Comprehensive analysis of colorectal cancer-risk loci and survival outcome: A prognostic role for CDH1 variants

Colorectal Cancer Risk Loci: Prognostic Factors for Clinical Outcomes? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified through genome-wide association studies (GWASs) on colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence are also shown as promising predictors of clinical outcomes in CRC patients. These genetic variants might help inform precision prognostic strategies by predicting disease progression, treatment response, and overall survival, thereby guiding more personalized treatment plans. However, conflicting evidence exists regarding their clinical relevance.

AIM

A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to assess the potential of GWAS-identified SNPs in predicting CRC outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane databases up to 18 October 2024 for prospective studies that investigated the associations of CRC-related SNPs and polygenic risk scores (PRSs) built based on multiple SNPs with clinical outcomes. Quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, and the heterogeneity was assessed by I2 index and Cochran's Q test. The final analysis included 22 studies with overall high quality and heterogeneity in several aspects (e.g., genetic models, ethnic background, and genetic signatures of CRC types). Among over 100 CRC risk-related loci, 12 SNPs were statistically associated with CRC clinical outcomes (mainly survival outcomes), which were replicated in multiple studies. Notably, rs9929218 and rs6983267, located in genes involved in processes of tumorigenesis, were linked to poor survival with hazard ratios (95% CIs) of 1.26 (1.12-1.42) under a recessive model and 1.33 (1.10-1.61) under an additive model, respectively, in the stratified analysis by genetic models. Besides, PRSs built based on survival-related SNPs were moderately associated with overall survival in CRC patients with hazard ratios exceeding 2.6 for each one-point increase in PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

Individual genetic variants and PRSs are predictive of CRC survival, and might serve as potential factors for risk stratification, which could help develop personalized treatment and surveillance strategies for CRC patients. However, the potential for false positives and the significant heterogeneity among studies that cannot be fully addressed in the current analysis due to limited data require a cautious interpretation of these findings. Large-scale studies are warranted to further explore and validate GWAS-identified SNPs for promising prognostic biomarkers in CRC patients while accounting for factors such as ethnic differences and tumor subtypes.

Relationship between 233 colorectal cancer risk loci and survival in 1926 patients with advanced disease

Background

Genome, transcriptome and methylome-wide association studies have identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) or genes at 258 loci associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We studied the relationship between these and patient outcome.

Methods

We studied 1926 unrelated patients with advanced CRC from COIN and COIN-B. Of 205 CRC-risk SNPs, 19 were directly genotyped and 162 were imputed, and of 53 risk genes, 52 were tested. An additive Cox model for overall survival was adjusted for known prognostic factors. For nominally significant SNPs or genes, we considered a recessive model with a Bonferroni corrected threshold of P = 2.1 × 10-4. We examined SNPs as expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) and the relationship between gene expression in colorectal tumours and survival in 597 unrelated patients.

Results

Eleven SNPs or genes were nominally associated with survival under an additive model. Only rs117079142 mapping to UTP23 and EIF3H (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 2.79, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI] = 1.70-4.58, P = 4.7 × 10-5) and rs9924886 mapping to CDH1 and CDH3 (HR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.12-1.38, P = 5.2 × 10-5) passed the multiple testing threshold under a recessive model. rs117079142 was an eQTL for UTP23 and rs9924886 for CDH1, CDH3 and ZFP90. Decreased CDH1 expression in CRCs was associated with worse survival (HR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.3-3.5, P = 1.8 × 10-3).

Conclusion

rs117079142 and rs9924886 may represent potential prognostic biomarkers for CRC.

The PANcreatic Disease ReseArch (PANDoRA) consortium: Ten years' experience of association studies to understand the genetic architecture of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer has an incidence that almost matches its mortality. Only a small number of risk factors and 33 susceptibility loci have been identified. so Moreover, the relative rarity of pancreatic cancer poses significant hurdles for research aimed at increasing our knowledge of the genetic mechanisms contributing to the disease. Additionally, the inability to adequately power research questions prevents small monocentric studies from being successful. Several consortia have been established to pursue a better understanding of the genetic architecture of pancreatic cancers. The Pancreatic disease research (PANDoRA) consortium is the largest in Europe. PANDoRA is spread across 12 European countries, Brazil and Japan, bringing together 29 basic and clinical research groups. In the last ten years, PANDoRA has contributed to the discovery of 25 susceptibility loci, a feat that will be instrumental in stratifying the population by risk and optimizing preventive strategies.

Association of CDH1 Germline Variants and Colon Polyp Phenotypes in Patients with Hereditary Diffuse Gastric Cancer

Background and Aims

Germline CDH1 variants resulting in E-cadherin loss of function result in an increased risk of diffuse type gastric cancer and lobular type breast cancer. However, the risk of developing other epithelial neoplasms, specifically colorectal cancer, is unknown.

Methods

Patients enrolled in a prospective natural history study of hereditary gastric cancer who underwent at least one colonoscopy were evaluated.

Results

Out of 300 patients with CDH1 pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants, 85 underwent colonoscopy. More than half of patients (56%, 48/85) had at least one colorectal polyp. Most of those patients (83%, 40/48) had at least one precancerous polyp (adenoma or sessile serrated lesion). More than half (56%) of patients younger than age 45 had a colorectal polyp. Of those with polyps, the most frequent CDH1 variant type was canonical splice site (27%, 13/48) followed by nonsense (21%, 10/48). There was no association between CDH1 variant type and increased likelihood of colorectal polyps.

Conclusions

In summary, a majority of CDH1 variant carriers who underwent colonoscopy had colorectal polyps detected, and most subjects were less than 45 years old. This study of colorectal cancer risk based on the prevalence of colorectal polyps in the CDH1 population requires further investigation to appropriately counsel patients on colorectal cancer screening. Clinical trial registry website: https://clinicaltrials.gov/. Clinical trial number: NCT03030404.

Does a Multiple Myeloma Polygenic Risk Score Predict Overall Survival of Patients with Myeloma?

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of multiple myeloma in populations of European ancestry (EA) identified and confirmed 24 susceptibility loci. For other cancers (e.g., colorectum and melanoma), risk loci have also been associated with patient survival.

METHODS

We explored the possible association of all the known risk variants and their polygenic risk score (PRS) with multiple myeloma overall survival (OS) in multiple populations of EA [the International Multiple Myeloma rESEarch (IMMEnSE) consortium, the International Lymphoma Epidemiology consortium, CoMMpass, and the German GWAS] for a total of 3,748 multiple myeloma cases. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the association between each risk SNP with OS under the allelic and codominant models of inheritance. All analyses were adjusted for age, sex, country of origin (for IMMEnSE) or principal components (for the others) and disease stage (ISS). SNP associations were meta-analyzed.

RESULTS

SNP associations were meta-analyzed. From the meta-analysis, two multiple myeloma risk SNPs were associated with OS (P < 0.05), specifically POT1-AS1-rs2170352 [HR = 1.37; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.09-1.73; P = 0.007] and TNFRSF13B-rs4273077 (HR = 1.19; 95% CI = 1.01-1.41; P = 0.04). The association between the combined 24 SNP MM-PRS and OS, however, was not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, our results did not support an association between the majority of multiple myeloma risk SNPs and OS.

IMPACT

This is the first study to investigate the association between multiple myeloma PRS and OS in multiple myeloma.

Overview of Research on Germline Genetic Variation in Immune Genes and Cancer Outcomes

Since the late 19th century, the immune system has been known to play a role in cancer risk, initiation, and progression. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified hundreds of genetic risk loci for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases, yet the connection between human genetic variation and immune-mediated response to cancer treatments remains less well-explored. Understanding inherited genetic variation, with respect to germline genetic polymorphisms that affect immune system pathways, could lead to greater insights about how these processes may best be harnessed to successfully treat cancer. Our goal in this manuscript was to understand progress and challenges in assessing the role of inherited genetic variation in response to cancer treatments. Overall, the 39 studies reviewed here suggest that germline genetic variation in immune system related genes may potentially affect responses to cancer treatments. Although further research is needed, considering information on germline immune genetic variation may help, in some cases, to optimize cancer treatment.

A comprehensive analysis of SNPs and CNVs identifies novel markers associated with disease outcomes in colorectal cancer

We aimed to examine the associations of a genome-wide set of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and 254 copy number variations (CNVs) and/or insertion/deletions (INDELs) with clinical outcomes in colorectal cancer patients (n = 505). We also aimed to investigate whether their associations changed (e.g., appeared, diminished) over time. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards and piece-wise Cox regression models were used to examine the associations. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets were used for replication purposes and to examine the gene expression differences between tumor and nontumor tissue samples. A common SNP (WBP11-rs7314075) was associated with disease-specific survival with P-value of 3.2 × 10-8 . Association of this region with disease-specific survival was also detected in the TCGA patient cohort. Two expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) were identified in this locus that were implicated in the regulation of ERP27 expression. Interestingly, expression levels of ERP27 and WBP11 were significantly different between colorectal tumors and nontumor tissues. Three SNPs predicted the risk of recurrent disease only after 5 years postdiagnosis. Overall, our study identified novel variants, one of which also showed an association in the TCGA dataset, but no CNVs/INDELs, that associated with outcomes in colorectal cancer. Three SNPs were candidate predictors of long-term recurrence/metastasis risk.

Novel functional variants in the Notch pathway and survival of Chinese colorectal cancer

Notch signaling pathway plays crucial roles in progression of colorectal cancer (CRC), likely affecting overall survival (OS). In a two-stage survival analysis of 1116 CRC patients in East China, we found that one locus at MINAR1 out of 133 genes in the Notch signaling pathway was significantly associated with OS (P < 1 × 10^-6 , false discovery rate < 0.01). This locus containing seven single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in high linkage disequilibrium (R² = 1) is located on chromosome 15, of which the MINAR1 rs72430409 G allele was associated with a greater death risk (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.55-2.54, P = 6.8 × 10^-8 ). Further analysis of ChIP-sequencing data from the encyclopedia of DNA Elements showed that rs72430409 and rs72630408 were potential cis-regulatory elements for the MINAR1 promoter. Additional expression quantitative trait loci analysis revealed that rs72430409 G>A and rs72630408 A>G were correlated with increased MINAR1 expression levels in both blood cells and colon tissues. Dual luciferase assays revealed that the rs72430409 A allele increased MINAR1 promoter activity. The Cancer Genome Atlas data showed that expression levels of MINAR1 in CRC samples were significantly higher than that in normal colorectal tissue and that high expression of MINAR1 was associated with a shortened OS, likely via activating the epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) pathway as shown in the gene-set enrichment analysis. In vitro, RNAi-mediated silencing of MINAR1 led to decreased migration and proliferation in CRC cancer cells, and MINAR1 silencing could downregulate the expression of key effector genes in EMT and glycolysis. Larger cohort studies and further experiments are needed to validate our findings.

Germline Variants That Affect Tumor Progression

Germline variants have a rich history of being studied in the context of cancer risk. Emerging studies now suggest that germline variants contribute not only to cancer risk but to tumor progression as well. In this opinion article, we discuss the initial discoveries associating germline variants with patient outcome and the mechanisms by which germline variants affect molecular pathways. Germline variants affect molecular pathways through amino acid changes, alteration of splicing patterns or expression of genes, influencing the selection for somatic mutations, and causing genome-wide mutational enrichment. These molecular alterations can lead to tumor phenotypes that become clinically apparent such as metastasis, alterations to the immune microenvironment, and modulation of therapeutic response. Overall, the growing body of evidence suggests that germline variants play a larger role in tumor progression than has been previously appreciated and that germline variation holds substantial potential for improving personalized medicine and patient outcomes.

Genotype-Based Gene Expression in Colon Tissue-Prediction Accuracy and Relationship with the Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer Patients

Colorectal cancer (CRC) survival has environmental and inherited components. The expression of specific genes can be inferred based on individual genotypes-so called expression quantitative trait loci. In this study, we used the PrediXcan method to predict gene expression in normal colon tissue using individual genotype data from 91 CRC patients and examined the correlation ρ between predicted and measured gene expression levels. Out of 5434 predicted genes, 58% showed a negative ρ value and only 16% presented a ρ higher than 0.10. We subsequently investigated the association between genotype-based gene expression in colon tissue for genes with ρ > 0.10 and survival of 4436 CRC patients. We identified an inverse association between the predicted expression of ARID3B and CRC-specific survival for patients with a body mass index greater than or equal to 30 kg/m2 (HR (hazard ratio) = 0.66 for an expression higher vs. lower than the median, p = 0.005). This association was validated using genotype and clinical data from the UK Biobank (HR = 0.74, p = 0.04). In addition to the identification of ARID3B expression in normal colon tissue as a candidate prognostic biomarker for obese CRC patients, our study illustrates the challenges of genotype-based prediction of gene expression, and the advantage of reassessing the prediction accuracy in a subset of the study population using measured gene expression data.

Polymorphisms in the Angiogenesis-Related Genes EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 Are Associated with Survival of Colorectal Cancer Patients

An individual's inherited genetic variation may contribute to the 'angiogenic switch', which is essential for blood supply and tumor growth of microscopic and macroscopic tumors. Polymorphisms in angiogenesis-related genes potentially predispose to colorectal cancer (CRC) or affect the survival of CRC patients. We investigated the association of 392 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 33 angiogenesis-related genes with CRC risk and survival of CRC patients in 1754 CRC cases and 1781 healthy controls within DACHS (Darmkrebs: Chancen der Verhütung durch Screening), a German population-based case-control study. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated from unconditional logistic regression to test for genetic associations with CRC risk. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs for survival. Multiple testing was adjusted for by a false discovery rate. No variant was associated with CRC risk. Variants in EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 were significantly associated with overall survival. The association of the EFNB2 tagging SNP rs9520090 (p < 0.0001) was confirmed in two validation datasets (p-values: 0.01 and 0.05). The associations of the tagging SNPs rs6040062 in JAG1 (p-value 0.0003) and rs2241145 in MMP2 (p-value 0.0005) showed the same direction of association with overall survival in the first and second validation sets, respectively, although they did not reach significance (p-values: 0.09 and 0.25, respectively). EFNB2, MMP2 and JAG1 are known for their functional role in angiogenesis and the present study points to novel evidence for the impact of angiogenesis-related genetic variants on the CRC outcome.