Unknown uncertainties in the COVID-19 pandemic: Multi-dimensional identification and mathematical modelling for the analysis and estimation of the casualties

MiniSeg: An Extremely Minimum Network Based on Lightweight Multiscale Learning for Efficient COVID-19 Segmentation

The rapid spread of the new pandemic, i.e., coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has severely threatened global health. Deep-learning-based computer-aided screening, e.g., COVID-19 infected area segmentation from computed tomography (CT) image, has attracted much attention by serving as an adjunct to increase the accuracy of COVID-19 screening and clinical diagnosis. Although lesion segmentation is a hot topic, traditional deep learning methods are usually data-hungry with millions of parameters, easy to overfit under limited available COVID-19 training data. On the other hand, fast training/testing and low computational cost are also necessary for quick deployment and development of COVID-19 screening systems, but traditional methods are usually computationally intensive. To address the above two problems, we propose MiniSeg, a lightweight model for efficient COVID-19 segmentation from CT images. Our efforts start with the design of an attentive hierarchical spatial pyramid (AHSP) module for lightweight, efficient, effective multiscale learning that is essential for image segmentation. Then, we build a two-path (TP) encoder for deep feature extraction, where one path uses AHSP modules for learning multiscale contextual features and the other is a shallow convolutional path for capturing fine details. The two paths interact with each other for learning effective representations. Based on the extracted features, a simple decoder is added for COVID-19 segmentation. For comparing MiniSeg to previous methods, we build a comprehensive COVID-19 segmentation benchmark. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed MiniSeg achieves better accuracy because its only 83k parameters make it less prone to overfitting. Its high efficiency also makes it easy to deploy and develop. The code has been released at https://github.com/yun-liu/MiniSeg.

Dual-stream EfficientNet with adversarial sample augmentation for COVID-19 computer aided diagnosis

Though a series of computer aided measures have been taken for the rapid and definite diagnosis of 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19), they generally fail to achieve high enough accuracy, including the recently popular deep learning-based methods. The main reasons are that: (a) they generally focus on improving the model structures while ignoring important information contained in the medical image itself; (b) the existing small-scale datasets have difficulty in meeting the training requirements of deep learning. In this paper, a dual-stream network based on the EfficientNet is proposed for the COVID-19 diagnosis based on CT scans. The dual-stream network takes into account the important information in both spatial and frequency domains of CT scans. Besides, Adversarial Propagation (AdvProp) technology is used to address the insufficient training data usually faced by the deep learning-based computer aided diagnosis and also the overfitting issue. Feature Pyramid Network (FPN) is utilized to fuse the dual-stream features. Experimental results on the public dataset COVIDx CT-2A demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms the existing 12 deep learning-based methods for COVID-19 diagnosis, achieving an accuracy of 0.9870 for multi-class classification, and 0.9958 for binary classification. The source code is available at https://github.com/imagecbj/covid-efficientnet.

Individualized Prediction of Task Performance Decline Using Pre-Task Resting-State Functional Connectivity

As a common complaint in contemporary society, mental fatigue is a key element in the deterioration of the daily activities known as time-on-task (TOT) effect, making the prediction of fatigue-related performance decline exceedingly important. However, conventional group-level brain-behavioral correlation analysis has the limitation of generalizability to unseen individuals and fatigue prediction at individual-level is challenging due to the significant differences between individuals both in task performance efficiency and brain activities. Here, we introduced a cross-validated data-driven analysis framework to explore, for the first time, the feasibility of utilizing pre-task idiosyncratic resting-state functional connectivity (FC) on the prediction of fatigue-related task performance degradation at individual level. Specifically, two behavioral metrics, namely ∆RT (between the most vigilant and fatigued states) and TOTslope over the course of the 15-min sustained attention task, were estimated among three sessions from 37 healthy subjects to represent fatigue-related individual behavioral impairment. Then, a connectome-based prediction model was employed on pre-task resting-state FC features, identifying the network-related differences that contributed to the prediction of performance deterioration. As expected, prominent populational TOT-related performance declines were revealed across three sessions accompanied with substantial inter-individual differences. More importantly, we achieved significantly high accuracies for individualized prediction of both TOT-related behavioral impairment metrics using pre-task neuroimaging features. Despite the distinct patterns between both behavioral metrics, the identified top FC features contributing to the individualized predictions were mainly resided within/between frontal, temporal and parietal areas. Overall, our results of individualized prediction framework extended conventional correlation/classification analysis and may represent a promising avenue for the development of applicable techniques that allow precaution of the TOT-related performance declines in real-world scenarios.

Bio-Inspired Optimization-Based Path Planning Algorithms in Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: A Survey

Advancements in electronics and software have enabled the rapid development of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and UAV-assisted applications. Although the mobility of UAVs allows for flexible deployment of networks, it introduces challenges regarding throughput, delay, cost, and energy. Therefore, path planning is an important aspect of UAV communications. Bio-inspired algorithms rely on the inspiration and principles of the biological evolution of nature to achieve robust survival techniques. However, the issues have many nonlinear constraints, which pose a number of problems such as time restrictions and high dimensionality. Recent trends tend to employ bio-inspired optimization algorithms, which are a potential method for handling difficult optimization problems, to address the issues associated with standard optimization algorithms. Focusing on these points, we investigate various bio-inspired algorithms for UAV path planning over the past decade. To the best of our knowledge, no survey on existing bio-inspired algorithms for UAV path planning has been reported in the literature. In this study, we investigate the prevailing bio-inspired algorithms extensively from the perspective of key features, working principles, advantages, and limitations. Subsequently, path planning algorithms are compared with each other in terms of their major features, characteristics, and performance factors. Furthermore, the challenges and future research trends in UAV path planning are summarized and discussed.

Parameter estimation of the COVID-19 transmission model using an improved quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization algorithm

The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and its accompanying pandemic have created an unprecedented challenge worldwide. Parametric modeling and analyses of the COVID-19 play a critical role in providing vital information about the character and relevant guidance for controlling the pandemic. However, the epidemiological utility of the results obtained from the COVID-19 transmission model largely depends on accurately identifying parameters. This paper extends the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model and proposes an improved quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization (QPSO) algorithm to estimate its parameters. A new strategy is developed to update the weighting factor of the mean best position by the reciprocal of multiplying the fitness of each best particle with the average fitness of all best particles, which can enhance the global search capacity. To increase the particle diversity, a probability function is designed to generate new particles in the updating iteration. When compared to the state-of-the-art estimation algorithms on the epidemic datasets of China, Italy and the US, the proposed method achieves good accuracy and convergence at a comparable computational complexity. The developed framework would be beneficial for experts to understand the characteristics of epidemic development and formulate epidemic prevention and control measures.

Evaluation of Acoustic Noise Level and Impulsiveness Inside Vehicles in Different Traffic Conditions

Recently, the issue of sound quality inside vehicles has attracted interest from both researchers and industry alike due to health concerns and also to increase the appeal of vehicles to consumers. This work extends the analysis of interior acoustic noise inside a vehicle under several conditions by comparing measured power levels and two different models for acoustic noise, namely the Gaussian and the alpha-stable distributions. Noise samples were collected in a scenario with real traffic patterns using a measurement setup composed of a Raspberry Pi Board and a microphone strategically positioned. The analysis of the acquired data shows that the observed noise levels are higher when traffic conditions are good. Additionally, the interior noise presented considerable impulsiveness, which tends to be more severe when traffic is slower. Finally, our results suggest that noise sources related to the vehicle itself and its movement are the most relevant ones in the composition of the interior acoustic noise.

Decrease in life expectancy due to COVID-19 disease not offset by reduced environmental impacts associated with lockdowns in Italy

The consequence of the lockdowns implemented to address the COVID-19 pandemic on human health damage due to air pollution and other environmental issues must be better understood. This paper analyses the effect of reducing energy demand on the evolution of environmental impacts during the occurrence of 2020-lockdown periods in Italy, with a specific focus on life expectancy. An energy metabolism analysis is conducted based on the life cycle assessment (LCA) of all monthly energy consumptions, by sector, category and province area in Italy between January 2015 to December 2020. Results show a general decrease (by ∼5% on average) of the LCA midpoint impact categories (global warming, stratospheric ozone depletion, fine particulate matter formation, etc.) over the entire year 2020 when compared to past years. These avoided impacts, mainly due to reductions in fossil energy consumptions, are meaningful during the first lockdown phase between March and May 2020 (by ∼21% on average). Regarding the LCA endpoint damage on human health, ∼66 Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) per 100,000 inhabitants are estimated to be saved. The analysis shows that the magnitude of the officially recorded casualties is substantially larger than the estimated gains in human lives due to the environmental impact reductions. Future research could therefore investigate the complex cause-effect relationships between the deaths occurred in 2020 imputed to COVID-19 disease and co-factors other than the SARS-CoV-2 virus.