1
|
The Readiness Index for Climate Change Adaptation in Africa: The Role of Climate and Adaptive Capacity Proxies. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/app11209413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
As global changes continue, the repercussions in Africa remain profound. This is reflected notably in food and water crises across Africa. This work examines the readiness of Africa to climate change adaptation through a newly developed readiness index (ClimAdaptCap Index). In fact, this work shifts the readiness debate from emotional descriptions that currently flood academic scholarship to a more pragmatic evidence-based approach in assessing readiness. Readiness for climate change adaptation is driven by the intensity of climate forcing and adaptive capacity. The historical climate score data or precipitation and temperature for the period 1991–2016 were culled from the World Bank Climate Portal. The historical adaptive capacity score data included proxies such as poverty and literacy rates from 1991 to 2016 were collected from the World Bank and Macrotrends. The climate data were normalized using the normalization function to enhance interpretation, comparison, and fusion into the index. Missing poverty and literacy rate data were estimated by linear interpolation of the poverty and literacy rate data. The ClimAdaptCap Index was developed to compute readiness. This index is the first of its kind and will serve as a flagship for assessing readiness for climate change adaptation as it is highly adaptable to different contexts. This work’s first-ever maps of readiness show that North and Southern Africa are the readiest for climate change adaptation under historical climate and literacy and poverty conditions. West Africa is the least ready while Middle and East Africa are in the middle. Consistent is that readiness has a positive correlation with literacy rates and an inverse one with poverty rates. In addition, with readiness scores of between 0.35 and 0.39 for all the regions with a maximum potential score of 1, this work has shown that the level of readiness in Africa is generally low, and there is a very small variation between the different regions. In addition, climate change adaptation will highly be influenced by both climatic and non-climatic indicators. The developed readiness index adequately simulates readiness to climate change adaptation in Africa and complements previous frameworks of adaptation preparedness.
Collapse
|
2
|
Epule TE, Chehbouni A, Dhiba D, Etongo D, Driouech F, Brouziyne Y, Peng C. Vulnerability of maize, millet, and rice yields to growing season precipitation and socio-economic proxies in Cameroon. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0252335. [PMID: 34106980 PMCID: PMC8189487 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0252335] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2021] [Accepted: 05/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
In sub-Saharan Africa growing season precipitation is affected by climate change. Due to this, in Cameroon, it is uncertain how some crops are vulnerable to growing season precipitation. Here, an assessment of the vulnerability of maize, millet, and rice to growing season precipitation is carried out at a national scale and validated at four sub-national scales/sites. The data collected were historical yield, precipitation, and adaptive capacity data for the period 1961–2019 for the national scale analysis and 1991–2016 for the sub-national scale analysis. The crop yield data were collected for maize, millet, and rice from FAOSTAT and the global yield gap atlas to assess the sensitivity both nationally and sub-nationally. Historical data on mean crop growing season and mean annul precipitation were collected from a collaborative database of UNDP/Oxford University and the climate portal of the World Bank to assess the exposure both nationally and sub-nationally. To assess adaptive capacity, literacy, and poverty rate proxies for both the national and regional scales were collected from KNOEMA and the African Development Bank. These data were analyzed using a vulnerability index that is based on sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity. The national scale results show that millet has the lowest vulnerability index while rice has the highest. An inverse relationship between vulnerability and adaptive capacity is observed. Rice has the lowest adaptive capacity and the highest vulnerability index. Sub-nationally, this work has shown that northern maize is the most vulnerable crop followed by western highland rice. This work underscores the fact that at different scales, crops are differentially vulnerable due to variations in precipitation, temperature, soils, access to farm inputs, exposure to crop pest and variations in literacy and poverty rates. Therefore, caution should be taken when transitioning from one scale to another to avoid generalization. Despite these differences, in the sub-national scale, western highland rice is observed as the second most vulnerable crop, an observation similar to the national scale observation.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Terence Epule Epule
- International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
- Department of Geography, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
- * E-mail: ,
| | - Abdelghani Chehbouni
- International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
- Centre for Remote Sensing Application (CRSA), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
| | - Driss Dhiba
- International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
| | - Daniel Etongo
- James Michel Blue Economy Research Institute, University of Seychelles, Anse Royale, Seychelles
- Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Seychelles, Anse Royale, Seychelles
| | - Fatima Driouech
- International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
| | - Youssef Brouziyne
- International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Benguerir, Morocco
| | - Changhui Peng
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montreal, Quebec, Canada
- Centre for Ecological Forecasting and Global Change, College of Forestry, North East A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi, China
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Patterson K, Berrang-Ford L, Lwasa S, Namanya DB, Ford J, Research Team IHACC, Harper SL. Food security variation among Indigenous communities in South-western Uganda. JOURNAL OF HUNGER & ENVIRONMENTAL NUTRITION 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/19320248.2020.1852146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Kaitlin Patterson
- Dept. Of Population Medicine, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada
- School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta
| | - Lea Berrang-Ford
- Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Shuaib Lwasa
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- Dept. Of Geography Geoinformatics and Climatic Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Didacus B. Namanya
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- Ugandan Ministry of Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - James Ford
- Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - IHACC Research Team
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Sherilee L. Harper
- Indigenous Health Adaptation to Climate Change Research Group, School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
- School of Public Health, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Vulnerability of crop yields to variations in growing season precipitation in Uganda. SN APPLIED SCIENCES 2019. [DOI: 10.1007/s42452-019-0912-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
|
5
|
Misselhorn A, Hendriks SL. A systematic review of sub-national food insecurity research in South Africa: Missed opportunities for policy insights. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0182399. [PMID: 28829787 PMCID: PMC5567909 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0182399] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2017] [Accepted: 07/17/2017] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Food insecurity is an intractable problem in South Africa. The country has a tradition of evidence-based decision making, grounded in the findings of national surveys. However, the rich insights from sub-national surveys remain a largely untapped resource for understandings of the contextual experience of food insecurity. A web-based search identified 169 sub-national food insecurity studies conducted in the post-apartheid period between 1994 and 2014. The systematic review found that the studies used 27 different measures of food insecurity, confounding the comparative analysis of food insecurity at this level. While social grants have brought a measure of poverty relief at household level, unaffordable diets were the root cause of food insecurity. The increasing consumption of cheaper, more available and preferred 'globalised' foods with high energy content and low nutritional value lead to overweight and obesity alongside child stunting. Unless a comparable set of indicators is used in such surveys, they are not able to provide comparable information on the scope and scale of the problem. Policy makers should be engaging with researchers to learn from these studies, while researchers need to share this wealth of sub-national study findings with government to strengthen food security planning, monitoring, and evaluation at all levels.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Alison Misselhorn
- Institute for Food, Nutrition and Well-being, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
| | - Sheryl L. Hendriks
- Institute for Food, Nutrition and Well-being and the Department of Agricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Development, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, Gauteng, South Africa
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
|
7
|
Abstract
Objective Climate change is projected to increase the burden of food insecurity (FI) globally,
particularly among populations that depend on subsistence agriculture. The impacts of
climate change will have disproportionate effects on populations with higher existing
vulnerability. Indigenous people consistently experience higher levels of FI than their
non-Indigenous counterparts and are more likely to be dependent upon land-based
resources. The present study aimed to understand the sensitivity of the food system of
an Indigenous African population, the Batwa of Kanungu District, Uganda, to seasonal
variation. Design A concurrent, mixed methods (quantitative and qualitative) design was used. Six
cross-sectional retrospective surveys, conducted between January 2013 and April 2014,
provided quantitative data to examine the seasonal variation of self-reported household
FI. This was complemented by qualitative data from focus group discussions and
semi-structured interviews collected between June and August 2014. Setting Ten rural Indigenous communities in Kanungu District, Uganda. Subjects FI data were collected from 130 Indigenous Batwa Pygmy households. Qualitative methods
involved Batwa community members, local key informants, health workers and governmental
representatives. Results The dry season was associated with increased FI among the Batwa in the quantitative
surveys and in the qualitative interviews. During the dry season, the majority of Batwa
households reported greater difficulty in acquiring sufficient quantities and quality of
food. However, the qualitative data indicated that the effect of seasonal variation on
FI was modified by employment, wealth and community location. Conclusions These findings highlight the role social factors play in mediating seasonal impacts on
FI and support calls to treat climate associations with health outcomes as
non-stationary and mediated by social sensitivity.
Collapse
|
8
|
Sherman M, Ford J, Llanos-Cuentas A, Valdivia MJ. Food system vulnerability amidst the extreme 2010–2011 flooding in the Peruvian Amazon: a case study from the Ucayali region. Food Secur 2016. [DOI: 10.1007/s12571-016-0583-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
|
9
|
MacDonald JP, Ford JD, Willox AC, Ross NA. A review of protective factors and causal mechanisms that enhance the mental health of Indigenous Circumpolar youth. Int J Circumpolar Health 2013; 72:21775. [PMID: 24350066 PMCID: PMC3860333 DOI: 10.3402/ijch.v72i0.21775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2013] [Revised: 10/24/2013] [Accepted: 10/24/2013] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To review the protective factors and causal mechanisms which promote and enhance Indigenous youth mental health in the Circumpolar North. STUDY DESIGN A systematic literature review of peer-reviewed English-language research was conducted to systematically examine the protective factors and causal mechanisms which promote and enhance Indigenous youth mental health in the Circumpolar North. METHODS This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, with elements of a realist review. From 160 records identified in the initial search of 3 databases, 15 met the inclusion criteria and were retained for full review. Data were extracted using a codebook to organize and synthesize relevant information from the articles. RESULTS More than 40 protective factors at the individual, family, and community levels were identified as enhancing Indigenous youth mental health. These included practicing and holding traditional knowledge and skills, the desire to be useful and to contribute meaningfully to one's community, having positive role models, and believing in one's self. Broadly, protective factors at the family and community levels were identified as positively creating and impacting one's social environment, which interacts with factors at the individual level to enhance resilience. An emphasis on the roles of cultural and land-based activities, history, and language, as well as on the importance of social and family supports, also emerged throughout the literature. More than 40 protective factors at the individual, family, and community levels were identified as enhancing Indigenous youth mental health. These included practicing and holding traditional knowledge and skills, the desire to be useful and to contribute meaningfully to one's community, having positive role models, and believing in one's self. Broadly, protective factors at the family and community levels were identified as positively creating and impacting one's social environment, which interacts with factors at the individual level to enhance resilience. An emphasis on the roles of cultural and land-based activities, history, and language, as well as on the importance of social and family supports, also emerged throughout the literature. CONCLUSIONS Healthy communities and families foster and support youth who are resilient to mental health challenges and able to adapt and cope with multiple stressors, be they social, economic, or environmental. Creating opportunities and environments where youth can successfully navigate challenges and enhance their resilience can in turn contribute to fostering healthy Circumpolar communities. Looking at the role of new social media in the way youth communicate and interact is one way of understanding how to create such opportunities. Youth perspectives of mental health programmes are crucial to developing appropriate mental health support and meaningful engagement of youth can inform locally appropriate and culturally relevant mental health resources, programmes and community resilience strategies.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - James D. Ford
- Department of Geography, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Ashlee Cunsolo Willox
- Departments of Nursing and Indigenous Studies, Cape Breton University, Sydney, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Nancy A. Ross
- Department of Geography, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| |
Collapse
|