Machine learning-based FDG PET-CT radiomics for outcome prediction in larynx and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma

Role of 18F-FDG PET/CT in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Current Evidence and Innovative Applications

This article provides an overview of the use of 18F-FDG PET/CT in various clinical scenarios of head-neck squamous cell carcinoma, ranging from initial staging to treatment-response assessment, and post-therapy follow-up, with a focus on the current evidence, debated issues, and innovative applications. Methodological aspects and the most frequent pitfalls in head-neck imaging interpretation are described. In the initial work-up, 18F-FDG PET/CT is recommended in patients with metastatic cervical lymphadenectomy and occult primary tumor; moreover, it is a well-established imaging tool for detecting cervical nodal involvement, distant metastases, and synchronous primary tumors. Various 18F-FDG pre-treatment parameters show prognostic value in terms of disease progression and overall survival. In this scenario, an emerging role is played by radiomics and machine learning. For radiation-treatment planning, 18F-FDG PET/CT provides an accurate delineation of target volumes and treatment adaptation. Due to its high negative predictive value, 18F-FDG PET/CT, performed at least 12 weeks after the completion of chemoradiotherapy, can prevent unnecessary neck dissections. In addition to radiomics and machine learning, emerging applications include PET/MRI, which combines the high soft-tissue contrast of MRI with the metabolic information of PET, and the use of PET radiopharmaceuticals other than 18F-FDG, which can answer specific clinical needs.

A practical online prediction platform to predict the survival status of laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma after 5 years

OBJECTIVE

Currently, there are few practical tools for predicting the prognosis of laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC). This study aims to establish a model and a convenient online prediction platform to predict whether LSCC patients will survive 5 years after diagnosis, providing a reference for further evaluation of patient prognosis.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study based on data collected from two centers. Center 1 included 117 LSCC patients with survival prognosis data, and center 2 included 33 patients, totaling 150 patients. All data were divided into independent training sets (60 %) and testing sets (40 %). Eight machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to establish models with 11 clinical parameters as input features. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of the testing set were used to evaluate the models, and the best model was selected. The model was then developed into a website-based 5-year survival status prediction platform for LSCC. In addition, we also used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) tool to conduct interpretability analysis on the parameters of the model.

RESULTS

The LSCC 5-year survival status prediction model using the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm achieved the best results, with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 85.0 %, 87.5 %, 75.0 %, and 81.2 % respectively. The online platform for predicting the 5-year survival status of LSCC based on this model was successfully established. The SHAP analysis shows that the clinical stage is the most important feature of the model.

CONCLUSION

This study successfully established a ML model and a practical online prediction platform to predict the survival status of laryngeal cancer patients after 5 years, which may help clinicians to better evaluate the prognosis of LSCC.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Radiomics in Head and Neck Cancer: Current Status and Future Prospects

BACKGROUND

Radiomics is a rapidly growing field used to leverage medical radiological images by extracting quantitative features. These are supposed to characterize a patient's phenotype, and when combined with artificial intelligence techniques, to improve the accuracy of diagnostic models and clinical outcome prediction.

OBJECTIVES

This review aims at examining the application areas of artificial intelligence-based radiomics (AI-based radiomics) for the management of head and neck cancer (HNC). It further explores the workflow of AI-based radiomics for personalized and precision oncology in HNC. Finally, it examines the current challenges of AI-based radiomics in daily clinical oncology and offers possible solutions to these challenges.

METHODS

Comprehensive electronic databases (PubMed, Medline via Ovid, Scopus, Web of Science, CINAHL, and Cochrane Library) were searched following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. The quality of included studies and their risk of biases were evaluated using the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD)and Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).

RESULTS

Out of the 659 search hits retrieved, 45 fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Our review revealed that the application of AI-based radiomics model as an ancillary tool for improved decision-making in HNC management includes radiomics-based cancer diagnosis and radiomics-based cancer prognosis. The radiomics-based cancer diagnosis includes tumor staging, tumor grading, and classification of malignant and benign tumors. Similarly, radiomics-based cancer prognosis includes prediction for treatment response, recurrence, metastasis, and survival. In addition, the challenges in the implementation of these models for clinical evaluations include data imbalance, feature engineering (extraction and selection), model generalizability, multi-modal fusion, and model interpretability.

CONCLUSION

Considering the highly subjective and interobserver variability that is peculiar to the interpretation of medical images by expert clinicians, AI-based radiomics seeks to offer potentially useful quantitative information, which is not visible to the human eye or unintentionally often remain ignored during clinical imaging practice. By enabling the extraction of this type of information, AI-based radiomics has the potential to revolutionize HNC oncology, providing a platform for more personalized, higher quality, and cost-effective care for HNC patients.

The added value of radiomics in determining patient responsiveness to laryngeal preservation strategies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Laryngeal cancer (LC) is a highly aggressive malignancy of the head and neck and represents about 1-2% of cancer worldwide.Treatment strategies for LC aim both to complete cancer removal and to preserve laryngeal function or maximize larynx retention.Predicting with high precision response to induction chemotherapy (IC) is one of the main fields of research when considering LC, since this could guide treatment strategies in locally advanced LC.

RECENT FINDINGS

Radiomics is a noninvasive method to extract quantitative data from the whole tumor using medical imaging. This signature could represent the underlying tumor heterogeneity and phenotype.During the last five years, some studies have highlighted the potential of radiomics in the pretreatment assessment of LC, in the prediction of response to IC, and in the early assessment of response to radiation therapy. Although these represent promising results, larger multicentric studies are demanded to validate the value of radiomics in this field.

SUMMARY

The role of radiomics in laryngeal preservation strategies is still to be defined. There are some early promising studies, but the lack of validation and larger multicentric studies limit the value of the papers published in the literature and its application in clinical practice.

Prognostic Value of Radiomic Analysis Using Pre- and Post-Treatment 18F-FDG-PET/CT in Patients with Laryngeal Cancer and Hypopharyngeal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of conducting 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging has yielded different results in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer, but these results are controversial, and there is a lack of dedicated studies on each type of cancer. This study aimed to evaluate whether combining radiomic analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging features and clinical parameters has additional prognostic value in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer.

METHODS

From 2008 to 2016, data on patients diagnosed with cancer of the larynx and hypopharynx were retrospectively collected. The patients underwent pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging. The values of ΔPre-Post PET were measured from the texture features. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to select the most predictive features to formulate a Rad-score for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and Cox regression were employed to assess PFS and OS. Then, the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plot were used to evaluate the performance of the radiomics nomogram.

RESULTS

Study data were collected for a total of 91 patients. The mean follow-up period was 71.5 mo. (8.4-147.3). The Rad-score was formulated based on the texture parameters and was significantly associated with both PFS (p = 0.024) and OS (p = 0.009). When predicting PFS, only the Rad-score demonstrated a significant association (HR 2.1509, 95% CI [1.100-4.207], p = 0.025). On the other hand, age (HR 1.116, 95% CI [1.041-1.197], p = 0.002) and Rad-score (HR 33.885, 95% CI [2.891-397.175], p = 0.005) exhibited associations with OS. The Rad-score value showed good discrimination when it was combined with clinical parameters in both PFS (C-index 0.802-0.889) and OS (C-index 0.860-0.958). The calibration plots also showed a good agreement between the observed and predicted survival probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining clinical parameters with radiomics analysis of pre- and post-treatment 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters in patients with laryngeal cancer and hypopharyngeal cancer might have additional prognostic value.

Clinical application of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography radiomics-based machine learning analyses in the field of oncology

Machine learning (ML) analyses using 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) radiomics features have been applied in the field of oncology. The current review aimed to summarize the current clinical articles about 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML analyses to solve issues in classifying or constructing prediction models for several types of tumors. In these studies, lung and mediastinal tumors were the most commonly evaluated lesions, followed by lymphatic, abdominal, head and neck, breast, gynecological, and other types of tumors. Previous studies have commonly shown that 18F-FDG PET radiomics-based ML analysis has good performance in differentiating benign from malignant tumors, predicting tumor characteristics and stage, therapeutic response, and prognosis by examining significant differences in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, accuracies, or concordance indices (> 0.70). However, these studies have reported several ML algorithms. Moreover, different ML models have been applied for the same purpose. Thus, various procedures were used in 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML analysis in oncology, and 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics-based ML models, which are easy and universally applied in clinical practice, would be expected to be established.

Methodological evaluation of original articles on radiomics and machine learning for outcome prediction based on positron emission tomography (PET)

AIM

Despite a vast number of articles on radiomics and machine learning in positron emission tomography (PET) imaging, clinical applicability remains limited, partly owing to poor methodological quality. We therefore systematically investigated the methodology described in publications on radiomics and machine learning for PET-based outcome prediction.

METHODS

A systematic search for original articles was run on PubMed. All articles were rated according to 17 criteria proposed by the authors. Criteria with >2 rating categories were binarized into "adequate" or "inadequate". The association between the number of "adequate" criteria per article and the date of publication was examined.

RESULTS

One hundred articles were identified (published between 07/2017 and 09/2023). The median proportion of articles per criterion that were rated "adequate" was 65% (range: 23-98%). Nineteen articles (19%) mentioned neither a test cohort nor cross-validation to separate training from testing. The median number of criteria with an "adequate" rating per article was 12.5 out of 17 (range, 4-17), and this did not increase with later dates of publication (Spearman's rho, 0.094; p = 0.35). In 22 articles (22%), less than half of the items were rated "adequate". Only 8% of articles published the source code, and 10% made the dataset openly available.

CONCLUSION

Among the articles investigated, methodological weaknesses have been identified, and the degree of compliance with recommendations on methodological quality and reporting shows potential for improvement. Better adherence to established guidelines could increase the clinical significance of radiomics and machine learning for PET-based outcome prediction and finally lead to the widespread use in routine clinical practice.

Advances in Image-Based Artificial Intelligence in Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVE

To update the literature and provide a systematic review of image-based artificial intelligence (AI) applications in otolaryngology, highlight its advances, and propose future challenges.

DATA SOURCES

Web of Science, Embase, PubMed, and Cochrane Library.

REVIEW METHODS

Studies written in English, published between January 2020 and December 2022. Two independent authors screened the search results, extracted data, and assessed studies.

RESULTS

Overall, 686 studies were identified. After screening titles and abstracts, 325 full-text studies were assessed for eligibility, and 78 studies were included in this systematic review. The studies originated from 16 countries. Among these countries, the top 3 were China (n = 29), Korea (n = 8), the United States, and Japan (n = 7 each). The most common area was otology (n = 35), followed by rhinology (n = 20), pharyngology (n = 18), and head and neck surgery (n = 5). Most applications of AI in otology, rhinology, pharyngology, and head and neck surgery mainly included chronic otitis media (n = 9), nasal polyps (n = 4), laryngeal cancer (n = 12), and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (n = 3), respectively. The overall performance of AI in accuracy, the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 88.39 ± 9.78%, 91.91 ± 6.70%, 86.93 ± 11.59%, and 88.62 ± 14.03%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This state-of-the-art review aimed to highlight the increasing applications of image-based AI in otorhinolaryngology head and neck surgery. The following steps will entail multicentre collaboration to ensure data reliability, ongoing optimization of AI algorithms, and integration into real-world clinical practice. Future studies should consider 3-dimensional (3D)-based AI, such as 3D surgical AI.

Radiomics in the evaluation of ovarian masses - a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

The study aim was to conduct a systematic review of the literature reporting the application of radiomics to imaging techniques in patients with ovarian lesions.

METHODS

MEDLINE/PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, EMBASE, Ovid and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched for relevant articles. Using PRISMA criteria, data were extracted from short-listed studies. Validity and bias were assessed independently by 2 researchers in consensus using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Radiomic Quality Score (RQS) was utilised to assess radiomic methodology.

RESULTS

After duplicate removal, 63 articles were identified, of which 33 were eligible. Fifteen assessed lesion classifications, 10 treatment outcomes, 5 outcome predictions, 2 metastatic disease predictions and 1 classification/outcome prediction. The sample size ranged from 28 to 501 patients. Twelve studies investigated CT, 11 MRI, 4 ultrasound and 1 FDG PET-CT. Twenty-three studies (70%) incorporated 3D segmentation. Various modelling methods were used, most commonly LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) (10/33). Five studies (15%) compared radiomic models to radiologist interpretation, all demonstrating superior performance. Only 6 studies (18%) included external validation. Five studies (15%) had a low overall risk of bias, 9 (27%) moderate, and 19 (58%) high risk of bias. The highest RQS achieved was 61.1%, and the lowest was - 16.7%.

CONCLUSION

Radiomics has the potential as a clinical diagnostic tool in patients with ovarian masses and may allow better lesion stratification, guiding more personalised patient care in the future. Standardisation of the feature extraction methodology, larger and more diverse patient cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Radiomics shows promising results in improving lesion stratification, treatment selection and outcome prediction. Modelling with larger cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

KEY POINTS

• Radiomics is emerging as a tool for enhancing clinical decisions in patients with ovarian masses. • Radiomics shows promising results in improving lesion stratification, treatment selection and outcome prediction. • Modelling with larger cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

The usefulness of machine-learning-based evaluation of clinical and pretreatment 18F-FDG-PET/CT radiomic features for predicting prognosis in patients with laryngeal cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether machine learning (ML) analyses involving clinical and 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features are helpful in predicting prognosis in patients with laryngeal cancer.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 49 patients with laryngeal cancer who underwent18F-FDG-PET/CT before treatment, and these patients were divided into the training (n = 34) and testing (n = 15) cohorts.Seven clinical (age, sex, tumor size, T stage, N stage, Union for International Cancer Control stage, and treatment) and 40 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features were used to predict disease progression and survival. Six ML algorithms (random forest, neural network, k-nearest neighbors, naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and support vector machine) were used for predicting disease progression. Two ML algorithms (cox proportional hazard and random survival forest [RSF] model) considering for time-to-event outcomes were used to assess progression-free survival (PFS), and prediction performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index).

RESULTS

Tumor size, T stage, N stage, GLZLM_ZLNU, and GLCM_Entropy were the five most important features for predicting disease progression.In both cohorts, the naïve Bayes model constructed by these five features was the best performing classifier (training: AUC = 0.805; testing: AUC = 0.842). The RSF model using the five features (tumor size, GLZLM_ZLNU, GLCM_Entropy, GLRLM_LRHGE and GLRLM_SRHGE) exhibited the highest performance in predicting PFS (training: C-index = 0.840; testing: C-index = 0.808).

CONCLUSION

ML analyses involving clinical and 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features may help predict disease progression and survival in patients with laryngeal cancer.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

ML approach using clinical and 18F-FDG-PET-based radiomic features has the potential to predict prognosis of laryngeal cancer.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive and prognostic models for outcome prediction using positron emission tomography radiomics in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Positron emission tomography (PET) images of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients can assess the functional and biochemical processes at cellular levels. Therefore, PET radiomics-based prediction and prognostic models have the potentials to understand tumour heterogeneity and assist clinicians with diagnosis, prognosis and management of the disease. We conducted a systematic review of published modelling information to evaluate the usefulness of PET radiomics in the prediction and prognosis of HNSCC patients.

METHODS

We searched bibliographic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science) from 2010 to 2021 and considered 31 studies with pre-defined inclusion criteria. We followed the CHARMS checklist for data extraction and performed quality assessment using the PROBAST tool. We conducted a meta-analysis to estimate the accuracy of the prediction and prognostic models using the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and average C-statistic, respectively.

RESULTS

Manual segmentation method followed by 40% of the maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax ) thresholding is a commonly used approach. The area under the receiver operating curves of externally validated prediction models ranged between 0.60-0.87, 0.65-0.86 and 0.62-0.75 for overall survival, distant metastasis and recurrence, respectively. Most studies highlighted an overall high risk of bias (outcome definition, statistical methodologies and external validation of models) and high unclear concern in terms of applicability. The meta-analysis showed the estimated pooled DOR of 6.75 (95% CI: 4.45, 10.23) for prediction models and the C-statistic of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.74) for prognostic models.

CONCLUSIONS

Both prediction and prognostic models using clinical variables and PET radiomics demonstrated reliable accuracy for detecting adverse outcomes in HNSCC, suggesting the prospect of PET radiomics in clinical settings for diagnosis, prognosis and management of HNSCC patients. Future studies of prediction and prognostic models should emphasise the quality of reporting, external model validation, generalisability to real clinical scenarios and enhanced reproducibility of results.

Prognostic value of initial [ 18 F]FDG PET/computed tomography volumetric and texture analysis-based parameters in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

AIM OF WORK

To determine the predictive value of initial [ 18 F]FDG PET/computed tomography (CT) volumetric and radiomics-derived analyses in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

Forty-six adult patients had pathologically proven HNSCC and underwent pretherapy [ 18 F]FDG PET/CT were enrolled. Semi-quantitative PET-derived volumetric [(maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) and mean SUV (SUVmean), total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and metabolic tumor volume (MTV)] and radiomics analyses using LIFEx 6.73.3 software were performed.

RESULTS

In the current study group, the receiver operating characteristic curve marked a cutoff point of 21.105 for primary MTV with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.727, sensitivity of 62.5%, and specificity of 86.8% ( P value 0.041) to distinguish responders from non-responders, while no statistically significant primary SUVmean or max or primary TLG cut off points could be determined. It also marked the cutoff point for survival prediction of 10.845 for primary MTV with AUC 0.728, sensitivity of 80%, and specificity of 77.8% ( P value 0.026). A test of the synergistic performance of PET-derived volumetric and textural features significant parameters was conducted in an attempt to develop the most accurate and stable prediction model. Therefore, multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to detect independent predictors of mortality. With a high specificity of 97.1% and an overall accuracy of 89.1%, the combination of primary tumor MTV and the textural feature gray-level co-occurrence matrix correlation provided the most accurate prediction of mortality ( P value < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Textural feature indices are a noninvasive method for capturing intra-tumoral heterogeneity. In our study, a PET-derived prediction model was successfully generated with high specificity and accuracy.

The Prognostic and Diagnostic Value of [18F]FDG PET/CT in Untreated Laryngeal Carcinoma

This study aims to determine the diagnostic accuracy of staging PET/CT and neck MRI in patients with laryngeal carcinoma and to assess the value of PET/CT in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Sixty-eight patients who had both modalities performed before treatment between 2014 and 2021 were included in this study. The sensitivity and specificity of PET/CT and MRI were evaluated. PET/CT had 93.8% sensitivity, 58.3% specificity, and 75% accuracy for nodal metastasis, whereas MRI had 68.8%, 61.1%, and 64.7% accuracy, respectively. At a median follow-up of 51 months, 23 patients had developed disease progression and 17 patients had died. Univariate-survival analysis revealed all utilized PET parameters as significant prognostic factors for OS and PFS (p-value < 0.03 each). In multivariate analysis, metabolic-tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) predicted better PFS (p-value < 0.05 each). In conclusion, PET/CT improves the accuracy of nodal staging in laryngeal carcinoma over neck MRI and adds to the prognostication of survival outcomes through the use of several PET metrics.

The Usefulness of Machine Learning-Based Evaluation of Clinical and Pretreatment [18F]-FDG-PET/CT Radiomic Features for Predicting Prognosis in Hypopharyngeal Cancer

PURPOSE

To examine whether the machine learning (ML) analyses using clinical and pretreatment 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography ([¹⁸F]-FDG-PET)-based radiomic features were useful for predicting prognosis in patients with hypopharyngeal cancer.

PROCEDURES

This retrospective study included 100 patients with hypopharyngeal cancer who underwent [¹⁸F]-FDG-PET/X-ray computed tomography (CT) before treatment, and these patients were allocated to the training (n=80) and validation (n=20) cohorts. Eight clinical (age, sex, histology, T stage, N stage, M stage, UICC stage, and treatment) and 40 [¹⁸F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features were used to predict disease progression. A feature reduction procedure based on the decrease of the Gini impurity was applied. Six ML algorithms (random forest, neural network, k-nearest neighbors, naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and support vector machine) were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Progression-free survival (PFS) was assessed using Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The five most important features for predicting disease progression were UICC stage, N stage, gray level co-occurrence matrix entropy (GLCM_Entropy), gray level run length matrix run length non-uniformity (GLRLM_RLNU), and T stage. Patients who experienced disease progression displayed significantly higher UICC stage, N stage, GLCM_Entropy, GLRLM_RLNU, and T stage than those without progression (each, p<0.001). In both cohorts, the logistic regression model constructed by these 5 features was the best performing classifier (training: AUC=0.860, accuracy=0.800; validation: AUC=0.803, accuracy=0.700). In the logistic regression model, 5-year PFS was significantly higher in patients with predicted non-progression than those with predicted progression (75.8% vs. 8.3%, p<0.001), and this model was only the independent factor for PFS in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio = 3.22; 95% confidence interval = 1.03-10.11; p=0.045).

CONCLUSIONS

The logistic regression model constructed by UICC, T and N stages and pretreatment [¹⁸F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features, GLCM_Entropy, and GLRLM_RLNU may be the most important predictor of prognosis in patients with hypopharyngeal cancer.

Radiomics in Hypopharyngeal Cancer Management: A State-of-the-Art Review

(1) Background: Hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas usually present with locally advanced disease and a correspondingly poor prognosis. Currently, efforts are being made to improve tumor characterization and provide insightful information for outcome prediction. Radiomics is an emerging area of study that involves the conversion of medical images into mineable data; these data are then used to extract quantitative features based on shape, intensity, texture, and other parameters; (2) Methods: A systematic review of the peer-reviewed literature was conducted; (3) Results: A total of 437 manuscripts were identified. Fifteen manuscripts met the inclusion criteria. The main targets described were the evaluation of textural features to determine tumor-programmed death-ligand 1 expression; a surrogate for microvessel density and heterogeneity of perfusion; patient stratification into groups at high and low risk of progression; prediction of early recurrence, 1-year locoregional failure and survival outcome, including progression-free survival and overall survival, in patients with locally advanced HPSCC; thyroid cartilage invasion, early disease progression, recurrence, induction chemotherapy response, treatment response, and prognosis; and (4) Conclusions: our findings suggest that radiomics represents a potentially useful tool in the diagnostic workup as well as during the treatment and follow-up of patients with HPSCC. Large prospective studies are essential to validate this technology in these patients.

Artificial Intelligence and Laryngeal Cancer: From Screening to Prognosis: A State of the Art Review

OBJECTIVE

This state of the art review aims to examine contemporary advances in applications of artificial intelligence (AI) to the screening, detection, management, and prognostication of laryngeal cancer (LC).

DATA SOURCES

Four bibliographic databases were searched: PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane, and IEEE.

REVIEW METHODS

A structured review of the current literature (up to January 2022) was performed. Search terms related to topics of AI in LC were identified and queried by 2 independent reviewers. Citations of selected studies and review articles were also evaluated to ensure comprehensiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

AI applications in LC have encompassed a variety of data modalities, including radiomics, genomics, acoustics, clinical data, and videomics, to support screening, diagnosis, therapeutic decision making, and prognosis. However, most studies remain at the proof-of-concept level, as AI algorithms are trained on single-institution databases with limited data sets and a single data modality.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

AI algorithms in LC will need to be trained on large multi-institutional data sets and integrate multimodal data for optimal performance and clinical utility from screening to prognosis. Out of the data types reviewed, genomics has the most potential to provide generalizable models thanks to available large multi-institutional open access genomic data sets. Voice acoustic data represent an inexpensive and accurate biomarker, which is easy and noninvasive to capture, offering a unique opportunity for screening and monitoring of LA, especially in low-resource settings.

Artificial intelligence to predict outcomes of head and neck radiotherapy

Head and neck radiotherapy induces important toxicity, and its efficacy and tolerance vary widely across patients. Advancements in radiotherapy delivery techniques, along with the increased quality and frequency of image guidance, offer a unique opportunity to individualize radiotherapy based on imaging biomarkers, with the aim of improving radiation efficacy while reducing its toxicity. Various artificial intelligence models integrating clinical data and radiomics have shown encouraging results for toxicity and cancer control outcomes prediction in head and neck cancer radiotherapy. Clinical implementation of these models could lead to individualized risk-based therapeutic decision making, but the reliability of the current studies is limited. Understanding, validating and expanding these models to larger multi-institutional data sets and testing them in the context of clinical trials is needed to ensure safe clinical implementation. This review summarizes the current state of the art of machine learning models for prediction of head and neck cancer radiotherapy outcomes.

Utility of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning models for outcome prediction in classical Hodgkin lymphoma

Objectives

Relapse occurs in ~20% of patients with classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) despite treatment adaption based on 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-d-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography response. The objective was to evaluate pre-treatment FDG PET/CT–derived machine learning (ML) models for predicting outcome in patients with cHL.

Methods

All cHL patients undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT at our institution between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively identified. A 1.5 × mean liver standardised uptake value (SUV) and a fixed 4.0 SUV threshold were used to segment PET/CT data. Feature extraction was performed using PyRadiomics with ComBat harmonisation. Training (80%) and test (20%) cohorts stratified around 2-year event-free survival (EFS), age, sex, ethnicity and disease stage were defined. Seven ML models were trained and hyperparameters tuned using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to assess performance.

Results

A total of 289 patients (153 males), median age 36 (range 16–88 years), were included. There was no significant difference between training (n = 231) and test cohorts (n = 58) (p value > 0.05). A ridge regression model using a 1.5 × mean liver SUV segmentation had the highest performance, with mean training, validation and test AUCs of 0.82 ± 0.002, 0.79 ± 0.01 and 0.81 ± 0.12. However, there was no significant difference between a logistic model derived from metabolic tumour volume and clinical features or the highest performing radiomic model.

Conclusions

Outcome prediction using pre-treatment FDG PET/CT–derived ML models is feasible in cHL patients. Further work is needed to determine optimum predictive thresholds for clinical use.

Key points

• A fixed threshold segmentation method led to more robust radiomic features.

• A radiomic-based model for predicting 2-year event-free survival in classical Hodgkin lymphoma patients is feasible.

• A predictive model based on ridge regression was the best performing model on our dataset.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00330-022-09039-0.

Two-Year Event-Free Survival Prediction in DLBCL Patients Based on In Vivo Radiomics and Clinical Parameters

Purpose

For the identification of high-risk patients in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), we investigated the prognostic significance of in vivo radiomics derived from baseline [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT and clinical parameters.

Methods

Pre-treatment [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT scans of 85 patients diagnosed with DLBCL were assessed. The scans were carried out in two clinical centers. Two-year event-free survival (EFS) was defined. After delineation of lymphoma lesions, conventional PET parameters and in vivo radiomics were extracted. For 2-year EFS prognosis assessment, the Center 1 dataset was utilized as the training set and underwent automated machine learning analysis. The dataset of Center 2 was utilized as an independent test set to validate the established predictive model built by the dataset of Center 1.

Results

The automated machine learning analysis of the Center 1 dataset revealed that the most important features for building 2-year EFS are as follows: max diameter, neighbor gray tone difference matrix (NGTDM) busyness, total lesion glycolysis, total metabolic tumor volume, and NGTDM coarseness. The predictive model built on the Center 1 dataset yielded 79% sensitivity, 83% specificity, 69% positive predictive value, 89% negative predictive value, and 0.85 AUC by evaluating the Center 2 dataset.

Conclusion

Based on our dual-center retrospective analysis, predicting 2-year EFS built on imaging features is feasible by utilizing high-performance automated machine learning.

Radiomics in Oncological PET Imaging: A Systematic Review—Part 1, Supradiaphragmatic Cancers

Radiomics is an upcoming field in nuclear oncology, both promising and technically challenging. To summarize the already undertaken work on supradiaphragmatic neoplasia and assess its quality, we performed a literature search in the PubMed database up to 18 February 2022. Inclusion criteria were: studies based on human data; at least one specified tumor type; supradiaphragmatic malignancy; performing radiomics on PET imaging. Exclusion criteria were: studies only based on phantom or animal data; technical articles without a clinically oriented question; fewer than 30 patients in the training cohort. A review database containing PMID, year of publication, cancer type, and quality criteria (number of patients, retrospective or prospective nature, independent validation cohort) was constructed. A total of 220 studies met the inclusion criteria. Among them, 119 (54.1%) studies included more than 100 patients, 21 studies (9.5%) were based on prospectively acquired data, and 91 (41.4%) used an independent validation set. Most studies focused on prognostic and treatment response objectives. Because the textural parameters and methods employed are very different from one article to another, it is complicated to aggregate and compare articles. New contributions and radiomics guidelines tend to help improving quality of the reported studies over the years.

Discovery of Pre-Treatment FDG PET/CT-Derived Radiomics-Based Models for Predicting Outcome in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma

Simple Summary

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common type of lymphoma. Even with the improvements in the treatment of DLBCL, around a quarter of patients will experience recurrence. The aim of this single centre retrospective study was to predict which patients would have recurrence within 2 years of their treatment using machine learning techniques based on radiomics extracted from the staging PET/CT images. Our study demonstrated that in our dataset of 229 patients (training data = 183, test data = 46) that a combined radiomic and clinical based model performed better than a simple model based on metabolic tumour volume, and that it had a good predictive ability which was maintained when tested on an unseen test set.

Abstract

Background: Approximately 30% of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) will have recurrence. The aim of this study was to develop a radiomic based model derived from baseline PET/CT to predict 2-year event free survival (2-EFS). Methods: Patients with DLBCL treated with R-CHOP chemotherapy undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT between January 2008 and January 2018 were included. The dataset was split into training and internal unseen test sets (ratio 80:20). A logistic regression model using metabolic tumour volume (MTV) and six different machine learning classifiers created from clinical and radiomic features derived from the baseline PET/CT were trained and tuned using four-fold cross validation. The model with the highest mean validation receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve area under the curve (AUC) was tested on the unseen test set. Results: 229 DLBCL patients met the inclusion criteria with 62 (27%) having 2-EFS events. The training cohort had 183 patients with 46 patients in the unseen test cohort. The model with the highest mean validation AUC combined clinical and radiomic features in a ridge regression model with a mean validation AUC of 0.75 ± 0.06 and a test AUC of 0.73. Conclusions: Radiomics based models demonstrate promise in predicting outcomes in DLBCL patients.

Exploratory ensemble interpretable model for predicting local failure in head and neck cancer: the additive benefit of CT and intra-treatment cone-beam computed tomography features

BACKGROUND

Local failure (LF) following chemoradiation (CRT) for head and neck cancer is associated with poor overall survival. If machine learning techniques could stratify patients at risk of treatment failure based on baseline and intra-treatment imaging, such a model could facilitate response-adapted approaches to escalate, de-escalate, or switch therapy.

METHODS

A 1:2 retrospective case control cohort of patients treated at a single institution with definitive radiotherapy for head and neck cancer who failed locally, in-field at a primary or nodal structure were included. Radiomic features were extracted from baseline CT and CBCT scans at fractions 1 and 21 (delta) of radiotherapy with PyRadiomics and were selected for by: reproducibility (intra-class correlation coefficients ≥0.95), redundancy [maximum relevance and minimum redundancy (mRMR)], and informativeness [recursive feature elimination (RFE)]. Separate models predicting LF of primaries or nodes were created using the explainable boosting machine (EBM) classifier with 5-fold cross-validation for (I) clinical only, (II) radiomic only (CT1 and delta features), and (III) fused models (clinical + radiomic). Twenty-five iterations were performed, and predicted scores were averaged with a parallel ensemble design. Receiver operating characteristic curves were compared between models with paired-samples t-tests.

RESULTS

The fused ensemble model for primaries (using clinical, CT1, and delta features) achieved an AUC of 0.871 with a sensitivity of 78.3% and specificity of 90.9% at the maximum Youden J statistic. The fused ensemble model trended towards improvement when compared to the clinical only ensemble model (AUC =0.788, P=0.134) but reached significance when compared to the radiomic ensemble model (AUC =0.770, P=0.017). The fused ensemble model for nodes achieved an AUC of 0.910 with a sensitivity of 100.0% and specificity of 68.0%, which also trended towards improvement when compared to the clinical model (AUC =0.865, P=0.080).

CONCLUSIONS

The fused ensemble EBM model achieved high discriminatory ability at predicting LF for head and neck cancer in independent primary and nodal structures. Although an additive benefit of delta radiomics over clinical factors could not be proven, the results trended towards improvement with the fused ensemble model, which are promising and worthy of prospective investigation in a larger cohort.