The components of progression as explanatory variables for overall survival in the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours 1.1 database

Dissecting sources of variability in patient response to targeted therapy: anti-HER2 therapies as a case study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Despite their use to treat cancers with specific genetic aberrations, targeted therapies elicit heterogeneous responses. Sources of variability are critical to targeted therapy drug development, yet there exists no method to discern their relative contribution to response heterogeneity.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

We use HER2-amplified breast cancer and two agents, neratinib and lapatinib, to develop a platform for dissecting sources of variability in patient response. The platform comprises four components: pharmacokinetics, tumor burden and growth kinetics, clonal composition, and sensitivity to treatment. Pharmacokinetics are simulated using population models to capture variable systemic exposure. Tumor burden and growth kinetics are derived from clinical data comprising over 800,000 women. The fraction of sensitive and resistant tumor cells is informed by HER2 immunohistochemistry. Growth rate-corrected drug potency is used to predict response. We integrate these factors and simulate clinical outcomes for virtual patients. The relative contribution of these factors to response heterogeneity are compared.

KEY RESULTS

The platform was verified with clinical data, including response rate and progression-free survival (PFS). For both neratinib and lapatinib, the growth rate of resistant clones influenced PFS to a higher degree than systemic drug exposure. Variability in exposure at labeled doses did not significantly influence response. Sensitivity to drug strongly influenced responses to neratinib. Variability in patient HER2 immunohistochemistry scores influenced responses to lapatinib. Exploratory twice daily dosing improved PFS for neratinib but not lapatinib.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

The platform can dissect sources of variability in response to target therapy, which may facilitate decision-making during drug development.

Predicting immunotherapy outcomes in patients with MSI tumors using NLR and CT global tumor volume

BACKGROUND

Anti-PD-(L)1 treatment is indicated for patients with mismatch repair-deficient (MMRD) tumors, regardless of tumor origin. However, the response rate is highly heterogeneous across MMRD tumors. The objective of the study is to find a score that predicts anti-PD-(L)1 response in patients with MMRD tumors.

METHODS

Sixty-one patients with various origin of MMRD tumors and treated with anti-PD-(L)1 were retrospectively included in this study. An expert radiologist annotated all tumors present at the baseline and first evaluation CT-scans for all the patients by circumscribing them on their largest axial axis (single slice), allowing us to compute an approximation of their tumor volume. In total, 2120 lesions were annotated, which led to the computation of the total tumor volume for each patient. The RECIST sum of target lesions' diameters and neutrophile-to-lymphocyte (NLR) were also reported at both examinations. These parameters were determined at baseline and first evaluation and the variation between the first evaluation and baseline was calculated, to determine a comprehensive score for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Total tumor volume at baseline was found to be significantly correlated to the OS (p-value: 0.005) and to the PFS (p-value:<0.001). The variation of the RECIST sum of target lesions' diameters, total tumor volume and NLR were found to be significantly associated to the OS (p-values:<0.001, 0.006,<0.001 respectively) and to the PFS (<0.001,<0.001, 0.007 respectively). The concordance score combining total tumor volume and NLR variation was better at stratifying patients compared to the tumor volume or NLR taken individually according to the OS (pairwise log-rank test p-values: 0.033,<0.001, 0.002) and PFS (pairwise log-rank test p-values: 0.041,<0.001, 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Total tumor volume appears to be a prognostic biomarker of anti-PD-(L)1 response to immunotherapy in metastatic patients with MMRD tumors. Combining tumor volume and NLR with a simple concordance score stratifies patients well according to their survival and offers a good predictive measure of response to immunotherapy.

The prognosis and risk factors for capecitabine maintenance treatment in metastatic breast cancer: a retrospective comparative cohort study

Background

Maintenance treatment following efficient chemotherapy can improve the treatment outcomes of patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC). However, there are no studies for identifying the prognostic factors for patients who could benefit from capecitabine maintenance. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the prognosis and risk factors of capecitabine maintenance therapy and analysed the circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) markers that may be related to the treatment response.

Methods

This study recruited 482 consecutive patients with MBC who achieved clinical benefit from capecitabine-based chemotherapy from 2011 to 2019. A total of 256 patients received subsequent capecitabine maintenance therapy. The baseline clinical factors included age at diagnosis, menopause, neoadjuvant therapy, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status and subtypes, prior treatment lines, and prior capecitabine-based treatment response. Treatment outcome (progression-free survival, PFS) was assessed by imaging tools according to RSCIST 1.1 standard during the first two treatment cycles and every 3 weeks thereafter. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to analysethe association between capecitabine maintenance treatment and prognosis.

Results

The median PFS of patients receiving capecitabine maintenance treatment was 21.7 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 15.1-36.3 months]. Capecitabine maintenance showed similar effects as endocrine maintenance or anti-HER2 therapy in hormone receptor (HR)-positive or HER2-positive patients, with adjusted HR of 1.17 (95% CI: 0.81-1.71, P=0.40). In patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), capecitabine maintenance showed a marginal benefit in PFS. Compared to late-line (≥2) capecitabine maintenance, first-line capecitabine maintenance significantly prolonged median PFS. Compared to other HR/HER2 subtypes, patients with HR-positive and HER2-positive subtypes significantly benefited from capecitabine maintenance treatment. Analysis of ctDNA revealed that among patients receiving capecitabine maintenance, TP53 aberrations were concentrated in patients with short PFS.

Conclusions

Capecitabine maintenance treatment is associated with longer PFS in patients with MBC, especially those receiving first-line capecitabine-based chemotherapy and those with HR positivity/HER2 positivity. TP53 aberrations may be responsible for the poor response to capecitabine maintenance treatment.

Twenty Years On: RECIST as a Biomarker of Response in Solid Tumours an EORTC Imaging Group - ESOI Joint Paper

Response evaluation criteria in solid tumours (RECIST) v1.1 are currently the reference standard for evaluating efficacy of therapies in patients with solid tumours who are included in clinical trials, and they are widely used and accepted by regulatory agencies. This expert statement discusses the principles underlying RECIST, as well as their reproducibility and limitations. While the RECIST framework may not be perfect, the scientific bases for the anticancer drugs that have been approved using a RECIST-based surrogate endpoint remain valid. Importantly, changes in measurement have to meet thresholds defined by RECIST for response classification within thus partly circumventing the problems of measurement variability. The RECIST framework also applies to clinical patients in individual settings even though the relationship between tumour size changes and outcome from cohort studies is not necessarily translatable to individual cases. As reproducibility of RECIST measurements is impacted by reader experience, choice of target lesions and detection/interpretation of new lesions, it can result in patients changing response categories when measurements are near threshold values or if new lesions are missed or incorrectly interpreted. There are several situations where RECIST will fail to evaluate treatment-induced changes correctly; knowledge and understanding of these is crucial for correct interpretation. Also, some patterns of response/progression cannot be correctly documented by RECIST, particularly in relation to organ-site (e.g. bone without associated soft-tissue lesion) and treatment type (e.g. focal therapies). These require specialist reader experience and communication with oncologists to determine the actual impact of the therapy and best evaluation strategy. In such situations, alternative imaging markers for tumour response may be used but the sources of variability of individual imaging techniques need to be known and accounted for. Communication between imaging experts and oncologists regarding the level of confidence in a biomarker is essential for the correct interpretation of a biomarker and its application to clinical decision-making. Though measurement automation is desirable and potentially reduces the variability of results, associated technical difficulties must be overcome, and human adjudications may be required.

Prediction of survival after eribulin chemotherapy for breast cancer by absolute lymphocyte counts and progression types

Background

In the Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors (RECIST) diagnostic criteria, the concepts of progression by preexisting disease (PPL) and progression by new metastases (PNM) have been proposed to distinguish between the progression types of cancer refractory to treatment. According to the tumor biology of cancer progression forms, the “PPL” form indicates invasion, and the “PNM” form indicates metastasis. On the other hand, recent studies have focused on the clinical importance of inflammatory markers as indicators of the systemic tumor immune response. In particular, absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) is an indicator of the host’s immune response. Thus, we developed a new measure that combined progression form with ALC. In this study, we clinically validated the combined assessment of progression form and ALC in eribulin chemotherapy.

Methods

From August 2011 to April 2019, a total of 486 patients with locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer (MBC) underwent treatment. In this study, only 88 patients who underwent chemotherapy using eribulin were included. The antitumor effect was evaluated based on the RECIST criteria, version 1.1. To measure ALC, peripheral blood samples collected before eribulin treatment were used. The cut-off value for ALC in this study was 1500/μl, based on previous studies.

Results

The PPL group (71 patients, 80.7%) had significantly longer progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.022, log-rank) and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001, log-rank) than the PNM group (17 patients, 19.3%). In the 51 patients with ALC < 1500/μl, the PPL group had a significantly better prognosis than the PNM group (PFS: p = 0.035, OS: p < 0.001, log-rank, respectively). On the other hand, in the 37 patients with ALC ≥ 1500/μl, the PPL group had a better OS compared with the PNM group (p = 0.055, log-rank), but there was no significant difference in PFS between the two groups (p = 0.541, log-rank). Furthermore, multivariate analysis that validated the effect of OS showed that high ORR and “high-ALC and PPL” were factors for a good prognosis (p < 0.001, HR = 0.321; p = 0.036, HR = 0.290).

Conclusions

The progression form of PNM had a worse prognosis than PPL in patients treated with eribulin. In breast cancer patients with eribulin chemotherapy, good systemic immune status, such as ALC ≥ 1500/μl, was associated with less progression, particularly metastasis, and better prognosis. Furthermore, the biomarker “high-ALC (ALC ≥ 1500/μl) and PPL” was particularly useful as a prognostic marker following eribulin chemotherapy.

Clone Wars: Quantitatively Understanding Cancer Drug Resistance

A key aim of early clinical development for new cancer treatments is to detect the potential for efficacy early and to identify a safe therapeutic dose to take forward to phase II. Because of this need, researchers have sought to build mathematical models linking initial radiologic tumor response, often assessed after 6 to 8 weeks of treatment, with overall survival. However, there has been mixed success of this approach in the literature. We argue that evolutionary selection pressure should be considered to interpret these early efficacy signals and so optimize cancer therapy.

Radiological Response Heterogeneity Is of Prognostic Significance in Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Treated with Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor-targeted Therapy

BACKGROUND

Response evaluation criteria in solid tumours (RECIST) is widely used to assess tumour response but is limited by not considering disease site or radiological heterogeneity (RH).

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether RH or disease site has prognostic significance in patients with metastatic clear-cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective analysis was conducted of a second-line phase II study in patients with metastatic ccRCC (NCT00942877), evaluating 138 patients with 458 baseline lesions.

INTERVENTION

The phase II trial assessed vascular endothelial growth factor-targeted therapy±Src inhibition.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

RH at week 8 was assessed within individual patients with two or more lesions to predict overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model. We defined a high heterogeneous response as occurring when one or more lesion underwent a ≥10% reduction and one or more lesion underwent a ≥10% increase in size. Disease progression was defined by RECIST 1.1 criteria.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

In patients with a complete/partial response or stable disease by RECIST 1.1 and two or more lesions at week 8, those with a high heterogeneous response had a shorter OS compared to those with a homogeneous response (hazard ratio [HR] 2.01; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.39-2.92; p<0.001). Response by disease site at week 8 did not affect OS. At disease progression, one or more new lesion was associated with worse survival compared with >20% increase in sum of target lesion diameters only (HR 2.12; 95% CI: 1.43-3.14; p<0.001). Limitations include retrospective study design.

CONCLUSIONS

RH and the development of new lesions may predict survival in metastatic ccRCC. Further prospective studies are required.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We looked at individual metastases in patients with kidney cancer and showed that a variable response to treatment and the appearance of new metastases may be associated with worse survival. Further studies are required to confirm these findings.

PIK3CA gene mutations in the helical domain correlate with high tumor mutation burden and poor prognosis in metastatic breast carcinomas with late-line therapies

Nearly half of metastatic breast cancers (MBC) have genetic aberrations in the PI3K/AKT pathway. To investigate the distinct effect of these aberrations on MBC, 193 MBC patients who progressed after the early line (≤2) salvage treatment voluntarily received next generation sequencing (NGS) for a panel of 1,021 genes. 93 (48%) patients had genetic aberrations in the PI3K/AKT pathway. The number of patients with PIK3CA mutations in kinase domain (KD), helical domain (HD) and other domain (OD), were 36 (18.7%), 26 (13.5%), 10 (5.2%), respectively. 21 (10.9%) patients had mutations in PI3K/AKT pathway genes other than PIK3CA (P/A). Compared to PI3K/AKT-wild type (WT) patients, PIK3CA-HD patients had a significantly shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (Logrank p-value < 0.0001). PIK3CA-KD, PIK3CA-OD and other P/A mutations showed similar PFS to WT patients (Logrank p-value = 0.63). PIK3CA-HD patients had a distinct ctDNA mutation profile to patients with other PI3K/AKT mutations. PIK3CA-HD patients had a higher rate of FGFR and NF1 aberrations. In addition, more PIK3CA-HD carriers were TMB-high. Cox regression analyses suggested that PIK3CA-HD mutations, FGFR aberrations and high TMB were all significant risk factors for poor PFS. In conclusion, future research needs to focus more on the treatment strategies targeting PIK3CA-HD mutations.

N-Cadherin mRNA Levels in Peripheral Blood Could Be a Potential Indicator of New Metastases in Breast Cancer: A Pilot Study

Background: There is growing evidence that patients with metastatic breast cancer whose disease progresses from a new metastasis (NM) have a worse prognosis than that of patients whose disease progresses from a pre-existing metastasis. The aim of this pilot study is to identify a blood biomarker predicting NM in breast cancer. Methods: The expression of epithelial (cytokeratin 18/19) or mesenchymal (plastin-3, vimentin, and N-cadherin) markers in the peripheral blood (PB) of recurrent breast cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy with eribulin or S-1 was measured over the course of treatment by RT-qPCR. The clinical significance of preoperative N-cadherin expression in the PB or tumor tissues of breast cancer patients undergoing curative surgery was assessed by RT-qPCR or using public datasets. Finally, N-cadherin expression in specific PB cell types was assessed by RT-qPCR. Results: The expression levels of the mesenchymal markers N-cadherin and vimentin were high in the NM cases, whereas that of the epithelial marker cytokeratin 18 was high in the pre-existing metastasis cases. High preoperative N-cadherin expression in PB or tumor tissues was significantly associated with poor recurrence-free survival. N-cadherin was expressed mainly in polymorphonuclear leukocytes in PB. Conclusion: N-cadherin mRNA levels in blood may serve as a novel prognostic biomarker predicting NM, including recurrence, in breast cancer patients.

Prognostic Impact of the Components of Progressive Disease on Survival After First-Line Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor Therapy for Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

According to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) classification, progressive disease (PD) is defined as target lesion growth (TLG), unequivocal non-target lesion growth (NTLG), or new lesion appearance (NLA). The prognostic impact of the components of PD in tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We retrospectively evaluated the prognostic impact of these PD components on survival in patients with mRCC after first-line TKI therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were divided into three groups (TLG, NTLG, and NLA) based on the components of PD. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) after first-line TKI therapy were compared between groups using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. The predictive impact of the PD components was evaluated using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Among the 116 patients included, 80 (69.0%) had TLG, 18 (15.5%) NTLG, and 69 (58.6%) NLA. The mean PFS and OS were shorter for patients with TLG than those without TLG (PFS, 7.1 vs. 11.6 months, p = 0.0071; OS, 18.2 vs. 25.5 months, p = 0.0091). TLG was an independent predictor of PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.59; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-2.51; p = 0.0395) and OS (HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.02-2.83; p = 0.040). NTLG and NLA were not associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective single-center study, patients with TLG had poor survival after first-line TKI therapy for mRCC. Thus, individual components of PD influence patient prognosis.

Components of Radiologic Progressive Disease Defined by RECIST 1.1 in Patients with Metastatic Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma

Background Progression-free survival (PFS) determined by Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 (RECIST 1.1) is the reference standard to assess efficacy of treatments in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Purpose To assess the most common components of radiologic progressive disease as defined by RECIST 1.1 in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma and how the progression events impact PFS. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis of the phase III METEOR trial conducted between 2013 and 2014 included patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma, with at least one target lesion at baseline and one follow-up time point, who were determined according to RECIST 1.1 to have progressive disease. A chest, abdominal, and pelvic scan were acquired at each time point. Kruskal-Wallis analysis was used to test differences in median PFS among the RECIST 1.1 progression events. The Holm-Bonferroni method was used to compare the median PFS of the progression events for the family-wise error rate of 5% to adjust P values for multiple comparisons. Results Of the 395 patients (296 men, 98 women, and one patient with sex not reported; mean age, 61 years ± 10), 73 (18.5%) had progression due to non-target disease, 105 (26.6%) had new lesions, and 126 (31.9%) had progression of target lesions (defined by an increase in the sum of diameters). Patients with progression of non-target disease and those with new lesions had shorter PFS than patients with progression defined by the target lesions (median PFS, 2.8 months [95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.9 months, 3.7 months] and 3.6 months [95% CI: 3.3 months, 3.7 months] vs 5.4 months [95% CI: 5.0 months, 5.5 months], respectively [P < .01]). Conclusion The most common causes for radiologic progression of renal cell carcinoma were based on non-target disease and new lesions rather than change in target lesions, despite this being considered uncommon in the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 literature. © RSNA, 2019 See also the editorial by Kuhl in this issue.

RECIST 1.1 for Response Evaluation Apply Not Only to Chemotherapy-Treated Patients But Also to Targeted Cancer Agents: A Pooled Database Analysis

PURPOSE

The mode of action of targeted cancer agents (TCAs) differs from classic chemotherapy, which leads to concerns about the role of RECIST in evaluating tumor response in trials with TCAs. We investigated the performance of RECIST using a pooled database from 50 clinical trials with at least one TCA.

METHODS

We examined the impact of the number of target lesions (TLs) on within-patient variability of tumor response. The prognostic effect of TL response (at 12 weeks or on study on the basis of a maximum five TLs) on survival was studied through landmark and time-dependent Cox models adjusted for baseline tumor load, occurrence of new lesions, or unequivocal progression of nontarget disease.

RESULTS

Data were obtained from 23,259 patients with cancer (36% lung, 28% colorectal, 11% breast, and 25% other); 15,620 received TCAs, predominantly transduction or angiogenesis inhibitors, as a single agent (37%), combined with other TCAs (7%), or as chemotherapy (56%); 28% received chemotherapy only; and 5% received best supportive care or placebo. A total of 17,222 patients contributed to the analyses. Within-patient variability decreased with increasing number of TLs, similarly for TCAs (with/without chemotherapy) and chemotherapy only. Mixed responses occurred proportionally in all treatment classes. Landmark analyses showed an ordinal relationship between percentage change from baseline to 12 weeks and overall survival, and demonstrated a clear distinction between tumor shrinkage and progressive disease according to RECIST. Time-dependent analysis showed no marked improvement in the ability to predict survival on the basis of TL tumor growth compared with nontarget progression or new lesion occurrence, regardless of treatment. Similar results were seen for major tumor types and different classes of TCAs.

CONCLUSION

This work reinforces that RECIST version 1.1 perform well for response assessment of TCAs.

Impact of the occurrence of new lesions on the survival of patients who undergo chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer

In clinical practice, the efficacy of chemotherapy for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is typically evaluated according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (RECIST) criteria, and an appropriate treatment plan is determined. In the case of progressive disease (PD), the components of the treatment are altered; however, PD, as defined by the RECIST criteria, includes various types of progression. While detailed consideration regarding the impact of the growth pattern of measurable target lesions on survival has been performed, the impact of the occurrence of new lesions on survival is unclear. The aim of the present study was to assess the impact of the occurrence of new lesions on the survival of patients who underwent chemotherapy for mCRC. Among the patients who received doublet chemotherapy for mCRC as a first-line treatment between 2008 and 2016, 81, who stopped the chemotherapy due to PD, were enrolled in the present study. The types of progression were classified according to the definitions of RECIST. Subsequently, the following criteria were considered: The growth of measurable target lesions, the occurrence of new lesions and the unequivocal progression of non-target disease. Furthermore, the developing patterns of new lesions were also assessed. The association between the type of progression and the survival after the failure of the first-line chemotherapy was explored. Forty (49.4%) patients only experienced growth of measurable target lesions, 41 (50.6%) of the patients had new lesions and 3 (3.7%) of the patients had unequivocal progression of non-target disease. The survival rate from the discontinuation of first-line chemotherapy in patients with new lesions was significantly worse than that in patients without new lesions (P=0.0068); however, the developing patterns of new lesions were not associated with survival. Regardless of the developing patterns of new lesions, patients who stopped chemotherapy due to new lesions had worse survival rates from the discontinuation of first-line chemotherapy compared with those who stopped chemotherapy due only to the growth of measurable target lesions. Because the occurrence of new lesions represents severe progressive disease, patients with new lesions may require more intensive chemotherapy. The type of progression may be useful information for selecting the appropriate treatment following the failure of first-line chemotherapy.

The mode of progressive disease affects the prognosis of patients with metastatic breast cancer

Background

According to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), progressive disease (PD) is diagnosed under two conditions: an increase in size of pre-existing lesions (IS) and the appearance of new lesions (NL). We retrospectively investigated the difference in the prognosis between IS and NL.

Methods

Patients receiving drug therapies for metastatic breast cancer between 2004 and 2015 at our institution were reviewed. The survival time after NL and IS was compared and the frequency of NL with each drug calculated.

Results

For the 107 eligible patients, the survival time after NL at second-line chemotherapy was significantly worse than after IS (median survival time 4.3 months vs. 20.3 months, p = 0.0048). Maintenance therapy with bevacizumab or trastuzumab had a high frequency of NL (88.9%), and third-line eribulin had a low frequency of NL (16.7%). A multivariate analysis showed that NL at second-line chemotherapy was not an independent risk factor (hazard ratio 1.02, 95%; confidence interval 0.54–1.93, p = 0.95) for the total survival time.

Conclusions

Patients with IS had a better survival after PD than those with NL. We may be able to avoid changing drug therapy for patients without NL and allow them to continue drug therapy for longer.

Study on the progression types of cancer in patients with breast cancer undergoing eribulin chemotherapy and tumor microenvironment

Background

Recently, the concepts of progression due to pre-existing lesions (PPL) and progression due to new metastasis (PNM) have been proposed to differentiate the progression types of treatment-resistant cancers. Previously, the differences between these two progression types did not affect the determination of treatment strategies since both PPL and PNM are classified as progressive disease based on the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST) diagnostic criteria. On the other hand, tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are effective when used as indicators for monitoring the immune tumor microenvironment (iTME) in the cancer host, and TILs play an important role as biomarkers in predicting prognosis and therapeutic effects. This study focused on the progression types of cancer in patients undergoing eribulin chemotherapy. In addition, the iTME in individuals with PPL and PNM was evaluated using TILs as a marker.

Methods

Of the 52 patients with locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer who underwent chemotherapy with eribulin, 40 remained in the study, and 12 patients were dropout cases. The antitumor effect was evaluated based on the RECIST criteria using version 1.1. TILs were defined as the infiltrating lymphocytes within tumor stroma and were expressed in proportion to the field investigated. In PPL cases, the high-TIL group was considered as type I and the low-TIL group was classified as type II. In PNM cases, the high-TIL group was considered as type III and the low-TIL group was classified as type IV.

Results

In 19 cases, individuals with type I progression had significantly longer progression free survival and overall survival (OS) compared to those with type III progression (p = 0.040, p < 0.001, log-rank). Individuals with type I progression had significantly prolonged survival post progression compared to those with type II progression (p = 0.048, log-rank). A multivariate analysis that validate the effect of OS showed that these were independent factors of good prognosis (p = 0.003; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.065) (p = 0.006; HR = 0.105).

Conclusions

The effects of eribulin chemotherapy suggested that patients with progressive-type breast cancer that proliferates in a good iTME may have a good prognosis.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12967-018-1443-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Resisting RECIST-Uniformity Versus Clinical Validity

OBJECTIVES

The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) International Working Group developed criteria for tumor response and progression to standardize radiological assessment in patients receiving chemotherapy in phase 2 trials. However, it is unclear whether the defined percentage change in tumor size and volume reflects true clinical benefit for the patient. The RECIST criteria were designed to improve objectivity in trials, but not to replace clinical decision making. The aim of this study was to understand clinicians' opinions about RECIST in current oncology practice.

METHODS

Using Web-based questionnaires, we investigated attitudes to the use of RECIST at a large comprehensive cancer center and in an international group of gynecologic cancer specialists through the Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup. The results reported here relate to the survey focusing on gynecologic cancer.

RESULTS

Sixty medical professionals from 13 countries responded to the survey. The majority of respondents worked at a tertiary or specialist cancer center (51; 86%). Overall, 66% of respondents felt RECIST increased trial objectivity and was a good measure of response. The majority of respondents (81%) reported that they infrequently challenged RECIST evaluation. Overall, 60% felt more than 10% of patients came off trial for clinical rather than radiological progression. In the context of a new small lesion, only 35% felt that should always be considered disease progression. The importance of both clinician and radiologist input was highlighted with nontarget progression. Nontarget progression and target progression were recognized as equally important for clinical decision making (72%).

CONCLUSIONS

RECIST is a key criterion for endpoint assessment in clinical trials with its value recognized by clinicians. However, this survey also highlights the practical limitations of RECIST. Disconnect can be seen between the radiological result and the clinical picture-learning from these patients is critical. Continued efforts to improve metrics assessing patient benefit in trials remains a priority.

Impact of progression type on overall survival in patients with advanced gastric cancer based on randomized phase III study of S-1 plus oxaliplatin versus S-1 plus cisplatin

BACKGROUND

The association between progression type and survival has been reported in breast cancer, but remains unclear in advanced gastric cancer (AGC). Here, this association was assessed using data obtained from an earlier randomized phase III study demonstrating the non-inferiority of S-1 plus oxaliplatin (SOX) to S-1 plus cisplatin (CS) on progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) in the first-line treatment of AGC.

METHODS

A Cox regression model including two time-dependent covariates, progression with new lesions and with no new lesions, was used to determine their effect on OS in each treatment group. When both types of progression were detected simultaneously, this was categorized as progression with new lesions.

RESULTS

Progression with and with no new lesions was identified in 91 and 167 patients, respectively, in the SOX group (333 patients) and 95 and 147 patients, respectively, in the CS group (330 patients). The association between progression type and OS was similar in both treatment groups; both progression types were strong poor prognostic factors, particularly progression with new lesions [hazard ratio (HR), 7.26; 95% confidence interval (CI), 4.89-10.80 in SOX and HR, 5.78; 95% CI, 4.13-8.08 in CS] compared to no new lesions (HR, 4.66; 95% CI, 3.21-6.77 in SOX and HR, 2.71; 95% CI, 1.95-3.75 in CS).

CONCLUSIONS

Progression accompanied by new lesions had a strong negative impact on OS in patients treated with S-1 and platinum for AGC.

"New" metastases are associated with a poorer prognosis than growth of pre-existing metastases in patients with metastatic breast cancer treated with chemotherapy

Introduction

Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) endpoints often only weakly correlate. This analysis investigates how different progression events impact on OS, using data from two phase 3 studies with eribulin in women with advanced/metastatic breast cancer (MBC).

Methods

In Study 301, 1102 women with ≤2 prior chemotherapies for advanced/MBC were randomized to eribulin mesylate (1.4 mg/m² on days 1 and 8 every 21 days) or capecitabine (1.25 g/m² twice daily on days 1–14 every 21 days). Study 305/EMBRACE enrolled 762 patients following two to five prior chemotherapies for advanced/MBC, randomized to eribulin (as above) or treatment of physician’s choice. We analyzed OS and PFS post hoc for patients whose disease progressed due to development of “new” metastases, growth of pre-existing lesions, and patients with no reported disease progression.

Results

In both clinical studies, development of new metastases was associated with an increased risk of death (p < 0.0001). The time to development of new metastasis or death was significantly longer with eribulin than the comparator in Study 305 (p = 0.0017), but not in Study 301 (p = 0.46). Significantly longer OS was observed in the eribulin compared with the comparator arm for the new metastases subgroup in Study 301 (p = 0.008), but not in Study 305 (p = 0.16), compared with other progression subgroups.

Conclusions

Patients with MBC progressing with new metastases have a worse prognosis than those whose disease progresses due to growth of existing lesions or patients with no reported disease progression. These findings have potentially important implications for the interpretation of clinical study data and clinical practice.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov registration IDs: Study 301: NCT00337103; Study 305: NCT00388726.

Depth of remission is a prognostic factor for survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Response remains an important endpoint in clinical cancer trials. However, the prognostic utility of best tumor response in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) remains vague.

OBJECTIVE

To define the prognostic relevance of the depth of remission in mRCC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Pooled data from the Pfizer database for 2749 patients from phase 2 and 3 clinical trials in mRCC were analyzed. Tumor shrinkage was categorized according to the best percentage change in the sum of the largest diameter of target lesions. Outcome was computed using Kaplan-Meier curves and correlation was assessed via Cox regression, including a 6-mo landmark.

INTERVENTION

Sunitinib, sorafenib, axitinib, temsirolimus, or temsirolimus and interferon-α.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Categorized tumor shrinkage, overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS).

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Major tumor shrinkage of 60% or more occurred in approximately 10% of patients and was associated with median OS of 54.5 mo. OS expectations steadily decreased with depth of remission (26.4, 16.6, 10.4, and 7.3 mo). The association was maintained when stratified by type of therapy, line of therapy, and performance status. Cox proportional regression analyses for the 6-mo landmark confirmed the prognostic relevance of major tumor shrinkage (hazard ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.22-0.39; p<0.001). The major limitation of our study is the variability of imaging intervals among studies.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first and largest analysis of best tumor response in mRCC. We demonstrate that depth of remission is an independent prognostic factor in mRCC.

PATIENT SUMMARY

It remains unknown whether tumor shrinkage during therapy is needed to achieve clinical activity in metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Our analysis shows that the magnitude of tumor shrinkage correlates with better survival in patients. This observation may be used as a clinical research tool in future trials.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00054886, NCT00077974, NCT00267748, NCT00338884, NCT00137423, NCT00083889, NCT00065468, NCT00678392.

Association between carcinoembryonic antigen levels and the applied value of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in post-operative recurrent and metastatic colorectal cancer

Positron emission tomography (PET) using ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose has been widely used for analyzing cellular metabolism. The present study aimed to evaluate the association between the diagnostic value of PET/computed tomography (CT) in patients with post-operative recurrent and metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC), and the different levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). A total of 105 suspected recurrent and metastatic CRC patients (67 males and 38 females; mean age, 48.5 years) were included in this retrospective study. All the patients underwent PET/CT examination. The differences in the PET/CT diagnostic values of CEA-positive and -negative patients with recurrent CRC following surgery were retrospectively analyzed and compared. Among the 105 CRC patients, 87 exhibited recurrence and metastasis, as confirmed by histopathological diagnosis or clinical follow-up data. By contrast, the PET/CT examination results revealed that 85 cases were true positives (a false positive foci was diagnosed in one of the patients), 18 were true negatives and 2 were false negatives. Correspondingly, the sensitivity and degree of accuracy were 97.7 and 97.1%, respectively. The detection rates of PET/CT for the recurrence and metastases were 85.3% in the CEA-positive group and 75.7% in the CEA-negative group. No significant differences were observed between the two groups. Overall, CEA levels do not help improve the detection rate of PET/CT in the recurrence and metastasis of CRC. PET/CT imaging has a high sensitivity and degree of accuracy in detecting recurrence and metastasis following CRC surgery. Therefore, this method is ideal for monitoring relapsed and metastatic foci of post-operative colon cancer cases.