Utility of MELD scoring system for assessing the prognosis of acute fatty liver of pregnancy

Association between serum albumin and 42-day postpartum mortality in women with acute fatty liver of pregnancy: a retrospective study

Introduction

Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy (AFLP) is a rare, life-threatening complication during pregnancy, characterized by acute liver failure, endangering both mother and fetus. Albumin (ALB), synthesized by the liver, is vital for maintaining plasma oncotic pressure and transporting substances, acting as a liver function indicator. Given the scarce research on the link between serum albumin levels and adverse outcomes in AFLP, our study aimed to explore the association between serum albumin levels and 42-day postpartum mortality in women with AFLP.

Methods

The study included 139 women with AFLP from the Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, from 2010 to 2022. Severe hypoalbuminemia is albumin <25 g/L; patients categorized as ≥25 or <25 g/L. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses examined the relationship between serum albumin levels and 42-day postpartum mortality. The main outcome was mortality through 42 days postpartum, with secondary outcomes including maternal complications and fetal outcomes.

Results

Of the participants (average age 30.1 ± 5.4, 60.4% primiparous, the median gestational age was 36.1 ± 3.1 weeks), there were 15 deaths within 42 days postpartum, 10.8% mortality rate. After adjustment, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression showed that patients with severe hypoalbuminemia faced a markedly higher risk of 42-day postpartum mortality (HR = 5.55, 95% CI 1.5 ~ 20.5). Multiple organ dysfunction and hepatic encephalopathy were more common in the ALB < 25 g/L group. Fetal death and low birth weight were associated with low serum albumin, though not significantly.

Conclusion

Hypoalbuminemia serves as a critical and alterable risk factor for postpartum adverse complications related to AFLP.

Pregnancy and the liver

Some of the physiological changes that occur in pregnancy manifest in the liver. These alterations might exacerbate or improve some pre-existent liver diseases, while many conditions remain unaffected. Some hepatic manifestations during pregnancy are secondary to disorders unique to pregnancy. Due to improved management of chronic conditions and assisted conception methods, pregnancies in people with cirrhosis or after liver transplantation are increasingly common. With pregnancy also becoming more common in older people and with the rising prevalence of comorbidities, such as obesity, diabetes, and metabolic syndrome, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and gestational diabetes are increasing in prevalance. Thus, a broad range of specialists might encounter liver abnormalities in pregnancy, necessitating an understanding of how the liver changes during pregnancy and the importance of multi-disciplinary input to mitigate maternal-fetal risks. From a global health perspective, pregnancy also offers a unique opportunity to influence disease management and initiate interventions that might influence the life course of pregnant people and their families. In this Review, we describe the challenges of diagnosing, risk stratifying, and managing liver disease in pregnancy, and explore factors that might affect future maternal health.

Risk factors in patients with acute fatty liver of pregnancy: the role of abortion, total bilirubin and serum creatinine

PURPOSE

Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is a relatively rare obstetric emergency usually accompanied by fatal complications. Numerous studies have evaluated the potential risk factors for outcomes in patients with AFLP. But rare studies evaluated the predictive ability, sensitivity and specificity of the risk factors for maternal mortality. Thus, in this multicenter research, we aimed to further prove the predictive ability of the MELD model, investigated the prognostic value of history of abortion (HOA), total bilirubin (TBiL) and serum creatinine (SCr) and explored new predictive models for predicting maternal mortality in patients with AFLP.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of 133 hospitalised patients with AFLP in four Chinese tertiary hospitals between January 2009 and April 2014.

RESULTS

The maximal AUC amongst three independent risk factors for maternal death was TBiL with a cut-off point of > 131.9 μmol/L, showing a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 55.9%. The threshold of the RF model for maternal mortality was - 1.629 and the AUC was 0.876, with an 81.8% sensitivity and an 80.2% specificity. The AUC for MELD model to predict maternal death was 0.894, and the best cut-off point was 28 with a sensitivity of 81.8% and a specificity of 84.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Both the MELD model and the RF model showed good efficacy in predicting the maternal mortality in patients with ALFP (AUC = 0.894 and 0.876, respectively).

Factors and a model to predict three-month mortality in patients with acute fatty liver of pregnancy from two medical centers

BACKGROUND

Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is an uncommon but potentially life-threatening complication. Lacking of prognostic factors and models renders prediction of outcomes difficult. This study aims to explore factors and develop a prognostic model to predict three-month mortality of AFLP.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 78 consecutive patients fulfilling both clinical and laboratory criteria and Swansea criteria for diagnosis of AFLP. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were used to identify predictive factors of mortality. Predictive efficacy of prognostic index for AFLP (PI-AFLP) was compared with the other four liver disease models using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

AFLP-related three-month mortality of two medical centers was 14.10% (11/78). International normalised ratio (INR, hazard ratio [HR] = 3.446; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.324-8.970), total bilirubin (TBIL, HR = 1.005; 95% CI, 1.000-1.010), creatine (Scr, HR = 1.007; 95% CI, 1.001-1.013), low platelet (PLT, HR = 0.964; 95% CI, 0.931-0.997) at 72 h postpartum were confirmed as significant predictors of mortality. Artificial liver support (ALS, HR = 0.123; 95% CI, 0.012-1.254) was confirmed as an effective measure to improve severe patients' prognosis. Predictive accuracy of PI-AFLP was 0.874. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of liver disease models for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, integrated MELD (iMELD) and pregnancy-specific liver disease (PSLD) were 0.781, 0.774, 0.744 and 0.643, respectively.

CONCLUSION

TBIL, INR, Scr and PLT at 72 h postpartum are significant predictors of three-month mortality in AFLP patients. ALS is an effective measure to improve severe patients' prognosis. PI-AFLP calculated by TBIL, INR, Scr, PLT and ALS was a sensitive and specific model to predict mortality of AFLP.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of liver diseases in pregnancy

Liver diseases in pregnancy comprise both gestational liver disorders and acute and chronic hepatic disorders occurring coincidentally in pregnancy. Whether related to pregnancy or pre-existing, liver diseases in pregnancy are associated with a significant risk of maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality. Thus, the European Association for the Study of Liver Disease invited a panel of experts to develop clinical practice guidelines aimed at providing recommendations, based on the best available evidence, for the management of liver disease in pregnancy for hepatologists, gastroenterologists, obstetric physicians, general physicians, obstetricians, specialists in training and other healthcare professionals who provide care for this patient population.

Clinical advances: pregnancy in gastroenterologic and hepatic conditions

The fields of gastroenterology and hepatology, along with endoscopic practice, have seen significant changes and innovations to practice in just the past few years. These practice changes are not limited to gastroenterology, but maternal fetal medicine and the care of the pregnant person have become increasingly more sophisticated as well. Gastroenterologists are frequently called on to provide consultative input and/or perform endoscopy during pregnancy. To be able to provide the best possible care to these patients, gastroenterologists need to be aware of (and familiar with) the various nuances and caveats related to the care of pregnant patients who either have underlying gastrointestinal (GI) conditions or present with GI and liver disorders. Here, we offer a clinical update with references more recent than 2018, along with a few words about SARS-CoV-2 infection and its relevance to pregnancy.

Pregnancy-Associated Liver Diseases

The liver disorders unique to pregnancy include hyperemesis gravidarum, intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy, acute fatty liver of pregnancy, and preeclampsia-associated hepatic impairment, specifically hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, and low platelet count syndrome (HELLP). Their importance lies in the significant maternal and fetal/neonatal morbidity and mortality. Expeditious diagnosis and clinical evaluation is critical to ensure timely, appropriate care and minimize risks to the pregnant woman and her fetus/baby. A multidisciplinary approach is essential, including midwives, maternal-fetal-medicine specialists, anesthetists, neonatologists, and hepatologists.

Risk Factors for Maternal and Fetal Mortality in Acute Fatty Liver of Pregnancy and New Predictive Models

Acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP) is a rare but potentially life-threatening hepatic disorder that leads to considerable maternal and fetal mortality. To explore the risk factors for maternal and fetal mortality in AFLP and develop new predictive models, through this retrospective study, we analyzed the demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, and laboratory findings of 106 patients with AFLP who were admitted to Shandong Provincial Hospital. Risk factors for maternal and fetal mortality were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The new models based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) were tested in AFLP. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was applied to compare the predictive efficiency, sensitivity, and specificity of the two models. Prenatal nausea (p = 0.037), prolonged prothrombin time (p = 0.003), and elevated serum creatinine (p = 0.003) were independent risk factors for maternal mortality. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of the MELD was 0.948, with a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 83.3%. The AUC of the new model for maternal mortality was 0.926, with a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 94.8%. Hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.016) and thrombocytopenia (p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for fetal mortality. Using the ROC curve, the AUC of the MELD was 0.694, yielding a sensitivity of 68.8% and a specificity of 64.4%. The AUC of the new model for fetal mortality was 0.893, yielding a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 73.3%. Both the new predictive model for maternal mortality and the MELD showed good predictive efficacy for maternal mortality in patients with AFLP (AUC = 0.926 and 0.948, respectively), and the new predictive model for fetal mortality was superior to the MELD in predicting fetal mortality (AUC = 0.893 and 0.694, respectively). The two new predictive models were more readily available, less expensive, and easier to implement clinically, especially in low-income countries.

Fatty liver in pregnancy: a narrative review of two distinct conditions

Introduction: Fatty liver is rather common in pregnancy, occurring in two totally different conditions, i.e. nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in pregnancy and acute fatty liver of pregnancy (AFLP). The former is a common condition, resulting by chance association because of the epidemics of obesity and the older age of many pregnant women in Western countries; the latter is a rare disease whose pathophysiology is still incompletely understood.Areas covered: We reviewed the evidence-based knowledge on fatty liver in/of pregnancy. For NAFLD, a few large retrospective and prospective studies identify immediate and late risks for both the mother and the fetus. For AFLP, only small retrospective studies are available, indicating that prompt delivery and eventual referral to Liver Units for liver support or transplantation are mandatory to avoid maternal and fetal death.Expert opinion: The number of pregnant women with fatty liver is expected to increase in the next years. Pharmacologic treatment of NAFLD might be postponed, even when new drugs are approved by health authorities for the general population. In the case of AFLP, we need to improve our ability to correctly identify and treat the most severe cases not resolving with delivery.