Linear and non-linear dynamics of the epidemics: System identification based parametric prediction models for the pandemic outbreaks

MiniSeg: An Extremely Minimum Network Based on Lightweight Multiscale Learning for Efficient COVID-19 Segmentation

The rapid spread of the new pandemic, i.e., coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has severely threatened global health. Deep-learning-based computer-aided screening, e.g., COVID-19 infected area segmentation from computed tomography (CT) image, has attracted much attention by serving as an adjunct to increase the accuracy of COVID-19 screening and clinical diagnosis. Although lesion segmentation is a hot topic, traditional deep learning methods are usually data-hungry with millions of parameters, easy to overfit under limited available COVID-19 training data. On the other hand, fast training/testing and low computational cost are also necessary for quick deployment and development of COVID-19 screening systems, but traditional methods are usually computationally intensive. To address the above two problems, we propose MiniSeg, a lightweight model for efficient COVID-19 segmentation from CT images. Our efforts start with the design of an attentive hierarchical spatial pyramid (AHSP) module for lightweight, efficient, effective multiscale learning that is essential for image segmentation. Then, we build a two-path (TP) encoder for deep feature extraction, where one path uses AHSP modules for learning multiscale contextual features and the other is a shallow convolutional path for capturing fine details. The two paths interact with each other for learning effective representations. Based on the extracted features, a simple decoder is added for COVID-19 segmentation. For comparing MiniSeg to previous methods, we build a comprehensive COVID-19 segmentation benchmark. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed MiniSeg achieves better accuracy because its only 83k parameters make it less prone to overfitting. Its high efficiency also makes it easy to deploy and develop. The code has been released at https://github.com/yun-liu/MiniSeg.

Breaking boundaries in radiology: redefining AI diagnostics via raw data ahead of reconstruction

Objective.In the realm of utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) for medical image analysis, the paradigm of 'signal-image-knowledge' has remained unchanged. However, the process of 'signal to image' inevitably introduces information distortion, ultimately leading to irrecoverable biases in the 'image to knowledge' process. Our goal is to skip reconstruction and build a diagnostic model directly from the raw data (signal).Approach. This study focuses on computed tomography (CT) and its raw data (sinogram) as the research subjects. We simulate the real-world process of 'human-signal-image' using the workflow 'CT-simulated data- reconstructed CT,' and we develop a novel AI predictive model directly targeting raw data (RCTM). This model comprises orientation, spatial, and global analysis modules, embodying the fusion of local to global information extraction from raw data. We selected 1994 patients with retrospective cases of solid lung nodules and modeled different types of data.Main results. We employed predefined radiomic features to assess the diagnostic feature differences caused by reconstruction. The results indicated that approximately 14% of the features had Spearman correlation coefficients below 0.8. These findings suggest that despite the increasing maturity of CT reconstruction algorithms, they still introduce perturbations to diagnostic features. Moreover, our proposed RCTM achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.863 in the diagnosis task, showcasing a comprehensive superiority over models constructed from secondary reconstructed CTs (0.840, 0.822, and 0.825). Additionally, the performance of RCTM closely resembled that of models constructed from original CT scans (0.868, 0.878, and 0.866).Significance. The diagnostic and therapeutic approach directly based on CT raw data can enhance the precision of AI models and the concept of 'signal-to-image' can be extended to other types of imaging. AI diagnostic models tailored to raw data offer the potential to disrupt the traditional paradigm of 'signal-image-knowledge', opening up new avenues for more accurate medical diagnostics.

Predictive Recognition of DNA-binding Proteins Based on Pre-trained Language Model BERT

Identifying proteins is crucial for disease diagnosis and treatment. With the increase of known proteins, large-scale batch predictions are essential. However, traditional biological experiments being time-consuming and expensive are difficult to accomplish this task efficiently. Nevertheless, deep learning algorithms based on big data analysis have manifested potential in this aspect. In recent years, language representation models, especially BERT, have made significant advancements in natural language processing. In this paper, using three protein segmentation methods and three encoder numbers, nine BERT models with different sizes are constructed to predict whether known proteins are DNA-binding proteins or not. Furthermore, based on the concept of protein motifs, multi-scale convolutional networks are fused into the models to extract the local features of DNA-binding proteins. Finally, we find that the larger the number of encoders, the better the model predictions under the condition of considering each amino acid in the protein as a word. Our proposed algorithm achieves 81.88% sensitivity and 0.39 MCC value on the test set. Furthermore, it achieves 62.41% accuracy on the independent test set PDB2272. It is evident that our proposed method can be a tool to assist in the identification of DNA-binding proteins.

Bio-Inspired Optimization-Based Path Planning Algorithms in Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: A Survey

Advancements in electronics and software have enabled the rapid development of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and UAV-assisted applications. Although the mobility of UAVs allows for flexible deployment of networks, it introduces challenges regarding throughput, delay, cost, and energy. Therefore, path planning is an important aspect of UAV communications. Bio-inspired algorithms rely on the inspiration and principles of the biological evolution of nature to achieve robust survival techniques. However, the issues have many nonlinear constraints, which pose a number of problems such as time restrictions and high dimensionality. Recent trends tend to employ bio-inspired optimization algorithms, which are a potential method for handling difficult optimization problems, to address the issues associated with standard optimization algorithms. Focusing on these points, we investigate various bio-inspired algorithms for UAV path planning over the past decade. To the best of our knowledge, no survey on existing bio-inspired algorithms for UAV path planning has been reported in the literature. In this study, we investigate the prevailing bio-inspired algorithms extensively from the perspective of key features, working principles, advantages, and limitations. Subsequently, path planning algorithms are compared with each other in terms of their major features, characteristics, and performance factors. Furthermore, the challenges and future research trends in UAV path planning are summarized and discussed.

Time-aware sport goods sale prediction for healthcare with privacy-preservation

Sports industry has been playing an important role in achieving good healthcare for public. However, with the advent of COVID-19, sports industry has been influenced significantly and the industry scale is decreased considerably. In this situation, how to accurately predict the sports industry scale in terms of production and consumption is becoming a practical and valuable task, because the whole world's economy is not growing stably and users' demand to sport goods is fluctuating sharply. However, three challenges are often existing in the sports industry scale prediction. First of all, there are so many kinds of sport goods that it is hard to quickly predict their future production or consumption scales accurately. Second, for a certain sport commodity, its production or consumption scale is often related to time especially in the COVID-19 environment. Third, sports industry scale data often contain some privacy, which probably disables data stakeholders to disclose their data. In view of these three challenges, a novel sports industry scale prediction approach (named SISP) is proposed for healthcare, which is basically according to time series analysis. Through SISP approach, we can quickly and accurately predict the future production or consumption scales of sport goods, in a privacy-aware way. At last, we validate the feasibility of the proposed SISP approach in this paper.

Fractional dynamic analysis and optimal control problem for an SEIQR model on complex networks

A fractional order susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantined-recovered model is established on the complex networks. We calculate a specific expression for the basic reproduction number R₀, prove the existence and uniqueness with respect to the solution, and prove the Ulam-Hyers stability of the model. Using the Latin hypercube sampling-partial rank correlation coefficient method, the influence of parameters on the R₀ is analyzed. Based on the results of the analysis, the optimal control of the model is investigated as the control variables with vaccination rate and quarantine rate applying Pontryagin's minimum principle. The effects of α, degree of nodes, and network size on the model dynamics are simulated separately by the prediction correction method.

Priority and age specific vaccination algorithm for the pandemic diseases: a comprehensive parametric prediction model

Background

There have been several destructive pandemic diseases in the human history. Since these pandemic diseases spread through human-to-human infection, a number of non-pharmacological policies has been enforced until an effective vaccine has been developed. In addition, even though a vaccine has been developed, due to the challenges in the production and distribution of the vaccine, the authorities have to optimize the vaccination policies based on the priorities. Considering all these facts, a comprehensive but simple parametric model enriched with the pharmacological and non-pharmacological policies has been proposed in this study to analyse and predict the future pandemic casualties.

Method

This paper develops a priority and age specific vaccination policy and modifies the non-pharmacological policies including the curfews, lockdowns, and restrictions. These policies are incorporated with the susceptible, suspicious, infected, hospitalized, intensive care, intubated, recovered, and death sub-models. The resulting model is parameterizable by the available data where a recursive least squares algorithm with the inequality constraints optimizes the unknown parameters. The inequality constraints ensure that the structural requirements are satisfied and the parameter weights are distributed proportionally.

Results

The results exhibit a distinctive third peak in the casualties occurring in 40 days and confirm that the intensive care, intubated, and death casualties converge to zero faster than the susceptible, suspicious, and infected casualties with the priority and age specific vaccination policy. The model also estimates that removing the curfews on the weekends and holidays cause more casualties than lifting the restrictions on the people with the chronic diseases and age over 65.

Conclusion

Sophisticated parametric models equipped with the pharmacological and non-pharmacological policies can predict the future pandemic casualties for various cases.