Impact of Combined Use of Blood-based Inflammatory Markers on Patients with Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma Following Radical Nephroureterectomy: Proposal of a Cumulative Marker Score as a Novel Predictive Tool for Prognosis

A Novel Nomogram Based on Machine Learning-Pathomics Signature and Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio for Survival Prediction of Bladder Cancer Patients

Traditional histopathology performed by pathologists through naked eyes is insufficient for accurate survival prediction of bladder cancer (BCa). In addition, how neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) could be used for prognosis prediction of BCa patients has not been fully understood. In this study, we collected 508 whole slide images (WSIs) of hematoxylin-eosin strained BCa slices and NLR value from the Shanghai General Hospital and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), which were further processed for nuclear segmentation. Cross-verified prediction models for predicting clinical prognosis were constructed based on machine learning methods. Six WSIs features were selected for the construction of pathomics-based prognosis model, which could automatically distinguish BCa patients with worse survival outcomes, with hazard ratio value of 2.19 in TCGA cohort (95% confidence interval: 1.63-2.94, p <0.0001) and 3.20 in General cohort (95% confidence interval: 1.75-5.87, p = 0.0014). Patients in TCGA cohort with high NLR exhibited significantly worse clinical survival outcome when compared with patients with low NLR (HR = 2.06, 95% CI: 1.29-3.27, p <0.0001). External validation in General cohort also revealed significantly poor prognosis in BCa patients with high NLR (HR = 3.69, 95% CI: 1.83-7.44 p <0.0001). Univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis proved that both the MLPS and the NLR could act as independent prognostic factor for overall survival of BCa patients. Finally, a novel nomogram based on MLPS and NLR was constructed to improve their clinical practicability, which had excellent agreement with actual observation in 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival prediction. Decision curve analyses both in the TCGA cohort and General cohort revealed that the novel nomogram acted better than both the tumor grade system in prognosis prediction. Our novel nomogram based on MLPS and NLR could act as an excellent survival predictor and provide a scalable and cost-effective method for clinicians to facilitate individualized therapy. Nevertheless, prospective studies are still needed for further verifications.

Impact of pathological factors on survival in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction:

There is an ongoing need to identify various pathological factors that can predict various survival parameters in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). With this review, we aim to scrutinize the impact of several pathological factors on recurrence free survival (RFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with UTUC.

Materials and Methods:

Systematic electronic literature search of various databases was conducted for this review. Studies providing multivariate hazard ratios (HR) for various pathological factors such as tumor margin, necrosis, stage, grade, location, architecture, lymph node status, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), carcinoma in situ (CIS), multifocality and variant histology as predictor of survival parameters were included and pooled analysis of HR was performed.

Results:

In this review, 63 studies with 35.714 patients were included. For RFS, all except tumor location (HR 0.94, p=0.60) and necrosis (HR 1.00, p=0.98) were associated with worst survival. All the pathological variables except tumor location (HR 0.95, p=0.66) were associated with worst CSS. For OS, only presence of CIS (HR 1.03, p=0.73) and tumor location (HR 1.05, p=0.74) were not predictor of survival.

Conclusions:

We noted tumor grade, stage, presence of LVI, lymph node metastasis, hydronephrosis, variant histology, sessile architecture, margin positivity and multifocality were associated with poor RFS, CSS and OS. Presence of CIS was associated with poor RFS and CSS but not OS. Tumor necrosis was associated with worst CSS and OS but not RFS. Tumor location was not a predictor of any of the survival parameters.

Prognostic value of preoperative lymphocyte-related systemic inflammatory biomarkers in upper tract urothelial carcinoma patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Growing evidence shows that the preoperative lymphocyte-related systemic inflammatory biomarkers are associated with the prognosis of patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). These markers include neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR). However, these findings are inconsistent, and the prognostic significance of these biomarkers is unclear. Moreover, the currently available prognostic indicators do not precisely predict the outcome of UTUC patients. This motivated us to investigate the prognostic values of NLR, PLR, and MLR in UTUC patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).

Methods

We prospectively registered this in PROSPERO (CRD42020186531). We performed a comprehensive literature search of the PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases to identify the eligible studies evaluating the prognostic values of preoperative NLR, PLR, and MLR. Hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals of overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), disease-free survival (DFS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted from the multivariate analyses and analyzed with fixed or random effects models when applicable. Heterogeneity among the studies was evaluated using Cochran’s Q test and I² statistic. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were conducted to explore the origin of heterogeneity. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was applied to assess the quality of each enrolled study. Publication bias was determined using funnel plots together with Egger’s tests. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) was used to evaluate the quality of the evidence.

Results

Overall, we included 10,339 UTUC patients from twenty-five retrospective studies. The results indicated that elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and MLR were significantly associated with worse OS, CSS, DFS/RFS/MFS, and PFS in the UTUC patients undergoing RNU. Furthermore, the results of sensitivity and subgroup analyses demonstrated the rationality and reliability of the results.

Conclusions

The present meta-analysis demonstrated a significant association between elevated preoperative NLR, PLR, and MLR and poor prognosis in patients with surgically treated UTUC. Hence, lymphocyte-related systemic inflammatory biomarkers, in conjunction with clinicopathological factors, molecular markers, and other prognostic indicators, could be helpful to determine the primary treatment strategies and to design individualized follow-up plans for UTUC patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12957-020-02048-7.

Prognostic value of preoperative blood-based biomarkers in upper tract urothelial carcinoma treated with nephroureterectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

This systematic review and meta-analysis assessed the prognostic value of preoperative blood-based biomarkers in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) treated with nephroureterectomy.

METHODS

PUBMED, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases were searched in June 2019 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis statement. Studies were deemed eligible if they compared cancer-specific survival in UTUC patients with and without pretreatment laboratory abnormalities. Formal meta-analyses were performed for this outcome.

RESULTS

The review identified 54 studies with 23,118 patients, of these, 52 studies with 22,513 patients were eligible for the meta-analysis. Several preoperative blood-based biomarkers were significantly associated with cancer-specific survival as follows: neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (pooled hazard ratio [HR]: 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.34-2.06), C-reactive protein (pooled HR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07-1.29), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (pooled HR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.30-2.17), white blood cell (pooled HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.02-2.46), De Ritis ratio (pooled HR: 2.40, 95% CI: 1.92-2.99), fibrinogen (pooled HR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.86-2.68), albumin-globulin ratio (pooled HR: 3.00, 95% CI: 1.87-4.84), hemoglobin (pooled HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.22-1.87), and estimate glomerular filtration rate (pooled HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.19-1.94). The Cochrane's Q test and I² test revealed significant heterogeneity for neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, white blood cell, hemoglobin, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (P = 0.022; I² = 50.7%, P = 0.000; I² = 80.4%, P = 0.000; I² = 88.3%, P = 0.010; I² = 62.0%, P = 0.000; I² = 83.9%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Several pretreatment laboratory abnormalities in patients with UTUC were associated with increased risks of cancer-specific mortality. Therefore, blood-based biomarkers may have the potential to serve as prognostic factors to assist patients and physicians in selecting appropriate treatment strategies for UTUC. However, considering the study limitations including heterogeneity and retrospective nature of the primary data, the conclusions should be interpreted with caution.

Prognostic value of the systemic inflammation modified Glasgow prognostic score in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) treated with radical nephroureterectomy: Results from a large multicenter international collaboration

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prognostic role of modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) for the prediction of oncological outcomes in a retrospective large multicenter cohort of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed a multicenter cohort of patients treated with RNU for clinically nonmetastatic UTUC. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of mGPS to predict nonorgan confined (NOC) disease and lymph-node involvement (LNI) at RNU. Multivariable Cox-regression models were performed to evaluate the preoperative and postoperative prognostic effect of mGPS on survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, 2,492 patients were included in the study. Of these, 1,929 (77%), 530 (21%), and 33 (1%) had a mGPS of 0, 1, and 2, respectively. mGPS was associated with characteristics of tumor aggressiveness and independently predicted LNI and NOC at RNU (both P < 0.05). On univariable and multivariable Cox-regression analyses, higher mGPS was independently associated with recurrence-free, cancer-specific, and overall survival, both in a preoperative and in a postoperative setting. The inclusion of mGPS significantly improved the discrimination of a preoperative model for the prediction of oncologic outcomes compared to standard prognosticators.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that mGPS is independently associated with clinicopathologic features and survival outcomes after RNU. Future studies should investigate the role of mGPS in a panel of preoperative markers for the prediction of NOC and LNI in UTUC patients, thus possibly improving the selection for perioperative systemic therapy.

High Preoperative Controlling Nutritional Status Score Predicts a Poor Prognosis in Patients with Localized Upper Tract Urothelial Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Study in a Large Chinese Center

Purpose

The aim of this study was to elucidate the prognostic value of the preoperative controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, a new index based on the total lymphocyte count, serum albumin concentration and total cholesterol concentration, in patients with localized upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) using propensity score matching (PSM) analysis.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 908 consecutive patients with localized UTUC who underwent RNU between 1999 and 2015. Patients were divided into two groups according to the optimal cutoff value of the preoperative CONUT score. Relationships between the CONUT score with clinicopathological characteristics, overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed before and after 1:1 PSM.

Results

A high preoperative CONUT score was significantly correlated with older age, low body mass index (BMI), poor American Statistical Association (ASA) score, advanced pathological T stage, and tumor squamous or glandular differentiation (all p<0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves showed poor OS, CSS, and DFS for patients with a high CONUT score before and after PSM (all p<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate analyses revealed that a high preoperative CONUT score was an independent risk factor for poor DFS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.418, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.132–1.776, p=0.002) before PSM and an independent risk factor for poor DFS (HR 1.333, 95% CI 1.010–1.760, p=0.042) and OS (HR 1.459, 95% CI 1.010–2.107, p=0.044) after PSM.

Conclusion

A high preoperative CONUT score is an independent prognostic factor for poor outcomes in patients with localized UTUC after RNU.

Prognostic Value of Lymphovascular Invasion in Upper Urinary Tract Urothelial Carcinoma after Radical Nephroureterectomy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

This study was performed to identify the prognostic impact of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). A systematic search in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library was performed to identify relevant studies. The outcomes of interest, including progression-free survival (PFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS), were extracted, and the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used for effect size estimation. Subgroup, metaregression, and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore potential origins of heterogeneity. Publication bias was estimated by Egger's linear regression and funnel plot. Our meta-analysis included a total of 27 studies involving 17,453 patients. The pooled HRs were statistically significant for PFS (HR = 1.73, 95%CI = 1.41–2.11), CSS (HR = 1.87, 95%CI = 1.54–2.27), and OS (HR = 1.56, 95%CI = 1.29–1.87), with high heterogeneity (I² = 77.8%, 70.3%, and 59.2%, respectively). Four studies explored the prognostic value of LVI in patients with advanced tumor stages (T3–T4). The fixed effects model (I² = 33.9%) showed that the pooled HR was 1.64 (95%CI = 1.35–1.99) for CSS. Egger's plots showed no significant publication bias (PFS: P = 0.443, CSS: P = 0.096, and OS: P = 0.894). Our meta-analysis demonstrated that LVI is a poor prognostic factor for UTUC and is strongly associated with disease recurrence, cancer-specific mortality, and overall mortality.

Prognostic value of advanced lung cancer inflammation index in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) is a useful tool for prediction of outcome in several malignancies. However, to date, its significance in head and neck cancer patients has not been evaluated.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 93 patients who were diagnosed with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) and treated with surgical resection and postoperative radiotherapy between 2002 and 2012. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the preoperative ALI is a prognostic indicator for disease-free survival and overall survival in HNSCC patients.

RESULTS

A low ALI was significantly associated with a worse 5-year disease-free survival (47.0 vs. 83.5%, p < 0.001), and overall survival (44.4 vs. 73.6%, p = 0.008). Multivariate analysis showed that low ALI was independently associated with disease-free survival (p < 0.001) and overall survival (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

The ALI could serve as an easily available prognostic indicator for disease-free and overall survival prediction in patients with HNSCC.

Systemic Inflammatory Markers and Oncologic Outcomes in Patients with High-risk Non-muscle-invasive Urothelial Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

Serum levels of neutrophils, platelets, and lymphocytes have been recognized as factors related to poor prognosis for many solid tumors, including bladder cancer (BC).

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic role of the combination of the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR) in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive urothelial BC (NIMBC).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1151 NMIBC patients who underwent first transurethral resection of the bladder tumor (TURBT) at 13 academic institutions between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2012 were included in this analysis. The median follow-up was 48 mo.

INTERVENTION

TURBT with intravesical chemotherapy or immunotherapy.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors predictive of recurrence, progression, cancer-specific mortality, and overall mortality. A systemic inflammatory marker (SIM) score was calculated based on cutoffs for NLR, PLR, and LMR.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The 48-mo recurrence-free survival was 80.8%, 47.35%, 20.67%, and 17.06% for patients with an SIM score of 0, 1, 2, and 3, respectively (p<0.01, log-rank test) while the corresponding 48-mo progression free-survival was 92.0%, 75.67%, 72.85%, and 63.1% (p<0.01, log-rank test). SIM scores of 1, 2, and 3 were associated with recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 3.73, 7.06, and 7.88) and progression (HR 3.15, 4.41, and 5.83). Limitations include the lack of external validation and comparison to other clinical risk models.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with high-grade T1 stage NMIBC with high SIM scores have worse oncologic outcomes in terms of recurrence and progression. Further studies should be conducted to stratify patients according to SIM scores to identify individuals who might benefit from early cystectomy.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we defined a risk score (the SIM score) based on the measurement of routine systemic inflammatory markers. This score can identify patients with high-grade bladder cancer not invading the muscular layer who are more likely to suffer from tumor recurrence and progression. Therefore, the score could be used to select patients who might benefit from early bladder removal.

Plasma fibrinogen level: an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival and cancer-specific survival in patients with localised renal cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of perioperative plasma fibrinogen level as a biomarker of oncological outcome in localised renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We consecutively identified 601 patients with localised RCC who underwent curative surgery at a single institution. Subsequent disease recurrence and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. To evaluate the independent prognostic impact of plasma fibrinogen level, multivariate analysis was performed for these outcomes.

RESULTS

Using the defined threshold level of preoperative plasma fibrinogen of ≥420 mg/dL as elevated, we found 56 patients (9.3%) with an elevated plasma fibrinogen level preoperatively. In Kaplan-Meier analysis, there was a significant difference in disease-free survival and CSS rates between patients with and without preoperative plasma fibrinogen levels of ≥420 mg/dL. Multivariate analysis showed that elevated preoperative plasma fibrinogen level was an independent predictor of subsequent disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality. In a subgroup analysis of the elevated preoperative plasma fibrinogen level group, postoperative normalisation of plasma fibrinogen level was significantly associated with CSS, showing that patients with non-normalised plasma fibrinogen levels tended to have a higher incidence of cancer-specific mortality after surgery.

CONCLUSION

Patients with elevated preoperative plasma fibrinogen levels could be significantly predicted to have subsequent tumour metastasis and cancer-specific mortality, while there was a significant difference in CSS between patients in the normalised and non-normalised postoperative plasma fibrinogen groups. While these are hypothesis generating results, plasma fibrinogen levels may be a useful biomarker due to its low cost and ease of assessment.