Negligible HCC risk during stringently defined untreated immune-tolerant phase of chronic hepatitis B

Histological severity, clinical outcomes and impact of antiviral treatment in indeterminate phase of chronic hepatitis B: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current international guidelines recommend close monitoring and evaluation of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the indeterminate phase, and treatment of patients at high risk of adverse outcomes. Clinical outcomes and the effect of antiviral therapy on the indeterminate phase remain unclear. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to study the incidence of adverse clinical outcomes including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), cirrhosis, and hepatic decompensation, and the effect of antiviral therapy, in the indeterminate phase.

METHODS

Two investigators independently searched Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure from 1/1/2007 to 31/12/2023. Three investigators independently assessed study eligibility and quality. We included cohort studies and a randomised-controlled trial, allowing for calculation of the incidence rate of adverse clinical outcomes, and cross-sectional studies that reported the prevalence of moderate-to-severe inflammation and different degrees of fibrosis. Incidence rates and prevalence were pooled using generalised linear mixed-effects models and random-effects models, respectively.

RESULTS

One hundred and three studies (70 case-control studies [18,739 patients], 32 cohort studies [15,118 patients], and one RCT [160 patients]) were included. The annual incidence rate of HCC in patients in the indeterminate phase was 0.32% (95% CI 0.21-0.48%, I2 = 85.7%), and those of cirrhosis and hepatic decompensation were 0.67% (95% CI 0.30-1.49%, I2 = 94.3%) and 0.34% (95% CI 0.17-0.69%, I2 = 51.8%), respectively. The pooled prevalence of moderate-to-severe liver inflammation, significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis was 40.7%, 39.7%, 17.9%, and 7.2%, respectively. Use of antiviral therapy was associated with a lower risk of HCC in patients in the indeterminate phase (adjusted incidence rate ratio 0.38, 95% CI 0.18-0.79, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in the indeterminate phase are at risk of developing advanced liver disease and HCC. Although inherent heterogeneity across studies limited the evidence to support expanding treatment to all patients in the indeterminate phase, antiviral therapy may reduce the risk of HCC development in high-risk subgroups.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Current international guidelines recommend close monitoring and evaluation of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the indeterminate phase, in whom antiviral treatment is not always indicated. Based on the systematic review and meta-analysis with significant heterogeneity across studies, patients in the indeterminate phase are at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma, cirrhosis, and hepatic decompensation. Meta-regression findings on platelet count, positive HBeAg, and age highlighted the importance of liver fibrosis assessment, accurate phase classification, and timely detection of phase transition to identify antiviral treatment indications, supporting current guideline recommendations. Antiviral treatment may reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in the high-risk subgroups of patients in the indeterminate phase.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42024537095.

Virological response and predictive factors for antiviral treatment in chronic HBV-related liver disease with low ALT and high HBV DNA

Objective

To investigate virological response and predictive factors for antiviral treatment in chronic HBV patients with low ALT and high HBV DNA.

Methods

A retrospective study grouped chronic HBV patients by baseline ALT: ALT > 80 U/L (significantly elevated group, SAG), 40-80 U/L (mildly elevated group, MAG), and ≤ 40 U/L (normal group, NG). Inverse probability treatment weighting balanced confounding factors. Complete virological response (CVR, HBV DNA < 20 IU/mL) and partial virological response (PVR, HBV DNA ≥ 20 IU/mL) were defined. NG subgroup analyses were performed using baseline ALT (cutoff: 30 U/L for males, 19 U/L for females), HBV DNA (cutoff: 7.21 Log10 IU/mL), and Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (cutoff: 0.32). Cox regression identified factors predicting CVR at week 48.

Results

After IPTW, the number of patients in the NG, MAG, and SAG groups was 92, 141, and 284, and the CVR rates at week 48 were 38.05%, 55.26%, and 7analyses 3.32% respectively (p < 0.0001). Weighted Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the NG group had the lowest probability of achieving CVR at week 48 (p < 0.0001). Particularly, in the NG group, the high-normal ALT subgroup had a higher CVR rate (56.34% (40/71)) than the low-normal ALT subgroup (29.73% (11/37), p = 0.0103), similar to that of the MAG group (p = 0.9871). The low-HBV DNA (82.46% (47/57)) and high-APRI subgroup (63.79% (37/58)) had higher CVR rates than the high-HBV DNA (7.84% (4/51)) and low-APRI subgroup (28% (14/50)) respectively. High HBV DNA and low ALT patients in NG had a CVR of 0% (0/18). Cox regression identified baseline ALT ≤ 30 U/L (males) or ALT ≤ 19 U/L (females), HBV DNA > 7.21 Log10 IU/mL, HBeAg positive state, APRI < 0.32, and a decrease in HBV DNA < 3.49 Log10 IU/mL at 12 weeks as independent adverse predictors of CVR.

Conclusion

The NG group has lower CVR, but the high-normal ALT subgroup performs similarly to MAG. High HBV DNA and low ALT significantly reduce CVR. Key adverse predictors include low ALT, high HBV DNA, HBeAg positivity, low APRI, and suboptimal viral reduction at 12 weeks.

Existing problems and new advice on stage criteria of natural history for chronic hepatitis B

The natural stages of chronic hepatitis B can be divided into four stages according to changes in virology, biochemistry, and pathology. However, there have been significant differences in the recommended stage criteria in the several major guidelines for chronic hepatitis B, especially regarding the immune tolerance phase. Inconsistent standards of indicators for different stages resulted in some problems, such as incorrect stage, uncertain stages and poor comparation of related studies. We propose suggestions for revisions to the stage criteria for CHB based on recent researches, including three stages: immune tolerance stage, immune clearance stage, and immune control stage. These revision suggestions rationalize some of the existing problems with the stage criteria for CHB and can significantly reduce the number of patients in the "uncertain stage" or "gray zone," which is particularly valuable in guiding clinical practice. However, further clinical studies with large samples are needed to confirm these suggestions.

HBV-related HCC development in mice is STAT3 dependent and indicates an oncogenic effect of HBx

Background & Aims

Although most hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases are driven by hepatitis and cirrhosis, a subset of patients with chronic hepatitis B develop HCC in the absence of advanced liver disease, indicating the oncogenic potential of hepatitis B virus (HBV). We investigated the role of HBV transcripts and proteins on HCC development in the absence of inflammation in HBV-transgenic mice.

Methods

HBV-transgenic mice replicating HBV and expressing all HBV proteins from a single integrated 1.3-fold HBV genome in the presence or absence of wild-type HBx (HBV1.3/HBVxfs) were analyzed. Flow cytometry, molecular, histological and in vitro analyses using human cell lines were performed. Hepatocyte-specific Stat3- and Socs3-knockout was analyzed in HBV1.3 mice.

Results

Approximately 38% of HBV1.3 mice developed liver tumors. Protein expression patterns, histology, and mutational landscape analyses indicated that tumors resembled human HCC. HBV1.3 mice showed no signs of active hepatitis, except STAT3 activation, up to the time point of HCC development. HBV-RNAs covering HBx sequence, 3.5-kb HBV RNA and HBx-protein were detected in HCC tissue. Interestingly, HBVxfs mice expressing all HBV proteins except a C-terminally truncated HBx (without the ability to bind DNA damage binding protein 1) showed reduced signs of DNA damage response and had a significantly reduced HCC incidence. Importantly, intercrossing HBV1.3 mice with a hepatocyte-specific STAT3-knockout abrogated HCC development.

Conclusions

Expression of HBV-proteins is sufficient to cause HCC in the absence of detectable inflammation. This indicates the oncogenic potential of HBV and in particular HBx. In our model, HBV-driven HCC was STAT3 dependent. Our study highlights the immediate oncogenic potential of HBV, challenging the idea of a benign highly replicative phase of HBV infection and indicating the necessity for an HBV 'cure'.

Impact and implications

Although most HCC cases in patients with chronic HBV infection occur after a sequence of liver damage and fibrosis, a subset of patients develops HCC without any signs of advanced liver damage. We demonstrate that the expression of all viral transcripts in HBV-transgenic mice suffices to induce HCC development independent of inflammation and fibrosis. These data indicate the direct oncogenic effects of HBV and emphasize the idea of early antiviral treatment in the 'immune-tolerant' phase (HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection).

Estimating the key outcomes and hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients in immune-tolerant phase of chronic hepatitis B virus infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The question of whether patients in the immune-tolerant (IT) phase of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection should undergo antiviral therapy and determine the optimal regimen remains unclear. A comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, MEDLINE, Cochrane Library, and Wanfang Data from inception to 5 December 2023, was conducted. Studies reporting on key outcomes such as HBV DNA undetectability, HBeAg loss or seroconversion, HBsAg loss or seroconversion, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence in patients in the IT phase of chronic HBV infection were included. In total, 23 studies were incorporated. Approximately 4% of patients in the IT phase achieved spontaneous HBeAg loss over 48 weeks of follow-up. Antiviral therapy demonstrated a favourable impact on HBV DNA negative conversion (Children: risk ratios [RR] = 6.83, 95% CI: 2.90-16.05; Adults: RR = 25.84, 95% CI: 6.47-103.31) and HBsAg loss rates (Children: RR = 9.49, 95% CI: 1.74-51.76; Adults: RR = 7.35, 95% CI: 1.41-38.27) for patients in the IT phase. Subgroup analysis revealed that in adult patients in the IT phase, interferon plus nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA)-treated patients exhibited a higher pooled rate of HBsAg loss or seroconversion than those treated with NA monotherapy (9% vs. 0%). Additionally, the pooled annual HCC incidence for patients in the IT phase was 3.03 cases per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 0.99-5.88). Adult patients in the IT phase had a significantly lower HCC incidence risk than HBeAg-positive indeterminate phase patients (RR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.32-0.66), with no significant differences observed between IT and immune-active phases. Presently, there is insufficient evidence solely based on reducing the risk of HCC incidence, to recommend treating patients in the IT phase of chronic HBV infection. However, both adult and paediatric patients in the IT phase responded well to antiviral therapy, showing favourable rates of HBsAg loss or seroconversion.

Inverse relationship between HBV DNA levels and liver histopathological changes in immune-tolerant CHB patients

Limited data exist regarding the association between hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and liver histopathological changes in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during the immune tolerant (IT) phase. In this study, we retrospectively analysed liver biopsy results from 150 adult IT-CHB patients. The liver tissue necroinflammation and fibrosis were evaluated by the Scheuer scoring system. Multivariate logistic regression, smooth curve fitting, and segmented regression models were used to examine the association between HBV DNA levels and liver histopathological changes. A total of 26%, 30.67% and 42% of IT patients had significant necroinflammation (≥G2), significant fibrosis (≥S2) and significant histopathological changes (≥G2 and/or ≥S2), respectively. HBV DNA levels were independently and non-linear inversely associated with significant necroinflammation and histopathological changes in IT-CHB patients. Patients with HBV DNA levels <107 IU/mL had a higher risk of significant histopathological changes compared to those with levels >107 IU/mL. The findings were further confirmed by smooth curve fitting analyses, subgroup and sensitivity analyses. In segmented regression model analyses, the optimal DNA value for the lowest odds ratio of significant histopathological changes was 7.26 log10 IU/mL. A non-linear inverse association between HBV DNA levels and significant histopathological changes in IT-CHB patients. DNA 7.26 log10 IU/mL may serve as a potential cut-off point to define a 'true immune tolerant phase' with minimal liver histopathological changes.

Chronic Hepatitis B: Treat all Who Are Viremic?

The main aim of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is to prevent disease progression and reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In general, treatment is recommended for select patient groups viewed as being at higher risk of developing adverse outcomes from CHB. However, patients who do not meet treatment criteria under current international guidelines may still benefit from antiviral therapy to reduce CHB-related complications. Moreover, well-tolerated antiviral drugs that are highly effective at suppressing viral replication are now widely available, and withholding therapy from patients with viremia is increasingly controversial. In this article, we review traditional treatment paradigms and argue the merits of expanding treatment eligibility to patients with CHB who do not meet current treatment criteria.

What will it take to cure hepatitis B?

The current treatment of chronic HBV infection, pegylated interferon-α (pegIFNα) and nucleos(t)ide analog (NA), can suppress HBV replication, reverse liver inflammation and fibrosis and reduce the risks of cirrhosis, HCC, and HBV-related deaths, but relapse is common when the treatment is stopped before HBsAg loss. There have been major efforts to develop a cure for HBV, defined as sustained HBsAg loss after a finite course of therapy. This requires the suppression of HBV replication and viral protein production and the restoration of immune response to HBV. Direct-acting antivirals targeting virus entry, capsid assembly, viral protein production and secretion are in clinical trials. Immune modulatory therapies to stimulate adaptive or innate immunity and/or to remove immune blockade are being tested. NAs are included in most and pegIFNα in some regimens. Despite the combination of 2 or more therapies, HBsAg loss remains rare in part because HbsAg can be derived not only from the covalently closed circular DNA but also from the integrated HBV DNA. Achievement of a functional HBV cure will require therapies to eliminate or silence covalently closed circular DNA and integrated HBV DNA. In addition, assays to differentiate the source of circulating HBsAg and to determine HBV immune recovery, as well as standardization and improvement of assays for HBV RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen, surrogate markers for covalently closed circular DNA transcription, are needed to accurately assess response and to target treatments according to patient/disease characteristics. Platform trials will allow the comparison of multiple combinations and channel patients with different characteristics to the treatment that is most likely to succeed. Safety is paramount, given the excellent safety profile of NA therapy.

Comparable outcomes between immune-tolerant and active phases in noncirrhotic chronic hepatitis B: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Antiviral therapy is not indicated for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the immune-tolerant (IT) phase. We compared the outcomes between the untreated IT phase and the treated immune-active (IA) phase in noncirrhotic HBeAg-positive CHB patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched 4 databases, including PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane, until August 2021. The pooled incidence rates of HCC and mortality in the IT and IA cohorts and phase change in the IT cohort were investigated. Studies that included patients with liver cirrhosis were excluded.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies involving 11,903 patients were included. The overall median of the median follow-up period was 62.4 months. The pooled 5-year and 10-year incidence rates of HCC were statistically similar between the IT and IA cohorts (1.1%, 95% CI: 0.4%-2.8% vs. 1.1%, 95% CI: 0.5%-2.3%, and 2.7%, 95% CI: 1.0%-7.3% vs. 3.6%, 95% CI: 2.4%-5.5%, respectively, all p>0.05). The pooled 5-year odds ratio of HCC between IT and IA cohorts was 1.05 (95% CI: 0.32-3.45; p=0.941). The pooled 5-year incidence rate of mortality was statistically similar between the IT and IA cohorts (1.9%, 95% CI: 1.1%-3.4% vs. 1.0%, 95% CI: 0.3%-2.9%, p=0.285). Finally, the pooled 5-year incidence rate of phase change in the IT cohort was 36.1% (95% CI: 29.5%-43.2%).

CONCLUSION

The pooled incidence rates of HCC and mortality were comparable between the untreated IT and the treated IA phases in noncirrhotic HBeAg-positive CHB patients.

The Efficacy of Antiviral Treatment for Chronic Hepatitis B Patients with Normal ALT Levels: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Context: When nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) were applied clinically to manage chronic hepatitis B virus infection, the prognosis of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients greatly improved. However, certain CHB patients with normal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were not used to be considered as the population with the need for antiviral treatment. Objectives: This systematic review and meta-analysis collected and analyzed data from clinical trials to assess and compare the efficacy of antiviral treatment among patients with elevated and normal ALT levels. Methods: A systematic search was performed to gather studies published from 1990.01 to 2022.08 in PubMed and Web of Science databases. The quality of the literature was assessed, and 16 studies were included for further analysis. Basic information on included studies and study populations was collected. A meta-analysis was carried out to evaluate three major outcomes of viral response, hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg) loss, and HBeAg seroconversion after NAs treatment based on data extracted from these studies. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all outcomes were calculated using fixed-effects models. Results: In the 16 relevant studies, 5,345 patients met the inclusion criteria, including 3,687 patients receiving NAs treatment. All patients were grouped into one with elevated ALT and another with normal ALT based on whether their pretreatment ALT levels > 1*upper limit of normal (ULN). For patients receiving lamivudine, the viral response showed no significant difference between the groups with elevated and normal ALT levels (pooled log OR: 0.51 [-0.23 - 1.26], P = 0.79); the pooled log OR for HBeAg loss was 1.19 (0.63 - 1.76, P = 0.03) and pooled log OR for HBeAg seroconversion was 2.19 (0.91 - 3.47, P = 0.40). For patients receiving first-line therapy with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir (ETV), the viral response showed no significant difference between the two groups: Pooled log OR (0.38 [-0.22 - 0.97], P = 0.10). The pooled log OR for HBeAg loss and HBeAg seroconversion was (-0.07 [-0.81 - 0.67], P = 0.68) and (0.40 [-0.84 - 1.63], P = 0.88), respectively. Conclusions: The efficacies of first-line therapy with TDF and ETV treatments were similar in groups with elevated and normal ALT levels for the outcomes of viral response and HBeAg loss. These findings may support further treatment of CHB patients with normal ALT levels.

Perspectives on current controversial issues in the management of chronic HBV infection

Clinical and basic research in the past decades has achieved consensus in the understanding of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and the management of chronic hepatitis B and HBV-cirrhosis. However, debatable challenges to the existing consensus in the concept and/or definitions have emerged. These include (1). alanine aminotransferase upper limit of normal: traditional laboratory-defined vs fixed; (2). nomenclature for phases of chronic HBV infection: classical vs EASL proposal; (3). indication of antiviral therapy: to treat patients vs to treat HBV; (4). finite vs indefinite long-term antiviral therapy: A. finite therapy in HBV-cirrhosis; B. retreatment decision: biochemical markers vs HBsAg/ALT kinetics. The pros and cons of these controversial issues were reviewed, assessed, and discussed in depth based on relevant lines of scientific evidence, intended to clarify or solve these controversial issues.

Precision medicine in the era of potent antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B

With the wide use of potent and safe nucloes(t-)ide analogues (NAs) treatment, patient-centered care is getting important. Intensive care for comorbidity has gain utmost importance in care of aging chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with life-long antiviral treatment. Linkage to care of patients with CHB is essential for the goal of hepatitis B virus (HBV) eradication. As long-term suppression of HBV DNA replication does not prevent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), prevention of HCC is another challenge for NAs treatment. There is a possibility of hepatocarcinogenesis in the immune-tolerant phase and risk of loss of patients during active monitoring seeking the time point for antiviral treatment initiation. Initiation of NAs treatment from the immune-tolerant phase would improve the linkage to care. However, universal recommendation is premature and evidence for cost-effectiveness needs to be accumulated. Early initiation of NAs in the evidence of significant disease progression, either HBV associated or comorbidity associated, would be a better strategy to reduce the risk of HCC in patients located in the gray zone.

Incidence and risk factors for development of hepatocellular carcinoma at young age in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Some young adults with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection might be at high risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), enough to justify regular HCC surveillance despite the young age of the patients. However, ways to identify at-risk individuals who may benefit from HCC surveillance need further evaluations.

METHODS

A hospital-based retrospective cohort of 2757 chronic HBV mono-infected young adults (median age: 34 years, males 66%) were analyzed. The primary outcome was young-onset HCC, defined as a diagnosis made under 40 years of age. We calculated the HCC incidence/1000 person-years in the overall cohort and pre-defined subgroups of patients assessed the independent risk factors that can be used to identify surveillance targets.

RESULTS

The HCC incidence was low (2.55/1000 person-years) in the overall cohort. However, the HCC incidence varied widely according to baseline characteristics: lowest among young adults with FIB-4 ≤ 0.70 (0.17/1000 person-years) and highest in young adults with radiological cirrhosis (30.7/1000 person-years). In multivariable analysis, radiological cirrhosis, the FIB-4 index, and serum HBV DNA level were independent factors associated with HCC development at a young age. Performance for prediction of young-onset HCC in radiological cirrhotic patients showed the highest specificity but sensitivity was <70%. Combination with FIB-4 index and HBV DNA levels increased sensitivity to 90%.

CONCLUSION

Risk stratification using FIB-4 index, HBV DNA levels, and either combining radiological cirrhosis or gender and AFP levels would be helpful to stratify young patients who would and would not benefit from regular HCC surveillance.