighbour (KNN) model had the highest prediction performance, achieving close to 100% accuracy in the testing set. Urinary Sb level was identified as the critical heavy metal affecting the predicted risk of DR, with a contribution weight of 1.730632 ± 1.791722, which was much higher than that of other heavy metals and baseline variables. The results of the PDP analysis and the SHAP analysis also indicated that antimony (Sb) had a more significant effect on DR. The interaction between age and Sb was more significant compared to other variables and metal pairs. We found that Sb could serve as a potential predictor of DR and that Sb may influence the development of DR by mediating cellular and systemic senescence. The study revealed that monitoring urinary Sb levels can be useful for early non-invasive screening and intervention in DR development, and also highlighted the important role of constructed ML models in explaining the effects of heavy metal exposure on DR.

Creating machine learning models that interpretably link systemic inflammatory index, sex steroid hormones, and dietary antioxidants to identify gout using the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method

Background

The relationship between systemic inflammatory index (SII), sex steroid hormones, dietary antioxidants (DA), and gout has not been determined. We aim to develop a reliable and interpretable machine learning (ML) model that links SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA to gout identification.

Methods

The dataset we used to study the relationship between SII, sex steroid hormones, DA, and gout was from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Six ML models were developed to identify gout by SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA. The seven performance discriminative features of each model were summarized, and the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model with the best overall performance was selected to identify gout. We used the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method to explain the XGBoost model and its decision-making process.

Results

An initial survey of 20,146 participants resulted in 8,550 being included in the study. Selecting the best performing XGBoost model associated with SII, sex steroid hormones, and DA to identify gout (male: AUC: 0.795, 95% CI: 0.746- 0.843, accuracy: 98.7%; female: AUC: 0.822, 95% CI: 0.754- 0.883, accuracy: 99.2%). In the male group, The SHAP values showed that the lower feature values of lutein + zeaxanthin (LZ), vitamin C (VitC), lycopene, zinc, total testosterone (TT), vitamin E (VitE), and vitamin A (VitA), the greater the positive effect on the model output. In the female group, SHAP values showed that lower feature values of E2, zinc, lycopene, LZ, TT, and selenium had a greater positive effect on model output.

Conclusion

The interpretable XGBoost model demonstrated accuracy, efficiency, and robustness in identifying associations between SII, sex steroid hormones, DA, and gout in participants. Decreased TT in males and decreased E2 in females may be associated with gout, and increased DA intake and decreased SII may reduce the potential risk of gout.

Identifying diagnostic indicators for type 2 diabetes mellitus from physical examination using interpretable machine learning approach

Background

Identification of patients at risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) can not only prevent complications and reduce suffering but also ease the health care burden. While routine physical examination can provide useful information for diagnosis, manual exploration of routine physical examination records is not feasible due to the high prevalence of T2DM.

Objectives

We aim to build interpretable machine learning models for T2DM diagnosis and uncover important diagnostic indicators from physical examination, including age- and sex-related indicators.

Methods

In this study, we present three weighted diversity density (WDD)-based algorithms for T2DM screening that use physical examination indicators, the algorithms are highly transparent and interpretable, two of which are missing value tolerant algorithms.

Patients

Regarding the dataset, we collected 43 physical examination indicator data from 11,071 cases of T2DM patients and 126,622 healthy controls at the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University. After data processing, we used a data matrix containing 16004 EHRs and 43 clinical indicators for modelling.

Results

The indicators were ranked according to their model weights, and the top 25% of indicators were found to be directly or indirectly related to T2DM. We further investigated the clinical characteristics of different age and sex groups, and found that the algorithms can detect relevant indicators specific to these groups. The algorithms performed well in T2DM screening, with the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) reaching 0.9185.

Conclusion

This work utilized the interpretable WDD-based algorithms to construct T2DM diagnostic models based on physical examination indicators. By modeling data grouped by age and sex, we identified several predictive markers related to age and sex, uncovering characteristic differences among various groups of T2DM patients.

Association between co-exposure to phenols, phthalates, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons with the risk of frailty

The phenomenon of population aging has brought forth the challenge of frailty. Nevertheless, the contribution of environmental exposure to frailty remains ambiguous. Our objective was to investigate the association between phenols, phthalates (PAEs), and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) with frailty. We constructed a 48-item frailty index using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). The exposure levels of 20 organic contaminants were obtained from the survey circle between 2005 and 2016. The association between individual organic contaminants and the frailty index was assessed using negative binomial regression models. The combined effect of organic contaminants was examined using weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression. Dose-response patterns were modeled using generalized additive models (GAMs). Additionally, an interpretable machine learning approach was employed to develop a predictive model for the frailty index. A total of 1566 participants were included in the analysis. Positive associations were observed between exposure to MIB, P02, ECP, MBP, MHH, MOH, MZP, MC1, and P01 with the frailty index. WQS regression analysis revealed a significant increase in the frailty index with higher levels of the mixture of organic contaminants (aOR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.05-1.20; p < 0.001), with MIB, ECP, COP, MBP, P02, and P01 identified as the major contributors. Dose-response relationships were observed between MIB, ECP, MBP, P02, and P01 exposure with an increased risk of frailty (both with p < 0.05). The developed predictive model based on organic contaminants exposure demonstrated high performance, with an R2 of 0.9634 and 0.9611 in the training and testing sets, respectively. Furthermore, the predictive model suggested potential synergistic effects in the MIB-MBP and P01-P02 pairs. Taken together, these findings suggest a significant association between exposure to phthalates and PAHs with an increased susceptibility to frailty.

Effects of heavy metal exposure on hypertension: A machine learning modeling approach

Heavy metal exposure is a common risk factor for hypertension. To develop an interpretable predictive machine learning (ML) model for hypertension based on levels of heavy metal exposure, data from the NHANES (2003-2016) were employed. Random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), ridge regression (RR), AdaBoost (AB), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), voting classifier (VC), and K-nearest neighbour (KNN) algorithms were utilized to generate an optimal predictive model for hypertension. Three interpretable methods, the permutation feature importance analysis, partial dependence plot (PDP), and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) methods, were integrated into a pipeline and embedded in ML for model interpretation. A total of 9005 eligible individuals were randomly allocated into two distinct sets for predictive model training and validation. The results showed that among the predictive models, the RF model demonstrated the highest performance, achieving an accuracy rate of 77.40% in the validation set. The AUC and F1 score for the model were 0.84 and 0.76, respectively. Blood Pb, urinary Cd, urinary Tl, and urinary Co levels were identified as the main influencers of hypertension, and their contribution weights were 0.0504 ± 0.0482, 0.0389 ± 0.0256, 0.0307 ± 0.0179, and 0.0296 ± 0.0162, respectively. Blood Pb (0.55-2.93 μg/dL) and urinary Cd (0.06-0.15 μg/L) levels exhibited the most pronounced upwards trend with the risk of hypertension within a specific value range, while urinary Tl (0.06-0.26 μg/L) and urinary Co (0.02-0.32 μg/L) levels demonstrated a declining trend with hypertension. The findings on the synergistic effects indicated that Pb and Cd were the primary determinants of hypertension. Our findings underscore the predictive value of heavy metals for hypertension. By utilizing interpretable methods, we discerned that Pb, Cd, Tl, and Co emerged as noteworthy contributors within the predictive model.