Active surveillance versus immediate surgery: A comparison of clinical and quality of life outcomes among patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules 1 cm or smaller in China

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma in China: A Prospective Study on Progression, Influencing Factors, and Cost-Effectiveness

BACKGROUND

The rising detection rate of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) necessitates effective management strategies to prevent overtreatment. Active surveillance (AS) has emerged as a potential solution; however, its applicability and cost-effectiveness within China's healthcare system need further investigation. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility and economic benefits of AS for Chinese patients with PTMC.

METHODS

This prospective study enrolled 145 PTMC patients at Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai. We analyzed progression risk factors and compared 5-year medical costs between AS and immediate surgery (IS), employing SPSS 26 and R for Kaplan-Meier and COX survival analyses.

RESULTS

Among the 145 participants, 105 completed the study. According to the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the cumulative progression rate in our study was 13% (95% CI: 0.05-0.20) over 35 months. Among these patients, 26 underwent surgery, and a higher lymph node metastasis rate was observed in patients with disease progression (61.5%) compared to those without progression (7.7%). Risk factors for PTMC progression included calcification, age, and tumor size. Economically, AS was theoretically more cost-effective than IS. The medical expense of IS with subsequent 5 years follow-up was approximately 6 times higher than that of a 5-year regimen of AS.

CONCLUSIONS

AS is a cost-effective option for managing low-risk PTMC in China. High resolution ultrasonography allowed to detect disease progression. Patients younger than 40 years, the presence of initial tumor microcalcifications, and tumor size exceeding 7 mm were significantly associated with disease progression. Further validation of these findings is needed with larger sample sizes.

Prediction of Hoarseness Risk After Microwave Ablation for Thyroid Nodules: A Visual Three-Zone Method Combined With a Nomogram

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to analyze the risk factors that cause hoarseness after microwave ablation (MWA) and establish a visual zoning approach combined with a nomogram to predict the risk of hoarseness after MWA.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the images and clinical data of patients with thyroid nodules who underwent MWA was carried out from January 2021 to September 2024. Patients were divided into benign thyroid nodule and papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) groups. Parameters related to hoarseness were analyzed, including age, sex, multifocality, glandular thickness, nodule components, ablation power, nodule location, maximum nodule diameter and nodule distance from the thyroid capsule and tracheoesophageal groove, as well as a new "three-zone method." Three different prediction models and a nomogram were constructed to predict the risk of hoarseness.

RESULTS

A total of 446 patients (126 males and 320 females; median age 44 years) with a total of 542 nodules were included in this study. The overall incidence rate of hoarseness after MWA was 2.9% (13/446), while it was 2.2% (5/223) in the benign nodule group and 3.6% (8/223) in the PTC group. Multivariate analysis showed that away from anterior capsule distance, close to tracheoesophageal groove distance and location in zone 3 were risk factors of hoarseness after MWA for PTC nodules. The above variables and outcomes were visualized via nomogram (C-index = 0.910).

CONCLUSION

This combined model with the "three-zone method" and established nomogram could be employed to predict the incidence of hoarseness after MWA for PTC.

Comparison of clinical and patient-reported outcomes in patients with benign euthyroid solitary nodules after ultrasound-guided percutaneous microwave ablation and endoscopic thyroidectomy

BACKGROUND

Percutaneous ultrasound-guided microwave ablation (MWA) for benign solid thyroid nodules is the newest modality for treatment. However, the differences in treatment outcomes between MWA and endoscopic thyroidectomy vestibular approach (TOETVA) for patients with benign euthyroid solitary nodules remain unknown. We are sharing initial results from our prospective study.

METHODS

Prospective study between January 2022 and December 2023 was conducted and data were noted at 3 time points in patients planned for treatment (Preoperative, 1 week, and 12 months). Main outcome measures were clinical outcome and comparison of thyroid-related quality of life using the ThyPRO-39hin and swallowing-related quality of life using the SWAL-QoL.

RESULTS

Of the 36 included patients, 20 patients underwent TOETVA and 16 underwent MWA. Both the groups were comparable in terms of demographic and clinicopathological profiles. The nodule volume reduction rate of patients at 12 months after MWA was 75.10% and 100% for TOETVA. The mean preoperative ThyPRO-39hin and SWAL-QoL scores were comparable in all domains between the two groups. Mean ThyPRO-39hin and SWAL-QoL scores on postoperative day 7 were significantly better in the MWA group in domains impaired social life (p < 0.0001) and impaired daily life (p = 0.0002). However, at the end of 12 months, mean ThyPRO-39hin and SWAL-QoL scores became significantly better in the TOETVA group as compared to the MWA group.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that transoral endoscopic thyroidectomy results in significant superior clinical outcome, thyroid-related quality of life, and swallowing-related quality of life in the long term.

Outcomes of Conversion Surgery for Patients With Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Importance

The outcomes of patients with low-risk thyroid cancer who undergo surgery following a period of active surveillance (AS) are not well-defined.

Objective

To evaluate surgical, pathologic, and oncologic outcomes among patients undergoing conversion surgery (CS) following AS for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this cohort study, patients who underwent CS for disease progression were compared with patients who underwent CS without disease progression and with a propensity score-matched cohort of patients who underwent initial surgery (IS). The median (IQR) postsurgical follow-up time was 40.3 (18.0-59.0) months. Patients were treated at a quaternary cancer referral center in the United States.

Exposures

Surgery.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Surgical complications, pathologic characteristics, overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

Of 550 patients who underwent AS, 55 (10.0%) had CS, of whom 39 (7.1%) had surgery due to suspected disease progression (median [IQR] age, 48 [39-56] years; 32 [82.1%] female). There were no clinically meaningful differences in rates of surgical sequalae between the progression CS group (12 of 39 [30.7%]) and the nonprogression CS group (7 of 16 [43.8%]) (Cramer V, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.01-0.5). The 5-year OS was 100% (95% CI, 100%-100%) in both the disease-progression CS cohort and the IS cohort. Although the cohort of patients undergoing CS after disease progression was by definition a subset with more aggressive tumor behavior, no clinically meaningful differences were observed in the rates of regional recurrence (2 of 39 [5.1%] vs 0 of 39 patients with IS), local recurrence (0 patients), distant metastasis (0 patients), or disease-specific mortality (0 patients) when compared with the matched IS group. Five-year RFS rates were similar: 100% in the IS group and 86% (95% CI, 70%-100%) in the CS group.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, CS for suspected disease progression was associated with surgical and oncologic outcomes similar to IS, supporting the feasibility and safety of AS for patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Active Surveillance in Early Thyroid Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background/Objectives: There remain several challenges to the acceptance and standardization of active surveillance (AS) in patients with early thyroid cancer. The purpose of this study was to update the evidence of tumor progression outcomes in AS to support resolution of clinical concerns and to examine the effect of follow-up duration, period context such as diagnostic techniques, and tumor size at baseline on outcomes. Methods: PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase were used to search for original articles in English until January 2024. The main outcomes were the pooled proportion of patients who showed tumor growth ≥ 3 mm, metastasis to cervical lymph nodes, and conversion to delayed thyroid surgery. A single-arm meta-analysis was performed using a random-effects model. Results: Fourteen studies with 7291 patients were included in the analysis. Pooled results showed that 5.6% (95% CI: 4.2-7.4) of patients increased tumor diameter by more than 3 mm, 1.1% (95% CI: 0.9-1.4) developed cervical lymph node metastases by clinical diagnosis and 3.6% (95% CI: 3.1-4.2) by pathology, 12.7% (95% CI: 9.9-16.1) of patients converted to delayed surgery, with 31.6% (95% CI: 25.3-38.7) of those conversions being due to tumor progression. Subgroup analysis showed a small difference in the proportion of outcomes by baseline tumor size but no increase in the proportion of tumor progression or conversion to surgery due to other factors. Conclusions: This meta-analysis suggests long-term stability in the proportion of tumor progression in AS and less susceptibility to external influences.

Comparison of Patient-Reported Outcomes Between Active Surveillance and Immediate Lobectomy in Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: Initial Findings from the KoMPASS Cohort

Background: Patients diagnosed with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) face the decision between thyroid lobectomy and active surveillance (AS). This study aimed to investigate the factors influencing treatment decisions in low-risk PTMC and to compare the quality of life (QoL) according to the treatment plan. Methods: The multicenter prospective cohort study comparing AS and thyroid lobectomy was conducted. Clinical characteristics were compared between the AS and Lobectomy groups. QoL questionnaires were administered every 6 months in the initial year and annually thereafter. Results: A total of 927 patients (453 in the AS group and 474 in the Lobectomy group) with low-risk PTMC were included in this study. The mean age was 47.4 ± 12.2 years, and 72.2% of the patients were women. Older age (odd ratio [OR] 1.04, confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.05, p < 0.001), smaller tumor size (OR 0.78, CI 0.69-0.87, p < 0.001), family history of thyroid cancer (OR 1.48, CI 1.03-2.12, p = 0.035), prior awareness of AS (OR 1.53, CI 1.16-2.02, p = 0.003), and higher income (OR 1.79, CI 1.13-2.83, p = 0.013) were significantly associated with a higher likelihood of choosing AS. The median follow-up was 27.3 months (23.9-43.9) in the AS group and 28.7 months (20.4-44.5) in the Lobectomy group. During the follow-up period, the AS group showed significantly better QoL scores compared with the Lobectomy group (β 0.17, CI 0.02-0.33, p = 0.029). Although baseline QoL scores favored the AS group significantly (7.1 ± 1.2 vs. 6.7 ± 1.2, p < 0.001), no significant difference was observed after 12 months (7.2 ± 1.2 vs. 7.1 ± 1.2, p = 0.592). Conclusions: This study demonstrated that age, tumor size, family history of thyroid cancer, awareness of AS, and income were associated with patients' treatment choices. Although the overall QoL scores were significantly higher in the AS group, the QoL became similar between the two groups after 12 months. Clinical Trial Registration: KCT0004935.

Decision Regret Following the Choice of Surgery or Active Surveillance for Small, Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background: It is important to understand cancer survivors' perceptions about their treatment decisions and quality of life. Methods: We performed a prospective observational cohort study of Canadian patients with small (<2 cm) low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who were offered the choice of active surveillance (AS) or surgery (Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03271892). Participants completed a questionnaire one year after their treatment decision. The primary intention-to-treat analysis compared the mean decision regret scale total score between patients who chose AS or surgery. A secondary analysis examined one-year decision regret score according to treatment status. Secondary outcomes included quality of life, mood, fear of disease progression, and body image perception. We adjusted for age, sex, and follow-up duration in linear regression analyses. Results: The overall questionnaire response rate was 95.5% (191/200). The initial treatment choices of respondents were AS 79.1% (151/191) and surgery 20.9% (40/191). The mean age was 53 years (standard deviation [SD] 15 years) and 77% (147/191) were females. In the AS group, 7.3% (11/151) of patients crossed over to definitive treatment (two for disease progression) before the time of questionnaire completion. The mean level of decision regret did not differ significantly between patients who chose AS (mean 22.4, SD 13.9) or surgery (mean 20.9, SD 12.2) in crude (p = 0.730) or adjusted (p = 0.29) analyses. However, the adjusted level of decision regret was significantly higher in patients who initially chose AS and crossed over to surgery (beta coefficient 10.1 [confidence interval; CI 1.3-18.9], p = 0.02), compared with those remaining under AS. In secondary adjusted analyses, respondents who chose surgery reported that symptoms related to their cancer or its treatment interfered with life to a greater extent than those who chose AS (p = 0.02), but there were no significant group differences in the levels of depression, anxiety, fear of disease progression, or overall body image perception. Conclusions: In this study of patients with small, low-risk PTC, the mean level of decision regret pertaining to the initial disease management choice was relatively low after one year and it did not differ significantly for respondents who chose AS or surgery.

A Long-Term Study Comparing the Quality of Life and Psychological Status of Patients with Highly Suspicious Thyroid Nodules ≤1 cm Undergoing Active Surveillance with Those Undergoing Immediate Surgery

Background: Limited information is available on the long-term impact of active surveillance (AS) and immediate surgery (IS) on the quality of life (QoL) and psychological status of patients with highly suspicious subcentimeter thyroid nodules. Methods: A prospective study was conducted on 752 patients showing highly suspicious subcentimeter thyroid nodules, among whom 584 chose AS and 168 chose IS. All patients underwent at least two assessments regarding their QoL and psychological status, using three questionnaires: Thyroid Cancer-Specific Quality of Life (THYCA-QoL), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) Quality of Life Core Questionnaire (QLQ-C30). Propensity-score matching (PSM) at a ratio of 3:1 was utilized on patients in the AS and IS groups to mitigate selection bias (504 patients in the AS group and 168 in the IS group). Subsequently, the mixed linear model was used to analyze the QoL data. Results: The median time from the initial evaluation to the last follow-up in the AS and IS groups was 24.0 and 14.2 months, respectively. The AS group showed superior QoL outcomes compared to the IS group, mainly manifested in voice (p < 0.001), sympathetic (p = 0.008), throat/mouth (p < 0.001), and problems with scar (p < 0.001) domains, as per the THYCA-QoL questionnaire. Further, the EORTC QLQ-C30 questionnaire highlighted better outcomes in physical function (p = 0.029), role function (p < 0.001), social function (p < 0.001), global health status (p < 0.001), fatigue (p = 0.012), pain (p = 0.028), appetite loss (p = 0.017), and financial difficulties (p < 0.001). Compared to the initial assessment (1 week after surgery), the IS group showed progressive improvements in QoL, especially in voice (p = 0.024), throat/mouth (p < 0.001), physical function (p = 0.004), social function (p = 0.014), nausea and vomiting (p < 0.001), pain (p = 0.006), and appetite loss (p = 0.048) domains as per both questionnaires. Conclusion: Patients with highly suspicious subcentimeter thyroid nodules who choose IS tend to experience a poorer long-term QoL compared to those who choose AS. Although the situation may improve over time, certain issues might persist, making AS a favorable option for these patients.

Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Thyroid Cancers: A Review of Current Practice Guidelines

The indolent nature and favorable outcomes associated with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma have prompted numerous prospective studies on active surveillance (AS) and its adoption as an alternative to immediate surgery in managing low-risk thyroid cancer. This article reviews the current status of AS, as outlined in various international practice guidelines. AS is typically recommended for tumors that measure 1 cm or less in diameter and do not exhibit aggressive subtypes on cytology, extrathyroidal extension, lymph node metastasis, or distant metastasis. To determine the most appropriate candidates for AS, factors such as tumor size, location, multiplicity, and ultrasound findings are considered, along with patient characteristics like medical condition, age, and family history. Moreover, shared decision-making, which includes patient-reported outcomes such as quality of life and cost-effectiveness, is essential. During AS, patients undergo regular ultrasound examinations to monitor for signs of disease progression, including tumor growth, extrathyroidal extension, or lymph node metastasis. In conclusion, while AS is a feasible and reliable approach for managing lowrisk thyroid cancer, it requires careful patient selection, effective communication for shared decision-making, standardized follow-up protocols, and a clear definition of disease progression.