Early recurrence in peritoneal metastasis of appendiceal neoplasm: Survival and prognostic factors

Prediction of Early Recurrence Following CRS/HIPEC in Patients With Disseminated Appendiceal Cancer

INTRODUCTION

In patients with disseminated appendiceal cancer (dAC) who underwent cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC), characterizing and predicting those who will develop early recurrence could provide a framework for personalizing follow-up. This study aims to: (1) characterize patients with dAC that are at risk for recurrence within 2 y following of CRS ± HIPEC (early recurrence; ER), (2) utilize automated machine learning (AutoML) to predict at-risk patients, and (3) identifying factors that are influential for prediction.

METHODS

A 12-institution cohort of patients with dAC treated with CRS ± HIPEC between 2000 and 2017 was used to train predictive models using H2O.ai's AutoML. Patients with early recurrence (ER) were compared to those who did not have recurrence or presented with recurrence after 2 y (control; C). However, 75% of the data was used for training and 25% for validation, and models were 5-fold cross-validated.

RESULTS

A total of 949 patients were included, with 337 ER patients (35.5%). Patients with ER had higher markers of inflammation, worse disease burden with poor response, and received greater intraoperative fluids/blood products. The highest performing AutoML model was a Stacked Ensemble (area under the curve = 0.78, area under the curve precision recall = 0.66, positive predictive value = 85%, and negative predictive value = 63%). Prediction was influenced by blood markers, operative course, and factors associated with worse disease burden.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multi-institutional cohort of dAC patients that underwent CRS ± HIPEC, AutoML performed well in predicting patients with ER. Variables suggestive of poor tumor biology were the most influential for prediction. Our work provides a framework for identifying patients with ER that might benefit from shorter interval surveillance early after surgery.

Outcomes and prognostic factors of cytoreductive surgery and perioperative intraperitoneal chemotherapy in high-volume peritoneal carcinomatosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The management of patients with extensive appendiceal mucinous neoplasms and mesothelioma is controversial. Our aims were to analyze overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and independent prognostic factors associated with high peritoneal cancer index (PCI) status in patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and perioperative intraperitoneal chemotherapy (PIC).

METHODS

A prospectively-maintained database for patients with appendiceal neoplasms and mesothelioma undergoing CRS/PIC from year 1996 to 2018 was retrospectively analyzed. Patients who achieved complete cytoreduction were stratified into limited (PCI < 30) and extensive (PCI ≥ 30) disease groups.

RESULTS

260 female and 235 male patients were identified. The 5-year survival for low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasms (LAMN) was significantly higher in the low PCI group (96.2% vs. 63.5%, p < 0.001). There was no difference in the OS across both groups in high-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasms (HAMN) (63 vs. 69 months; p = 0.942) and mesothelioma (72 vs. 42 months; p = 0.058). Overall mortality was 2%. Grade III/IV complications were significantly higher in extensive disease (68% vs. 36.6%, p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, use of EPIC and blood transfusion (>8 units) were independent positive and negative prognostic factors, respectively, associated with OS. Meanwhile, use of EPIC conferred benefit in DFS while increased blood transfusion (>8 units) and elevated preoperative CA125 were predictive of a poor DFS.

CONCLUSION

Long-term survivals following CRS/PIC are achievable with acceptable mortality and higher morbidity rates in extensive appendiceal mucinous neoplasms and mesothelioma. High PCI status does not preclude treatment with CRS/PIC.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Tumor Markers in Pseudomyxoma Peritonei from Low-Grade Appendiceal Mucinous Neoplasm: a Study from the US HIPEC Collaborative

BACKGROUND

Tumor markers are commonly utilized in the diagnostic evaluation, treatment decision making, and surveillance of appendiceal tumors. In this study, we aimed to determine the prognostic significance of elevated preoperative tumor markers in patients with pseudomyxoma peritonei secondary to low-grade appendiceal mucinous neoplasm who underwent cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

METHODS

Using a multi-institutional database, eligible patients with measured preoperative tumor markers [carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9), or cancer antigen 125 (CA-125)] were identified. Univariate and multivariate Cox-proportional hazards regression analysis assessed relationships between normal and elevated serum tumor markers with progression-free and overall survival in the context of multiple clinicopathologic variables.

RESULTS

zTwo hundred and sixty-four patients met criteria. CEA was the most commonly measured tumor marker (97%). Patients who had any elevated tumor marker had a higher peritoneal carcinomatosis index (PCI) as compared to those with normal range markers. Elevated CEA and CA 19-9 levels were individually associated with longer inpatient length of stay, requirement for intraoperative transfusion, and incomplete cytoreduction. Utilization of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, increased PCI score, elevated CA 19-9 (p = 0.007), and CA-125 levels (p = 0.01) were predictive of decreased progression-free survival on univariate analysis. However, in a multivariate model, only elevated PCI was a statistically significant predictor of progression-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Elevated preoperative tumor markers indicate a higher burden of disease but are not independently associated with survival in this retrospective multi-institutional cohort. Further prospective studies are needed to clarify the utility of these markers in this patient population.

Managing Recurrent Pseudomyxoma Peritonei in 430 Patients After Complete Cytoreduction and HIPEC: A Dilemma for Patients and Surgeons

BACKGROUND

Epithelial appendiceal neoplasms are uncommon peritoneal malignancies causing a spectrum of disease including pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP). The optimal management is cytoreductive surgery (CRS) with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC). Despite complete CRS (CCRS), recurrence develops in almost 45% of patients. No consensus exists for the optimal treatment of recurrent disease, with treatment strategies including repeat CRS, watch-and-wait, and palliative chemotherapy. This report aims to describe evolving management strategies for a large cohort with recurrence after CCRS.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed a prospective database of patients with recurrence after CCRS for appendiceal neoplasms from 1994 to 2017 who had long-term follow-up evaluation with tumor markers and computed tomography (CT).

RESULTS

Overall, 430 (37.6%) of 1145 PMP patients experienced recurrence at a median of 19 months. Of these 430 patients 145 (33.7%) underwent repeat CRS, 119 (27.7%) had a watch-and-wait approach, and 119 (27.7%) had palliative chemotherapy. The patients with recurrence had a median overall survival (OS) of 39 months, a 3-year survival of 74.6%, a 5-year survival of 57.4%, and a 10-year survival of 36.5%. In the multivariate analysis, the patients who had recurrence within 1 year after primary CRS (hazard ratio [HR], 3.55), symptoms at recurrence (HR, 3.08), a high grade of disease or adenocarcinoma pathology (HR, 2.94), signet ring cells (HR, 1.91), extraperitoneal metastatic disease (HR, 1.71), or male gender (HR, 1.61) had worse OS. The OS was longer for the patients who had repeat CRS (HR, 0.41). The patients who underwent repeat CCRS had a 3-year OS of 87.5%, a 5-year OS of 78.1%, and a 10-year OS of 67.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

Dilemmas persist around the optimal management of patients with recurrence after CRS and HIPEC for appendiceal tumors. Selected patients benefit from repeat CRS, particularly those with favorable tumor biology and focal disease.

Independent Risk Factors of Early Recurrence After Curative Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: Adjuvant Chemotherapy May Be Beneficial in Early Recurrence Subgroup

PURPOSE

In current clinical practice, early recurrence (ER) is not commonly discussed in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), and its risk factors for this disease have not been well clarified. We carried out this study to analyze the risk factors contributing to ER and explored the prognostic factors after curative resection for pCCA.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 335 consecutive pCCA patients were retrospectively analyzed. Risk factors contributing to ER were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Prognostic factors of the ER group were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. The overall survival (OS) rate was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Log rank test was used for OS comparison.

RESULTS

Of the 335 cases, 258 patients (77.0%) developed tumor recurrence, 136 patients (40.6%) developed ER, and 122 patients (36.4%) developed late recurrence (LR) postoperatively. The median OS of the ER and LR groups was 15 months and 36 months, respectively (P<0.001). The multivariate analysis revealed that poor pathological differentiation (P=0.006; moderate vs well, odds ratio [OR]=2.162, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.753-6.208, P=0.152; poor vs well, OR=4.839, 95% CI 1.544-15.170, P=0.007), perineural invasion (OR=4.797, 95% CI 1.586-14.510, P=0.005), and high levels of preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (OR=2.205, 95% CI 1.208-4.026, P=0.010) were independent risk factors of developing ER after resection. Adjuvant chemotherapy (HR=0.383, 95% CI 0.154-0.953, P=0.039) remained as the independent protective factor of OS in patients with ER.

CONCLUSION

It is recommended that patients with poorly differentiated tumors, presence of perineural invasion, and high levels of preoperative CA19-9 receive closer follow-up and adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery.